جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Analysis: H1 Chart** GBP/USD pair ne trading ka aghaz 1.26350 level se kiya aur phir H1 support level C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karne ke baad, price M30 support level C: 1.26222 tak pohnchi, jahan se upar aayi aur daily pivot ki taraf barhne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh H1 resistance level: 1.2637 ko break kar leti hai, to daily pivot level FPV: 1.26387 tak pohnchne ke chances hain. Agar price is level ko push nahi karti aur upar ki taraf expand hoti hai, to next target H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ho sakta hai.
Agar price yahan se niche aati hai aur din ka low yLow: 1.26116 break karti hai, to agla support level S3: 1.25810 dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh level D1 support level: 1.26175 aur H4 support level: 1.26133 ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke niche koi significant support ya resistance levels nahi hain, S4: 1.25453 tak. Agar price support level ko break karti hai aur kal ke level ko nahi jeet paati, to volatility ke sath hum definitely 1.25453 tak ke drop ki ummeed rakh sakte hain, agar aur niche nahi chali jaye.

Agar price daily pivot level ko break karti hai aur H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ko bhi break karti hai, to major move north tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jahan High: 1.26693 tak target ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf target D1 resistance level: 1.26815 ya resistance level R3: 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai.

ZUP indicator bullish formation ke baad yeh values leta hai: 786 * AB = CD. Bullish method tab effective ho sakti hai jab price 1.26169 ke niche na jaye. Slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karti nazar aa rahi hai. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, jo sell zone ya higher move ka crossroads dikhati hain. Shayad price 61.8: 1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohnchti hai, jo H4 resistance level C: 1.2654 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad recovery aur further targets ki taraf girti rahegi.

Daily chart par price action consolidate ho raha hai aur aaj bhi trading ranging lag rahi hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators bearish signal de rahe hain, isliye bearish movement sabse zyada mumkin lagti hai. UK se positive news aur US se negative news aayi hai, aur agle important news releases bhi neutral forecast ke sath hain. Aaj ke liye pair ke ranging movement ki umeed hai, aur support level 1.2620 ke towards selling opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Resistance level 1.2650 ke towards buying opportunities bhi mil sakti hain. Yehi

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aayan walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega. Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziyata tar US ke aayan walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD

Technical setup ke lehaz se bulls ke liye ihtiyat zaroori hai aur mazeed gains ke liye position lene se pehle sochna chahiye. GBP/USD pair Thursday ke Asian session mein aik choti si range mein ghoom rahi hai aur July 2023 ke baad se apne sabse unche level ke qareeb hai, jo kal 1.3120 area mein touch hua tha. Filhal spot prices 1.3085 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hain, jo din ke lehaz se lagbhag unchanged hain, aur ab traders UK aur US se flash PMIs ka intezar kar rahe hain short-term opportunities ke liye. Is doran, US Treasury bond yields mein halki si izafa US Dollar (USD) ko Wednesday ko touch ki gayi YTD low se thoda recover karne mein madad de raha hai. Yeh wajah hai jo GBP/USD pair ke liye aik headwind ka kaam kar raha hai, halan ke Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein aur aik interest rate cut ke kam hotay huye chances kuch support de rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke zyada aggressive policy easing ke badhte hue chances USD ke gains ko limit karne mein madad dein ge aur currency pair ke losses ko control karne mein bhi madad dein ge.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, is hafte 1.3000 psychological mark ke upar sustained breakout aur uske baad pehle YTD peak ke qareeb, jo ke 1.3045 area tha, ke upar move ko bullish traders ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par dekha gaya hai. Magar daily chart pe oscillators ab overbought zone mein ghusne ke qareeb hain, jo ke near-term consolidation ya aik halki si pullback ke liye intezar karna zaroori banata hai, kisi bhi further appreciating move ke liye position lene se pehle. Phir bhi, bias mazid bulls ke haqq mein hi hai. Is liye, agar yeh pair 1.3050-1.3045 region ke qareeb halki si slide kare, to ise buying opportunity samjha ja sakta hai aur 1.3000 ke round figure ke qareeb cushioned reh sakta hai. Yeh level aik ahem pivotal point ke tor par kaam karega, jo agar decisively break ho jaye to kuch technical selling ko trigger kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko agle relevant support ke qareeb 1.2950 area tak le ja sakta hai jo ke 1.2900 mark ke raaste mein hoga. Agar yeh support levels defend karne mein nakam rahta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke spot prices near term mein top out ho chuki hain aur ek meaningful

GBP/USD trading instrument abhi ek upward trend mein hai. Yeh information Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical indicator se mil rahi hai, jo current bullish conditions ko base banata hai forex market mein. Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen ka intersection 1.31474 aur 1.31369 ke level par hua hai. Market ki quote 1.31458 hai, jo Senkou Span A (1.31110) aur Senkou Span B (1.31200) lines ki cloud ke upar hai, jo ke support ka kaam karte hain rollback ke dauran. Aise mein, purchases ko dhoondhna chahiye.

Yeh dono conditions mil ke strong buy signal deti hain, jo ke long-term growth ke liye zyada mazboot hoti hai. Is liye positions ko hold karna munasib hai jab tak reverse signal Ichimoku indicator se nahi milta. Reverse sell signal us waqt consider kiya jata hai jab Tenkan-sen conversion line, Kijun-sen base line se neeche aa jaye, ya phir market cloud ko break karke neeche consolidate kare, jo ke buyers ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.
US labor market job openings data par react karte hue, GBP/USD pair ne ek upward surge dikhai jo ke resistance level 1.3182 (Murray 8.8) ke qareeb aakar khatam hui. Bulls ne is barrier ko overcome karne ki himmat nahi ki, kyonki yeh H4 cloud ke upper border ke saath mil kar tha. Yeh move news ke madde nazar thoda bold hota jo ke baad mein release hone wali thi.
Ab pair Kijun line tak rollback kar chuka hai aur 1.3122 (Murray 7.8) level bhi bears ke liye saamne hai. Agar aaj ka data unki activity ko barhane ka sabab banta hai, toh sellers zyada successful attempt kar sakte hain 1.3062 (Murray 6.8) level tak pohanchne mein.

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ke analysis par hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, ek expanding formation expected thi, takreeban 101 points fifth wave ke neeche. Is ke natije mein, price ne formation se breakout karne ke baad 451 points move kiya, jo expected target se 400 points se zyada tha. Aksar main breakout ke baad fourth wave ke barabar movement expect karta hoon, fifth ke nahi. Lekin is martaba calculation fifth wave par hui thi, jo mere liye ek significant missed opportunity thi. Market price review mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. Is area ko monitor karna bohot zaruri hoga taake future movements ka pata chal sake, aur aane wale developments se best course of action ka bhi andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
Aaj ki conversation mein hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis ko explore karenge. Yeh baat zyada clear ho gayi hai ke pichlay saal se, us ke speeches aur journalists ke jawab dollar ki weakening mein consistent tor par contribute kar rahe hain. Yeh trend November pichlay saal se momentum gain kar raha hai aur lagbhag har speech se, jo us ne diye honge, chal raha hai. Mujhe har baar zyada assertive stance ki umeed rehti hai, lekin woh aam tor par measured message deta hai, jis se US dollar mein speculative movements hoti hain experts ki interpretations ke base par. Rate cut se inflation badh sakti hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe lagta hai ke yeh action elections ke baad hoga. Lekin agar rate cut September mein hoti hai, toh yeh GBP/USD ke gains ko lock karne ka point signal kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab pair 1.3206 par close hui hai, jo ke pichlay saal ke high 1.3131 se zyada hai.

Abhi selling level weekly pivot level ke neeche hai. Agar price weekly pivot level ko touch karke rebound karti hai, toh selling lower channel line tak ho sakti hai. Agar stability price channels ke bahar intezar kar rahi ho, toh price 1.3050 support level tak sell kar sakti hai jab price channels ko downward break karke trading hour ke liye break ho. Is hisaab se, hum kisi bhi trend ke confirm hone tak iss level par buying ya selling recommend nahi karte. Is liye price ko blue channel line se support mil raha hai, jo ke pichlay do hafton ke dauran price movement ko represent karta hai, toh iss hafte ke liye price direction ko clear karna zaruri hai. Red channel line aur weekly pivot level resistance mein izafa expected hai, saath hi weekly pivot level tak rise bhi. Iss hafte bearish trend hone ke chances zyada hain agar price wapas neeche aata hai aur 4-hour chart par price peak form hoti hai.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. GBP/USD pair ke liye, ek expanding formation ka imkaan tha, jo ke fifth wave se takreeban 101 points neeche tha. Iske natije mein, price ne formation se breakout ke baad 451 points move kiya, jo ke expected target se zyada 400 points se upar gaya. Aam tor par, main breakout ke baad fourth wave ke barabar movement ki ummed karta hoon, lekin is dafa yeh fifth wave ke base par calculate kiya gaya, jo mere liye ek bada missed opportunity thi. Market price review mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. Is area ko monitor karna future movements determine karne ke liye zaroori hoga, aur kisi bhi further developments se behtareen course of action ka pata chalega.

Hamari baat cheet aaj GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. Yeh zahir hota ja raha hai ke pichle saal se unki speeches aur journalists ke responses dollar ko kamzor karne mein madadgar rahi hain. Yeh trend November mein tez hua aur lagbhag har speech mein yeh continue hua hai. Main har dafa zyada assertive stance ki ummed karta hoon, lekin aksar wo ek measured message dete hain, jo US dollar mein speculative movements ko janam deta hai. Rate cut inflation ko barha sakta hai, lekin main ab bhi yeh manta hoon ke yeh action elections ke baad hone ke chances hain. Lekin agar rate September mein hota hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke liye ek signal ho sakta hai gains ko lock karne ka, khaaskar jab pair 1.3206 ke upar close hui, jo pichle saal ke high 1.3131 se upar thi. Filhal, selling level weekly pivot level ke neeche hai. Agar price weekly pivot level ko touch kare aur rebound kare, to lower channel line tak selling mumkin hai. Agar price channels ke bahar stability ke liye wait kare, to price 1.3050 support level tak sell ki ja sakti hai, jab yeh price channels ko downward break kare ek trading hour ke liye. Isliye, is level par buy ya sell karne ki recommendation nahi hai jab tak ek trend confirm na ho jaye. Is hisaab se, price blue channel line se support le rahi hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ke dauran price movement ko represent karti hai, isliye is hafte price direction ko clarify karna zaroori hai. Red channel line aur weekly pivot level resistance badh sakte hain, aur weekly pivot level tak uthane ki umeed hai. Agar price neeche aati hai aur 4-hour chart par ek price peak banati hai, to is hafte bearish trend ka imkaan hai.

GBP/USD D1 chart

Aaj, agar aap purane D1 period ko dekhen aur pehli wave par Fibonacci grid apply karein, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke 161.8 level puri tarah se work out ho gaya hai. Price ne last year 2023 ke maximum ko bhi paar kar diya hai, jo ek potential sales zone hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai, aur purane weekly chart par bhi yeh indicator upper zone se neeche ja raha hai. Iske ilawa, day before yesterday ka daily candle purane candle ko poori tarah se absorb kar gaya - ek bearish absorption ban gaya, jo sell signal hai. In factors ka combination ek imminent decline ko indicate karta hai aur iska target level 1.3007 hai. Itna powerful growth ke baad bina kisi rollback ke, wahan correction hona bilkul normal hai. Kal se decline shuru ho gaya tha, lekin itni zyada pressure nahi thi, euro dollar ne zyada effectively girawat dikhayi, aur yeh sab EURGBP cross rate ki wajah se hua hai, jo kuch din se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross ke sath is pair ko girne se rok raha hai aur euro dollar ko girane mein madad kar raha hai. Purchases ko bilkul consider nahi kiya jata jab tak specified area nahi pahunchti. H4 par, MACD par bearish divergence abhi tak puri tarah se work out nahi hui hai. Aaj pound ke bare mein kuch news hai, lekin wo sab low importance ki hain aur ignore kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh news zaroor dekhni chahiye: 12:00 Moscow time - Eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI). 15:30 - USA ka Core Price Index of Personal Consumption Expenditure annual aur monthly terms mein. USA mein Personal Spending. 17:00 - University of Michigan ka Consumer Sentiment Index, Consumer Expectations Index, aur 5 saal ke liye Consumer Inflation Expectations Index.

UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves ke recent vow ke baad persistent inflation pressures ke dar bade hain. Unhone public sector workers, doctors, aur teachers ke liye £9.4 billion ke upar-inflation pay raises ka wada kiya hai. Reeves ne previous government ki pay review recommendations ke liye lack of preparation ko criticize kiya aur apna pehla fiscal budget 30 October ko present karne ka announcement kiya. Yeh move UK’s economic outlook ko ek aur layer of uncertainty de raha hai. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh is Friday GBP/USD aur zyada decline kar sakta hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern form ho gaya hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karne se yeh pattern valid dikhta hai. Sabse important cheez yeh hai ke 1.3221 ka resistance penetrate na ho, warna yeh GBP/USD ko turant neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Iske ilawa, GBP/USD ke girne ka strong reason yeh hai ke yeh supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar paaya. Khush kismati se, jab yeh kal utha, GBP/USD apne closest resistance ko exceed nahi kar paaya. Ichimoku indicator ke madad se analyze karte hue, since GBP/USD movement gir gaya hai, candle position Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD ke girne ke chances abhi bhi bahut hain jab tak koi new intersection nahi hota. Meanwhile, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD already oversold hai. Yeh line ke level 20 ko touch karne se sabit hota hai. Position abhi bhi upwards facing hai, isliye careful rehna zaroori hai kyunki GBP/USD ki movement jo pehle gir rahi thi, wo rise ho sakti hai.

### GBP/USD Ka Haal

GBP/USD pair Asian session mein Thursday ko 1.3100 ke ird-gird bullish trade kar raha hai, halankeh strong follow-through buying ki kami hai aur pair previous din ke weekly high ke neeche hi hai. Sterling ko Bank of England (BoE) ke rate cut cycle ke dheere hone ki umeed se support mil raha hai, jo Eurozone ya US se zyada slow ho sakta hai. British Retail Consortium ka survey dikhata hai ke August mein spending 1.0% year-on-year barh gayi, jo March ke baad sabse bada increase hai, aur yeh bets ko boost kar raha hai. Yeh aur weaker US dollar GBP/USD pair ko drive karne mein key factor sabit ho raha hai.

### JOLTS Survey Aur Market Sentiment

Job Openings and Labour Turnover Survey (JOLTS) jo Wednesday ko release hui, dikhati hai ke job openings July mein gir kar 7.673 million ho gayi, jo January 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Isse deeper rate cuts ke bets barh gaye hain, jo USD bulls ko defensive position mein rakh raha hai aur GBP/USD pair ko kuch support de raha hai. Lekin cautious market sentiment safe-haven dollar ki downside ko limit kar raha hai. Traders bhi key US monthly employment data, jo Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report ke roop mein aayegi, ke intezar mein strong directional bets lene se katra rahe hain. Is wajah se GBP/USD ke upside ko bhi limit kiya gaya hai. Lekin fundamentals bulls ke favor mein hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke spot prices ka rasta upar ki taraf hai.

### Key Data Risks

Key data risks ke liye, investors ko Thursday ko US economic meeting se faida ho sakta hai, jo ADP private sector employment report, usual weekly jobless claims figures aur ISM services PMI ko shamil karega. Yeh US bond yields aur broader risk sentiment ke sath milkar, US dollar ki demand ko barhawa de sakta hai aur GBP/USD ke liye short-term trading opportunities create kar sakta hai, North American session ke dauran.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko early European trade mein negative momentum resume kiya aur 1.3265 ke two-and-a-half-year highs se pullback ke dauran sharp support trend line ke neeche break kiya. Agar 1.3100 ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh further selling ko trigger kar sakta hai 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke level 1.3040 aur 20-day SMA ke level 1.3000 tak. Agar downside continue hota hai, to bearish cycle 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 aur 50-day SMA tak extend ho sakta hai. Further declines se 2022 ke uptrend line ke continuation ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai, jo 50% Fibonacci level aur 1.2775 level ke ird-gird hai. RSI aur Stochastic ke lower hone aur MACD ke red signal line ke neeche cross karne se selling interest abhi ke liye unchanged reh sakta hai. Lekin moving averages ka upward slope yeh suggest karta hai ke ongoing bearish wave ek larger uptrend ka part ho sakti hai.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen joda musalsal teesre din niche ki taraf trade kar raha hai. Qimat pahle hi taqriban 400 pips gir chuki hai, jo kafi sangeen qadam hai. Aaj, jodi ne 143.68 ki support satah ko tod diya hai aur filhal is se niche fix hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yah kamyab ho jata hai to, bears qimat ko 141.92 ki agli support satah tak niche khinchna jari rakhenge. Agar qimat is satah se niche mustahkam rahne me nakam rahti hai to, 143.68 ki satah se ooper ek kharid signal paida hoga, jisme kharidar dollar/yen ki jodi ko 144.72 ki muzahmati satah tak le jayenge. Halankeh, abhi tak is tarah ke scenario ke liye koi ishara nahin hai. Is dauran, yaumiyah chart par ek choti bearish candlestick ban gayi hai, jise signal ke taur par bhi liya ja sakta hai.

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.
Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

Tajziya ko support dene ke liye, maine kuch support indicators ke signals dekhe. Relative Strength Index (14) jo pehle 50 ke aas-paas tha, ab upar ki taraf jana shuru ho gaya hai, jo ab bhi strong bullish trend ka indication hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) mein histogram bar zero level ke upar reh raha hai aur iska size ab bhi lamba hai, jabke yellow signal line bhi iske direction ko follow kar rahi hai. Simple Moving Average line bhi upar ki taraf jhuk rahi hai. In technical readings ke basis par, zyada tar indicators bullish trend ke signals de rahe hain. Daily aur H4 timeframes ke tajziya ke mutabiq, sab clues bullish market direction dikhate hain. Indicators ke mutabiq, market ka trend bullish hone ki umeed hai. Lekin, chuki aaj Monday hai aur market abhi itni busy nahi hai, main decide karta hoon ke thoda intezar karoon aur kal raat tak market ke developments ko observe karoon taake ek valid trading signal mil sake. Agar candlestick movement upar ki taraf aur aage barh kar 1.3230 ke level ko touch karti hai, toh yeh BUY trading transaction ka achha mauka lagta hai jiska bullish target 1.3280 ke level par estimated hai. Lekin agar candlestick neeche ki taraf correction karti hai, toh sabse achha mauka BUY trade karne ka hoga jab candlestick 1.3180 ke level ke aas-paas girti hai.Medium-term trading plan daily time frame analysis par mabni hai. BUY entry position tab lagani chahiye jab is hafte ke aghaz mein close prices EMA 50 ke upar hon. Confirmation ke liye yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke RSI indicator parameter (14) level 50 ke upar ho. Take profit ke liye najdeek high prices ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke 1.2739 ke aas paas hai aur stop loss ko low prices 1.2610 par lagaya ja sakta hai.

Is trading strategy ke zariye, aap market ke trend ke sath align ho kar trading kar sakte hain aur potential profits ko maximize kar sakte hain. Magar hamesha yaad rakhein ke risk management ka khayal rakhna bhi zaroori hai, taki aap apni investments ko unnecessary losses se bacha sakain.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai