یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Price Action Overview
EUR/USD ne kaafi significant fluctuations dekhi hain, jisme 1.0900 ke aas paas do hafton ka peak achieve kiya, uske baad price thoda retreat ho gaya. Yeh high 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas ban raha hai, jo aksar resistance ka indication hota hai. Pehle jo upward trendline se recovery hui thi, jo takreeban 1.0750 par thi (jo April 16 ke 1.0600 ke low se draw ki gayi thi), isse yeh imply hota hai ke yeh support level abhi bhi traders ke liye ek focal point hai. Recent drop jo 1.0900 level ko cross karne ke baad aayi, yeh sawal uthata hai ke upward trend ki strength kitni hai. Yeh baat important hai ke future price movements ke liye is threshold ke upar gains ko maintain karna zaroori hoga.

Technical Analysis

Kuch technical indicators ka analysis karna zaroori hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne recent mein 42.00 ke aas paas climb kiya hai, jo momentum ke shift ko indicate karta hai, kyun ke yeh prolonged lower range (20.00-40.00) se bahar nikal raha hai. Yeh shift bearish sentiment ke fade hone ka indication hai, jo consolidation phase ya bullish reversal ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 ke resistance ko confidently break kar leta hai, to agla significant target 11 September ka low ho sakta hai jo takreeban 1.1000 ke aas paas hai. Dusri taraf, traders ko October 23 ke low, jo 1.0760 par establish ho chuka hai, us critical support level par nazar rakhni chahiye.



Economic Indicators aur Market Sentiment

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki latest Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ne yeh reveal kiya hai ke kuch sectors mein job growth me hurricanes ki wajah se rukawat aayi hai, jo kai states ko affect kar rahe the. Report mein sirf 12,000 naye jobs add kiye gaye hain October mein, jo expectations 113,000 se kaafi kam hai. Jab ke unemployment rate 4.1% par stable raha, yeh sluggish job growth broader economic recovery ke liye concerns ko janm deta hai.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Daily Time Frame Mein Analysis
EUR/USD pair ne Thursday ke early Asian trading mein rebound kiya, aur pair 1.0855 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Is uptrend kaafi had tak weaker US dollar aur stronger-than-expected Eurozone economic data ki wajah se aaya. US economy mixed signals de rahi hai. Jab ke third-quarter GDP growth rate expectations se thoda neeche raha, ADP employment report ne private-sector job creation mein strong increase dikhaya.

Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein 25 basis point interest rate cut ki market expectations abhi bhi kaafi strong hain. Dusri taraf, Eurozone economy resilience dikhati hui nazar aa rahi hai, jahan third-quarter mein GDP growth expectations se kaafi zyada thi. Positive economic data ne Euro ko boost diya aur US Dollar Index (DXY) par downward pressure dala. Technically, EUR/USD pair abhi tak bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, lekin recent price action reversal ka potential dikhata hai.



Technical Indicators Aur Momentum

Jab ke momentum indicators zyada bearish hain, RSI abhi bhi oversold level ke upar hold kar raha hai, aur MACD ne apni signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo momentum shift ka indication hai. Sustained uptrend ke liye, pair ko pehle 1.0800 ke immediate resistance level ko cross karna hoga. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to further upside ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jo July-October 2023 ke downtrend ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0861 tak jaa sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day SMA abhi bhi significant resistance level hai.

Agar bullish momentum continue hota hai, to pair 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0959 ko target kar sakta hai, aur eventually 1.1000 level tak bhi pahuch sakta hai, jahan 50-day SMA bhi upar se aata hua dikh raha hai. Traders ko is hafte ke NFP data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, aur phir market mein trend ki direction ke hisaab se risk lena chahiye.

EUR/USD Market Analysis
Friday ko spot price 1.0840 ke mark ke neeche trade kar raha tha, jo US Dollar (USD) ki badhti hui demand ke wajah se decline ka shikar hai. Yeh dollar ki appeal ka increase geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai, khaas kar Taiwan mein, jahan Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) military drills kar rahi hai. US Department of State ke spokesperson ne Taiwan Strait mein ho rahi in activities par serious concerns express kiye, jiska asar USD ki strength par pada. Jab markets band hue, EUR/USD pair 1.0831 ke aas paas settle ho gaya.

Traders ko 1.0888 aur 1.0950 par resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar yeh points break hote hain, to yeh EUR/USD pair mein momentum shift ka signal de sakte hain, jo market ke correction ke liye ready hone ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin, jab tak reversal ke clear signs nahi milte, bearish trend par focus rehne ka imkaan zyada hai.

EUR/USD Ke Fundamentals:

Euro abhi bhi pressure mein hai, kyun ke market mein yeh expectations hain ke European Central Bank (ECB) apni aane wali policy meetings mein borrowing costs mein 25 basis points ka cut karega. Yeh outlook yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke geopolitical tensions, khaas kar Middle East mein, USD ko aur strong karein ge. Is liye, kaafi analysts ka maanna hai ke EUR/USD pair ka sabse zyada likely trajectory neeche ki taraf hoga. Phir bhi, traders caution adopt kar rahe hain aur naye bearish positions lene se pehle latest US inflation data ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke officials ke recent statements ke mutabiq, unka yeh maanna hai ke inflation ab central bank ke 2% target tak sustainably aa raha hai. Fed policymakers ka focus labor demand ko stimulate karne par hai, jiska result September policy meeting mein 50 basis points ka substantial rate cut tha. Yeh dovish stance on interest rates market sentiment aur currency valuations par kaafi asar dalta hai.



Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD pair ne lower close karne ke baad bhi 1.0830 ke level ke upar tenuous hold banaye rakha hai. Currency pair briefly neeche gaya tha lekin utna rebound kiya ke critical 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo 1.0868 ke aas paas hai, ko test karne se bacha. Current market conditions suggest karte hain ke euro zyada weaken hone ki bajaye, narrow range mein trade karega, jo specifically 1.0830 aur 1.0860 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Daily momentum abhi bhi bearish side par biased hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators oversold territory ke kareeb dikh rahe hain. Jab ke downside risks abhi bhi dominant nazar aa rahe hain, lekin double-top bearish reversal ka potential bhi dikh raha hai. Key support levels 1.0822 aur 1.0800 pe hain, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karte hain.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD
EUR/USD mein girawat dekhne ko mili hai, kyun ke investors US ke official employment aur Manufacturing PMI data ke release se pehle cautious nazar aa rahe hain. US presidential election bhi is major pair mein volatility laa sakti hai, kyun ke agar Trump jeet te hain, to Eurozone ke export sector ko nuqsan ho sakta hai.

ECB ke December mein rate cuts ke hawale se jo market expectations thi, wo inflation ke barhne aur growth ke improve hone ke baad kam ho gayi hain.

EUR/USD pair Friday ko European trading hours mein apne do hafte ke high se gir gaya, jo 1.0890 ke aas paas tha. Yeh major currency pair decline kar raha hai, kyun ke US Dollar (USD) ne rebound kiya hai, jab ke market US ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) aur ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ke liye cautious hai, jo New York session mein publish honge.

Economists ka kehna hai ke US economy ne October mein 113K naye jobs add kiye honge, jo September mein dekhe gaye 254K increase se kaafi kam hai. Unemployment rate 4.1% par stable rehne ki umeed hai.

Investors employment data par closely focus karenge, kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate path par kaafi asar dal sakta hai. Fed officials ke recent comments se yeh pata chala hai ke central bank ab inflation ko apne target 2% par laane ke baad labor market ki strength ko revive karne par focus kar raha hai.

Traders poori tarah se expect kar rahe hain ke Fed apni agle meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karega, aur NFP data is outlook ko tab tak badal nahi sakta jab tak koi badi surprise na ho. Lekin yeh data Fed ke December meeting par asar daal sakta hai: agar payroll data expectations se zyada aata hai, to labor market conditions improve hote nazar aa sakte hain, jo rate cut bets ko kam kar sakta hai. Agar employment numbers weak hote hain, to rate cut bets ko support milega.

Investors Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi focus karenge, jo wage growth ka key measure hai, aur ISM aur S&P Global se Manufacturing PMI data bhi important hain.

Earnings ke hawale se, month-on-month wage growth ki umeed hai ke 0.3% ho, jo September ke 0.4% se thoda slow hai, jab ke annual figures 4% tak steadily rise karne ki umeed hai.

ISM Manufacturing PMI October mein 47.6 par ho sakta hai, jo September ke 47.2 se slightly zyada hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke contraction ka trend abhi bhi hai, lekin uski pace slow ho gayi hai. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI ka final estimate 47.8 par unchanged rehne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko apne do hafte ke high 1.0890 ke aas paas post karne ke baad girawat dekhi. Yeh pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas selling pressure face kar raha hai, jo 1.0900 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. EUR/USD ne pehle sharp rebound diya tha jab yeh 1.0750 ke aas paas upward-sloping trendline ke paas firm footing bana raha tha, jo April 16 ke low 1.0600 se draw ki gayi thi.



14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 42.00 ke aas paas pahuch gaya hai, jo 20.00-40.00 ke range mein almost ek mahine tak rehne ke baad indicate karta hai ke bearish momentum ab kam ho raha hai.

Agar EUR/USD upar jata hai, to yeh September 11 ke low 1.1000 ke aas paas pahuch sakta hai, agar yeh 200-day EMA ko 1.0900 ke aas paas break karta hai. Niche ki taraf, 23 October ka low 1.0760 key support area hoga.

EUR/USD Market Update: Key Levels and Future Expectations
Monday ko euro-dollar pair mein kaafi movement dekhne ko mili. Selling pressure ne EUR/USD ko 1.0820 tak neeche le aaya, jo ke pehle impulse zone ka lower boundary support level hai. Yeh downward pressure short-term bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Market ka reaction trading ke last 4 ghanto mein kaafi important hoga, jo euro ki immediate direction ko decide karega. Agar 1.0820 ka support break hota hai, to euro agle impulse zone, jo ke 1.0790 par hai, tak gir sakta hai. Is level ke neeche jane se strong bearish signal milega, aur euro ko aur losses dekhne ko mil sakte hain. EUR/USD ke liye main resistance levels 1.0845 aur 1.0852 hain, jo pehla impulse zone mark karte hain. In levels ko overcome karna euro ke liye mushkil hoga agar wo dollar ke muqablay mein apni position gain karna chahe.



Is point se, price ya to phir se neeche gir sakta hai, ya phir 1.0878 aur 1.0894 jese higher resistance levels ki taraf rise kar sakta hai. Agar price in levels tak pahuchta hai, to yeh momentum ke euro ke haq mein shift hone ka indication hoga.

Abhi ke liye, main higher price ki umeed nahi kar raha. Mera bearish outlook isliye hai kyun ke recent selling pressure ke baad euro 1.0820 ke critical level ke upar hold karne mein fail ho gaya hai. Hum closely dekh rahe hain ke aaj ki trading kaise close hoti hai 1.0820 ke aas paas, kyun ke isse hum apni expectations kal ke liye set karenge. Agar price is level ke neeche close hota hai, to yeh bearish hoga, aur agar upar close hota hai, to euro ke liye temporary stabilization ka signal milega. Traders ko agle sessions mein volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh support level kaafi important hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD
EUR/USD 1.0850 ke aas paas apne gains ko hold kar raha hai Eurozone ke GDP growth aur Germany ke inflation ke positive data ke baad. ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ne zyada interest-rate cuts ki ummed dikhayi hai aur kaha hai ke unhe inflation ke ECB ke target 2% tak wapis aane ki umeed hai.

US Dollar ko US presidential election, NFP, aur ISM Manufacturing PMI data se influence ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Thursday ke European session mein 1.0850 ke aas paas stable hai, jo ke Wednesday ke sharp recovery ke baad aaya hai. Yeh major currency pair is liye strong hua kyun ke traders ne December mein European Central Bank (ECB) se large interest-rate cut ke bets ko kam kar diya hai, kyunki Eurozone ka GDP growth expected se zyada tha aur Germany ka inflation bhi forecast se garam nikla.

Eurostat ne Wednesday ko report kiya ke Eurozone ne third quarter mein 0.9% ki growth ki hai, jo pichlay saal ki isi time ke mukable tezi se badhi hai. Sabse zyada contribution Germany se aayi, jahan economy ne technically recession ko avoid kar liya. Germany ki economy 0.2% se upar gayi, jo ke 0.1% contraction ki prediction ke muqablay mein zyada thi. Spain ka growth rate expected se zyada tha, jab ke France aur Italy ki growth predictions se kam thi.

Germany ka flash Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) October mein 2.4% ki tezi se barh gaya, jo estimates se zyada tha (2.1%) aur pichlay release (1.8%) se bhi upar tha, jo yeh show karta hai ke inflation ke khilaf ladai abhi tak khatam nahi hui.

"Germany ke October inflation ke latest flash estimate se ECB ke kuch members ko lag sakta hai ke unhone jo recent rate cut kiya tha, wo galat tha aur ECB ko zyada aggressive cuts ki taraf sochna chahiye," analysts at ING ne kaha.

Ab inflation ke current status ke liye, investors Eurozone ke flash HICP data ko dekh rahe hain jo 10:00 GMT pe release hoga.



EUR/USD abhi 1.0850 ke aas paas ek naya week ka high bana raha hai European trading hours mein. Yeh major currency pair apni recent recovery ko hold kar raha hai, kyunki 1.0800 ke round-level resistance ko break kiya hai. Lekin, iska broader outlook abhi bhi bearish hai, kyunki yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo 1.0900 ke aas paas hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.00 ke aas paas chala gaya hai, jo ke 20.00-40.00 ke range mein almost ek mahine tak raha tha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke bearish momentum abhi khatam ho gaya hai.

Upar ki taraf, euro-dollar pair 200-day EMA ke 1.0900 ke aas paas aur September 11 ke low 1.1000 tak rise kar sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, upward-sloping trendline jo 1.0750 ke aas paas hai aur jo April 16 ke low se draw ki gayi hai (1.0600), wo euro bulls ke liye key support area hoga.

EUR/USD Market Update: Technical Outlook & Fundamentals
Tuesday ko EUR/USD ne stability dikhayi, aur 1.0861 ke aas paas steady raha. Lekin is stability ke bawajood, Euro ko 1.0770 ka level dobara gain karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai aur 1 saal ke high ko September ke end mein hit karne ke baad, ab tak US Dollar ke muqablay mein 2.3% se zyada gir chuka hai. Market sentiment abhi bhi Greenback ke haq mein hai, jiski wajah se Euro 1.0750 ke aas paas aagaya hai, jo ke uski future trajectory ko le kar concerns ko barhata hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

ECB ki policymaker Isabel Schnabel ka speech hona hai aur Germany apna Industrial Production data release karega. Yeh events kaafi important hain, kyunki agar ECB ki taraf se koi dovish (soft) comments aayein ya Germany—jo Europe ki sabse badi economy hai—mein koi weakness dekhi jaaye, to Euro aur zyada US Dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Recently, Eurozone ke Retail Sales figures ne August mein 0.8% ka annual increase dikhaya, jab ke July mein 0.1% ki contraction thi. Yeh recovery ka ek sign hai, lekin economists ki expectations ke mutabiq 1% growth nahi ho saka. Month-on-month basis par Retail Sales 0.2% barhe, jo ke predictions ke mutabiq tha.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, November mein Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki probability 33% se 10% tak neeche aa gayi hai. Yeh shift employment data ki positive release ke baad aayi hai, jaise ke ADP Employment Change figures aur August ka JOLTS Job Openings data. Is wajah se, rate cuts ke chances kam ho gaye hain, jo US Dollar ko aur mazid strengthen kar sakte hain.



Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD ne abhi haal hi mein apni trendline ko break kiya hai, jo June ke baad se rally dikhata tha. Is decline ko September mein form hone wale ek Double Top price pattern ne bhi compound kiya hai, jo "M" shape mein dikha, jo ke key resistance level 1.0989 ke neeche tha. Double Tops aam tor pe uptrend ke reversal ki indication dete hain, aur is pattern ke neckline ko 1.0888 pe break karna bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Yeh downside target 1.0757 tak ka hai, jo ke pattern ke height ka 61.8% Fibonacci extension hai.

Chart analysis se yeh lagta hai ke short-term mein bearish outlook hai. Momentum jo Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) se samjha ja raha hai, wo abhi negative territory mein hai. Agar price recent low 1.0770 ke neeche close karti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko aur mazid strong karega, aur deeper decline ke liye raste khol dega.

EUR/USD Pair ka Daily Time Frame Analysis

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko early Asian trading mein girawat dekhi, aur yeh 1.0810 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh neeche ki taraf movement zyada tar European Central Bank (ECB) se aane wale interest rate cuts ki expectations aur US dollar ki mazbooti ki wajah se thi. ECB se yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo apni deposit rate ko dobara cut karega, aur market mein yeh possibility hai ke December meeting mein 50 basis points ka rate cut ho sakta hai.

Lekin, ECB ke policymakers ke beech rate cuts ke pace par mukhtalif rayein hain. Kuch policymakers, jaise Pierre Wennesch, zyada cautious approach ko prefer karte hain, jab ke doosre, jaise Mario Centeno, zyada aggressive easing ki taraf hain. US dollar ki mazbooti bhi US Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se thi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawale se kam dovish outlook ka indication de rahi thi. Yeh change in market sentiment ne EUR/USD pair pe pressure daala hai.



Technical Perspective:

RSI indicator oversold level se upar chala gaya hai, aur MACD ne apni signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo ke near-term mein reversal ka indication de raha hai. Lekin, EUR/USD abhi bhi 1.0800 ke level par significant resistance face kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to EUR/USD ko 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0861 tak ki recovery ka raasta mil sakta hai. Magar 200-day SMA, jo 50% Fibonacci level ke paas hai, yeh bhi ek important resistance barrier ban sakta hai.

Agar 200-day SMA ko break kiya jata hai, to EUR/USD ka next target 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0959 aur eventually 1.1000 ho sakta hai.

Conclusion:

EUR/USD pair abhi ek complex situation ka samna kar raha hai, jisme divergent monetary policy expectations aur geopolitical risks bhi shaamil hain. Halanke short-term mein recovery ho sakti hai, lekin overall outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai. Traders ko key economic indicators aur central bank decisions ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake aage chal kar price movements ko samajh sakein.

EUR/USD Analysis: Mixed Outlook with Cross-Asset Influences
EUR/USD currency pair ab ek critical moment par hai, jahan economic aur technical signals ka milan ho raha hai. Aaj, Euro 1.0850 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai, aur iska outlook cautious hai, jo Eurozone aur U.S. ke mixed economic data aur cross-asset correlations ke wajah se hai.

Fundamental Analysis:

European markets ko economic challenges ka samna hai, jahan Eurozone inflation data kaafi low hai, jo ECB ki growth ko boost karne ki ability par sawaal uthata hai. Germany ki inflation, jo recently low hui thi, yeh show karti hai ke consumer aur market confidence short-term mein kam ho gaya hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone ka Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) bhi weak manufacturing sector ko reflect karta hai. Yeh situation ECB par additional pressure daal rahi hai, aur agar inflation isi raaste par chalti rahi, to ECB ko aur accommodative measures lene par bhi sochna pad sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ko strong economic fundamentals support kar rahe hain. Employment aur GDP related economic reports ne resilience dikhayi hai, jo dollar ko majboot bana rahi hai. Traders ko expect hai ke agar U.S. labor data expected figures se behtar hota hai, to dollar ki strength aur barh sakti hai. Ek strong dollar EUR/USD ko koi bhi potential gain hone se rok sakta hai, jab tak Eurozone ka outlook kaafi behtar nahi hota.



Technical Analysis:

Technically, EUR/USD pair ek critical support level 1.0850 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, aur resistance level 1.0900 par dekhne ko mil raha hai. Pair ki current position jo 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche hai, yeh bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai agar resistance hold hota hai. RSI indicators neutral hain, jo yeh indicate karte hain ke recent patterns continue ho sakte hain bina kisi immediate directional bias ke.

Cross-Asset Correlation aur Risks:

Cross-asset influences, khaas kar U.S. Treasury yields ka rise, dollar ki appeal ko barhane mein madad kar rahe hain, jo Euro ke liye challenges create kar raha hai. Higher yields dollar ki taraf investment attract karte hain, jab ke gold prices mein thoda uptick Euro ko support de sakta hai. Dono currencies ko external data se bohot zyada influence ho raha hai, is liye aaj ka market sentiment cautious hai.

Yeh balanced aur cautious outlook dono regions ke economic conditions par ongoing market reactions ko reflect karta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Euro ne apni qeemat mein pichle trading week mein mazeed girawat dekhi, jo 1.0763 tak pohanch gayi, jahan usay ek wazeh rukawat ka samna hua. Iske baad, Euro ne apni losses ko recover karne ki koshish ki aur 1.0837 tak rebound kiya, lekin yeh level resistance ban gaya aur aage barhne se rok diya. Yeh situation Euro ko apne forecasted decline ke target level ke kareeb le aayi hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart ab bhi super-trend red zone mein hai, jo bechne walon ki control ko dikhata hai.

Aaj ki Analysis:

Agar hum aaj ki analysis par nazar daalain, to 4-hour chart par dekhte hain ke pair upar ki taraf rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh rebound abhi tak limited hai aur momentum lose hota jaa raha hai. Simple moving average ab bhi negative pressure daal raha hai. Is liye, hum apni negative view ko maintain karte hain aur pichli analysis ke target 1.0740 ki taraf barh rahe hain. Yeh level official expected position hai, aur agar 1.0740 se neeche break hota hai, to pair ki downside aur gehri ho sakti hai. Hum agle target ke liye intezaar karenge, jo 1.0700 ho sakta hai, aur agar hum ne pehle ke broken support level ko phir se resistance bante dekha, jo ab 1.0840 par hai, to iske baad 1.0665 tak extension bhi ho sakti hai.

Yaad rahe, agar 1.0840 par resistance break hota hai aur kam se kam aik ghante ka candle close upar hota hai, to yeh pair ko short term mein sehatmand karne ki taraf le jayega, aur hum 1.0880 ke target ko retest karenge.



Current Situation:

Pair abhi apne weekly lows se gir raha hai. Main resistance area abhi tak test nahi hua, jo apni integrity ko maintain kar raha hai aur downward trend ko confirm kar raha hai. Agar bullish trend ko continue karna hai, to price ko 1.0837 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ab central resistance zone ke border par hai. Agar yeh area phir se test hota hai aur rebound hota hai, to yeh downward movement ka ek aur opportunity dega, jiska target 1.0694 aur 1.0627 tak ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 1.0926 ke reversal level se upar chala jata hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD Exchange Rate Analysis: Stabilization and Key Levels
EUR/USD ka exchange rate Wednesday ko early Asian trading mein 1.0820 ke around stabilize ho gaya, jo ek volatile phase ke baad hua, jisme pair ne 16-week ka low 1.0760 tak dekha. Is decline ko US dollar ki taqat aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts mein kam aggression ki expectations ke hawale se samjha jaa sakta hai. Iske ilawa, JOLTS report mein job openings mein kami ne US economy ke thoda slow hone ka ishara diya hai. Europe ke Central Bank (ECB) ke rate cuts ka cycle continue hone ki umeed hai, lekin iski speed abhi unclear hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaaye to EUR/USD pair mein stabilization ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. RSI indicator oversold level se upar move kar gaya hai aur MACD apni signal line ko cross kar raha hai, jo downward momentum ke slow hone ka indication hai.



Key Levels and Outlook:

EUR/USD abhi 1.0800 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Agar yeh is level se upar move karta hai, to yeh 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0861 tak recovery ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day simple moving average, jo ab 50% Fibonacci level ke kareeb aa raha hai, ek significant resistance ban sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar leta hai, to agla target 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0959 ho sakta hai aur baad mein 1.1000 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ab ek delicate balance mein hai, jahan bullish aur bearish dono forces kaam kar rahe hain. European Central Bank ki meeting aur US ke key economic data release hone ke baad, yeh pair kis direction mein move karega, yeh decide hoga.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Outlook for Potential Upside Move
EUR/USD ki local movement jald khatam hone wali hai, aur yeh upar ki taraf breakout karega. Mein aapki northern option se agree karta hoon, kyun ke channel ka rukh bhi upar ki taraf hai. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, bears ko 1.0718 ke support level se guzarnay nahi diya gaya. Ab yeh pair 1.0939 tak barhne ki umeed hai. Upar ki taraf move start karne ke liye, buyers ko apni strength barhani hogi aur 1.085 ke mark ko cross karna hoga, lekin abhi yeh option thoda weak lag raha hai market structure ke hawale se. Yeh scenario possible lag raha hai, lekin jaise hamesha hota hai, yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke yeh move kitna time lega. Iske ilawa, EUR/USD pair ko 1.0899 ke level tak pohanchna chahiye.

Agar yeh plan kaam nahi karta, to sellers 1.085 ke upar nahi ja paayenge aur bears 1.0807 ke support level tak decline shuru kar denge. Agar yeh level sustain hota hai, to decline ka chances barh jaayenge aur nayi wave 1.0770 tak le jayegi. Lekin, abhi yeh lagta hai ke hum 1.0899 ki taraf move karte rahenge, jo ke current downtrend ko end kar dega aur uptrend ki taraf wapas laayega, jo ke 1.0939 tak reach karega. Is tarah, do possible scenarios nazar aa rahe hain.

Initial Conditions for Northern Movement:

Mujhe lagta hai ke northern movement ke liye initial conditions M15 par ban gayi hain. Jaise ke minute pattern, jo chart se similar hai, dikhata hai, yeh movement Fibonacci ke "Shum 1" level tak barhegi. Mein pending order place kar raha hoon 1.08406 par buy karne ke liye. Take profit target 1.09000 hai.



Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj aur kal EUR/USD ko Friday ke range ke upper limit 1.0920 tak jane ka moka milega, especially jo news aaj aur kal aane wali hain. Agar Friday ko US weak employment data release karta hai, to hum 1.1045 aur 1.1070 par upper sales catch kar sakte hain, provided ke EU inflation 2% target ke kareeb pohanchti hai. Is hisaab se, ECB ke monetary policy mein further easing ka question uth sakta hai December mein. Jo lagta hai, yeh euro ko intensive decline se rok raha hai. Aaj ke liye, growth ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai 1.0870 aur 1.0895 tak, agar 1.0832 ka significant resistance level cross hota hai.

Four-Hour Timeframe Analysis:

Four-hour timeframe par, local trend ke reversal ki weak confirmation nazar aa rahi hai MACD indicator 12.26.9 ke upward reversal ke roop mein. Iske ilawa, main Ichimoku cloud ke upper border par price cross hone ko bhi ek additional signal ke taur par use karunga.