gbp/usd

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain.

Kal ke Asian session ke aaghaz mein, GBPUSD abhi tak girawat jaari nahi kar saka, lekin yeh currency pair pehle thoda barha jab ke pehle support 1.3171 par tor chuka tha. GBPUSD mein izafa dekhne ko mila aur yeh 1.3321 tak pahunch gaya. Kuch dair baad, AUDUSD phir se gir gaya jis ke natijay mein agla support 1.3171 par bhi neeche se tor diya gaya. AUDUSD ke phir se girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak shoulder area 1.3221 par penetrate nahi kar saka tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh yeh mumkin hai ke is Jumma ko GBPUSD mazeed gehra girawat ka samna kare. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern ban chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karke, yeh batata hai ke yeh pattern valid hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ke resistance ko penetrate na hone diya jaye, kyun ke yeh GBPUSD ko foran neeche jane se rok sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ki mazboot wajah yeh bhi hai ke yeh currency pair ab tak 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushkismati se, jab kal yeh bara tha, toh GBPUSD apne qareebi resistance ko paar nahi kar saka.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh jab se GBPUSD ki movement mein girawat aayi hai, candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hi rahi hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke trend abhi bhi waqi bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi batata hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak ke koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke GBPUSD ki halat ab oversold ho chuki hai. Is baat ka saboot yeh hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Is position mein jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, mujhe abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke GBPUSD ki girti hui movement dobara barh bhi sakti hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern neeche tor chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 1.3224 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is liye, mein aap sab ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions kholne par tawajju dein. Take profit target aap 1.3038 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3237 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain.

Pound Sterling Analysis:
British Pound iss waqt US Dollar ke muqabley mein 1.3200 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jabke traders US ki aaney wali economic data, khaaskar Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims par ghor kar rahe hain. Khaaskar Core PCE data bohat aham hai, kyunke yeh Federal Reserve ki agli harkat ke hawalay se tawaqaat ko shakal de sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada aaye, toh yeh chhoti si rate cut ki umeed badha sakta hai, jis se USD mazboot ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD par pressure par sakta hai.

Aaj ke economic releases bhi bohat aham hain. Agar PCE aur GDP tawaqaat se zyada mazboot aaye, toh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki tawaqaat kam ho sakti hain, jis se US Dollar mazboot ho sakta hai aur Pound ke liye risks barh sakte hain. Is dauraan, UK ki economy par bhi tawajjoh di ja rahi hai kyunke iss saal ek aur Bank of England rate cut ki bhi charcha ho rahi hai. In sab factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb thodi mazbooti dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara karte hain, lekin sab kuch aaj ki US data par munhasir hai. Sarmaaya kaar khaaskar Core PCE inflation report par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo qareeb muddat mein GBP/USD pair ke liye ahem driver sabit ho sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, yeh pair ya toh 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka saamna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 level ke qareeb apni position ko stabilize kar liya hai, lekin uska future direction ziada tar US ki aaney wali economic data, khaaskar Core PCE inflation report, par munhasir hai. Yeh data market sentiment ko taqleeb dega aur Pound ke liye agla move tay karega. Iss mein Bank of England ki taraf se rate cut ki possibility bhi shamil hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Niche time frame chart par British Pound iss waqt thoda downward pressure mein hai, lekin optimism ka bhi ehsaas hai kyunke yeh recovery ke asaar dikhata hai. Bulls se yeh tawaqaat ki jaa rahi hai ke woh dobara market mein daakhil honge aur mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko dobara qaim karein. Traders ko in developments par qareeb se nazar rakhni hogi taake woh apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar saken.

Pound Sterling Analysis:
British Pound iss waqt US Dollar ke muqabley mein 1.3200 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jabke traders US ki aaney wali economic data, khaaskar Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims par ghor kar rahe hain. Khaaskar Core PCE data bohat aham hai, kyunke yeh Federal Reserve ki agli harkat ke hawalay se tawaqaat ko shakal de sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada aaye, toh yeh chhoti si rate cut ki umeed badha sakta hai, jis se USD mazboot ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD par pressure par sakta hai.

Aaj ke economic releases bhi bohat aham hain. Agar PCE aur GDP tawaqaat se zyada mazboot aaye, toh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki tawaqaat kam ho sakti hain, jis se US Dollar mazboot ho sakta hai aur Pound ke liye risks barh sakte hain. Is dauraan, UK ki economy par bhi tawajjoh di ja rahi hai kyunke iss saal ek aur Bank of England rate cut ki bhi charcha ho rahi hai. In sab factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb thodi mazbooti dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara karte hain, lekin sab kuch aaj ki US data par munhasir hai. Sarmaaya kaar khaaskar Core PCE inflation report par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo qareeb muddat mein GBP/USD pair ke liye ahem driver sabit ho sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, yeh pair ya toh 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka saamna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 level ke qareeb apni position ko stabilize kar liya hai, lekin uska future direction ziada tar US ki aaney wali economic data, khaaskar Core PCE inflation report, par munhasir hai. Yeh data market sentiment ko taqleeb dega aur Pound ke liye agla move tay karega. Iss mein Bank of England ki taraf se rate cut ki possibility bhi shamil hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Niche time frame chart par British Pound iss waqt thoda downward pressure mein hai, lekin optimism ka bhi ehsaas hai kyunke yeh recovery ke asaar dikhata hai. Bulls se yeh tawaqaat ki jaa rahi hai ke woh dobara market mein daakhil honge aur mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko dobara qaim karein. Traders ko in developments par qareeb se nazar rakhni hogi taake woh apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar saken.

A Formal Approach to GBP/USD Prices
Hamari behas ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko decode karne par hai. Iss waqt, price ek inverted triangle ke andar move kar rahi hai. Aaj, pair mein girawat hui aur yeh triangle ki nichli had 1.3175 par pohanch gayi. Jab yeh level hit hua, toh girawat ruk gayi, jisse yeh imkaan paida hota hai ke yeh ulta trend ho sakta hai aur price upar ki taraf chalne lag sakti hai. Agar upward movement shuru hoti hai, toh price triangle ki upper boundary ke qareeb, yani 1.3291 tak barh sakti hai. Hum pehle hi 1.3175 ke qareeb local targets clear kar chuke hain, lekin abhi tak is level ke neeche ek sustained break nahi hua, jo ek false breakdown ki possibility ko chhodta hai. Agar yeh false break hota hai, toh growth jaari reh sakti hai, lekin soorat-e-haal abhi bhi qeyas mein hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke dollar ne hal hi mein aam tor par mazbooti dikhayi hai. Poori soorat-e-haal challenging hai, kyunke wazeh targets ki kami hai. Lekin, agar 1.3175 ka breakdown ghalat sabit hota hai, toh mein buy trades initiate karne par ghor karunga.

Trading plan ke review se yeh zahir hota hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke four-hour time frame mein selling opportunities zyada favorable lagti hain. Selling ke liye ideal entry point resistance level 1.3229 par hai, jabke profit target 1.3087 ke qareeb set kiya gaya hai. Yeh strategy wazeh entry aur exit criteria provide karti hai, jo successful trades ki imkanat ko barhata hai. Growth structure mein breakdown hourly chart par nazar aa raha hai, jiske sath H1 time frame par moving averages se sell signal bhi mil raha hai. Lekin, iss soorat-e-haal mein trading karna kafi reasons ki wajah se munasib nahi hai. Pehli baat, yeh signal sirf H1 time frame par hai, jo ke H4 ke muqable mein turns banane ke liye kam reliable hai. Doosri baat, signal execute karne ke baad bhi, larger channel ke upper boundary se ek significant rebound ho sakta hai, jo ke H4 ya daily charts par zyada wazeh hota hai. Iss waqt, H1 sales ke targets channel boundary ko test karne par hain, khas taur par 1.31549 level par.

A Formal Approach to GBP/USD Prices

Hamari behas ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko decode karne par hai. Iss waqt, price ek inverted triangle ke andar move kar rahi hai. Aaj, pair mein girawat hui aur yeh triangle ki nichli had 1.3175 par pohanch gayi. Jab yeh level hit hua, toh girawat ruk gayi, jisse yeh imkaan paida hota hai ke yeh ulta trend ho sakta hai aur price upar ki taraf chalne lag sakti hai. Agar upward movement shuru hoti hai, toh price triangle ki upper boundary ke qareeb, yani 1.3291 tak barh sakti hai. Hum pehle hi 1.3175 ke qareeb local targets clear kar chuke hain, lekin abhi tak is level ke neeche ek sustained break nahi hua, jo ek false breakdown ki possibility ko chhodta hai. Agar yeh false break hota hai, toh growth jaari reh sakti hai, lekin soorat-e-haal abhi bhi qeyas mein hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke dollar ne hal hi mein aam tor par mazbooti dikhayi hai. Poori soorat-e-haal challenging hai, kyunke wazeh targets ki kami hai. Lekin, agar 1.3175 ka breakdown ghalat sabit hota hai, toh mein buy trades initiate karne par ghor karunga.

Trading plan ke review se yeh zahir hota hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke four-hour time frame mein selling opportunities zyada favorable lagti hain. Selling ke liye ideal entry point resistance level 1.3229 par hai, jabke profit target 1.3087 ke qareeb set kiya gaya hai. Yeh strategy wazeh entry aur exit criteria provide karti hai, jo successful trades ki imkanat ko barhata hai. Growth structure mein breakdown hourly chart par nazar aa raha hai, jiske sath H1 time frame par moving averages se sell signal bhi mil raha hai. Lekin, iss soorat-e-haal mein trading karna kafi reasons ki wajah se munasib nahi hai. Pehli baat, yeh signal sirf H1 time frame par hai, jo ke H4 ke muqable mein turns banane ke liye kam reliable hai. Doosri baat, signal execute karne ke baad bhi, larger channel ke upper boundary se ek significant rebound ho sakta hai, jo ke H4 ya daily charts par zyada wazeh hota hai. Iss waqt, H1 sales ke targets channel boundary ko test karne par hain, khas taur par 1.31549 level par.

H4 Timeframe Par Nazar Rakhein
H4 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator lagaya, toh lagta hai ke abhi GBPUSD price condition oversold level par pohanch gayi hai. Iss lihaaz se yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ja sakti hai. Aur agar aaj subah dekhein, toh lagta hai ke ek kaafi achi bullish candle banne lagi hai. Yeh yaqeenan is baat ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai ke price dheere dheere barhna shuru ho gayi hai, lekin kyunke abhi waqt jaldi hai, isliye behtar hoga ke main jaldbazi mein koi position enter na karun. Shayad thoda intezar karun, aur agar momentum zyada bullish hota hai, tab buy ka option behtar rahega.

Agar badi timeframe se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke ek mustahkam bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye ke budh ke din GBPUSD price condition mein kamzori aayi thi aur yeh lagbhag 80 pips tak niche chali gayi thi. Yeh yaqeenan is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere mazahmat kar raha hai. Agar baad mein koi lower decline aata hai valid candlestick pattern ke sath, toh trend bearish mein badal sakta hai, aur phir main seller scenario ke liye tayar rahunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jati hai, toh buyer scenario ab bhi apply hoga. Isliye mujhe jaldbazi mein position enter karne ka faisla nahi karna chahiye.

Abhi tak mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD market mein price movements kaafi achhe upward trend mein hain. Dominant bullish trend ke sath, entry buy opportunities dhundhna waqai acha rahega. Lekin agar ghor se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke kal budh ke din yeh condition mein takriban 80 pips ki girawat hui thi, jisse ek bearish candlestick bani thi jiska body kaafi lambi thi. Ho sakta hai yeh girawat ek correction phase ka hissa ho upar trend ko continue karne se pehle, lekin aapko is baat ka bhi hoshyar rehna chahiye ke agar girawat zyada hoti hai, toh trend bearish mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

H4 Timeframe Par Nazar Rakhein
H4 timeframe ko monitor karte hue, jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator lagaya, toh lagta hai ke abhi GBPUSD price condition oversold level par pohanch gayi hai. Iss lihaaz se yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ja sakti hai. Aur agar aaj subah dekhein, toh lagta hai ke ek kaafi achi bullish candle banne lagi hai. Yeh yaqeenan is baat ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai ke price dheere dheere barhna shuru ho gayi hai, lekin kyunke abhi waqt jaldi hai, isliye behtar hoga ke main jaldbazi mein koi position enter na karun. Shayad thoda intezar karun, aur agar momentum zyada bullish hota hai, tab buy ka option behtar rahega.

Agar badi timeframe se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke ek mustahkam bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye ke budh ke din GBPUSD price condition mein kamzori aayi thi aur yeh lagbhag 80 pips tak niche chali gayi thi. Yeh yaqeenan is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere mazahmat kar raha hai. Agar baad mein koi lower decline aata hai valid candlestick pattern ke sath, toh trend bearish mein badal sakta hai, aur phir main seller scenario ke liye tayar rahunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jati hai, toh buyer scenario ab bhi apply hoga. Isliye mujhe jaldbazi mein position enter karne ka faisla nahi karna chahiye.

Abhi tak mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD market mein price movements kaafi achhe upward trend mein hain. Dominant bullish trend ke sath, entry buy opportunities dhundhna waqai acha rahega. Lekin agar ghor se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke kal budh ke din yeh condition mein takriban 80 pips ki girawat hui thi, jisse ek bearish candlestick bani thi jiska body kaafi lambi thi. Ho sakta hai yeh girawat ek correction phase ka hissa ho upar trend ko continue karne se pehle, lekin aapko is baat ka bhi hoshyar rehna chahiye ke agar girawat zyada hoti hai, toh trend bearish mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Filhal, aisa lagta hai keh pound/dollar ka joda dobara se ooper ki taraf mudne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ham dekhenge. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound 1.31537 ki maujudah support satah se badh kar 1.32243 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunch jayega. Uske bad, qimat ya to niche ki taraf palat sakti hai ya muzahmati satah se ooper mustahkam hone ke bad faide ko badha sakti hai.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Wednesday ko dono taraf, Atlantic ke is paar bhi, release honay wali hain. Core UK CPI inflation ki umeed hai ke July mein YoY 3.4% tak neeche aayegi, jo pehle 3.5% thi. US side par, market

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent uptick dekha gaya hai, jo primarily weakening US dollar ki wajah se hai. Disappointing US economic data release, including weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI aur non-farm payrolls ke baad, market sentiment Federal Reserve ke more aggressive interest rate cuts ko anticipate kar raha hai. Yeh expectation greenback par downward pressure daal raha hai, jis se pound sterling boost ho raha hai
GBP/USD mein kal, sellers ne southern correctional movement ka realization nahi kar paya. Thodi si pullback ke baad, ek reversal dekha gaya, jo price ko north ki taraf confident bullish impulse ke saath push kar raha tha. Iska natija ek full bullish candle ka formation tha, jo asani se previous day's high ke upar close hui, accumulating range se breakout ko upside ki taraf signal karti hai. Aaj, buyers ne nearest resistance level 1.28604 tak pohnch gaya hai. Is surat mein, main marked resistance level ke saath saath 1.28938 ke resistance level ko bhi observe karunga.
Jaise ke pehle bhi zikr kiya, in resistance levels ke nazdeek do scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf barhe. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.29956 ki taraf move kare. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to further northward movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo resistance level 1.31424 tak pohnch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek trading setup se next trading direction ka pata chalega. Northward target ki taraf journey ke dauran southern pullbacks dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jinko main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dekh kar uptrend ka resumption expect karunga global bullish trend formation ke tehat.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar resistance level 1.28604 ya resistance level 1.28938 ko test karte waqt reversal candle formation hoti hai aur downward price movement resume hoti hai. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.27399 tak aane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, price increase ki expectation ke saath. Jab ke zyada distant southern targets tak pohnchne ki possibility hai, main filhal is par focus nahi kar raha, kyun ke iska quick realization nazar nahi aa raha

Spot price abhi fresh char din ke neeche level par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3144 ke qareeb hai US Dollar (USD) ke against, Friday ke Asian trading session mein. Is pair ka yeh decline us waqt aaya jab US Dollar ki taqat barh rahi hai Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aanay wale monetary policy announcement ke hawalay se barhti hui uncertainty ke darmiyan. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki performance ko six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.20 tak barh gaya hai, jo forex market mein USD ki barhti hui dominance ko reflect karta hai.

**Inflation ke Masail aur Fed Rate ka Outlook:**

UK ke Finance Minister Rachel Reeves ke recent elaan ke baad persistent inflation pressures ke hawalay se fears mein izafa hua hai. Unho ne doctors aur teachers samait public sector workers ke liye £9.4 billion ke above-inflation pay raises ka wada kiya hai. Reeves ne pehle wali hukumat ko tayyari ke liye criticize kiya aur yeh bhi kaha ke unka pehla fiscal budget 30 October ko pesh kiya jayega. Is move ne UK ki economic outlook mein ek aur layer of uncertainty daal di hai.

Federal Reserve se ummed hai ke wo interest rates ko aathwin martaba lagataar change nahi karega. Is wajah se, investors ghoor se Fed ke monetary policy statement aur Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake future rate cuts ke hawalay se insights mil sakein. Market analysts ka yeh andaza hai ke September meeting mein Fed rate cuts ke imkanaat ka signal de sakta hai, kyunke inflation ko 2% target ki taraf kam karne mein kaafi progress hui hai, aur labor market stability ke hawalay se concerns bhi barh rahe hain. Aisi surat-e-haal US Dollar aur bond yields ke liye nuqsaan-deh sabit ho sakti hai.

**GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:**

Haal hi mein, yeh pair multi-year high tak pohcha tha, magar uske baad apne peak se 1.82% decline dekhne ko mili. Bullish momentum ki kami ki wajah se 1.3200 resistance level se retracement hui, aur ab yeh pair upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka shikar hai. 1.3144 ka level ab ek ahem point ban gaya hai, aur agar bearish pressure barh gaya toh yeh pair apne swing low se neeche bhi jaa sakta hai.

Pair ne apni decline ko tab mazeed intense kar diya jab yeh crucial support level 1.3100 ke neeche gir gaya. Is move ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko bhi breach kar diya hai, jo ke 1.3032 ke qareeb tha, jo ke near-term trend mein uncertainty ko zabardast taur par highlight karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 mark ki taraf jhul raha hai, jo ke momentum oscillator ke liye ek support threshold ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai.

GBP-USD H1 TIME FRAME

Kal ke Asian session ke opening cloud mein, GBPUSD abhi bhi decline continue nahi kar raha tha, magar currency pair pehle rise hua jab yeh support price 1.3171 ko break kiya. GBPUSD ne price 1.3321 tak increase dekha. Zyada der nahi hui ke AUDUSD phir se gir gaya aur agla support price 1.3171 bhi niche penetrate ho gaya. AUDUSD ke girne ka reason yeh tha ke candle shoulder area price 1.3221 ko penetrate nahi kar payi.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to yeh Friday GBPUSD ke aur bhi gehra decline dekhne ki possibility hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke ek head and shoulder pattern form ho chuka hai. Neckline area ko penetrate karna is pattern ke valid hone ka indication hai. Sabse important baat yeh hai ke 1.3221 ki resistance ko penetrate na karne dein, kyunki yeh GBPUSD ko turant niche girne se rop sakti hai. Iske ilawa, GBPUSD ke girne ka strong reason yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi supply area price 1.3224 ko penetrate nahi kar paya. Khushkismati se, jab kal rise hua, GBPUSD apne nearest resistance ko exceed nahi kar paya.

Ichimoku indicator ka use karke analyze kiya jaye to, GBPUSD ke girne ke bawajood, candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke niche hi hai, jo ke trend ke abhi bhi bearish hone ka matlab hai. Yeh indicator bhi yeh indicate karta hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka chance abhi bhi bohot zyada hai jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota.

Waqt ke stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD ki current condition oversold hai. Yeh level 20 ko touch karne wali line se sabit hota hai. Position abhi bhi upwards facing hai, isliye mujhe careful rehna hoga kyunki GBPUSD ka pehle girna ab rising mein badal sakta hai.

To aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi girne ka chance rakhta hai kyunki H1 timeframe mein ek head and shoulder pattern successfully downward penetrate ho chuka hai. Iske ilawa, candle price 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap jo bhi is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, sirf sell positions open karne par focus karein. Take profit target ko nearest support price 1.3038 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko price 1.3237 ke aas-paas place kar sakte hain.

Gbpusd ke current price behavior ko analyse karte hain. Kal ke Asian session ke dauran, GBP/USD ne abhi tak girawat ka silsila jaari nahi rakha, lekin is currency pair ne pehle support level ko tor kar 1.3171 ke price par rise kiya. GBP/USD mein izafa hotay hotay yeh 1.3321 ke price tak chala gaya. Kuch hi der baad, AUD/USD phir se gir gaya, jis se agla support level jo ke 1.3171 par tha, neeche se tor diya gaya. AUD/USD ke dobara girne ki wajah yeh thi ke candle abhi tak 1.3221 ke shoulder area ko penetrate nahi kar sakti thi. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to is Jumme ko GBP/USD ke aur zyada girne ka imkaan hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke head and shoulders ka pattern form ho chuka hai. Agar neckline area penetrate hoti hai, to yeh pattern valid ho jata hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke resistance level 1.3221 penetrate na ho, kyunke yeh GBP/USD ko foran neeche girne se rok sakta hai. Iske ilawa, GBP/USD ke girne ka ek aur wazeh sabab yeh hai ke yeh currency pair 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Khushqismati se, jab yeh kal rise kar raha tha, to GBP/USD apni qareebi resistance ko cross nahi kar saka.




Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, to GBP/USD ke girne ke baad, candle ka position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke trend abhi tak bearish hai. Yeh indicator yeh bhi dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ke girne ka imkaan abhi bhi kafi zyada hai jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota. Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ka halat oversold hai. Yeh is baat se sabit hota hai ke line level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Waisay to position abhi upar ki taraf hai, lekin phir bhi hume ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye kyunke pehle jo girawat thi, woh achanak rise mein tabdeel ho sakti hai. Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke girne ka imkaan abhi bhi hai kyunke H1 timeframe par head and shoulders ka pattern neeche se successfully penetrate ho chuka hai. Iske ilawa, candle 1.3224 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kar sakta. Isi liye, meri tajwez hai ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, woh sirf sell positions par focus karen. Take profit ka target qareebi support level par, jo ke 1.3038 hai, wahan rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3237 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai.

Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.
Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.

Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.

Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai