جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair per weekly chart par aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana hai jo do peechay wali bullish candles ko engulf kar raha hai. Yeh reversal ka strong signal hai ke ab price ne south ki taraf movement karni hai. Is bearish move ka pehla target daily support zone mein 1.2260-1.2360 par hai, jo aik long-term projection hai aur volatility per depend karega. Expected price drop lagbhag 850 points hai.Daily chart par price pehle 1.3432 ke upper boundary se break karke upward movement mein thi, lekin phir jaldi se neeche aai aur channel mein wapas aa gayi. Price ne 200-period moving average par Friday ko test kiya jo ke 1.3069 par tha, aur din ka closure aik pinbar ke sath huwa hai, jo ke potential reaction ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Moving average abhi bhi green hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers dominant hain, aur is wajah se price phir upwards move kar sakti hai aur targets 1.3432, 1.3500 aur shayad 1.3780 tak ja sakte hain. Lekin price ab critical levels par hai aur bullish resurgence ho sakta hai.Yearly chart par price lower boundary se bahar nikal gayi thi lekin ab wapas channel mein aayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair upper part of the range tak ja sakti hai. Yearly chart ka target zone 1.3780-1.4361 tak hai.

US Dollar (DXY) ki strength ke bawajood, bullish momentum end hone ka signal mil raha hai. Agar DXY 25-day EMA se neeche drop karta hai, to GBP/USD ko phir se upward move ka chance mil sakta hai.Federal Reserve apne chaar saal mein pehli dafa interest rate cut karne ki umeed hai, jaisa ke CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai. Magar abhi bhi yeh debate chal rahi hai ke Fed kitni tezi se key borrowing rates kam karega. 30-day Federal Funds Futures ke data ke mutabiq 65% probability hai ke 50-basis-point (bps) cut hoga, jo rates ko 4.75%-5.00% tak le aayega, jabke baaqi market participants ek zyada conservative 25-bps cut ke haq mein hain. Fed officials ke hal recent comments ne central bank ka focus inflation se hatakar kamzor hoti labor demand par dal diya hai, jo ke rate cuts ki raftaar ko mutasir kar sakta hai.

Is haftay ka jo pair hai, woh negative mein band hua hai aik bearish engulfing candle ke sath, aur yeh wazeh hai ke market ko reverse karna itna asaan nahi hai. Magar, interesting baat yeh hai ke candle ka position MA5/MA10 Low Weekly ke demand line par hai, jo ke haftay ki sab se kam average price ka area hai. Is liye, yeh ek achi upward correction ka moqa paida karta hai. Is correction ko buy opportunities dhoondne ke liye max kiya ja sakta hai, jahan profit ka target MA5/MA10 High Daily line area mein ho. Phir yahan se hum re-entry sell ko khol sakte hain usi direction mein jo ke upar di gayi bearish engulfing candle ke sath hai. Yeh scenario sahi bhi ho sakta hai aur ghalat bhi, is liye barabar monitoring zaroori hai, khaas tor par significant levels par multiple timeframes ko use karke. Daily chart mein agar daikhain, toh wazeh hai ke price ab 1.3120 - 1.3000 ke blue rectangle ke thora upar ruk gaya hai, jo ke ek significant demand zone hai. Ab sawaal yeh hai ke kya price 1.3120 se neeche gir sakta hai? Agar hum do bullish candles ka shape daikhein jo ke uske sath hai, toh yeh moqa ab bhi khula hai magar confidence kam hai, kyun ke ek bearish engulfing candle kal kaafi nahi hai ta ke market structure ko badal sake jo ke buhut arsay se bullish hai. Is liye lagta hai ke aane wali movement ka direction blue rectangle area mein phansa rahega. Jaldi signal milne ke liye, choti timeframe jaise H4 ka analysis zaroori hai. H4 chart par, seller ka pressure buhat dominant hai aur abhi tak khatam hone ka moqa nahi lagta, kyun ke current price Red EMA200 H4 ke neeche hai, is liye market ko bullish reversal banane ke liye waqt lagay ga. Is ke ilawa, Blue EMA50 ka position bhi Mid BB line ke sath cross ho gaya hai, jo ke bearish death cross signal ko darshata hai. Is process mein jab price barhti hai, toh yeh correctional hoti hai aur yeh re-entry sell ka acha moqa paida karti hai agar price Blue EMA50 H4 ke qareeb aaye. Lekin, correction ke bawajood, Blue EMA50 ki taraf ka ye barhna large pips ka moqa paida karega, is liye hum counter-trend buy position ko bhi khol sakte hain, M15 chart ko reference bana ke. Aik main option trading plan yeh hai ke re-entry sell ko tab kholain jab Blue EMA50 trend line Upper BB line ke sath cross kare, jo ke umeed hai ke price yellow hidden supply level 1.3217 - 1.3237 par ho. Agla counter-trend buy tab hoga jab M15 par buy candlestick ka momentum signal mile aur profit ka target yellow hidden supply ho, aur kal ka lower area loss limit ho.

**GBP/USD Ka Halat Aur Market Ka Jaiza**

Is pair ne North American session ke doran kuch kami dekhi, jab yeh 1.3067 ka teen hafte ka low tak pahuncha, lekin baad mein thoda upar aaya. Jab traders ne Federal Reserve ke agle monetary policy faisle ka intezaar kiya, toh pair ne kuch zameen wapas hasil ki aur 1.3121 par trade kiya, jo ke apne khulne ki qeemat se 0.30% upar tha. Is recovery ke bawajood, bazar mein uncertainty ne pair ko dabao mein rakha hai.

**Federal Reserve Ki Rate Cut Ki Umeedain**

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve se pehli dafa chaar saalon mein interest rate cut ki umeed hai. Lekin, is baat par behas hai ke Fed kitni tezi se key borrowing rates ko kam karega. 30-day Federal Funds Futures ka data dikhata hai ke 65% sambhavna hai ke 50-basis-point (bps) ka cut hoga, jisse rates 4.75%-5.00% tak aayengi, jabke baqi bazar ke hissedaar ek zyada conservative 25-bps cut ko pasand karte hain. Fed ke officials ke recent comments ne central bank ka dhyan inflation se kamzor hoti labor demand ki taraf shifted kiya hai, jo rate cuts ki raftar par asar daal sakta hai.

**BoE Ka Monetary Policy Announcement**

Investors Bank of England (BoE) ke agle monetary policy announcement par bhi nazar rakh rahe hain. Inflation data ke release se pehle, bazar kaafi had tak umeed karta tha ke BoE interest rates ko 5% par barqarar rakhega. Lekin, August ke inflation figures ne persistent price pressures ko dikhaya hai, jisse speculation badh gayi hai ke BoE shayad saal ke aakhir tak rates ko current levels par rakhe. Yeh agle monetary policy moves ke liye umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Ke Liye Key Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Is pair ko August 27 ke high 1.3267 ke aas paas kaafi significant resistance ka samna karna padega, uske baad key psychological level 1.3500 hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological support traders ke liye dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh level toot jaata hai, toh yeh Pound Sterling ke liye mazeed bearish momentum ka ishara ho sakta hai, jabke iske upar rehna mazeed nuksan se bacha sakta hai.

**Momentum Indicator Aur Traders Ka Focus**

14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI), jo ke ek mashhoor momentum oscillator hai, is waqt 60.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar CCI is level par qaim rehta hai, toh yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye ek naye bullish momentum ka signal de sakta hai. Traders is indicator ko nazar rakhte rahenge taake yeh jaan sakein ke kya pair upar ki taraf break karne wala hai ya phir dobara bechne ka pressure face karne wala hai.

GBP/USD pair ne guzishta hafte se bullish trend dikhaya hai, jahan pichlay bearish market ko reverse karne ki koshish hui. Guzishta hafte, ye pair 1.3400 area tak pohoncha, lekin quiet trading activity ki wajah se ziada ooper na uth saka. Trend ab bhi bullish movement ka samna kar raha hai aur 1.3420 resistance area ko test kar raha hai. Hafte ke abhi shuru honay ki wajah se, trend correction ya sideways phase mein hai. Chart buyers ki dominance dikhata hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke upward trend mazeed barqaraar reh sakta hai. Pichlay resistance ka break ho kar new support banne ka level 1.3270 par buyers ke positive momentum ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt ka price guzishta hafte ke market opening se ziada hai, jo upward trend ki mazid taqat ko zahir karta hai. In sab factors ka combination is baat ka andaza deta hai ke bullish trend lambi muddat tak jaari reh sakta hai. Relative Strength Index ne bhi pehle upward direction ko confirm kiya tha, jo bullish trend ke mazeed barqarar rehne ke potential ko dikhata hai. Lekin ab price signal ek aise market zone mein hai jahan correction ho raha hai aur non-drastic decline nazar aa raha hai, jo is baat ka izafa karta hai ke market mazeed barh kar higher prices tak pohonch sakta hai. Trend ka indication chahe barqarar rahe, lekin market ke direction mein potential changes ko anticipate karte hue hoshyari zaroori hai. GBP/USD pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, closing price 1.3317 par hai. Is ke bawajood, price ya to barhe gi ya gire gi. Agar 1.3450 ka level possible hai, to price 1.3517 tak barh sakti hai. Hume dekhna hoga ke agli hafte market kis tarah se behave karti hai. Guzishta hafte kuch purchases hui thi, aur H4 chart recent upward trend ko zahir karta hai. Mein predict karun ga ke ye upward movement agli hafte bhi jari rahegi ya humay changes expect karni chahiye. Pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages active buy ko suggest karti hain, jaise ke doosray technical indicators bhi. Is liye, recommendation yahi hai ke abhi buying jari rakhi jaye.

**Hello dosto, aap kaise hain?**
GBP/USD ne Thursday ko European trading hours ke doran apni girawat ko 1.3100 tak barhaya. Yeh jo jo jorh hai, yeh Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ke sakht bayanon ke wajah se hai, jinhon ne kaha ke agar inflation kam hoti hai to central bank interest rate cuts mein ‘zyada active’ ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Middle East ki tensions ne bhi risk aversion ko barhaya hai jo is pair par asar dal raha hai.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) Thursday ki subah 20 ke niche chala gaya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD oversold conditions mein hai. Agar yeh pair koi technical correction karta hai, to 1.3175 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) pehla resistance hoga, uske baad 1.3200 hai jahan 200-period simple moving average hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3100 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) agla support hai, uske baad 1.3050 aur 1.3000 static levels hain. GBP/USD ne Thursday ki subah ke waqt 1.3100 ki taraf intense bearish pressure ka samna kiya, jo teen hafton mein sabse kam hai. Nazdik ke technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair oversold hai lekin iski decisive correction karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

US dollar ne apni taqat barqarar rakhi aur Wednesday ko GBP/USD ko peeche dhakel diya jab Automatic Data Processing ne data publish kiya ke private sector employment 143,000 se barh gaya, jo ke market ki umeed se zyada hai (120,000). Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ne Guardian newspaper se interview mein kaha ke agar inflation ke baare mein achhi khabrein aati hain to wo shayad rates cut karne mein thoda proactive ho sakte hain. In bayanon ne Thursday ki subah pound sterling mein girawat ka sabab bana.

GBP ki kamzori ko dekhte hue, EUR/GBP pair din bhar mein 1% se zyada barh gaya. Din ke aakhir mein, US economic calendar weekly initial jobless claims aur September ISM services PMI data release karega. Market umeed kar raha hai ke jobless benefits ke liye first-time claims 220,000 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo pehle hafte ke 218,000 se thoda zyada hai. Agar yeh number 200,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to yeh USD ko barhawa de sakta hai aur pair par aur bhi pressure daal sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ISM headline 50 se niche girta hai to yeh bhi market ko hila sakta hai.

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing ko samajhne par hai. Market ki expectations technical analysis se muttahid nahi hain, kyunki yeh shayad Jumme ki khabron ki taraf dekh rahi thi, jo ke girawat ki taraf nahi gayi. Is waqt, medium-term girawat ke liye koi technical indicators nahi hain. Isliye, humein ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur unrealistic assumptions par amal karne se bachna chahiye. Is ke bawajood, Jumme ki close ne D1 chart par ek internal bar bana diya. Yeh setup potential sell ka ishara de sakta hai, khaas taur par agar Jumme ka low 1.3358 ke aas-paas ho. Yeh mera pasandi da approach nahi hai, lekin yeh ek option hai. Ab bhi price ke 1.3311 tak girne ka mauqa hai, lekin Jumme ka setup is waqt likely hai, aur naya entry point shayad sirf Monday ko nazar aaye. Agar price gire, to sales 1.3249 ke support level tak pohanch sakti hain. Lekin, mujhe upar ki taraf movement ka zyada potential nazar aata hai, jo mere trading plan ka buniyadi pehlu hai agle hafte ke liye.
Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.
Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.
GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai,

GBPUSD currency pair ka price filhal 1.31510 par hai, jo ek promising mauqa faraham karta hai ke long positions kholi ja sakti hain. Yeh level traders ko purchases karne par encourage karta hai kyunke market conditions favorable hain. Market ke potential price movements ka ghor se tajziya karte hue, do aham targets identify kiye gaye hain.
Pehla target 1.31855 par set kiya gaya hai. Yeh price point ek short-term goal ko represent karta hai jo traders ko profit capture karne ka mauqa deta hai jab market upward move karta hai. Is target tak pohanchna yeh zahir karega ke price ka trend positive hai aur ek early opportunity milti hai taake gains secure kiye ja sakein, jab tak position ko zyada profits ke liye hold kiya jaye. Yeh ek psychological milestone bhi hai jo yeh confirm karta hai ke market expected direction mein move kar raha hai.

Doosra target zyada ambitious hai, aur 1.32511 par define kiya gaya hai. Yeh upper target hai aur current market conditions ke madde nazar kafi promising samjha jata hai. Agar market is level tak pohanchta hai, to yeh ek significant upward trend ko zahir karega jo increased volatility ke sath ho sakta hai. Is stage par, traders ko sari long positions completely close karne ka sochna chahiye, kyunke price ne apni peak ko touch kar liya hoga, jo ke current analysis par mabni hai. Yeh level sirf profit lene ka nahi, balki apni trading strategy ko shift karne ka bhi signal hai. Jab price 1.32511 tak pohanch jata hai, to yeh ideal mauqa ban jata hai ke buying se shift hote hue selling start ki jaye, kyunke price reversal ka imkaan barh jata hai.

Risk management ke hawale se, jab long position 1.31510 par kholi jaye to ek stop loss 1.31199 par set kiya gaya hai. Yeh ensure karta hai ke agar market expectations ke khilaaf move kare to potential losses limited rahain. Stop loss ko entry price ke neeche strategically place kiya gaya hai, jo ke market ke normal fluctuations ko allow karta hai bina position prematurely close kiye. Ek well-defined stop loss maintain karne se traders apne capital ko protect karte hue defined targets par aim kar sakte hain.

Summary yeh hai ke 1.31510 ka current pricing GBPUSD pair mein long positions kholne ka mauqa deta hai, jisme do defined profit targets hain: 1.31855 aur 1.32511. Increased market volatility ke sath, jab upper target 1.32511 achieve hota hai to yeh strong indication hoga ke long positions ko fully close kar diya jaye aur short positions par ghoor kiya jaye. Stop loss ko 1.31199 par set karne se downside risk minimized rehta hai, jo trading ka ek balanced approach faraham karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ek aham technical level ke qareeb hai, jahan is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh 1.3400 mark ko paar kar le. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to agay mazeed upward movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, aur agli bari resistance level 1.3437 par hogi. Yeh level March 1, 2022 ka high represent karta hai, aur is point tak pohanchna British pound ke U.S. dollar ke khilaf significant strength ko zahir karega. Traders isay bullish trend ke continuation ke tor par dekhein ge, khaaskar agar momentum is point se aagay barh jata hai.
Agar GBP/USD pair 1.3437 resistance ko cross kar leta hai, to agla focus psychological aur technical hurdle 1.3500 par shift ho jaye ga. Forex trading mein yeh round number aksar ek critical level ke tor par kaam karta hai, kyunke yeh traders ke liye ek psychological significance rakhta hai. Agar yeh barrier cross ho jata hai, to agla target 1.3550 ho sakta hai. 1.3500 se ooper ka break pound ki mazid strength ko zahir karega, jo ke economic data, market sentiment, ya geopolitical developments ki wajah se British economy ke haq mein ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar pair 1.3400 level ke ooper momentum barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai aur decline shuru karta hai, to aik mukhtalif scenario samnay aa sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.3300 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh bearish correction ka aghaz aur retreat ka imkaan zahir karega. Is surat mein, GBP/USD ko pehla support 23 September ke low 1.3248 par milega. Yeh level ek aham support point hai jahan buyers shayad aur zyada losses rokne ke liye position lein ge. Lekin agar yeh support level toot jata hai, to agla support level 1.3200 par hoga, jo ke aik aur psychological level hai jo traders ghour se dekhte hain.

Agar decline 1.3200 se aage jari rehta hai, to GBP/USD pair 1.3100 ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke aik aur deeper correction mark karega. Yeh level is liye aham hai kyunke yeh ek lower boundary hai jo strong support zone ka kaam de sakti hai. Agar downtrend mazeed barqarar rehta hai, to agla critical target 1.3005 ka low hoga. Is point tak pohanchna currency pair ke liye ek sustained bearish phase ko zahir karega.

Conclusion mn sary yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ek pivotal juncture par hai. Agar 1.3400 ke ooper move hoti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karegi, jahan targets 1.3437 aur 1.3500 par hain. Dosri taraf, agar yeh 1.3300 se neeche girta hai, to bearish trend shuru ho sakta hai, jisme support levels 1.3248, 1.3200, 1.3100, aur shayad 1.3005 tak hote hain. Traders ko in key levels ko ghour se dekhna chahiye taake pair ki future direction ka andaza ho sake.

Gbp/Usd currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.3280 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, Gbp/Usd takriban 1.3340 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.
Gbp/Usd phir se 1.3599 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.3149 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.3299 level tak gir sakta hai.


Gbp/Usd weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.3399 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.3537 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon,


Gbp/Usd ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai.


Gbp/Usd currency pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.3326 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.3400 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.3462 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.3455 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.3177 ki taraf ja skty hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda filhal 1.3129 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, qimat ne tooti hui trend line ka test kiya hai aur ab ek chadhte hue channel ke andar aage badh raha hai. Sab se zyada imkani scenario musalsal rally ki tajwiz karta hai. RSI indicator chart ke darmiyan me float kar raha hai, jo kisi bhi market participant ko tarjih nahin deta hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, Bartanwi pound moving average se niche khula hai, jo MA strategy ke mutabiq, mumkena kami ka ishara karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Abhi ke liye yeh pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar hum daily chart dekhein toh yeh kuch dinon se sideways movement dikhata hai. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bullish aur sideways trend barqarar rahega ya phir koi tabdeeli dekhne ko milegi. Aaj ke technical outlook ko dekhtay hain. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi buy ka mashwara de rahe hain. Abhi tak koi wazeh faisla nahi kiya gaya hai. UK se kuch zaroori updates aaye hain, lekin wo neutral lag rahi hain. Jabke US se aane wali khabrein zyada optimistic hain, aur kuch ahem updates baqi hain. Is hawale se, yeh pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega, aur 1.3259 ke resistance level tak buying ka imkaan hai. Agar selling hoti hai, toh yeh support level 1.3179 tak ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ka imkaan zyada hai, aur sideways pattern se breakout expected lag raha hai. Aaj, yeh pair sharply bara, apna target hit kar ke reverse hua. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne resistance level 1.3254 ko test kiya, phir pull back kiya, aur ab 1.3203 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. RSI neutral hai lekin upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal de raha hai. Pair abhi tak kal ke trading range ke andar hai, lekin indicators potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain. Main expect karta hoon ke 1.3254 resistance level ka dobara test hoga, aur mumkin hai ke 1.33 range tak break ho. Halat abhi kuch zyada optimistic nahi hain. Buyers ka momentum kamzor lag raha hai, halanke din promising shuru hua tha. GBP/USD abhi tight range mein chal raha hai, jo 1.3139 aur 1.3262 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 1.3199 se upar reh sakta hai, toh mazeed upward movement ho sakti hai. Magar aaj ka ahem point 1.3262 resistance ko break karna hai, jo naye highs ka rasta khol sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3139 se neeche chala gaya, toh short-term downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, aur yeh 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai. Aaj ke liye, agar hum 4-hour chart par technical nazar daalain, toh hum dekhte hain ke pair ko 1.3130 ke breakout resistance ke upar temporary support mil raha hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average dobara neeche move hui hai. Isliye, agle chand ghanton mein uptrend ka imkaan hai, jisme pehla target 1.3180 ka hoga. Yeh growth ko barhane ke liye ek channel khol sakta hai jo ke 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak jaye ga. Yaad rahe ke agar trading 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar rahti hai, toh pair ki downward correction dobara shuru ho sakti hai, jisme targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se start honge. Niche chart dekhain:
Iss waqt pair weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Large support areas test ki gayi hain, aur barhti hui tension ke bawajood, unhone apni integrity barqarar rakhi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke upward vector ki ahmiyat hai. Growth ko barqarar rakhne ke liye price ko 1.3082 ke upar mazid taqat hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ki sarhad hai. Agar yeh area dobara test hone ke baad rebound hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hoga aur price target area jo 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan hai, us tak pohnch sakti hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai, jismein kal ka breakout bullish buy level se upar nikalna ghalat sabit hua. Is breakout ke baad koi khaas upar ki harkat nahi dekhi gayi, aur bearish sell level 1.31285 ko breach kar diya gaya. Ye bearish breakdown asal mein bullish bias ko khatam kar deta hai, jis wajah se main selling ki taraf shift ho gaya hoon. Ab main ummeed karta hoon ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakti hai, lekin ye aur bhi niche ja sakti hai, chahe woh bearish channel ke lower boundary ki taraf ho ya support level 1.29384 tak. Main sirf tab dobara buying ka sochunga jab bullish buy level se upar koi breakout ho. Filhal, meri alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to main foran buying karunga aur 1.31849-1.32089 resistance levels ki taraf badhne ki ummeed rakhunga. Pehle ki high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main ab bhi upar ki taraf harkat ko mumkin samajhta hoon, isi liye main apni buy position band karne mein hichkichahat kar raha hoon. 1.3049 ke aas-paas ek puri tarah se upward movement price ko mere profit target 1.3407 tak le ja sakti hai, lekin main is natije ki tasdiq nahi kar sakta. Agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jate hain, to main apni buy position manual tor par band kar sakta hoon, kyunki bullish move ke chances kafi kam ho jayenge. Pehle, maine 1.3099-1.3049 range tak girne ki umeed ki thi, aur main ab bhi is ka intezar kar raha hoon kyunki pair filhal overbought lag raha hai. Jab ke euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag mita diya hai, pound sirf 29% tak wapas gaya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% tak girta hai, to European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates ghatane ki sambhavna hai, jab ke UK ke inflation data ka intezar hai. Jab yeh data release hoga, to market ko samajh aayega ke Bank of England bhi rates ghatata rahega. Overall, is hafte meri GBP/USD ke liye bearish soch hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pair 1.3141 se upar ja sakta hai.

Yeh nafrat hai ke GBP/USD turant 1.3199 ya isse upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunki dollar ki taqat behtar fundamentals ki wajah se barh gayi hai. H1 chart par downward pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidne se zyada faida mand lagta hai, kyunki behtar prices for long positions jald mil sakti hain. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 range mein selling ke mauqe 1.3074 support level ke neeche break karne ko target kar sakte hain. Bahut se buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke paas rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, jo buying ke liye abhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar stops 1.3074 support level ke neeche tootte hain, to buying transactions zyada faida mand ho sakti hain. Agar koi corrective move price ko 1.3182 tak le jata hai, to ye 50-point ka faida ho sakta hai, jo proportionally zyada faida mand hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye tootta hai aur hold karta hai, to agla target 161.8 level tak 1.2992 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo 134 points ki doori tay karega, aur agar bounce hota hai to aage aur faide ki sambhavna hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Abhi ke liye yeh pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar hum daily chart dekhein toh yeh kuch dinon se sideways movement dikhata hai. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bullish aur sideways trend barqarar rahega ya phir koi tabdeeli dekhne ko milegi. Aaj ke technical outlook ko dekhtay hain. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi buy ka mashwara de rahe hain. Abhi tak koi wazeh faisla nahi kiya gaya hai. UK se kuch zaroori updates aaye hain, lekin wo neutral lag rahi hain. Jabke US se aane wali khabrein zyada optimistic hain, aur kuch ahem updates baqi hain. Is hawale se, yeh pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega, aur 1.3259 ke resistance level tak buying ka imkaan hai. Agar selling hoti hai, toh yeh support level 1.3179 tak ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ka imkaan zyada hai, aur sideways pattern se breakout expected lag raha hai. Aaj, yeh pair sharply bara, apna target hit kar ke reverse hua. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne resistance level 1.3254 ko test kiya, phir pull back kiya, aur ab 1.3203 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. RSI neutral hai lekin upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal de raha hai. Pair abhi tak kal ke trading range ke andar hai, lekin indicators potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain. Main expect karta hoon ke 1.3254 resistance level ka dobara test hoga, aur mumkin hai ke 1.33 range tak break ho. Halat abhi kuch zyada optimistic nahi hain. Buyers ka momentum kamzor lag raha hai, halanke din promising shuru hua tha. GBP/USD abhi tight range mein chal raha hai, jo 1.3139 aur 1.3262 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 1.3199 se upar reh sakta hai, toh mazeed upward movement ho sakti hai. Magar aaj ka ahem point 1.3262 resistance ko break karna hai, jo naye highs ka rasta khol sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3139 se neeche chala gaya, toh short-term downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, aur yeh 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai.
Aaj ke liye, agar hum 4-hour chart par technical nazar daalain, toh hum dekhte hain ke pair ko 1.3130 ke breakout resistance ke upar temporary support mil raha hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average dobara neeche move hui hai. Isliye, agle chand ghanton mein uptrend ka imkaan hai, jisme pehla target 1.3180 ka hoga. Yeh growth ko barhane ke liye ek channel khol sakta hai jo ke 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak jaye ga. Yaad rahe ke agar trading 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar rahti hai, toh pair ki downward correction dobara shuru ho sakti hai, jisme targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se start honge. Niche chart dekhain:
Iss waqt pair weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Large support areas test ki gayi hain, aur barhti hui tension ke bawajood, unhone apni integrity barqarar rakhi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke upward vector ki ahmiyat hai. Growth ko barqarar rakhne ke liye price ko 1.3082 ke upar mazid taqat hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ki sarhad hai. Agar yeh area dobara test hone ke baad rebound hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hoga aur price target area jo 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan hai, us tak pohnch sakti hai.GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Abhi ke liye yeh pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar hum daily chart dekhein toh yeh kuch dinon se sideways movement dikhata hai. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bullish aur sideways trend barqarar rahega ya phir koi tabdeeli dekhne ko milegi. Aaj ke technical outlook ko dekhtay hain. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi buy ka mashwara de rahe hain. Abhi tak koi wazeh faisla nahi kiya gaya hai. UK se kuch zaroori updates aaye hain, lekin wo neutral lag rahi hain. Jabke US se aane wali khabrein zyada optimistic hain, aur kuch ahem updates baqi hain. Is hawale se, yeh pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega, aur 1.3259 ke resistance level tak buying ka imkaan hai. Agar selling hoti hai, toh yeh support level 1.3179 tak ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ka imkaan zyada hai, aur sideways pattern se breakout expected lag raha hai. Aaj, yeh pair sharply bara, apna target hit kar ke reverse hua. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne resistance level 1.3254 ko test kiya, phir pull back kiya, aur ab 1.3203 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. RSI neutral hai lekin upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal de raha hai. Pair abhi tak kal ke trading range ke andar hai, lekin indicators potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain. Main expect karta hoon ke 1.3254 resistance level ka dobara test hoga, aur mumkin hai ke 1.33 range tak break ho. Halat abhi kuch zyada optimistic nahi hain. Buyers ka momentum kamzor lag raha hai, halanke din promising shuru hua tha. GBP/USD abhi tight range mein chal raha hai, jo 1.3139 aur 1.3262 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 1.3199 se upar reh sakta hai, toh mazeed upward movement ho sakti hai. Magar aaj ka ahem point 1.3262 resistance ko break karna hai, jo naye highs ka rasta khol sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3139 se neeche chala gaya, toh short-term downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, aur yeh 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai.
Aaj ke liye, agar hum 4-hour chart par technical nazar daalain, toh hum dekhte hain ke pair ko 1.3130 ke breakout resistance ke upar temporary support mil raha hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average dobara neeche move hui hai. Isliye, agle chand ghanton mein uptrend ka imkaan hai, jisme pehla target 1.3180 ka hoga. Yeh growth ko barhane ke liye ek channel khol sakta hai jo ke 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak jaye ga. Yaad rahe ke agar trading 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar rahti hai, toh pair ki downward correction dobara shuru ho sakti hai, jisme targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se start honge. Niche chart dekhain:
Iss waqt pair weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Large support areas test ki gayi hain, aur barhti hui tension ke bawajood, unhone apni integrity barqarar rakhi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke upward vector ki ahmiyat hai. Growth ko barqarar rakhne ke liye price ko 1.3082 ke upar mazid taqat hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ki sarhad hai. Agar yeh area dobara test hone ke baad rebound hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hoga aur price target area jo 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan hai, us tak pohnch sakti hai.

**Price Action Signals: GBP/USD**

Main is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko analyze kar raha hoon. Rome ka asar kam ho raha hai aur aik nai daur ka aghaz hone wala hai. Yeh transition currencies ko gehri tor par mutasir karegi, jis se nai countries ubhreen gi aur aik ziada effective global system samne aa sakta hai, jo ke mojooda nations ko nuksan nahi pohanchayega. Dollar par dependency ko khatam karna zaroori hai, magar yeh process waqt le ga. Is dauran, dollar apni taqat ko Europe mein apne allies ke muqable mein barqarar rakhne ka imkaan rakhta hai. GBP/USD pair ke analysis mein, aik downward trend ka imkaan hai jisme target 1.2950 ho sakta hai. Halankeh main abhi deeper levels ka zikar nahi kar raha, lekin agar koi correction hoti hai, to naya target 1.3250 ho sakta hai, jo further declines ko delay kar sakta hai.

**Aaj ka GBP/USD chart review**


ye dikhata hai ke trading abhi bhi pehle session ke range ke andar hai. Is liye, market entry dhoondhna zaroori hoga jab kal ke critical levels ka breakdown dekha gaya hai, kyunke sideways channel wide ho raha hai. Main short positions ke liye market mein entry consider karoon ga agar price 1.301 ke support level ke neeche stable ho jata hai. Is surat mein take profit ka target agla price zone 1.316 hoga, aur stop order qareebi high ke thoda upar set kiya jaayega. Dosri taraf, agar buyers resistance 0.885 ko break karte hain, to main long positions ke liye dekhoon ga, jo ke next supply zone 1.321 tak ka raasta day sakta hai. Buyers bullish breakout ke direction mein market mein entry karen ge, aur broken range ke upar consolidation ki koshish karein ge. Aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ke liye aik downward technical correction ka intezaar hai. Overall, October ke end tak 400 points ka downward move, chhoti upward pullbacks ke bawajood, kaafi realistic hai.