**GBP/USD Pair Analysis**
Thursday ko GBP/USD pair ne khaas harkat dikhayi, 1.2947 ke aas-paas rally kiya, jab ke central bank ki inflation ko effectively manage karne ki ability ke hawale se ongoing concerns thi. Yeh ustaad tab hui jab US economic data American trading ke dauran expected se kam aayi, jo aam taur par US Dollar ki demand ko barhawa deti hai aur currencies jaise Sterling ko pressure mein rakhati hai.
**BoE ka Interest Rate Faisla aur Economic Outlook:**
BoE ne interest rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakha ek widely anticipated 7-2 vote ke split ke sath. Jab ke headline inflation bank ke 2% target par wapas aa gayi hai teen saal ke dauran, services sector mein high price pressures ne policymakers ko cautious stance apnane par majboor kiya. Market expectations ab August se potential rate cuts ki taraf lean kar rahi hain, jo ke parliamentary elections ke aage economic uncertainties se influenced hain.
**Political Landscape aur Market Sentiment:**
Election se pehle ke polls jo Labour Party ko Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ke muqablay mein significant lead dikha rahe hain, ne market sentiment ko ek political dimension de diya hai. Yeh political uncertainty ka backdrop Pound ki valuation ko further sway kar sakta hai jab investors potential policy shifts aur unke economic stability par asraat ka andaza lagate hain.
**Technical Analysis aur GBP/USD ki Performance:**
GBP/USD ne briefly 1.2900 mark ko paar kiya, lekin baad mein 1.2780 ke aas-paas recent lows ki taraf retrace ho gaya. Technical indicators bearish bias ko suggest karte hain, jo ke 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2610 ke upar sustain karne mein failure se highlighted hai. Agar substantial buying pressure current trend ko reverse nahi karta to continued downward momentum ka shayad samna ho.
Daily candlestick patterns ka analysis dikhata hai ke supply zone se 1.2900 ke upar bearish rejection hui hai, jo ke 20-day EMA at 1.2748 ke potential retests ki taraf ishara karti hai. 50-day EMA at 1.2701 critical support offer karti hai, lekin iska weakening further declines ke liye vulnerability ko suggest karta hai. Agar bearish pressures barqarar rahe, to GBP/USD 2024 ke lows ke aas-paas 1.2300 level ko revisit kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair ki market dynamics ke liye sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.
Thursday ko GBP/USD pair ne khaas harkat dikhayi, 1.2947 ke aas-paas rally kiya, jab ke central bank ki inflation ko effectively manage karne ki ability ke hawale se ongoing concerns thi. Yeh ustaad tab hui jab US economic data American trading ke dauran expected se kam aayi, jo aam taur par US Dollar ki demand ko barhawa deti hai aur currencies jaise Sterling ko pressure mein rakhati hai.
**BoE ka Interest Rate Faisla aur Economic Outlook:**
BoE ne interest rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakha ek widely anticipated 7-2 vote ke split ke sath. Jab ke headline inflation bank ke 2% target par wapas aa gayi hai teen saal ke dauran, services sector mein high price pressures ne policymakers ko cautious stance apnane par majboor kiya. Market expectations ab August se potential rate cuts ki taraf lean kar rahi hain, jo ke parliamentary elections ke aage economic uncertainties se influenced hain.
**Political Landscape aur Market Sentiment:**
Election se pehle ke polls jo Labour Party ko Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ke muqablay mein significant lead dikha rahe hain, ne market sentiment ko ek political dimension de diya hai. Yeh political uncertainty ka backdrop Pound ki valuation ko further sway kar sakta hai jab investors potential policy shifts aur unke economic stability par asraat ka andaza lagate hain.
**Technical Analysis aur GBP/USD ki Performance:**
GBP/USD ne briefly 1.2900 mark ko paar kiya, lekin baad mein 1.2780 ke aas-paas recent lows ki taraf retrace ho gaya. Technical indicators bearish bias ko suggest karte hain, jo ke 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2610 ke upar sustain karne mein failure se highlighted hai. Agar substantial buying pressure current trend ko reverse nahi karta to continued downward momentum ka shayad samna ho.
Daily candlestick patterns ka analysis dikhata hai ke supply zone se 1.2900 ke upar bearish rejection hui hai, jo ke 20-day EMA at 1.2748 ke potential retests ki taraf ishara karti hai. 50-day EMA at 1.2701 critical support offer karti hai, lekin iska weakening further declines ke liye vulnerability ko suggest karta hai. Agar bearish pressures barqarar rahe, to GBP/USD 2024 ke lows ke aas-paas 1.2300 level ko revisit kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair ki market dynamics ke liye sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.
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