جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein 1.3231 ka salana bulandiyan chua, jo ke pair ke liye ek ahem high tha. Is peak ke baad ek tezi se bearish movement dekhne ko mili, jisme pair 1.3300s se gir kar taqreeban 1.3240 tak aaya, aur aakhir mein 1.3250 ke qareeb stabilize hua. Is sharp decline ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli dekhne ko mili, jahan selling pressure ne pehle ke bullish momentum ko maat di. Peak par GBP/USD pair mazeed gains ke liye tayar nazar aa raha tha, jo positive momentum aur strong bullish outlook se driven tha. Magar baad mein aayi sharp bearish candle ne yeh bataya ke is upward momentum ko kaafi resistance ka samna karna para hai. Yeh price movement market correction ya reversal ki taraf ishara karti hai, jahan sellers ne pair ke trajectory par zyada asar daalna shuru kiya hai. Is scenario mein ek ahem indicator Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. RSI ek momentum oscillator hota hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko map karta hai. Jab RSI ka reading 70 se upar hota hai to yeh ishaara hota hai ke currency pair overbought hai, aur jab 30 se neeche hota hai to iska matlab hota hai ke pair oversold hai. Haal hi ke peak par, RSI overbought levels ke qareeb aaya hoga, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish trend apni raftaar kho raha tha.

Maujooda RSI readings, jo ab neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, yeh batati hain ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bearish forces ka asar barh raha hai. Halaankeh RSI ka indication abhi bhi ek potential bullish outlook ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin recent downtrend GBP/USD mein yeh dikhata hai ke selling pressure zyada hai. RSI ka downward slope is view ko support karta hai, jo ke buying interest mein kami aur selling activity mein izafa dikhata hai. Yeh market dynamics mein tabdeeli short-term mein bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakti hai.

Upward correction aur level analysis behtareen tareeqay se follow hua. Plan ke mutabiq, ek pullback green level 1.3244 se aagay nahi barh saka. Price ne is rasta perfect tareeqay se follow kiya: pullback, level ko cross na karna, aur jaldi neeche ki taraf move karna. Yeh selling ke liye ek ideal condition thi, khaaskar jab stop loss sirf 34 points ka tha—yeh kaafi achi opportunity thi. Din ka nateeja kaafi successful raha. Kal ke liye, ek anticipated upward correction ke baad ek aur downward push ko dekhna chahiye, ideally 1.3149 tak. Magar euro ke bar'aks, pound ne kal naye highs ko touch kiya, jo ke ek naya reference point banata hai, halaankeh aaj ki price action ne GBP/USD ko Friday ki growth ka pura faida uthane se roka. Mujhe lagta hai ke thoda sa upward bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai, shayad kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein, jo ke phir ek mazid decline ke liye stage set karega 1.3149 level ki taraf.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; Technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; Agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.
Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko

**GBP/USD Weekend Technical Analysis**

**Overview:**
Good Morning! Agar hum Bollinger Bands ka close examination karein, toh Friday ko ek significant signal samne aaya hai, jab dono bands outward expand hue aur price upper band ke saath track kar rahi thi. Yeh expansion upward movement ke liye increased potential ka indication deti hai, kyun ke dono bands ab tak outward open hain aur lower band mein ab tak koi inward turn ke signs nahi hain. Yeh configuration suggest karti hai ke bullish momentum continue ho sakta hai, lekin market ka response aane wale dinon mein is signal ki effectiveness ko determine karega.

**Fractal Levels aur Market Direction:**
Hum August 15 se shuru hone wale fractal levels par particularly focused hain. Ab tak koi downward fractal form nahi hui, isliye selling positions consider karne se pehle iska appearance ka wait karna advisable hai. GBP/USD pair mein directional movement ki uncertainty evident hai, jo ab tak ek clear price direction establish nahi kar payi hai. Pichle hafte ke bullish trend ke bawajood, GBP/USD ab consolidate karti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur 1.2690 ke resistance level ko surpass karne ke baad apne bullish trend ko extend karne ki potential rakhti hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Liquidity:**
Decisive movement ka na hona market mein kuch uncertainty ka reflection hai, jo shayad low liquidity ki wajah se hai, jis ne unclear price trends ko janam diya hai. Pichle hafte, humne GBP/USD mein ek sharp drop dekha, jo unexpected tha, jahan pair 1.2845 level se 1.2650 tak gir gayi, ek din mein 50 pips ka decline represent karti hui. Yeh sudden drop market sentiment ko hilane wala tha, jo shayad fundamental data, news events, ya major market players ke actions ki wajah se tha, jaise ke M30 chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh situation historical events se milti julti hai, jaise George Soros ke trade unwind aur subsequent pound collapse.

**Conclusion aur Recommendations:**
In tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko ehtiyat ke saath aage barhna chahiye aur GBP/USD ke is critical juncture par further developments ka wait karna chahiye. Current market conditions mein opportunities zaroor hain, lekin inherent risks bhi hain. Isliye, key levels aur market signals ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai trading decisions lene se pehle.

1-ghante ke chart par, aaj qeemat buy zone mein trading shuru hui, kyunke qeemat uchaai ki price channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai jo pichle do dino ke dauran price movement ka direction dikhati hain. Qeemat weekly pivot level aur lower channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab qeemat channels ke middle line tak pohnchi to phir neeche wapas aayi.

Ab qeemat phir se weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, jo is level ko break karne ki koshish hai. Agar yeh successful hota hai, to qeemat niche girti rahegi.

Trading advice yeh hai ke jab qeemat weekly pivot level ke niche ek ghante ke liye stabilize ho jaye, to sell karna chahiye. Aur jab qeemat current candle ke highest price ke upar trade kar rahi ho, to buy karna chahiye.

Economic side se, British data ab bhi kaafi favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsan pohcha sakti hain, khaaskar jab long sterling positions barh rahi hain. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq… August ke liye Britain ke services sector ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 revise kiya gaya hai, jo ke pehle ke 53.3 se zyada hai aur July ke 52.5 se bhi behtar hai, aur ye expansion zone mein dusra consecutive reading hai. Is par aur pound ke reaction par, Alex Gykov, BNP Paribas ke forex market analyst, kehte hain; “Hum maante hain ke pound upar ja sakta hai lekin zyada downside risk ke sath, jo positions ke extension ke extent ki wajah se hai.” Saath hi, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies ke forex analyst, ummed karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements dekhne ko milenge. Unhone add kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, hum dollar index mein ya to 100 ya usse kam ya 104 ya usse zyada honge, mere hisaab se.” Latest US JOLTS data ne July mein job openings ko 7.67 million record kiya, jo ke June ke downwardly revised 7.91 million se kam hai, jo pehle 8.18 million report kiya gaya tha. Yeh consensus forecast ke 8.09 million se bhi neeche hai aur April 2021 ke baad ka lowest reading

subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar
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ستمبر 9 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پاؤنڈ نے جمعہ کو 125 پِپ کی حد کے اندر تجارت کی، جس نے دن کو 50 پِپس کی کمی سے بند کیا۔ قیمت 1.3090-1.3120 کی سپورٹ رینج میں نہیں رکی، جس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ اس حد سے نیچے گرنے کی جلدی نہیں ہے، چاہے 1.2994 کی طرف جانے کا منصوبہ باقی رہے۔



کوئی جلدی نہیں ہے، کیونکہ پاؤنڈ کو اب بھی یورپی سینٹرل بینک اور فیڈرل ریزرو کی جانب سے بینک آف انگلینڈ کے ریٹ کے فیصلے سے پہلے شرح میں کمی کو برداشت کرنا ہوگا۔ تاہم، 1.3090 سے نیچے قیمت کو مستحکم کرنے سے 1.2994 کا راستہ کھل جاتا ہے، اور 1.2994 سے نیچے کا استحکام 1.2859 (12 جون کی اونچائی) تک پہنچنے کی اجازت دے گا۔ 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن نیچے کی طرف مڑ گئی ہے، جو درمیانی مدت کے رجحان کی سمت کا تعین کرتی ہے۔

قیمت بیلنس لائن سے تھوڑی اوپر ہے، اور مارلن صفر لائن سے بالکل اوپر ہے۔ قیمت اس وقت تک آگے بڑھ سکتی ہے جب تک کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ذریعے اسے اوپر سے نیچے نہیں دبایا جاتا، جس میں 2-3 دن لگ سکتے ہیں۔ قیمت سپورٹ رینج، یا پھر گھومنے والی رینج کو 1.3080-1.3154 تک بڑھا سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Fundamental Data of GBP/USD
Haal hi ke economic data ne GBP/USD pair ki movements par asar daala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur unemployment reports saamne aaye hain. Data ne August ke liye unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo ke expected thi, lekin Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke numbers thore se forecast se kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko bhi revise karke neeche kiya gaya. Is mixed data ke natijay mein dollar mein 50-pip ka chhota sa izafa dekha gaya, jo ke mojudah market conditions ke hawalay se zyada ahem nahi. U.S. labor market ke jari masail aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intezaar ke asraat future mein dollar ki movements par par sakte hain. Dollar ki recent strength ke bawajood, data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karte hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par 1.3225 ke qareeb sell signal aaya, jis ke natijay mein price 1.3102-1.3107 range tak gir gaya, jo ek profitable short opportunity di. Market ka focus ab yeh hoga ke yeh economic developments GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko agle chand dino mein kaise asar andaz karte hain.

Price Movement of GBP/USD

GBP/USD instrument ne hal hi mein ek critical support level 1.3105 ke qareeb approach kiya hai, aur twenty-day Exponential Moving Average ne intermediate support 1.3070 ke aas paas faraham kiya. December 28, 2023 ko high 1.2828 se ek upward-sloping trendline bhi pair ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, fourteen days ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 range mein aa gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ke temporary end ka signal de raha hai. Is ke bawajood, overall bullish trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak RSI 50 ke upar hai. Resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain, un mein psychological mark 1.3500 aur round-number barrier 1.3200 shaamil hain. H4 chart par recent price action ne do lambi bearish candles dikhayi hain, jo bearish pressure ka jari rehna suggest karte hain. London session ke dauran pound ki qeemat mein kafi girawat aayi, aur price 1.3084 ke four-hour support level par stabilize ho gaya. Stochastic indicator jo ke filhal 20.00 se neeche hai, ek negative trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar bearish pressure kam ho aur Stochastic indicator rebound kare, toh ek potential bullish scenario ubhar sakta hai.

Fundamental Data of GBP/USD
Haal hi ke economic data ne GBP/USD pair ki movements par asar daala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur unemployment reports saamne aaye hain. Data ne August ke liye unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo ke expected thi, lekin Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke numbers thore se forecast se kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko bhi revise karke neeche kiya gaya. Is mixed data ke natijay mein dollar mein 50-pip ka chhota sa izafa dekha gaya, jo ke mojudah market conditions ke hawalay se zyada ahem nahi. U.S. labor market ke jari masail aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intezaar ke asraat future mein dollar ki movements par par sakte hain. Dollar ki recent strength ke bawajood, data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karte hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par 1.3225 ke qareeb sell signal aaya, jis ke natijay mein price 1.3102-1.3107 range tak gir gaya, jo ek profitable short opportunity di. Market ka focus ab yeh hoga ke yeh economic developments GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko agle chand dino mein kaise asar andaz karte hain.

Price Movement of GBP/USD

GBP/USD instrument ne hal hi mein ek critical support level 1.3105 ke qareeb approach kiya hai, aur twenty-day Exponential Moving Average ne intermediate support 1.3070 ke aas paas faraham kiya. December 28, 2023 ko high 1.2828 se ek upward-sloping trendline bhi pair ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, fourteen days ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 range mein aa gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ke temporary end ka signal de raha hai. Is ke bawajood, overall bullish trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak RSI 50 ke upar hai. Resistance levels jo dekhne layak hain, un mein psychological mark 1.3500 aur round-number barrier 1.3200 shaamil hain. H4 chart par recent price action ne do lambi bearish candles dikhayi hain, jo bearish pressure ka jari rehna suggest karte hain. London session ke dauran pound ki qeemat mein kafi girawat aayi, aur price 1.3084 ke four-hour support level par stabilize ho gaya. Stochastic indicator jo ke filhal 20.00 se neeche hai, ek negative trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar bearish pressure kam ho aur Stochastic indicator rebound kare, toh ek potential bullish scenario ubhar sakta hai.

subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar

l bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain

GBP/USD 4-hour chart ne kuch maheenon se mazboot bullish trend ko reflect kiya hai, jo significant liquidity grabs aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ko fill karne ki wajah se driven hai. April se price action ne higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dikhaya hai, jo ek solid uptrend ko darshata hai, jismein key liquidity areas aur FVGs ka central role hai jo market ko guide kar rahe hain. April ke dauran, price 1.2350 aur 1.2650 ke beech consolidation phase mein phansi hui thi, jahan in levels ke aas-paas kai FVGs aur liquidity zones maujood thay. Market ne dheere dheere momentum build kiya, aur early June mein is range se breakout karte hue price ne 1.2650 resistance level ko paar kiya, jo ke strong bullish sentiment se driven tha. Is breakout ne ek significant rally ko janam diya, aur price 1.2850 region ki taraf barh gayi jahan ek aur liquidity zone target tha.

Late June aur July mein, pair ne 1.2850 se 1.3000 area ke aas-paas resistance face kiya, jiske baad price ne consolidation phase mein entry ki, aur rally ke dauran create kiye gaye FVGs ko fill kiya. Magar, bullish bias qaim raha, kyun ke price 1.2650 support level ke ooper rahi, jo lower levels par strong buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Yeh consolidation ek aur bullish leg ke liye raah banayi, jo early August mein materialize hui jab price ne 1.3000 resistance ke ooper breakout kiya. August ke dauran, price ne apni upward trajectory jari rakhi, 1.3100 se ooper highs ko chhota aur 1.3200 level ko target kiya. Is move ko pichle FVGs ke fill karne aur key levels ke ooper liquidity ko clear karne se characterize kiya gaya, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko signal karta hai. Chart 1.3000 level ki ahmiyat ko bhi highlight karta hai, jo is dauran ek crucial support aur resistance zone ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

Early September tak, price ne thodi pullback ki 1.3200 region se, aur 1.3050 se 1.3100 support zone ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh pullback ek healthy correction lagta hai broader uptrend ke andar, jo market ko mazeed taqat jama karne ka mauqa de raha hai taake ek aur push higher kar sake. 1.3100 ke neeche liquidity ki mojoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke yeh level ek strong support ka kaam kar sakti hai, jo mazeed retracement ko roknay mein madadgar hogi. Natije ke tor par, GBP/USD 4-hour chart ek continuation of bullish trend ko suggest karti hai, jisme price ke 1.3000 level ke ooper supported rehne ke chances hain. Traders ko 1.3050 se 1.3100 area ke aas-paas potential buying opportunities ko dekhna chahiye, kyun ke is zone ka successful defense ek renewed rally ko janam de sakta hai jo 1.3200 aur us se ooper tak ja sakti hai. Magar agar price 1.3000 ke neeche break karti hai, to ek deeper correction ka signal mil sakta hai, jo agla major support 1.2850 ke aas-paas target kar sakta hai. Overall outlook abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin recent gains ko digest karte hue market mein near-term mein ehtiyaat baratne ki zaroorat hai.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart pichle kuch mahino se strong bullish trend ko reflect kar raha hai, jo ke significant liquidity grabs aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ki filling se driven hai. April se price action higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dikhati hai, jo ek solid uptrend ko indicate karta hai, jahan key liquidity areas aur FVGs market ko guide karne mein central role play kar rahe hain. April se, price ek consolidation phase mein thi jo 1.2350 aur 1.2650 ke beech tha, jahan multiple FVGs aur liquidity zones the. Market ne dheere-dheere momentum build kiya aur early June mein is range ko break kiya, jab price ne 1.2650 resistance level ko cross kiya, strong bullish sentiment ke saath. Is breakout ke baad ek significant rally hui, jahan price 1.2850 region ki taraf move ki, jahan ek aur liquidity zone target kiya gaya.

Late June aur July mein, pair ne 1.2850 se 1.3000 area ke aas-paas resistance ka saamna kiya, jo consolidation period ki shakal mein aayi jab price ne rally ke doran FVGs ko fill kiya. Lekin, bullish bias barqarar raha, kyunke price 1.2650 support level ke upar reh gayi, jo lower levels par strong buying interest ko indicate karta hai. Ye consolidation ek aur bullish leg ke liye stage set karti hai, jo early August mein materialize hui jab price ne 1.3000 resistance ko break kiya. August ke doran, price ne apne upward trajectory ko continue rakha, 1.3100 ke upar highs tak pahuncha aur 1.3200 level ko target kiya. Is move ko previous FVGs ki filling aur key levels ke upar liquidity ki clearing se characterize kiya gaya, jo bullish trend ki strength ko signal karta hai. Chart ne 1.3000 level ki importance ko bhi highlight kiya, jo is period ke doran crucial support aur resistance zone bana.

Early September tak, price ne 1.3200 region se thoda pullback kiya hai aur 1.3050 se 1.3100 support zone ko test kar rahi hai. Ye pullback broader uptrend ke andar ek healthy correction lagti hai, jo market ko aage ke liye strength gather karne ka mauka de rahi hai. 1.3100 ke neeche liquidity ki maujoodgi suggest karti hai ke ye level ek strong support ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, jo deeper retracement ko roke ga. Conclusion ke tor par, GBP/USD 4-hour chart bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, aur price ka 1.3000 level ke upar supported rehne ka mumkin hai. Traders ko 1.3050 se 1.3100 area ke aas-paas potential buying opportunities dekhni chahiye, kyunke is zone ka successful defense ek naye rally ko 1.3200 aur upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar 1.3000 ke neeche break hota hai to ye deeper correction ka signal de sakta hai, jo agla major support 1.2850 ke aas-paas target kar sakta hai. Overall outlook bullish hai, lekin near term mein caution zaroori hai jab market recent gains ko digest kar raha hai.

### GBP/USD Pair Analysis

**Tuesday ka Strength aur Resistance:**

GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ko khaas taur par strength dikhai, lekin yeh 1.2640 level par significant resistance ka saamna kar gaya, jo ke aage ke advances ko roknay mein kaamyaab raha. Pair ki direction ab is baat par depend karti hai ke kya yeh key 1.2705 level ke upar support establish kar sakta hai ya nahi. Agar pair is critical point ke upar rukne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh 1.2680-1.2780 ke narrow range mein trade karta reh sakta hai bina kisi clear direction ke.

**Uplift ki Possibility aur Immediate Targets:**

Agar U.S. dollar kamzor hota raha aur GBP/USD pair 1.2660 ke upar break karke maintain karta hai, to next immediate target upward momentum ke liye 1.2580 level ka horizontal resistance ho sakta hai. Is level ke break karne se pair ko upward movement ka signal mil sakta hai.

**Decline aur Support Levels:**

Pair mein further decline ki possibility bhi hai, jahan immediate support 1.2690 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai. 1.2775 ke aas-paas ki area significant barrier ban sakti hai, jo ke current downtrend channel ka upper boundary hai aur traders ke liye critical point ho sakti hai. Agar is level ko break nahi kiya jata, to bearish sentiment aur barh sakta hai.

**Fundamental Factors aur Future Trajectory:**

Fundamental perspective se, kuch macroeconomic elements GBP/USD pair ko kisi bhi direction mein drive kar sakte hain. U.S. economy kuch sectors mein resilience show kar rahi hai, lekin inflation aur employment data mein mixed signals hain. Federal Reserve jab tak economy ke state ka evaluation karta rahega, interest rates ke future trajectory ke baare mein uncertainty bani rahegi. Agar Fed dovish stance leta hai, to U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko rise karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Wahi agar hawkish commentary ya stronger-than-expected economic data aati hai, to dollar upar ja sakta hai, jo ke pound par renewed selling pressure daal sakta hai.

EUR/USD
09.09.2024

Markets khul gaye hain aur euro mein girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Lekin, overall, yeh ab bhi H4 timeframe par upar ki signal ke saath trade kar raha hai. Is signal ko cancel karne ka ek hi wajah dekhta hoon, jo ke stop-loss level ke neeche jana hai. Abhi ke liye, mujhe koi aur wajah nahi nazar aati.

Euro ke peeche significant growth hui hai. Lekin, recent mein kaafi achhi girawat bhi dekhi gayi hai. Traders is girawat ko mukhtalif tareeqon se interpret karte hain. Kuch ke liye, yeh pehla downward wave hai, jo ke ek doosri correction wave ke saath upar ja sakta hai. Aur kuch ke liye, yeh chhatha correction wave hai jo ke daily timeframe par zyada visible hai. Thursday aur Friday ko kya hua, mujhe yeh northern correction kehna mushkil lagta hai, kyunki wahan ek clear impulse tha. Nateeja yeh hua ke ek trend signal nikal aaya, jo ke meri raaye mein nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Signal aur growth potential ko orange column ke zariye targets 1.11724 par mark kiya gaya hai, jo ke Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq 100% hai. Is growth plan ki cancellation Fibonacci scale par 0.0% level ke neeche, yani 1.10252 mark ke neeche hai. Tab hi main ab ke liye growth ki taraf dekhna band karunga, kyunki structure tod diya jayega aur ek 1-2-3 pattern downside par banega. Filhal, market 23.6% level par retrace ho gayi hai, jo ke buyers ko is growth idea mein enter karne ka mauka deta hai, ek risk-to-reward ratio ke saath 1 se 3. Yeh mathematically advantageous ratio ka matlab hai ek hisse ko risk karke teen hisse kamane ka potential.

Yahan, doosre chart par, main upward movement mein enter karne ka faisla karta hoon kyunki H4 timeframe par 1 to 3 ratio aksar nahi hoti. Risks ko manage karte hue, abhi ke liye main sidelines par rahunga kyunki main sales trade karne ke liye tayar nahi hoon. Is stage par, main decline ko pehle ki growth impulse ke mukable ek correction samajhta hoon. Filhal, H4 timeframe par ek sell signal bhi appear kar sakta hai, lekin yeh H4 par buy signal ko negate nahi karta. Mere samajh ke mutabiq, sell signal ab bhi zaroori hai taake sellers ko attract kiya ja sake jo apne risks ko 1.11510 level ke upar le jaayein, jisse buyers ko growth ke liye motivation mile.