جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Jaise ke kehte hain, kisi ne bhi correction ko cancel nahi kiya, aur mujhe sirf 1.2930 tak thoda sa girna hai taake daily timeframe par yeh zigzag downward poora ho sake. Yeh itna zaroori nahi hai, lekin mere liye yeh samajhna crucial hai ke hum kis tarah ka upward zigzag execute kar sakte hain. 1.2980 ya 1.2930 se upward movement shuru karne ka farq meri trading strategy mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum 1.2930 se rebound karte hain, to upward zigzag downward trend ka continuation samjha jaega. Lekin agar hum 1.2980 se upward movement shuru karte hain, to yeh pehle se shuru hui upward trend ka agla qadam ho sakta hai.
Neeche, 1.2750 ek key support level nazar aa raha hai, jabke upar kayi resistance levels hain. Mere liye sabse critical levels 1.3080 aur 1.3550 hain. Agar hum 1.3080 ko todte hain, to 1.3550 tak pahunchne ki bohot zyada sambhavna hai. 1.2930 tak ka potential movement current level se lagbhag 120 points hai, aur yeh nafrat hai ke market aise girawat dekhaye bina kisi significant geopolitical khabron ke. Hum is situation ko nazar rakhne wale hain; lekin mujhe H4 chart par yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke bearish trend apni taqat kho raha hai, kyunki indicators north ki taraf shift hone ka ishara de rahe hain. Yeh ek potential upward correction ka signal hai.



Is ke ilawa, do haftay reh gaye hain US elections tak, aur unke natije ke baare mein uncertainty dollar ko temporarily kamzor karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke hum GBP/USD pair aur dusre major currencies ke liye northern correction ka development dekhenge. Agar market lower intraday levels par khulte hi foran girawat nahi karti, to hum shayad elections ke 5 November tak is pattern ka right shoulder complete kar lein. Elections ke natijon ke aadhar par, dollar ka kuch waqt ke liye taqatwar hona chahiye, jo downward move ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, main Monday ko intraday levels par nazar rakhunga northern correction ke indications ke liye. Mere khayal se, upar 1.3066 aur neeche 1.3019 ka level hoga, jo aage ke trading decisions ko guide karega.

Market Correction aur Future Prospects for GBP/USD:

Jaise ke kehte hain, correction ka koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta, aur mujhe zarurat hai ke thoda sa dip 1.2930 tak ho, taki yeh zigzag downward daily timeframe par mukammal ho sake. Halaanke yeh strictly zaroori nahi hai, lekin mere liye yeh samajhna ahem hai ke hum baad mein kis tarah upward zigzag execute kar sakte hain. Mere trading strategy ke hisaab se, 1.2980 ke muqable mein agar upward movement ka aghaz 1.2930 se hota hai, to yeh difference kafi significant hai. Agar hum 1.2930 se bounce karte hain, to upward zigzag downward trend ka ek hissa samjha jaayega. Lekin agar hum 1.2980 ke current level se upward movement ka aghaz karte hain, to yeh is upward trend ke resume hone ka signal hoga jo pehle hi shuru ho chuka hai.

Neeche dekhne par, 1.2750 ek key support level nazar aata hai, jab ke upar kuch resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Mere liye sabse critical levels hain 1.3080 aur 1.3550. Agar hum 1.3080 ko break karte hain, to ek high probability hai ke hum 1.3550 tak pohanch sakte hain. 1.2930 tak ka potential movement kareeban 120 points ka hai current level se, aur yeh mushkil hai ke market aisa dip provide kare jab tak ke koi bara geopolitical khabar na aaye. Hum situation ko ghor se monitor karenge; lekin main dekh raha hoon ke H4 chart par bearish trend ab slow hota ja raha hai, aur indicators north ki taraf shift hone ka ishara de rahe hain. Yeh ek upward correction ka potential dikhata hai.

Mazid, US elections ke do haftay baqi hain, aur inka outcome jo abhi uncertain hai, yeh dollar ki temporary weakening mein contribute kar sakta hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke hum GBP/USD pair aur doosri major currencies mein ek northern correction ka development dekhenge. Agar market ko intraday levels par foran neeche jaane ka reaction na mila Monday ke opening ke baad, to ho sakta hai ke hum yeh pattern ka right shoulder elections tak, yani 5 November tak complete kar lein. Elections ke results ke baad, dollar ki strengthening ho sakti hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf ek downward move ka sabab banegi. Filhaal, main Monday ko intraday levels ko closely observe karunga kisi bhi northern correction ke indication ke liye. Main ek top 1.3066 ke qareeb aur bottom 1.3019 ke qareeb dekh raha hoon, jo ke humare trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain aagey jaane ke liye.

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya**

GBP/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke modest recovery gains par aage barhne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, aur yeh Monday ki Asian session mein 1.3050-1.3045 ke aas-paas ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Haalankeh recovery hui hai, lekin spot rates ab bhi pichle hafte record kiye gaye one-month lows se kaafi neeche hain aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh 1.3435 ke aas-paas se chalu hone wale recent downtrend ko aur barhane ke liye vulnerable hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai.

UK inflation ka achanak giraawat, jo April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

Technical indicators ab tak oversold conditions ko confirm nahi karte. Jabke Stochastic indicator 20 ke neeche gira gaya hai, RSI ab bhi 30 par oversold level se upar hai. Isi tarah, price ne bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke lower bound ko nahi chhua. Agar pair 1.3000-1.3040 ke neeche downtrend reversal ka signal deta hai, to yeh 2022 ka key support trend line jo 1.2917 par hai, ke qareeb shelter dhund sakta hai. April se September tak ke uptrend ka thoda neeche 50% Fibonacci retracement level jo 1.2863 par hai, wahan bhi downside pressure dekha ja sakta hai.

Market ki halaat ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi ke liye bearish trend mein hai aur yeh levels bohot zaroori hain jinke aas-paas trading decisions lene chahiye. Traders ko market ki har halat par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies tay karni chahiye. Is waqt ki soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, sabse behtar yeh hoga ke kisi bhi unexpected price movement par tawajjo deni chahiye aur accordingly trading positions lena chahiye.

### Market Correction and Future Prospects for GBP/USD

Jaise ke kaha jata hai, koi bhi correction khatam nahi hui hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke mujhe sirf thoda sa dip 1.2930 par chahiye taake main is downward zigzag ko daily timeframe par complete kar sakoon. Halankeh yeh strictly zaroori nahi hai, lekin mere liye yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke uske baad hum kis tarah ka upward zigzag execute kar sakte hain. 1.2980 se upward movement shuru karne aur 1.2930 se shuru karne ke darmiyan ka farq mere trading strategy mein kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum 1.2930 se bounce karte hain, toh upward zigzag ko downward trend ka continuation samjha jayega. Iske muqabil, agar hum current level 1.2980 se upward movement shuru karte hain, toh yeh pehle se shuru ho chuke upward trend ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Neeche dekhte hain, 1.2750 ek key support level nazar aata hai, jabke upar kai resistance levels hain jinke bare mein sochna hai. Mere liye sabse critical levels 1.3080 aur 1.3550 hain. Agar hum 1.3080 ko break karte hain, toh bohot zyada probability hai ke hum 1.3550 tak pohanch sakte hain. 1.2930 tak ka potential movement lagbhag 120 points ka hai current level se, aur yeh unlikely hai ke market aisa dip de, jab tak koi significant geopolitical news na aaye. Hum is situation ko nazar mein rakhte hain; lekin main already H4 chart par dekh raha hoon ke bearish trend apni taqat khota ja raha hai, kyunki indicators north ki taraf shift karne ka ishara de rahe hain. Yeh ek potential upward correction ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Iske ilawa, US elections ke do hafte reh gaye hain, aur inke natije ke aas paas ki uncertainty dollar ki temporary kamzori mein contribute kar sakti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair aur doosri major currencies ke liye north ki taraf ek correction dekhne ko milegi. Agar market opening ke baad lower intraday levels par koi immediate downturn nahi dekhta, toh ho sakta hai ke hum is pattern ka right shoulder elections se pehle 5 November tak complete kar lein. Elections ke natije ke based, dollar ki subsequent strengthening ho sakti hai, jo ke downward move ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

Filhal, main Monday ko intraday levels par nazar rakhunga taake is northern correction ke nishan dekh sakoon. Main expect kar raha hoon ke top 1.3066 ke aas paas hoga aur bottom 1.3019 ke kareeb, jo ke humari trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain aage chal kar.

GBP/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke modest recovery gains par aage barhne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, aur yeh Monday ki Asian session mein 1.3050-1.3045 ke aas-paas ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Haalankeh recovery hui hai, lekin spot rates ab bhi pichle hafte record kiye gaye one-month lows se kaafi neeche hain aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh 1.3435 ke aas-paas se chalu hone wale recent downtrend ko aur barhane ke liye vulnerable hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai.
UK inflation ka achanak giraawat, jo April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

Technical indicators ab tak oversold conditions ko confirm nahi karte. Jabke Stochastic indicator 20 ke neeche gira gaya hai, RSI ab bhi 30 par oversold level se upar hai. Isi tarah, price ne bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke lower bound ko nahi chhua. Agar pair 1.3000-1.3040 ke neeche downtrend reversal ka signal deta hai, to yeh 2022 ka key support trend line jo 1.2917 par hai, ke qareeb shelter dhund sakta hai. April se September tak ke uptrend ka thoda neeche 50% Fibonacci retracement level jo 1.2863 par hai, wahan bhi downside pressure

Market ki halaat ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi ke liye bearish trend mein hai aur yeh levels bohot zaroori hain jinke aas-paas trading decisions lene chahiye. Traders ko market ki har halat par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies tay karni chahiye. Is waqt ki soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, sabse behtar yeh hoga ke kisi bhi unexpected price movement par tawajjo deni chahiye aur accordingly trading positions lena chahiy

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mujhe yaqin hai keh munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqah long positions kholna hai. Agar qimat 1.3050 ki muzahmati satah ko tod eti hai aur 4-ghante ke chart par iske ooper mazbut ho jati hai to, pound/dollar ka joda 1.300 ke nishan par wapas nahin aayega. Yah scenario us waqt tak durust hai jab tak keh 1.3050 ki satah jode ko roke hue hai. Majmui taur par, takini nuqtah nazar se, qimat aasani se 1.3010 tak wapas aa sakti hai, is se pahle keh woh ooper ki taraf palat jaye aur 1.3182 ki satah tak badh jaye. Halankeh, mai 1.3010 tak pullback ki ummid me intezar nahin karunga aur short positions kholunga. Aaj, mai 1.3010 - 1.3182 ki kharidari ki hadd me ek move ki ummid karte hue, Bartanwi pound par long paositions kholne ka irada rakhta hun.

اکتوبر 21 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ آسانی سے 1.2994 پر ہدف کی حمایت سے دور ہو گیا۔ 1.3080 پر مزاحمتی سطح اب حملے کی زد میں ہے، اور اس سطح کو توڑنے سے 1.3141 کو جانچنے اور 1.3141 پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک جانے کا راستہ کھل جاتا ہے۔



بینک آف انگلینڈ کی جانب سے شرح میں 0.50 فیصد کمی کی توقعات کے باوجود، پاؤنڈ کی نقل و حرکت میں اس آسانی کو K کی توقع سے منسوب کیا جاسکتا ہے، جس کا تعلق خطرے کی بھوک میں اضافے سے ہے، جیسا کہ امریکی انتخابات BoE میٹنگ سے پہلے طے شدہ ہیں۔

یہ بات قابل غور ہے کہ اس ہفتے کوئی اہم اقتصادی ریلیز متوقع نہیں ہے (اکتوبر کے لیے یوروزون اور برطانوی سی. پی. آئی. کے ساتھ جمعرات کو ہونا ہے، لیکن پیش گوئیاں ستمبر کے اعداد و شمار کے قریب ہیں)، اس لیے اگلے چند دنوں کا رجحان مارکیٹ کے شرکاء کی توقعات کی عکاسی کرے گا۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کے رجحان والے علاقے میں آباد ہو گیا ہے۔ قریبی مزاحمت کے اوپر قیمت کو محفوظ کرنا مشکل نہیں لگتا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD ka jorha lagbhag zero momentum ke saath trade ho raha hai aur benchmark 1.3040 ke qareeb hai. "Bulls" ne pichle hafte ke aakhir mein banaaye gaye upward momentum ko banaaye rakha hai, lekin is hafte wo naye catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle Jumme ko, British currency ko September ke retail sales data se khaas faida hua: saalana buniyad par, ye data 2.3% se barh kar 3.9% ho gaya, jabki andaza 3.2% tha.

Ye month-on-month 1.0% se gir kar 0.3% ho gaya, jabki analysts ne -0.3% ka andaza lagaya tha. Iske ilawa, non-fuel value 2.2% se barh kar 4.0% ho gayi, jo pichle andaze 3.2% ke muqable mein hai. Hafte ke shuruat mein, pound ko Rightmove Group Ltd se macroeconomic ghar ki keemat ke statistics ki release se dabao ka samna hai. Is index ne October mein saalana buniyad par 1.2% se gir kar 1.0% aur month-on-month 0.8% se 0.3% tak aaya, jo mulk mein inflation ke khataron ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Bank of England ke representatives, jin mein chief regulator Andrew Bailey bhi hain, kal bolne wale hain. Officials ka intazaar hai ke wo mulk mein inflation ki tez girawat aur arch-rivals jaise ke US central bank aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy ko dheela karne ke liye further borrowing costs ki kami ka push denge.

Jumeraat ko, UK S&P Global se manufacturing aur services sectors mein business activity ke data ka elan karega. Andaz hai ke industrial sector ka PMI 51.5 points se gir kar 51.4 points aur services sector ka 52.4 points se gir kar 52.2 points ho jayega.

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair

Price 1-hour chart par sell zone mein trade kar raha hai, kyunki aaj price ne un ascending channels ke andar trading shuru ki hai jo chart par dikhaye gaye hain. Yeh channels pichle do dinon mein price movement ka rukh darshate hain.

Price ek mazboot support zone se shuru hui, jahan yeh weekly pivot level 1.3041 se support hasil kar raha tha aur lower channel lines se bhi. Price ne sideway direction mein trade kiya, kyunki upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karte waqt yeh channels ki middle line se resistance ka saamna kar raha tha.

Ab, pichli candle ke doran, price ne channels ko neeche ki taraf break karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, aur pichli candle channels ke neeche close hui hai.

Ab kya umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price movement weekly pivot level aur broken channel line ki taraf wapas aayegi taake retest ho sake. Is area se price neeche ki taraf rebound kar sakta hai, jo aaj ke trading ke doran downward price trend ki tasdiq hogi.

Price channels ke andar aur weekly pivot level ke upar bhi wapas aa sakti hai, jo upward trend ki tasdiq karegi.

Trading Advice on the Pair:

Hum price ka weekly pivot level par wapas aane ka intezaar kar sakte hain aur price ke behavior par nazar rakh sakte hain, kyunki humein do trading opportunities mil sakti hain:

1. Sell Entry: Agar price weekly pivot level se neeche ki taraf bounce karti hai aur price peak banati hai, to aap sell kar sakte hain. Stop loss weekly pivot level ke upar rakhein aur target level weekly support level 1.2980 ke upar set karein.
2. Buy Entry: Aap buy entry tab kar sakte hain jab price weekly pivot level ke upar trade kare. Aap price ke is level par ek ghante tak stabilize hone ka intezaar karein aur phir buy karen, stop loss weekly pivot level ke neeche rakhein aur target resistance level 1.3108 ke neeche set karein.

**GBP/USD Price Action Update**

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ka jaiza lenge. Daily chart bearish trend darshata hai aur main ek significant decline ki umeed kar raha hoon. Lekin, maine ek potential bullish level identify kiya hai jo daily chart ko upar ki taraf shift kar sakta hai. Yeh alternative bullish buy level 1.33701 par set kiya gaya hai. Agar price is level par upar ki taraf badhti hai aur isay tooti hai, toh main apne sell position se bahar aa jaunga, loss ko accept karunga, aur buying ki taraf move karunga.

Agar bullish scenario banta hai, toh main agle resistance levels ko target karunga: 1.36131, 1.38374, aur 1.38772. Agar yeh bullish level toota, toh ek aur low form hoga, jo humein naya bullish trend line khinchne ki ijazat dega aur is channel ke andar growth potential ka jaiza lene ka mauka dega, jahan upper boundary bhi resistance ke taur par kaam karegi. Price pichle growth wave ke minimum tak pahuncha hai aur filhal support level 1.3011 par buying zone mein hai.

Overall, doosri currency pairs, chahe allies hon ya opponents, US dollar ki taqat barhne ka ishara de rahe hain, jisse recent decline ki umeed thi. Is downturn ke doran, horizontal support level 1.3011 tak pahuncha gaya. Price thodi der ke liye rebound hui aur stable rahi jab tak recent news nahi aayi.

Jab price ne lower four-hour chart par apna low update kiya, toh MACD par bullish divergence nazar aayi, jisne mujhe is point se growth ki umeed di, jo abhi unfold ho rahi hai. Aise hi signals doosri significant pairs par bhi dekhne ko mil rahe hain, jo ek synchronicity create karte hain jo US dollar ke lambi muddat ke taqat barhne ke baad potential reversal ka ishara de raha hai.

MACD indicator par bearish divergence bhi nazar aayi, jo strong sell signal provide kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, ek descending wedge pattern bhi banta hua dikh raha hai. Dusra CCI indicator bhi decline ka ishara de raha hai aur MACD par dekhi gayi bearish divergence ko mirror kar raha hai.

**GBP/USD Price Forecast**

GBP/USD naya hafte shuru hone par thoda niche aa raha hai, jiska sabab kuch modest USD ki taqat hai. Fundamental backdrop aisa hai ke further depreciating move ki umeed hai. 1.2960 ke confluence support ki taraf girna ek naya mauqa lag raha hai.

GBP/USD pair 1.2975 area se do din purani recovery move ko capitalize karne mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai, yaani ke last Thursday ko touch kiya gaya lagbhag do mahine ka trough. Yeh naya hafte halka sa shuru ho raha hai. Spot prices filhal mid-1.3000s ke thoda niche trade kar rahe hain aur 1.3435 region se recent pullback ko barqarar rakhne ke liye vulnerable lag rahe hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai.

US Dollar (USD) naya hafte shuru hone par kuch dip-buyers ko attract kar raha hai aur Friday ke losses ka kuch hissa ulta raha hai, is umeed ke saath ke Federal Reserve (Fed) agle saal mein modest rate cuts karega. Doosri taraf, British Pound (GBP) Bank of England (BoE) ke November aur December mein interest rate cuts ke liye barhti hui bets se kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh, iske ilawa, GBP/USD pair ke liye near-term negative outlook ko aur bhi taqat de raha hai.

**Technical Analysis of GBP/USD**

Technical taur par, 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke zariye recent breakdown aur August-September upswing ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche girne ko bears ke liye naya trigger samjha gaya. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par oscillators negative territory mein hain aur abhi bhi oversold territory se door hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sab se aasan raasta neeche ki taraf hai.

Is liye, 1.3000 psychological mark ke neeche kuch follow-through kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo 1.2960-1.2955 ke confluence support ko test karne ki taraf le jaa sakti hai. Yeh support 100-day SMA aur 61.8% Fibonacci level ko shamil karta hai, agar yeh tod diya gaya to yeh 1.2900 round figure ki taraf girne ka rasta khol dega, jo 1.2860 horizontal support tak le ja sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar 1.3100 mark se upar recovery ki koshish hoti hai to yeh 1.3135 region ya 38.2% Fibonacci level par resistance ka samna karegi. Yeh hurdle ab 50-day SMA ke sath milta hai aur ek key pivotal point ke taur par kaam karega. Agar yeh sustainable strength ke sath paar kiya gaya, to yeh bullish traders ke liye bias shift kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko 1.3200 mark ko reclaim karne ki ijaazat dega. Upar ki taraf yeh move 1.3250 strong horizontal support breakpoint tak bhi extend ho sakta hai.

Main aapke GBP/USD H1 chart ko dekhte huye Roman Urdu mein aik post tayar karta hoon:

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GBP/USD Analysis - H1 Chart (22st October 2024)

Aaj ke din GBP/USD ke H1 timeframe per analysis se kuch interesting movement samnay aa rahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne recently downward trend follow kiya hai, jahan price ne 1.3100 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya aur wahan se girawat dekhne ko mili. Filhaal, price 1.2980 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jahan se ek choti si bounce nazar aa rahi hai. Chart per hum dekh sakte hain ke moving averages (MA) ke niche price trade ho rahi hai, jo short-term bearish trend ko indicate karti hai. Specifically, yellow aur white MA lines ke niche price ka movement clear hai. Jab tak price in moving averages ke upar close nahi karti, tab tak selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Is waqt RSI indicator bhi oversold nahi hai, jo batata hai ke selling abhi over-extended nahi hui, lekin RSI 40 ke qareeb hai, jo potential recovery ka signal bhi day raha hai. Lekin agar price 1.2977 ke support level se break karti hai, to next target 1.2960 ke qareeb hoga.

Agar buyers wapas market mein aatay hain aur price ko 1.3035 ke aas-paas tak le jatay hain, to bullish sentiment wapas aa sakti hai. Wahan se 1.3075 aur 1.3100 ke levels tak ki upper targets honge. Magar filhal, price ek consolidation phase mein lagti hai, jahan support aur resistance ke beech range-bound trading possible hai. Summary yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ko abhi selling pressure ka samna hai, lekin agar support levels se koi bounce hoti hai to buyers ke liye kuch opportunities create ho sakti hain. Price ka moving averages ke upar close karna zaroori hoga bullish reversal ke liye, jab ke 1.2977 ke support ka breakdown bearish momentum ko aur extend kar sakta hai.
Trading Tip:
Agar price 1.2977 ka support todti hai, to sellers ke liye acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price upar ki taraf jati hai aur 1.3035 ke upar sustain hoti hai, to buying opportunities ko explore karna chahiye. Yeh post GBP/USD ke H1 chart ka ek detailed analysis hai jo aapko market ke ainday ke movements ke liye tayar rehne mein madad karay ga.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mujhe yaqin hai keh maujudah satahon par short positions kholna kafi khatarnak hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ka joda kal 1.3000 ke gol satah se niche girna chahiye tha aur 1.2915 ilaqe tak nuqsanat badhana chahiye tha. Is tarah, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound aaj 1.2995 ki maujudah satah se 1.2915 ki support satah tak apni girawat jari rakhega. Is nishan par, 1.3182 ki muzahmati satah par wapsi ki ummid karte hue long positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga. Agar qimat is nishan se ooper toot jati hai to, imkan hai keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.3464 ki satah tak badh jayega.

GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.
1.3395
ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.

Pullback ka Imkaan
Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek
pullback
ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke
1.3310
ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.
Rollback
1.3340
ya
1.3370
tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.

Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors
Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali
economic data
bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.
Isi tarah,
US dollar

ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising intere

GBP/USD ne European trade mein Monday ko 1.3050 ke neeche girawat dekhi, jisme US dollar ki thodi mazbooti usay dominate karne mein kaamyaab rahi. Is waqt market ka overall background is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke aage aur bhi girawat ka imkaan hai, kyun ke investors ab Federal Reserve (Fed) ke upcoming statements ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte ke dosray hissay mein, relative strength index (RSI) 4-hour chart par 50 ke neeche aa gaya, jo buyers ke confidence mein kami aur market ki uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Agar downside par dekha jaye, toh 1.2980 ka level pehla static support hai, iske baad 1.2960 ka support level hai, jahan 100-day simple moving average (SMA) bhi majood hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish sellers ko aur attract karegi, aur price 1.2900 tak ja sakti hai, jo ek round level aur static support point hai.

Upar ki taraf resistance 1.3090-1.3100 ke zone mein hai, aur 1.3050 ka level 50-SMA ke qareeb hai, jo ek aham resistance ka kaam karega. Iske ilawa, 1.3140 ka level 50-day SMA ka hai, jo ek aur resistance zone hai. GBP/USD ne Thursday aur Friday ko thoda pressure face kiya, lekin uske bawajood usne kuch faida hasil kiya, magar new week ki shuruaat ke saath hi price 1.3000 ke neeche gir gayi. Agar price 1.2960 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh aur bhi downside ka imkaan hai, jo agla leg downward trend ko zahir karega.

Pound Sterling ne pichle hafte ke dosray hissay mein apni position mazboot ki, jab ke isne euro ke muqable mein capital outflows ko capture karne mein kaamyaabi hasil ki. Iske ilawa, risk sentiment mein behtari ne GBP/USD ko upar push kiya, lekin Monday ko risk-off sentiment ne US dollar ko mazid taqat di, jis ne GBP/USD ko neeche rakha. US stock index futures ne bhi Monday ko halka loss dikhaya, jab ke Wall Street ke major indices ne Friday ko faida hasil kiya tha. Monday ko economic calendar mein koi aham data release nahi thi, is liye investors risk sentiment ke changes par apni strategy bana rahe hain. Agar US equity indices downward pressure face karte hain, toh US dollar apni strength ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye losses ko rokne mein mushkilat paida karega.

Tuesday ko Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey New York mein Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum se khitaab karenge. Hafte ke aakhri mein, investors UK aur US ke liye S&P Global ke early October Manufacturing aur Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka tajzia karenge, jo market ki future direction ke liye ahem hoga.