جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ka D1 period chart dobara dekhte hain. Pehle se hi expect kiya gaya tha ke price ne kal ke trading session mein neeche ki taraf movement ki, lekin abhi bhi wave structure ascending order mein bana hua hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai.
Jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, market ne in signals ko nazar andaz nahi kiya, is liye price ne neeche ki taraf movement ki. Kal ki candlestick ne pichhli growing candle ko mukammal tor par cover kar liya, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki ek confirmation hai. Agar hum overall situation ki baat karein to mujhe lagta hai ke qareeb waqt mein price neeche ki taraf press hoti rahegi, aur ascending line tak pohanchne ki koshish karegi jo senior daily waves ke bottoms ke saath bani hui hai, level 1.3257 tak. Agar yeh line aur level hold nahi kar paate, to decline ka continuation expected hai, ho sakta hai ke price support level 1.3008 tak pohanch jaye jo recent touch ke baad upar ki taraf move hua tha. Yeh wohi level hai jo is September ka minimum tha.

Iss waqt buy karne ka koi iraada nahi hai, aur sirf chhote time frames par downward trading formations par focus karenge. Bahut si dollar ki news release hui hai, jisme US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech bhi shamil hai. Aisa lagta hai ke yeh sab price ko upar se neeche ki taraf pressure dal rahe hain.

Toh, main abhi ke current situation ke hisaab se hi kaam karunga. GBP/USD ne 34th figure, yani 1.3425 ki lazy range ko work out kiya, jis ke baad price ne thoda sa neeche move kiya hai, aur ab humein ek correction three trade karne ka mauka mil raha hai. Target price level 1.3287 ho sakta hai, aur sales level takriban 1.3375-1.3362 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, lekin sirf kal se.

Aaj pound traders ke liye kaafi data release hua hai jis ne unhein excite kar diya hai, isliye behter hoga ke pehle emotions settle ho jayein, aur phir technical signals par focus kiya jaye. Kal se European session ke shuru hone par analysis karenge. Agar zarurat hui to hum aaj ke minimum level 1.3312 ko bhi target ke tor par dekh sakte hain, kyun ke abhi tak priority buyers ke saath hai. Is hafte ke aakhri trading din aur mahine ke khatam hone ke din aisa lagta hai ke general trend ko todne ki koshish nahi ki jaayegi. Do sessions ke andar bears ke saath chalne ka bhi mauka mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD

Chaliye D1 period chart par ek baar phir nazar daalte hain - GBP/USD currency pair. Jaise pehle umeed thi, kal ke trading mein price ne neeche ki taraf tezi se chhalang lagai. Wave structure ab bhi ek oonchi disha mein bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai - jo ek mazboot sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai. Jaisa ke aap dekh rahe hain, bazaar ne aise signals ko nazar andaz nahi kiya aur price neeche gir gaya. Kal ka candle purani barhati candle ko poori tarah dhak gaya, jis se ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki tasdiq hai.

General halat ke mutabiq, main yeh samajhta hoon ke agle kuch waqt mein price oonchi line ki taraf dabaya jayega jo senior daily waves ke bottoms ke along bana hua hai aur 1.3257 ke level tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh line aur level nahi tikte, toh kami ka silsila jaari rehne ki umeed hai, shayad yeh 1.3008 ke support level tak bhi pohanch jaye, jahan se price ne haal hi mein upar ki taraf chhalang lagai thi; yeh level is September ka minimum bhi hai. Filhal purchases ka khayal nahi hai, din ke chhote periods mein sirf neeche ki taraf ka kaam karne ki tactics ka istemal kiya jayega jab zaroori formations banti hain. Dollar ke baare mein bohot si khabrein aayi hain, in mein US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka taqreer bhi shamil hai. Lagta hai ke unhone upar ke mawaqe se neeche ki taraf pressure dalna shuru kar diya hai.

Main maujooda haqeeqat se aage barhunga. Humne 34th figure, 1.3425 ka lazy range kaam kiya, jiske baad GBP/USD thoda neeche aaya, aur is se zyada ghir gaya, jisse ab humein ek correction three trade karne ka mauka milta hai, jiska target 1.3287 par ho sakta hai, aur sales level lagbhag 1.3375-1.3362 ke aas-paas. Lekin yeh sirf kal se hoga. Aaj kayi tarah ke data release hue hain jo pound traders ko excite kar gaye, is liye behtar hoga ke emotions thodi settle ho jayein, phir technical signals ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai. Kal, European session ki shuruat ke sath. Extreme cases mein, aaj ka minimum 1.3312 bhi target ke liye dekha ja sakta hai, kyunki abhi priority buyer ke haath mein hai, aur hafte ka akhri trading din hone ki wajah se, yeh nahi lagta ke woh seedha general trend ko "break" kar denge. Aur agle kuch sessions mein bears ke saath ride karna bilkul mumkin hai, aakhri dune ke paar.

GBP/USD

Chaliye D1 period chart ko dobara dekhte hain - GBP/USD currency pair. Jaise ke pehle ummeed ki gayi thi, kal ki trading mein price ne neeche ki taraf tezi se girawat dekhi. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - yeh ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai.

Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, market ne aise signals ko nazarandaz nahi kiya aur price neeche gir gayi. Kal ka candle purane growing candle ko completely cover kar gaya, is tarah se ek candlestick pattern ban gaya - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. General halat ko dekhte hue, main yeh samajhta hoon ke agle kuch waqt mein price ko neeche ki taraf pressure mein rakha jaega, senior daily waves ke bottoms ke along banayi gayi ascending line aur 1.3257 ke level tak.

Agar yeh line aur level hold nahi karte, toh decline ka jaari rehna umeed hai, shayad price support level 1.3008 tak bhi pohanch jaaye, jahan se price ne recently upar ki taraf tezi se chhalang lagai thi. Yeh wahi level hai jo current September ka minimum hai. Ab purchases ka ghor nahi kiya ja raha, din ke chhote periods par kaam karne ki tactics sirf neeche ki taraf hi hongi jab mutabiq formations banti hain. Dollar ke bare mein bohot saari khabrein aayi hain, jin mein US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bayan bhi shamil hai. Aisa lagta hai ke unhone uchi levels se neeche ki taraf pressure daalna shuru kar diya hai.

Current Market Outlook for GBP/USD

Main aaj ke haalat se aage barhta hoon. Humne 34th figure, yani 1.3425 ka lazy range kaam kiya, jiske baad GBP/USD ne thoda neeche ki taraf girawat dekhi, aur is se bhi zyada jitna zaroori tha, jisse humein ek certain correction trade karne ka mauka mil raha hai. Is correction ka target 1.3287 tak rakh sakte hain, aur sales level takreeban abhi ke 1.3375-1.3362 par hai. Lekin yeh sirf kal se hoga.

Aaj pound traders ke liye mukhtalif data ka block release hua, jo kaafi excitement laaya, isliye behtar yeh hoga ke emotions settle ho jayein aur tab technical signals par ghor kiya ja sake. Kal, European session ke shuru hone par, dekhna hoga.

Agar koi extreme situation aati hai, toh aaj ka minimum 1.3312 ko target ki tarah dekha ja sakta hai, kyunki abhi priority buyers ke haath mein hai, aur hafte ke aakhri trading din par, month ka end hone ke bawajood, yeh unke liye mushkil hoga ke wo general trend ko seedha "break" karein. Aur agle do sessions mein bears par chalna kaafi mumkin hai, jo ke last dune se aage ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of the GBPUSD Pair

Technical Analysis

Yeh pair teesri hafte ke liye apne upward trend ko continue kar raha hai, jabke is hafte ki trading ascending price channels ke andar shuru hui, jo pichli do hafton ke dauran price movement ki direction ko darshate hain.

Is hafte ki shuruat mein, price ne weekly pivot level 1.3258 aur channels ki lower lines se support hasil kiya aur channels ki upper lines tak pahuncha, jo price ke liye strong resistance sabit hui, isay phir se neeche laane par majboor kar diya. Is dafa, ek higher bottom ban gaya hai jo pichli bottom se upar hai, aur yeh bhi channel line par hai, jabke price abhi upar ja raha hai. Yeh umeed hai ke price weekly resistance level 1.3479 tak barh sakta hai.

Economic Insights

Economic side par, British pound ki kami ke peeche koi stimulating news nahi hai. Is silsile mein, analyst Brad W. Bechtel, jo Jefferies mein hain, kehte hain ke Wednesday ko month-end aur quarter flows dekhne ko milne ki umeed hai, jo foreign exchange markets mein volatility la sakta hai. Unka kehna hai, “Hum is hafte quarter ke end par hain, aur yeh shayad foreign exchange market ko aaj London aur New York ki subah mein zyada push karega.”

Quarter aur month ka end nazdeek aa raha hai, jo global portfolio managers ko foreign exchange market mein recent developments par adjustments karne ki zarurat hai. Yeh rebalancing short term mein significant volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai. Robert Vollem, ek Reuters market analyst, kehte hain, “Asset prices ka turbulent third quarter quarter ke end par significant rebalancing ka darwaza kholta hai.”

Bechtel yeh maante hain ke September ke end aur 2024 ke third quarter ke dauran US dollar ki taqat barh sakti hai, jo recent weeks mein dekhi gayi kamzori ki wajah se hai. Unhoon ne kaha, “Mujhe hairani hogi agar hum quarter ke end par itne US dollars bechte hain ke yeh hume US dollar index mein 100 support se neeche le jaye.” Unka kehna hai, “General tor par, quarter-ends US dollar ke liye positive rahe hain, isliye agar kuch bhi hai, hum shayad 101 se upar wapas 102 ki taraf lautne wale hain.”

/USD Market Update
Hello, GBP/USD ne Monday ko European trading mein 1.3250 ke qareeb kaafi nuqsan uthaya. Yeh pair UK ke S&P Global Business PMI reports ki behtar nahin aane wali khabron aur US Dollar ki nayi demand se kamzor hua. Ab agla focus US PMI data aur Fedspeak par hoga.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 80 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye overbought conditions ka indication hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.3350 (bullish regression channel ka upper limit) agla resistance hai, jo 1.3400 (psychological level, static level) se pehle aata hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3300 ke neeche wapas aata hai (bullish channel ka midpoint) aur is level ko resistance ki tarah istemal karta hai, toh 1.3230 (bullish channel ka bottom) ki taraf ek lambi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Thursday ko volatile action ke doran, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum gather kiya aur Friday ko European subah mein 1.3300 ke upar, March 2022 ke baad apne sabse unche level par trade kiya. Pair ki technical halat overbought conditions ki taraf ishara karti hai. Bank of England ne Thursday ko announce kiya ke unhone September ki meeting ke baad policy rates ko unchanged rakha, jo ummeed thi. Hairat ki baat yeh thi ke sirf ek policymaker ne 25 basis points ka rate cut support kiya.

BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne baad mein kaha ke unhe umeed hai ke UK interest rates girenge, lekin unhein yeh dekhna hoga ke residual inflationary pressures khatam ho rahe hain ya nahi. Halankeh GBP/USD BoE event ke baad thoda niche aaya, lekin Friday ko yeh positive territory mein close hua. US dollar par naya selling pressure aur upbeat UK data ne GBP/USD ko Friday subah mein upar uthne mein madad ki. UK ki Office for National Statistics ne report kiya ke retail sales August mein 1% barh gayi, jo market expectations (0.4% ki barhoti) se zyada thi.

GBP/USD

Chaliye D1 period chart ko dobara dekhte hain - GBPUSD currency pair. Jaise ke pehle umeed thi, qeemat kal ki trading mein neeche ki taraf tezi se gir gayi. Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Lekin MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - yeh ek mazboot sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, market ne aise signals ko nazarandaaz nahi kiya aur qeemat neeche gir gayi. Kal ka candle poori tarah se pehle ki badhti hui candle ko cover kar gaya, jis se ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki tasdiq hai.

General halat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein qeemat neechay ki taraf pressure mein rahegi, upar ki taraf banti hui line ke saath jo senior daily waves ke bottoms par hai, aur yeh level 1.3257 hai. Agar yeh line aur level majboot nahi rehti, toh girawat ka silsila jaari rehne ki umeed hai, shayad yeh support level 1.3008 tak bhi pahunche, jahan se qeemat ne haal hi mein upar ki taraf tezi se chhuka tha. Yeh level is waqt September ka minimum hai. Ab kharidari par nahi socha ja raha, din ke chhote periods par kaam karne ki tactics sirf neeche ki taraf hi hain jab maujooda formations banti hain. Dollar ke bare mein kaafi khabrein aayi hain, jin mein US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bayan bhi shamil hai. Aisa lagta hai ke unhone upar se pressure dalna shuru kar diya hai.

Toh main maujooda haqeeqat se aage barhta hoon. Humne 34th figure, 1.3425 ka lazy range kaam kiya, uske baad GBP/USD ne thoda neeche aaya, aur is se bhi zyada gir gaya, jis ke natije mein ab humein ek correction trade karne ka mauqa mila hai, jiska target 1.3287 par rakha ja sakta hai, aur sales level lagbhag 1.3375-1.3362 par hai. Lekin yeh sirf kal se hi hoga.

Aaj kuch mukhtalif data release hua hai jo pound traders ko excite kar raha hai, isliye yeh behtar hoga ke jazbat thoda settle hone dein, phir hum technical signals par wapas aa sakte hain. Kal, European session ke shuru hone par is par dhyan dena chahiye. Aakhir mein, aaj ke minimum 1.3312 ko target ke tor par dekhna mumkin hai, kyunki filhal priority buyer ke paas hai, aur hafte ke akhri trading din par, jo month end bhi hai, yeh ummeed nahi hai ke wo seedha general trend ko "break" kar denge.

Aur do ya teen sessions ke andar bears par trade karna bilkul mumkin hai, pichhli dune se aage.

USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain. Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge.
Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown

GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi.

British Pound ka halat euro ke muqable mein kuch mukhtalif hai, jahan dollar ke muqable mein buying ka rujhan barqarar hai. Kal ki daily candle ne ek bearish engulfing formation banayi, aur aaj ka priority selling par hai, 1/2 zone 1.32763-1.32611 tak. Jab price is zone ko chhu le, to aksar transaction ka zyada hissa close karna aur position ko breakeven par lana behtar hota hai. Agar aaj ki daily candle 1/2 zone 1.32763-1.32611 ke neeche close hoti hai, to price ka girawat poori margin zone 1.31243-1.30939 tak barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai.

Aaj ke European session mein price purchase zone 1.33643-1.34079 tak chali gayi, lekin mera khayal hai ke ek dafa aur price upar jayegi taake liquidity ko 1.33878 ke maximum ke upar se remove kar sake. Aur agar koi relevant pattern banta hai, to hum sale mein jaa sakte hain.

Is waqt GBPUSD chart waqai mein ek bearish formation ka asar dikha raha hai, jo ke price ko neeche le ja sakti hai, agar current price model toot nahi jaata aur price 1.3379 ke accumulation level ke upar consolidate nahi kar pati, jahan se hum is waqt neeche ki taraf bounce kar rahe hain. Agar aisa nahi hota, to yeh mumkin hai ke price seedha yahan se neeche accumulation area 1.3279 tak chali jaye, jahan se yeh wapas 1.3315 ke volume level ko test karne ke liye grow kar sakti hai.






Agar yeh waqai hota hai, aur is surat mein GBPUSD ka level 1.3315 price ko upar nahi jaane deta, to phir yeh price 1.3315 ke accumulation se seedha neeche 1.3205 ke level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke ek area hai jahan zyada volume aur money accumulate hoti hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action humare analysis aur discussion ka mawzu hai. 4-hour GBP/USD chart ka jaiza lene par humein pata chalta hai ke price aaj subah 1.3437 tak pohanchi thi, lekin phir neeche gir gayi, jo ke mazid taqatwar dollar ki wajah se hua. Abhi current price 1.3316 hai, aur mujhe mazeed girawat ki umeed hai, jahan possible targets 1.3258 aur 1.3233 ke aas paas ho sakte hain. Is correction ka aakhri level qareeban 1.3118 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 1.3035 se neeche girti hai, to yeh ek correction ka ishara hoga aur mukammal trend reversal bhi ho sakta hai, is shart par ke dollar ki taqat barqarar rahe. Aapko profit level ke qareeb order close kar lena chahiye tha, taake zyadti nuqsan ka risk na liya jaye. Jab ke GBP/USD ka downward trend ban raha hai, aaj ka daily candle kaafi khushnuma tha. Candle formation ne pehle wale candle ko essentially "engulf" kar liya, jo ke mazid girawat ka mazboot signal de raha hai.

Lekin yeh movement ab bhi ek broader uptrend ka hissa hai, aur khushkismati se, pair ne mazeed pullbacks ke baghair neeche move karna shuru kiya hai. Ab tak, is engulfing pattern ke ilawa, koi aur reversal signals nahi aaye. Market ka outlook filhaal mazboot aur stable hai. Agar price thodi si barhti hai aur chart ke lower half se koi signal nazar aata hai, to selling ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Ek dilchasp level par heightened volatility hai jahan downward momentum dheema par sakta hai. Oscillator bhi gir raha hai, aur iska histogram zero line ke qareeb hai. Local moving average bhi neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo continued bearish pressure ko darshata hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke price is volatility zone ke qareeb kis tarah behave karti hai, taake agle movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

GBP/USD price changes ko dekhte hue, humne pair ke price mein uchal ka jaiza liya hai. Ek bullish buy level trigger hua, jo growth ka signal de raha hai aur bullish priority ko set kar raha hai. Aaj ki trading ne confirm kiya ke bulls ne ek noticeable upward move banaya, aur bullish trend abhi tak intact hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke abhi bhi aage barhne ka potential hai, bullish channel ki upper boundary ki taraf, jahan resistance levels 1.34631-1.34951 ke aas paas hain. Lekin main eagerly downside signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon taake sale initiate karoon. Iss waqt mera bearish sell level shift ho kar 1.33501 par aa gaya hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchta hai, to main ek sell trade execute karunga. Jab sell signal milay ga, to main expect karta hoon ke potential declines honge aur support levels kuch yeh honge: 1.32821, 1.32622, 1.32353, 1.31876, 1.31705, aur 1.31591. Ab chalte hain daily chart ki taraf. Ek baar phir hum pehle se established ascending price channel ki upper limit ko cross kar chuke hain. Yeh unexpected tha, kyunke main expect kar raha tha ke ek rebound hoga aur ek corrective decline ayega.

Technically, resistance line ka tootna aur zyada buying opportunities ka signal de sakta hai, lekin main samajhta hoon ke ek aur rebound hoga jo ek corrective decline ko trigger karega, jo possibly 1.3366 tak jaa sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ne American session ke doosray hisay mein uninterrupted growth dekhi. Yeh doosri dafa hai jab meri analysis ghalat sabit hui, kyunke main expect kar raha tha ke 1.3401 level se ek rebound hoga aur ek corrective decline ayega. Iske bajaye, main ne ek sell trade enter kiya aur uske baad upward momentum chalta raha. Jab hum hourly chart dekhte hain, to humein steady growth nazar aati hai jo pehle se bana hua ascending channel ke andar hai. Halankeh main yeh samajhne se qasir hoon ke yeh movement kis wajah se hua, lekin yeh to clear hai ke koi significant player har minor pullback pe buy kar raha hai, jisse price north ki taraf push ho raha hai. Yeh growth, jo 18:31 Moscow time pe shuru hui, upper boundary of northern channel H1 chart par 1.3431 ke aas paas tak jaa sakti hai.

/USD Market Update
Hello, GBP/USD ne Monday ko European trading mein 1.3250 ke qareeb kaafi nuqsan uthaya. Yeh pair UK ke S&P Global Business PMI reports ki behtar nahin aane wali khabron aur US Dollar ki nayi demand se kamzor hua. Ab agla focus US PMI data aur Fedspeak par hoga.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 80 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye overbought conditions ka indication hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.3350 (bullish regression channel ka upper limit) agla resistance hai, jo 1.3400 (psychological level, static level) se pehle aata hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3300 ke neeche wapas aata hai (bullish channel ka midpoint) aur is level ko resistance ki tarah istemal karta hai, toh 1.3230 (bullish channel ka bottom) ki taraf ek lambi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Thursday ko volatile action ke doran, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum gather kiya aur Friday ko European subah mein 1.3300 ke upar, March 2022 ke baad apne sabse unche level par trade kiya. Pair ki technical halat overbought conditions ki taraf ishara karti hai. Bank of England ne Thursday ko announce kiya ke unhone September ki meeting ke baad policy rates ko unchanged rakha, jo ummeed thi. Hairat ki baat yeh thi ke sirf ek policymaker ne 25 basis points ka rate cut support kiya.

BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne baad mein kaha ke unhe umeed hai ke UK interest rates girenge, lekin unhein yeh dekhna hoga ke residual inflationary pressures khatam ho rahe hain ya nahi. Halankeh GBP/USD BoE event ke baad thoda niche aaya, lekin Friday ko yeh positive territory mein close hua. US dollar par naya selling pressure aur upbeat UK data ne GBP/USD ko Friday subah mein upar uthne mein madad ki. UK ki Office for National Statistics ne report kiya ke retail sales August mein 1% barh gayi, jo market expectations (0.4% ki barhoti) se zyada thi.

Mera topic GBP/USD currency pair ka price action breakdown hai. GBP/USD ne U.S. dollar ke against mazid taqat hasil ki hai, jo aik aham trend hai dekhne ke liye. 4-hour chart par GBP/USD ka upward movement poori tarah se jari hai, aur buying opportunities kafi achi lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye faidemand hain. MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift karke zero level cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar ye halfway se zyada move kare aur open long position profitable ho jaye, to stop-loss ko breakeven par shift karna behtareen ho sakta hai. Lekin order book mein selling ka jo wave hai, wo is growth ko support karta hai, halaan ke yeh abhi bhi dekhna baqi hai ke price kitna aage ja sakta hai. Higher volumes ka zyada hissa ho chuka hai, jis se mazeed growth ke liye kam room reh gaya hai. Buying fade ho rahi hai, aur price kaafi high lag rahi hai additional purchases ke liye. Is liye, main jald hi pair ka reversal expect kar raha hoon.

Bulls ne GBP/USD pair par koi kasar nahi chhodi, jis ne traders ko puri tarah se confuse kar diya hai. Maine aaj kai groups se baat ki, lekin kisi ne bhi achi trading nahi ki. Sirf EUR/USD pair par H1 time frame mein aik short trade successful raha. Maine bhi aik short position li thi, lekin loss ho gaya kyun ke main waqt par usay breakeven par shift nahi kar saka, aur tab tak dair ho chuki thi. Mujhe pound ke liye koi acha entry point nazar nahi aa raha, lekin main bearish correction ke liye reversal expect kar raha hoon. Asset price aik significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas paas test kar raha hai, jo ke Asian session ke dauran mumkin hai. Main expect karta hoon ke aik correction opposite liquidity areas tak ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas paas hain, jo main pehle highlight kar chuka hoon. Hum ab market close ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur dekhenge ke Asian traders kaise react karte hain. Jo current growth hai, wo speculative lag rahi hai, jo Britain ki economic decline ke muqable mein U.S. ki economic strength ki wajah se ho rahi hai.

**GBP/USD Ka Tehlil: Teesray Hafte Tak Ooper Ki Taraf Rawaan**





Pair ne teesray hafte tak apni upward trend ko barqarar rakha, aur is hafte trading shuru ki ascending price channels mein hui, jo chart par dikhaye gaye hain aur jo guzashta do hafton ke dauran price movement ka rukh zahir karte hain. Is hafte ke aghaz mein, price ko weekly pivot level 1.3258 par support mila, jo ke channel ki lower lines thi, aur yeh upper lines tak pohoch gayi jo price ke liye strong resistance sabit hui, jisse price wapas neeche agayi.

Is dafa, aik naya aur higher bottom bana jo ke pehle wale bottom se zyada tha, aur yeh bhi channel line par tha. Abhi price phir se ooper ja rahi hai, aur mumkin hai ke yeh weekly resistance level 1.3479 tak pohoch jaye.

**Iqtisadi Surat-e-Haal**

Iqtisadi tor par, British pound ke girawat ke peeche koi khaas news nahi hai jo decline ka sabab bane. Is hawale se, Jefferies ke analyst Brad W. Bechtel ka kehna hai ke Wednesday ke din end-of-month aur quarter flows dekhnay ko milen ge jo forex markets mein volatility ka sabab banein ge. Unka kehna tha, “Ham is hafte quarter ke akhri din mein hain, aur yeh mumkin hai ke London aur New York ke sobah ke waqt forex market ko zyada harakat milay.”

September aur quarter ka ikhtitam qareeb hai, jo ke global portfolio managers ko foreign exchange market ke recent developments ke mutabiq adjustments karne par majboor karega. Rebalancing ke natijay mein qareebi waqt mein significant volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Reuters ke market analyst Robert Vollem kehte hain ke asset prices ke liye turbulent third quarter ka ikhtitam ek bara rebalancing ka darwaza khol raha hai. Bechtel ka maanna hai ke September ka ikhtitam aur 2024 ka teesra quarter ek mazboot US dollar ka shamil hoga, jo pichlay hafton ki kamzori ko madde nazar rakhta hai. Unka kehna hai, "Mujhe hairani hogi agar quarter ke ikhtitam par hum itnay US dollars na bech saken ke humein US dollar index mein 100 support se neeche lay jaye."

Unhoon ne yeh bhi kaha, "Aam tor par quarter ke ikhtitam par US dollar ke liye positive trends rahe hain, to agar kuch hua, to hum shayad 101 ke upar waapis chalein aur 102 ke qareeb pohoch jayein."