gbp/usd

H4 timeframe reference ke mutabiq, dekha ja sakta hai ke ek trend apne bearish phase ke initial stage mein hai jab decline ne Ma 200 movement limit (blue) ko paar kiya. Lekin, buyers koshish kar rahe hain ke trend ko wapas bullish direction mein le jaya jaye aur current conditions Ma 200 movement limit ko retest kar rahi hain. Yeh increase RSI 30 level ke oversold area ke neeche hone ki wajah se hui. Next trend direction ka faisla nearest resistance area (1.2862) aur support level (1.2706) ki price reaction par depend karta hai. Jab tak price in range mein trade kar rahi hai, aap short-term transactions ko consider kar sakte hain, jaise buy position open karna from the range of 1.2710 ya sell position open karna from the range of 1.2850. Agar price 1.2862 ke level ko break kar leti hai, buying ko focus kar sakte hain bullish phase ke possibility par jo highest price limit in July (1.3042) tak pohanch sakti hai. Nayi sell entry ko reconsider kar sakte hain agar price 1.2706 ke level ke neeche ek naya low form kar leti hai.



Daily TF reference par, main trend se bearish correction movement condition hai jo ab bhi bullish hai. Downward movement RBS area (1.2706) mein rejection condition experience kar rahi hai aur ab Ma 50 (red) movement limit ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current bullish efforts ko nearest supply area (1.2828) par obstacles face karne pad rahe hain. Dollar index ke weakening ke dekhte hue, agle feed mein buyers ke bullish trend direction continue karne ke chances zyada hain. Jab tak price zero area (1.2700) ke neeche nahi girti, purchase considerations ko account mein rakha ja sakta hai. Buy entry plan ko 1.2750-1.2770 range se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level se purchase target resistance area (1.2862) ko test karna hai. Put options ko consider kar sakte hain agar price 1.2700 level ke neeche girti hai, target crucial support area (1.2611) ko test karna hai.

GBP/USD pair ek interesting setup present kar raha hai daily trading ke liye. Yeh pair kuch din se ek compelling price pattern mein move kar raha hai. Apne extensive experience ke sath, main aapke faide ke liye details share karta hoon.
Ab humare paas do possible scenarios hain events ke development ke liye. Pehla option yeh hai ke quotes resistance level tak pohanch jayein, jo ke 50-period moving average se represent hota hai daily chart par, aur yeh currently 1.2680 par hai. Yeh scenario bohot optimistic hai aur yeh meri alternative option hai. Iske ilawa, AO indicator ke zero line ke upar cross karna ek buy signal ke tor par serve karta hai.
GBP/USD pair upper half of the chart mein flat trade kar raha hai at 1.26848. Instaforex indicator ke pehle hisson par dekhein to yeh bulls aur bears ke darmiyan even gap show kar raha hai, jahan bulls 50.13% range ke andar hain. Doosre hisson mein, indicator short-term upward trend show kar raha hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? UK aur US se kisi important aur interesting news ki umeed nahi hai: non-farm payrolls mein changes, initial jobless claims, services business activity index, non-manufacturing PMI, crude oil inventories, aur Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes. To hum technical analysis aur fundamental analysis ke pairs mein kaam karte hain. Mukhtasir mein, kya aur kaise? Mera maan'na hai ke yeh pair 1.2620 level tak south ko correct karega aur phir north ko reverse hote hue 1.2710 level tak pohanch jayega. Sab ko happy hunting.
GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind act karna chahiye flash PMIs se pehle.
Technical perspective se, spot prices filhal recent rally ke June monthly swing low ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se thoda upar trade kar rahi hain. Ye support lagbhag 1.2880 region ke qareeb hai, jis se neeche fresh selling ka silsila GBP/USD pair ko 1.2830-1.2835 area ya 50% Fibo. level tak le ja sakta hai. Agla relevant support 1.2800 mark ke qareeb dikhai deta hai, 61.8% Fibo. level se pehle, jo lagbhag 1.2780-1.2775 region ke ird gird hai. Agar iske neeche convincingly break hota hai, to ye bears ke liye naya trigger hoga aur gehre nuqsan ki raah khol dega.
Doosri taraf, agar 1.2900 mark se upar koi positive move hoti hai, to naye buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur 1.2930-1.2940 resistance ya 23.6% Fibo. level support breakpoint ke qareeb capped rahega. Kuch follow-through buying yeh suggest karegi ke recent corrective slide khatam ho gayi hai aur bias ko wapas bulls ke haq mein kar dega. Daily chart par oscillators abhi bhi positive territory mein hain, to GBP/USD pair dobara 1.3000 psychological mark ko reclaim karne ka aim kar sakta hai aur 1.3045 region ko retest kar sakta hai, ya pichle hafte ka ek saal ka peak touch kar sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis: Key Levels and Market Outlook

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek significant round number 1.2800 par band kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market filhal buyers ke influence mein hai. Magar yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke is upward movement ke bawajood, keemaat abhi bhi ek downward channel ke andar hai, aur koi bhi definitive breakout nahin hua. Yeh is baat ko mushkil banata hai ke buy position kholna aasaan ho kyunki market ko prevailing conditions ke liye strong reaction dikhana padega.

Jin logon ne buy position kholne ka socha hai, unke liye yeh behtar hoga ke woh price ke upper boundary se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karein aur resistance level 1.2850 ke upar break out karein. Is level ke upar breakout hone se bullish trend ka pata chalega aur yeh ek mazboot buying opportunity ko confirm karega. Doosri taraf, agar market is level par resistance dikhaata hai, to price aur neeche gir sakti hai.

Haal ki haalat mein, short-term trading opportunities explore ki ja sakti hain. Ek strategy yeh hai ke agar price support level 1.2710 ke aas paas aaye to buy position kholi jaye. Iske ilawa, agar price resistance zone 1.2850 par pahunche to sell position kholne par ghoor kiya ja sakta hai. Jin logon ko trend reversal ka potential dekhna hai, unke liye 1.2862 ke upar breakout hona bullish phase ki taraf indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad price ko July high 1.3042 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki momentum indicators—RSI 14, Stochastic, aur Awesome Oscillator—abhi tak bullish divergence ka signal nahin de rahe. Yeh divergence ki kami dikhata hai ke latest lower levels ki taraf decline abhi bhi ho sakta hai, jisse bullish divergence signal banta hua dekhai de sakta hai. Agar buyers price ko 1.2850 ke upar le jaane mein kaamyab hotay hain, to yeh resistance level 1.3040 ki taraf rapid ascent ki substantial chances mohayya karega.

Current price action yeh dikhata hai ke sellers chhoti size ki candles bana rahe hain, jo strong sell momentum ke lack ko reflect karta hai. Yeh yeh bhi batata hai ke resistance levels shayad price increases ko rokne mein bohot zyada significant barriers na ho, aur buyers se kisi bhi resistance reaction itna mazboot nahin ho sakta ke aage ke gains ko rok sake.

Summary mein, traders ko price action par dhiyan dena chahiye. Agar 1.2850 ke upar breakout hota hai to yeh ek strong buy signal de sakta hai, jabke 1.2706 ke neeche decline hona ek nayi sell opportunity paida kar sakta hai. Overall market sentiment tab zyada clear hoga jab price in key levels ke aas paas pohanchti hai aur momentum indicators apne signals dikhate hain.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis: Ahem Tehreer Mazid Tehreek Ka Imkaan

GBP/USD currency pair, jo aksar "Cable" ke naam se jana jata hai, is waqt 1.2874 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikha raha hai. Is ke bawajood, kuch factors aise hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke ek bara movement nazdeek hai. Is analysis main hum woh key elements explore karain ge jo GBP/USD pair ko influence kar rahe hain aur kyun ek bara move mumkin hai.

#### Mojooda Market Halat

Is waqt, GBP/USD pair ek downward trajectory par hai. Bearish trend par asar daalney walay mukhtalif macroeconomic factors hain, jin mein shamil hain:

1. **Interest Rates Differentials**: Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate policies GBP/USD pair par significant asar dalte hain. BoE inflationary pressures aur growth ko support karne ke liye ek complex economic environment ko navigate kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, Fed ki monetary policy stance zyada hawkish hai, inflation ka muqabla karne ke liye kaafi interest rate hikes hue hain. Is policy divergence ki wajah se GBP/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ho sakti hain.

2. **Economic Indicators**: GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates jese key economic indicators ka ahm kirdar hai. Haaliya UK economic data mixed results dikhata hai, kuch sectors resilience dikhate hain jab ke kuch piche hain. US main strong economic indicators ne USD ko bolster kiya hai, jo GBP/USD pair par pressure dalta hai.

3. **Political Developments**: Political events aur decisions, khas tor par Brexit, trade policies, aur international relations se mutaliq, significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Ongoing negotiations aur policy announcements uncertainty create kar sakte hain, jo investor sentiment aur GBP/USD rate ko impact karte hain.

#### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair ka bearish trend wazeh hai. Kai technical indicators is waqt pair ko oversold dikha rahe hain, jo ke ek potential reversal ya kam az kam ek consolidation phase ka ishara de sakte hain. Key technical levels jo dekhne layak hain:

1. **Support aur Resistance Levels**: 1.2800 level ek strong support zone raha hai. Agar pair is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh further downside signal kar sakta hai. Conversely, is support se rebound recovery ka lead kar sakta hai.

2. **Moving Averages**: Pair apni 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving averages ke upar cross karta hai, to yeh ek potential trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai.

3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: RSI is waqt oversold territory mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke selling pressure kam ho sakta hai. Agar RSI oversold region se bahar aata hai, to yeh ek potential bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai.

#### Fundamental Factors

Kayi fundamental factors hain jo GBP/USD pair mein ek significant movement lead kar sakte hain:

1. **Central Bank Policies**: BoE ya Fed ki monetary policies mein koi unexpected changes significant market reactions lead kar sakti hain. For example, BoE ka ek surprise rate hike GBP ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jab ke Fed se koi dovish signals USD ko weaken kar sakte hain.

2. **Economic Data Releases**: Aane wali economic data releases, jese ke UK GDP growth figures, US non-farm payrolls, aur inflation data ko closely traders dekhain ge. Positive ya negative surprises in data points mein increased volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Koi bhi geopolitical developments, jese ke trade policies mein changes ya political stability issues, market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. For example, UK-EU trade relations mein positive developments post-Brexit GBP ko boost kar sakti hain.

#### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment currency movements mein crucial role ada karta hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD pair ke hawale se sentiment cautious hai bearish trend ke wajah se. Lekin, sentiment news events, economic data, aur market expectations mein changes ke basis par rapidly shift ho sakta hai. Ek bullish sentiment ka shift GBP/USD pair mein significant buying interest trigger kar sakta hai.

#### Conclusion

Halankeh GBP/USD pair is waqt bearish trend experience kar raha hai, kai factors suggest karte hain ke ek bara movement nazdeek hai. Traders aur investors ko key economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Technical analysis bhi valuable insights provide karta hai potential support aur resistance levels, aur overbought ya oversold conditions ke bare mein.

Mukhtasir mein, current bearish trend ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ek potential significant movement ke liye poised hai. Latest market developments ke hawale se informed rehna aur sentiment mein rapid changes ke liye prepared rehna crucial ho ga potential volatility ko navigate karne ke liye.

### Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Ke Khitab Se Pehle GBP/USD Ka Hal

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke khitab se pehle, GBP/USD currency pair mein uncertainty ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. American session ke shuru hone se pehle, iske quotes trading day ke opening level par hain aur 1.2794 ke qareebi traded volume profile level par support hasil kar rahe hain. Jabke pound ka uptrend ab bhi mazboot nazar aa raha hai, currency pair ka June 12, 2024 ke high se upar sustain na kar pana kuch bullish weakness ko zahir karta hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke Powell ke khitab se US economy mein weakness ke mazeed asar zaroori hain taake pair 1.2860 ke high ko overcome kar sake.

### GBP/USD Par Key Asrat:

**Support Aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Support at 1.2794:** GBP/USD pair is waqt 1.2794 level par support hasil kar raha hai, jo ek significant volume profile level hai. Yeh support current uptrend ko maintain karne ke liye zaroori hai.
- **Resistance at 1.2860:** Pair ko 1.2860 ke qareebi level par strong resistance ka samna hai, jo June 12, 2024 ka high hai. Is resistance ko overcome karne ke liye US dollar ki further weakness ya pound ke liye strong bullish signals ki zaroorat hogi.

**Market Sentiment Aur Powell Ka Khitab:**
- **Powell Ke Khitab Se Pehle Uncertainty:** Market participants Powell ke khitab se pehle cautious hain, kyunke unke comments US monetary policy ke future trajectory ke baray mein ahm insights faraham kar sakte hain. Agar woh dovish stance ka ishara karte hain ya US economy mein weakness ko highlight karte hain, to yeh GBP/USD pair ko bolster kar sakta hai.
- **US Economic Signals:** Traders closely dekh rahe hain ke Powell ke comments mein koi US economy ki weakness ke signs hain ya nahi. Aise signals US dollar ke depreciation ka sabab ban sakte hain, jo pound ki koshish ko support karega taake resistance 1.2860 ko breach kar sake.

**Technical Indicators:**
- **Uptrend Continuation:** Mojooda uncertainty ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ke liye broader uptrend ab bhi intact hai. Pair ka 1.2794 support level ke upar rehna is uptrend ke liye crucial hai.
- **Bullish Weakness:** Pair ka June 12 ke high se upar sustain na kar pana kuch bullish weakness ko zahir karta hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market ko mazeed compelling bullish signals ki zaroorat hai taake higher push kar sake, khas tor par significant resistance ke samne.

### Trading Strategy:

Mojooda market dynamics aur technical setup ko dekhte huay, traders ko yeh strategies consider karni chahiye:

1. **Powell Ka Khitab Monitor Karein:** Powell ke comments ko closely dekhein ke un mein koi dovishness ya US economy ki weakness ka acknowledgment hai ya nahi. Aise signals GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish breakout trigger kar sakte hain.
2. **Key Levels Par Nazar Rakhein:** 1.2794 support aur 1.2860 resistance levels ko dekhein. Agar pair 1.2794 se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke 1.2860 se upar break further bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai.
3. **Confirmation Signals:** Support hold hone ya resistance ke upar breakout ke confirmation ka intezar karein positions enter karne se pehle. Candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators se validation hasil karein.
4. **Risk Management:** Stop-loss orders ko strategically employ karein, long positions ke liye 1.2794 support ke neeche aur short positions ke liye 1.2860 resistance ke upar taake potential losses ko manage kar sakein.

### Conclusion:

Powell ke khitab se pehle GBP/USD pair ek critical juncture par hai, jahan market sentiment Federal Reserve ke potential signals par poised hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur Powell ke significant insights par action lene ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Effective risk management aur technical signals ki confirmation current uncertainty aur potential volatility ko navigate karne ke liye essential hogi GBP/USD currency pair mein.

### UK GDP Data Ke Mutabiq Expectation Se Zyada Behtari, Interest Rate Cut Ki Ummedein

European session mein Thursday (July 11) ko GBP/USD 1.2875/76 par trade kar raha tha, jo 0.21% ka izafa tha. Aaj subah, UK ka aakhri mahina GDP data unexpected tor par bara, jahan teenon sectors - services (+0.3%), manufacturing (+0.2%) aur construction (+1.9%) - ne expansion dikhayi.

Taqreeban andaza hai ke real gross domestic product (GDP) mein May 2024 tak ke teen mahine, February 2024 tak ke teen mahine ke muqable mein 0.9% ka izafa hua. Yeh January 2022 ke baad se sabse zyada strong three-month growth hai. Service output is period mein 1.1% ka main contributor raha, jabke production output mein koi growth nahi hui aur construction output 0.7% gir gayi. Andaza lagaya gaya ke May 2024 mein monthly real GDP 0.4% bara, jabke April 2024 ke data zero tha (jo ke humare pichle data release se unchanged tha).

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Aaj ke strong GDP data ne UK's rate cut expectations ko 3-4 basis points se kam kar diya, magar market pricing ab bhi iss saal ke liye takreeban 47 basis points ke rate cut ko dikhati hai, September 19 ke meeting ko tarjeeh di gayi hai, jahan pehla rate cut 25 basis points ka hona expected hai. ING ke economist Smith ne ek report mein likha ke UK economy mein recovery ke asar ke bawajood, Bank of England rate cut karne par majboor ho sakti hai. Jab tak inflation data mein koi unexpected surprise nahi hota, hum sochte hain ke central bank rate cut karne par inclined hai, aur Bank of England se ummed hai ke iss saal total teen baar interest rates cut karegi. Data release hone ke baad, GBP/USD multi-week high 1.2668 ko hit kar gaya aur ab 1.2896 ke early March ke high par nazar hai.

### EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP apni recent downward trend ko jari rakhta hai aur June 14 ke low 0.8397 ko test karega. Agar yeh level se neeche girta hai, to EUR/GBP August 2022 ke level par wapas aayega, jo 0.8340 ko vulnerable banata hai.

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IG Retail trader ke data ke mutabiq, 69.80% traders net long hain, jahan longs ka ratio shorts se 2.31 to 1 hai. Net long traders ka number kal se 8.11% aur pichle hafta se 11.58% bada hai, jabke net short traders ka number kal se 12.50% aur pichle hafta se 9.26% kam hua hai.

Hum aam tor par market sentiment ko dekh kar contrary view lete hain, aur yeh ke traders net long hain, suggest karta hai ke EUR/GBP girta rahega. Traders ne apne net longs ko kal aur pichle hafta se ziada barhaya hai, aur mojooda sentiment aur recent changes hamare reverse trading bias ko EUR/GBP ke liye mazeed mazboot banate hain.

### GBP/USD Pair ki Technical Analysis

Pound Sterling aur US Dollar ke darmiyan trading ke recent analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka exchange rate ek mashhoor technical barrier se takrakar dobara fail ho gaya, aur Jerome Powell ke sober assessment ne interest rates kam karne ke imkan ko bhi dhundla diya. GBP/USD ne 1.2870 resistance level par rebound karne ki koshish ki, jo ke analysis ke waqt aur US inflation numbers ke announcement se pehle stable tha. Yeh recent gains 4 mahine ke highest level par pohnchi thi.

Is haftay, Jerome Powell ne US lawmakers se baat ki aur yeh clear indication nahi diya ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ko tayar hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, "Powell ki opening statement, jo unhone Congress ke saamne di, se interest rate cuts ke potential timing ke baare mein bohat kam clues milte hain, aur main line yeh hai ke Fed ab bhi 'aur ziada acha data' dhund raha hai taake yeh confidence mil sake ke inflation target par wapas aayega."

Aam tor par, Fed Chairman ke sober message ki interpretations ne US dollar ko madad di, aur GBP/USD pair wapas 1.28 ke neeche gir gaya. Charts dekhne par yeh pullback kuch achi resistance ke saath coincides kar raha hai technical perspective se.

Halaanke wide range of signals yeh indicate karte hain ke near term mein GBP/USD ke liye mazeed upside hai, hum note karte hain ke kuch bhi 1.2820 ke qareeb hawa mein hai. Yeh pair in levels ke ooper rehne ka rujhan nahi rakhta, aur yeh market mein bohaton ko GBP/USD ke upside exposure ko reduce karne ka mauka deta hai.

Girawat zarur superficial hai, aur ceiling mein ek aur crack ko rule out nahi kiya ja sakta.
Asal mein, Powell ki testimony ka hamara assessment GBP/USD ke liye ziyada positive tha, noting ke Powell September mein rate cut ke liye prepare lagte hain. Powell ne indicate kiya tha ke US Federal Reserve ab apni focus labor market par shift kar raha hai, jahan unhe dekhna hoga ke high interest rates unnecessary job losses kaise lead kar sakte hain.

### Aaj ke liye GBP/USD forecast:

Niche diye gaye daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound aur US dollar GBP/USD ki price psychological resistance 1.3000 ke qareeb hai. 1.2870 resistance ke ird gird stability is baat ko support karti hai, magar sterling dollar ko kuch momentum ki zarurat hogi take off karne ke liye, aur abhi ke liye sabse qareebi cheez double US inflation numbers hai, jo Federal Reserve ki tightening policy ke expectations ko kamzor kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar US inflation numbers expectations se strong hain, to sterling dollar negative affect ho sakta hai.

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In short, GBP/USD pair ke current scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke market participants ko closely monitor karna hoga key levels aur Powell ki statements ko, taake trading decisions sahi waqt par liye ja sakein. Effective risk management aur technical signals ki confirmation is uncertain aur volatile environment mein zaruri hai.

### GBP/USD Pair

GBP/USD pair ahem events ka samna karte hue ehtiyaat se trade kar raha tha: UK election results aur US non-farm payrolls report jo Friday ko schedule thi. US markets ek holiday ke liye band thi, isliye trading activity subdue rahi, lekin data releases ke baad increased volatility expected hai.

Investors ghari nazar rakhe hue hain US non-farm payrolls report par, jo job creation mein slowdown ko reveal karne ka imkaan hai jo Federal Reserve interest rate cut ke expectations ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Agar report weaker-than-expected hui, toh yeh market optimism ko stimulate kar sakti hai kyun ke lower borrowing costs investors ke liye beneficial hain. Forecasts suggest karte hain ke June payrolls numbers 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 ho sakti hain, aur unemployment rate steady rehnay ka imkaan hai 4.0% par. Average hourly earnings bhi thori si decrease show karne ka projection hai, aur annual growth 3.9% par dip karne ka expect hai compared to 4.1% pehle.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne resilience show ki aur apni 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) par 1.2610 ke upar support paane ke baad modest recovery stage ki. Magar, yeh resistance zone ke qareeb 1.2800 breach karne mein fail rahi. Lack of decisive directional movement ke bawajood, pair 1.2300 level ke upar hold hui, jo current trading range mein ek floor indicate karta hai.

Technical indicators GBP/USD pair ke liye cautious picture paint karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni downtrend line aur crucial 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, jo weakening momentum signal karta hai. Agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, potential downside targets mein 1.2465 area shamil hai, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke thoda upar hai. Is level ke niche break se upper boundary ke around 1.2820 retest open ho sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD pair resilience aur further growth ka potential show kar rahi hai, magar ehtiyaat zaruri hai due to uncertainty surrounding the US non-farm payrolls report aur doosre geopolitical events.

In current scenario, market participants ko closely monitor karna hoga ke key data releases aur technical indicators ko, aur effective risk management ka istimaal karna hoga taake trading decisions sahi waqt par liye ja sakein.

GBP/USD Analysis: Key Levels aur Market Outlook

GBP/USD currency pair ne recently rise experience kiya, aur significant round number 1.2800 par close hui. Yeh movement suggest karti hai ke market ab buyers ke influence mein hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke is upward movement ke bawajood, price abhi bhi ek downward channel mein hai aur ab tak koi definitive breakout nahi hua. Isse buy position open karna mushkil ho jata hai jab tak market prevailing conditions ka strong reaction nahi dikhata.

Agar aap buy position consider kar rahe hain, toh prudent yeh hoga ke price ko upper boundary of the channel se exit karne aur resistance level 1.2850 ke upar break karne ka intezar kiya jaye. Is level ke upar breakout ek stronger bullish trend ko signal karega aur solid buying opportunity ko confirm karega. Dusri taraf, agar market is level par resistance dikhata hai, toh price further gir sakti hai.

Current scenario mein, short-term trading opportunities explore ki ja sakti hain. Ek strategy yeh hai ke agar price support level ke around 1.2710 approach kare toh buy position open ki jaye. Wahi, agar price resistance zone par 1.2850 reach kare toh sell position consider ki ja sakti hai. Agar aap potential trend reversal dekh rahe hain, toh 1.2862 ke upar breakout market ko bullish phase mein shift kar sakta hai, jo price ko July high 1.3042 tak drive kar sakta hai.

Lekin, caution advised hai kyunke momentum indicators—RSI 14, Stochastic, aur Awesome Oscillator—abhi tak bullish divergence signal nahi de rahe. Yeh lack of divergence suggest karta hai ke ek decline towards latest lower levels abhi bhi ho sakta hai, potentially ek bullish divergence signal form karte hue. Agar buyers price ko 1.2850 ke upar push karne mein successful ho jate hain, toh substantial chance hai ke price rapidly resistance level 1.3040 tak ascent kare.

Current price action indicate karti hai ke sellers ne small sizes ke candles banae hain, jo ke strong sell momentum ki lack ko reflect karti hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke resistance levels significant barriers na hon price increases ke liye, aur koi bhi resistance reaction buyers se robust na ho jo further gains ko prevent kar sake.

Summary mein, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. 1.2850 ke upar breakout ek strong buy signal offer kar sakti hai, jabke 1.2706 ke neeche decline ek new sell opportunity present kar sakti hai. Overall market sentiment tab clear hoga jab price in key levels ko approach karegi aur momentum indicators apne signals dikhayenge.

### GBP/USD Price Move

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price assessment ko real-time mein dissect karte hain. H4 chart par current GBP/USD pair outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback anticipate karte hue, humne dekha ke previous sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest hua hai. Additionally, bullish debts abhi bhi likely hain. Ideally, monthly resistance zone se ek rebound hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jaldi start ho sakta hai, regardless of whether bullish debt is likely. Magar yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ko examine karne se significant activity reveal hoti hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad hui. Price overlook bullish hai.

Pair 1.26072 ke support level tak descend hui aur 1.26801 to 1.26072 range ke andar trading start ki. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline continue karni chahiye thi, magar unexpectedly retrace hui, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, with inflation remaining the primary focus. Agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karti, toh pair is range se shift hone ka imkaan kam hai. Yeh apne previous highs ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo peculiar hai. Jab ke decline likely hai is pair mein, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakti hai, suggesting a modest increase. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ko dekhte hue, ek slight pullback predict kiya jata hai before pair eventually support level 1.26113 tak descend ho.

Is current scenario mein, market participants ko closely monitor karna hoga ke key data releases aur technical indicators ko, aur effective risk management ka istimaal karna hoga taake trading decisions sahi waqt par liye ja sakein. Market conditions aur upcoming economic events ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ke movements ko predict karna challenging ho sakta hai, lekin accurate analysis aur disciplined trading strategy ke zariye potential opportunities identify ki ja sakti hain.

### GBP/USD 11.07.2024 Analysis

Aaj Thursday ka din puri tarah se chal raha hai. Pound ne apna senior maximum update kar liya hai aur smoothly, baghair kisi sharp movements aur breakouts ke, grow kar raha hai. Yeh zyada likely hai ke uptrend continue karega.

**Downward Plan and Selling Points:**

Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north ki taraf move nahi kiya tha. Blue bar potential decline ko show kar raha hai based on H4 signal relative to moving averages, aur aaj yeh keh sakte hain ke yeh signal work out nahi hua. Aaj humne is signal ke risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye the taake hum samajh sakein ke humen kis ratio milta hai jab hum ek level ya dusre se sell karte hain. Phir growth impulse ke baad, hume reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh quickly apne targets tak pohonch gaya baghair kisi pullback ke. Jaise hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke baghair tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke baad hi price upar chali gayi thi.

**Pound's Technical Execution:**

Haqeeqat mein, pound ki technical execution par koi complaints nahi hain, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, false nahi. Pehli growth wave ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline five waves mein hua, jo ek exception thi. Yahan pehli long wave thi, phir third short thi, aur fifth third ki tarah thi. Fourth wave ne third wave ke zone mein enter kiya, jo aksar corrections mein hota hai, trend waves mein nahi.

**Current Analysis:**

Abhi, main dekh raha hoon ke rise baghair kisi pullback ke execute ho raha hai relative to indicator buy signal on daily timeframe. Is signal ke targets 1.28957 par hain.

Overall, GBP/USD ne significant progress show ki hai aur aaj ke din ke dauran humen aur bhi growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Market participants ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke upcoming economic events aur technical indicators ko taake trading decisions ko accurately align kar sakein with market movements.

### GBP/USD Trading Chart Analysis on H1

British Pound aur US Dollar (GBP/USD) ki trading H1 (hourly) timeframe par kaafi favorable opportunity present karti hai. Teen reliable technical indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - suggest karte hain ke yeh profitable long positions enter karne ka best time hai. Ek successful trade ke liye kuch key factors ko thoroughly assess karna zaroori hai.

**Trend Determination:**
Pehle, hume higher-timeframe (H4) chart par prevailing trend ko accurately determine karna hoga. Yeh crucial insight provide karega overall market sentiment ke baare mein aur hume potential losses se bachne mein madad karega. Jab H1 aur H4 timeframes ke trends aligned ho jaate hain, tab hum confidently indicator signals ko follow kar sakte hain, jo hume promising entry points ke taraf guide karte hain ek rewarding long position ke liye.

**Indicator Signals:**
Jab RSI indicators blue aur green mein switch karte hain, toh yeh clear sign hota hai ke bullish sentiment market mein aa gaya hai aur buyers control mein hain. Jaise hi yeh color change hota hai, hum market mein enter kar sakte hain aur ek buy position open kar sakte hain. Is position ko determine karne ke liye, hum magnetic levels indicator par rely karenge. Is waqt, sabse promising levels 1.28944 ke aaspaas hain.

**Target Monitoring:**
Hamare desired targets reach karne ke baad, hum closely chart ko monitor karenge taake dekha ja sake ke price magnetic level ko break karne ke baad kaise behave karti hai. Yeh hume decide karne mein madad karega ke hume position ko next magnetic level tak hold karna chahiye ya phir ab tak jo profits gain kiye hain unhe lock karna chahiye. Agar aap adventurous feel kar rahe hain aur apne returns ko potentially increase karna chahte hain, toh aap trawl strategy ka use kar sakte hain.

**Conclusion:**
Is analysis ke basis par, GBP/USD pair H1 timeframe par kaafi promising lagta hai, aur agar trends aligned hain aur indicators clear signals de rahe hain, toh yeh profitable long positions ke liye best opportunity hai. Har trader ko apne risk management ko mind mein rakhte hue, carefully entry aur exit points ko consider karna chahiye taake successful trading decisions liye ja sakein.


### GBP/USD Analysis on H4: 1.2850

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair sab ko!

Akhri kuch dino mein, GBP/USD market mein buyers ne kaafi himmat dikhayi hai, aur steadily pair ko higher levels ki taraf push kiya hai. Hal hi mein, unho ne price ko approximately 1.2800 tak lift kiya, jo unke increasing influence aur bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Ye upward momentum UK se aane wali promising news data se bolster hua hai, jo buyer confidence ko support karta hai. Abhi market participants critical resistance level ke around 1.2866 ko dekh rahe hain. Agar positive news flow barqarar rehti hai, toh yeh buyers ko yeh level breach karne ke liye zaroori catalyst provide kar sakti hai. Aisi movement bullish trend ki continuation ko signal karegi aur shayad further buying interest ko attract kare.

Lekin, current bullish outlook ke bawajood, sellers bhi market mein active hain. Unho ne support area ko near 1.2775 as a crucial identified kiya hai.

**Chart Analysis:**

Is hafte ke GBP/USD H4 chart ko examine karte hue, hum note karte hain ke week's start mein ek chhoti gap thi, jo swiftly close ho gayi jab prices ne apna ascent continue kiya. Last week, is currency pair mein robust upward movement dekhi gayi, jo technical indicators aur market inertia se support thi. Wave structure upward progression indicate karti hai, aur MACD bullish phase mein apni signal line ke upar hai. US dollar broadly pound aur doosri market currencies ke against weaken hua.

Is hafte, daily chart analysis mein kal ke price ne previous peaks se formed gentle descending line ko near kiya, jahan profit-taking ne temporary pullback cause kiya. Kal ki candle hammer reversal pattern ke saath close hui, jo potential further decline ko signal karti hai. CCI indicator overheating suggest karta hai aur H4 time frame par bearish divergence dikhata hai. Lekin, GBP/USD ka volatile nature mislead kar sakta hai; ek breakout kal ke high ke upar ho sakta hai, agar significant news aisi move ko justify kare - aaj ka highlight Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai. In considerations ke bawajood, main anticipate karta hoon ke decline ho sakta hai, halan ke current price action indecisive hai.

**Summary:**

GBP/USD trading session notable range of movement ke saath 1.2730 aur 1.2850 ke beech mark hui, jo economic aur geopolitical factors ke response ko reflect karti hai. Investors ke reactions to critical economic data releases aur geopolitical events underline karte hain ke ye elements is currency pair ki volatility aur overall direction ko drive karte hain.

### British Pound on the Rise Against the US Dollar

British Pound (GBP) Thursday ko London session ke dauran US Dollar (USD) ke against apni strength dikhate hue near 1.2870 pohanch gaya. Ye surge un factors ki wajah se hui jo US dollar ko weaken kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki speculation September tak pivot karne wali hai, jo pehle ke hawkish stance se kaafi mukhtalif hai. Saath hi, Bank of England ke potential rate hike par bhi bets cool down ho gayi hain. UK ke May ke strong GDP report ne British economy mein confidence ko bolster kiya hai.

Is waqt, US Dollar Index (DXY) major currencies ke against weak nazar aa raha hai, 105.20 ke upar momentum regain karne mein fail hone ke baad. Ye weakness Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke Congress ke saamne testimony ke baad aayi, jahan unhone inflation ke khilaf kuch setbacks ko acknowledge kiya. Powell ne victory claim karne se guraiz kiya lekin Fed ki price stability commitment ko reaffirm kiya. Ab investor ka focus Thursday ko aane wale US June CPI data par hai, jo September mein potential Fed rate cut ke expectations ko shape karega. Economists predict karte hain ke core inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, monthly basis par 0.2% upar jaane aur annually 3.4% par stand karne ki umeed hai. Headline inflation ka estimate hai ke ye May ke 3.3% se dip hokar 3.1% par aa jaye, aur monthly increase 0.1% anticipate ki gayi hai.


British Pound ka $1.2870 par pohanchna fresh highs ke qareeb le aaya hai. GBP/USD pair further gains ke liye poised hai jab ye inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart pattern se bullish breakout ke brink par hai. Agar neckline 1.2850 ke around breach ho gaya to ye bullish reversal ko solidify karega. Uptrend ko rising 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bhi support mil raha hai jo currently near 1.2747 par hai. Additional support 14-day RSI comfortably bullish range of 60.00 to 80.00 mein hone se mil rahi hai, jo strong upside momentum ko indicate karti hai.

In summary, British Pound ne apni strength dikhate hue Thursday ko US Dollar ke against near 1.2870 touch kar liya hai. Is surge ke piche kai factors hain jo US dollar ko weaken kar rahe hain, jisme Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ki speculation aur UK ke strong GDP report shamil hain. GBP/USD pair further bullish breakout ke brink par hai, rising EMA aur bullish RSI range is uptrend ko support kar rahe hain.

### GBP/USD Outlook

British Pound ka ye ascent dollar ke against fresh highs par pohanch gaya hai. GBP/USD pair ne further gains ke liye bullish breakout ka signal diya hai jo inverted H&S chart pattern ke neckline ko breach karne par solidify hoga. Current uptrend ko rising 20-day EMA aur bullish RSI range se bhi support mil raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko reflect karta hai. Investors ka focus ab US June CPI data par hai, jo future rate cut ke expectations ko shape karega.

Yeh analysis dikhata hai ke GBP/USD pair ne kaafi promising position hold ki hai, aur agar current factors play out karte hain to further bullish movement expect ki ja sakti hai.

### GBP/USD: Do Mahine Ka Dynamic Price Trend

Pichle do mahine ke doran, GBP/USD currency pair ne ek dynamic aur intriguing price trend dikhaya hai, jismein kaafi fluctuations aur key support aur resistance levels shamil hain. Jaise hi hafte ka aakhri din nazdeek aa raha hai, lagta hai ke price daily chart par bearish price channels ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke prevailing downtrend ko disrupt karne ka strategic move ho sakta hai.

Mahine ki shuruat mein, GBP/USD price ne ek noticeable rise dekha, jo strong support ke zariye mumkin hui. Ye initial upward movement sentiment shift ka potential dikhati hai. Magar, jab price 1.2763-1.2738 ke range mein pohnchi, to significant resistance ka saamna kiya. Ye resistance zone kaafi formidable sabit hua, aur price ne in levels se niche ki taraf bounce kiya, jo downward trend ke shuru hone ka indication tha.

Jaise jaise price decline hoti gayi, ye ek crucial monthly support level ke nazdeek aayi jo 1.27370 aur 1.27973 ke beech tha. Ye support zone price ko further declines se bachane aur potential reversal ke liye ek base provide kar raha tha. Is support zone mein price movement sideways trend dikha raha tha, jo traders ke beech consolidation aur uncertainty ka indication tha regarding the next directional move.


Pichle hafton mein, price ne daily chart par bearish price channels ko todne ki kai attempts ki. Is hafte, khaaskar, in channels ko upar se breach karne ki concentrated effort dekhi gayi. Price ke channels ko todne ki koshish ko H1 chart par pivot level se resistance mila, sath hi channel line se bhi resistance ka saamna hua. Ye confluence of resistance levels price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne mein challenging environment create kar raha tha.

Ek notable technical pattern jo is dauran dekha gaya, wo pin candle ka formation tha, jo ek perfect setup ke liye dikhayi di. Pin candle aam tor par reversal ya significant support ya resistance level ko indicate karti hai. Is case mein, pin candle ka formation ye suggest karta hai ke price ke paas channels ko todne ka momentum ho sakta hai. Magar, is promising setup ke bawajood, price ne ultimately retreat kiya, breakout ko sustain karne mein fail ho gayi.

In summary, GBP/USD ka recent price trend dynamic aur challenging raha hai, jismein key resistance aur support levels ne important role play kiya hai. Price ne bearish channels ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin resistance levels ne upward momentum ko sustain karne mein rokawat daali.