جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre hisson mein expect kiye ja sakte hain

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre hisson mein expect kiye ja sakte hain

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

GBP/USD ANALYSIS Daily Timeframe
Aaj agar aap purane D1 period ko dekhein aur pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagayein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke 161.8 level ka kaam ho gaya hai. Daam pichle saal 2023 ke maximum se bhi upar chala gaya hai, jo ke ek potential sales zone hai. CCI indicator bhi yahan se upper overheating zone se niche aa gaya hai, aur purane weekly chart par bhi yeh indicator upper zone se niche aane ki taraf hai. Is ke ilawa, parso ki daily candle ne purani candle ko puri tarah absorb kar liya - bearish absorption bana, jo ke sell signal hai. Factors ka combination immediate decline ko darshata hai aur iska target level 1.3007 hai. Itni powerful growth ke baad bina kisi rollback ke, wahan correction hona normal hai. Kal se decline shuru ho gaya tha, lekin zyada pressure ke bina; euro dollar ne zyada effectively giraya, aur yeh sab EURGBP cross rate ki wajah se hai, jo ke kuch din se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke saath is pair ko girne se rok raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Purchases ko tab tak nahi dekha ja raha jab tak specified area nahi pahunchti. H4 par, MACD par bearish divergence ab tak poori tarah se kaam nahi hui hai. Aaj pound ke baare mein kuch news hai, lekin ye sab low importance hain aur ignore kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh news zaroori hai: 12:00 Moscow time - Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index (CPI). 15:30 - USA mein Core Price Index of Personal Consumption Expenditure annual aur monthly terms mein. USA mein Personal Spending. 17:00 - University of Michigan se Consumer Sentiment Index, Consumer Expectations Index, 5 saal ke liye Consumer Inflation Expectations Index aur USA se Expected

Maine ek pending order lagaya hai sell ke liye 1.3190 par. Umeed karta hoon ke yeh kaam karega. Abhi tak market mein ek upward trend hai, aur do din se yeh trend chal raha hai. Do bullish candles lagatar do din tak banti rahi hain. Lekin mere liye yeh sab ek northern correction hai. Agar hum 4-hour chart ko dekhein to price ne purchase zone ko test kiya hai 1.3095-1.3075 par. Uske baad, downward trend ne upward trend mein tabdeel ho kar northern movement ko trade karna shuru kiya.

Moving average ka test jo abhi 3165 par hai, achi tarah se guzar gaya, price ne isko break kar diya aur ab profitable sales zone ko 1.3207-1.3230 par test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Main yeh maan raha hoon ke price upper limit 1.3230 ko bhi test karegi, ya ho sakta hai ke us se bhi aage chali jaye. Lekin, mere nazar mein asli movement downward hi hai, aur agar price ne 1.3082 ka minimum tod diya, to yeh ek confirmation hogi. Abhi tak pound-dollar pair mein bulls ne achi taqat hasil ki hai. Agar pehle pound correction mein gaya tha aur 1.3080 ke qeemat tak pohanch gaya tha, ab usne upward figure ko cross kar diya hai aur filhal 1.3180 par hai. Yeh sab is wajah se ho raha hai kyunki US dollar ne haal hi mein kafi zyada weakness dikhai hai, khaaskar euro aur pound ke pairs mein. Aur yeh sab US labor market ki kharab khabron ki wajah se hai.

Aaj US mein job vacancies ke data ka izhar hua, jo ke July mein kafi zyada kam ho gayi hain. Layoffs bhi barh gaye hain, aur nayi job vacancies ka number bhi bohot zyada kam ho gaya hai. Jobs ki growth slow ho rahi hai, berozgaari barh rahi hai, aur recession door nahi lagta. Aur kal August ke employment data ki khabrein aane wali hain. Agar wo bhi kharab hue, to pound-dollar pair northern movement mein aur bhi zyada active ho jayegi, aur kal tak yeh us point tak pohanch sakti hai jahan se southern correction shuru hui thi, yani 1.3260.

Shuru mein New York trading session mein, GBP/USD ki spot price Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3140 se upar chali gayi. Yeh izafa is waqt hua jab pair ne kuch kamzori ka samna kiya, jab US Dollar ne 6 mahine ke low se wapas aaker stability dikhayi. USD Index, jo dollar ka performance 6 major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne wapas 101.30 ke aas paas regain kiya.

GBP/USD aham level par Fed ke rate cut ki speculation ke beech:

Iss waqt pair 4-hour timeframe mein ek critical point par hai, Rising Channel chart formation ke lower boundary ke qareeb. Tareekhan, is chart pattern mein pullback ko market participants buying ka mauqa samajhte hain. Isi dauran, July ke liye latest US ISM Services PMI data expectations se zyada acha raha. Report ne services sector mein expansion ko dikhaya, PMI 51.4 tak barh gaya jo ke June ke 48.8 se zyada tha, aur anticipated 51.0 se bhi upar.

US Dollar par kaafi pressure hai kyun ke afwah hai ke Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis point (bps) ka rate cut kar sakta hai. Traders yeh bhi predict kar rahe hain ke is saal mein total 100 bps se zyada rate cuts ho sakte hain. Yeh predictions US labor market ki softening aur manufacturing sector mein downturn ki wajah se hain.

H4 Chart mein GBP/USD ke Resistance aur Key Support Levels:

Aaj ke trading session mein, pair ne 50-day moving average (DMA) ko 1.3169 par test kiya, lekin 1.3084 tak gir gaya phir rebound kiya. Buyers ne rate ko wapas 1.3100 ke upar push kar diya. Is recovery ke bawajood, momentum abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein lagta hai, jo bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hai. Iske bar’aks, agar 20-DMA ko 1.3133 par cross kar le, toh ek rally 1.3100 se upar ho sakti hai, aur yeh rate 1.3264 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai.




Iss waqt ke trend ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke downtrend ka rasta sabse aasaan hai. Initial support 1.3084 par hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh pair 100-DMA ko 1.3069 par test karega, aur uske baad 200-DMA 1.2938 par. Agar kamzori barqarar rahi, toh pair 1.2900 mark tak ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD: Forex Mein Price Movements Ko Samajhna

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. GBP/USD pair aaj anticipated support level tak nahi pohanchi, halaan ke main ne 1.3079 par test ki umeed ki thi. Pair ne 1.3084 par rebound kiya, jo ke "price noise" ko dekhte hue target ko effectively hit karna samjha ja sakta hai. Filhal resistance level 1.3114 par hai, jo ek trading range bana raha hai 1.3114 aur 1.3079 ke darmiyan. Key resistance 1.3129 par hai, aur agar price is level ke upar chale jaye, toh selling pressure mein kami aa sakti hai. Aaj US stock market mein achanak girawat ke bawajood, dollar ko zyada support nahi mil saki, jis wajah se minor sell-offs dekhne ko mile.

Kal UK apna business activity data release karega jo service sector se related hoga, jab ke US apne job openings ke figures publish karega. Umeed hai ke UK ki business activity mein growth hogi, jab ke US job vacancies mein kami ka andaza hai. Dekhna hoga ke yeh reports market ko kaise affect karti hain. Main ab bhi umeed karta hoon ke pair 1.3079 ke neeche move karegi, aur EMA-200 tak 1.2964 par pohanchne ka imkaan hai.

Trend Channel Mein Waqti Stagnation

Pound ne bullish trend channel mein ek reversal show kiya, lekin yeh reversal kuch uncertain lagta hai, kyun ke price mostly stagnant hai. Yeh movement mojooda market behavior ke mutabiq lagti hai. Price abhi tak daily paranormal candle ke intraday level se neeche hai, jo ke already test ho chuka hai. Ho sakta hai ke price yahan kuch reaction dikhaye. Agar hum possible price action ka tajziya karein, toh recent history ko dekhte hue, agla pullback trend ke liye suitable ho sakta hai. Kuch milta julta scenario abhi develop ho raha hai, jahan se lagta hai ke price neeche drift karegi, bearish movement ke sath, aur bulls ka momentum kamzor hota ja raha hai.





Is accumulation ke baad, price ne ek doji form ki jo ke bearish pin bar jaisi lagti hai, aur phir ek chhoti candle bani—yeh sab H4 chart par dekhne ko milta hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, main apni sell positions ko hold karne ka irada rakhta hoon, kyun ke lagta hai ke price neeche girti rahegi, aur yeh bulls ke exhaustion ko zahir kar raha hai.

GBP/USD: Successful Trading Ka Tajziya

Aaj ka tajziya GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior par mabni hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar breakout ne galat signal diya, kyun ke uske baad kisi growth ka izafa nahi hua. Iske bar'aks, bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hua, jis ne bullish bias ko nullify kar diya. Is breakdown ke baad, maine apna strategy badal kar selling ki taraf shift kar li. Mujhe umeed hai ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh girawat mazeed barh kar bearish channel ki lower boundary ya support level 1.29384 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Dobara buying consider karne ke liye, bullish buy level ke upar ek breakout zaroori hai. Is waqt, mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par set hai. Agar bulls is level ko todte hain, toh main foran buying ki taraf shift karunga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak izafa ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, pehle wale high tak growth ka imkaan bhi hai.

Potential Moves aur Price Adjustments

Main ne abhi tak upward move ko mukammal tor par reject nahi kiya, isliye main apni buy position close karne mein hesitate kar raha hoon. Agar price 1.3049 ke qareeb pohanchti hai, toh full-scale upward movement mere profit target 1.3407 ki taraf jari rahegi, halaan ke main is baat ko confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears ne price ko 1.2919 tak push kar diya, toh main apni buy position manually close kar dunga, kyun ke bullish move ke chances phir kaafi kam ho jayenge. Main ne umeed ki thi ke price 1.3099-1.3049 tak giray gi, aur abhi bhi is girawat ka intezaar kar raha hoon, kyun ke pair filhal overbought lagti hai. Euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya hai, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retracement dikhaya hai.




Agar EU ki inflation 2.1% par hai aur usme significant drop hoti hai, toh ECB bhi Fed ki tarah rates cut kar sakta hai. UK inflation data abhi pending hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke jab yeh release hoga, toh market ko yeh samajh aayega ke Bank of England bhi rates mein kami karne ka silsila jari rakhega. Is hafta ke liye, mera GBP/USD ke liye outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 ke upar jaayega.

GBP/USD: American Trading Session Mein Izafa

Wednesday ke American trading session mein, GBP/USD pair lagbhag 1.3170 tak barh gaya USD ke muqablay mein. Yeh izafa Middle Eastern tensions ke wajah se barhne wali risk aversion ke pehlu mein hua. Halaankeh US Dollar Index (DXY) ne kafi kamzori dikhayi, aur lagbhag 101.30 tak gir gaya—jo ke March 11 ke baad se sabse neeche ka point hai—lekin phir bhi GBP/USD pair ne significant decline dekha.

Fed ke Rate Cut Expectations aur BoE ke Haal ke Qadamath ka GBP par Asar:

Market mein Federal Reserve ke hawale se expectations mein zabardast tabdeeli dekhi gayi, jo CME ke FedWatch Tool mein zahir hui. September 18 ko 50 basis point rate cut ka imkaan ab 74.5% tak barh gaya hai, jab ke sirf ek hafta pehle yeh 11.5% tha. Yeh dramatic tabdeeli disappointing US jobs data aur factory activity mein unexpected contraction ke baad hui, jaisa ke recent ISM Manufacturing PMI report ne highlight kiya.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ko haal hi mein kaafi challenges ka samna karna para hai. August ke meeting mein, Bank of England (BoE) ne anticipated 25 basis point rate cut implement kiya. BoE ke Governor Bailey ne bataya ke minimum wage ke izafay se economic outlook par koi bura asar nahi para. Unhoon ne yeh bhi kaha ke inflation 2% target ke qareeb hai, halaan ke kuch risks abhi bhi barqarar hain.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya:

Asian equities ke severe losses aur trading halts ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ne kuch stability hasil ki. Is waqt pair 1.3145 par trade kar raha hai. Key resistance levels jo nazar mein rakhne honge un mein 1.3200 ka round figure aur multi-year high 1.3265 qabil e zikar hain, jo Pound Sterling bulls ke liye crucial ho sakte hain.




Lekin, pair ab bhi pressure mein hai jab ke 1.3100 ke critical support level ke neeche gir chuka hai. Pair ab 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2930 par ja raha hai, jo near-term trend mein uncertainty ko highlight kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish side par shift ho gaya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain, aur mazeed losses ka imkaan hai.

influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai

Aaj ke Trading Hours Mein GBP/USD Ki Halat

Aaj ke trading hours ke dauran, GBP/USD pair ka izafa jari hai, aur filhal 1.3167 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh rally us waqt ho rahi hai jab Dollar kamzori ka shikar hai, jo ke US trading hours ke aghaz se pressure mein hai. Dollar ki is girawat ka ishara investor ki bechaini aur market expectations mein tabdeeli ki taraf hai.

Dollar ki kamzori ke bawajood, agar risk aversion barhta hai toh USD doosri currencies ke muqable mein barh sakta hai. Haal ka economic data aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedat, currency markets ke liye ek mushkil mahaul paida kar rahi hain. Agar economic downturn aur gehra hota hai, toh yeh market sentiment par bura asar dal sakta hai, jisse anticipated rate cuts bhi zyada asar nahi dal paenge.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

USD ki kamzori ka ek bara sabab recent US ka economic data hai. July ka PMI 46.9 tak gir gaya, jo ke 8 maheenay ka sabse neecha level hai. Yeh figure pehle wale 48.5 se kafi kam tha, aur forecasted izafa 48.8 tak bhi nahi hua. Iske ilawa, US Initial Jobless Claims July 26 ko 249,000 tak barh gaye, jab ke pehle week ke 235,000 se zyada aur forecasted 236,000 se bhi barh gaye. Yeh data points manufacturing sector ki kamzori aur unemployment rate mein izafa ko zahir karte hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke faislon par asar daal sakte hain.

Ab market participants kehte hain ke aane wale economic indicators par nazar rakhi jaye, jo ke aaj ke din ke US Nonfarm Payrolls aur Average Hourly Earnings data hain. In reports se US labor market ke baare mein mazeed maloomat milengi, jo ke Fed policy ko bhi mutasir kar sakti hain. CME FedWatch Tool se pata chalta hai ke traders 25-basis point rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo September 18 ko ho sakta hai, economic slowdown ke hawalay se badhti fikr ko zahir karta hai.

Technical Tajziya (4-Hour Time Frame):

Aaj ke US trading hours ke doran, GBP/USD pair thode gains show kar raha hai, aur 1.3170 ke qareeb hai. Is se pehle pair 1.3084 tak retracement dikhata hai, lekin USD ke thode recovery ne zyada gains ko roka. Traders ab key levels ko dekh rahe hain ke kya breakout opportunities aa sakti hain. Pair ka initial upside target 1.3200 hai, jo ke August 30 ka notable high hai. Iske ilawa, resistance 1.3126 par hai, jo 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se aligned hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, toh pair 1.3031 tak ja sakta hai, jo Bollinger Band ki lower boundary hai.




Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Critical Levels:

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is waqt 40.00 ke qareeb hai, jo ke momentum oscillator ke liye ek support level ka kaam karega. Downside par, psychological level 1.3000 GBP bulls ke liye ek critical support zone hoga. Jab ke two-year high jo 1.3264 ke qareeb hai, woh GBP/USD pair ke liye significant resistance level hoga.

influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai

GBP/USD Price Activity ka Tajziya

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Aham sawal yeh hai ke konsi support level ne uptrend se downtrend ka ishara diya? Daily chart ka ghor se tajziya karne ke baad, maine ek crucial support level 1.2822 par identify ki. Iske ilawa, 1.2855 par ek aur level hai jo mil kar ek zone bana rahe hain, jahan se breakdown hone par bearish trend ka aghaz hota dikhayi dega. Maine uptrend channel ka ek screenshot bhi lagaya hai. Is waqt, price is channel ki upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Trend reversal ko confirm karne ke liye, is uptrend channel ki lower boundary ka breach zaroori hai. Is liye, filhaal ka market phase downward correction lagta hai, lekin medium se long term tak yeh ek definitive trend reversal nahi hai.




Jab maine GBP/USD ka weekly time frame dekha, toh mujhe nazar aaya ke pichli weekly candle 1.3182 (stop reversal 7/9) ke neeche close hui thi, jo ke potential downward trend ka ishara hai. Haal ke weekly candle ka aghaz bhi decline se hua, jo ke mazeed bearish momentum ka ishara deta hai. Is surat-e-haal mein target 200-day moving average (200) hai, jo ke filhaal 1.2844 par hai. Halaankeh yeh reduction is hafte poori tarah se realize hone ki umeed nahi hai. Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel ke andar hai. Aaj shaam ke waqt, pair ne is channel ki upper boundary ko 1.3135 par touch kiya tha, lekin phir se downward movement shuru hui. Market neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur 1.3057 ek potential mark hai. Jab yeh level touch hoga, price wahan se reverse kar sakti hai aur ek aur upward movement ka aghaz kar sakti hai. Is tajziya ke madde nazar, hum ahtiyaat se selling recommend karte hain, aur target 1.3034 rakha gaya hai.

GBP/USD Tajziya

H4 time frame dikhata hai ke price mein kaafi girawat hui hai, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke is girawat ke dauran, price ne foran MA50 aur MA200 lines ko cross kiya, jo is waqt ke bearish current ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. Price girne se pehle Fresh supply area ko Fresh Demand ke liye chor chuka tha. Neeche aate hue, price ne sell momentum candle bhi banayi, jo yeh batata hai ke price mazeed neeche jaane ki koshish karegi, candle ke direction mein. Target area agla support area aur RBS area hai.

Is liye, hume short positions leni chahiye jab price dobara MA200/MA50 area ke paas aaye. Data se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke Bollinger band ne phir se neeche ki taraf khulna shuru kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend ab H4 time frame mein jari rahega. Ab dekhte hain ke H1 mein kya hota hai:

H1 time frame mein price ne ek upward correction show ki, jo pehle H4 ke bearish trend ke khilaf thi. Is waqt H1 mein price ne buy momentum candle banayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price upar jaane ki koshish karegi. Filhal, price ko MA50 line ne roka hua hai, jo ek qila hai jo price ko H4 ke bearish direction mein waapis neeche le jaane ki koshish karega. MA50 aur MA200 lines ke movement se bhi yeh zahir hota hai ke trend bullish se bearish mein badal gaya hai, aur ab yeh trend bearish hai.




GBP/USD ke liye:

Aap ko sirf buying opportunities par focus karna chahiye, kyun ke do buying levels hain. Agar price red channel ke ooper aur resistance level 1.3145 ke uper stabilize ho jaati hai, toh aap 1.3190 ke resistance level tak buy kar sakte hain. Aap tab bhi buy kar sakte hain agar price 1.3170 ke neeche gir kar phir se bounce karti hai.