جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Technical indicators ke ilawa, support aur resistance ke key levels ka dehan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Aapko 1.3230 ka region observe karna chahiye jo ke sab se qareebi resistance level hai. Agar price is level ko achi volume ke sath breach kar le, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke price 1.3500 tak ya us se bhi ooper ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar market mein correction ya selling pressure aata hai, toh qareebi support level 1.2990 ke aas paas hai, jo ek significant area ho sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement bhi istimaal kar sakte hain is research ko support karne ke liye. 61.8% retracement level, swing low se swing high tak, 1.2200 ke region mein located hai, jo ke ek aham support level bhi hai. Agar price neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek achi jagah ho sakti hai buyers ke liye. Bullish rise ke liye pehla target 1.2300 region mein ho sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% retracement level ke aas paas hai. Price ka breakout peechle Daily high ke ooper aur price ka Daily aur H4 timeframes par 20 SMA se uper position hona, technical analysis mein bullish bias ko show karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic, CCI, aur OsMA bhi is bullish bias ko support karte hain. Lekin, price ke aagey barhne se pehle koi chhoti correction ya consolidation zaroor ho sakti hai. Is liye traders ko support aur resistance ke levels ko dekhte rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi unexpected price movements se bachne ke liye risk management ko sahi tareeqe se implement karna chahiye. Akhir mein, technical aspects aur price ka 20 SMA se ooper hona ek mazboot buy opportunity ko show karta hai jo GBP/USD pair ko is haftay ke start mein mil raha hai. Traders ko resistance level par kisi bhi correction ke imkaanaat se hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading session ke start mein candlestick pattern ko closely dekhna chahiye. Agar aap achi analysis aur discipline ka riyaasat karte hain, toh profit ke imkaanaat kaafi hain. Umeed hai ke yeh research aap sab dostoon ke liye trading mein achi decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hogi, aur hum sab consistent profits hasil kar sakte hain is haftay. Aap sab ko Monday mubarak ho aur trading mein kaamyabi naseeb ho!

Naye hafta ke liye conditions waisi hi hain jaise Friday subah ko thi. Din ka balance ab bhi 1.3260 par hai, H1 support 1.3180 par hai, aur H4 support 1.3060 par hai. Yeh pair 1.3380 tak barh sakti hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh 1.3420 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD rollback ke dauran din ka balance 1.3260 par break karne mein nakam rahta hai, toh rollback hone ka imkaan hai jahan se phir se growth ke liye reversal ho sakta hai.
Lekin agar balance of the day 1.3260 par break ho jata hai, toh yeh pair reversal le kar south ki taraf decline karegi aur H1 support 1.2180 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke ek correction ke tor par samjhi jaa sakti hai. Yahan se H1 se dobara growth ke liye reversal ho sakta hai jahan targets 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ho sakte hain, bas yeh hai ke H1 support break na ho. Agar H1 support break ho gaya, toh correction gehra ho jaye ga aur GBP/USD pair H4 support 1.3060 tak rollback karegi. Is level se main ab bhi growth ki tawaqo karta hoon, lekin agar H4 support break ho gaya, toh growth cancel ho jaye gi aur hum south ki taraf chalein ge. Jab tak H4 support break nahi hoti, growth ke liye main target 1.3670 relevant rahega.

Is haftay GBP/USD pair ne apni growth jari rakhi aur 1.3318 par close hui. H4 timeframe par structure ne 1.3264 ke maximum ko break karne ke baad dobara upward trend apnaya. March 2022 ka historical maximum 1.3297 break hone ke baad, upar ke sabse dilchasp levels 1.3641 aur 1.3747 hain, jo market mein aage chal kar faislay karne ke liye key points ban sakte hain. Is haftay GBP/USD pair ki growth ne current uptrend ko confirm kiya, aur 1.3318 par close hone ka matlab yeh hai ke positive dynamics jari hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko mila ke 1.3264 ke maximum ka breakout bullish impulse ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur trend ki stability aur aage barhne ke imkaanat ko mazid barhata hai.

GBP/USD

Hi doston, aaj dupahar ke liye mein GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karnay ki koshish karunga. Iss waqt jo pattern bana hai, wo bearish hai kyun ke price divergence nazar aata hai stochastic indicator ke sath, aur mein dekhunga ke yeh bearish ek correction hai ya trend reversal. Mein D1 time frame ka istemal karunga, jo kaafi reliable hai jab direction aur movement ko samajhna ho. Tajziye se pehle, mein moving average indicators ka review karunga - 21 aur 34 periods wale - jo D1 time frame par hain. Moving average indicator ki direction abhi bhi upwards hai aur price inke upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai, isliye yeh girawat sirf ek correction hogi.



Jumay ke din jo market condition thi, wo abhi tak waisi hi hai. Exchange rate 1.3260 par balanced hai, jahan H1 chart par support level 1.3180 par hai aur H4 chart par 1.3060 par. Yeh pair mazeed barh sakta hai, aur 1.3380 tak ja sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke yeh 1.3420 ko bhi cross karle. Lekin agar GBP/USD 1.3260 balance ko Monday ko break nahi karta, to yeh wapis usi level par retrace kar sakta hai, aur phir apni upward trend ko resume karte hue targets ki taraf barh sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh pair 1.3260 balance ko break kar deta hai, to yeh H1 support par 1.2180 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke ek corrective move hogi. Wahan se pair rebound karke wapis 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ki taraf ja sakta hai jab tak H1 support breach na ho. Agar H1 support break hota hai, to correction aur gehra ho sakta hai, aur GBP/USD H4 support par 1.3060 tak gir sakta hai, jahan se further growth ki umeed hai. Lekin agar H4 support breach hota hai, to bullish outlook cancel ho jayega aur pair bearish ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown

GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi.

Technical indicators ke ilawa, support aur resistance ke key levels ka dehan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Aapko 1.3230 ka region observe karna chahiye jo ke sab se qareebi resistance level hai. Agar price is level ko achi volume ke sath breach kar le, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke price 1.3500 tak ya us se bhi ooper ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar market mein correction ya selling pressure aata hai, toh qareebi support level 1.2990 ke aas paas hai, jo ek significant area ho sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement bhi istimaal kar sakte hain is research ko support karne ke liye. 61.8% retracement level, swing low se swing high tak, 1.2200 ke region mein located hai, jo ke ek aham support level bhi hai. Agar price neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek achi jagah ho sakti hai buyers ke liye. Bullish rise ke liye pehla target 1.2300 region mein ho sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% retracement level ke aas paas hai. Price ka breakout peechle Daily high ke ooper aur price ka Daily aur H4 timeframes par 20 SMA se uper position hona, technical analysis mein bullish bias ko show karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic, CCI, aur OsMA bhi is bullish bias ko support karte hain. Lekin, price ke aagey barhne se pehle koi chhoti correction ya consolidation zaroor ho sakti hai. Is liye traders ko support aur resistance ke levels ko dekhte rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi unexpected price movements se bachne ke liye risk management ko sahi tareeqe se implement karna chahiye. Akhir mein, technical aspects aur price ka 20 SMA se ooper hona ek mazboot buy opportunity ko show karta hai jo GBP/USD pair ko is haftay ke start mein mil raha hai. Traders ko resistance level par kisi bhi correction ke imkaanaat se hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading session ke start mein candlestick pattern ko closely dekhna chahiye. Agar aap achi analysis aur discipline ka riyaasat karte hain, toh profit ke imkaanaat kaafi hain. Umeed hai ke yeh research aap sab dostoon ke liye trading mein achi decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hogi, aur hum sab consistent profits hasil kar sakte hain is haftay. Aap sab ko Monday mubarak ho aur trading mein kaamyabi naseeb ho!

ستمبر 26 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ کل 89 پِپس تک گر گیا، آخر کار مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ایک مستحکم ڈائیورژن بنا۔ تاہم، ہدف کی سطحوں میں سے کوئی بھی نہیں پہنچی - نہ قیمت چینل لائن اور نہ ہی 1.3300 سپورٹ لیول۔ اس کے بجائے، ایک چڑھتا ہوا ویج بنایا گیا تھا، جو اب ویج اور پرائس چینل - 1.3454 کے انٹرسیکشن پوائنٹ پر ایک نیا ہدف فراہم کرتا ہے۔ اختلاف کی اصلاح ہو سکتی ہے۔



اس ہدف تک پہنچنے کے بعد، چینل کی نچلی باؤنڈری (1.3300) میں ایک تصحیح ہو سکتی ہے، جس کے بعد 1.3525 کے ہدف کی سطح تک ترقی کا آخری مرحلہ ہو گا۔ اس کے بعد، باقی مارکیٹ کے ساتھ ساتھ طویل مدتی کمی کا الٹ بھی چل سکتا ہے۔



چار -گھنٹے کا چارٹ ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ قیمت اوپر کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے کیونکہ یہ 1.3300 سپورٹ لیول کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی سے گرا، لیکن یہ ممکنہ اضافے سے پہلے تناؤ کی نمایاں رہائی کی نشاندہی کر سکتا ہے، ممکنہ طور پر اوور بوٹ زون میں بھی، جس تک یہ ٹرپل ٹاپ کی تشکیل کے دوران نہیں پہنچ سکتا تھا۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اب اس کی حفاظت کے لیے 1.3300 کی سطح سے اوپر بڑھ گئی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

Aaj ka trading plan is baat par focus karta hai ke currency pair ke liye sideways trend ko dekha jaye, jo ke UK aur US ke news releases aur market conditions par mabni hai. UK se koi khaas khabar ki umeed nahi hai, lekin US se aayi hui positive economic khabrein is pair ke liye ahmiyat rakhti hain. Yeh development qabil-e-ghaur hai kyun ke positive khabrein market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur US dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, aaj 5 saal ke US Treasury notes ke liye ek auction bhi hone wala hai jo ke market ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Treasury auctions ka kirdar aksar investor sentiment mein ahmiyat rakhta hai, khas tor par kyun ke yeh hukoomat ke qarz lene ke kharche aur US debt ke liye demand ko reflect karti hain.
In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aaj ka plan yeh hai ke sideways trading trend ko tarjeeh di jaye. Sideways trend mein prices ek makhsoos range mein utar chadhav karti hain baghair kisi wazeh bullish ya bearish direction ke. Iss surat mein price movement ka umeed hai ke 1.3370 ke support level aur 1.3420 ke resistance level ke darmiyan rahega.

Is foresight ke madde nazar, agar price support level 1.3370 ke qareeb aaye toh selling ke moqay dekhe ja sakte hain. Magar, yeh koi mazid bearish signal nahi, balki market ke ek specific range mein chalne ka izhar hai. Dosri taraf, agar price resistance level 1.3420 ko chhooti hai, toh buying opportunities aa sakti hain. Yeh level price increase ko rokne ka kaam karega, aur yeh us waqt ek potential entry point ho sakta hai jab market doosri direction mein wapis jaane lage.

Akhir mein, mojooda market conditions aur aanay wali khabron ke madde nazar, sab se ziada mumkin hai ke yeh currency pair apne sideways trend ko barqarar rakhega. Tawajjo US economic khabron aur Treasury note auction par rahegi. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh flexible rahen aur range ke andar buying aur selling ke moqon ka faida uthayen, jab tak market sentiment mein koi aisa tabadla na aaye jo ke pair ko is current pattern se nikal de. Sab traders ke liye best of luck!

Kal, 25 September ko, currency pair ne 1.34283 par naya uncha sthal (high) dekha, lekin is sthal se, qeemat ne neeche ki taraf ek bounce ka samna kiya, jo ke ek descending harkat (movement) ki shuruaat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yeh bounce yeh dikhata hai ke bazaar ne ek resistance level ko choo liya hai, jo ke bearish nazariya ki taraf ek mumkinah tabdeeli ko darshata hai. Is unche sthal se milne wala jazba traders ke liye ek aham ishara hai, kyunke yeh haal ke bullish momentum ka anjam dikhata hai aur qeemat mein ek zyada musalsal girawat ki shuruaat ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.
Jab hum rozana chart ka jaiza lete hain, yeh zahir hai ke neeche ki taraf ki harkat agle aham support level ki taraf aim kar rahi hai. Khaaskar, qeemat 1.3150 par 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko target kar rahi hai. Fibonacci retracement levels aam tor par traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake yeh pehchaana ja sake ke kis jagah par qeemat ki ultaav ya correction ho sakti hai. 38.2% level khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh aksar strong support ya resistance point ke tor par kaam karta hai jab trends mein correction hoti hai.

Is halat mein, 38.2% Fibonacci level bazaar ki wider dynamics ke sath achi tarah se milta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke qeemat is level ko test karne ki koshish karegi aur shayad isse paar kar jayegi. Agar qeemat 1.3150 ko torne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh downward trend ki aglaai ka ishara de sakta hai, jo shayad gehri corrections ya naye lower range ke qaim hone ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf ki harkat ko pichle dinon mein dekhi gayi price action ne majbooti di hai, jahan bearish pressure ne 1.34283 par rejection ke baad barh gaya hai. Yeh rejection, saath hi chart par lower highs aur lower lows ki tasveer banne se, ek developing downtrend ka samarthan karta hai. Ek downtrend mein, bazaar aam tor par ek silsila dar silsila neeche ki taraf chalta hai, jahan har silsila qeemat ko neeche le jaata hai jab sellers bazaar par control hasil karte hain.

Technical setup aur maujooda bazaar ki jazbat ko dekhte hue, yeh samajhna theek hai ke yeh neeche ki taraf ki harkat ka jari rehna mumkin hai. Ab ka pramukh maqsad yeh hai ke qeemat 1.3150 level ko tor de, jo ke agle price action ke liye ek pivotal point ka kaam karega. Agar bazaar bearish pressure ke neeche rahta hai, toh hum is level ko todne par neeche ki taraf ki harkat mein tezi dekh sakte hain, jo shayad naye lows ki taraf le jaaye.

Lekin, is manzar ko sambhal kar dekhna bhi zaroori hai. Jabke qeemat 1.3150 ka target kar rahi hai, wahan raste mein kuch temporary pullbacks ya consolidation phases aa sakte hain. Traders ko yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke qeemat ke kuch waqt ke liye rukne ya thoda wapas aane ki sambhavna hai pehle se dusri koshish karne se pehle is support level ko torne ke liye. Key levels par price behavior ko monitor karna, jese ke 1.3150 Fibonacci retracement, is downward movement ki taqat ka andaza lagane mein ahmiyat rakhega.

Ant mein, 25 September se price action ne ek descending movement ki taraf shift ka ishara diya hai, jahan qeemat ab 1.3150 par 38.2% Fibonacci level ko agla bada target samajh rahi hai. Agar qeemat is level ko tor deti hai, toh yeh aage aur girawat ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jo shayad correction ko gehra kar de. Filhal, traders ko jagrukt rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi continuation ya reversal ke nishan dekhnay chahiye jab qeemat is key support zone ke paas pohonchti hai.

GBP/USD apni bearish momentum ko qaim rakhne mein nakam raha aur 1.3331 ka low touch karne ke baad, prices European trading session mein US Dollar ke muqable mein upar chali gayi. Ab humein ek bullish trend reversal nazar aa raha hai, jahan Adaptive Moving Average 20 ne 15-minute time frame mein is trend ko support kiya hai.

Daily time frame mein channel resistance break ho chuki hai. 4-hour time frame mein CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator overbought zone mein hai, jahan yeh 100 se upar chal raha hai. Yeh overbought condition price ke saturation levels ko 1.3390 ke qareeb dikhata hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke prices jald hi stability zone mein dakhil ho sakti hain.

4-hour time frame mein dojo formation bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke market ke neutral hone ka ishara hai. GBP/USD ki prices weekly time frame par apne ek saal ke record high ke qareeb hover kar rahi hain. GBP/USD ab apni 100-hour aur 200-hour SMA (Simple Moving Average) ke upar trade kar raha hai.

• Pound ka bullish reversal 1.3152 mark ke upar dekhne ko mila hai.
• Short-term range mein strong bullishness ka rujhan nazar aa raha hai.
• GBP/USD ab 1.3331 level ke upar hold kar raha hai.
• Average True Range (ATR) market ki high volatility ka ishara de raha hai.

GBP/USD ab apne pivot level 1.3379 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur ek strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai. Is waqt GBP/USD price apne classic support level 1.3336 ke upar hai aur apne agle target 1.3398 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke 1-month high hai.





Hum 1.3409 level ko breach karne ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke price ka 1 standard deviation resistance hai. Ek specific sell order tha jo main miss kar gaya, aur ab current prices par stop loss ka size kaafi bara ho chuka hai, jab ke potential profit zyada nahi lagta.

Disclaimer: Yeh analysis sirf meri raye par mabni hai. ****** brand ke zair e intizam companies isko apni raye, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice na samjhein.

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

GBP/USD ka matlab Great Britain Pound aur United States Dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate hai. Yeh exchange rate duniya ke sab se mashhoor aur frequently traded currency pairs mein se ek hai. Forex (Foreign Exchange) market mein, GBP/USD ko "Cable" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. Is ka itna zyada trade hone ki waja dono mulkon ka bara economic aur financial influence hai.
Jab GBP/USD ke exchange rate ke baray mein baat ki jati hai, to iska matlab hota hai ke ek British Pound ke badlay kitne US Dollar diye ja rahe hain. Agar, for example, GBP/USD ka rate 1.30 ho, to iska matlab yeh hai ke 1 British Pound ke badlay aapko 1.30 US Dollar milenge. Yeh rate rozana forex market mein badalta rehta hai, aur is par buhat se factors asar انداز dalte hain.

In factors mein sab se bara role interest rates ka hota hai. Agar Britain mein interest rates barh jati hain to log wahan ke banks mein invest karna zyada pasand karte hain, jis se GBP ki demand barhti hai aur uska value USD ke muqabley mein barh jata hai. Iske baraks, agar United States mein interest rates zyada ho jati hain, to USD ki demand barhti hai aur uska value GBP ke muqabley mein barhta hai.

Dusra factor political stability aur economic conditions hain. Agar koi mulk political ya economic problems ka samna kar raha hota hai, to wahan ki currency ka value gir sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, Brexit ke waqt GBP/USD rate mein kaafi fluctuations dekhi gayi thi, kyun ke logon ko

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.

Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai

GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye: UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon. GBP/USD currency pair ke price mein ek zabardast izafa dekha gaya. Filhal, price pivot point level 1.3182 se ooper hai aur trend bullish hai kyun ke price MA period 50 se bhi uper hai. Is waqt ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue aur available analysis ko madde nazar rakhte hue, humein kai trading options ko sochna chahiye. Sabse profitable strategy BUY karna hai, lekin ek behtareen entry ke liye humein price correction ka intezaar karna chahiye jo pivot point 1.3182 par aaye. Phir profit ka objective resistance level 1.3246 par set kiya ja sakta hai.
Door ka target 1.3377 ke price par hai, jo aaj ka resistance level three hai. Agar price is level ke ooper close karti hai, toh yeh aglay resistance level two, 1.3280, tak move karegi. Agar price neeche girti hai aur pivot point 1.2085 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh SELL karna doosra option hoga. Short target ka projection first support level 1.3149 par hai. Ek aur mumkin trade tab hai jab price resistance levels ko reject karte hue opposite direction mein move kare.
Yeh sab kuch is waqt ki analysis hai. Agar aap koi radd-e-amal ya suggestions dena chahte hain, toh zaroor contribute karein. Aap sab ke liye kamiyabi ki dua hai. US dollar ke kamzori ka andaza abhi bhi GBP/USD pair ki price mein izafa ko support kar raha hai. Dollar index jo ke 101.00 se neeche gira hai, is ka ek zariya hai ke yeh assess kiya jaye. Is se yeh maloom hota hai ke GBP/USD pair ki price barhni ka imkaan hai. Agar price psychological level 1.3200 ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh 1.3265 ke high prices ko challenge kar sakti hai. Lekin agar correction phase aata hai,

### GBP/USD Market Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ka price abhi downward correction phase se guzar raha hai, jabke upar ki taraf rally 1.3428 ke high prices par ruk gayi. Trend direction ab bhi bullish hai aur price pattern structure mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Downward correction ka price ab FR 50 - 1.3337 aur FR 61.8 - 1.3316 tak pahuncha hai. Price movement ko samajhte hue yeh kehna sahi hoga ke retracement complete ho chuki hai aur price phir se upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, current downward price correction sirf major higher high - higher low structure se ek higher low pattern banane tak mehsoos hoti hai. Lekin jab price phir se upar jaane ki koshish karti hai aur EMA 50 se upar nahi jaati, to downward correction ka phase aur neeche jaa sakta hai, jo SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke taur par pahuncha sakta hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to yeh downtrend momentum ko darshata hai. Downward price movement ab bhi neeche girne ka mauqa rakhta hai, halankeh histogram volume level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai. Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 ko cross kar chuke hain aur ab overbought zone ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo price ko upar ki taraf rally karne mein madad de sakta hai. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke price FR 38.2 - 1.3359 ya EMA 50 se upar rahe. Agar yeh opposite hota hai, to price ka downward correction FR 78.6 - 1.3286 tak ja sakta hai, jo retracement complete karne ka aakhri limit hai.

#### Setup Entry Position

Agar hum bullish trend direction aur price pattern structure ko dekhein, jo ab bhi higher high - higher low dikhata hai, kyunki structure break nahi hua, to trading options mein BUY position entries ko FR 50 - 1.3337 se FR 61.8 - 1.3316 ke darmiyan rakhna sahi rahega. Confirmation ka intezar karna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross karen. AO indicator histogram ko phir se level 0 ya positive area se upar aana chahiye taake momentum bullish trend direction ke saath adjust ho sake.

FR 23.6 - 1.3385 sab se nazdeek ka target hai jahan take profit rakhna hai, aur FR 78.6 - 1.3286 ko stop loss location ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh analysis aapko behtar trading decisions lene mein madad karega, is liye market ke movements aur indicators par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.