جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD Ka Market Jaiza:

GBP/USD jorha pichle hafte ke shuruat se ek bullish trend dikhata raha hai, jo pehle ke bearish market ko ulatne ki koshish kar raha hai. Jabke jorha pichle hafte 1.3400 area tak pohanch gaya, lekin trading activity ke kuch kam hone ki wajah se yeh is se upar nahi ja sakta. Trend abhi bhi bullish movements ka shikaar hai aur 1.3420 par resistance area ko test kar raha hai. Jab ke hafte ki shuruaat abhi hai, trend abhi bhi ek correction ya sideways phase mein hai. Chart buyers ki dominance dikhata hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke upward trend aage bhi jari rehne ke chances hain.

Price ka pehle ka resistance tod kar naya support 1.3270 par ban jana buyers ki positive momentum ki taqat ka ishara hai. Filhal ki price pichle hafte ke market opening se zyada hai, jo dikhata hai ke upward trend abhi bhi mazboot hai. Yeh factors mil kar yeh darshate hain ke bullish trend lambi muddat tak jari rehne ki sambhavna hai. Relative Strength Index ne pehle upward direction ko confirm kiya, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi aage badhne ki taqat rakhta hai.

Lekin, price signal ab ek aise market zone tak pohanch chuka hai jo correct ho raha hai, lekin non-drastic decline ke saath, jo market ke barhne aur unchi prices ke liye sambhavana ko barhata hai. Halankeh trend indication jari reh sakti hai, lekin market direction mein aane wale tabdeeliyon ko samajhne ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD jorhe ki closing price 1.3317 par hai. Is point se price ya to upar jayegi ya neeche. Agar 1.3450 ka level dekha jaye, toh price 1.3517 tak barh sakti hai. Hamein dekhna hoga ke agle hafte market kaise react karta hai. Pichle hafte kuch purchases hui thi, aur H4 chart ek haal ka upward trend darshata hai.

Main yeh andaza laga raha hoon ke kya yeh upward movement agle hafte bhi jari rahegi ya humein koi tabdeeli ki ummeed rakhni chahiye. Jorhe ka technical analysis dekhte hue, moving averages active buy ki taraf ishara karte hain, aur dusre technical indicators bhi isse support karte hain. Is liye, filhal ke liye buy karte rehne ki sifarish hai.

GBP/USD Market Outlook

GBP/USD pair ne pichle hafte ki shuruaat se bullish trend dikhaya hai, jisme pehle ke bearish market ko ulatne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Jabke pair pichle hafte 1.3400 ke ilaqe tak pohonch gaya, lekin iski movement zyada upar nahi ja payi kyunki trading activity mein sukoon hai. Trend abhi bhi bullish movements ka shikar hai aur 1.3420 ke resistance area ko test kar raha hai.

Abhi haftay ka aaghaz hai, is liye trend correction ya sideways phase mein hai. Chart par buyers ki dominance nazar aa rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke upward trend aage bhi jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai. Price ka pehle ke resistance ko tod kar 1.3270 par naye support ban jana buyers ke positive momentum ki taqat ka ishara hai.

Current price pichle hafte ke market opening se upar hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke upward trend mazboot hai. Yeh factors ka combination yeh darust karta hai ke bullish trend lambi muddat tak jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai. Relative Strength Index ne pehle upward direction ki tasdeeq ki thi, jo yeh darust karta hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi jaari rehne ki taqat rakhta hai.

Lekin, price signal ab aik market zone par pohonch chuka hai jo correction ki shaanakht kar raha hai, lekin yeh non-drastic decline hai, jo market ke aage bhi barhne aur higher prices ki sambhavna ko barhata hai. Halanke trend indication jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai, lekin market direction mein potential changes ka intezar karte hue ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ka closing price abhi 1.3317 par hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke price is point se upar ya neeche jaayegi. Agar 1.3450 level tak pohonchta hai, toh price 1.3517 tak barh sakti hai. Humain dekhna hoga ke agle haftay market kaise react karta hai.

Pichle hafte kuch kharidari hui thi, aur H4 chart ek recent upward trend ko dikhata hai. Mere khayal se, humein dekhna hoga ke kya yeh upward movement agle hafte bhi jaari rahegi ya phir changes ki umeed karni chahiye.

Pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages active buy ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur dusre technical indicators bhi yeh hi suggest karte hain. Meri recommendation yeh hai ke abhi ke liye kharidari jaari rakhein.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ka kaam ho raha hai. Chaar ghante ke chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne channel ke upper border ko 1.3420 par test kiya. Iske baad, upar ki trend ne neeche ki taraf badal gaya aur price ab moving average line ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ab 1.3337 par hai. Agar moving line tooti, to price channel ke lower border ko 1.3256 par test karegi. Agar price lower border ko tod kar daily candle ke saath uske neeche band hoti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke hamein decline continue karna chahiye support 1.3153 ki taraf.

Mujhe lagta hai ke maine iski wajah samajh li hai. Toh, main sabse pehle sabse aham baat se shuru karunga: daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq, Bollinger indicator ka upper band chart ke peeche chala gaya hai, jo humein bada hint deta hai ke chahe jo bhi humein lagta ho, apparently is pair par invisible bulls hain, isliye sales ko bahut hi ehtiyaat se lena chahiye. Ab jab ke main message de diya gaya hai, toh aayiye tafseel par chalte hain.

Indicator readings ke mutabiq, ab kya hai:

• MA100 upar ki taraf five degrees ke trend angle par pull kar raha hai, matlab pair par asal mein kaafi bullish mood hai.
• Teeno Bollinger bands filhal local MA100 ke upar hain. Yeh bhi is baat ka nishan hai ke pair par kaafi saare buyers hain.
• Bollinger indicator bhi kaafi mazboot bullish mood dikhata hai - yeh modest lekin musalsal angle se upar ki taraf kheench raha hai - takreeban das degrees.
• Lightweight MACD bullish wave par kaam kar raha hai, signal tape almost histogram ke body se bahar ja chuki hai, lekin yeh thoda nahi mana jata, hum normal sell signal ka intezar kar rahe hain.
• Enhanced indicator bundle sell spaces par kaam kar raha hai, phir se - koi buy signals nazar nahi aa rahe.

Humare paas Semafor se global sell signal hai. Ab sirf yeh bacha hai ke hum vishwas rakhein, umeed karein aur intezar karein ke boat south ki taraf rocking shuru kare.

USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai.
Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai

Mangal ko, spot price ne apni kami ko aage barhaya, jo ke takreeban 1.3291 par aik aham low tak pohanch gaya, jabke US Dollar ne Jerome Powell ki dovish baat-cheet ke baad Jackson Hole symposium mein apni position ko sambhalne mein mushkil mehsoos ki. Investors ne apne iqtiraat ko mazid behtar samjha hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke September ke meeting mein rate cut ki umeed ko barhata hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye support bana raha. Is waqt, currency pair 1.3301 par trade kar raha tha, jo 0.40% ki kami darshata hai.

Jabke British Pound behtar market halat se faida utha raha hai, kuch challenges abhi bhi maujood hain. Agar inflation ki taadaad umeed se zyada barh jati hai, to Bank of England ko apne monetary policy ko dobara dekhna pad sakta hai, jo ke mazeed rate hikes ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, bahri asraat, jese ke aanewali US economic data releases aur global market volatility, bhi GBP/USD pair ki performance par asar dal sakte hain.

British Pound ke liye Positive Market Sentiment:

Halaanki haali mein kuch kami hui hai, lekin British Pound ka mustaqbil optimistic hai. UK ki economic prospects behtar hui hain, jo ke behtareen market sentiment aur umeed se behtar data ki wajah se hai. S&P Global/CIPS PMI flash report ne August ke liye dikhaya ke manufacturing aur service sector ki activities umeed se zyada tezi se barh rahi hain. Is ke alawa, Bank of England (BoE) ke taraf se mazeed interest rate cut ki umeedon ka kam hona Pound ki appeal ko barhata hai, kyunki BoE officials inflation ke barhne ki umeed kar rahe hain, jabke price pressures dheere ho rahe hain.

US Economic Data par Nazr:

Investors agle economic reports par nazar rakh rahe hain, khaaskar core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke liye jo ke jald hi release hoga. Analysts ka kehna hai ke annual core PCE thoda barh kar 2.7% tak pohanch jayega, jabke pichla 2.6% tha, aur maahwar growth steady 0.2% par rehne ki umeed hai. PCE data ke ilawa, US economic calendar mein S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices aur Conference Board ka Consumer Confidence Index bhi hai, jo market sentiment ko asar daal sakte hain.

H1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels for GBP/USD:

Hourly chart ye darshata hai ke pair shayad 1.3290 ke recent cycle low ko test kare. Agar pair ne neeche ki taraf jana hai, to usay 1.3300 mark aur 1.3250 ke psychological support level ko clear karna hoga. Agar ye levels tootte hain, to agla downside target 1.3143 ho sakta hai, jiske baad shayad pair March 8 ki daily high 1.3093 ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai, jo ek aham demand zone hai.

H4 Chart RSI aur Potential Price Capping:

Halaanki GBP/USD pair abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) ye darshata hai ke pair overbought territory ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye iski short term mein upar chadne ki salahiyat ko limit kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, agar pair apne ascending channel ki top trendline ko reclaim kar leta hai, to ye year-to-date high (YTD) ko test karne ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke 1.3433 par tha, aur mazeed faide ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain. MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.
Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lag hai

USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.
MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak

Monday ke din significant price action dekha, jisme market mai ek wazeh upward trend tha. Trading session ke aghaz par, price dheere dheere barhti rahi aur 1.3183 ke key trading level ko break karne mai kamiyab rahi. Yeh breakout 1.3183 ke upar bohot ahem tha, kyun ke isne market sentiment mai ek tabdeeli ko zahir kiya aur traders ke liye ek buy signal generate kiya. Aam tor par is breakout ke baad umeed yeh hoti hai ke price barhti rahegi aur agle major resistance level 1.3261 ko target karegi. Pura Monday ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne apni position 1.3183 ke level ke upar barqarar rakhi, jo ke market mai bullish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha tha. Jab price consistently aik significant support ya resistance level ke upar rahti hai, to yeh current trend ki strength ko zahir karti hai. Is case mai, price ka 1.3183 ke upar rehna yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market mai control mai hain aur pair ko aglay target ki taraf, yani 1.3261 resistance, push kar rahe hain. Jese ke anticipated tha, upward momentum Tuesday tak qaim raha, lekin GBP/USD pair ne session ke aghaz mai ek narrow range mai move kiya. Yeh range-bound movement aksar is wajah se hoti hai kyun ke market apni agle significant move se pehle consolidate karti hai. Consolidation ke baad, price phir se momentum gain karke pehle se identified resistance level, 1.3261, tak barhne lagi. Yeh movement Monday ke initial buy signal ko confirm karti hai, kyun ke price successfully anticipated resistance level tak pohanch gayi thi.
Lekin, jese hi GBP/USD pair 1.3261 resistance level ke qareeb pohancha, price action mai shift dekha gaya. Resistance levels aksar psychological barriers ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan sellers aksar market mai shamil hote hain, jo ke market mai reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is case mai, price ne 1.3261 ke resistance ke qareeb reverse karna shuru kiya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur market ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Significant resistance levels par reversal aksar trend ke tabdeel hone ka ishara dete hain, aur traders in levels ko closely monitor karte hain taake bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ke asraat ko dekh sakein

GBP/USD currency pair abhi kaam kar raha hai. Agar hum 4-hour chart dekhein, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne 1.3420 par channel ki upper border ko test kiya. Us ke baad upward trend neeche ki taraf convert ho gaya aur ab price average moving line ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke is waqt 1.3337 par hai. Agar moving line break hoti hai, toh price channel ki lower border ko 1.3256 par test karegi. Agar price is lower border ko tod deti hai aur daily candle ke zariye is ke neeche fix ho jati hai, toh yeh hamaray liye signal ho ga ke price neeche gir kar support level 1.3153 par pohanch sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke maine is ka sabab dhoond liya hai. Sab se important baat yeh hai ke daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq, Bollinger indicator ki uppermost band chart ke upar se nikal gayi hai, jo ke ek bara hint hai ke chahe hume kuch bhi lage, magar pair par hidden bulls mojood hain. Isliye, sales karte waqt hamesha ehtiyaat barhtna chahiye. Jab yeh zaroori baat clear ho gayi hai, toh ab hum details ki taraf chalte hain. Indicators ke readings ke mutabiq, jo situation hai woh kuch yun hai:
- MA100 abhi upward direction mein pull ho raha hai, aur yeh five degrees ke trend angle par hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke pair ka overall mood abhi tak bullish hai.
- Tino Bollinger bands iss waqt local MA100 ke upar space mein mojood hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair par kaafi bulls maujood hain.
- Bollinger indicator bhi solid bullish mood ko show kar raha hai. Yeh modest magar consistent angle par growth ko support kar raha hai, jo ke around ten degrees ka hai.
- Lightweight MACD abhi bullish wave par kaam kar raha hai, signal tape body of the histogram ke bahar nikal rahi hai, magar ab tak ek strong sell signal nahi mila. Humein normal sell signal ka intezaar hai.
- Enhanced indicator bundle abhi sell spaces ko kaam kar raha hai, magar ab tak koi buy signals nahi dekhe gaye.
Semafor indicator se humein ek global sell signal mila hai. Ab sirf yeh baaqi hai ke humein intezaar karna padega ke kab price neeche gir kar south ki taraf chalti hai.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Fundamental Analysis

Baaz farokht ka dabao 1.3400 ke ahem resistence level par, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein hai, mangal ko North American session ke doran, pound sterling (GBP) ko lagbhag 1.3300 tak gira diya. US labor market report, jo ke is saal Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates ko kitna kam karne ki nishani de sakti hai, ne investors ko ehtiyaat kar diya. Is wajah se GBP/USD jo pair hai, wo ghir gaya.

18 September ko, Federal Reserve ne policy easing cycle shuru karte hue interest rates ko 50 basis points (bps) kam karke 4.75%–5.00% kar diya. Rozgar ke maidan ki kharab hoti hui halat aur inflation ke 2% ke maqsad ko hasil karne ki umeed mein izafa ke wajah se policymakers ne is baar aik bara farokht kiya. Investors ab US ADP Employment Change aur Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ki aakhri jhalak dekhne ke liye bechain hain, jo ke 4 aur 6 October ko shaya hone wale hain, taake wo maujooda labor market ki halat ka andaza laga saken.

Aaj ke session ke doran, investors US JOLTS Job Openings data aur ISM Manufacturing PMI data par bhi tawajjoh denge, jo ke 14:00 GMT par aane wale hain. Ma'ashiyat daano ke mutabiq, August mein job opportunities ka hissa July ke barabar hi raha—lagbhag 7.67 million. ISM Manufacturing PMI ka 47.5 se thora sa barhne ki umeed hai, 47.2 par. Halankeh ye metric yeh darust karta hai ke manufacturing ka amal ab bhi ghat raha hai.

Technical Outlook

European trading ke doran, Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3400 ke ahem resistance level ke nazdeek farokht ki wajah se kami dekhi. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.3250 par hai, GBP/USD pair ka short-term manzar-nama waise ka waise hai.

Umeed hai ke Cable apne trendline se breakout ko barqarar rakhegi, jo ke 28 December 2023 ko 1.2828 ke high se khichi gayi thi aur 21 August ko mukammal hui. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI active bullish momentum dikhata hai, jo thora sa neeche jata hai lekin 60.00 se upar hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.3500 ka psychological level Cable ke liye aik resistance point hoga. 20-day EMA jo ke 1.3235 par hai, pound sterling ke supporters ke liye kami par mukhya support level hoga.

GBP/USD Market Outlook
GBP/USD pair ne pichlay haftay ke aghaz se bullish trend dikhaya hai, aur pehle ke bearish market ko reverse karne ki koshish ki hai. Jab yeh pair 1.3400 area tak pohanch gaya tha, trading activity mein sukoon honay ki wajah se price mazeed upar nahi barh saka. Ab bhi lagta hai ke bullish movement chal rahi hai, jo ke 1.3420 ke resistance area ko test kar raha hai. Haftay ke aghaz mein market abhi correction ya sideways phase mein hai. Chart se buyers ka ghalba nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh ishara deta hai ke upward trend mazeed barqarar reh sakta hai.

Price ka pichle resistance ko break karke naye support 1.3270 par aana, buyers ke positive momentum ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Ab jo current price hai, wo pichle haftay ke market opening se zyada hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward trend ab tak mazboot hai. Yeh sab factors mila kar yeh kehte hain ke bullish trend lamba arsa chalta reh sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne bhi pehle upward direction ko confirm kiya tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend ab tak continue kar sakta hai. Halankeh price signal ab aik aise market zone mein hai jahan halki si correction ya decline ho sakti hai, lekin overall market increase aur higher prices ka imkaan hai.

Jab ke yeh trend ka ishara ab tak chalta nazar aata hai, humein phir bhi market ke direction mein kisi bhi potential tabdeeli ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga.

Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD pair ka closing price 1.3317 par khatam hua. Yahan se price ya to upar barhega ya neeche. Agar 1.3450 ka level likely hai, to price 1.3517 tak barh sakta hai. Dekhna hoga ke aane wale haftay mein market kaise behave karti hai. Pichle haftay kuch buying activity thi, aur H4 chart ne recent upward trend ko dikhaya. Main yeh andaza lagaoon ga ke yeh upward movement agle haftay tak chalta rehega ya market mein koi tabdeeli ki umeed rakhi jaye. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages active buy ki taraf ishara karte hain, aur doosray technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain. Is liye ab tak ka recommendation yeh hai ke buying ko jaari rakha jaye.