جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBPUSD pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, 1-hour chart par aaj ke trading ke aghaz mein price buy zone mein thi, kyun ke price pichlay do dinon ke dauran ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi jo price ki movement ka direction bata rahe thay. Price weekly pivot level aur niche ke channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab price channels ke middle line tak pohanchi, toh wahan se neeche ki taraf rebound hui.
Abhi price dobara weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh level break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh price girti rahegi. Trading advice yeh hai ke jab price weekly pivot level se ek ghantay ke liye niche stable ho, tab sell karein. Aur jab price current candle ke sabse zyada high price ke upar trade kare, toh buy karein.

Economic side par, British data aksar taur par favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsaan pohancha sakti hain, khaas tor par jab long sterling positions mein izafa ho raha hai. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke services sector ke liye August ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 tha, jo ke preliminary reading 53.3 se zyada aur July ke reading 52.5 se bhi zyada hai, aur yeh expansion zone mein daswin mutawatar reading hai. Is par tippani karte hue, Alex Gykov, jo BNP Paribas mein forex market analyst hain, keh rahe hain: “Humara yaqeen hai ke pound mein izafa ho sakta hai lekin positions ke extent ki wajah se downside ka risk zyada hai.”

Isi waqt, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies mein forex analyst, yeh tawakku karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements honge. Unho ne izafa kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, meri tawakku ke mutabiq, hum ya toh dollar index mein 100 ya us se kam ya 104 ya us se zyada par honge.” Taza tareen US JOLTS data ke mutabiq, July mein job openings ki tadaad gir kar 7.67 million ho gayi, jo ke June ki downwardly revised 7.91 million ki reading se bhi kam hai, jo ke pehle 8.18 million report hui thi. Yeh consensus forecast 8.09 million se bhi kam thi aur April 2021 ke baad se sab se kam reading thi.

Pound Sterling Analysis
Pound Sterling ne 1.3110 mark ke upar surge kiya hai, jiske peeche hourly timeframe par ek positive divergence formation ka haath hai. Is pattern mein, jab GBP/USD pair higher lows banata hai aur momentum oscillator lower lows, toh yeh aam tor par uptrend ke dobara shuru honay ka signal hota hai. Lekin, is bullish trend ki tasdeeq ke liye mazeed indicators ki zaroorat hoti hai. Filhaal GBP/USD 1.3077 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi mein International Labour Organization (ILO) ke data ne dikhaya ke berozgari ki shiriyat unexpected tor par 4.2% tak gir gayi hai, jab ke economists ne 4.5% ka andaza lagaya tha, jo ke pehle 4.4% thi. Is achanak girawat ne Pound Sterling ko uske mukhtalif counterparts ke muqable mein mazid buland kar diya, khaaskar Tuesday ki New York session ke dauran. Currency ki strength mein UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke achay labor market data ka bhi kafi hissa tha, jo June mein khatam honay wale teen mahinon ke data par mabni tha. Is ne market ke BoE (Bank of England) ke taraf se future mein interest rate cuts ki umeed ko kam kar diya hai.

Ek aur related development mein, BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ki member Catherine Mann ne mutanabbeh kiya ke inflationary pressures abhi bhi barqarar rahain ge. Mann ne is baat ko highlight kiya ke maal aur khidmaton ke prices dobara barh sakte hain, aur wage pressures ko khatam honay mein kai saal lag sakte hain. Is outlook ke zariye Pound Sterling mein volatility ka imkaan hai, khaaskar July ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke hawale se jo Wednesday ko release hona hai. CPI report se umeed hai ke core inflation thori si kam hoke 3.4% ho jaye gi, jab ke pehle yeh 3.5% thi.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Positive momentum ke bawajood, kuch aise signs hain jo indicate karte hain ke yeh momentum dheema pad raha hai, jab ke pair bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt 1.3076 par dynamic resistance provide kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 100 aur 200 SMAs directionless hain current price level ke neeche, jo dikhata hai ke buying interest itna strong nahi hai ke yeh prolonged bullish trend ko sustain kar sake.

Pichlay haftay, spot price ne 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se 1.3091 ke qareeb ek technical rebound dekha, jo ke recovery rally ka signal tha. Bulls abhi tak technical charts par control mein hain, lekin pair ab tak 1.3000 level ko dobara hasil nahi kar saka, jo mid-July mein kho diya gaya tha. Yeh jari koshish yeh suggest karti hai ke sustained bullish momentum ka raasta significant challenges ka samna kar sakta hai.

hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

GBPUSD pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, 1-hour chart par aaj ke trading ke aghaz mein price buy zone mein thi, kyun ke price pichlay do dinon ke dauran ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi jo price ki movement ka direction bata rahe thay. Price weekly pivot level aur niche ke channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab price channels ke middle line tak pohanchi, toh wahan se neeche ki taraf rebound hui. Abhi price dobara weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh level break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh price girti rahegi. Trading advice yeh hai ke jab price weekly pivot level se ek ghantay ke liye niche stable ho, tab sell karein. Aur jab price current candle ke sabse zyada high price ke upar trade kare, toh buy karein.

Economic side par, British data aksar taur par favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsaan pohancha sakti hain, khaas tor par jab long sterling positions mein izafa ho raha hai. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke services sector ke liye August ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 tha, jo ke preliminary reading 53.3 se zyada aur July ke reading 52.5 se bhi zyada hai, aur yeh expansion zone mein daswin mutawatar reading hai. Is par tippani karte hue, Alex Gykov, jo BNP Paribas mein forex market analyst hain, keh rahe hain: “Humara yaqeen hai ke pound mein izafa ho sakta hai lekin positions ke extent ki wajah se downside ka risk zyada hai.”

Isi waqt, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies mein forex analyst, yeh tawakku karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements honge. Unho ne izafa kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, meri tawakku ke mutabiq, hum ya toh dollar index mein 100 ya us se kam ya 104 ya us se zyada par honge.” Taza tareen US JOLTS data ke mutabiq, July mein job openings ki tadaad gir kar 7.67 million ho gayi, jo ke June ki downwardly revised 7.91 million ki reading se bhi kam hai, jo ke pehle 8.18 million report hui thi. Yeh consensus forecast 8.09 million se bhi kam thi aur April 2021 ke baad se sab se kam reading thi.

GBP/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai.
Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho sakta hai, jisme kuch mahine ya usse zyada lag sakta hai complete hone ke liye.

GBP/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai.
Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho sakta hai, jisme kuch mahine ya usse zyada lag sakta hai

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain. Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.

GBP/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai.
Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho sakta hai, jisme kuch mahine ya usse zyada lag sakta hai complete hone ke liye.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.
Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD
Wednesday ko spot price ne ek notable recovery dekhi, jo daily aur weekly lows se bounce karke 1.3105 mark se upar chali gayi. Ye uptick market sentiment mein behtari ki wajah se hua, jab Bank of England ke ek official ka bayan aaya. BoE ne assurance di ke wo market instability ke dauran interest rates nahi badhayegi, jo risk appetite ko barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, aur is wajah se GBP/USD exchange rate mein temporary boost dekhne ko mila. Is rebound ke bawajood, ye pair phir bhi 1.3043 pe trade kar raha tha jab ke is se pehle is ne 1.2998 ka low hit kiya tha.

Haalan ke market sentiment aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein limited corrective slides ho sakti hain, aur kisi bhi dip ko buying opportunities ke taur pe dekha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Federal Reserve ke anticipated interest rate cuts ka asar bhi pair ki movements par rahega. Traders ko aanay wale economic data aur central bank statements pe nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ka future direction tay karne mein bohot ahem hoga.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Haal hi mein UK ka economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Figures ne ek unexpected drop unemployment rate mein dikhaya, jo doosray kam favorable indicators ko overshadow kar gaya. Khaaskar, July mein unemployment-related benefits claim karne walay afraad ki tadaad 135,000 barh gayi. Is ke ilawa, wage growth bhi significantly slow hui, jo 5.7% year-over-year rate se gir ke June ke teen months ke liye 4.5% ho gayi. Jab ke yeh figures mixed picture paish karti hain, overall unemployment mein kami GBP ke liye positive factor rahi.

Dosri taraf, US Dollar par pressure hai market ke expectations ki wajah se ke Federal Reserve aur zyada substantial interest rate cuts karega. Ye sentiment Tuesday ko release hone wale Producer Price Index (PPI) report ke softer-than-expected hone se reinforce hua. Aur jab ke market mein general positive risk tone hai, yeh factors USD bulls ko defensive mode mein rakhtay hain. Is ki wajah se GBP/USD pair ko support mila hai, aur agar value mein koi dips aati hain to investors ke liye yeh buying opportunities ban sakti hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to pair neutral se le kar bearish bias mein lagta hai. Recent dive below 20-day moving average (DMA) at 1.3109 ne buyers ke darmiyan concerns ko barhaya hai. Jab pair 1.3050 mark se neeche gir gaya, to sellers ne control hasil kar liya, jab ke Greenback ki strength ne GBP/USD ko back foot pe rakha. Agar pair 1.2900 se neeche girta hai, to yeh August 6 ke low 1.2671 ko test kar sakta hai, aur agar yeh 100-DMA at 1.2856 se neeche slip karta hai, to aur zyada losses bhi ho sakte hain.

Haalan ke Pound stabilize ho raha hai, lekin August ke peak se jo short-term downtrend 1.3260 se neeche aya hai, wo ab bhi wazeh hai. GBP ko 1.2900 range ke aas-paas support mil raha hai, jahan 50-day aur 100-day moving averages 1.2962 aur 1.2856 pe converge ho rahe hain. Magar resistance abhi bhi 1.3264 pe door hai, jo suggest karta hai ke Pound ko substantial gains karne mein challenges ka saamna reh sakta hai.

Pound Sterling Analysis
Pound Sterling ne 1.3110 mark ke upar surge kiya hai, jiske peeche hourly timeframe par ek positive divergence formation ka haath hai. Is pattern mein, jab GBP/USD pair higher lows banata hai aur momentum oscillator lower lows, toh yeh aam tor par uptrend ke dobara shuru honay ka signal hota hai. Lekin, is bullish trend ki tasdeeq ke liye mazeed indicators ki zaroorat hoti hai. Filhaal GBP/USD 1.3077 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi mein International Labour Organization (ILO) ke data ne dikhaya ke berozgari ki shiriyat unexpected tor par 4.2% tak gir gayi hai, jab ke economists ne 4.5% ka andaza lagaya tha, jo ke pehle 4.4% thi. Is achanak girawat ne Pound Sterling ko uske mukhtalif counterparts ke muqable mein mazid buland kar diya, khaaskar Tuesday ki New York session ke dauran. Currency ki strength mein UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke achay labor market data ka bhi kafi hissa tha, jo June mein khatam honay wale teen mahinon ke data par mabni tha. Is ne market ke BoE (Bank of England) ke taraf se future mein interest rate cuts ki umeed ko kam kar diya hai.

Ek aur related development mein, BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ki member Catherine Mann ne mutanabbeh kiya ke inflationary pressures abhi bhi barqarar rahain ge. Mann ne is baat ko highlight kiya ke maal aur khidmaton ke prices dobara barh sakte hain, aur wage pressures ko khatam honay mein kai saal lag sakte hain. Is outlook ke zariye Pound Sterling mein volatility ka imkaan hai, khaaskar July ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke hawale se jo Wednesday ko release hona hai. CPI report se umeed hai ke core inflation thori si kam hoke 3.4% ho jaye gi, jab ke pehle yeh 3.5% thi.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Positive momentum ke bawajood, kuch aise signs hain jo indicate karte hain ke yeh momentum dheema pad raha hai, jab ke pair bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt 1.3076 par dynamic resistance provide kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 100 aur 200 SMAs directionless hain current price level ke neeche, jo dikhata hai ke buying interest itna strong nahi hai ke yeh prolonged bullish trend ko sustain kar sake.

Pichlay haftay, spot price ne 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se 1.3091 ke qareeb ek technical rebound dekha, jo ke recovery rally ka signal tha. Bulls abhi tak technical charts par control mein hain, lekin pair ab tak 1.3000 level ko dobara hasil nahi kar saka, jo mid-July mein kho diya gaya tha. Yeh jari koshish yeh suggest karti hai ke sustained bullish momentum ka raasta significant challenges ka samna kar sakta hai.

Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, rozana aur hafta ke neeche level se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ke mark ko paar kar liya. Yeh upar ki taraf ka harakat behtar market jazbaat ki wajah se hui, jo Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad dekhne ko mili. BoE ne yeh tasalli di ke market instability ke bawajood wo interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisne risk appetite ko barhaya, aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko temporary boost diya. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low par pahunch gaya tha.
Halaat aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein corrective slides limited ho sakti hain, aur har dip ko kharidne ka ek moka samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts shayad aane wale dinon mein pair ke movements ko mutasir karte rahenge. Traders ko aanewale economic data aur central bank statements par close nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka taayun karenge.

### GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected unemployment rate mein kami ka izhaar kiya, jo doosre kamzor indicators ko overshade kar gaya. Khaaskar, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi. Iske ilawa, wage growth mein aham kami hui, jo 5.7% year-over-year rate se ghat kar teen mahine tak June tak 4.5% tak chali gayi. Jab ke yeh numbers ek mixed picture present karte hain, overall unemployment ki kami ne GBP ke liye ek positive factor banaya hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye market expectations ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Yeh jazbaat Tuesday ko aayi softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report ne aur mazid barhaya. Yeh aur market mein overall positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive mode mein rakha hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in halaat se support mila hai, aur agar value mein koi dip aaye, toh investors isay buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical point of view se dekha jaye, toh pair neutral se bearish bias ka izhaar karta hai. Recent 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche girne ne buyers ke darmiyan concerns ko barhaya hai. Jese hi pair 1.3050 mark se neeche gira, sellers ne control hasil kar liya, halan ke Greenback ki taqat ne GBP/USD ko neeche rakhne mein madad ki. Agar pair 1.2900 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh August 6 ke low 1.2671 ko test kar sakta hai, aur agar yeh 100-DMA 1.2856 ke neeche slip karta hai, toh mazid losses ka khatra hai.

Filhaal, Pound stabilizing mode mein hai, lekin short-term downtrend August ke peak 1.3260 ke upar se abhi bhi zyada hai. GBP ko support mil raha hai high 1.2900 range ke aas paas, jahan 50-day aur 100-day moving averages 1.2962 aur 1.2856 ke qareeb converge ho rahe hain. Magar resistance 1.3264 par door hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke Pound ko qareebi mustaqbil mein significant gains hasil karne mein challenges ka samna ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna kiya, aur 1.3045 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, jo latest US inflation data aur kamzor UK economic activity ke asar se tha. Jab ke headline inflation kam hui, core CPI unchanged raha, jisne traders ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke zyada aggressive rate cut ka tajwez dobara dekhne par majboor kiya. European session ke dauran kamzor GDP report ne pound ko aur bhi pressure mein daal diya. Magar, leading indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke UK economic activity behtar ho sakti hai, jo Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ki had ko rok sakta hai.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair mein bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) neeche ki taraf ke momentum ko indicate kar rahe hain. Pair ka do saal se zyada high 1.3265 se retreat karne ke baad, 1.3045 aur 1.3085 ke darmiyan ek limited support zone ban gaya hai. Agar RSI aur Stochastic indicators apni current positions par rehte hain, toh market downside bias ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Aage decline hone par support 50-day SMA 1.2940 aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 par mil sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Pair ke Factors:

GBP/USD pair ko behtar samajhne ke liye, zaroori hai ke hum underlying economic aur technical indicators ka jaiza lein. Unchanged core CPI yeh suggest karta hai ke Fed ko zyada aggressive rate cut implement karne ki zaroorat nahi hai. Yeh pound ke upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai. Jab ke GDP report kamzor thi, leading indicators UK economic activity mein behtari ka ishara karte hain, jo lambay waqt mein pound ko support provide kar sakti hai.


Market filhaal Fed se 25 basis point rate cut ki pricing kar rahi hai. Lekin, ECB ke bhi interest rates cut karne ki ummeed hai, jo dono currencies ke darmiyan interest rate differential ko narrow kar sakta hai. RSI aur MACD se milne wale bearish signals yeh suggest karte hain ke short term mein GBP/USD ka downtrend continue karna mumkin hai. 1.3045-1.3085 support zone GBP/USD pair ke liye crucial hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh further declines ho sakti hain. GBP/USD pair ko economic factors aur technical indicators ke combination ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna hai. Market cautiously US inflation data aur Fed aur ECB ke interest rate cuts ke implications ko assess kar raha hai. Jab ke UK economy behtar nazar aa sakti hai, short term mein GBP/USD pair ka overall outlook bearish hai.

Aap sab ko khushiyon bhara din mubarak ho! Meri trading strategy, jo Hiken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlestick indicators ke complex par mabni hai, yeh batati hai ke ab waqt hai currency pair/instrument ko khareedne ka, kyun ke system ke consensus indicators yeh zahir karte hain ke bulls ne control le liya hai. Bahut sari events ke chalte, ab kharidari hamari pehli tarjeeh honi chahiye. Hiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, price movements ko smooth aur average karti hain, jo reversal moments, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko dekhne mein madad karti hain.
TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein kafi madadgaar hai, jo moving averages ka istemal karte hue chart par current support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai, aur asset ke movement ka range dikhata hai. Aakhri signal filtering aur deal ko close karne ka faisla karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Trading instruments ka yeh chunaav technical analysis ke process ko behtar banata hai aur possible false market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

To, jo chart provided hai pair ka, is duration ke dauran ek aisi situation paida hui hai jahan Hiken Ashi candles ne blue rang le liya hai, is liye ab bullish mode ko bearish ke muqable mein tarjeeh di ja rahi hai, aur is tarah se ek achi entry point dhoondhi ja sakti hai taake market mein long contract ke liye enter kiya ja sake. Prices ne linear channel ki lower limit (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin jab woh lowest LOW point tak pahunch gayi, toh unhone wahan se bounce kiya aur reverse kiya, channel ki center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kiya.


Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke basement RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke yeh long position ke selection ke khilaaf nahi hai - iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai. Is hawale se, mai yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke ab khareedna zyada mumkin hai, aur is liye ek extensive trade initiate karna kafi theek hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke profit channel ke upper area border (blue dotted line) tak pohonch sakta hai, jo ke price 1.32550 par hai. Jab order profitable zone mein pohonch jaye, toh position ko breakeven ki taraf move karna behtar hoga, kyun ke market aksar hamari umeedon ko galat moves ke sath disturb kar sakta hai.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; Technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; Agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.
Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko


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