جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

H-4 Update Analysis
GBP/USD British Pound - US Dollar
Analysis aur general direction ka currency pair ka movement. Analysis ka time period 4-hour time frame par hai. Linear regression indicator "Extended Regression StopAndReverse" ke sath RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ki reading ko confirm karke market ka analysis karenge, jo ek acha decision lene mein madad karega kisi bhi transaction mein entry ke liye. Positive decision tab liya jaye ga jab tino indicators ke signals match karein. Agar ek bhi indicator baqi do se conflict kare, to transaction cancel kar di jaye gi kyun ke profitability uncertain hogi.
Market mein entry karne ke baad jab quotes positive results ke area ke kareeb pohonchein, tab hum transaction close karne ke liye sab se profitable point determine karenge.
Chart Analysis:
Kaam ke chart par extreme points ko identify karke un par Fibonacci grid banai jaye gi. Jab price Fibonacci correction levels ke kareeb pohonche, tab market se exit hoga. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrument ka direction aur trend show kar rahi hai, neeche ki taraf hai, jo downward trend movement ko indicate karta hai.
Non-linear channel (convex lines), jo near-future ka direction forecast karte hain, uska bhi noticeable downward slope hai. Non-linear regression channel ne golden linear channel line ko top se neeche cross kiya hai aur quotes ka decrease show kiya hai.
RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi sell transaction ke liye approve karte hain kyun ke dono overbought zone mein hain. Price ne red resistance line (2-nd LevelResLine) cross ki, lekin maximum value (HIGH) par pohonchne ke baad grow karna band ho gaya aur price steady decline karne lagi.
Expectations:
Mujhe lagta hai ke market quotes 2-nd LevelResLine ke neeche consolidate karenge aur further neeche move karenge golden middle line LR tak, jo ke linear channel 1.21200 aur Fibonacci level 61.8% ke sath coincide karti hai.

GBP/USD ke 1 hour time frame chart ka jaiza lene par maloom hota hai ke October 7 ke baad se price sirf bearish trend mein chal rahi hai.Yeh tab shuru hua jab price ne moving average lines ko downward cross kiya jo bullish trend se bearish trend mein shift ka signal tha.In teen mahinon ke dauran price ne bohot ziada girawat dekhi magar kuch moqaon par correction bhi hui.Iss hafta Friday ko GBP/USD ne ek mazboot bearish candle banayi jo market mein strong bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Halankeh RSI indicator yeh dikhata hai ke price ab oversold zone mein hai aur is liye GBP/USD ko apne aap ko correct karne ki zarurat hai.Yeh correction ya to price ke upar janay ya phir range bound hone ki surat mein ho sakti hai magar lagta hai ke bearish trend phir se wapas aayega.Weekly chart ke mutabiq price ne kaafi arse tak ascending channel ke andar ka safar kiya magar kuch hafton pehle GBP/USD ne channel ke bottom level ko tod diya aur moving averages ko downward cross karte hue channel ka safar khatam kar diya.Trend ke bearish hone ke bawajood, initial girawat itni ziada nahi thi lekin pichle hafte price ne 1.2350 support level ko challenge kiya aur iss hafta bears ke aggressive reaction ki wajah se yeh support tod diya gaya.Yeh todna bears ke liye raasta clear karta hai jo agle support levels ko target karenge.Uk Construction PMI news buyers ke liye madadgar nahi rahi aur market mein koi khaas reaction nahi aaya.Iske baraks U.S. dollar ki strong fundamentals ki wajah se GBP/USD market aur neeche gir gaya jo 1.2220 level tak pohanch gaya.Buyers ke liye mushkilat is liye barh gayi hain ke unhein ab market ko 1.2300 ke critical resistance level ke upar push karna hoga jo bullish momentum ka signal dega.Agar GBP/USD is level ko tod kar upar jata hai to buyers ko apne losses recover karne ka chance mil sakta hai. Magar strong U.S. dollar ki waja se yeh kaam asaan nahi hoga aur buyers ko is level tak pohanchne ke liye significant buying pressure laana padega jo filhal mushkil nazar aata hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Market Overview:
Abhi koi major economic releases horizon par nahi hain, is liye traders ka focus external factors par hai, jaise global market sentiment aur geopolitical developments, jo breakout ke liye catalyst provide kar sakte hain. Bank of England (BoE) ka interest rates aur inflation par stance bhi central focus mein rahega, kyun ke yeh factors investor sentiment ko direct karte hain.

Filhal, market ek holding pattern mein hai aur short term mein GBP/USD ke major moves ke chances kam hain, jab tak broader market dynamics mein koi significant shift na ho. Abhi traders ek "waiting game" mein hain, aur kisi bhi potential triggers ko closely monitor kar rahe hain—chahe woh economic, political, ya technical factors hon—jo market ko is consolidation phase se nikal sakein.

GBP/USD Technical Levels:

• Support: Immediate support level 1.2475 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break karta hai, to aur downside ka potential barh jata hai. Is case mein agla key target 1.2470 ho sakta hai.
• Resistance: Upside par, 1.2580 ek formidable resistance hai. Agar price is taraf rally karta hai, to is level par kaafi challenges ka samna ho sakta hai.

Lekin jab tak market sentiment mein notable shift ya economic data mein substantial change na aaye, sustainable breakout mushkil lagta hai.

Current Situation:
Pound abhi ek tight range mein stuck hai, aur traders inhi key levels (1.2475 aur 1.2580) par focus rakhenge taake breakout ya reversal ke signals identify kar sakein.

Conclusion:
GBP/USD ka agla major move technical signals aur external catalysts ke combination par depend karega, jo pair ko is range-bound pattern se nikalne ke liye zaroori momentum provide kar sakein. For now, patience aur careful monitoring zaroori hai.

Dear forum ke members aur duniya bhar se aane wale visitors, subah bakhair. Kya is waqt aap log trading kar rahe hain? Ye is hafte ka teesra trading din hai, aur umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge. Aaj main aap ke saath GBP/USD ka commodity analysis share karunga. Chaliye, study shuru karte hain.
Yeh pair rectangle mein trade kar raha hai jab se hukumat ne vaccination program ka elaan kiya hai. Euro dollar aur GBP/USD pair ke mukable yahaan selling direction mein koi khaas movement nahi hui. Jab infected logon ki tadaad kam hui aur Fed ne vaccination program ka elaan kiya, to yeh pair currency pair ke mukable kaafi neeche gir gaya. Doosre flash ke shuru mein yeh 1.2010 ke support se bounce karta hai aur rollback par chala jata hai. GBP/USD ki price H4 time frame par 1.2190 level ke upar consolidate kar rahi hai aur resistance level 1.2320 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Lekin agar price aaj neeche girti hai aur 200-period SMA se neeche break karti hai, to yeh $76.85 ki taraf decline karegi. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, price gir sakti hai kyunke dono negative readings de rahe hain. RSI bhi neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur 30 level ki taraf jaayega, jo ek aur bearish move ka darwaza kholta hai. MACD overbought lag raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price hamare pehle target level 1.2050 ki taraf girayegi.
Jumay ke din ek bearish engulfing form hui thi. Achhe non-farm data ki wajah se pair rollback kar gaya tha. Dollar outbreak ki wajah se sasta ho raha hai, aur yeh kab khatam hoga, iska pata nahi. Mujhe yaqeen nahi hai ke pair abhi bearish takeover ko achieve karega. Lekin economy chahe jo bhi ho, dubegi zarur. Isliye, dollar ab tak ke mukable aur sasta hoga.

GBP/USD ka recent price action mix trend dikhata hai jahan bullish correction aur overall bearish momentum dono dekhnay ko mile. Pichlay haftay price temporarily 1.2574 tak barh gaya, lekin limited buyer support ki wajah se bearish trend wapas dominate kar gaya.Akhri trading session mein price 1.2320 tak gir gaya jo weekly candlestick formation ke zariye confirm karta hai ke bearish sentiment mazboot hai aur sellers ka confidence barh raha hai. Aaj ke market conditions bhi yeh signal dete hain ke price girnay ka silsila jaari rahega aur price ka agla target 1.2300 level ho sakta hai kyun ke seller forces abhi bhi trend ko control kar rahi hain. MACD indicator ka histogram bar zero level ke neeche hai jo bearish trend ko support karta hai aur SELL-focused strategy ka mashwara deta hai. lekin 1-hour timeframe par GBP/USD ne kuch bullish activity dikhayi hai. Price 50-day simple moving average ke upar close hua hai aur ek ascending trendline aur rejection candle ne price ko support kiya hai. Indicators aur moving averages yeh suggest karte hain ke price resistance level 1.2424 tod sakta hai aur higher levels test kar sakta hai.Broader market par buying pressure bhi nazar aa raha hai kyun ke price 200-day simple moving average ke upar chala gaya hai.Lekin abhi bhi price resistance aur support ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai.RSI indicator abhi 35 ke level par hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke price dono taraf move kar sakta hai lekin 30-70 ke range mein rahega.Mukhtasir mein jab ke broader trend bearish hai chhoti timeframes par bullish corrections bhi nazar aa rahi hain. Traders ko zarurat hai ke wo resistance aur support levels ko dhyan se dekhein aur RSI aur stochastic jaise indicators ko analyze karein.Agar bearish setup chahiye toh resistance zone ke aas-paas rejection ka intezar karen jab ke bullish scenarios ke liye resistance ke upar confirmed breakout ka intezar zaruri hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Agar GBPUSD market ki trend situation dekhi jaye, toh lagta hai ke market downside ki taraf chal rahi hai ya phir pichle hafte ke trend ke saath aligned hai, kyunke candlestick ka direction aur purpose bearish side ki taraf move kar raha hai. Haqeeqat mein, pichle hafte ke aaghaz mein ek market condition nazar ayi jo upward correction ki koshish kar rahi thi, lekin candlestick zyada upar nahi ja saki. Agar pichle mahine se is mahine tak rozana ki movement dekhi jaye, toh buyers ki taraf se upward trend banane ki koshish ki gayi, lekin price zyada upar move nahi kar saki. Pichle hafte ke trading period ke dauran price ki situation ab bhi bearish rally ki taraf thi, jo agle hafte ke downward trend ke continuation ka moka kholti hai.
Agar market ka flashback dekha jaye, toh is mahine ke trend conditions ziyada bearish side ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte ke trading period mein bhi market ka trend downtrend mein tha. Hafte ke aaghaz mein price apni journey 1.2421 ke position se shuru karta hai, jo thoda upar 1.2574 ke area tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agle trading period tak market ke close hone tak bearish momentum raha, jiski wajah se price 1.2191 ke position par close hua. Is mahine ke downtrend ki journey kaafi drastic lagti hai, jo agle downtrend market ka moka banati hai. Candlestick lagta hai ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche stably run kar rahi hai, halan ke buyers bullish corrections karne ki koshish karte hain, lekin sirf simple moving average zone 100 tak hi pohanch paate hain.
Agar stochastic indicator signal 5,3,3 ki position dekhi jaye jo zone 20 ko touch kar raha hai, toh meri prediction hai ke agle hafte candlestick phir bearish trend ko continue karne ki taraf run karegi, aur price mazeed neeche current position se ja sakti hai. Meri raye mein, agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, kyunke pichle hafte ka market kaafi drastic tha aur shayad 1.2147 ke area ke aas paas test karne ki koshish kare. Agar yeh koshish kamyab hoti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai GBPUSD pair ke mazeed bearish target ki taraf girne ke chances hain. Lekin agar yeh fail hoti hai, toh price bullish side ki taraf ja sakta hai, halan ke chance ab bhi chhote hain. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein candlestick upward correction kar sakta hai, jo aksar quiet markets mein dekha jata hai.

GBP/USD market ka trend dekh kar lagta hai ke yeh neeche ki taraf chal raha hai aur guzishta hafte ke bearish trend ke saath abhi bhi aligned hai. Candlestick ka movement clear karta hai ke price bearish side par hai. Guzishta hafte ke shuruat mein market ne thoda upward correction ki koshish ki magar price ziada upar nahi ja saka. Agar guzishta mahine se is mahine tak ke price movements dekhein toh buyers ne upward trend banane ki koshish zarur ki lekin price consistently upar move karne mein nakam raha. Guzishta hafte ke trading period mein market kaafi bearish raha jo agle hafte ke liye bhi downtrend continuation ka imkaan deta hai. Pichle mahine ka market flashback dekhein toh trend zyada tar bearish raha hai.Guzishta hafte ka trend bhi Downtrend par tha.Hafte ke shuru mein price 1.2421 par tha jo halka sa upar 1.2574 tak gaya lekin trading week ke baqi dino mein price consistently bearish raha aur 1.2191 par close hua.Iss mahine ka downtrend kaafi strong aur drastic tha jo agle hafte ke liye bhi downward movement ka signal hai.Price abhi tak 100-period simple moving average ke neeche hai aur buyers ki bullish correction ki koshish bhi SMA 100 ke zone tak hi limited rahi.Stochastic indicator signal (5,3,3) ko dekhein toh woh zone 20 ko touch kar raha hai jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke agle hafte candlestick bearish trend ko continue karega.Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price 1.2147 level ko test kare aur agar yeh test successful hota hai toh market ke next bearish target tak girne ke chances barh jayenge.Lekin agar price girne mein fail hota hai toh bullish side ki taraf halki upward movement ho sakti hai lekin yeh chance abhi kam hai.Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein candlestick mein upward correction ka imkaan hai jo aksar quiet markets mein dekhne ko milta hai. Price movement ka yeh overall scenario agle hafte ke liye bearish trend ka zikr kar raha hai.

GBP/USD pair ke liye, main expect karta hoon ke kal ka din closing price, 1.2205, se open hoga, aur daily range kal lagbhag 97 points hogi. Hum thoda correction subah karenge, thoda error ke saath, wind ke liye. Correction ke liye north jaana ka waqt hai, is liye mujhe thoda buy karne ka idea hai, lekin ab tak main darey hoon. Agar hum closing price 1.2205 se open karte hain, aur kal ke liye 97 points ki range hai, to northern range 1.2302 pe exhausted ho jayegi. Mera khayal hai ke wahan hum rollback karenge, umeed hai, aur main opening se buy karne ka risk lunga. Main purchase ko subah tak hold karunga, phir hum daily reversal dekh kar decide karenge, kya moose ko cut karna hai ya north ko confirm karna hai aur 1.2302 tak jaana hai.
Agar Friday ke girawat ko stir karte hain, to phir humare paas dobara se south ki taraf mess ho sakti hai daily range ke towards, jo 1.2108 pe exhausted ho jayegi, lekin mujhe shak hai, jaise hamesha hota hai, ke poori range wash out hogi, khas taur pe Monday hone ke wajah se. Agar hum south jate hain, to main fence pe rahunga, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke Friday break se pehle north mein thoda buy karna worth hai, aur subah jab daytime reversals aayenge, to main zyada calmly direction decide kar sakta hoon, umeed hai mere raspberries ko khatara nahi hoga.
Purchase 1.2320 se open hui thi, aur stop Pivot 1.2301 se 10 points neeche 1.2291 pe tha, halanke yeh sahi tarah se kaam nahi kiya, lekin lot chhota tha. Girawat ke baad buy ka signal aaya tha, lekin woh kaam nahi kiya aur radar se gayab ho gaya. Phir maine Dragon ko dekha 1.2261 ke hump level ke saath, lekin yeh pattern bhi develop nahi hua. Ab tak, maine teen levels identify kiye hain, do resistances 1.2237 (pichla low), 1.2261 (correction maximum after decline), aur support - 1.2191. Dekhte hain ke price opening se kaha jata hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke north develop hoga, opening par gap hoga aur Wednesday tak significant correction hoga, aur phir humare paas kaafi busy program hoga. Subah UK CPI publish hoga, aur American session se pehle US CPI. Chalo, dekhte hain. Growth ho sakti hai, New Year holidays aur badhi hui expenses ko dekhte hue, inflation ko terms mein reduce nahi kiya ja sakta. Forecast mein UK CPI unchanged hai, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh green mein aayega. Jahan tak yeh pohnchta hai, wohi main resistance level hoga. Yeh meri soch hai. Sab traders ko achi kismat ho!

GBP/USD: Price Outlook

Ek bearish sentiment pichle Jumme ko GBPUSD market mein nazar aya, jo is pair ki upar ki trajectory mein temporary pullback ko zahir karta hai. Recent decline kuch fikr paida kar sakti hai, magar ise ek short-term session samjha jata hai na ke ek lambi muddat ka trend reversal. Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ke madad se, is pair par buy entry ka mashwara diya jata hai, jisme goal lagbhag 1.2278 rakha gaya hai. Yeh level potential resistance ke sath align karta hai aur recovery phase ke doran munafa hasil karne ke liye realistic target hai. GBPUSD fundamentally kuch ahem factors ke zariye support karta hai, jo aanay walay sessions mein bullish momentum ko dobara janam de sakte hain. GBPUSD investors ko traditional tools aur techniques ka faida uthana chahiye. Technical analysis ko fundamental insights ke sath mila kar pair ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Tools jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur candlestick patterns madadgar ho sakte hain optimal entry aur exit points identify karne mein.

Fundamental analysis, jaise macroeconomic factors ka jaiza lena - inflation data, central bank ke faislay, aur geopolitical developments - market ke overall direction par roshni daalte hain. Ek balanced strategy develop karna zaroori hai jo short-term fluctuations aur broader trends ke sath adjust ho sake. Losses ko minimize karne ke liye stop-loss levels set karna aur un par sakhti se amal karna zaroori hai, jo positions ko adverse market movements se bachata hai. Position sizing investor ki risk tolerance aur GBPUSD ki volatility ke mutabiq calculate karni chahiye. Aik clear aur disciplined approach apnana ensure karta hai ke decisions rationally liye jayein, na ke emotions ke under. GBPUSD market mein munafa hasil karna consistent market data evaluation aur decisive actions lene ki salahiyat par mabni hai. US aur UK economies se mutaliq economic reports aur announcements ka updated rehna intehai zaroori hai. GDP, employment, aur interest rate policies ka data pair ki performance par gehri asar dalta hai. Financial markets mein sentiment ko track karna investor behavior aur nayi opportunities ko highlight karne mein madad deta hai. Hal hi mein jo bearish sentiment aya tha, woh temporary tha, aur is wajah se buy entry ka ek mazboot moka samne ata hai, jiska goal 1.2278 hai. Traditional tools aur techniques ka istemal, careful planning, aur disciplined execution ke zariye investors GBPUSD market mein apna potential maximize kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj ke macroeconomic calendar ko dekhte hue, ham ek pur sokun tejarati din ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain.
Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ka joda pahle hi ek muqami nichli satah par pahunchne me kamyab ho chuka hai, jo pichle hafte ki kam tarin satah 1.2190 se niche gir gaya hai, jis se zahir hota hai keh joda kamzori ko badha sakta hai. Halankeh, mai ab bhi kam az kam ek mamuli ucchal ki tawaqqo karta hun, halankeh qimat pahle hi 61.8% Fibonacci level (1.2119) se niche gir chuki hai, jahan se tezi se islah ki tawaqqo ki ja sakti hai.
Yaqinan, abhi 61.8% Fibonacci level ke haqiqi breakout ke bare me bat karna jald bazi hogi. Agar waqayi aisa hai to, bullish move ka intezar na karna behtar hai, balkeh fauri taur par 100% Fibonacci level ko nishana banaya jaye, jo keh 1.1854 ki support satah ke sath mawafiq hai.
Agar qimat 1.2119 ke nishan se ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, mandi ka scenario mansukh ho jayega.



1-ghante ke chart par, pound/dollar ki jodi ki qadar me kami jari hai. Halankeh, jode ki mustaqbil ki harkiyat ki peshan goi karna abhi jald bazji hogi. European session ke aaghaz ka intezar karna behtar hai.
Yah dekhte hue keh Bartanwi pound is waqt overbought hai, ham kam az kam guzishtah Jumah ke muqable me tezi ki islah ki ummid kar sakte hain.
Ek behtarin scenario me, qimat ko apne nuqsanat ko dobara shuru karne se pahle 76.4% Fibonacci level par wapas aani chahiye, jo keh 1.2274 ke nishan ke sath mawafiq hai. Mutabadil taur par, ham maujudah satahon se 123.6% Fibonacci level tak mazid kami dekh sakte hain, jo keh 1.2093 ki support satah tak mawafiq hai.

جنوری 13 2025 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، امریکہ سے مضبوط روزگار کے اعداد و شمار کے بعد، پاؤنڈ سٹرلنگ 1.2186 پر ایک اہم سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچ گیا اور اس نے آج صبح اس کی نقل و حرکت کو روک دیا ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن اپنے نزول چینل سے باہر نکل گئی ہے، جو کہ مسلسل مندی کا منظر پیش کرتی ہے۔ تاہم، اس رجحان کو ترقی دینے کے لیے، قیمت کو 1.2186 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے توڑنا چاہیے۔ اگر اس سطح کی خلاف ورزی کی جاتی ہے اور قیمت اس سے نیچے جاتی ہے تو اگلا ہدف 1.2036 پر ہوگا۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، ایک ہلکا اختلاف پیدا ہوا ہے، جو کہ تصحیح کے امکان کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔

نیچے کے رجحان کو برقرار رکھنے کے لیے، قیمت کو نہ صرف 1.2186 کی سطح سے نیچے ٹوٹنے کی ضرورت ہے بلکہ چار گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں اس کے نیچے مضبوط ہونا بھی ضروری ہے۔ اگر ایسا نہیں ہوتا ہے، تو یہ 1.2294 مزاحمتی سطح کی طرف اصلاح کا باعث بن سکتا ہے۔

آج امریکہ یا یورپ سے کسی بڑی خبر کی توقع نہ ہونے کے ساتھ، تصحیح کو مکمل طور پر سامنے آنے میں دو دن لگ سکتے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair ke liye correction ka risk kaafi zyada hai. H 1 timeframe mein mujhe lagta hai ke southern cycle khatam ho chuki hai aur ab main standby mode mein hoon. Mujhe yeh samajhne mein dilemma ho raha hai ke kya pair daily minimum ko dubara rewrite karega ya ek chhoti si correction mein chala jayega.Mere khayal mein ek zigzag pattern banega jo ke aaj ke 1.2175 par recorded local maximum ko tod dega.Wahan se main downward movement ke signal ka intezar karunga kyun ke higher time frames southern trend ke continuation ka ishara kar rahe hain.Lower charts (M15 aur M30) par mujhe lagta hai ke price upward move ke liye tayar hai jo shayad American trading session ke dauran ho sakta hai. Mujhe media ki hype irrelevant lagti hai, aur main distractions ko ignore karte hue sirf technical aspects par focus karta hoon. Mujhe wedge pattern ka kaam karta hua lagta hai jo mujhe significant lagta hai.Main gold ka ek reversal pehle observe kar chuka hoon jo materialize nahi hua tha aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pattern ab relevant hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price kam az kam 1.1976 tak test karega, aur phir 1.1898 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Agar price 1.1823 todta hai toh long-term target 1.0450 ka hona shuru ho sakta hai.Mujhe lagta hai ke 1.1823 ke todne ke baad price 36 tak nahi uthega.Iss wajah se mujhe lagta hai ke further decline hoga aur ab pair ek strong initial support level tak pohanch chuka hai.Mere liye yeh waqt GBP/USD ko long term basis par trade karne ka nahi hai.
Main dekhta hoon ke price MA200 moving average ke upar hai jo ek upward momentum ka sign hai.Pichle trading day ke doosre half mein instrument days opening ke upar trade karta raha aur higher close kiya, jo ek bullish signal hai.Market quotes upper Bollinger band ke kareeb hain, jo ek upward trend aur further growth ki high probability ko indicate karta hai. Main RSI indicator (14-period) ko bhi trading decisions mein rely karta hoon aur overbought (above 70) ya oversold (below 30) condition mein trade nahi karta.Filhaal mujhe RSI value long position initiate karne ke liye acceptable lagti hai.Main apna take profit Fibonacci level 100% (1.2375) par set karne ka plan karta hoon aur higher profits ke liye apne position ko next Fibonacci targets par trail karne ka iraada rakhta hoon.

"GBP/USD ka 30-minute time frame chart dekhte huye, price is waqt 1.21687 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Chart par Bollinger Bands ka istemal kiya gaya hai jo price ki volatility aur trend direction samajhne mein madad karta hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne lower band ke qareeb support liya aur ab upward movement kar rahi hai. Yeh movement bullish reversal ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, magar resistance zone 1.22000 ke aas-paas hai jo ek aham level ban sakta hai.
Agar price 1.22000 ka level todti hai, to agla target 1.22300 ya us se upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price yahan se niche girti hai, to 1.21460 ka support kaafi strong nazar aa raha hai. Agar yeh support tod diya gaya, to price phir se 1.21100 ke level tak gir sakti hai, jo is waqt ka secondary support area lagta hai.
Chart mein downward trend kaafi arse tak chalta raha, magar ab upward correction shuru ho gayi hai. Yeh bhi zaruri hai ke Bollinger Bands ke tight hone ka matlub hai ke market mein consolidation phase chal raha hai, jo agay kisi bade breakout ki taraf ishara karta hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna hoga ke agle chand candles kis direction mein jaate hain, kyun ke yeh unke decision making ke liye zaruri hai.
Aise scenarios mein, risk management ka khayal rakhna zaruri hai. Stop-loss ka istemal karna chahiye aur entry points carefully choose karne chahiye. Intraday traders ke liye yeh levels important hain kyun ke price ya to resistance tod kar upar ja sakti hai ya support tod kar niche gir sakti hai.
Yeh chart abhi ek neutral to bullish bias show kar raha hai, magar final confirmation ke liye agli few candles ka wait karna hoga. Apni trading strategy mein technical indicators aur fundamental analysis ko shamil karna hamesha faida mand hota hai."

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Agar GBPUSD market ki trend situation dekhi jaye, toh lagta hai ke market downside ki taraf chal rahi hai ya phir pichle hafte ke trend ke saath aligned hai, kyunke candlestick ka direction aur purpose bearish side ki taraf move kar raha hai. Haqeeqat mein, pichle hafte ke aaghaz mein ek market condition nazar ayi jo upward correction ki koshish kar rahi thi, lekin candlestick zyada upar nahi ja saki. Agar pichle mahine se is mahine tak rozana ki movement dekhi jaye, toh buyers ki taraf se upward trend banane ki koshish ki gayi, lekin price zyada upar move nahi kar saki. Pichle hafte ke trading period ke dauran price ki situation ab bhi bearish rally ki taraf thi, jo agle hafte ke downward trend ke continuation ka moka kholti hai.
Agar market ka flashback dekha jaye, toh is mahine ke trend conditions ziyada bearish side ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte ke trading period mein bhi market ka trend downtrend mein tha. Hafte ke aaghaz mein price apni journey 1.2421 ke position se shuru karta hai, jo thoda upar 1.2574 ke area tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agle trading period tak market ke close hone tak bearish momentum raha, jiski wajah se price 1.2191 ke position par close hua. Is mahine ke downtrend ki journey kaafi drastic lagti hai, jo agle downtrend market ka moka banati hai. Candlestick lagta hai ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche stably run kar rahi hai, halan ke buyers bullish corrections karne ki koshish karte hain, lekin sirf simple moving average zone 100 tak hi pohanch paate hain.
Agar stochastic indicator signal 5,3,3 ki position dekhi jaye jo zone 20 ko touch kar raha hai, toh meri prediction hai ke agle hafte candlestick phir bearish trend ko continue karne ki taraf run karegi, aur price mazeed neeche current position se ja sakti hai. Meri raye mein, agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, kyunke pichle hafte ka market kaafi drastic tha aur shayad 1.2147 ke area ke aas paas test karne ki koshish kare. Agar yeh koshish kamyab hoti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai GBPUSD pair ke mazeed bearish target ki taraf girne ke chances hain. Lekin agar yeh fail hoti hai, toh price bullish side ki taraf ja sakta hai, halan ke chance ab bhi chhote hain. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein candlestick upward correction kar sakta hai, jo aksar quiet markets mein dekha jata hai

GBP/USD pair ke liye, main expect karta hoon ke kal ka din closing price, 1.2205, se open hoga, aur daily range kal lagbhag 97 points hogi. Hum thoda correction subah karenge, thoda error ke saath, wind ke liye. Correction ke liye north jaana ka waqt hai, is liye mujhe thoda buy karne ka idea hai, lekin ab tak main darey hoon. Agar hum closing price 1.2205 se open karte hain, aur kal ke liye 97 points ki range hai, to northern range 1.2302 pe exhausted ho jayegi. Mera khayal hai ke wahan hum rollback karenge, umeed hai, aur main opening se buy karne ka risk lunga. Main purchase ko subah tak hold karunga, phir hum daily reversal dekh kar decide karenge, kya moose ko cut karna hai ya north ko confirm karna hai aur 1.2302 tak jaana hai.
Agar Friday ke girawat ko stir karte hain, to phir humare paas dobara se south ki taraf mess ho sakti hai daily range ke towards, jo 1.2108 pe exhausted ho jayegi, lekin mujhe shak hai, jaise hamesha hota hai, ke poori range wash out hogi, khas taur pe Monday hone ke wajah se. Agar hum south jate hain, to main fence pe rahunga, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke Friday break se pehle north mein thoda buy karna worth hai, aur subah jab daytime reversals aayenge, to main zyada calmly direction decide kar sakta hoon, umeed hai mere raspberries ko khatara nahi hoga.
Purchase 1.2320 se open hui thi, aur stop Pivot 1.2301 se 10 points neeche 1.2291 pe tha, halanke yeh sahi tarah se kaam nahi kiya, lekin lot chhota tha. Girawat ke baad buy ka signal aaya tha, lekin woh kaam nahi kiya aur radar se gayab ho gaya. Phir maine Dragon ko dekha 1.2261 ke hump level ke saath, lekin yeh pattern bhi develop nahi hua. Ab tak, maine teen levels identify kiye hain, do resistances 1.2237 (pichla low), 1.2261 (correction maximum after decline), aur support - 1.2191. Dekhte hain ke price opening se kaha jata hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke north develop hoga, opening par gap hoga aur Wednesday tak significant correction hoga, aur phir humare paas kaafi busy program hoga. Subah UK CPI publish hoga, aur American session se pehle US CPI. Chalo, dekhte hain. Growth ho sakti hai, New Year holidays aur badhi hui expenses ko dekhte hue, inflation ko terms mein reduce nahi kiya ja sakta. Forecast mein UK CPI unchanged hai, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh green mein aayega. Jahan tak yeh pohnchta hai, wohi main resistance level hoga. Yeh meri soch hai. Sab traders ko achi kismat ho