جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga. Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai

Kal ke statistics ne zyada tar market participants ki expectations ko US dollar ke prospects ke hawale se tabdeel kar diya, jis ke natije mein prices ne 1.3111 ke level ke upar wapas aakar hasil kiya aur chaar ghante ke chart par current trading range ke average limit ko determine kiya. Halankeh job openings ke ghattne se ye zahir hota hai ke holiday season khatam ho raha hai aur isliye service sector employment volume ko kam kar raha hai. Kya unhe ye statistics ke bina nahi pata tha? Is liye, job openings ke published indicators aur Friday ko aane wale labor market report ke darmiyan seedha correlation talash karne ki zarurat nahi hai. Daily chart par current situation unclear hai, prices current trading range ke average limit par freeze ho gayi hain aur is position se woh 1.3210 ke level par upper limit ko determine kar sakti hain, ya 1.3111 ke level par support level tak gir sakti hain. Is waqt, indicators jo ke bahut zyada overbought peak ko show kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke decline ke chances abhi bhi zyada hain.

Main ab bhi downward movement ke continuation ko sab se zyada mumkin samajhta hoon, isliye agar red moving average ka dobara breakout hota hai, to main downtrend par khelne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur decline ka intezaar karunga jisse 1.3016 ya usse niche 1.2939 ke level tak kaam karna hai. Uske baad, bars wahan latki hui hain. Do perfect corrections already ho chuki hain, Ichimoku indicator writers ke nazar se - jab dead cross bana tha, lekin bears ke side par transition nahi hua. Aur ab - ek aur candidate, Semafor indicator ne global sell signal diya hai, lekin ab woh bands ko tezi se alag-alag directions mein kheench rahe hain, bullish mood ko reinforce karte hue.

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre hisson mein expect kiye ja sakte hain.

Forex Trading Mein Price Action Mastery: GBP/USD

Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Aaj din ke close hone se pehle, chaliye dekhte hain ke GBP/USD pair ka performance kaisa raha. Aaj humne kal ke bullish candle ko absorb kiya hai, iska matlab hai ke agar din ke end tak thoda rebound nahi hota, toh hum shayad ek bearish engulfing candle ke saath end karenge. Yeh formation kal ke liye downward trend ka continuation signal karegi. Technically, aaj humne monthly resistance zone mein enter kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bearish trend-based movement lower boundary ke taraf ho sakti hai, jo ke 1.2843 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, main target abhi bhi daily support zone hai, jo 1.2611 aur 1.2679 ke beech hai. Sellers ke liye target tha exactly 1.3099 level.

Yeh scenario Market Sentiment indicator ke saath align karta hai, jo hum ek specialized service ke zariye track karte hain jo 8-9 brokers ka data aggregate karta hai. Jab market mein zyada traders—GBP/USD pair ke liye—sell kar rahe hote hain, toh ek significant player aksar opposite stance leta hai, buying karke price ko upar push karta hai. Jab maine aaj subah buy aur sell ratio ko review kiya, toh maine dekha ke 70 percent traders sell kar rahe the jabke sirf 30 percent buying kar rahe the. Yeh imbalance mujhe yeh anticipate karne par majboor karta hai ke British pound bullish move karega, jo ke briefly attempt bhi kiya. Lekin, US ke strong economic data ne GBP/USD pair ko sharply bearish kar diya, aur 1.3099 ke round level ko break kar diya.

Jab maine apni last analysis likhi thi, tab GBP/USD pair 1.3122 pe trade kar raha tha, aur technical indicators suggest kar rahe the ke upper boundary of the southern channel se rebound karne ke baad decline continue ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish move abhi bhi zyada possible lag raha hai, aur sellers ko aage bhi opportunities mil sakti hain agar trend continue karta hai. Market sentiment aur technical indicators dono yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke price abhi aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur 1.3099 level ke break hone ke baad, next support levels ko test kiya ja sakta

Forex Trading Mein Price Action Mastery: GBP/USD

Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Aaj din ke close hone se pehle, chaliye dekhte hain ke GBP/USD pair ka performance kaisa raha. Aaj humne kal ke bullish candle ko absorb kiya hai, iska matlab hai ke agar din ke end tak thoda rebound nahi hota, toh hum shayad ek bearish engulfing candle ke saath end karenge. Yeh formation kal ke liye downward trend ka continuation signal karegi. Technically, aaj humne monthly resistance zone mein enter kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bearish trend-based movement lower boundary ke taraf ho sakti hai, jo ke 1.2843 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, main target abhi bhi daily support zone hai, jo 1.2611 aur 1.2679 ke beech hai. Sellers ke liye target tha exactly 1.3099 level.

Yeh scenario Market Sentiment indicator ke saath align karta hai, jo hum ek specialized service ke zariye track karte hain jo 8-9 brokers ka data aggregate karta hai. Jab market mein zyada traders—GBP/USD pair ke liye—sell kar rahe hote hain, toh ek significant player aksar opposite stance leta hai, buying karke price ko upar push karta hai. Jab maine aaj subah buy aur sell ratio ko review kiya, toh maine dekha ke 70 percent traders sell kar rahe the jabke sirf 30 percent buying kar rahe the. Yeh imbalance mujhe yeh anticipate karne par majboor karta hai ke British pound bullish move karega, jo ke briefly attempt bhi kiya. Lekin, US ke strong economic data ne GBP/USD pair ko sharply bearish kar diya, aur 1.3099 ke round level ko break kar diya.

Jab maine apni last analysis likhi thi, tab GBP/USD pair 1.3122 pe trade kar raha tha, aur technical indicators suggest kar rahe the ke upper boundary of the southern channel se rebound karne ke baad decline continue ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish move abhi bhi zyada possible lag raha hai, aur sellers ko aage bhi opportunities mil sakti hain agar trend continue karta hai. Market sentiment aur technical indicators dono yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke price abhi aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur 1.3099 level ke break hone ke baad, next support levels ko test kiya ja sakta

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**
GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre hisson mein expect kiye ja sakte hain.

GBP/USD Analysis: H1 Chart** GBP/USD pair ne trading ka aghaz 1.26350 level se kiya aur phir H1 support level C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karne ke baad, price M30 support level C: 1.26222 tak pohnchi, jahan se upar aayi aur daily pivot ki taraf barhne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh H1 resistance level: 1.2637 ko break kar leti hai, to daily pivot level FPV: 1.26387 tak pohnchne ke chances hain. Agar price is level ko push nahi karti aur upar ki taraf expand hoti hai, to next target H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ho sakta hai.
Agar price yahan se niche aati hai aur din ka low yLow: 1.26116 break karti hai, to agla support level S3: 1.25810 dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh level D1 support level: 1.26175 aur H4 support level: 1.26133 ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke niche koi significant support ya resistance levels nahi hain, S4: 1.25453 tak. Agar price support level ko break karti hai aur kal ke level ko nahi jeet paati, to volatility ke sath hum definitely 1.25453 tak ke drop ki ummeed rakh sakte hain, agar aur niche nahi chali jaye.

Agar price daily pivot level ko break karti hai aur H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ko bhi break karti hai, to major move north tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jahan High: 1.26693 tak target ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf target D1 resistance level: 1.26815 ya resistance level R3: 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai.

ZUP indicator bullish formation ke baad yeh values leta hai: 786 * AB = CD. Bullish method tab effective ho sakti hai jab price 1.26169 ke niche na jaye. Slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karti nazar aa rahi hai. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, jo sell zone ya higher move ka crossroads dikhati hain. Shayad price 61.8: 1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohnchti hai, jo H4 resistance level C: 1.2654 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad recovery aur further targets ki taraf girti rahegi.

Daily chart par price action consolidate ho raha hai aur aaj bhi trading ranging lag rahi hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators bearish signal de rahe hain, isliye bearish movement sabse zyada mumkin lagti hai. UK se positive news aur US se negative news aayi hai, aur agle important news releases bhi neutral forecast ke sath hain. Aaj ke liye pair ke ranging movement ki umeed hai, aur support level 1.2620 ke towards selling opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Resistance level 1.2650 ke towards buying opportunities bhi mil sakti hain. Yehi

Forex ki duniya mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya abhi ho raha hai. Aaj ke din ke khatam hone se pehle, humne kal ki bullish candle ko absorb kar liya hai, iska matlab hai ke agar din ke aakhir tak thodi si rebound upar ki taraf na hui, to hum shayad ek bearish engulfing candle ke saath khatam honge. Yeh formation agle din ke liye downward trend ki continuation ko signal karega. Technical tor par, hum aaj monthly resistance zone mein enter kar chuke hain, jo ke bearish trend-based movement ka suggestion deta hai, jo ke is zone ke lower boundary ke taraf 1.2843 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Lekin, main target daily support zone hai jo ke 1.2611 aur 1.2679 ke darmiyan hai. Sellers ke liye target tha 1.3099 level ka.

Yeh scenario Market Sentiment indicator se milta hai, jo hum ek khaas service ke zariye track karte hain jo 8-9 brokers ka data aggregate karti hai. Jab zyada traders—GBP/USD pair ke liye—bech rahe hote hain, to aksar ek bara player ulta stance leta hai, kharidari karta hai aur price ko upar push karta hai. Aaj subah jab maine buy aur sell ratio review kiya, to maine dekha ke 70 percent traders bech rahe the jabke sirf 30 percent kharid rahe the. Yeh imbalance mujhe yeh anticipate karne par majboor karta hai ke British pound bullish move karega, jo ke thodi dair ke liye aisa hi hua. Lekin, US se aayi strong economic data ne GBP/USD pair ko tez bearish direction mein push kar diya, aur 1.3099 ke round level ko tod diya. Jab maine apni aakhri analysis likhi, GBP/USD pair 1.3122 par trade kar raha tha, aur technical indicators yeh suggest kar rahe the ke decline continue hogi, upper boundary se southern channel se rebound ke baad.

GBP/USD Price Movement

Hamari guftagu mein, hum current GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pound-dollar currency pair apne upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, halankeh recently notable correction dekhi gayi hai. Pound ne shuru mein bullish peak 1.3259 ko reach kiya, phir lagbhag ek aur aadha figure se retreat hua aur ab 1.3101 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Overall, pound ki correction kafi kamzor hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair kabhi bhi apni upward movement resume kar sakta hai. Market iske liye anticipate kar rahi hai aur potential buy ke liye position kar rahi hai. Magar, aaj ke fundamental data ne reaction nahi diya, halankeh news ne business index ko negatively impact kiya, jo teen red bulls se indicate hota hai. Pound-dollar pair shayad purani highs 1.3259 ko revisit karne ki koshish karega. Ab, pair is range se break out ho chuka hai aur 1.30 level ko thoroughly test kar raha hai, sirf briefly touch nahi kar raha.

GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ko thoda decline dekha, lekin yeh drop formal consider kiya ja sakta hai. Ascending trend line breach ho chuki hai, lekin price abhi tak Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate nahi hui. Agar hum technical analysis se hatkar dekhen, to substantial rise ke baad agar aap ek new downward trend ki shuruat ki ummeed kar rahe hain, to kaisa downward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai? Shayad ek strong movement, jahan sellers daily pressure dalte hain aur macroeconomic data support provide karta hai. Abhi tak kuch aisa nazar nahi aa raha. Price barely downward movement de rahi hai aur kisi bhi moment par apni illogical rise resume kar sakti hai. Isliye, agar price Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to further decline ka likelihood barh jayega, lekin abhi tak sab kuch minor correction ke jaise lag raha hai, aur phir pound phir se rise shuru kar sakta hai. Pichle din ke macroeconomic events se kuch khas highlight karne layak nahi hai. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI August ke liye 47.2 points tha. Yeh value July se zyada hai, lekin important comparison forecast se hai jo 47.5 points tha. Isliye, ek baar phir se important indicator ki actual value forecast se neeche thi. Halankeh kal kuch trading signals bane, pair din ke zyada tar hisson mein erratically aur sideways move hota raha. 1.3119 level ko dono directions mein breach kiya gaya. Price finally iske neeche settle hui, lekin ab Senkou Span B line, jo 1.3100 level par hai, price ko neeche se support kar rahi hai. Abhi bhi solid downward movement par rely karna mushkil hai. Hourly time frame mein GBP/USD correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi moment khatam ho sakti hai. Decline medium term ke liye ek consistent aur logical scenario hai, considering all factors: technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic. Lekin, market pounds ko buy aur dollars ko sell kar rahi hai, chahe corrections ya specific days par news ki kami ho. Iske ilawa, overseas ke economic reports phir se mediocre hain, aur aise conditions mein dollar ko apni growth sustain karna mushkil hoga.

GBP/USD jo jo jori hai, usne do din ke liye girawat dekhi, aur 1.3200 ke level ko niche gir gaya. Yeh paltaav ek aham tabdeeli ko darshata hai jo pichle kuch hafton se market mein bullish momentum banaye hue tha. UK se kisi khaas economic data ki kami aur US ke mazboot economic indicators ne dollar ke haq mein asar dala hai. Filhal, jo pair 1.3151 par trade kar raha hai, us par niche ki taraf se dabav hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 17 July ko bane session high 1.3043 ek mumkinah target ho sakta hai agar girawat barqarar rahe. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke level se niche chala gaya hai, jo bulls ke liye momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Agar sellers ko bearish trend ko jaari rakhna hai, toh unhe 1.3100 aur 1.3050 ke support levels ko torna hoga. Agar yeh levels toor diye gaye, toh is se agle girawat ki sambhavna hai, jo 8 March ke daily high 1.2893 ko target kar sakti hai.

Good afternoon!

While the earlier discussion focused on growth over a weekly timeframe, today's emphasis shifts to the likelihood of a decline. We’ll see how things unfold. The GBP-USD situation seems to be behaving independently across various charts, much like different weather forecasts, but the 4-hour chart is a crucial reference point.

On this chart, volumes have begun to slip into the bearish zone, and while the growth index—the main indicator of movement direction—shows a slight correction downward after yesterday's bullish highs, this suggests further consolidation around yesterday's highs of 1.31500/1.32200. This scenario could imply a steady or sideways decline in the value of the pound sterling.

Yesterday’s price action set the tone, and today’s focus is on a southward movement towards the daily resistance zone of 1.31275. However, we might see a rise to the 1.31900 region before any potential reversal to the downside, or possibly an increase to 1.32190. Daily volumes are indicating a downward correction that might turn into a drop.

In technical terms, a downward movement is favored for the day, though an upward jump might occur during the American session. A proper decline remains a significant concern. Today’s GBP-USD price action will likely set the direction for the coming week.

Monday ko GBP/USD currency pair ne apni saat din ki winning streak khatam ki, jo market ke ehtiyaat bhare lehjay ko zahir karta hai. Pair ne lagbhag 1.3000 mark ko touch kiya tha, lekin apni bullish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Is pullback ka sabab kuch factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke wajah se patli trading volumes aur is haftay ke key economic data releases se pehle investors ki jhijhak shamil hai.
Investors is liye pareshaan hain kyunki wo significant data points, jaise ke US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo market ke direction par asar daal sakte hain. Market ka focus Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke hawalay se stance par bhi hai, aur kai log September mein rate cut ki possibility par speculate kar rahe hain. Ye speculation trading mein ehtiyaat ko barha raha hai, kyunki investors in aanay wale events ke potential asrat ka andaza laga rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly se clear forward guidance ke na milne par bhi cautious sentiment barqarar hai. Dono officials ne ye emphasize kiya ke future rate decisions meeting-by-meeting basis par liye jayenge, jis se market ko kisi clear direction ka pata nahi chal raha.

Technically, GBP/USD ke recent price action ne uski upward trajectory mein pause ka signal diya, jahan pair 1.3000 ke critical level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne briefly ek naya 12-mahina high touch kiya tha, lekin wapas pullback kar gaya, jo is mark ke around potential resistance level ko zahir karta hai. Is wajah se traders ab intizaar kar rahe hain ke koi naya bullish momentum ya phir downside movement ka sign milay, jabke week ka progress ho raha hai.

GBP/USD ka pullback Monday ko cautious market sentiment ka nateeja tha, jo thin trading volumes aur key economic data releases se pehle ki uncertainty ki wajah se hua. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke decisions ki wajah se market anticipation ke halat mein rahegi, aur traders har nayi data point ko dekh kar significant moves karne se pehle ihtiyaat barat rahe hain.

Pichle din, Monday ko, GBP/USD pair ne bohat kam volatility ke sath trade ki aur ab tak woh ascending trendline ko break nahi kar saka. British currency ne ghirne se inkaar kiya hai, halanke kaafi arse se yeh upar ja rahi hai aur kaafi taqat ke sath, jo ke aam samajh ke khilaf hai. Monday ko koi macroeconomic ya bunyadi events nahi hue, is liye traders ke paas din bhar react karne ke liye kuch nahi tha. Hum is British currency mein mazeed girawat ki tawako karte hain, magar dollar ka future is hafte ke U.S. labor market aur berozgaari ke data par kaafi had tak depend karega. Doosri reports bhi dollar ke upar jaane ko support ya resistance de sakti hain. Har mahine ka pehla hafte dollar ke liye sabse ahem hota hai. Agar trendline ke neeche consolidation ho jata hai, to U.S. currency ke mazeed taqatwar hone ke chances kaafi barh jayenge. Monday ko 5-minute time frame mein teen trading signals banay. Teeno cases mein, price 1.3145 level se bounce hui. Kisi bhi case mein price 20 pips se zyada nahi giri. Teeno signals repetitive the, is liye sirf ek short position open ki ja sakti thi. Aur yeh nuqsaan ka sabab nahi banta kyun ke price din bhar 1.3145 level ke upar consolidate nahi ho saki.

Tuesday ko kaise trade karein:
Hourly time frame mein, GBP/USD ke paas global downward trend ko dobara start karne ka acha chance hai, magar is waqt ek strong local uptrend chal raha hai, kyun ke price mushkil se trendline tak pohnchi hai. British pound ab bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har moka istemal kar rahi hai British currency ko kharidne aur dollar ko bechne ka. Ab tak pound sirf thoda bearish correction dikha raha hai, aur abhi poori downtrend ki baat karna jaldi hogi.

Tuesday ko pair shayad downward move kare, magar ab trendline support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Rebound mumkin hai, jab ke breakthrough baad mein ho sakta hai. Pound ka correction dheere aur kamzor ho sakta hai.

5M timeframe mein dekhne ke liye key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Tuesday ko UK mein koi bara event schedule nahi hai, magar U.S. mein August ka ahem ISM manufacturing activity index release hoga. Is liye din ke doosre hisse mein volatility mein thoda izafa ho sakta hai.

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni growth ko continue rakha aur ek baar phir maximum ko update kiya. Lekin, shuruat se hi American dollar ke muqablay mein pound kamzor hota gaya, aur overall market mein bhi dollar ne girawat dekhi. Jab ye pair tezi se upar ja raha tha, magar H4 period chart par ab yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke yahan downward correction shuru ho sakti hai.
Pehle, agar aap yahan pehle wave ke liye target Fibonacci grid lagayein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke target - level 161.8 aur level 200 - dono hi achieve ho chuke hain, aur doosra target bhi, jo last July ke maximum ko exceed karta hai, complete ho gaya hai. Agar aap pehle aur teesre waves ko measure karein (jo yellow mein mark hain), to dono ki size lagbhag barabar hai, aur teesra wave thoda bada hai. Yeh ek full cycle ka nishan hai, jiske baad aksar fourth wave ki correction ya complete reversal hota hai.
CCI indicator par yahan triple bearish divergence bhi dekhi ja rahi hai, jo ek sell signal hai. Yeh indicator older daily chart par bhi upper overheating zone se niche jana chahta hai. Growth ke dauran, price ne 1.3134 ke resistance level ko bhi reach kiya, jo ek weekly strong level hai aur last year ke July ka maximum hai.
Agar fourth wave ki correction ki zarurat hai, to price ko upar ki taraf drive kiya ja sakta hai, aur reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Abhi, support level 1.3078 ke raste mein hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh zyada der tak nahi tikega. Decline ke targets support level 1.3036 aur ascending line hain jo do wave bottoms par built hai. Level 1.3036 se upar ki taraf rebound ki ummeed hai, aur phir breakout hoga aur ascending line tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Yeh correction mere nazar mein minimal lagti hai, shayad price aur neeche jaaye, dekhna padega.



Aaj ke liye kuch news yeh hain:
GBPUSD ki girawat kaafi gehri thi kyun ke GBPUSD ne h1 support ko 1.2821 par penetrate kiya. Lekin yeh girawat zyada der tak nahi chali, kyunki 1.2807 area ko touch karne ke baad movement phir se upar hui. Upar diye gaye tasveer se lagta hai ke GBPUSD ab bhi upar ki taraf badega kyunki candle ab bhi MA 200 ke upar hai aur ab candle ne MA 24 line ko bhi penetrate kar liya hai. Aaj Friday ko mera prediction hai ke GBPUSD phir se upar ki taraf barhne ka chance hai kyunki 1.2807 ka RBS area niche penetrate nahi ho paya. Isliye, jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhein buy positions par focus karna chahiye. Take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.2937 par rakhein aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.2791 par rakhein.

GBP/USD Price Movement

Hamari guftagu mein, hum current GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pound-dollar currency pair apne upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, halankeh recently notable correction dekhi gayi hai. Pound ne shuru mein bullish peak 1.3259 ko reach kiya, phir lagbhag ek aur aadha figure se retreat hua aur ab 1.3101 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Overall, pound ki correction kafi kamzor hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair kabhi bhi apni upward movement resume kar sakta hai. Market iske liye anticipate kar rahi hai aur potential buy ke liye position kar rahi hai. Magar, aaj ke fundamental data ne reaction nahi diya, halankeh news ne business index ko negatively impact kiya, jo teen red bulls se indicate hota hai. Pound-dollar pair shayad purani highs 1.3259 ko revisit karne ki koshish karega. Ab, pair is range se break out ho chuka hai aur 1.30 level ko thoroughly test kar raha hai, sirf briefly touch nahi kar raha.

GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ko thoda decline dekha, lekin yeh drop formal consider kiya ja sakta hai. Ascending trend line breach ho chuki hai, lekin price abhi tak Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate nahi hui. Agar hum technical analysis se hatkar dekhen, to substantial rise ke baad agar aap ek new downward trend ki shuruat ki ummeed kar rahe hain, to kaisa downward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai? Shayad ek strong movement, jahan sellers daily pressure dalte hain aur macroeconomic data support provide karta hai. Abhi tak kuch aisa nazar nahi aa raha. Price barely downward movement de rahi hai aur kisi bhi moment par apni illogical rise resume kar sakti hai. Isliye, agar price Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to further decline ka likelihood barh jayega, lekin abhi tak sab kuch minor correction ke jaise lag raha hai, aur phir pound phir se rise shuru kar sakta hai. Pichle din ke macroeconomic events se kuch khas highlight karne layak nahi hai. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI August ke liye 47.2 points tha. Yeh value July se zyada hai, lekin important comparison forecast se hai jo 47.5 points tha. Isliye, ek baar phir se important indicator ki actual value forecast se neeche thi. Halankeh kal kuch trading signals bane, pair din ke zyada tar hisson mein erratically aur sideways move hota raha. 1.3119 level ko dono directions mein breach kiya gaya. Price finally iske neeche settle hui, lekin ab Senkou Span B line, jo 1.3100 level par hai, price ko neeche se support kar rahi hai. Abhi bhi solid downward movement par rely karna mushkil hai. Hourly time frame mein GBP/USD correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi moment khatam ho sakti hai. Decline medium term ke liye ek consistent aur logical scenario hai, considering all factors: technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic. Lekin, market pounds ko buy aur dollars ko sell kar rahi hai, chahe corrections ya specific days par news ki kami ho. Iske ilawa, overseas ke economic reports phir se mediocre hain, aur aise conditions mein dollar ko apni growth sustain karna mushkil hoga.