GBP/USD
Pair ek mustaqil recovery dikha raha hai, aur heere dheere us bullish high 1.3388 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai jo is haftay ke shuru mein set kiya gaya tha. Ye upward momentum US Dollar par naye selling pressure ki wajah se hai, bawajood iske ke market mein risk-off sentiment hai jo American AI giant Nvidia ke disappointing earnings forecast ke baad samnay aayi hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke beech ke mukhtalif monetary policy outlooks GBP/USD ke uptrend ko support karte hain.
**Bank of England ka Policy Shift aur GBP ka faida:**
BoE ne interest rates mein 25 basis points (bps) ki cut ki, jisse rate 5% tak gira. Ye do aur aadha saal ki restrictive monetary policy ka khatma tha, jab central bank ne yeh aitmaad hasil kiya ke inflation sustainable tor par 2% target tak wapas aayega. Market participants ki umeed hai ke BoE ke rate cuts doosray central banks ke muqablay mein dheere honge, khas tor par UK ke mazboot economic performance ke madde nazar. August ke liye Flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI data aur Q2 GDP growth ne is expectation ko support diya hai.
**Federal Reserve ke Aane Wale Rate Cuts:**
Doosri taraf, US Dollar ko apni recent rebound ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve se intezar hai ke wo September ke meeting mein interest rates cut karega. Traders iss waqt do raahe par hain ke Fed 25 ya 50 basis points ka cut karega, lekin rate cut market mein taqriban poori tarah se price-in ho chuki hai. Is rate-cutting cycle ki anticipation ne USD ko pressure mein daala, jo GBP/USD ke ongoing recovery mein ek factor hai.
**GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:**
Is haftay ke shuru mein, price 1.3240 se neeche gir gaya tha jab short-term bullish momentum fade hone laga tha. Markets iss waqt risk-off mode mein hain, investors Fed ke anticipated rate cuts ki tayari kar rahe hain. Agar pair 1.3250 se ooper rehne mein kamyab nahi hota, toh ye ek gehri pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke latest cycle low 1.3041 tak test karega. Agar ye level breach hota hai, toh 20-day moving average (DMA) 1.3322 agla significant support banega.
Agar naye buyers 1.3322 ke support level par ubharte hain, toh price 1.3435 ka two-year high test kar sakta hai, aur psychological 1.3500 level ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ka outlook ab bhi bullish hai, kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 ke qareeb north ko point kar raha hai, jo aage mazeed gains ke potential ko zahir karta hai. Ye dikhata hai ke current recovery trend near-term mein extend ho sakta hai.image wiimage widget
Pair ek mustaqil recovery dikha raha hai, aur heere dheere us bullish high 1.3388 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai jo is haftay ke shuru mein set kiya gaya tha. Ye upward momentum US Dollar par naye selling pressure ki wajah se hai, bawajood iske ke market mein risk-off sentiment hai jo American AI giant Nvidia ke disappointing earnings forecast ke baad samnay aayi hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke beech ke mukhtalif monetary policy outlooks GBP/USD ke uptrend ko support karte hain.
**Bank of England ka Policy Shift aur GBP ka faida:**
BoE ne interest rates mein 25 basis points (bps) ki cut ki, jisse rate 5% tak gira. Ye do aur aadha saal ki restrictive monetary policy ka khatma tha, jab central bank ne yeh aitmaad hasil kiya ke inflation sustainable tor par 2% target tak wapas aayega. Market participants ki umeed hai ke BoE ke rate cuts doosray central banks ke muqablay mein dheere honge, khas tor par UK ke mazboot economic performance ke madde nazar. August ke liye Flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI data aur Q2 GDP growth ne is expectation ko support diya hai.
**Federal Reserve ke Aane Wale Rate Cuts:**
Doosri taraf, US Dollar ko apni recent rebound ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve se intezar hai ke wo September ke meeting mein interest rates cut karega. Traders iss waqt do raahe par hain ke Fed 25 ya 50 basis points ka cut karega, lekin rate cut market mein taqriban poori tarah se price-in ho chuki hai. Is rate-cutting cycle ki anticipation ne USD ko pressure mein daala, jo GBP/USD ke ongoing recovery mein ek factor hai.
**GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:**
Is haftay ke shuru mein, price 1.3240 se neeche gir gaya tha jab short-term bullish momentum fade hone laga tha. Markets iss waqt risk-off mode mein hain, investors Fed ke anticipated rate cuts ki tayari kar rahe hain. Agar pair 1.3250 se ooper rehne mein kamyab nahi hota, toh ye ek gehri pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke latest cycle low 1.3041 tak test karega. Agar ye level breach hota hai, toh 20-day moving average (DMA) 1.3322 agla significant support banega.
Agar naye buyers 1.3322 ke support level par ubharte hain, toh price 1.3435 ka two-year high test kar sakta hai, aur psychological 1.3500 level ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ka outlook ab bhi bullish hai, kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 ke qareeb north ko point kar raha hai, jo aage mazeed gains ke potential ko zahir karta hai. Ye dikhata hai ke current recovery trend near-term mein extend ho sakta hai.image wiimage widget
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