gbp/usd

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karain gy. Ye pair apni mazboot upward medium-term trend ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo main dobara H4 time frame ke zariye dekhon ga. Price Action method ko use karte hue humein "rails" aur "bullish engulfing" candle patterns nazar aati hain jo is trend ko continue kar rahi hain. Aap apne trading terminal mein in patterns ko dekh saktay hain. Main ne isay screen par grahically illustrate kiya hai taake wazeh samajh mein aye—ismein samajhne ke liye kuch mushkil nahi hai. American session ne volatility introduce ki, aur 17:01 global time par U.S. statistics ke release ne price ko mazeed upar dhakel diya. Iss perspective se ziada kuch nahi kehne ko hai. Jab se trading instrument ne daily high ko break kiya hai, kal subah ka waqt mazeed gehra review ka ideal waqt hai. GBP/USD ne already apni monthly average range of 377 points complete kar li hai, is liye ye month-end se pehle upper boundary mein ho sakta hai. Lekin, ho sakta hai ke price dobara range mein wapas aa jaye. 1.3401 ki price ho chuki hai, matlab humein yahan se kisi significant upward movement ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye. Iss point par, yeh behtar ho ga ke profits ko part ya full secure kar liya jaye. Ek aur target 1.3428 par hai, to yeh dekhna dilchasp hoga ke sellers is level par kaise react karte hain. Overall, pound-dollar trend upward hai, aur koi reversal ka indication nahi hai. Aaj kuch pullbacks aur corrections hue hain, lekin ye utne significant nahi thay jitne is pair ke liye expected thay. Jaise ke planned tha, maine pound ko 1.3385 se sell kiya, aur price 1.3367 tak gir gayi. Yeh move meri forecast ke mutabiq poori tarah nahi thi, lekin modest profit satisfactory tha, halaan ke maine isko zyada capitalize nahi kiya jitna kar sakta tha. Ab mujhe yaqeen hai ke hum 1.3400 level ko dobara test karain gy.

GBP/USD ke prices ka trade karna kaisa hai? Yeh currency pair is waqt bullish trend mein hai aur kal iska local maximum 1.3357 par update hua. Lagta hai ke bulls ab 34th figure ki taraf barh rahe hain, aur is marhale par reversal ke liye koi mazboot signals nahi hain. Is liye, mein bechnay ka sochta nahi hoon, lekin agar quotes blue moving average ke neeche aati hain, toh bechne ka sochna padega, jisse support level 1.3194 tak kaam karne ki soorat ban sakti hai.
Aaj jab American session shuru hoga, tab United States ka consumer confidence index publish hoga. Yeh index Federal Reserve ke refinancing rate par asar dalta hai, isliye in statistics ki publication se currency market mein kafi fluctuations dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD ki designated ascending channel ke andar, price 1.3310 ke support se neeche nahi jaayegi, jo Bollinger indicator bands ke middle border ke saath coincide karta hai. Iske baad, Pound ka growth resume hoga aur wo 34th figure tak pohonchne ki koshish karega, jisse meri final target 1.3500 tak ki growth banegi. Aaj ki decline ki koshish ab tak bekaar rahi hai; wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein hai aur MACD indicator bhi upper purchase zone mein hai.

Ab tak hum second resistance level 1.3380 ko tod nahi paye hain. Lekin meri priority hai ke hum ise tor den, aur phir 1.3420 tak barhne ki koshish karein. Agar pair isi tarah behave karta raha, toh market ko 1.3407 par northern movement ka acha mauka milega, jo GBP/USD ka key resistance hai. Is ke ilawa, kabhi kabhi girawat bhi ho sakti hai lekin minimums barhne chahiye; isliye hume 1.3275 ke support se neeche nahi jana chahiye.

Yeh analysis aapko trading ke liye kuch insights dega, lekin market ki halat par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, taake aapko behtar faisle lene mein madad mile.

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Hamari nazar is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price action par hai. Aaj maine GBP/USD kharida jab maine dekha ke European session ke shuru hone par hourly candle par lambi lower shadow thi. Is ne yeh darshaya ke price ne neeche ki taraf move karne se inkaar kiya, shayad is liye ke uchi levels se liquidity nahi thi. Maine apni position 9:01 p.m. par close kar di, kyunki is waqt ke price level par aur kharidna bohat risky lag raha tha. Price ka izafa ne neeche significant liquidity chhod di hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke ek bearish impulse traders ko hairan kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh buyers ko GBP/USD mein attract karne ka ek trap ban sakta hai, jo price ko 1.3055 ke accumulation area tak neeche le ja sakta hai, jaisa ke maine apne projections mein bataya hai. Euro aur pound mein speculative interest mazid mazboot raha hai, halan ke dono regions se kuch kharab economic data aaya hai. Is wajah se, pound ka maujooda price overbought lagta hai aur British economy ki asal halat se taluq nahi rakhta.




Halankeh pound overbought hai, lekin jab open positions ka jaiza liya jaye toh yeh pair oversold lagta hai. Pichhle kuch dino mein sellers ne apne volume mein izafa kiya hai, jo market ke liye acha nahi hai. Pound ab bhi kal ke budget expectations ka jawab de raha hai, aur UK se koi naya positive news nahi aaya. Is doran, U.S. stock indexes barhte ja rahe hain, jo dollar ki mazbooti ko rok raha hai. Lekin agar price 1.3321 ke neeche girti hai, toh hum reversal dekh sakte hain, kyunki wedge ka upper boundary resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Dollar ka yeh halat yen ke behavior se milta-julta hai jab USD/JPY bechne ki pressure ke bawajood barh raha tha. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke sales ka izafa pair ki upward movement ko aage barhane mein madadgar sabit hua.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ka jorha apni upar ki taraf barh rahi hai. Kal is ne local maximum ko 1.3357 tak pohanchaya. Lagta hai ke bulls ka maqsad 34 hai, aur is marhale par koi ahem palatnay ki nishani nahi hai, is liye mujhe barhne mein koi rukawat nahi dikhai de rahi. Is marhale par bechne ka khayal nahi hai, lekin agar prices neela moving average ke neeche waapas aati hain, to main bechne ka sochunga, khaaskar 1.3194 ke support level se niche girne ki surat mein.




Aaj, American session ke shuru hone ke baad, US consumer confidence index jari hoga. Ye indicator Federal Reserve ki refinancing rate badalne ke faislay mein ahmiyat rakhta hai, is liye is statistics ke jari hone se currency market mein kaafi volatility ho sakti hai. GBP/USD ka jorha apne northern mood ko behtar tarike se sambhal raha hai, khaaskar jab is ne key level 1.3192 ko tod diya. Retesting par ye acha entry point diya, aur thoda jaldi band kiya. Lekin fikar mat karein, agle hafte se aap phir se kharidari kar sakte hain, aur agla bara level 1.3480 hoga jo kharidari ka agla bada level hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke hum is level ko istemal karenge kyunki puri pullback guzar chuki hai aur ab hum barh sakte hain. Ye acha hoga agar ye thodi si correction karen taake hum behtar daam par kharidari kar saken, kam az kam 1.3265 par kharidari achi rahegi. Agar ye 1.3130 ke area se phir se girte hain, to ye tasweer ko kharab nahi karega kyunki wahan par ek significant downward slope hai, lekin jab hum isay tod kar 1.3120 ke area mein enter karte hain, to target 1.30 ko todna hoga. Ye meri humble trading plan hai.

Bank of England ka Hawkish Mowqif GBP/USD ko 1.33 se upar le gaya

Bank of England ka hawkish stance GBP/USD ko 1.33 se upar le gaya hai. Traders ko aane wale GDP data par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo BOE ke faislay par asar daal sakta hai. Jab bulls ka maqsad 1.41 hai, to momentum is jorhe ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

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Fed ke pichle hafte ke achanak 50 basis point rate cut ke baad, Bank of England ne apne taraf se bhi ek ahem qadam uthaya hai: interest rate cuts ko suspend karna jo ke August se shuru hui thi.

Ye faisla, jo ek hawkish tone ke sath tha, British pound ko mazid mazboot banata hai aur GBP/USD currency pair ko naye unchaiyon tak le jata hai. Jab ke inflation data ne disinflationary process mein kami dikhayi, bank ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aage aur interest rate cuts ka koi imkaan nahi hai.




Is wajah se, GBP/USD ne confidently 1.33 ke mark ko tod diya. Traders ko aane wale dinon mein potential upside momentum par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Bank of England ne kyun tapering nahi rakhi? Pichle mahine jab Bank of England ne interest rates cut kiye, to bohot se logon ne ummed ki ke ye trend aage bhi chalega. Lekin, rates ko unchanged rakhne ka qareeb-qareeb ikhlas se liya gaya faisla policymakers ke beech hawkish stance ko mazid mazboot karta hai.

Key GDP figures agle Monday jari honge, aur agar ye expectations se neeche aate hain, to BOE apne rate cuts par dobara ghor kar sakta hai.

UK ka core inflation chinta ka baais hai. Pichle hafte jari hone wale inflation data ne Bank of England ka dhyan khinch liya, jiska pehla maqsad sustainable inflation target hasil karna hai.

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya

Aayiye D1 chart par nazar dalte hain.

Mangal ko GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hue dekha gaya. Aaj girawat ka ek koshish ab tak kamiyab nahi hui, lekin lehron ka dhacha ab bhi upar ki taraf hai. MACD indicator khareedari ke zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. Guzishta trading hafta mukhtalif rukh ka tha, lekin aakhir mein kharidaaron ki jeet hui. Girawat ka koshish kiya gaya, lekin qeemat ne horizontal support level 1.3150 ke neeche nahi gira. Ye level chaar ghante ke chart par behtar nazar aata hai; qeemat ne pichle hafta isay do martaba chhua aur dono martaba mazbooti se upar ki taraf chali gayi.

MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai, jo ke ek mazboot bechne ka signal hai. H4 aur H1 par bhi bearish divergence dekhi gayi hai. CCI indicator bhi jald upper overheating zone se bahar nikalne ko tayar hai.




Pound ke liye guzista hafta ka sabse bada khabar ye tha ke Bank of England ne interest rate ko barqarar rakha, jis ke natije mein pound ne apne bulandiyon ko tay kiya. Upar ki rukh ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat jald hi un upar ki lehron ki taraf niche ki taraf dabaai jayegi, jo ke 1.3150 ke level par hai. Agar ye line aur level nahi tikte, to phir humein 1.3008 ke horizontal support level tak girawat ki umeed hai, jahan se qeemat ne haal hi mein upar ki taraf bhag gaya tha.

Iss waqt itni bulandi par kharidari karne ka koi faida nahi hai, lekin jab isse chhoti duration par bechne ki formation banegi, tab dekha ja sakta hai. Aaj ka sabse bara khabar 17:00 baje US Consumer Confidence Index se aayega.

GBP/USD Ki Qeemat Ki Harakat Ka Tajziya

Hamari guftagu mein hum GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harakat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, maine pehle bearish sell level 1.31703 par khud ko dekha, lekin girawat ka breakdown jhoota tha kyunke koi kami nahi aayi. Baad mein, bullish buy level 1.32829 ko tor diya gaya, jo ke barhoti ka signal tha aur H1 chart par bullish rukh ka darust kiya. Maine apni nuqsan da deta sell trade band ki aur 1.32829 par buy ki, jo baad mein 1.33329 par band ki. Halankeh mein mazeed kharidari ka irada nahi rakhta, lekin bullish trend ab bhi dominant hai, jo 1.34639 se 1.34949 tak ki resistance levels ki taraf barhoti ki ummeed dikhata hai.

Pound apne upar ki rukh ko jari rakhta hai, sirf choti corrective dips ke sath jo bearish traders ko chand doran ke moqay faraham karte hain. 1.3269 level GBP/USD ke liye ek mumkinah correction point tha, jo 1.309 tak gira, jahan bearish consolidation ruk gaya. Is correction ke baad, kharidaaron ne dobara positions banana shuru kiya, jo pair ko wapas 1.3269 par le aaya aur isay successfully tor diya.

Is trading par asar daalne wala aham waqia Fed ki meeting thi, jahan interest rates mein kami ki gayi, aur mazeed kami ki umeed hai. Is anticipated rate cut ne pair ki barhoti ko taqat di. Euro ke mukable, Pound ne mazeed aage barhkar naya high 1.3339 par pohanch gaya.




Hourly chart par pehle 1.3019 se 1.3119 tak ka range tha, jahan qeemat 1.3039 par giri, jahan bulls ne rebound ka buniyad banaya. Dheere dheere, kharidaaron ne qeemat ko upar push kiya, ek bullish channel bana diya—upar aur neeche ki taraf pullbacks ne dono bulls aur bears ko faida dilaya.

Ab sawal ye hai ke kya bullish trend agle khulne par jari rahega, jo qeemat ko 1.3349 ke paar aur 1.341 line ki taraf le jayega, ya bears correction ka koshish karenge. Agar bears kamiyab hue, to 1.3219 resistance tak girawat ki sambhavana hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke wahan se rebound hoga, aur mazeed barhoti 34th figure ki taraf honi ki umeed hai.

GBP/USD Ki Qeemat Ka Tajziya

Mangal ko subha Asian session mein, spot price ne ek aham tabdeeli dekhi, jo apne intraday faida ko kho kar 1.3366 ke mark se neeche gir gaya, US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein. Ye girawat GBP/USD pair ke liye ek rukawat thi, jo ke apni jeet ka silsila chhe lagataar trading sessions tak barhane ki koshish kar raha tha. Is harkat ka sabab tha August ke liye flash United States S & P Global Composite PMI data ka inkar, jo ke umeed se zyada behtar tha aur US Dollar ki taqat ko mazid barhata hai.

Jab bazar ke hissedaar recent economic data aur mumkinah interest rate adjustments ke asraat ko samajh rahe hain, GBP/USD pair ke liye jazbaat ehtiyaat se pur umeed hain. Traders economic indicators aur central bank ki announcements par nazar rakhne wale hain jo currency dynamics par asar dal sakte hain.

US Dollar Index Mein Girawat

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki keemat ko chhe bara currencies ke muqablay mein dekhta hai, ne 100.80 ke crucial support level se neeche girawat dekhi. Analysts ab is par nazar rakh rahe hain jab ye 100.19 ke saal ke neeche sabse kam level ki taraf barh raha hai. Ek recent event mein, Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne interest rate reductions ki zaroorat ko tasdeeq kiya, ye kehte hue ke maujooda khatar ka balance employment ki taraf shift ho gaya hai. Unhone confidence zahir kiya ke inflation Fed ke 2% target par hai, lekin kisi specific easing ki rukh par commitment nahi di. Powell ne kaha, "Policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai," jo is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke tabdeeliyan qareeb hain.




GBP/USD Ke Liye Technical Strength Signals

Halankeh GBP ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, lekin iske technical indicators mein mazbooti ki nishaniyan hain. August ke shuru mein shuru hone wala bullish trend ummeed ke mutabiq taraqqi kar raha hai, jahan currency ne session ke shuruat mein 1.3350 ke nazdeek pahuncha. Ye harkat July 2023 ke high ka effective retest hai. Intraday trend support 1.3247 ke nazdeek hai; agar GBP is level se neeche girta hai, to ye kuch modest corrective losses ki nishani ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.3100 ke mid se upper range mein choti girawatain mazboot support dhoond sakti hain.

Pound Sterling Ke Liye Aham Resistance Levels

GBP bulls ke liye, ek critical resistance zone 1.3367 par hai, jo ke do saal ka high hai. Ye level ye tay karega ke kya GBP apne upar ki rukh ko barqarar rakh sakta hai ya agle challenges ka samna karega. Agar Pound is resistance ko torne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye mazeed faida ka darwaza khol sakta hai, lekin agar ye nahi kar pata to volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya

GBP/USD pair ne paanch lagataar sessions tak apni jeet ka silsila jari rakha, Mangal ko Asian waqt mein 1.3350 ke nazdeek trade hota raha. Ye pair apne 31-month high 1.3359 ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo ke Peer ko dekha gaya. US dollar (USD) mein kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyunke 2024 mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf se mazeed tax rate cuts ki umeed hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, bazar ne rate cut ka 50% mauqa daala hai, jabke 75 basis points ka probability bhi hai. Saal ke end tak, Fed ke interest rates 4.0% se 4.25% ke darmiyan honge. Minneapolis Fed ke President Neel Kashkari ne Peer ko kaha ke unhe lagta hai ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki zaroorat hai, lekin wo ummeed karte hain ke agle cuts pichle September ki meeting se chhote honge. Chicago Federal Reserve Bank ke President Austan Goolsbee ne bhi ye kaha ke "agla saal mazeed tax cuts ki zaroorat hogi, aur interest rates mein khaas kami ki zaroorat hai."




Data Ka Jaiza

Data ke hawale se, S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) September mein dheere se barhkar 54.4 par pahuncha, jabke August mein ye 54.6 tha. Peer ko release kiye gaye data ne dikhaya ke manufacturing PMI achanak 47.0 tak gira, jo contraction ki nishani hai, jabke manufacturing PMI ne umeed se zyada 55.4 tak barh gaya. UK mein, flash UK Manufacturing PMI September mein 51.5 par gira, jo ke August ke 52.5 se kam hai, jabke bazar ki umeed 52.3 thi. August ka 53.7 ka padhai 52.8 tak gira, jo ke 53.5 ke consensus forecast se kam hai.

Aaj subha pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein naye do saal aadha ke high par pahuncha, 1.3000 ke level se bounce karte hue lagbhag 3% ka izafa kiya, jabke technical oscillators ne is baat ka ishara diya ke bazar ne kuch wapas aaya hai. Stochastic thoda overbought territory mein hai, jabke RSI pullback ke baad 70 level par hai. Is ke ilawa, 20-day SMA apna positive momentum kho rahi hai, jo ke agar bazar wapas girta hai to kuch neeche ka pressure dikhata hai. Pair ke liye 1.3265 par support level khul sakta hai, jo ke 1.3170 SMA tak pahunchaane se pehle hai. Agar bullish pressure dobara aata hai, to qeemat 1.3400 area tak ja sakti hai, jo ke February 2022 ke pehle hai, 1.3640 resistance se pehle.

GBP/USD Daily Market Analysis

Doston, aaj main GBP/USD currency pair ka jaiza loonga. Is waqt jo pattern ban raha hai, wo bearish hai kyunki price divergence stochastic indicator ke khilaf hai. Main dekhne ki koshish karunga ke kya ye bearish trend sirf correction hai ya trend reversal. Main D1 time frame ka istemal karunga, jo direction ka achha signal deta hai.

Moving average indicator ka period 21 aur 34 D1 time frame par dekhta hoon. Moving average abhi bhi upward hai aur price moving average se upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai, isliye decline sirf ek correction hogi.

Haalat abhi Friday ki tarah hain. Exchange rate 1.3260 par balanced hai, H1 chart par support level 1.3180 hai aur H4 chart par 1.3060. Pair ki potential hai ke wo aage barh kar 1.3380 tak jaaye aur shayad 1.3420 ko bhi cross kare. Lekin agar GBP/USD ne Monday ko 1.3260 ka balance break nahi kiya, to wo wapas us level par aa sakta hai, phir se upar ki taraf badhne se pehle.




Agar pair 1.3260 ka balance break kar deta hai, to wo H1 support 1.2180 ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo ek corrective move hoga. Wahan se pair rebound kar sakta hai aur 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jab tak H1 support nahi todta. H1 support ka tutna correction ko gehra karega, aur GBP/USD H4 support 1.3060 ki taraf gir sakta hai, jahan se aage growth ki umeed hai. Lekin agar H4 support break ho gaya, to bullish outlook cancel ho jayega aur pair bearish ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Char-ghante ke timeframe (H4) ko dekhte hue, ham dekh sakte hain keh pound/dollar ke jode me islah ka imkan hai. Kam az kam aakhri do bearish candles aane wali qimat me kami ka ishara kar raha hai. Is muddat ke liye bayen janib koi reference point nahin hai, lehaza aakhri teri ki candle par tawajjoh markuz karna samajhdari hai. Agar bears jodi ko dhakelte hain aur body aur 1.3407 ki nichli satah se niche settle ho jate hain to, yah canlde ki bulandi 1.3428 ke ooper stop-loss ke sath farokht ka darwazah khol sakta hai. Halankeh, jab hadaf muqarrar karne ki bat aati hai to, mai thoda ghair yaqini hun. Mujhe is timeframe me kuch bhi ummid afza nazar nahin aata hai. Halankeh, 1.3386–1.3366 par liquidity zone se thodi duri par gaur kiya ja sakta hai.
P.S. Yah waqai aacha hogaagar tashih 1.3356-1.3330 ke darmiyan Order Block area ki taraf jati hai. Abhi ke liye, price movement par amal karna aur filhal market se bahar rahna behtar hai.

### GBP/USD Price Outlines

Chaliye, GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza lete hain. H1 chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ek aur upar ki taraf move karne ke liye tayar hai, jo ke 1.3366 ke potential reversal level ki taraf ho sakta hai aur shayad ascending hourly channel ki upper boundary ko test kare. Kyunki Friday ko price 1.3305 se upar close hui, is scenario ki sambhavna kaafi zyada hai. Bollinger Bands bhi upar ki taraf hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke price ek naya high bana sakti hai pehle ek correction se pehle.

Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh wazeh hoga ke kya market naye peaks tak pahunchega ya pehle corrective decline hoga. Main Tuesday tak zyada precise signals ki umeed karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai ke bullish trend reversal hoga, upar se neeche ki taraf shift hoga. Is surat mein, 1.2749 ka level important ho sakta hai, kyunki ye ek aisa technical gap hai jo abhi tak close nahi hua.




Upar ke levels ki baat karein to 1.3399 nazar mein hai, lekin behtar yeh hoga ke pehle correction ka intezar kiya jaye. Price abhi ascending channel ke andar hai. Friday raat ko, pair ne reversal kiya aur upar ki taraf chalna shuru kiya. Halankeh ye upper boundary tak nahi pahuncha, lekin mujhe umeed hai ke pair aage barhta rahega, jiska target channel ki upper limit 1.3343 hai. Is level ko hit karne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke price wapas neeche ki taraf aayegi, jo ke 1.3226 ke aas-paas hogi.

Daily chart par overall upward momentum ko dekhte hue, buying opportunities par nazar rakhna samajhdari hai. Levels ko dekhte hue, buy entry ka level 1.3199 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai (futures), jo ke zaroori nahi ke maximum ho, aur breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise halat badalte hain, un par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Aaj ek naye hafte ki shuruat ke baad, GBP/USD quotes lagbhag waise hi rah gaye, local maximum 1.3339 ke thoda neeche trading karte rahe, jo pichle hafte ke aakhir mein update hua tha. Lekin, candlestick pattern ko dekhte hue, hum niche ki taraf correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, jiska target 1.3179 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Main sirf tab sell karunga jab quotes neela moving average ke neeche laut aayen.

Saath hi, humein yeh bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye ke upar ki taraf movement ka silsila bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Agar price neela moving average ke upar banay rahi, toh bulls shayad 1.3339 ka local maximum tod sakte hain aur 34 figures ki taraf barh sakte hain. Aaj, American session ke khulne ke ek ghante baad, services aur manufacturing sectors mein business activity ka data publish hoga. Analysts ne American economy ki halat par jo tawajjo di hai, uske madde nazar yeh statistics currency market mein significant volatility la sakte hain.




Pichle din ke US ke khabron ke baad, GBP/USD chart ne market manipulation ka sabse aam aur standard example dikhaya. Pichle price movements mein mujhe koi bhi surprising baat nahi nazar aayi. Jab is trading instrument ka price 1.3159 ke level par niche gaya, toh wahaan se ek clear bullish signal mila, jo volumes se confirm hua. Maine buy position kholi, aur aaj American session shuru hone se pehle, jab kal ka maximum update hua, toh maine apni buy position band kar di. Mera yeh maana tha ke aaj ka price movement aur kal ka maximum update hone se GBP/USD ke top par liquidity puri tarah khatam ho gayi hai. Agar yeh sach hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, is pair ka price 1.3144 ke accumulation area ki taraf niche ja sakta hai, aur aisa downward movement naye trading positions ke liye volumes form karne ke liye ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Market Update

Hello, GBP/USD ne Monday ko European trading mein 1.3250 ke qareeb kaafi nuqsan uthaya. Yeh pair UK ke S&P Global Business PMI reports ki behtar nahin aane wali khabron aur US Dollar ki nayi demand se kamzor hua. Ab agla focus US PMI data aur Fedspeak par hoga.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 80 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye overbought conditions ka indication hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.3350 (bullish regression channel ka upper limit) agla resistance hai, jo 1.3400 (psychological level, static level) se pehle aata hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3300 ke neeche wapas aata hai (bullish channel ka midpoint) aur is level ko resistance ki tarah istemal karta hai, toh 1.3230 (bullish channel ka bottom) ki taraf ek lambi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Thursday ko volatile action ke doran, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum gather kiya aur Friday ko European subah mein 1.3300 ke upar, March 2022 ke baad apne sabse unche level par trade kiya. Pair ki technical halat overbought conditions ki taraf ishara karti hai. Bank of England ne Thursday ko announce kiya ke unhone September ki meeting ke baad policy rates ko unchanged rakha, jo ummeed thi. Hairat ki baat yeh thi ke sirf ek policymaker ne 25 basis points ka rate cut support kiya.

BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne baad mein kaha ke unhe umeed hai ke UK interest rates girenge, lekin unhein yeh dekhna hoga ke residual inflationary pressures khatam ho rahe hain ya nahi. Halankeh GBP/USD BoE event ke baad thoda niche aaya, lekin Friday ko yeh positive territory mein close hua. US dollar par naya selling pressure aur upbeat UK data ne GBP/USD ko Friday subah mein upar uthne mein madad ki. UK ki Office for National Statistics ne report kiya ke retail sales August mein 1% barh gayi, jo market expectations (0.4% ki barhoti) se zyada thi.




Economic calendar par Friday ko koi high-level data release nahi hai jo GBP/USD par asar daal sake. Isliye, investors ko risk perception mein tabdeeli par nazar rakhni chahiye. Thursday ko Wall Street ke mukhya indexes ne mazboot gains dekhe. Friday ki European subah mein US stock index futures marginally neeche trade kar rahe hain. Agar US stocks khulne ke baad deep correction dekhte hain, toh yeh USD ko support kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko upar ki taraf limit kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar investors overbought terms ko ignore karte hain, toh pair ko upar jane ka mauqa mil sakta hai agar risk flows weekend par financial markets par dominate karte hain.

Hello dosto, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD 1.3400 ke aas paas European session mein Wednesday ko struggle kar raha hai, jo ke 30-month high 1.3430 se reverse ho raha hai. Traders ne pound sterling longs par profits lena shuru kar diya, halanke US dollar ka broader softening aur market mein risk-holding dekhne ko mil raha hai, FedSpec ne observe kiya. GBP/USD pair ne apne pichlay do hafton mein register kiye gaye recent gains ko qaim rakha, aur Asian session mein Wednesday ko 1.3430 ke region ke aas paas apni March 2022 ke baad se highest level ko touch kiya.

Iske darmiyan, fundamental backdrop suggest karta hai ke spot prices ka least resistance ka raasta upside ki taraf hai, halanke daily chart par slightly overbought conditions bullish traders ke liye thodi caution warrant karti hain. England mein rate cuts ka process America ke muqablay mein dheema rehne ka imkaan hai. Waqai, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates downward direction mein jayein ge, magar yeh process dheema hoga aur ultra-low levels par wapis ana mumkin nahi jab tak koi major shocks na aayen. Doosri taraf, markets Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive policy easing ki umeed rakh rahe hain, jis ne is saal US Dollar ko neeche rakha aur GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam kiya.

Markets is waqt 75 percent se zyada chance price kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve November mein phir se 50 basis points ka rate cut karega, CME Group's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ka weak US macro data aur prevailing risk-on environment safe havens ko undermine kar raha hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye positive near-term outlook ko validate karta hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke daily chart par Relative Strength Index 70 mark ko paar kar gaya hai, jo ek minor pullback ya near-term consolidation ki taraf ishara karta hai, ya koi aur favorable moves position mein hain.

Intezaar kiya jaye ke Wednesday ko UK se koi relevant market-moving economic data release hoga. BoE MPC ke member Megan Green ka scheduled speech bhi GBP par asar daal sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch impetus paida kar sakti hai. Early North American session mein US se new home sales data short-term trading opportunities paida kar sakti hai. Magar, traders is week influential FOMC members, jisme Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Thursday ko speech aur Friday ko US PCE price index shamil hain, ke pehle koi aggressive bets lagane se gurez kar sakte hain.