جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Price Forecast
GBP/USD ne Monday ko ek aur 30-mahine ka naya high chhua. Pound Sterling ko ab shayad mazeed upar jane ke liye raasta kam pad raha hai, halaan ke Greenback kamzor ho raha hai. UK ki economy mein tez tabdeeli aa sakti hai, jab ke UK ka Prime Minister fiscal changes par ghour kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ne naye trading haftay ka aghaz karte hue ek aur 30-mahine ka naya high chhu liya, aur broad-market mein Greenback ke against selling pressure ki wajah se bull country mein mazid gehra ho gaya. Pichlay haftay Federal Reserve ke double rate cut ne USD flows ko kamzor kiya, jis se GBP ko upar jane ka faida mila.

Tuesday ko markets ko aik breather milega, kyun ke UK side par koi khaas data release nahi ho raha. US economic calendar bhi mid-tier hai, lekin investors Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke comments par nazar rakhenge, jo US market session ke dauran diye jayenge.

Pound Sterling ke liye siyasi khatarat bhi aas-paas mandla rahe hain; UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer ne is baat ka izhaar kiya hai ke UK ki domestic economy ko “painful” economic reforms ka samna karna par sakta hai, khas tor par jab UK mein inflation ka level dusri countries ke muqable mein zyada stickier hai.

September ka S&P US Manufacturing PMI 47.0 MoM par aa gaya, jo July 2023 ke baad ka sabse kam level hai, jab ke US manufacturing sector mein business activity par gloomy outlook dekhne ko mil raha hai. Doosri taraf, S&P US Services PMI bhi September mein 55.4 par aa gaya, jo August ke 55.7 se kam tha, lekin expected print 55.2 se zyada raha.

Fed policymaker aur Chicago Fed ke President Austan Goolsbee ne Monday ko markets ko thandey comments diye, unho ne kaha ke Fed ko mazeed rate movement ki zarurat par sakti hai. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke policy rates ko mazeed neeche le jane ki zarurat ho sakti hai taake business lending conditions ko itna liquid rakha ja sake ke US ka business landscape barqarar rahe, jab ke US labor market mein sakhti kam ho rahi hai.

Halanki Monday ko GBP/USD ne ek aur 30-mahine ka high chhu liya, lekin buyers ko price action ko aur zyada bull country mein dhakelne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Midweek market sessions ke dauran prices notable technical support ke baghair hover kar rahe hain. Daily candlesticks mein ab bhi bullish trend dekha ja raha hai, jahan yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 1.3000 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD Price Forecast
GBP/USD ne Monday ko ek aur 30-mahine ka naya high chhua. Pound Sterling ko ab shayad mazeed upar jane ke liye raasta kam pad raha hai, halaan ke Greenback kamzor ho raha hai. UK ki economy mein tez tabdeeli aa sakti hai, jab ke UK ka Prime Minister fiscal changes par ghour kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ne naye trading haftay ka aghaz karte hue ek aur 30-mahine ka naya high chhu liya, aur broad-market mein Greenback ke against selling pressure ki wajah se bull country mein mazid gehra ho gaya. Pichlay haftay Federal Reserve ke double rate cut ne USD flows ko kamzor kiya, jis se GBP ko upar jane ka faida mila.

Tuesday ko markets ko aik breather milega, kyun ke UK side par koi khaas data release nahi ho raha. US economic calendar bhi mid-tier hai, lekin investors Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke comments par nazar rakhenge, jo US market session ke dauran diye jayenge.

Pound Sterling ke liye siyasi khatarat bhi aas-paas mandla rahe hain; UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer ne is baat ka izhaar kiya hai ke UK ki domestic economy ko “painful” economic reforms ka samna karna par sakta hai, khas tor par jab UK mein inflation ka level dusri countries ke muqable mein zyada stickier hai.

September ka S&P US Manufacturing PMI 47.0 MoM par aa gaya, jo July 2023 ke baad ka sabse kam level hai, jab ke US manufacturing sector mein business activity par gloomy outlook dekhne ko mil raha hai. Doosri taraf, S&P US Services PMI bhi September mein 55.4 par aa gaya, jo August ke 55.7 se kam tha, lekin expected print 55.2 se zyada raha.

Fed policymaker aur Chicago Fed ke President Austan Goolsbee ne Monday ko markets ko thandey comments diye, unho ne kaha ke Fed ko mazeed rate movement ki zarurat par sakti hai. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke policy rates ko mazeed neeche le jane ki zarurat ho sakti hai taake business lending conditions ko itna liquid rakha ja sake ke US ka business landscape barqarar rahe, jab ke US labor market mein sakhti kam ho rahi hai.

Halanki Monday ko GBP/USD ne ek aur 30-mahine ka high chhu liya, lekin buyers ko price action ko aur zyada bull country mein dhakelne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Midweek market sessions ke dauran prices notable technical support ke baghair hover kar rahe hain. Daily candlesticks mein ab bhi bullish trend dekha ja raha hai, jahan yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 1.3000 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD Prices ke Zariye Trading Signals
Yeh guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka tajziya karne se mutaliq hai. Agar hum daily chart par GBP/USD pair ka jaiza lein, to shuru mein yeh ek range ke andar trade kar raha tha, us waqt tak jab tak yeh ehsaas nahi ho gaya ke UK apni monetary policy ko tighten karna rok dega. Jab yeh baat aam ho gayi, to pair support level 1.23040 tak gir gaya. Iske kuch hi der baad, yeh mumkin tha ke interest rates barh rahe thay, jis wajah se pair phir se pehlay high levels tak chala gaya, jo ke thoda unexpected tha. Jab US ka unemployment data samnay aana shuru hua, to pair phir se barhna shuru ho gaya, shayad is umeed par ke US mein inflation barh rahi hai—aik development jo keh asal mein samne nahi ayi. Federal Reserve ke 51 basis points rate cut ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka upward movement zyada dair tak nahi chalega. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair overbought hai, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke yeh gir kar support level 1.29651 tak aa jaye ga. Mere khayal mein yeh neeche trade karta rahega jab tak US ka inflation data koi meaningful decline nahi dikhata.

Image Analysis
Aik koshish ki gayi thi ke is downward trend ko last Friday ko reverse kiya jaye, lekin US mein aik unexpected event ne stock market ko sharply barhadiya, jahan trading 1.329 ke upar close hui. Iske bawajood, yeh pair abhi tak aik expanding triangle mein hai, jo ke aik ascending wedge ki tarah bana hua hai. Yeh wedge tab break hoga jab price EMA20 ke neeche gir jaye, jo ke is waqt 1.3251 par hai. Sabse qareeb support fast EMA8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3294 ke qareeb hai. Halankeh main transatlantic logistics par koi insight nahi de sakta, magar yeh baat wazeh hai ke US economy apni energy self-sufficiency ki wajah se UK economy par faida hasil kar rahi hai. Filhal, mujhe ab bhi yeh lagta hai ke yeh pair decline karega, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke main ghalat ho sakta hoon. Is hafte humein GBP/USD ki performance par nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke zyada tar significant news events pehle hi ho chuke hain, jo ke aane wale waqt mein aik potential correction ka signal de rahe hain.

Hamara aaj ka guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ka price action rahega. Iss hafte, pair ne reverse kiya aur price mein izafa shuru ho gaya. Aisa lagta hai ke agle hafte tak price aur barh sakti hai, aur yeh 1.3266 ke upper boundary tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, to ek reversal ho sakta hai, jisse pair wapis neeche ja kar 1.2915 ke lower boundary tak aa sakta hai. Is currency pair ki situation kafi delicate hai—shuru mein bears ne uptrend ko tor diya tha, lekin bulls ne achanak se counter kiya aur situation ko reverse kar diya. Iss wajah se do scenarios samne aa rahe hain: ek taraf bulls 1.3114 ke 25% support level par qaim reh kar uptrend ko dobara shuru kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, bears market ko apne haq mein le jaa sakte hain. Is waqt market mein wapas aana thoda risk mein lagta hai jab tak koi clear direction saamne nahi aata.
British pound ke liye, four-hour chart yeh dikhata hai ke descending price channel, jo ke 1.3264 high se rebound hone ke baad bana, ab tak intact hai. Friday ko buyers corrective growth ko sustain nahi kar sake jo ke Thursday ko ECB ke rate cut ke baad shuru hui thi. Thodi der ke liye price oopar gayi aur pehle ke local high se kuch points upar chali gayi, lekin buyers 1.3152 ke beyond push karne mein nakam rahe. Natija yeh raha ke British pound ne reverse kiya, wapis descending channel mein chala gaya, aur resistance line se rebound kiya. Session ka ikhtitam 1.3123 par hua, aur technical indicators yeh darsha rahe hain ke downward movement bearish channel mein jari rahegi, jisme price recent low 1.2999 tak gir sakti hai, jahaan pound/dollar bearish channel ke lower boundary ko touch kar sakta hai. Magar market sentiment kuch aur kehta hai. Jab hum buy aur sell trades ka ratio dekhte hain, to yeh maloom hota hai ke 32%

GBP/USD Prices ke Zariye Trading Signals
Yeh guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka tajziya karne se mutaliq hai. Agar hum daily chart par GBP/USD pair ka jaiza lein, to shuru mein yeh ek range ke andar trade kar raha tha, us waqt tak jab tak yeh ehsaas nahi ho gaya ke UK apni monetary policy ko tighten karna rok dega. Jab yeh baat aam ho gayi, to pair support level 1.23040 tak gir gaya. Iske kuch hi der baad, yeh mumkin tha ke interest rates barh rahe thay, jis wajah se pair phir se pehlay high levels tak chala gaya, jo ke thoda unexpected tha. Jab US ka unemployment data samnay aana shuru hua, to pair phir se barhna shuru ho gaya, shayad is umeed par ke US mein inflation barh rahi hai—aik development jo keh asal mein samne nahi ayi. Federal Reserve ke 51 basis points rate cut ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka upward movement zyada dair tak nahi chalega. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair overbought hai, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke yeh gir kar support level 1.29651 tak aa jaye ga. Mere khayal mein yeh neeche trade karta rahega jab tak US ka inflation data koi meaningful decline nahi dikhata.

Image Analysis
Aik koshish ki gayi thi ke is downward trend ko last Friday ko reverse kiya jaye, lekin US mein aik unexpected event ne stock market ko sharply barhadiya, jahan trading 1.329 ke upar close hui. Iske bawajood, yeh pair abhi tak aik expanding triangle mein hai, jo ke aik ascending wedge ki tarah bana hua hai. Yeh wedge tab break hoga jab price EMA20 ke neeche gir jaye, jo ke is waqt 1.3251 par hai. Sabse qareeb support fast EMA8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3294 ke qareeb hai. Halankeh main transatlantic logistics par koi insight nahi de sakta, magar yeh baat wazeh hai ke US economy apni energy self-sufficiency ki wajah se UK economy par faida hasil kar rahi hai. Filhal, mujhe ab bhi yeh lagta hai ke yeh pair decline karega, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke main ghalat ho sakta hoon. Is hafte humein GBP/USD ki performance par nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke zyada tar significant news events pehle hi ho chuke hain, jo ke aane wale waqt mein aik potential correction ka signal de rahe hain.

GBP/USD ka 30-minute chart wazeh taur par uptrend dikhata hai, jahan aaj ka daam lagbhag 1.33223 par trade kar raha hai. Chart mein consistent bullish momentum nazar aata hai, jismein high highs aur high lows dekhe gaye hain, jab se daam 12 September ko 1.30000 se wapas bounce hua. Ye area ek bottom liquidity zone (Liq) ke taur par tha, jo mazboot support faraham karta tha, aur iski wajah se rally hui. Price action ne raste mein kai Fair Value Gaps (FVG) bhar diye, jo consolidation ke pal ko darshate hain, pehle ke upward movement se pehle.

1.32000 se 1.32500 ke darmiyan key liquidity zones temporary resistance ka kaam karte hain lekin ye jald hi toot gaye, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Chart par 1.32500 se upar significant distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones hain, jo ab test kiye ja rahe hain. Jab price 1.33500 ke kareeb pahunchta hai, to ye ek pehle se untested liquidity area ke nazdeek hai, jo bulls ke liye ek chunauti ban sakta hai.

Chart par marked Fair Value Gaps yeh darshate hain ke price kis area mein retrace kar sakta hai pehle se upar ki taraf jaane se pehle. Neeche ki taraf, 1.32000 ka area kai untested FVGs rakhta hai, jo support faraham kar sakta hai agar price iss waqt ke liquidity zone 1.33200 ko todne mein nakam hota hai. Agar correction hoti hai, to yeh area ek baar phir buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo bullish move ke liye ek springboard ban sakta hai.




Resistance ki baat karein, to GBP/USD ke liye asal challenge 1.33500 ke nazdeek upar ke liquidity zones mein hai. Agar price is level ko successfully todti hai, to pair aur bhi upar ki taraf target kar sakta hai, jahan agla significant resistance 1.34000 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin agar 1.33000 ke upar nahi tikti, to 1.32000 ke area ki taraf gehra retracement ho sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, GBP/USD 30-minute chart par bullish posture mein hai, lekin traders ko key liquidity zones se potential rejection par nazar rakhni chahiye. 1.33500 ke upar break hone par uptrend ka jaari rehna confirm hoga, jabki rejection hone par temporary pullback ho sakta hai taake zyada liquidity ikattha ki ja sake.

GBP/USD Price Action Analysis

Aaj ke gold analysis mein, hum mukhtalif time frames ka jaiza lenge taake market ke dynamics ko samajh sakein aur potential trading opportunities ko pehchaan sakein.

Current Market Activity

Humne dekha ke GBP/USD ka trading activity haal hi mein itna active nahi raha. Kal subah, Asian session ke shuru hone par, GBP/USD ne shuruati faida dekha aur 1.3100 tak pahunch gaya. Lekin iske baad, GBP/USD ki movement phir se kam ho gayi, kyunki candle ne 1.3100 par SBR region ko todne mein nakami dekhi. Is ghatne ke natije mein, sab se nazdeek ka support level toota, aur GBP/USD ka daam 1.3060 tak gir gaya.

Emerging Signals

Is level par, ek doji candle bani, jo market direction mein mumkinah tabdeeli ka ishara karti hai. Us point ko touch karne ke baad, GBP/USD phir se upar aaya, jo ek upward movement ki sambhavna ka saboot hai. Filhal, GBP/USD ka daam 1.3080 par hai. H1 support ki taqat 1.3060 par test hogi. Agar ye price level toota, to movement slow ho sakti hai; agar nahi, to trend upar ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke GBP/USD nazdeek ke support ki wajah se neeche ki taraf push ho.

Four-Hour Time Frame Analysis

4-hour time frame chart par, GBP/USD ne apni taqat ko barqarar rakha hai jab se isne upward momentum hasil kiya. Do lines abhi tak ek dusre ko cross nahi kiya, lekin isne kijun sen line ko toota hai. Mera khayal hai ke dono lines ke cross hone tak intezaar karna behtar hoga taake rising signal ki confirmation mil sake.

Demand Region Dynamics

Candle demand region mein locked hai, isliye mujhe yaqeen hai ke jaldi intersection hoga. Upar ki taraf ka trend yeh darshata hai ke bullish signal abhi bhi maujood hai. Lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunki agar line level 80 tak pahunchti hai aur neeche ki taraf pivot hoti hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke liye girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, base demand area 1.3051 par ab tak nahi toota.




Conclusion

Yeh analysis aapko market conditions aur GBP/USD ke liye available trading opportunities ko samajhne mein madad karegi. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke upar aur neeche dono taraf movements ki sambhavna hoti hai jab tak situation evolve hoti rahe.

GBP/USD Price Action Analysis

GBP/USD ka trend teen dinon se upar ki taraf jaari hai, aur ye Asian session ke doran 1.3300 ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai. Bank of England ka interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur government debt ko kam karne ka faisla British pound ko faida de raha hai. Iske muqablay mein, US dollar Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ke andeshon ke chalte dabao ka shikaar hai, jo GBP/USD ke upar jaane ka ek aham sabab hai.

Technical Perspective

Technical nazariye se dekha jaye, short-term downtrend line ke upar sustained break aur positive oscillator readings yeh darshati hain ke GBP/USD ka upward trend jari rehne ki sambhavna hai. Magar, daily chart par RSI thoda overbought signal de raha hai, jo darshata hai ke traders shayad intraday correction ka intezar karein ya thoda sa girawat dekhein naye positions shuru karne se pehle.

Future Prospects

Overbought signal ke bawajood, GBP/USD ke aur bhi upar jane ke liye tayyar hai, aur ye 1.3365 area ko target kar sakta hai, jahan iska 1.3400 level ko chunaav dena hoga, aur shayad March 2022 ke swing highs tak bhi pahunch sakta hai. GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ka level barqarar rakha hai, jo Federal Reserve ke ghaflati rate hike ke baad se upar hai.

Upcoming Events

Bank of England ka interest rate ka faisla agla aham event hoga, aur ye abhi 1.3265 ke August level ke kareeb hai. Halankeh positive oscillator readings ke bawajood niche girawat ki sambhavna hai, lekin Stochastic ke pullback ke tayyari se enhancement ki sambhavna limited ho sakti hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3265 ke upar break kar leta hai, to ye May se resistance line ki taraf rally kar sakta hai, jo filhal 1.3350 par hai.




Conclusion

1.3400 ka psychological level bhi ek chunauti ho sakta hai, lekin agar ye isse paar kar leta hai, to 1.3600 ki taraf mazeed faida hona mumkin hai.

GBP/USD Market Outlook

Good morning, sab traders!

Jaise ke hum jaante hain, Great British MPC Official Bank Vote aur CPI rate ne buyers ke liye kaafi faida diya. Is wajah se, GBP/USD ne kal 1.3313 zone ko cross kiya. Is ke ilawa, pichhla haftha US economy ke liye mushkil raha, kyunki kai economic data aur events ne US dollar par negative asar daala. Hafte ke shuru se, key financial indicators jaise US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki monetary policy decisions, aur FOMC Press Conference ne US dollar ke liye zaroori stability faraham nahi ki. Yeh turbulence poore hafte chali, jisse currency apni taqat banaye rakhne mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahi thi.




Is liye, GBP/USD ka market ab buyers ke haq mein rahega, aur wo jaldi ya baad mein 1.3365 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. US dollar par asar dalne wale aham events mein se ek Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka release tha. CPI, jo inflation ka key indicator hai, investors aur policymakers ke liye closely monitored hai. Is hafte ka CPI data inflationary pressures mein koi khaas relief nahi dikhata, khaaskar core inflation mein, jo volatile categories jaise food aur energy ko exclude karta hai. Is data ne market participants ko Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke agle move ke bare mein pareshan kar diya.

Aam tor par, high inflation yeh darshata hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo interest rates ko barha sakta hai aur currency ko support de sakta hai. Magar, is hafte ka data market ko Federal Reserve ke agle move ke bare mein unsure chhod gaya, jo US dollar ki kamzori ko aur barhata hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ne federal funds rate ko kam karne ka elan kiya, jo economic activity ko stimulate karne ke liye tha. Aam tor par, jab interest rates girte hain, to ye borrowing aur investment ko barhawa dete hain kyunki loans afford karna asaan hota hai. Lekin, is action ne US dollar par ulta asar dala.

Stay blessed aur pur sukoon rahiye!

The US dollar, jo ke saat mahine ke lowest level 101.05 ke qareeb tha, ne resistance ka samna kiya jab US Dollar Index (DXY) temporary tor par ruk gaya. Yeh waisa tha, jabke halaat mein ek bullish sentiment ka surge nazar aaya, jisme pair ka 0.29% decline hua aur wo 1.3270 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh dip pair ko mid-July ke highs ke qareeb le aayi, jo ke ek downward trend ka signal tha.
Traders ko 1.3281 par jo resistance hai, usko ghaur se dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai aur sath hi choti resistance jo 1.3340 par hai, wo bhi tod di jati hai, to yeh momentum mein ek shift ka ishara ho sakta hai. Halankeh GBP mein aaj aur girawat aane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar movement in resistance points ke upar hoti hai, to recent uptrend ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

UK ke service sector mein price pressures mein notable slow down ke bawajood—jo ke Bank of England (BoE) policymakers ke liye ek important inflation indicator hai—ab tak is girawat ne officials ko aggressively interest rate cuts karne par majboor nahi kiya. July mein services inflation 5.7% se gir kar 5.2% tak aa gaya. Ye girawat monetary policy mein shift ka ishara karti hai, lekin market is waqt 37% probability assign kar raha hai ke sequential interest rate cuts ho sakte hain, jaisa ke Reuters ke mutabiq hai.

Ab sab ki tawajjo BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke Friday ko JH Symposium mein honay wale speech par hai. Investors ke liye khaas taur par unka wage growth par nazariya interesting hoga, aur agar wages barhne lagti hain to inflationary pressures barh sakte hain. Unki commentary BoE ke future interest rate decisions aur overall economic outlook ke bare mein zaroori clues de sakti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Price is waqt multi-year highs tak pohanchne ke liye tayar hai, provided buyers continue pushing prices upward. Agar recent peak 1.3341 ke upar break hota hai, to significant bullish momentum ignite ho sakta hai, kyun ke pair ne guzashta 10 trading days mein sirf ek din ke ilawa har din positive territory mein close kiya hai. Is upward trend ke bawajood, abhi bhi yeh uncertain hai ke GBP faisla kon tor par last year's high 1.3341 ko surpass kar payega ya nahi.

1.3340 ka area, jo ke year-to-date peak hai aur jo last week touch kiya gaya tha, pair ke liye aik immediate challenge ban sakta hai. Agar currency pair is level ko todta hai, to agla significant resistance qareeb 1.3400 mark ke aas-paas nazar aa raha hai. Sustained upward movement ke liye follow-through buying zaroori hogi taake positive technical setup ko reinforce kiya ja sake.

The US dollar, jo ke saat mahine ke lowest level 101.05 ke qareeb tha, ne resistance ka samna kiya jab US Dollar Index (DXY) temporary tor par ruk gaya. Yeh waisa tha, jabke halaat mein ek bullish sentiment ka surge nazar aaya, jisme pair ka 0.29% decline hua aur wo 1.3270 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh dip pair ko mid-July ke highs ke qareeb le aayi, jo ke ek downward trend ka signal tha.
Traders ko 1.3281 par jo resistance hai, usko ghaur se dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai aur sath hi choti resistance jo 1.3340 par hai, wo bhi tod di jati hai, to yeh momentum mein ek shift ka ishara ho sakta hai. Halankeh GBP mein aaj aur girawat aane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar movement in resistance points ke upar hoti hai, to recent uptrend ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

UK ke service sector mein price pressures mein notable slow down ke bawajood—jo ke Bank of England (BoE) policymakers ke liye ek important inflation indicator hai—ab tak is girawat ne officials ko aggressively interest rate cuts karne par majboor nahi kiya. July mein services inflation 5.7% se gir kar 5.2% tak aa gaya. Ye girawat monetary policy mein shift ka ishara karti hai, lekin market is waqt 37% probability assign kar raha hai ke sequential interest rate cuts ho sakte hain, jaisa ke Reuters ke mutabiq hai.

Ab sab ki tawajjo BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke Friday ko JH Symposium mein honay wale speech par hai. Investors ke liye khaas taur par unka wage growth par nazariya interesting hoga, aur agar wages barhne lagti hain to inflationary pressures barh sakte hain. Unki commentary BoE ke future interest rate decisions aur overall economic outlook ke bare mein zaroori clues de sakti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Price is waqt multi-year highs tak pohanchne ke liye tayar hai, provided buyers continue pushing prices upward. Agar recent peak 1.3341 ke upar break hota hai, to significant bullish momentum ignite ho sakta hai, kyun ke pair ne guzashta 10 trading days mein sirf ek din ke ilawa har din positive territory mein close kiya hai. Is upward trend ke bawajood, abhi bhi yeh uncertain hai ke GBP faisla kon tor par last year's high 1.3341 ko surpass kar payega ya nahi.

1.3340 ka area, jo ke year-to-date peak hai aur jo last week touch kiya gaya tha, pair ke liye aik immediate challenge ban sakta hai. Agar currency pair is level ko todta hai, to agla significant resistance qareeb 1.3400 mark ke aas-paas nazar aa raha hai. Sustained upward movement ke liye follow-through buying zaroori hogi taake positive technical setup ko reinforce kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Pair ki Technical Analysis
Do hafton tak GBP/USD pair ka upward trend dekhnay ke baad, iss hafta ke aghaz mein price ascending price channels ke andar trade kar raha hai, jaise ke 4-hour chart par dikhaya gaya hai. Price ne channels ki middle lines se support hasil kiya aur phir girawat ka silsila shuru hua jo support level tak pohoncha, jo ke weekly pivot level hai. Ab price lower channel lines ke qareeb hai.

Iss liye, agle price direction ka tayyun karne ke liye aap ko is area mein price behavior ko ghaur se dekhna hoga. Jab price channels break hote hain aur price ek ghante ke liye unke neeche trade karta hai, to sell ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Agar upward price action channel line ke sath hota hai aur price dobara weekly pivot level ke upar trade karta hai, to buy ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

Economic Side par dekha jaye to, ek disappointing consumer survey yeh zahir karta hai ke hukoomat ka maashi masayil ke hawalay se pesimistana lehja aur mulk ki financial situation logon par ghalat asar dal raha hai. Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq, British retail sales volumes August mein 1.0% se barhein, jo ke July ke number se dugni barhoti thi aur umeed se zyada thi jo ke 0.4% thi.

Economic diary ke mutabiq, saal dar saal growth 1.5% se barh kar 2.5% tak pohonch gayi aur umeedon se aage thi jo 1.4% thi. Yeh strong reading Bank of England ke decision ko support karti hai ke wo ahtiyat ke sath interest rates mein mazeed cut kar raha hai. Yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ko 1.3340 resistance tak le gayi. Magar aagey risks moujood hain kyun ke consumer confidence gir raha hai. GfK consumer confidence survey, jo ke mulk ka sab se purana aur aham survey hai, September mein confidence mein kafi girawat dikhata hai, jahan headline index mein 7 points ki kami hui. Consumer confidence ye tay karega ke retail sales ka yeh trend qaim rehta hai ya nahi. Autumn Budget ke hawalay se bhi darkhwahshayen hain ke hukoomat ko apni fiscal position ko behtar karne ke liye taxes barhane padenge.

### Bank of England Aur GBP/USD Ka Halat

Bank of England ki hawkish stance ne GBP/USD ko 1.33 se upar bhej diya hai. Traders ko aane wale GDP data par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki iska BOE ke faisle par asar ho sakta hai. Agar bulls ka target 1.41 hai, toh momentum is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

Kya aap current market volatility ke liye useful trading ideas dhoond rahe hain? AI InvestingPro ke selected stock winners ka access hasil karein sirf $9 per month se kam mein! Fed ke taraf se pichle hafte surprise 50 basis point rate cut ke baad, Bank of England ne bhi ek aham kadam uthaaya hai: unhone August se shuru hone wale interest rate cuts ko suspend kar diya hai.

Yeh faisla, jo ke ek hawkish tone ke sath aaya, British pound ko mazboot banata hai aur GBP/USD currency pair ko naye highs tak le jata hai. Inflation data jo disinflationary process mein slowdown ko dikhata hai, BOE ko ehtiyaat se kadam uthane par majboor kar raha hai, isse yeh clear hota hai ke aane wale waqt mein shayad aur interest rate cuts ki umeed nahi hai.

Is wajah se, GBP/USD confidently 1.33 ka mark break kar gaya hai. Traders ko aane wale dinon mein potential upside momentum par nazar rakhni chahiye. Lekin sawal ye hai ke Bank of England ne tapering kyun nahi jari rakhi? Pichle mahine jab Bank of England ne interest rates cut kiye, tab kai logon ne umeed ki thi ke yeh trend aane wale meetings mein bhi jari rahega.

Phir bhi, rate ko unchanged rakhne ka near-unanimous faisla ne policymakers ke beech hawkish stance ko mazid mazboot kar diya hai. Agle Monday ko key GDP figures release honge, aur agar yeh expectations se neeche aate hain, toh BOE apne rate cuts par dobara ghoor kar sakta hai.

UK ka core inflation bhi chinta ka sabab hai. Pichle hafte jo inflation data release hua, usne Bank of England ka dhyan khinch liya hai, jiska sabse bada maqsad sustainable inflation target achieve karna hai. Is samay market mein volatility hai, aur traders ko is par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar aap ke paas koi sawal ya feedback hai, toh bejhijhak poochiye!

GBP/USD Pair ki Technical Analysis
Do hafton tak GBP/USD pair ka upward trend dekhnay ke baad, iss hafta ke aghaz mein price ascending price channels ke andar trade kar raha hai, jaise ke 4-hour chart par dikhaya gaya hai. Price ne channels ki middle lines se support hasil kiya aur phir girawat ka silsila shuru hua jo support level tak pohoncha, jo ke weekly pivot level hai. Ab price lower channel lines ke qareeb hai.

Iss liye, agle price direction ka tayyun karne ke liye aap ko is area mein price behavior ko ghaur se dekhna hoga. Jab price channels break hote hain aur price ek ghante ke liye unke neeche trade karta hai, to sell ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Agar upward price action channel line ke sath hota hai aur price dobara weekly pivot level ke upar trade karta hai, to buy ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

Economic Side par dekha jaye to, ek disappointing consumer survey yeh zahir karta hai ke hukoomat ka maashi masayil ke hawalay se pesimistana lehja aur mulk ki financial situation logon par ghalat asar dal raha hai. Office for National Statistics ke mutabiq, British retail sales volumes August mein 1.0% se barhein, jo ke July ke number se dugni barhoti thi aur umeed se zyada thi jo ke 0.4% thi.

Economic diary ke mutabiq, saal dar saal growth 1.5% se barh kar 2.5% tak pohonch gayi aur umeedon se aage thi jo 1.4% thi. Yeh strong reading Bank of England ke decision ko support karti hai ke wo ahtiyat ke sath interest rates mein mazeed cut kar raha hai. Yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ko 1.3340 resistance tak le gayi. Magar aagey risks moujood hain kyun ke consumer confidence gir raha hai. GfK consumer confidence survey, jo ke mulk ka sab se purana aur aham survey hai, September mein confidence mein kafi girawat dikhata hai, jahan headline index mein 7 points ki kami hui. Consumer confidence ye tay karega ke retail sales ka yeh trend qaim rehta hai ya nahi. Autumn Budget ke hawalay se bhi darkhwahshayen hain ke hukoomat ko apni fiscal position ko behtar karne ke liye taxes barhane padenge.

British Pound US Dollar ke muqabley mein 1.3200 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai jab traders aane wale US economic data, khaaskar Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Core PCE data khaaskar ahm hai kyunke yeh Fed ke agle faislay par asar daal sakti hai. Agar reading zyada hoti hai, toh is se chhoti rate cut ho sakti hai, jo USD ko mazboot kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD par pressure daal sakti hai.
Aaj ke economic releases bohot ahm hain. Agar PCE aur GDP ka data umeed se zyada strong aata hai, toh is se aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeed kam ho sakti hai, jo US Dollar ko mazboot karega aur Pound ke liye risks create karega. Is ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ka ishara kar rahe hain, lekin yeh zyada tar aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaaskar Core PCE inflation report par nazar rakhenge, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke liye near-term mein key driver ban sakti hai. Outcome ke hisaab se, pair ya toh 1.3500 ki taraf barh sakti hai ya phir dobara selling pressure ka samna kar sakti hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stabilize kar liya hai, lekin iska future direction largely US economic data, khaaskar Core PCE inflation report par depend karta hai. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karega aur Pound ke agle move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko Bank of England ke potential rate cut bhi barhata hai, jo traders ke liye additional complexity introduce karta hai.