جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

GBP/USD ka bullish potential abhi bhi sambhalne ke layak hai, kyun ke Pound Authentic ne Bank of Britain (BoE) aur US Central Bank (Fed) ke beech ke maali rukh ki tafreeq ka faida uthaya, jo ke national banks ke mahine ki report mein numayan hui.

Fed ne budh ko 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jis se Fed funds rate 4.75%-5.0% ke beech aa gaya. Economic Projections ki list, jise dot plot bhi kaha jata hai, ne is saal aur agle saal ke liye 100 basis points ke total rate cuts ki soorat-e-haal ka izhar kiya.

Iske muqablay mein, BoE ne Thursday ko apni policy rate ko 5.0% par barqarar rakha, jabke Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke policymakers ko "zara dekh kar chalna chahiye, ke woh zyada tezi se na ghatain."

National banks ke in lopsided decisions ne GBP/USD pair ke uptick ko aur mazid support diya, jis se ye 1.3315 tak pahuncha, jo ke 30 maheenon ka naya high hai. Khareedne walon ne akhir hafte tak control sambhale rakha, halanke risk sentiment mein kami aayi, jabke China ki ma’ashi rukawat ke bare mein naye concerns ne paida kiye.

Hafte ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ke ird gird apni recovery mode ko pakre rakha, kyun ke traders ne national banks ke faislon ke agay kisi bhi directional bets lagane se parhez kiya.

Tuesday ko US ke Retail Sales ka data kaafi mazboot raha, jis ne USD ke liye momentarily positivity create ki jab logon ne ‘soft landing’ ki umeed jagai. Magar ye khushi jaldi khatam ho gayi jab Fed ka faisla aaya. Retail Sales mein sirf 0.1% ka izafa hua, jabke pichle mahine mein ye 1.1% tha, ye data US Trade Department ke Census Bureau ne diya.

Dusri taraf, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Jumme ko jo data publish kiya, uske mutabiq UK mein Retail Sales August mein 1.0% se barh gayi, jabke July mein ye 0.5% se barh gayi thi. Ye data 0.4% ke expected growth se zyada tha.

Iss sab ke mad-e-nazar, GBP/USD ka rukh bullish hai, lekin traders ko ab bhi careful rehna hoga, kyunki global ma’ashi halat kabhi bhi badal sakti hai.

GBP/USD ka bullish potential abhi bhi sambhalne ke layak hai, kyun ke Pound Authentic ne Bank of Britain (BoE) aur US Central Bank (Fed) ke beech ke maali rukh ki tafreeq ka faida uthaya, jo ke national banks ke mahine ki report mein numayan hui.
Fed ne budh ko 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jis se Fed funds rate 4.75%-5.0% ke beech aa gaya. Economic Projections ki list, jise dot plot bhi kaha jata hai, ne is saal aur agle saal ke liye 100 basis points ke total rate cuts ki soorat-e-haal ka izhar kiya.

Iske muqablay mein, BoE ne Thursday ko apni policy rate ko 5.0% par barqarar rakha, jabke Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke policymakers ko "zara dekh kar chalna chahiye, ke woh zyada tezi se na ghatain."

National banks ke in lopsided decisions ne GBP/USD pair ke uptick ko aur mazid support diya, jis se ye 1.3315 tak pahuncha, jo ke 30 maheenon ka naya high hai. Khareedne walon ne akhir hafte tak control sambhale rakha, halanke risk sentiment mein kami aayi, jabke China ki ma’ashi rukawat ke bare mein naye concerns ne paida kiye.

Hafte ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ke ird gird apni recovery mode ko pakre rakha, kyun ke traders ne national banks ke faislon ke agay kisi bhi directional bets lagane se parhez kiya.

Tuesday ko US ke Retail Sales ka data kaafi mazboot raha, jis ne USD ke liye momentarily positivity create ki jab logon ne ‘soft landing’ ki umeed jagai. Magar ye khushi jaldi khatam ho gayi jab Fed ka faisla aaya. Retail Sales mein sirf 0.1% ka izafa hua, jabke pichle mahine mein ye 1.1% tha, ye data US Trade Department ke Census Bureau ne diya.

Dusri taraf, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Jumme ko jo data publish kiya, uske mutabiq UK mein Retail Sales August mein 1.0% se barh gayi, jabke July mein ye 0.5% se barh gayi thi. Ye data 0.4% ke expected growth se zyada tha.

Iss sab ke mad-e-nazar, GBP/USD ka rukh bullish hai, lekin traders ko ab bhi careful rehna hoga, kyunki global ma’ashi halat kabhi bhi badal sakti hai.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

ستمبر 23 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 1.3300 کی ہدف کی سطح کو عبور کرتے ہوئے ایک نئی مقامی اونچائی قائم کی۔ اگر پاؤنڈ 1.3360 کی سطح سے ٹوٹ جاتا ہے، تو انحراف برقرار رہے گا، اور قیمت میں اضافے کے لیے کافی گنجائش باقی رہے گی۔ یہ صورتحال درمیانی مدت کی ترقی کی راہ میں رکاوٹ ہے۔ رجحان کو ریورس کرنے کے لیے، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی خلاف ورزی کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔



یوکے ستمبر کے پرچیزنگ مینیجرز انڈیکس (پی ایم آئی) کا ڈیٹا آج جاری کرے گا۔ کچھ کمزوری متوقع ہے، مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی کے 52.5 سے 52.3 تک گرنے کی پیش گوئی کے ساتھ۔ ہم دیکھیں گے کہ واقعات کیسے سامنے آتے ہیں۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.3300 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، اور اوپر کی حرکت قائل نظر آتی ہے۔

تاہم، مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے سے ہی نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی حد کے قریب ہے، اس لیے نیچے کی طرف اصلاحی حرکت ممکن ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.3300 سے نیچے مستحکم ہوتی ہے، تو یہ 1.3220 پر حملے کا اشارہ دے گی۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.3141) کے نیچے استحکام اسٹریٹجک ریچھوں کے حق میں ایک سنجیدہ دلیل کے طور پر کام کرے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Yeh mumkin hai ke agar jo support level iss waqt maujood hai usay cross kiya gaya, toh price kaafi neeche gir sakti hai aur ek mazid strong support level tak ja sakti hai. Kal raat jo price ka izafa hua tha, wo qareebi resistance level 1.2746 se upar nikal gaya, aur yeh baat kaafi aham hai kyun ke yeh is baat ki wazeh nishani hai ke buyers iss waqt market par qabil-e-qabza hain. H4 time frame par dekha gaya ke recent price ka girawat 1.2654 support level ko breach nahi kar saka, aur purchasers ne foran moqa pakar kar price ko upar dhakel diya. Moving Average (MA) 50 aur MA 100 dono iss waqt price se neeche hain aur upwards pointing hain, jabke price Bollinger Band ke area se upar hai. Iss lihaaz se, price ke qareebi resistance level 1.2783 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek kaafi strong resistance level hai. Yeh buyers ke dominance ko zahir karta hai. Agar yeh resistance level successfully break ho gaya, toh price mazeed upar ja sakti hai ek aur baray resistance level tak. Yeh technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke buy option abhi bhi achi strategy hai aaj ke GBPUSD trading plan ke liye. Jis tarah hum ne technical analysis mein dekha, mojooda trend conditions mein buyers ki strong push dikhayi de rahi hai. Is liye, main aaj ke trading plan ke liye buy option ko sell option par tarjeeh doon ga. Lekin re-entry se pehle humein intezaar karna chahiye ke price qareebi support level tak aaye taake hum behtareen entry zone ko identify kar sakein aur risk ko calculate kar sakein. Bulish engulfing ya pin bar candle patterns ki shakal mein confirmation bhi loss ke chance ko kam karegi aur price strengthening ko reinforce karegi. Entry zone ko sab se qareebi support levels par set kiya jayega. Pehle support level 1.2754 par dekhun ga, aur agar yeh area break hota hai toh phir second support level jo ke 1.2746 par hai wahan intezaar karoonga. TP (Take Profit) area qareebi resistance level par set kar sakte hain, har trade ke liye stop loss (SL) ka faasla taqreeban 40 pip rakha ja sakta hai, aur minimum profit objective 1:1 ho sakta hai. Market ki condition agar trending ho, toh yeh parameters adjust kiye ja sakte hain. Aam tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD mein abhi bhi price moves ki guzarish hai, aur aaj ke din ke liye buy option ko tarjeeh deni chahiye, qareebi resistance level ko target karte hue.

GBP/USD Price Outlines

Aao is topic pe baat karte hain jo GBP/USD currency pair ki price ke behavior ka analysis hai. Maujooda H1 chart ke hisaab se, GBP/USD aik aur upward move ke liye tayar hai, aur ye move 1.3366 ke potential reversal level ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye ascending hourly channel ki upper boundary ko bhi test kare. Jumme ko 1.3305 ke ooper close hone ki wajah se is scenario ki likelihood kaafi zyada hai. Bollinger Bands bhi upward direction mein hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price correction hone se pehle ek nayi high ko hit kar sakti hai. Monday ya Tuesday tak yeh wazeh ho jana chahiye ke market nayi peaks ko hit karegi pehle ya price mein ek corrective decline pehle hoga. Tuesday tak mein ziada clear signals ki umeed rakhta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai ke bullish trend reverse hoga, aur upward se downward ki taraf shift karega. Is surat mein, 1.2749 ka level asar mein aa sakta hai, kyun ke yeh ek technical gap se milta hai jo abhi tak close nahi hua
Jahan tak upper levels ka taluq hai, 1.3399 ab bhi nazar mein hai, lekin koi jaldbazi nahi hai. Yeh ziada behtar hoga ke pehle correction ka intezaar karen phir us target ki taraf move karein. Price abhi bhi ascending channel mein hai. Jumme ki raat ko pair ne reversal kiya aur upward move karna shuru kiya. Halankeh ye upper boundary tak nahi pohoncha, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke pair upar ki taraf continue karega, aur iska target channel ki upper limit 1.3343 ke qareeb hoga. Jab yeh level hit hoga, to mujhe umeed hai ke price reverse karegi aur lower boundary ki taraf move karegi, jo ke 1.3226 ke aas paas hai. Daily chart pe jo overall upward momentum hai, uske madde nazar buying opportunities ko dekhna logical lagta hai. Levels ko calculate karne se yeh buy entry 1.3199 (futures) ke aas paas hoti hai, jo zaroori nahi ke maximum ho, aur breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Haalaat ko closely dekhte rahen jab yeh develop ho

GBP/USD European trading mein Monday ko 1.3250 ke qareeb kaafi zyada nuqsan utha raha hai. Yeh pair UK ke S&P Global Business PMI reports ke disappointing nateejon aur US Dollar ki nai demand ki wajah se kamzor hua hai. Ab agla focus US PMI data aur Fedspeak par hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 80 ke qareeb hai, jo ke overbought conditions ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, to 1.3350 (bullish regression channel ki upper limit) agle resistance ke tor par hai, is se pehle 1.3400 (psychological level, static level) tak ka target ho sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3300 ke niche jaata hai (bullish channel ka midpoint) aur is level ko resistance ke tor par istimaal karta hai, to extended correction ka 1.3230 (bullish channel ka bottom) tak jaane ka imkaan hai
Thursday ke volatile action ke baad, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum hasil kiya aur Friday ki European morning mein 1.3300 ke upar trade kiya, jo ke March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai. Pair ki technical analysis overbought conditions ko zahir karti hai. Bank of England ne Thursday ko apni September meeting ke baad policy rates ko unchanged rakha, jo ke expected tha. Herat angaiz tor par, sirf ek policymaker ne 25 basis points ka rate cut vote kiya. Governor Andrew Bailey ne baad mein kaha ke unhe umeed hai ke UK interest rates girenge, lekin is ke liye unhe inflationary pressures ke kam hone ke zyada saboot chahiye. BoE event ke baad GBP/USD ne thora pullback kiya, magar Friday ko positive territory mein band hua Friday ki subha US dollar ke ird-gird fresh selling pressure aur upbeat UK data ne GBP/USD ko upar uthne mein madad di. UK ke Office for National Statistics ne report di ke retail sales August mein mahina dar mahina 1% barhi hain, jo ke market expectations (0.4% rise) se zyada th

Economic calendar mein Friday ko koi aise high-level data releases nahi hain jo GBP/USD ki action ko seedha asar dein. Is liye, investors risk perception mein tabdeeli par nazar rakh sakte hain. Thursday ko Wall Street ke main indexes ne strong gains kiye, jab ke Friday ki European morning mein US stock index futures thora neeche trade kar rahe the. Agar US stocks opening bell ke baad deeply correct karte hain, to USD ko support mil sakta hai aur GBP/USD ki upar ki taraf ki movement limited ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar risk flows dominate karte hain to investors overbought terms ko nazarandaz kar ke pair ko aur upar jaane de sakte hain

ke dauran 1.3300 mark ke aas paas raha, jo March 2022 ke baad se apni sabse unchi level ke qareeb hai, jo ek din pehle touch hui thi. 4-hour chart par relative strength index (RSI) 70 se thoda upar hai, lekin investors filhal overbought conditions ko ignore kar sakte hain. Agar price upar jata hai, toh1.3300 pehli resistance hogi, uske baad 1.3340 (jo March 2022 se static level hai) aur 1.3400(round level) tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar GBP/USD pullback karta hai aur 1.3260(stable level, pehle resistance) se neeche aata hai, toh technical sellers shayad action lein. Iske neeche, 1.3200 (constant level) agla support ban sakta hai, uske baad 1.3150 (100-period simple moving average) support ka role ada karegi. Halanki din ke aakhri hisse mein thoda pullback dekha gaya, pair ne positive territory mein close kiya.
Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy announcements se pehle, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum ikattha kiya aur aaram se 1.3250 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ne apni September meeting ke baad policy rate ko 50 basis points ka cut diya, jisse range 4.75%-5%tak aagai. Market ki foran reaction ne US Dollar ko zabardast selling pressure mein daal diya, jis se GBP/USD mein rally trigger hui. Baad mein, market ke ehtiyaati sentiment ne USD ke losses ko limit kiya aur GBP/USD ko thoda pullback karne mein madad di.
Post-meeting press conference mein, Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye explain kiya ke agar economy stable rehti hai, toh woh rate cuts ke pace ko kam karne par ghoor karenge. Iske ilawa, unhone kaha ke job losses ke risks badh gaye hain.
BoE ka intezaar hai ke woh apna Bank Rate 5% par qaim rakhega. Press conference nahi hogi, isliye investors statement ki language aur votes ka taqseem dekh kar analysis karenge. August mein, BoE ke policymakers ne 5-4 ke ratio mein 25 bps cut ke haq mein vote diya tha. Agar is dafa zyada majority, matlab 7 ya zyada policymakers interest rates ko waisi hi rakhnay ke haq mein vote dete hain, toh pound apni strength qaim rakh sakta hai. Lekin agar phir se ye faisla kareebi rehta hai, jaise August mein hua tha, toh GBP/USD ko upar jane mein mushkilat ho sakti hai aur ek foran reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
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GBP/USD ke liye bullish potential abhi bhi achi halat mein hai, kyun ke Pound ne Bank of Britain (BoE) aur US Central Bank (Fed) ke darmiyan maali policy ke farq ka faida uthaya, jo ke national banks ki meeting ke dauran zahir hua.

Fed ne Wednesday ko 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jis se Fed funds rate 4.75%-5.0% ke daira mein aa gaya. Economic Projections ki list, jo ke Spot Plot chart kehlati hai, ne is saal aur agle saal mein kul 100 basis points ke rate cuts ka izhar kiya.

Is ke muqabil, BoE ne Thursday ko apne policy rate ko 5.0% par rakha, jab ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne warn kiya ke policymakers ko "bohot jaldi ya zyada na kaatne" ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

Dono national banks ke darmiyan ke is farq ne GBP/USD pair mein zyada udaan di, jo ke Thursday ko 1.3315 par 30-maheene ka naya uncha point bana. Khareedne walay haftay ke aakhir mein bhi in control rahe, jab ke China ke maali slowdown ke hawale se khauf tha.

Haftay ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ke aas-paas apne recovery mode ko pakar ke rakha, kyun ke traders ne national banks ke faisle se pehle kisi bhi major bet se door rehne ka faisla kiya.

US Retail Sales ka data Tuesday ko aaya, jo kaafi strong tha aur is ne USD ke liye 'soft landing' ki umeed ko kuch waqt ke liye behtar kiya, lekin ye optimism jaldi khatam ho gaya jab Fed ka faisla aaya. Retail Sales pichle mahine 0.1% barh gayi, jab ke July mein 1.1% ka izafa dekha gaya, ye US Trade Department ke Census Bureau ne bataya.

Is beech, UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Friday ko data publish kiya, jis ne dikhaya ke UK mein Retail Sales August mein 1.0% tak barh gayi, jab ke July mein 0.5% ka izafa hua tha. Ye data expected 0.4% growth se behtar raha, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke UK ki economy bhi kuch acha kar rahi hai.

Is tarah, GBP/USD ka trend bullish rahne ki umeed hai, lekin market ki halat aur global concerns ko dekhte hue traders ko ehtiyaat baratne ki zarurat hai

GBP/USD H1 Analysis
Assalam-o-Alaikum doston, aaj dopahar mein GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 time frame par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Guzishta chand dino mein GBP/USD H1 time frame par kaafi pressure mein raha hai aur jab market aaj close hogi, toh yeh currency pair ab bhi upar ya neeche trade kar raha hoga. Is ke baraks, is mein izafa ho sakta hai. Jab market mein bari movement hoti hai, toh hum technical analysis ke zariye GBP/USD currency pair mein entry lene ki koshish karenge.

Mein H1 time frame par trend ko samajhne ke liye moving average indicator period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ka bhi istimaal karunga. Filhaal price apne moving average indicators ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye GBP/USD bullish trend mein hai, jahan yeh agle resistance 1.3264 ke price level tak push karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai.

Kal Friday ko GBP/USD market pair par sellers ka zyada control tha, jo ke buyers ke bullish trend ko resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche rokne mein kaamyab rahe. Yeh resistance area sellers ne mazbooti se defend kiya, jis se price neeche bearish move karne lagi, halankeh yeh distance ziada bara nahi tha, lekin sellers ka control zyada dikhai diya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh price ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai, aur bullish candlesticks dobara dominate kar rahi hain. Lekin, strong seller determination ki wajah se jab market close hogi, toh sellers ke paas bearish move ko continue karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Unka target hoga ke price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jayein, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh Red MA 50 area tak raste khul sakte hain.

Monday ke trading session mein ab bhi bearish trend continue hone ke chances hain, jab tak sellers prices ko apne resistance area ke neeche rakhe hue hain. Bearish seller ka pehla target buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga, aur agar yeh level validly break ho gaya, toh agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

### GBP/USD Price Outlines Ki Taqreer

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. H1 chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ek aur upward move ke liye tayyar ho raha hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke 1.3366 ke potential reversal level ki taraf ho aur shaayad ascending hourly channel ki upper boundary ko bhi test kare. Jab se Friday ka din 1.3305 ke upar close hua hai, is scenario ki sambhavna kaafi zyada hai. Bollinger Bands bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price naya high banane se pehle ek correction se guzar sakti hai.

Aam tor par, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh wazeh ho jayega ke kya market naye peaks tak pohanchta hai pehle ya phir pehle correction hoti hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke Tuesday tak aur bhi precise signals milenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke bullish trend ka reversal hoga, jo ke upward course se downward course ki taraf shift karega. Is surat mein, 1.2749 ka level dekha ja sakta hai, kyunki yeh ek technical gap hai jo abhi tak band nahi hua.

Upar ki taraf, 1.3399 abhi bhi nazar mein hai, lekin is taraf jaldi karne ki zarurat nahi. Yeh behtar hoga ke pehle correction ka intezar kiya jaye, phir us target ki taraf barha jaye. Price abhi bhi ascending channel ke andar hai. Friday raat ko, jorha ne reversal kiya aur upward movement shuru ki, lekin yeh upper boundary tak nahi pohanch paya. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh jorha barhta rahega, jiska target channel ki upper limit 1.3343 hai. Is level ko touch karne ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke price phir se reverse hoga aur lower boundary ki taraf jayega, jo ke lagbhag 1.3226 ke aas-paas hai.

Daily chart par overall upward momentum ko dekhte hue, yeh logical lagta hai ke buying opportunities ko consider kiya jaye. Levels ko calculate karne par, buy entry ka level lagbhag 1.3199 (futures) hai, jo zaroori nahi ke maximum ho, aur breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Isliye, situation ko dekhte hue nazar rakhna zaruri hai, kyunki market ki halat har waqt tabdeel ho sakti hai.

Traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke market ke is period mein buying activity ko monitor karna bohot ahem hai, kyunki price movement aur market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. Isliye, aapko har ek level par tawajjo deni hogi aur apne trades ko is hisaab se adjust karna hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending ha