جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

1-hour chart par, price ne aaj trading start ki triangle ke andar, jo safed rang mein dikhai gayi hai. Yeh triangle do channels ka nateeja hai jo chart par dikhaye gaye hain, kyunke pichle do trading dino ke douran pair ki movement ka rujhan upar ki taraf tha.
Price ne kuch ghanto tak upper triangle line se muqabla kiya, jis se price mein kami hui, aur phir triangle ko neeche ki taraf tor diya. Abhi price neeche blue channel line ki taraf ja rahi hai. Weekly pivot level channel line ke kareeb hai, aur yeh ek support area hoga jo price ko wapas upar le ja sakta hai.

Lekin trading mein faisla karne ke liye, aapko support area mein price ki behavior ka intezaar karna hoga. Aap weekly pivot level se price ke rebound hone par khareedari kar sakte hain. Aap bechne ke liye bhi enter kar sakte hain agar weekly pivot level break ho jaye.

Muashi taur par, GBP/USD ki price haal hi mein do saal ke buland tareen satah par pohanchi, jab Powell ne US me soodi sharah mein kami ki darkhwast ki. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha, ek wazeh ishara dete hue ke US ki soodi sharah mein kami hone wali hai, "yeh waqt hai policy ko adjust karne ka."

Lekin September ki kami koi nai khabar nahi hai; asal khabar yeh hai ke bazaron ko yeh ishara diya gaya hai ke Fed aane walay mahino mein mazeed cuts ke liye tayar hai. "Labor market ke haalaat ki susti bilkul wazeh hai," Powell ne mazeed kaha. "Lagta nahi ke labor market kisi bhi waqt elevated inflationary pressures ka sabab banega."

(GBP/USD) ke exchange rate mein izafa hokar woh 1.32 par pohanch gaya – jo ke do saal ki buland tareen satah hai – jab financial markets ne mazeed tabsire test kiye ki "hum labor market ke haalaat mein mazeed susti na chahte hain aur na hi khushamdeed kehte hain."

Yeh ek wazeh ishara hai ke US Federal Reserve ab growth ko defend karne ke liye tayar hai taa ke US mein naukriyon ke nuqsan ko aane walay quarter mein minimum kiya ja sake. Is se policy easing shamil hogi, jo ke stocks aur pound jaise risk-exposed assets ko boost kar sakti hai.

Lagta hai ke ek downtrend shuru ho gaya hai, chaliye H4 period ke chart ko review karte hain - currency pair GBPUSD ke. Is chaar ghante ke chart par, uptrend jaari hai, wave structure apni upward sequence bana raha hai, lekin MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, aur is par bearish divergence bhi hai, isi tarah CCI indicator par bhi divergence hai. Jaise ke maloom hai, aaj bhi price ne pehle ke high ko update kiya hai, lekin meri raaye mein price ab exhausted lagti hai, aur ek correction zaroori hai. Ab tak ki previous divergences zyadatar sideways movement aur halka decline ke saath kaam aayi hain. Ab price kaafi zyada overbought hai, higher timeframes par sab possible targets ko achieve kar chuki hai, aur ab decline shuru honi chahiye. Price ne horizontal support level 1.3177 par support dhunda hai. Upar ki taraf geese chalti nahi rahegi, correction shuru honi hi hai. Mujhe lagta hai price week ke minimum tak, yani 1.3175 tak gir sakti hai. Doosra target 1.3122 hai. Aaj koi important news nahi hai.

Agar hum higher period D1 dekhein aur pehli wave par Fibonacci target grid overlay karein, to dekh sakte hain ke 161.8 level achieve ho chuka hai. Price ne 2023 ka maximum exceed kar diya hai, jo ke potential selling zone hai. Ye clear hai ke price maximum ke paas hai, agar ye niche jati hai, to buyers ko positions accumulate karni hongi jo puri tarah se yakin rakhein ke uptrend continue hoga. CCI indicator yahan already overbought zone se downwards nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur weekly chart par bhi yahi scene hai. Iske ilawa, chaar ghante ke chart par aaj ke high ke baad bearish divergence hai - sell signal. In factors ki combination ek imminent decline ka indication deti hai aur iska target level 1.3007 hai. Aise powerful rise ke baad bina pullbacks ke, wahan ek retracement bilkul normal lagti hai.

Haal hi mein, ek support line qaim ki gayi hai jo lagataar apni asar dikhati rahi hai, jo ke maujooda price action mein apni ahmiyat ko barhawa deti hai. Yeh target haasil kiya ja sakta hai, aur trading session ke shuru hone ke sath, mujhe ummeed hai ke price is level ki taraf upar chalegi, jo shayad 1.2680 tak jaaye. Lekin, zyada mumkin hai ke price phir se us support line se takraaye, jo market ke liye ek mo'tabar buniyad ban chuki hai.

Upar ki taraf trend ko zyada zor dene ke liye, price ko 1.2760 ki unchai ko todna hoga. Agar yeh level successfully paar kar liya, to buyers ke liye price channel khul jayega, jo unhein 1.2580 aur 1.2805 ke darmiyan upper range target karne ka mauka dega.

GBP/USD pair ke hawale se, isne hafte ke aakhir mein bearish candle ke sath band kiya, lekin yeh crucial support level 1.2678 ke neeche nahi gaya. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke agle hafte mein kuch aur bearish attempts ho sakti hain, lekin pehle yeh pair choti si upar ki taraf correction de sakti hai.

Filhal, indicator ne daily chart par buy signal generate kiya hai, lekin yeh signal abhi tak activate nahi hua. Price growth horizontal resistance 1.0684 ke zariye limit ki gayi hai, jo ke upar ki taraf movement ko rok rahi hai. Halankeh rise ki sambhavnayein hain, main sell position lene se hesitantly hoon due to existing divergence.




Jab ke price ke upar chadhne ka raasta hai, kisi bhi upar ke movement ko resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, khaaskar descending trendline ke aas-paas. Anticipated correction yeh descending resistance line ki taraf movement ko favor kar sakti hai, jahan traders ko possible reversals ya consolidation phases ka khayal rakhna chahiye. In dynamics ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, market approach karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni zaroori hai, khaaskar potential resistance levels aur overall market trend ke context mein.

GBP/USD technical analysis

GBP/USD ki qeemat 13 August se 4-hour chart par girti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Ichimoku indicator aur bears ka 50-day moving average bhi sellers ke haq mein downward trend dikha raha hai, jaisa ke GBP/USD ki tezi se girawat ki wajah se hai. Thursday ke trade mein, GBP/USD apne 50-day moving average 1.2780 se neeche gir gaya, jis ne Wednesday ke growth ko rok diya. Filhaal, GBP/USD 1.2820 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke positive intraday sentiment aur kamzor DXY ko zahir karta hai. Technically, 1.2830 sab se qareeb lower support level hai. Agar yeh is level se neeche jata hai, to zyada sellers ko attract karega aur 1.2770 se neeche gir jayega, phir 1.2790. GBP/USD pair 1.2830-50 ke qareeb tizi se barh sakta hai agar yeh pair 1.2850 par wapas aata hai aur 50-day moving average line north ki taraf positive territory mein move karti hai. Iske baad, GBP/USD May ke high 1.2865 ko confirm karne ki tawaqqo kar sakta hai.




1-hour chart par, buyers 1.2810 ke aas-paas bhari hain. Uske baad, ek resistance 1.2845 par adjust hoga. Lekin, sellers ka pressure 1.2835 ke demand range ko exceed kar raha hai. GBP/USD shayad 1.2810 ke barrier ko paar kar le, lekin downward trend 1.2860 aur 1.2880 ke darmiyan merge karega, jahan 1.2795 ka sab se kam level bears ke liye ek critical test hoga. Iske ilawa, aaj humare paas dollar se mutaliq high-impact news bhi hai. Kyun ke hum dollar pairs mein high volatility ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain, traders bhi is report ke release hone ka intezar karenge aur badi shartein lagayenge. Technical analysis ke hawale se, humare paas 50-day moving average line 1.2825 range ke upar hai. Agar yeh pair 1.2865 resistance se upar break karta hai, to bulls ko attract karne ke liye zaroori hoga ke hourly candle 1.2885-1.2910 range ke upar close ho.

GBP/USD

Jo main ne H4 timeframe chart par GBP/USD currency pair ke liye dekha hai, wo yeh hai ke lagbhag teen hafton se yeh pair wapas bearish rasta apnane ki koshish kar raha hai. Iss haftay ki market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions abhi bhi lagataar ek downward trend mein hain aur 1.2671 ke price range tak gir chuki hain. Pichlay mahine, yeh pair bullish trend mein move karne mein kaamyaab nahi ho saka, lekin aam tor par pichlay chand dino mein trend bearish rasta par hi raha hai. Upar di gayi soorat-e-haal se yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke aglay market trend ke girne ki tawaqqo hai, aur price ke girne ke imkaanaat hain. Seller army ke paas yeh potential hai ke woh price ko neechay ki taraf dhakelti rahe, taake 1.2650 ke price level range ko test kiya ja sake, ya phir is se bhi neechay jaa sakta hai. Kal raat ke bearish movement ke lambay arsey tak qaim rehne ki tawaqqo hai kyun ke aaj bhi market mein consolidation phase chal raha hai.




Aaj ke liye, pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi. 1.2680 ka support bhi ek aham kirdar ada kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support 1.2680 ko tod dete hain, toh pair apni downward impulse ko 1.2570 tak jaari rakh sakega, jahan se zyada mumkin hai ke rollback shuru ho aur phir wapas se neeche 1.2447 tak jaye, lekin is haftay humare paas itna waqt nahi hai. Agar woh is support ko todne aur 1.2680 ke neeche consolidate karne mein nakam rehte hain, toh phir se growth 1.2750 ke resistance tak jaayegi, jahan isko todna zaroori hoga, taake ek aur impulse 1.2860 tak banane ka mauka mil sake, jo ke upward trend ki taraf 1.3065 ki taraf bahali ka sabab banayega, lekin is haftay aise growth ki ummeed nahi hai. Ek aur breakthrough 1.2860 ka ho sakta hai, shayad woh is haftay isko karne ka waqt mil jaye, aur provided ke woh aaj 1.2750 ke resistance ko tod paye, lekin is haftay 1.300 se upar jaane ki tawaqqo bilkul nahi karni chahiye, zyada se zyada 1.2970 tak, aur is resistance tak pahunchne ke chances bhi zyada nahi hain.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ne Thursday ko aik significant reversal dekha, jiss mein yeh apne saare din ke gains se haath dhota hua 1.3100 level se neeche gir gaya. Pound ki jeet ke silsile ko barhane mein nakami ki waja taqatwar US economic data tha, khaas tor par August ke liye S&P Global Composite PMI. US Composite PMI, jo ke business activity ko measure karta hai, 54.1 par aayi, jo ke 54.3 ki tawwaqo se bhi zyada thi. Yeh growth services sector ki optimism se hui, jabke manufacturing activity mein tawaqqo se zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Iske jawab mein US Dollar Index (DXY) rally kiya, aur 101.00 se badh kar 101.60 tak pahunch gaya. Taqatwar economic data ke bawajood, US dollar ki outlook abhi bhi namaloom hai Federal Reserve ki taraf se mumkin interest rate cut ki aumidon ki wajah se. July ke FOMC meeting ke minutes se pata chala ke kuch policymakers ne us waqt bhi borrowing rates ko kam karne ki salaah di thi, aur investors Fed ke zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf shift par zyada yakeen rakhnay lage hain. Lekin, minutes se yeh bhi maloom hua ke "substantial majority" of officials ne is baat ka izhaar kiya tha ke agle meeting mein rate cut tabhi munasib hoga agar economic data tawwaqo ke mutabiq raha. Haaliya data jaise ke total employment mein kami, ne mumkin mandi ke hawalay se tashweesh mein izafa kiya hai aur rate cut ki aumidon ko aur bhi barhaya hai.




Technical Perspective
Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD overbought levels tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke pullback ki imkaanat ko zahir karta hai. 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) jo ke 1.2875 ke qareeb hai, qareebi muddat ke liye support level ka kaam kar sakta hai, jabke do saal ki bulandi 1.3140 GBP bulls ke liye ek aham resistance area bani hui hai. GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko aik reversal dekha, jis ki waja taqatwar US economic data aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki barti hui tawwaqoaat hain. Pound ki outlook mutazaad economic signals aur Fed ke policy stance ke beech mein abhi bhi namaloom hai. Technical indicators is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke pullback aney ke imkaanat hain, lekin agar yeh do saal ki bulandi ko paar kar le, toh pound ke liye mazeed upside potential ka signal de sakta hai.

**Friday ki New York Trading Session**

Friday ki New York trading session mein, pair ne US Dollar ke khilaf 1.3231 ke key resistance level ke qareeb apni position barqarar rakhi. Halki si upward movement ke bawajood, pair 1.3230 se 1.3150 ke tight range mein hi raha. Yeh stability us waqt dekhi gayi jab USD ne apni notable taqat dikhayi, jo ke Donald Trump ki aane wale US presidential elections mein mumkin jeet ke hawalay se barhti hui spekulasyon ki wajah se thi. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki performance ko chay aham currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, lagbhag 100.51 tak barh gaya.

Market participants ko aane wale economic data aur siyasi developments par nazar rakhni hogi jo ke pair ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Key data releases ke saath aur siyasi speculation ke chalte, pair ki movement dynamic aur qareeb se dekhi jayegi.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals**

Trading week ne ek subdued tone ke sath shuruat ki, kyun ke economic data ki kami ki wajah se markets mein khaas harkat nahi hui. Guzishta hafta, traders ne mid-tier US Existing Home Sales Change for June ko digest kiya. Wahi, GBP/USD ke investors be-sabri se aane wale Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin se UK ke Manufacturing aur Services PMI mein July ke liye thoda sa izafa hone ki tawaqqo hai. MoM Services PMI ke 52.1 se barh kar 52.5 hone ka imkaan hai.

Iske ilawa, Average Earnings mein anticipate ki gayi deceleration, jo ke wage growth ka ek aham gauge hai aur service sector mein inflation ko asar andaz karta hai, ne Bank of England (BoE) ke potential rate cuts ki tawwaqoaat ko barha diya hai. Wage growth mein May tak ke teen mahiney ke dauran hota slow down, abhi bhi woh levels se ooper hai jo BoE officials ke rate cuts kam karne ke confidence ko bara asar kar sakte hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook**

GBP/USD ne 1.3231 ka salana peak hasil kiya, jiske baad ek tezi se girne wali bearish candle ne pair ko 1.3300s se neeche le jaa kar 1.3240 ke mark par aur phir kareeb 1.3250 tak gira diya. Jabke momentum indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), ek bullish outlook zahir karte hain, recent downtrend is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke sellers abhi control mein hain, aur RSI ki slope bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai.




Spot price kaafi stable rahi, 1.3200 level se thodi upar hover karti rahi. Guzishta hafta ke aakhri mein USD buying ki late surge ko markets ne pause kiya. Pair is waqt ek intraday technical support level 1.3225 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Traders dono United States aur Europe se ahem economic data ke flurry ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke ird-gird sideways trade kar raha hai US Dollar ke muqablay mein, jab investors US core PCE inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo July ke liye hai. Fed ke Mary Daly ne kaha ke agar US labor market girta hai to aggressive policy easing ke liye darwaze khule hain.

British shop price inflation August mein tezhi se slow hui hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) Tuesday ke London session mein 1.3200 ke round-level figure ke paas apni gains ko pakray hue hai. GBP/USD pair ek tarah se last week ke sharp increase ke baad thoda ruk gaya hai, jab investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ki size ke baare mein naye signals ki talash mein hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke September mein 50-basis-points (bps) interest-rate reduction ka probability 28.5% hai, jab ke baqi log 25 bps ke chhote cut ko prefer karte hain. Ye tool clear dikhata hai ke Fed ke policy normalization ka return traders ke dwara puri tarah priced in hai, jo US Dollar ko ek haftay se pehle se kamzor rakhe hue hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhay major currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, immediate resistance of 101.00 ke neeche subdued performance dikhata hai.

San Francisco Fed Bank ki President Mary Daly ne Monday ko September mein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat par zordiya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ko support kiya lekin saath hi kaha ke agar labor market girta hai to bada cut bhi ho sakta hai, unhone Bloomberg ke interview mein kaha.

Investors ka confidence barh gaya hai ke Fed September se interest rates reduce karne shuru karega, jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein kaha ki ab policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Jerome Powell ne easing labor market conditions ke baare mein bhi chinta jatai aur iski madad karne ka waada kiya.

Is haftay investors US core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data pe dhyan denge jo Friday ko publish hoga. Annual core PCE ka estimate 2.7% hai jo pehle 2.6% tha, aur monthly figures ka dekhne se 0.2% ka steady growth dekha jayega. Isse pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices ke release aur The Conference Board ke Consumer Confidence gauge ka data offer karega.

Pound Sterling apne major peers ke muqablay mein strength dikhata hai, except Asia-Pacific currencies, Tuesday ko. British currency upbeat market sentiment aur UK mein improving economic outlook ka faida utha rahi hai. Economic prospects behtar hue hain jab flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI ne dikhaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors dono ne August mein expect se tez pace se growth ki.

Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein aur ek interest-rate cut ki chances ko kam karne se bhi Pound Sterling ki appeal barh gayi hai. Is scenario ka possibility kam hai kyunki BoE officials ko lagta hai ke inflation phir se barhegi jab ke price pressures pipeline mein seem to be abating.

British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli baar decline hui hain, British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ke mutabiq. Non-food goods ki prices 1.5% gir gayi hain, jo summer clothes sales ke slow hone ke wajah se sabse bada girawat hai teen saalon mein. Food prices 2.0% ke slower pace se barhi hain, jo November 2021 ke baad ka sabse chhota rise hai, July mein 2.3% se down hua hai.

Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke fresh two-and-a-half-year high ko achieve karne ke baad sideways ho gaya hai. GBP/USD pair ne weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation se breakout deliver kiya. Agar bullish momentum wapas aati hai, to Cable ko February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak extend hone ki ummeed hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke aas-paas hai, ek strong upside trend suggest karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillates kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, ye 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels tak pahuncha hua hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances barhaata hai. Neeche, psychological level 1.3000 Pound Sterling ke bulls ke liye crucial support banega

GBP/USD H1 Chart

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Atlantic ke doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ke Governor Collins ke comments USD ki dynamics ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Collins ne yeh ishara diya hai ke inflation par progress ke madde nazar, yeh mozoon ho sakta hai ke Fed jaldi hi rates ko cut karna shuru kare. Yeh rukh Fed ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy ke hawalay se ek ehtiyaat par mabni lekin pur-umeed approach ko zahir karta hai. Agar Fed rates kam karne ka faisla karta hai, toh USD kamzor ho sakta hai, jis se Pound investors ke liye zyada kashish ka sabab ban sakta hai. Fed ke rate cuts ke mumkin intekhabat ke intezar mein broader market sentiment bhi Fed ke mazeed dovish monetary policy stance ki tawwaqo se hum ahang hai. UK ke economic data aur Fed ke mumkin policy moves ke darmiyan yeh interplay GBP/USD ke liye ek dynamic mahol paida kar raha hai. UK se aane wale positive economic indicators Pound mein confidence ko barha rahe hain, jabke Fed rate cuts ki tawwaqo USD par downward pressure daal rahi hai. Yeh combination GBP/USD ki mojudah taqat mein madadgar sabit ho raha hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh GBP/USD ka 1.3105 ke qareeb trade karna ek critical support aur resistance level ko zahir karta hai. Agar pair apni taqat barqarar rakhta hai, toh yeh aham resistance levels ko todte hue mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Traders har tarah ke mazeed economic data releases ya central bank comments ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke currency pair ki trajectory ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.




Bollinger band ki average line is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke price 1.2632 level tak pohanch sakti hai. Yeh price ko upward trend channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb le ja sakti hai, jis se trend ki thorough aur balanced correction ki gunjaish hogi. Guzishta do hafton ke dauran asset ne surge karte hue ab overbought territory mein enter kiya hai, jis ke sabab trend mein aik pause aur bearish correction ki potential reversal ho sakti hai. GBP/USD currency pair ke liye outlook buyers ke haqq mein hai. Yeh na sirf pehle se tod diye gaye resistance level 1.3008 ke upar positions ko secure kar chuke hain, jo ab support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, balke price ko mazeed ooper bhi dhakel diya hai. H1 chart par, price ne kamyabi se pehle ke broken resistance level 1.3008 ko retest kiya hai, jo ke likely bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, agar price horizontal line 1.3008 se neeche girti hai, toh ek downward correction ho sakti hai. Yeh correction support level 1.2939 tak bhi barh sakti hai, jise main buy positions ke liye ek potential entry point samajhta hoon. Is beech, daily candle abhi bhi form ho rahi hai, aur bulls isse bullish candle mein tabdeel karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Abhi tak, woh sirf price ko 1.3029 ke opening level tak push karne mein kamyab huye hain, aur bears is waqt mazeed upward movement ko rok rahe hain.

**M-5 Chart Technical Outlook**

GBPUSD ne apni bearish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha aur 15 August ko 1.2798 ke low ko touch karne ke baad, London trading session mein US dollar ke against price upar gai.

Daily time frame mein channel resistance toot gaya hai.

Weekly time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal signal de raha hai.

15-minute time frame mein MACD indicator zero ke paas aa gaya hai, jo bullish trend ka indication hai.

GBPUSD prices 1-hour time frame mein horizontal support ke qareeb hain.

1-hour time frame mein Harmonic Moving Average 20 se bullish trend reversal nazar aa raha hai.

Price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point pe wapas aa gaya hai.

GBPUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai.

• 1.2798 ke mark ke upar pound bullish reversal dekha gaya hai.

• Short-term range bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

• GBPUSD 1.3000 ke level ke upar hai.

• Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

GBPUSD ab apne pivot level 1.3016 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai.

GBPUSD price classic support level 1.3008 ke upar hai aur ab apni agle target 1.3052, jo 1-month high hai, ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Hum 1.3066 level, jo pivot point 1st resistance point hai, ke breach ki bhi ummeed kar rahe hain.

Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

Disclaimer: Ye analysis meri raaye hai. ******* brand ke under operate karne wale companies ise opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke tor par na samjhein.

Tuesday ko GBP/USD pair ne naye multi-year high ka koshish ki, lekin 1.3266 ke 29-month top par gir gaya, jab pound sterling ne greenback ki widespread selloff se faida uthaaya. Kyunki US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation readings Friday ko expected hain, investors ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate decrease ke prospects par focus kiya hai, aur markets ke paas tab tak sochne ke liye zyada substantive data nahi hai.

UK ke economic calendar par noteworthy events ka shortage hai, aur Wednesday ko Atlantic par ek low-key din hone ki umeed hai. US market ke din ke shuruat mein, Fedspeak traders Fed Board of Governors ke member Christopher Waller ki speech ko dekh rahe honge, jabke central bank observers Bank of England (BoE) ke policymaker Catherine Mann ki speech ko dekh rahe honge, jo London markets close hone ke baad schedule hai.

Technical Analysis

Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought hai, jo pair ke upward movement ko limit kar sakta hai, lekin GBP/USD ka uptrend barqarar hai. Lekin, higher prices ko test karne se pehle, March 22, 2022 ka peak 1.3298 ka test activate ho sakta hai agar ascending channel ke top trendline ko regain kiya jaye.

Aise scenario mein, GBP/USD ke liye agla resistance level 1.3300 hoga. Daily high, jo March 1, 2022 ko set hua tha, 1.3437 par dikhega. Dusri taraf, agar 1.3200 ke niche girti hai, to GBP/USD ko 1.3100 aur August 22 ka high 1.3130 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Further weakening ke liye agla support July 17 ko support banne wala high 1.3044 hoga.

GBP/USD H4 Chart

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Hamara focus is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki price ki current analysis par hai. Is trading week mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne khaas achi growth dikhayi hai. Aaj aisa lagta hai ke buyers ne 1.30428 ke local high se upar positions ko kamyabi se secure kar liya hai, jo is saal 16 July ko last record kiya gaya tha. Iske ilawa, aaj ki session mein long position holders ne agle level 1.310 GBP/USD par test kiya hai. Northern wave mein nayi peak yeh hint deti hai ke sellers ek bearish retracement ke liye base banana shuru kar sakte hain. Lekin abhi tak chart par kisi significant bearish move ke koi asar nazar nahi aa rahe. Pair ne apna ascent jari rakhte hue resistance level 1.3049 ko tod diya hai aur ab 1.3085 par trade ho raha hai. CPI sell zone mein trend kar raha hai, neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (A/O) ek buy signal indicate kar raha hai, aur pair pichle din ke trading range se upar position mein hai.




Hamara conversation GBP/USD currency pair ke mojuda price action ki evaluation par focus karta hai. Main aaj zyada tar bulls ke saath align hone ki taraf rujhaan rakh raha hoon, khaas taur par kyun ke recent correction kaafi mazboot thi. Bulls dheere dheere momentum regain kar rahe hain, aur phir se bullish move kar rahe hain. Lekin crucial range 1.3127 aur 1.3113-1.3138 ke darmiyan ho sakti hai ke sirf kal ke liye ho. Services par bhi news hai, lekin yeh utni mazboot nahi ho sakti. Economic calendar khaali nahi hai, aur trend abhi bhi steady hai. Is liye, yeh kisi bhi fikar ka sabab nahi hai. Filhal ke liye, 1.3076-1.3088 aaj ke liye ek kafi target hona chahiye. Hum ek vacuum mein kaam nahi kar rahe hain, toh yeh expect kiya jaa sakta hai ke din ka zyada hissa protocol ke tehat guzre. Main bhi reversal ki umeed mein jaldi nahi kar raha hoon, dekhte hue ke highs steady hain, chahe dheere dheere hi sahi. Yeh highs khaas taur par saalana hain, aur pichle saal ki peak 31st figure ke target zone mein girti hai, aur aisa lagta nahi ke hum is point tak pohanch chuke hain sirf isse wapis retrace karne ke liye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne kal ki trading session mein ek significant bullish movement dikhayi. Is movement ka ek important indication woh crossover hai jo Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan hua, jo trend mein bearish se bullish ki taraf tabdili ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne important resistance level 1.28123 ko bhi tod diya, jo pehle price movement ki upper limit ka kaam karta tha. Yeh breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure kafi mazboot hai jo ke price ko us level se paar push karne mein kamyab hua, aur ab yeh naya support banne ki potential rakhta hai. Aise significant resistance levels se breakouts aksar isi direction mein mazboot movements ke saath hotay hain, is case mein yeh bullish direction mein ho raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/USD apne latest high 1.287266 ke aas paas stuck hai, aur correction ke signs dikhana shuru kar diya hai. Yeh correction price movement ka ek natural hissa hai, jahan market aksar recently torey gaye support ya resistance levels ko retest karta hai, is se pehle ke woh main trend ke direction mein movement continue kare. Is context mein, yeh correction market mein calculated risks ke saath entry karne ka mauqa mana jaa sakta hai. Trading strategies ke liye yeh recommend kiya jata hai ke mazeed correction ka intezar kiya jaye aur dekha jaye ke price important levels ke aas paas kaisa behave karta hai. Agar price correct karta hai aur ek higher low banata hai, toh yeh aksar EMA 50 ya phir 1.28123 ke level ke aas paas hoga.



Aage chal kar, shayad GBP/USD ka main focus dobara 1.30 ke important area ko reach karne par hoga, lekin iske liye USD ki mazeed weakening ki zarurat hogi. Is soorat mein, mujhe shayad 1.290 area ke aas paas sell limit ka faida uthane ke liye phir se sell karne mein zyada dilchaspi hogi ya phir main dobara sell karunga agar GBP/USD pair mid BB ke niche se phir se penetrate kar paya, chahe price aur mid BB ke darmiyan abhi bhi distance door hi kyun na ho. Waisay SL ke liye, shayad main 1.295 ka faida uthane ki koshish karunga aur TP ke liye main 1.275 area ko chase karne ki koshish karunga, lekin abhi mujhe maloom nahi ke yeh is hafte ho bhi payega ya nahi.

**British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jumeraat ke din British Pound (GBP) ne thori si rahat hasil ki aur New York trading session mein key level 1.2600 ke thoda upar support mil gaya. Yeh development us waqt hui jab US Dollar (USD) mein thori si pullback nazar ayi, halan ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ne nai 8-week high ko touch kiya tha jo 1.0610 ke qareeb tha. Lekin, investors mein ehtiyaat ab bhi barqarar hai kyun ke Jummah ke din crucial US inflation data release hone wala hai. Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ko inflation ke tor par apni pasandeeda gauge ke tor par dekhta hai. Yeh data Jummah ko release hone ki umeed hai, aur ye shayad dikhaye ke May mein price increases April ke muqablay mein slow ho gayi hain. Agar inflation ka reading cool aata hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP ko faida mil sakta hai. Lekin, US se aanewali positive economic signals ki wajah se GBP ka upside ab bhi limited lagta hai.

Taza data ke mutabiq, unemployment claims ke numbers expectations se kam aaye hain aur durable goods orders mein bhi unexpected uptick hui hai. Yeh numbers US economy ki underlying strength ko zahir karte hain, jis se investor sentiment USD par ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar GBP/USD apni ground kho deta hai aur immediate support level 1.2655 ke neeche gir jata hai, to shayad ye ek martaba phir one-month low 1.2620 ko retest kare. Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, to significant support level 1.2598 bhi play mein aa sakta hai, jo ke iss saal ke pehle half mein kaafi mazboot tha. Dusri taraf, agar GBP rally karta hai to shayad resistance zone 1.2771 ko challenge kare, jo ke 2024 ke pehle do mahine mein establish hua tha. Agar yeh area decisively break hota hai, to shayad 1.2816-1.2859 range ka test ho sakta hai. Yeh zone three-month high ke liye represent karta hai aur December 2023 ke peak ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to shayad GBP/USD wapas 2024 ke high 1.2892 ki taraf laut jaye.

Overall, GBP/USD ne apne recent decline ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb roka, lekin sustained reversal ke liye outlook ab bhi uncertain hai. GBP ko apne recent downtrend se clear break dikhana hoga taake positive trajectory establish ho sake. Aane wale Jummah ko release hone wala US inflation data is situation mein aik key turning point ban sakta hai. Agar inflation ka reading expectations se thanda ata hai, to yeh GBP ko zaroori tailwind provide kar sakta hai taake woh momentum gain kar sake

Paar ne aakhri hafton mein achi resilience dikhayi hai aur 1.3251 ke mark ke upar barqarar raha hai, yeh teesra lagataar hafta hai. Halanki thodi si izafa ke saath 0.17%, yeh paar ab 1.3231 par trade ho raha hai aur 1.3263 tak pohnch gaya tha. Lekin, America se aaye upbeat economic data aur Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeed ne Pound par pressure dal diya hai. Jab traders aur analysts in developments ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, currency pair ek critical juncture par hai.

Anticipated Rate Cuts: Fed Steady Rakhega Jabke BoE Action Mein Hai

Federal Reserve ka agla meeting Wednesday ko hone wala hai aur is par kaafi tajjub hai. Zyada tar analysts expect kar rahe hain ke Fed apni current interest rate ko barqarar rakhega, halanki speculation yeh hai ke central bank future rate cuts ka signal de sakta hai. Jabke Fed ke is meeting mein rates ko steady rakhne ka iqtimaal hai, mid-September tak ek rate cut ki wide anticipation hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, investors 25 basis point ke cut ko fully price kar rahe hain, jo market expectations mein significant shift ko darshata hai.

Atlantic ke paar, Bank of England (BoE) ki pehli rate cut ki umeed hai jo March 2020 ke baad pehli baar hogi. BoE ka main benchmark rate 5.0% tak kam hone ki forecast hai jo ke abhi 5.25% hai. Yeh anticipated move Federal Reserve ke decision ke baad aur dono central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy ke growing divergence ko highlight karta hai.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD Ke Liye Key Support Aur Resistance Levels

Jab yeh pair in developments ko navigate kar raha hai, technical indicators kuch potential support aur resistance levels ko suggest karte hain. Paar ko 1.3177 par mazboot support milne ki ummeed hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to aur bhi support 20-day moving average (DMA) par 1.3188, phir 1.3150 mark par hai. Zyada substantial support 50-DMA level par 1.3096 aur usse bhi niche 200-DMA par 1.2626 hai. Upar ki taraf, agar buyers pair ko 1.2918 ke upar le jaane mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to potential gains se July 24 ke peak 1.2936 tak pohnchne ke chances hain, aur aur bhi targets psychological levels 1.2950 aur 1.3000 par hain.