gbp/usd

Good afternoon, guys. Aaj raat NFP release se pehle, chaliye apne aap ko trade karne ke liye achi tarah se prepare karte hain aur umeed hai ke hamara pehle se banaya hua trading plan maximum results de sake. Aaj mai aap sab ke sath GBP/USD pair ka analysis share karunga jo ke resistance 1.2850 se decline hua hai, aur iss se seller ki taqat kaafi important role ada karti nazar aati hai further weakening mein. Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur GBP/USD ke trading signals kaise hain jo maine neeche summarize kiye hain.
GBP/USD ka movement abhi bhi strong downtrend experience kar raha hai aur 1.2850 area mein jo price increase hui thi, us se pair mein sharp decline aaya. Phir buyers ko price ko aur zyada upar le jane mein abhi bhi mushkilat ka samna hai, hum simply price increase ko anticipate karte hain NFP ke doran, aur agar price resistance area tak spike kare, toh seller price ko dobara weaken kar sakta hai aur H4 timeframe pe bearish candlestick ke sath closing kar sakta hai, meri raaye ke mutabiq. Aur phir hume 1.2800 level ko observe karna hoga jo ke abhi SBR area hai current bearish wave mein, is liye maine us area mein white box provide kiya hai.


Main sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega.

Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni. Umeed hai ke hum GBP/USD movement pe iss week profit ko optimize kar sakenge.

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GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha.
Summary ke taur par, filhal mujhe local market mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha, lekin agar buyers nearest resistance level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to unka focus zyada distant northern targets ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.

Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American session ke start aur price growth data ke publication ke baad hi shuru honge.

GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.

Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American session ke start aur price growth data ke publication ke baad hi shuru honge.

GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.

Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American session ke start aur price growth data ke publication ke baad hi shuru honge.
Ed

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis
**GBP/USD Ki Fundamental Analysis**
**1. Muashi Indicators Ka Asar**

GBP/USD (British Pound vs US Dollar) ki rate par muashi indicators ka bara asar hota hai. British economy aur American economy ki halat, interest rates, GDP growth, aur inflation jaise factors exchange rate ko mutasir karte hain. Agar UK ki economy mazboot hoti hai aur interest rates barh rahe hote hain, tou Pound ki demand barh jaati hai, jo ke GBP/USD rate ko upar le jaati hai. Iske bar'aks, agar US economy mazboot hoti hai tou Dollar ki demand barhti hai aur GBP/USD niche girta hai.

**2. Political Factors Aur Policy Decisions**

Political factors aur government ki policies bhi GBP/USD ki movement par asar andaz hoti hain. Brexit ke doran Pound ki value mein kafi zyada volatility dekhi gayi. Aise hi, US ki trade policies, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, aur UK ke fiscal policies bhi exchange rate ko direct ya indirect taur par influence karti hain. Agar koi unexpected political event hota hai tou market mein uncertainty barhti hai, jo ki currency pairs ki volatility mein izafa karti hai.

**3. Market Sentiment Aur Speculation**

Market sentiment aur speculation bhi GBP/USD par aham asar dalte hain. Investors aur traders ka trust ya unka dar market ki direction ko mutasir karta hai. Agar investors ko lagta hai ke UK economy mazid acha perform karegi tou woh GBP mein invest karte hain, jis se Pound ki value barhti hai. Isi tarah agar US economy se related negative news aati hai tou Dollar girta hai aur GBP/USD rate barh sakta hai.

**4. Global Events Ka Asar**

Global events jaise ke wars, natural disasters, aur pandemics ka bhi GBP/USD par asar hota hai. Jab bhi koi bara global event hota hai, currencies safe-haven assets jese ke US Dollar mein shift hoti hain, jis se Dollar ki value barhti hai aur GBP/USD niche gir sakta hai.

**Conclusion**

In tamam factors ko dekhte huay, GBP/USD ki fundamental analysis kafi complex ho sakti hai. Muashi indicators, political scenarios, market sentiment, aur global events ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai jab aap is currency pair mein trade karne ka sochte hain. Is analysis ki madad se aap better trading decisions le sakte hain aur potential risks ko minimize kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair

4-Hour Chart Analysis

4-hour chart par price upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai ek aise period ke baad jahan trading sideways direction mein chal rahi thi, upper channel lines se resistance face karti aur weekly pivot level se support milta raha. Is haftay price ne downward trend ke price channels mein trading shuru ki thi jo pichle do hafton ke price movement ko represent kar raha tha, aur price upper channel lines par trade kar rahi thi, lekin ab price ne channels ko break karne mein success paayi hai.

Ab expect kiya ja raha hai ke price ya toh rise karti rahegi ya weekly resistance level 1.2825 par rise rok legi aur channels ko dobara retest karne ke liye gir sakti hai, phir phir se rise ho sakti hai.

Isliye, trading advice yeh hai ke buying opportunities par focus kiya jaye, kyunki agar price resistance 1.2825 ko break karke uspe ek ghante ke liye stabilize ho jati hai, toh buy entry consider kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price channel line tak girti hai aur upar rebound karti hai toh bhi buy kiya ja sakta hai.

Economic Analysis

Economic side par, US dollar ki price rise ka scope zyada limited nazar aata hai, kyunki “US dollar” ko expected se zyada decline wale latest initial unemployment claims report se support mila hai. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, August 3 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye unemployment benefits ke liye American applicants ki tadaad 233,000 tak gir gayi, jo market expectations 240,000 se kam thi aur pichle haftay ke upwardly revised 250,000 se bhi kam thi. Pichle haftay ke bleak US employment data ke baad, signs ke US labor market expected se zyada strong ho sakta hai, US dollar ko Thursday afternoon ko support mila.

US jobs data par comment karte hue, RSM US LLP ke chief economist Joe Brusuelas ne X online platform par kaha: “US initial jobless claims ka significant drop 233,000 tak. Is range mein kuch bhi hona ek healthy labor market ko indicate karta hai. Seasonally adjusted 203,000. Texas mein 7,000 tak ka significant drop. Yeh suggest karta hai ke July jobs report mein weather ka role hone ke doubts, khaaskar jo log full-time ya part-time kaam nahi kar rahe – yeh doubts sahi hain.”

Good morning, aap kaise hain aaj? Umeed hai ke sab khair makdam mein hon aur aaj aapki sari activities achi tarah chalengi. GBPUSD ka movement pichle trading session mein kaafi barh gaya tha jahan USD ki kamzori ab bhi is pair ko bullish direction mein le ja rahi thi. Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar kamzor huwa kyunke US government bond yields gir gayi thiin July ke kamzor-than-expected PPI report ke wajah se, jo September FOMC meeting mein Fed ke interest rate cut ke chances ko barhawa deti hai. Aaj ka stock rally bhi dollar ke liye liquidity ki demand ko kam kar raha hai. Phir bhi, UK ka inflation rate 7.9 percent annually tak gir gaya hai, jo GBPUSD ke future movement par significant impact daal sakta hai.

Technical perspective se, agar aap current daily timeframe pattern dekhen, to price phir se barh gayi hai, middle Bollinger ko break karte hue aur ek strong bullish daily candle ke saath close hui hai. Price ne kuch EMAs, EMA 7.21 aur 55 ke upar move bhi kiya hai. Yeh ek strong signal hai ke price ki increase continue karne ki potential hai, halan ke yeh pehle kuch nearby supports ko test kar sakta hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI bhi strong bullish signal dikhate hain; stochastic sharply rise kar raha hai aur 80 area tak pahuncha hai, jabke RSI bhi barh raha hai aur 30 area ke paas aa raha hai, jo bullish signal ko aur mazid strong banata hai. Existing patterns ko dekhte hue, buy setup trade karna zyada attractive lagta hai.

Trading options ke liye, aap buy limit option ko nearest support par 1.2831 par le sakte hain aur take profit ko resistance 1.2941 aur long-term target 1.3044 par rakh sakte hain. Dusra option hai deeper support par 1.2806 par buy limit lagana aur bullish target ko same area 1.3044 rakhna as a long-term target. Stop loss 1.2780 ke niche rakha ja sakta hai. Happy trading aur shukriya!

Pound Sterling ko Budh ke din kuch challenges ka samna karna para jab usne 1.2700 level ko breach karne ki koshish ki lekin aakhir mein ismein kami reh gayi. Bada market, jo pichlay haftay ke akhri dinon mein disappointing US economic data ke natay ek tez girawat ke baad se dheema hai, ab bhi subdued hai. Ye girawat recession fears ko barhawa dene ki wajah se hui thi. Halankay investor sentiment mein kuch behtari nazar aa rahi hai, lekin recovery ab bhi kamzor hai kyun ke mazeed compelling catalysts ka fauqdan hai. Iss haftay ke baqiya dinon mein limited economic data schedule hone ki wajah se market ka diyan September mein Federal Reserve ke potential 50 basis point interest rate cut par hai. Traders agle haftay mein key economic indicators ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jin mein UK employment data, US PPI aur CPI inflation figures, UK GDP growth, aur US retail sales shaamil hain. Interest rate futures yeh dikhate hain ke September mein 50 basis point rate cut ka strong probability hai, aur saal ke akhir tak do mazeed cuts honge. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Fed ka benchmark interest rate December tak 425-450 basis points ke range mein pohanch sakta hai. Technical tor par, GBP/USD ne 200-day EMA se upar trade karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, lekin overall bullish momentum mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke buyers ko traction hasil karne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Yeh pair apne 12-month high se mid-July mein taqreeban 3% decline ho chuka hai, jiski wajah se long-term investors recent lows par potential support levels dhoondne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Summary mein, GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2700 level se neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jahan market sentiment recession fears aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke expectations se mutasir hai. Iss haftay ke important economic data ki kami ki wajah se price movement mein kami dekhne ko mili hai, aur traders agle haftay ke key indicators ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake mazid direction mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair broken bullish channel ke neeche ke band ki taraf wapas chala jaye, jo 1.2814 par waqia hai, agar yeh 1.2670 ke qareeb ek mazboot footing banane mein kamiyab hota hai. 20-day SMA, jo kuch zyada upar hai, aur 23.6% Fibonacci number, jo 1.2867 par hai, inke wajah se 1.3000 zone ki taraf major acceleration rok di jayegi.

GBP/USD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, pound/dollar ki jodi waqayi chamki. Halankeh yah haliyah dino me nisbatan inactive tha, kal isne tamam ummidon ko paar kar liya aur pahle se tai shudah tamam hadaf ko hasil kar liya. Halankeh, aaj iski sakht ki buniyad par, yah aaj shayad hi niche ki taraf paltega. Iske bar-aks, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh yah ooper ki taraf badhta rahega. Sirf sawal yah hai keh kya yah maujudah satahon se mudega ya 1.28232 ki support satah par islahi qadam uthayega aur fir 1.29222 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badhega.
GBP/USD

Kal supply area mein 1.2805 ke price par atke rehne ke baad, GBPUSD ne thoda sa girawat dekhi. Main ne socha ke movement niche jayegi, lekin asal mein area buyers ke strong pressure ki wajah se penetrate ho gaya. Pichle Tuesday ko GBPUSD ki movement kafi badi thi, kyun ke ye 100 pips tak move kar gaya. Us waqt candle 1.2765 se 1.2865 tak chal gayi thi, jiski wajah se Wednesday ki market opening pichle mahine se kafi uchi thi.

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze karein, to candle abhi bhi supply area mein 1.2864 ke price par stuck hai. Jab tak ye supply area pass nahi hota, GBPUSD ki movement down hone ka possibility hai. Lekin agar supply area break ho jata hai, to movement continue upward bhi ho sakti hai. Ek doji candle pattern bhi resistance area mein nazar aayi hai, jo aam tor par GBPUSD ki movement ko down bana sakti hai. Agar supply area penetrate hota hai to GBPUSD ka target resistance ke upar, jo 1.2989 ke aas-paas hai, ho sakta hai. Aur agar GBPUSD movement down hoti hai, to support area 1.2684 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

Ichimoku indicator se analyze karne par, since candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, GBPUSD ki movement upwards jaane ki trend dikha rahi hai. Ye position indicate karti hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Indicator ye bhi batata hai ke Wednesday ko GBPUSD ke rise hone ke chances kafi hain, kyun ke candle Kumo ke upar bhi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke upward pressure strong hai.

Lekin stochastic indicator ye show kar raha hai ke GBPUSD overbought hai. Shayad near future mein GBPUSD ki movement gir sakti hai, lekin ye zaroori nahi hai, kabhi kabhi aise position mein price upar bhi ja sakti hai. Point ye hai ke stochastic agar level 20 ko penetrate karta hai, to mujhe cautious rehna hoga kyun ke movement kabhi bhi reverse ho sakti hai. Mere liye aaj GBPUSD ki rise par focus hai.

To conclusion ye hai ke aaj GBPUSD upar jayega agar supply area 1.2868 ko break kar deta hai, aur agar nahi hota to GBPUSD ki movement down ho sakti hai. Ichimoku indicator ke according candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hone ki wajah se, upward movement ke chances abhi bhi bade hain. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke buy position tab open karein jab supply break ho jaye. Take profit target ko nearest support 1.2790 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko resistance 1.2880 par place kar sakte hain.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake.
Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Wednesday ko dono taraf, Atlantic ke is paar bhi, release honay wali hain. Core UK CPI inflation ki umeed hai ke July mein YoY 3.4% tak neeche aayegi, jo pehle 3.5% thi. US side par, markets umeed kar rahe hain ke US inflation figures mein cool-off jaari rahega, aur July mein core US CPI 3.2% tak ease karne ki forecast hai, jo pehle 3.3% thi.

Winning Trades with GBP/USD

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne se mutaliq hai. British pound ne medium-term support line se rebound kiya aur 1.2631 ko touch kiya. Iske baad trend ne poori tarah se reversal dikhaya, aur ab ye pair confident bullish growth show kar raha hai, jiske khilaf abhi trade karna munasib nahi hai. Pair ne solid horizontal resistance ko 1.2671 par break kiya, jis se buyers ka confidence barh gaya aur agay mazeed growth ka potential khul gaya, jo shayad 1.2739 weekly peak tak pohanch sakti hai. Is raste mein abhi tak koi significant rukawat nazar nahi aati. Mai abhi buying ya selling consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke dollar sab currencies ke muqablay mei kamzor ho raha hai. GBP/USD currency pair abhi uptrend mei hai, jise heavy moving average se tasdeeq milti hai, jisse price bar-bar bounce karti hai. Abhi hum 1.2631 ke level par hain. Supply zone shayad last trading session ke doran tha. Yahan price ne baar baar bounce kiya hai, lekin bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye resistance ko 1.2661 par break karna zaroori hai.

Doosri taraf, growth aur candle ka 1.2691 se upar close hona pair ko 1.280 tak le ja sakta hai aur weekly triangle ke upper limit ko test kar sakta hai. Britain mei rate situation ajeeb hai. Inflation 2% tak girne ke bawajood, Central Bank aise react kar raha hai jese kuch nahi hua, jiska ilzam aane wale elections par dala ja raha hai aur achanak moves se bachne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Central Bank mein Conservative representatives hone ke bawajood, Labour Party ko faida dena nahi chahte. Ye stance halat ko aur bigar sakta hai. Phir bhi, pound aaj barhta raha hai. GBP/USD mei upward aur downward movements ka potential hai, jo critical levels aur market reactions par depend karta hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 levels ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh agle significant moves ko indicate karenge.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair ka Tajziya**

**Maujooda Market Ki Halat**

GBP/USD currency pair is waqt bearish sentiment ka shikar hai. Haal hi ke corrections mein prices 1.2706 ke low se 1.2839 ke high tak fluctuate kar chuki hain. Iss latest correction ko dekhte hue, hum Fibonacci analysis apply kar sakte hain, jisme 161.8% level 1.2630 par locate hota hai. Yeh level support level 1.2612 se achi tarah align hota hai, jo ke June mein dekhe gaye minimum ke mutabiq hai.

Iske bawajood, koi significant barriers nahi hain jo ke price ko neeche round support level 1.2500 tak girne se rok sakte hain.

**Trading Strategy**

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, descending channel ke andar kisi bhi buying opportunity se parheiz karna munasib hoga. Iske baraks, agar price iss channel ki upper boundary ke qareeb aaye, to ye ek achi selling opportunity pesh kar sakta hai.

**Fibonacci Analysis**

Iss waqt trend ke continuation ki tawaqo hai, jisme price ke apne next support levels ki taraf girne ke imkaanaat mazboot hain. Pehla target 1.2630 hoga, jo ke ek mazboot technical level ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Iske neeche, 1.2612—jo ke June ka low reflect karta hai—ek critical price point hoga. Agar price in levels se neeche break karti hai, to round number 1.25 tak girawat ka imkaan barhta hai.

**Bearish Sentiment**

Kul mila kar, yeh analysis ek bearish market sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur descending channel ki boundaries ke andar sell positions par tawajjoh deni chahiye. Har price movement ko monitor karna aur jab price lower support levels ke qareeb aaye, selling opportunities ko explore karna zaroori hai. Yeh strategy maujooda market trend ke sath align hokar profits ko maximize karne mein madad karegi.

**Potential Targets**

GBP/USD pair iss waqt significant downward targets show karta hai agar market apni existing trajectory ko maintain karta hai. Traders ko lower fractal levels aur Bollinger Bands ke behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye potential entry points ke liye.

اگست 14 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

منگل کو، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 1.2847 کے ہدف کی سطح کو عبور کر کے اور توازن اشارے کی لائن سے اوپر ٹوٹ کر اہم پیش رفت کی۔ اسی وقت، مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کی طرف رجحان والے علاقے میں چلا گیا۔



مجموعہ میں، یہ 1.3124/41 کی ہدف کی حد، یا اس سے بھی زیادہ، 1.3195 کی سطح کی طرف مزید پیشرفت کے لیے ایک امید افزا نقطہ نظر کھولتا ہے۔ مجموعی طور پر، قیمت کا مقصد گرین پرائس چینل کی بالائی حد تک پہنچنا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں قیمت 1.2847 کی سطح سے اوپر آ گئی ہے۔ مزید بڑھنے سے پہلے دباؤ کو کم کرنے کے لیے مارلن آسیلیٹر قدرے نیچے کی طرف جھک گیا ہے۔ قیمت کے خلاف ورزی کی سطح سے اوپر ایک معمولی استحکام سے گزرنے کا امکان ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*