جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Chaliye ab GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hain D1 period chart par naye haftay ke aghaz mein. Is senior period ka wave structure ab tak afzai silsile mein bana hua hai. Halaankeh MACD indicator ab bhi higher purchase zone mein hai, iska signal line ke neeche girna ek corrective phase ka ishara kar raha hai. Meri rai mein, price dheere dheere gir rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi downtrend mein hai.

Iske bar'aks, jo growth thi, woh kaafi asaan thi, jaise khameer, aur price barh gaya tha. Ab sabse qareebi aur ahem target candle closing prices par mabni horizontal support level 1.3008 hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke hum aakhir kaar is level tak pahuchein ge. Pichlay haftay ki girawat ke baad price thodi upar correct hui thi, aur mirror level ko touch kiya tha. Yeh level US news ke baad dramatic tareeqay se barh gaya tha, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, price wahan tik na saka, aur wahan se bohot tez girawat dekhne ko mili.

Growth ka had 1.3180 hai, jo ke ek bohot taqatwar sales zone hai. Natija yeh hai ke price is threshold ke neeche hi raha, aur sirf ek spike dekhne ko mili—basically, ek stop demolition tha—jo is threshold se upar gayi thi. Pichlay maheenay ki bohot zyada strong growth ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke ab ek downward correction model banay ga, jisme kam az kam teen waves honge. Pehli lehr par, ek target Fibonacci grid lagayi ja sakti hai. Magar kyun ke goal ab tak 1.3008 level ko haasil karna hai, is wajah se yeh grid lagana ab zaroori nahi lagta.

Doosri taraf, bade currency pairs ka maqsad yeh hai ke anqareeb US dollar ko mazid taqat mile. Yeh baat samajh mein aati hai ke, kam az kam jab tak designated target level haasil na ho jaye, ab kaam ka agle din ka priority downtrend hi rahega. Rollbacks ke dauran aur sales ke mutabiq formations ke development ke doran kaam karna faidamand ho sakta hai. Chhote milestones ke liye intraday kaam karke aap corrective growth wave ka hissa ban sakte hain.
ishara kar raha hai. Meri rai mein, price dheere dheere gir rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi

downtrend mein hai.
Iske bar'aks, jo growth thi, woh kaafi asaan thi, jaise khameer, aur price barh gaya tha. Ab sabse qareebi aur ahem target candle closing prices par mabni horizontal support level 1.3008 hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke hum aakhir kaar is level tak pahuchein ge. Pichlay haftay ki girawat ke baad price thodi upar correct hui thi, aur mirror level ko touch kiya tha. Yeh level US news ke baad dramatic tareeqay se barh gaya tha, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, price wahan tik na saka, aur wahan se bohot tez girawat dekhne ko mili.

[QUOTE=Ayesha137;n13122376]
Chaliye ab GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hain D1 period chart par naye haftay ke aghaz mein. Is senior period ka wave structure ab tak afzai silsile mein bana hua hai. Halaankeh MACD indicator ab bhi higher purchase zone mein hai, iska signal line ke neeche girna ek corrective phase ka ishara kar raha hai. Meri rai mein, price dheere dheere gir rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi downtrend mein hai.

Iske bar'aks, jo growth thi, woh kaafi asaan thi, jaise khameer, aur price barh gaya tha. Ab sabse qareebi aur ahem target candle closing prices par mabni horizontal support level 1.3008 hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke hum aakhir kaar is level tak pahuchein ge. Pichlay haftay ki girawat ke baad price thodi upar correct hui thi, aur mirror level ko touch kiya tha. Yeh level US news ke baad dramatic tareeqay se barh gaya tha, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, price wahan tik na saka, aur wahan se bohot tez girawat dekhne ko mili.
Chaliye ab GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hain D1 period chart par naye haftay ke aghaz mein. Is senior period ka wave structure ab tak afzai silsile mein bana hua hai. Halaankeh MACD indicator ab bhi higher purchase zone mein hai, iska signal line ke neeche girna ek corrective phase ka ishara kar raha hai. Meri rai mein, price dheere dheere gir rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi downtrend mein hai.
Iske bar'aks, jo growth thi, woh kaafi asaan thi, jaise khameer, aur price barh gaya tha. Ab sabse qareebi aur ahem target candle closing prices par mabni horizontal support level 1.3008 hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke hum aakhir kaar is level tak pahuchein ge. Pichlay haftay ki girawat ke baad price thodi upar correct hui thi, aur mirror level ko touch kiya tha. Yeh level US news ke baad dramatic tareeqay se barh gaya tha, lekin jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, price wahan tik na saka, aur wahan se bohot tez girawat dekhne ko mili.



Growth ka had 1.3180 hai, jo ke ek bohot taqatwar sales zone hai. Natija yeh hai ke price is threshold ke neeche hi raha, aur sirf ek spike dekhne ko mili—basically, ek stop demolition tha—jo is threshold se upar gayi thi. Pichlay maheenay ki bohot zyada strong growth ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke ab ek downward correction model banay ga, jisme kam az kam teen waves honge. Pehli lehr par, ek target Fibonacci grid lagayi ja sakti hai. Magar kyun ke goal ab tak 1.3008 level ko haasil karna hai, is wajah se yeh grid lagana ab zaroori nahi lagta.

Doosri taraf, bade currency pairs ka maqsad yeh hai ke anqareeb US dollar ko mazid taqat mile. Yeh baat samajh mein aati hai ke, kam az kam jab tak designated target level haasil na ho jaye, ab kaam ka agle din ka priority downtrend hi rahega. Rollbacks ke dauran aur sales ke mutabiq formations ke development ke doran kaam karna faidamand ho sakta hai. Chhote milestones ke liye intraday kaam karke aap corrective growth wave ka hissa ban sakte hain.
Growth ka had 1.3180 hai, jo ke ek bohot taqatwar sales zone hai. Natija yeh hai ke price is threshold ke neeche hi raha, aur sirf ek spike dekhne ko mili—basically, ek stop demolition tha—jo is threshold se upar gayi thi. Pichlay maheenay ki bohot zyada strong growth ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke ab ek downward correction model banay ga, jisme kam az kam teen waves honge. Pehli lehr par, ek target Fibonacci grid lagayi ja sakti hai. Magar kyun ke goal ab tak 1.3008 level ko haasil karna hai, is wajah se yeh grid lagana ab zaroori nahi lagta.

Doosri taraf, bade currency pairs ka maqsad yeh hai ke anqareeb US dollar ko mazid tik na saka,

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein 1.3231 ka salana bulandiyan chua, jo ke pair ke liye ek ahem high tha. Is peak ke baad ek tezi se bearish movement dekhne ko mili, jisme pair 1.3300s se gir kar taqreeban 1.3240 tak aaya, aur aakhir mein 1.3250 ke qareeb stabilize hua. Is sharp decline ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli dekhne ko mili, jahan selling pressure ne pehle ke bullish momentum ko maat di. Peak par GBP/USD pair mazeed gains ke liye tayar nazar aa raha tha, jo positive momentum aur strong bullish outlook se driven tha. Magar baad mein aayi sharp bearish candle ne yeh bataya ke is upward momentum ko kaafi resistance ka samna karna para hai.
Yeh price movement market correction ya reversal ki taraf ishara karti hai, jahan sellers ne pair ke trajectory par zyada asar daalna shuru kiya hai. Is scenario mein ek ahem indicator Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. RSI ek momentum oscillator hota hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko map karta hai. Jab RSI ka reading 70 se upar hota hai to yeh ishaara hota hai ke currency pair overbought hai, aur jab 30 se neeche hota hai to iska matlab hota hai ke pair oversold hai. Haal hi ke peak par, RSI overbought levels ke qareeb aaya hoga, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish trend apni raftaar kho raha tha.

Maujooda RSI readings, jo ab neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, yeh batati hain ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bearish forces ka asar barh raha hai. Halaankeh RSI ka indication abhi bhi ek potential bullish outlook ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin recent downtrend GBP/USD mein yeh dikhata hai ke selling pressure zyada hai. RSI ka downward slope is view ko support karta hai, jo ke buying interest mein kami aur selling activity mein izafa dikhata hai. Yeh market dynamics mein tabdeeli short-term mein bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakti hai.

Upward correction aur level analysis behtareen tareeqay se follow hua. Plan ke mutabiq, ek pullback green level 1.3244 se aagay nahi barh saka. Price ne is rasta perfect tareeqay se follow kiya: pullback, level ko cross na karna, aur jaldi neeche ki taraf move karna. Yeh selling ke liye ek ideal condition thi, khaaskar jab stop loss sirf 34 points ka tha—yeh kaafi achi opportunity thi. Din ka nateeja kaafi successful raha. Kal ke liye, ek anticipated upward correction ke baad ek aur downward push ko dekhna chahiye, ideally 1.3149 tak. Magar euro ke bar'aks, pound ne kal naye highs ko touch kiya, jo ke ek naya reference point banata hai, halaankeh aaj ki price action ne GBP/USD ko Friday ki growth ka pura faida uthane se roka. Mujhe lagta hai ke thoda sa upward bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai, shayad kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein, jo ke phir ek mazid decline ke liye stage set karega 1.3149 level ki taraf.



Kal ki news, khaaskar U.S. GDP data, significant movement ko fuel kar sakti hai.

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

British pound ne guzishta haftay k douran apna growth ka silsila jari rakhne ki koshish ki, magar local highs par pohanch kar phir se girna shuru ho gaya. Price ko 1.3292 ke level par aik wazeh rukawat ka samna tha, jis ne usay apni pehli position kho dene par majboor kiya aur week ke opening price se neeche gir gaya. Is ka nateeja yeh nikla ke expected growth hasil nahi ho saki, magar target area ab bhi active hai. Is dauran, price chart supertrend red zone mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo ke sellers ki taraf se pressure ko zahir karta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, 4-hour chart par simple moving average jo ke daily downward price curve ko support karta hai, negative pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke bearish technical structure ko zahir karta hai. Is liye agar 1.3120 ke support level ka clear aur strong break hota hai, to downtrend ka silsila dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo 1.3080 aur 1.3050 tak le ja sakta hai. Aam tor par, jab tak trade 1.3170 ke neeche stable rahta hai, bearish trend ke bare mein hamari rai barqarar rahegi. Agar is level se upar break hota hai, to bearish scenario khatam ho jaye ga aur pair ka retest 1.3205 par hoga, aur rally ka silsila 1.3240 tak barh sakta hai.


Iss waqt pair weekly low ke zara neeche trade kar raha hai. Main support areas ab tak test nahi hue hain aur apni integrity barqarar rakhe hue hain, jo ke upward vector ko relevant rakhta hai. Price ko movement jari rakhne ke liye 1.3082 ke level se upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ke main support area ka border hai. Agar retest ke baad rebound hota hai, to sustainable move ka chance target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Agar support break ho jata hai aur price 1.2994 ke reversal level ko tod deti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

GBP/USD currency pair abhi ke dauran early European trade mein 1.3110 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur Wednesday ko bade US economic events ke aagay risk aversion US dollar ko support de sakti hai, jo ke major currency pairs ko neeche la sakti hai. Aaj ke din US JOLTS jobs report aur Fed ka Beige Book release hone wale hain. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ne apne manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) mein August mein thora izafa report kiya, jo 46.8 se barh kar 47.2 par aaya, lekin market ki umeedon se kam raha. CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai ke September meeting mein Fed ke interest rates ko 25 ya 50 basis points tak cut karne ke chances barh rahe hain. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne monetary policy ko ease karne ki hint di hai.
Fed rate cut ke expectations se short term mein US dollar par pressure aa sakta hai. US employment data August ke liye qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai, aur Deutsche Bank ke economists ka kehna hai ke agar unemployment mein izafa hota hai to yeh market expectations ko 50 basis points rate cut ke liye mazid barha sakta hai. Jab tak caution US dollar ko support deta rahega, Bank of England apne central bank peers ke muqablay mein zyadah moderate rate-cutting cycle ko follow karne ki umeed hai. Jab tak UK se koi bara economic data nahi aata, GBP/USD pair US dollar ke price dynamics se mutasir ho sakta hai.


GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ke early European trading mein apni negative momentum ko dobara shuru kiya aur ek key support trend line ke neeche break kiya. Agar price 1.3100 se neeche break karta hai, to mazeed selling ka chance barh sakta hai, jo ke April-July uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level par 1.3040 tak aur 20-day SMA par 1.3000 tak ja sakta hai. Agar downside hold kar jati hai, to bearish cycle 38.2% Fibonacci level par 1.2900 tak aur 50-day SMA tak barh sakti hai. Mazeed declines 2022 ke uptrend line ko 50% Fibonacci level par aur 1.2775 tak confirm kar sakte hain. Technical indicators, jaise ke RSI, Stochastic, aur MACD, yeh dikhate hain ke selling interest abhi ke liye unchanged reh sakta hai. Magar moving averages ka upward slope yeh ishara karta hai ke ongoing bearish wave ek bade uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai.

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, khaaskar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

GBP/USD pair March 2022 se apne highest level par pohcha, jo ke 1.3200 se upar tha.
Pound Sterling stands tall jabke US Dollar weak ho gaya hai. GBP/USD ne aik aur zabardast hafta dekha, jab ke UK se koi high-impact economic events nahi aaye. Major ke ird gird positive tone ka sab se bada sabab US Dollar ki apne major rivals ke against lagatar kamzori thi.
Traders ne apni bearish outlooks on the Greenback ko qaim rakha, jab dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations Jackson Hole Symposium week mein barh gayi. USD buyers ko Fed ke July meeting ke Minutes aur Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ke intezar mein back foot par rehna pada.
Risk-averse market environment ke bawajood, US Dollar ko Powell ke appearance se pehle nervousness ke doran safe-haven demand nahi mil saka. Greenback ko aik naya jhatka Wednesday ke din outright dovish Fed Minutes ke release hone ke baad laga.
Zyada tar policymakers ka khayal tha ke "agar data expected line mein aata raha, to agle meeting mein policy ko ease karna theek hoga," Minutes ne kaha. Aagay, Minutes ne kaha ke doosray policymakers ne July meeting mein hi borrowing costs ko kam karne ka irada rakha tha.
Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision ne September ke liye Fed rate cut ko mazid strengthen kiya. US Labor Department ne kaha ke NFP ke period from April 2023 to March 2024 tak ko 818,000 se kam kar diya gaya. Yeh revision takreeban 0.5% ka total downward change represent karta hai.
Week US S&P Global preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) aur Jobless Claims data ne Thursday ke din dovish policy pivot ke liye bets ko mazid barhaya, jese ke September ke start par policy pivot ki umeed barh gayi thi.
Markets ne 27% probability ko price in kiya ke Fed ke September 17-18 meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) cut ho sakta hai aur 73% chance ke 25 bps reduction hoga, CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.
Jab traders apne US Dollar longs ko wapas lene lage, GBP/USD ne aik naya 13-mahina high of 1.3130 hit kiya, jo ke strong UK S&P Global preliminary business PMIs ke wajah se bhi tha. UK Manufacturing PMI ne July mein 52.1 se barh kar August mein 52.5 tak improvement dikhayi. Markets ne 52.1 print expect kiya tha. Isi dauran, preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index August mein 53.3 par pohcha, jo ke July ka 52.5 aur expected figure 52.8 tha.
Fed-BoE monetary policy divergence abhi bhi kaam mein tha aur Pound Sterling ke liye tailwind ke tor par kaam kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar thin ice par tha, Powell ke alfaz ke intezar mein.
Powell ne kaha ke waqt aagaya hai ke monetary policy ko adjust kiya jaye aur kaha ke wo labor market conditions mein mazid cooling ko welcome nahi karte. "Hum jo kuch kar sakte hain wo karenge taake ek mazboot labor market ka support ho jese ke hum price stability ke towards progress karte hain," unhon ne mazid kaha. USD ne immediate reaction mein renewed selling pressure ko face kiya, jo GBP/USD ko March 2022 se pehli dafa 1.3200 ke upar chadne

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector

Aaj Mujhe bhi lag raha tha ke hum 1.32647 ke current maximum ko update karne jaenge, aur Friday ko news aane ke baad market ne isi direction mein actively move kiya. Lekin phir sellers ne trading ka rukh badal diya aur din apne haq mein kar liya. Aaj market khulne par woh is girawat ko continue nahi kar sake. Agar unhain price ko neeche le jaana hai, toh unhain 1.31091 level ko tod kar aur uske peeche consolidate karna hoga, pehla target 1.30869 hoga. Yeh bhi yaad rahe ke maximum update karne ka option abhi cancel nahi hua; buyers ko 1.31508 level tod kar wahan par sustain karna hoga.

GBP/USD H4: 1-pound pair 4-hour chart par abhi bands ke beech ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud andar ki taraf mudne lage hain. Yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein jaari reh sakti hai. Price ke rise ya fall ka high-quality signal lene ke liye, upper band se ek naya active exit hone ka wait karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands bahar ki taraf open hotay hain ya nahi. Agar current situation fractals ke hisaab se dekhi jaye, toh price ke fall ka target nearest fractal down hai; is fractal ke breakout aur consolidation se price ko 3 September ke fractal ki taraf 1.30869 level par le jaana mumkin hoga.

Nearest fractal up kafi door hai, aur price growth ki taraf jaldi se rely karne ke liye ek naye, zyada qareeb fractal ka wait karna zaroori hoga. AO indicator zero mark ke kareeb aa gaya hai; agar aane walay trading dinon mein hum zero ke par transition aur negative zone mein active increase dekhte hain, toh yeh price ke fall ke liye ek strong signal hoga. Positive area mein naya increase quotes ke growth ka signal dega.

Mere trading journal mein aapka khush aamdeed hai, dosto! Kai saalon se, mein is journal ko apni trading activities ka record rakhne ke liye use kar raha hoon. Aik trader ke taur par, aap apne jeet aur haar ka record journal mein rakhte hain, jo ke seekhne aur apne aap ki evaluation ke liye bohat zaruri hai. Aaj subha ki routine ke taur par, mein kal ki transactions ka review karunga aur aaj ke market analysis ke saath aage barhoonga. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh journal sirf mujhe hi nahi, balke is forum ke tamam readers ke liye bhi faidemand hoga.
Guzishta jumeraat ke trading session ke dauran, meri GBP/USD ki long position ne 1.2650 par loss cut kiya. Yeh is liye hua kyun ke price 1.2678 ki support level se neeche gir gayi thi, jo ke hourly timeframe mein 100 MA par hai. Price ne 1.2505 tak lose karne ke baad wapas upar ka rukh kiya. Yeh thora disappointing tha kyun ke agar hold kiya hota toh shayad loss se bach jaate ya profit mein bhi aa sakte thay. Lekin kaun sure ho sakta hai ke price zaroor upar hi jaayegi? Kisi aur mauqe par, loss cut ya stop loss trading account ko bachane mein madadgaar sabit hota hai agar hum analysis par bharosa karein.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne ishara diya hai ke agar inflation expectations ke mutabiq rahe, economic growth mazboot rahe aur labor market apni current trend par qaim rahe, toh rate cut ki soorat nazar aa sakti hai. Reuters ke mutabiq, Powell ke remarks yeh suggest karte hain ke aisi move Fed ke September meeting mein sochi ja sakti hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kar gaya lekin July ke weak ISM Manufacturing PMI report ki wajah se apni gains ko maintain nahi kar paaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, kareeban 101.89 tak barh gaya hai ek intraday low 100.48 se.

Isi dauraan, BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Bank ke policy rate ko 5% tak kam karne ke faisle ka bhi difa kiya hai, aur media ke sawaalat ka jawab diya hai iske asraat ke hawale se. Bailey ne kaha ke unki nazar mein minimum wage mein izafa nuqsaan deh nahi raha. Unhone ye bhi point out kiya ke jabke aksar companies argue karti hain ke minimum wages mein izafa pay scales ko compress karta hai, magar overall inflation trajectory, jisme potential risks bhi shamil hain, pehle ke muqablay mein 2% target ke kareeb hai.

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

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Jumeraat ko currency pair mein kaafi ziada utar chadhav dekhne ko mila, jisme yeh 1.3180 mark tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat US mein nayi mandi ke khadshon ke sabab se hui, jo disappointing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers ki wajah se barh gayi. Sath hi, Pound Sterling ka flow bhi kam ho gaya jab Bank of England (BoE) ne ek intehai umeed ki jaane wali quarter-point rate cut ka elaan kiya. Aakhri updates ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3181 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai.
GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke US economic data ne mandi ke khadshon ko barha diya hai. Berozgari ki shara 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo November 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai, aur labor demand bhi kam ho gayi hai. Saath hi, Manufacturing PMI mein July ke mahine mein sakht girawat dekhi gayi. Lekin, technical tor par jab do musalsal quarters mein GDP growth negative ho, tabhi recession hota hai, aur filhal US ki economy ne second quarter mein 2.8% ki growth dikhayi hai, jo pehle quarter ki growth se dugni hai.

US Services PMI, jo ke economy ka do tihayi hissa hai, ne June mein contraction ke baad July mein behtri dikhayi. PMI report ne 51.4 ka unexpected expansion dikhaya, jo pehle ke 48.8 se barh kar 51.0 tak anay ka andaza tha. Magar, bawajood is ke, US Dollar ka mustaqbil ab bhi qeyal hai mandi ke khadshon aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke emergency rate cuts ke imkaanaat ki wajah se.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ab 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo ke 1.3165 par hai. Yeh pehli dafa hai ke yeh long-term moving average ko May ke baad se test kar raha hai. Iss pair ne August ki peak 1.3264 se lagbhag 3% ki girawat dekhayi hai, jo ek aham downtrend ko zahir karta hai.

Iss waqt, pair ek ahem mor par hai, jo Rising Channel chart pattern ki lower boundary ke qareeb hai hourly timeframe mein. Tareekhi taur par, aise pullbacks ko traders khareedne ka mauqa samajhte hain, jo ek rebound ka imkaan zahir karta hai

GBPUSD Ke 5-Minute Chart Ki Analysis

**1. Price Movement Aur Band Analysis**

5-minute chart par GBPUSD ka Pound abhi lower band ke saath movement banaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ki nishani hai. Acha signal pane ke liye, price drop ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke lower band ko actively break kiya jaye. Breakout tab hota hai jab price decisive tareeke se band ke bahar chali jati hai, jo current trend ke continue hone ka indication hota hai. Breakout ke baad, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke bands expand ho rahi hain ya nahi. Agar bands outward expand hoti hain, to yeh volatility aur bearish move ke strength ko indicate karta hai, jabke agar expansion nahi hota, to yeh suggest karta hai ke breakout itna strong nahi hai ke downward trend ko sustain kar sake.

**2. Awesome Oscillator Indicator**

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator filhal zero level ke around hover kar raha hai, jo koi clear signals nahi de raha. AO ek momentum indicator hai jo 34-period aur 8-period simple moving average ke darmiyan difference measure karta hai. Jab AO zero ke qareeb hota hai, to yeh consolidation ya market mein indecision ki period ko indicate karta hai. Clear signal pane ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke positive ya negative area mein significant increase ka intezaar kiya jaye. Agar AO positive area mein utha, to bullish momentum badhne ka indication milta hai, jabke negative area mein girna bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo price movement ko increase ya decrease ke direction mein indicate kar sakta hai.

**3. Selling Opportunities**

Agar aap sell position enter karna chahte hain, to 1.31213 ka level entry point ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is level se price ka girna, active breakthrough aur is point ke neeche consolidation bearish trend ke continuation ko signal de sakti hai. Aise mein, price ka 1.31088 tak girna expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh target assume karta hai ke bearish momentum barqarar rahega aur lower band breakout additional downward movement ko lead karega.

**4. Buying Opportunities**

Dusri taraf, agar aap buy positions consider kar rahe hain, to 1.31388 level potential entry point ban sakta hai. Is level se price ka barhna ek reversal ya market sentiment shift ka indication de sakta hai. Agar price is point se upar chale, to 1.31538 tak rise expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh upward target short-term bullish trend ko reflect karta hai, jo entry level ke upar sustained move aur positive market sentiment par depend karta hai.

**Conclusion**

In summary, GBPUSD pair ke 5-minute chart par bearish aur bullish dono scenarios ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Bearish outlook ke liye, lower band ke breakout aur subsequent band expansion ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Bullish outlook ke liye, 1.31388 ke upar price rise aur other indicators ke through confirmation buy opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Dono cases mein, Awesome Oscillator aur key levels ke saath price action par nazar rakhna informed trading decisions ke

GBPUSD Ke 5-Minute Chart Ki Analysis

**1. Price Movement Aur Band Analysis**

5-minute chart par GBPUSD ka Pound abhi lower band ke saath movement banaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ki nishani hai. Acha signal pane ke liye, price drop ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke lower band ko actively break kiya jaye. Breakout tab hota hai jab price decisive tareeke se band ke bahar chali jati hai, jo current trend ke continue hone ka indication hota hai. Breakout ke baad, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke bands expand ho rahi hain ya nahi. Agar bands outward expand hoti hain, to yeh volatility aur bearish move ke strength ko indicate karta hai, jabke agar expansion nahi hota, to yeh suggest karta hai ke breakout itna strong nahi hai ke downward trend ko sustain kar sake.

**2. Awesome Oscillator Indicator**

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator filhal zero level ke around hover kar raha hai, jo koi clear signals nahi de raha. AO ek momentum indicator hai jo 34-period aur 8-period simple moving average ke darmiyan difference measure karta hai. Jab AO zero ke qareeb hota hai, to yeh consolidation ya market mein indecision ki period ko indicate karta hai. Clear signal pane ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke positive ya negative area mein significant increase ka intezaar kiya jaye. Agar AO positive area mein utha, to bullish momentum badhne ka indication milta hai, jabke negative area mein girna bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo price movement ko increase ya decrease ke direction mein indicate kar sakta hai.

**3. Selling Opportunities**

Agar aap sell position enter karna chahte hain, to 1.31213 ka level entry point ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is level se price ka girna, active breakthrough aur is point ke neeche consolidation bearish trend ke continuation ko signal de sakti hai. Aise mein, price ka 1.31088 tak girna expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh target assume karta hai ke bearish momentum barqarar rahega aur lower band breakout additional downward movement ko lead karega.

**4. Buying Opportunities**

Dusri taraf, agar aap buy positions consider kar rahe hain, to 1.31388 level potential entry point ban sakta hai. Is level se price ka barhna ek reversal ya market sentiment shift ka indication de sakta hai. Agar price is point se upar chale, to 1.31538 tak rise expect kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh upward target short-term bullish trend ko reflect karta hai, jo entry level ke upar sustained move aur positive market sentiment par depend karta hai.

**Conclusion**

In summary, GBPUSD pair ke 5-minute chart par bearish aur bullish dono scenarios ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Bearish outlook ke liye, lower band ke breakout aur subsequent band expansion ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Bullish outlook ke liye, 1.31388 ke upar price rise aur other indicators ke through confirmation buy opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Dono cases mein, Awesome Oscillator aur key levels ke saath price action par nazar rakhna informed trading decisions ke

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha. Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain