جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki ta

l bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.
Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai

Forex Trading Mein Price Action Mastery: GBP/USD

Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Aaj din ke close hone se pehle, chaliye dekhte hain ke GBP/USD pair ka performance kaisa raha. Aaj humne kal ke bullish candle ko absorb kiya hai, iska matlab hai ke agar din ke end tak thoda rebound nahi hota, toh hum shayad ek bearish engulfing candle ke saath end karenge. Yeh formation kal ke liye downward trend ka continuation signal karegi. Technically, aaj humne monthly resistance zone mein enter kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bearish trend-based movement lower boundary ke taraf ho sakti hai, jo ke 1.2843 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, main target abhi bhi daily support zone hai, jo 1.2611 aur 1.2679 ke beech hai. Sellers ke liye target tha exactly 1.3099 level.

Yeh scenario Market Sentiment indicator ke saath align karta hai, jo hum ek specialized service ke zariye track karte hain jo 8-9 brokers ka data aggregate karta hai. Jab market mein zyada traders—GBP/USD pair ke liye—sell kar rahe hote hain, toh ek significant player aksar opposite stance leta hai, buying karke price ko upar push karta hai. Jab maine aaj subah buy aur sell ratio ko review kiya, toh maine dekha ke 70 percent traders sell kar rahe the jabke sirf 30 percent buying kar rahe the. Yeh imbalance mujhe yeh anticipate karne par majboor karta hai ke British pound bullish move karega, jo ke briefly attempt bhi kiya. Lekin, US ke strong economic data ne GBP/USD pair ko sharply bearish kar diya, aur 1.3099 ke round level ko break kar diya.

Jab maine apni last analysis likhi thi, tab GBP/USD pair 1.3122 pe trade kar raha tha, aur technical indicators suggest kar rahe the ke upper boundary of the southern channel se rebound karne ke baad decline continue ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish move abhi bhi zyada possible lag raha hai, aur sellers ko aage bhi opportunities mil sakti hain agar trend continue karta hai. Market sentiment aur technical indicators dono yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke price abhi aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur 1.3099 level ke break hone ke baad, next support levels ko test kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Guzishtah roz dollar me kami waqe hui, jiski wajah America me eqtesadi aidad o shumar ki kami thi. Badle me Bartanwi pound me tezi aayi, lekin iski tezi qalil muddati thi. Iske alawa, iske faide me bhi kami aayi.
1.3265 se 1.3086 tak ki mandi ke cycle ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kal ke izafe ne pound/dollar ke jode ko islah me dakhil hone ki ijazar di, jahan isne taqriban 50% Fibonacci level (1.3175) ka test kiya. Is satah par market ka radde amal bilkul wazeh tha aur lami oopri dum bani thi.
Iski buniyad par, mandi ki islah jari rahne ka imkan hai. Lehaza, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa short positions kholna hai.
Ascending trend line ke tootne ke bad short positions relevant hoga. Is surat me, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound 1.3086 ki muqami kam tarin satah par wapas aa jayega.



4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ki jodi ne kal 76.4% Fibonacci level (1.3155) ka test karne ke bad apni rally ko rok di. Lehaza, jab tak yah satah toot na jaye, tab tak long positions kholna acchi hikmat amli nahin hai.
Halankeh ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda faide ko dobara shuru karne se pahle 50% Fibonacci level (1.3014) tak gir jayega.
Agar qimat 1.3155 ki muzahmati satah ko tod deti hai to mandi ki suratehal palat jayegi.

GBP/USD Analysis: H1 Chart** GBP/USD pair ne trading ka aghaz 1.26350 level se kiya aur phir H1 support level C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karne ke baad, price M30 support level C: 1.26222 tak pohnchi, jahan se upar aayi aur daily pivot ki taraf barhne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh H1 resistance level: 1.2637 ko break kar leti hai, to daily pivot level FPV: 1.26387 tak pohnchne ke chances hain. Agar price is level ko push nahi karti aur upar ki taraf expand hoti hai, to next target H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ho sakta hai. Agar price yahan se niche aati hai aur din ka low yLow: 1.26116 break karti hai, to agla support level S3: 1.25810 dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh level D1 support level: 1.26175 aur H4 support level: 1.26133 ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke niche koi significant support ya resistance levels nahi hain, S4: 1.25453 tak. Agar price support level ko break karti hai aur kal ke level ko nahi jeet paati, to volatility ke sath hum definitely 1.25453 tak ke drop ki ummeed rakh sakte hain, agar aur niche nahi chali jaye.

Agar price daily pivot level ko break karti hai aur H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ko bhi break karti hai, to major move north tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jahan High: 1.26693 tak target ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf target D1 resistance level: 1.26815 ya resistance level R3: 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai.

ZUP indicator bullish formation ke baad yeh values leta hai: 786 * AB = CD. Bullish method tab effective ho sakti hai jab price 1.26169 ke niche na jaye. Slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karti nazar aa rahi hai. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, jo sell zone ya higher move ka crossroads dikhati hain. Shayad price 61.8: 1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohnchti hai, jo H4 resistance level C: 1.2654 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad recovery aur further targets ki taraf girti rahegi.

Daily chart par price action consolidate ho raha hai aur aaj bhi trading ranging lag rahi hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators bearish signal de rahe hain, isliye bearish movement sabse zyada mumkin lagti hai. UK se positive news aur US se negative news aayi hai, aur agle important news releases bhi neutral forecast ke sath hain. Aaj ke liye pair ke ranging movement ki umeed hai, aur support level 1.2620 ke towards selling opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Resistance level 1.2650 ke towards buying opportunities bhi mil sakti hain. Yehi

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein limited movement dikhayi hai, aur takreeban 40 pips ke narrow trading range mein rahi hai. Iss waqt yeh 1.2930 pe price hai aur key support level 1.2900 pe qaim hai, halan ke yeh thodi decline hui hai. Yeh resilience yeh bata rahi hai ke GBP/USD ko momentum dubara hasil karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, aur sellers ab bhi market sentiment pe control rakhte hain. H1 timeframe pe technical analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke support 1.2900 test karne ke bawajood, GBP/USD mein recovery ki potential signs hain. Iss support level ke ird gird candlestick formations se double bottom pattern formation ki aasha dikhai deti hai, jo resistance 1.2935 ke upar breakout hone par confirm hogi. Agar yeh resistance breach nahi hui, to yeh pair sideways movement continue kar sakta hai, kyun ke yeh demand area mein hai jahan buying interest sustained ho sakta hai.
Ichimoku indicator ke saath analysis karna challenging hai kyun ke current market conditions subdued activity se mutasir hain. Yeh indicator ke signals ziada volatile markets mein clear hote hain lekin abhi yeh multiple intersections ke saath bina kisi clear trend direction ke dikhai de rahe hain. Halaanki, Kijun Sen line ke upar recent break ek tentative bullish signal dikhata hai GBP/USD ke liye, aur further confirmation additional price action se mil sakta hai.
Stochastic oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai jab yeh 80 level ke qareeb hai. Iske bawajood, stochastic ki upward trajectory ongoing support dikhati hai GBP/USD ke potential upward movement ke liye. Traders ko stochastic 80 level tak pohanchne par ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyun ke yeh aksar price reversal se pehle hota hai, khaaskar sideways markets mein jahan aise indicators false starts signal kar sakte hain substantial movements se pehle.
Aagey ka outlook GBP/USD ke liye potential uptrend dikhata hai, jo ke resistance levels ke upar break aur technical indicators ke support ke sath bullish momentum maintain karne pe mabni hai. Recent declines ke baad significant corrections ki non-appearance underlying strength imply kar sakti hai pair ke upward potential mein, halaanki market conditions ab bhi economic developments aur broader geopolitical factors ke liye sensitive hain jo British pound aur US dollar ke exchange rates ko mutasir karte hain.
Akhir mein, halaat ke hawale se interpretation challenges ke bawajood, kuch positive indicators GBP/USD ke potential upward movement ke liye optimistic signs dete hain, jo key resistance levels ke upar overcome aur pair mein sustained buying interest pe mabni hai.

ستمبر 5 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پاؤنڈ سٹرلنگ نے 1.3090-1.3120 کی تنگ رینج میں دیر نہ کرنے کا فیصلہ کیا بلکہ اس سے اوپر چلا گیا۔ ترقی کی صلاحیت کم ہے، کیونکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر اس اضافے پر رد عمل ظاہر نہیں کرتا اور ایک طرف حرکت کرتا ہے۔

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دوسری طرف، رجحان کے وقفے کا ایک قابل اعتماد نشان صرف 1.3254 کی سطح پر قیمت چینل کی اوپری لائن سے اوپر کی قیمت کی منتقلی ہو سکتی ہے۔ نشان زیادہ ہے، اور یہ صورت حال پاؤنڈ کے بیچنے والوں کو امید برقرار رکھنے کی اجازت نہیں دیتی۔

نیچے کی طرف رجحان کی تصدیق کرنے کے لیے، قیمت کو رینج کی نچلی حد - 1.3090 سے نیچے آنا چاہیے۔ ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر رینج چھوڑ کر اوپر کی طرف چلا گیا ہے، اور آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی مثبت علاقے میں ہے۔

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تاہم، قیمت اب بھی بیلنس لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج) سے نیچے ہے اور پاؤنڈ کی اصلاحی نمو کو اعتدال سے روک رہی ہے۔ h4 چارٹ میں، ہم یہ بھی دیکھتے ہیں کہ اگر قیمت بڑھتی ہے تو، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن یومیہ قیمت کے چینل (1.3254) کی اوپری حد کے ساتھ موافق ہوگی، اس سطح کی اہمیت کی تصدیق کرتی ہے۔ اس وقت، بنیادی منظر نامہ مندی کا شکار ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga.
Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai.

chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga.
Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai.

GBP/USD pair March 2022 se apne highest level par pohcha, jo ke 1.3200 se upar tha.
Pound Sterling stands tall jabke US Dollar weak ho gaya hai. GBP/USD ne aik aur zabardast hafta dekha, jab ke UK se koi high-impact economic events nahi aaye. Major ke ird gird positive tone ka sab se bada sabab US Dollar ki apne major rivals ke against lagatar kamzori thi.
Traders ne apni bearish outlooks on the Greenback ko qaim rakha, jab dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations Jackson Hole Symposium week mein barh gayi. USD buyers ko Fed ke July meeting ke Minutes aur Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ke intezar mein back foot par rehna pada.
Risk-averse market environment ke bawajood, US Dollar ko Powell ke appearance se pehle nervousness ke doran safe-haven demand nahi mil saka. Greenback ko aik naya jhatka Wednesday ke din outright dovish Fed Minutes ke release hone ke baad laga.
Zyada tar policymakers ka khayal tha ke "agar data expected line mein aata raha, to agle meeting mein policy ko ease karna theek hoga," Minutes ne kaha. Aagay, Minutes ne kaha ke doosray policymakers ne July meeting mein hi borrowing costs ko kam karne ka irada rakha tha.
Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision ne September ke liye Fed rate cut ko mazid strengthen kiya. US Labor Department ne kaha ke NFP ke period from April 2023 to March 2024 tak ko 818,000 se kam kar diya gaya. Yeh revision takreeban 0.5% ka total downward change represent karta hai.
Week US S&P Global preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) aur Jobless Claims data ne Thursday ke din dovish policy pivot ke liye bets ko mazid barhaya, jese ke September ke start par policy pivot ki umeed barh gayi thi.
Markets ne 27% probability ko price in kiya ke Fed ke September 17-18 meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) cut ho sakta hai aur 73% chance ke 25 bps reduction hoga, CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.
Jab traders apne US Dollar longs ko wapas lene lage, GBP/USD ne aik naya 13-mahina high of 1.3130 hit kiya, jo ke strong UK S&P Global preliminary business PMIs ke wajah se bhi tha. UK Manufacturing PMI ne July mein 52.1 se barh kar August mein 52.5 tak improvement dikhayi. Markets ne 52.1 print expect kiya tha. Isi dauran, preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index August mein 53.3 par pohcha, jo ke July ka 52.5 aur expected figure 52.8 tha.
Fed-BoE monetary policy divergence abhi bhi kaam mein tha aur Pound Sterling ke liye tailwind ke tor par kaam kar raha tha, jabke US Dollar thin ice par tha, Powell ke alfaz ke intezar mein.
Powell ne kaha ke waqt aagaya hai ke monetary policy ko adjust kiya jaye aur kaha ke wo labor market conditions mein mazid cooling ko welcome nahi karte. "Hum jo kuch kar sakte hain wo karenge taake ek mazboot labor market ka support ho jese ke hum price stability ke towards progress karte hain," unhon ne mazid kaha. USD ne immediate reaction mein renewed selling pressure ko face kiya, jo GBP/USD ko March 2022 se pehli dafa 1.3200 ke upar chadne ka moka diya.

**H-4 Chart Technical Outlook GBP/USD**

Aaj ke din US ke key employment statistics bahut ahm hain, jo ke ADP data, initial jobless claims data, aur services sector mein business activity ka release shamil hai. Ye news basic data se zyada interesting hogi kyunki ye US economy ki haalat ko report ke waqt reflect karegi. Aaj subah hi ek move dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur jab se labor market ne negative trend dikhaya hai, 1.32 aur shayad usse bhi upar, 1.3210-30 tak ka move ho sakta hai. Agar trading 1.3130 ke niche waapas hoti hai to ek sell-off reversal ho sakta hai, aur pair is area se waapas aa gaya hai. Dollar par pressure hai negative labor market data ke release ke baad, aur investors phir se bet kar rahe hain ke Fed kitni points ke rate cut karega. Isliye, abhi south dekhna jaldi hai. Kal ke plans kuch aur the, lekin ye plans negative data ke publish hone se pehle ke the. Ab hum dekhte hain aaj kya nikalta hai.

**D-1 Chart Technical Outlook GBP/USD**

GBP/USD currency pair ke liye short forecast. Aaj, 5 September, din ki shuruaat ek upward correction ke saath hui hai aur price 1.3150 level ke upar hai. Shayad 1.3200 level ka ek false breakout dekha ja sakta hai, aur phir price downward movement resume kar sakti hai. Overall downward movement ka trend 1.32648 mark se 27 August se chal raha hai. Daily chart par, nearest downside target 38.2% Fibonacci level - 1.2900 hai, jo price overcome karne ki koshish karegi. Main downward move ko continue karne ka soch raha hoon taake 1.2900 level ko break kiya ja sake.

Aaj ke din, news aur data ka combination market mein kaafi impact daal sakta hai. Employment data aur business activity reports se clear indication milegi ke market ka mood kaisa hai. Agar dollar ke negative pressure ke bawajood price upward movement ko maintain karti hai, to 1.32 tak ke levels tak jaana possible hai. Lekin agar market ne 1.3130 ke niche trading ki, to ek sell-off reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Daily chart par downward trend ke continuation ka jo pattern hai, wo 1.2900 tak ka move indicate kar raha hai. Isliye, aaj ki trading aur economic data ka closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Hello, dost! Umeed hai aapka trading din acha guzray!
GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.

Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.

Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.

Market ke reaction ko support level par nazar rakhain aur apni trading strategy ko ussi ke mutabiq adjust karne ke liye tayyar rahain

l bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.
Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

GBP/USD currency pair ko dobara dekhtay hain. Is four-hour chart mein upward trend jari hai, wave structure upar ki taraf apni order bana rahi hai. MACD indicator upar purchase zone mein hai, lekin is par bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, aur dusre CCI indicator par bhi yehi haal hai. Aaj price ne phir se peechla maximum update kiya hai, lekin mere khayal mein price apni inteha par hai. Itni dair tak bina correction ke upar jaane ka silsila kab tak chal sakta hai? Correction ka waqt aa chuka hai, aur ye signal kaafi acha chance rakhta hai ke ye kaam kare. Pehli divergences ne kuch khaas kaam nahi kiya tha, zyada tar price ne sideways ka rukh apnaya tha thodi si kami ke saath. Ab price bohot zyada overheated lag rahi hai, aur sab possible targets ko senior periods mein achieve kar chuki hai. Ab ye waqt hai ke price decline shuru kare, jab ke horizontal level 1.3177 ne price ko support diya hua hai. Hamesha upward geese banana mumkin nahi hai, correction shuru hoga hi. Mein yeh expect karta hoon ke price is week ke minimum tak gir sakti hai, ie level 1.3175 tak. Dosra target 1.3122 hai. Daily Chart Agar D1 period par dekhein aur target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply karein, toh aap dekhenge ke 161.8 level achieve ho chuka hai. Price ne last year 2023 ke maximum ko bhi cross kar liya hai, jo ke ek potential sales zone hai. Yeh saaf hai ke price maximum ke ird gird ghuma rahi hai, agar yeh neeche jati hai, toh aapko buyers ki positions lena chahiye jo samajhte hain ke upward trend jari rahega. CCI indicator yahaan se neeche jana chahta hai upper overheating zone se, aur weekly chart par bhi yehi situation hai. Iske ilawa, chaar ghante se chote period par, aaj ke maximum update ke baad bearish divergence - yani sell signal - nazar aa raha hai. In sab factors ka combination is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke qareebi waqt mein decline hoga aur iska target level 1.3007 hoga. Itne zabardast growth ke baad bina rollback ke, ye normal lagta hai ke ab rollback wahan tak ho