chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga. Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.
Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.
4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai
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Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.
4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai
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