یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka 30-minute chart ek wazeh bearish momentum dikhata hai, jahan price ab 1.10384 ke aas paas hai, jo ke lower support zones ko test kar raha hai. Ye downtrend 26 September ko shuru hua jab price ne 1.1200 ke aas paas resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi, jis se ek inefficiency bani jo FVG (Fair Value Gap) kehlati hai, 1.1150 aur 1.1170 ke darmiyan. Ye area ab supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo kisi bhi bullish retracement ki koshish ko rok raha hai. Bechne walon ne is FVG ka faida uthaya, jisse price neeche ki taraf chal gaya. Ek aham liquidity sweep 1.1100 level par nazar aati hai, jahan price ne sell-side liquidity (Dliq) ko tap kiya, jo ke mazeed downward pressure ka sabab bana. Agla downward liquidity zone 1.1030 ke paas hai, jo agar current bearish trend jaari raha to mazeed bechne walon ko apni taraf khench sakta hai. Price action ne 30 September ko ek choti FVG ko bhi bhar diya, jo kuch waqt ke liye support di, lekin aakhir mein market ko upar nahi le ja saki. Iske bajaye, ye mazeed girawat ke liye ek base ban gayi.


Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.


Critical support area test ho chuka hai aur apni integrity maintain kar raha hai, jo price ko bounce karne aur upward vector ko relevant banaye rakhta hai. Agay barhne ke liye price ko 1.1121 ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hoga, jahan major support area ki boundaries hain.

ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai. EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements

Jorha apne teen din ki girawat ko jaari rakhta hua, is waqt 1.1030 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, khaas taur par Thursday ke Asian session mein. Jorha ki girti hui momentum ka asal sabab mazid kamzor US Dollar (USD) hai, kyunke traders ab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Yeh report Federal Reserve (Fed) ki agle mahine ki interest rate ka faisla karne mein ahmiyat rakhti hai, jo ke USD aur issi ke hawalay se EUR/USD jorha ko bhi asar-andaz kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD ka qareebi performance ziada tar US inflation data aur Fed ki policy ke faislay par mabni hoga. Agar CPI report umeed se kamzor hoti hai, to USD par bojh pad sakta hai aur Euro ko boost milne ka imkaan hai. Bar’aks, agar Fed ka izafi aggressive rukh samnay aya to jorha apni recent girawat ko mazid dekh sakta hai.

Tawajjo US Inflation Data par

Is waqt tamam nigahain US ke consumer inflation data par hain, jo ke Fed ke intehai intezaar kardi monetary policy meeting se sirf aik hafta pehle release hoga. Sarmaiya dar yeh maloom karna chahte hain ke kya central bank dheemi raftaar mein ya izafi taizi ke sath apni policies mein ease laayega. CPI report ki ahmiyat is liye barh gayi hai kyunke August ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data koi wazeh rukh nahi de saka jo ke Fed ke expected interest rate cut ke size ka andaza lagane mein madadgar hota.

ECB ke Ma'ashi Tajziye ke Mutaliq Shooraish

Dosri taraf, Eurozone mein European Central Bank (ECB) apne ma'ashi tajziye ko jald release karegi, jismein growth aur inflation ke hawalay se pehle se kamzor forecast shamil kiye gaye hain. Bazaar ke afrad ab ECB ke taraf se saal ke akhri tak 50 se 75 basis points ke rate cuts ko price kar rahe hain. Data ke hawalay se, Eurozone mein Germany ke inflation numbers aur European Union ke industrial production ka data bhi release kiya jayega, jo ke bazaar ke jazbat ko asar-andaz kar sakta hai.

Ahem Support Levels per Tawajjo

Technical tor par, jorha ke liye foran support 1.1010 ke horizontal zone par hai, uske baad aik ahem support 1.1000 ka hai. Agar jorha is area ke neeche break karta hai, to is se ziada girawat ke rasta khul sakta hai, jismein agla support 1.0977 ke qareeb hoga, jo ke descending trend channel ke sath align karta hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to jorha mein aggressive technical selling shuru ho sakti hai, jo ke isse 1.0950 ke qareeb le ja sakti hai.

Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai

GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga

EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai. EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move kare ga. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, toh market 1.1166 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target ek important resistance point hai, aur agar price yeh level touch karti hai,

Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai. EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move

Agar hum technique ki baat karain, toh mujhe lagta hai ke girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum isay wasi sense mein dekhein toh daily chart ke bulandiyon se "letter M" ki shakl wave technique ka istemal karte hue nazar aa rahi hai. Ab yeh wazeh hai ke daayen pair ban chuka hai. Unhon ne girawat ko kaafi arsay tak rokay rakha, aur aakhir kaar (kam az kam dekhne mein aisa lagta hai) unhon ne isay theek kiya hai, aur neeche ki taraf harkat ka aghaz ho gaya hai. Shuru mein, price MA18 ke neechay stabil ho gayi thi, yeh wo phase tha jahan do moving averages ka pattern ban gaya tha, yeh wo sideways trend tha jisme wahi purane rules kaam kar rahe the: sabse aham rule yeh hai ke jab upar ki limit se door hotay hain, toh unhein neeche ki limit ki taraf khincha jaata hai, hamare case mein hum MA100 ka test dekh rahe hain - jo 1.0930 ka level hai. Dusra point yeh hai ke jab price south ki taraf barh rahi thi, toh usne local Ichimoku Cloud ka development shuru kar diya.
Ab humare paas kya hai: Cloud ab bullish rang mein hai, aur northern direction ke development ke liye kaafi tayar lagta hai. Iska aakhri hissa bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Bears ki taraf transition ka koi imkaan nahi hai. Ab price Cloud ke upar wali bar ke neeche consolidate ho gayi hai - Senkou-Span A ke level par, jo ke 1.1050 hai. Pendulum method ke mutabiq, yeh Senkou-Span B ki taraf jaani chahiye, jo ke MA100 par imposed hai - jo level 1.0930 hai. Main girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Hafta ke aakhri trading day ka aghaz ho gaya hai, aur chalayen D1 period chart ko dobara dekhein - EUR/USD currency pair. Pooray guzashta hafta kharidaar aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan shadeed jung hui. Dono taraf se kafi koshish ki gayi, aur hafta wahi band hua jahan khula tha. Monday bhi isi tarah guzar gaya, aur kal neeche ki taraf break through dekhne ko mila jaise ke pehle hi umeed thi. Farokht karne walon ne abhi tak price ko neeche dhakel diya hai. Is ke liye sab zaroori asbaab mojood the. Wave structure abhi tak ascending order mein bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Magar ab kharidari relevant nahi hai kyun ke bearish divergence MACD aur CCI indicators par form ho chuki hai, jo ke iski processing ka ishara karti hai, aur sirf intraday rollbacks ke baad farokht dekhi ja rahi hai.

Aur iske ilawa, aap decline ka ek pattern bana sakte hain - ek ascending wedge, jisme price abhi tak bani hui thi. Yeh aham hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke price naye mahine ke pehle din mein girna shuru hui hai, shayad unhon ne wedge ko neeche break hone ka intezar kiya. Is se pehle unhon ne price ko girne nahi diya, aur har moka par upar uthaya. Ab, yeh lagta hai ke girawat 1.1011 se neeche jaari rahegi, ya phir doosray alfaz mein September ke aakhri minimum tak. Dusra target 1.0957 ka level hai, mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh is se neeche le ja payenge, kyun ke yeh level kaafi strong hai, yeh weekly level hai, sab kuch dobara upar uth sakta hai. Yeh acha hota agar ek normal rollback hota taake munafa section ke liye farokht ki ja sakti, magar lagta hai ke yeh nahi hoga, kam az kam jab tak price 1.1011 ke neeche waalay zone ko touch nahi kar leti. Unhon ne buyers ko market mein laane ke liye ek candle banai hai jaise ke jaldi se kharido, magar yeh ek dhoka hai.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **E U R / U S D**

Hello members, main aap sabka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon ke aapne aaj apna waqt diya. Aaj ka humara asal topic EUR/USD pair ka technical analysis hoga. EUR/USD ki price is waqt 1.1030 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. EUR/USD ki price filhal ek choti range mein trade kar rahi hai. Agar aap EUR/USD ke banaye hue pattern ka jaiza lain, toh aisa lagta hai ke Monday ko EUR/USD barh sakta hai. Is lihaaz se, mujhe lagta hai ke kharidne ka rukh ab bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai jab EUR/USD ka socha jaaye.

Haal hi mein, EUR/USD ke sellers ko stable Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur dheemi taraqqi se tease kiya gaya hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator negative level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. EUR/USD ka 50-EMA aur 20-EMA ke upar ka trade karna bullish rukh ko support kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ke liye immediate resistance level 1.1276 par hai. Agar buying pressure barhta hai, toh prices qareebi resistance zone ko test kar sakti hain jo ke 1.1805 ke aas paas hai.

Jab yeh rukawat paar ho jaye, toh bulls ka target long-term reversible correction hurdle par ho sakta hai jo 1.2284 ka level hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusra imkaan yeh hai ke price reverse ho kar 1.0665 support ko dobara test karna shuru kar de. Dusri taraf, is waqt frame mein immediate support 1.0665 par doosri defense line ka kaam karega agar pair neeche ki taraf reverse hota hai. Uske baad, agar EUR/USD ki price girti hai aur 1.0195 zone ke neeche chali jaati hai, toh growth ka option mumkin nahi hoga. Is surat mein hum girawat ka silsila jaari dekh sakte hain, jiska target 0.9666 ho sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh wo waqt hai jab traders ko EUR/USD ke baare mein sochna shuru karna chahiye. Maine bohot se articles parhe hain aur videos dekhi hain jo yeh batati hain ke is saal EUR/USD kitna ahmiyat rakhta hai.


**Chart mein istimaal kiye gaye indicators:**
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (orange color)
- 20-day exponential moving average (magenta color)

EUR/USD ki price lag rahi thi ke upar jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin jab market weekend trading period mein daakhil hui, toh seller ki taraf se ek downward correction dekhne ko mili. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein EUR/USD pair ke market halat ke mutabiq, yeh bullish candlestick situation ke saath band hui. August ke aakhri dinon mein market ke halat ki tarah, price dheere dheere neeche girti hui lag rahi thi, lekin buyers ki taraf se strong kharidaari ka rujhan pichle haftay tak price ko zyada bullish trend ke saath barhne par majboor kar gaya. Agar aap weekly lowest level ka jaiza len jo 1.1007 ke ilaqay mein hai, toh ab tak us position ko seller ne penetrate nahi kiya, mujhe mazid shak hai ke price neeche jaane se pehle ek aur upward correction dekh sakti hai.

Interesting baat yeh hai ke sirf gold hi dollar ke muqable mein nahi barh raha — currencies jaise yen aur franc bhi ground gain kar rahi hain, jo broader market ke risk aversion ko zahir karta hai. Main shak karta hoon ke yeh shayad Middle East mein barhte hue tanazat ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan Iran ke involve hone ka imkaan hai. Oil prices mein izafa hua hai yeh afwaah ki buniyad par ke Iran Israel par missile hamla kar sakta hai, jiska Israel jawab dene ka wada kar chuka hai. Yeh uncertainty market mein girawat ka sabab bani hai. Agar tensions raat ke dauran kam hoti hain, toh hum EUR/USD ko kal tak 1.1130 ke level tak wapas aate hue dekh sakte hain. Aise geopolitical risks aksar us waqt jaldi reverse ho jaate hain jab surat-e-haal better ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ek ascending wedge se breakout karke poori tarah se 1.1180 tak wapas aaya hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan tanazat barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0820 ke level tak gir sakta hai.

Subah bakhair sab ko! Aaj main EUR/USD currency pair ki price movement ka gehra tajziya karna chahta hoon. Haal hi mein, humein iski price mein ek notable downward trend dekhne ko mili hai. Is se yeh sawal uthta hai: kya EUR/USD pair waqai mein bearish state mein hai, ya yeh sirf ek price correction hai? Is surat-e-haal ko wazeh karne ke liye, main aaj subah ek tafseeli analysis karunga.

Sabse pehle, main 21-period aur 34-period Moving Average indicators ka istemal kar ke current trend ko assess karunga. Is waqt, price Moving Averages ke neeche hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye ek bearish trend ka ishara hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai, jo is baat ka pata de raha hai ke shayad price mein ek correction aanay wala hai.

Jab hum EUR/USD trend ko bearish samajh chuke hain, toh ab hum selling opportunities dhoondenge. Kyun ke Stochastic indicator oversold hai, yeh zaroori hai ke hum is ke overbought area mein pohanchne ka intezar karein pehle ke koi trade execute kiya jaye. Jab Stochastic overbought territory mein pohanch jaye, toh hum short-term timeframes, jaise ke M30 ya M15, par patterns dekh kar sell opportunities dhoond sakte hain. Filhaal, hum selling se rukenge jab tak humein appropriate signals nahi mil jatein.

Jab humein ek sell opportunity milegi, toh agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum apni stop-loss ko kahan set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Main plan kar raha hoon ke stop-loss ko resistance level ke qareeb, yani 1.1145 par set karoon. Hamare take-profit target ke liye, main support level ko istemal karunga jo ke 1.1002 ke aas paas hai.

Jo log meri analysis ko follow karna mushkil samajhte hain, un ke liye main ne neeche ek chart bhi shamil kiya hai taake visual reference mil sake. Yeh analysis Investsocial forum ke members ke liye valuable insights pesh karta hai taake EUR/USD pair ko better samajhne mein madad ho.

Mukhtasir taur par, jab tak humein Stochastic indicator se confirmation nahi milti, humein kisi bhi trade ko execute nahi karna chahiye. Choti timeframes par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake hum sell opportunities ko behtareen tareeke se identify kar saken. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh analysis aap sab ke liye madadgar sabit hoga.

Good morning, everyone. Aaj main EUR/USD currency pair ki price movement ka gehra jaiza lena chahta hoon. Haal hi mein, hum ne iski price mein noticeable downward trend dekha hai. Sawal yeh uthta hai: kya EUR/USD pair waqai bearish state mein hai ya yeh sirf ek price correction hai? Is situation ko clarify karne ke liye main aaj subah detailed analysis karunga.Sabse pehle, main 21-period aur 34-period Moving Average indicators ka istimaal karte hue current trend ko assess karunga. Filhaal, price Moving Averages ke neeche hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Magar Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke ek price correction ho sakti hai. Ab jab ke hum ne EUR/USD trend ko bearish identify kar liya hai, hum selling opportunities dhoondhne par focus karenge. Choonke Stochastic indicator oversold hai, behtar yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke yeh overbought area mein move kare, phir hum trade execute kar sakein. Jab Stochastic overbought area mein pohanchay, to hum choti timeframes jaise M30 ya M15 par sell opportunities dhoondh sakte hain. Filhaal, hum signals milnay tak selling se rukein ge.Jab humein sell opportunity milegi, agla step yeh hoga ke stop-loss kahan set kiya jaye taa ke potential losses ko minimize kar sakein. Mera plan hai ke stop-loss ko resistance level ke aas paas 1.1145 par rakha jaye. Take-profit target ke liye, main support level 1.1002 ke qareeb rakhnay ka irada rakhta hoon.Jo log meri analysis ko follow karne mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahe hain, maine neechay ek chart shamil kiya hai jo visual reference ke tor par kaam karega. Yeh analysis Investsocial forum ke members ke liye EUR/USD pair ke bare mein qeemti insights denay ke liye design ki gayi hai.
Summary mein, jab tak current trend bearish lag raha hai, yeh zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator se confirmation ka intezar kiya jaye pehle trades lene se pehle. Choti timeframes par sell opportunities ko nazar mein rakhna market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye ahm hoga. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aap sab ke liye mufeed sabit hogi.Mujhe bilkul bhi 1.0983 tak decline ki zarurat nahi hai, isliye filhal hum dono alag alag sides par hain. Iske ilawa, main is tarah sell karne ka irada nahi rakhta kyun ke local jump na honay ki wajah se main sales open nahi kar paunga. Zaroori nahi ke meri analysis sahi ho, kyun ke kuch last trading days mein buyers ko apna view pesh karne ka mauqa nahi mila, lekin phir bhi, mera manna hai ke reversals ko waqt lagta hai.

Currency pair ek nazuk halaat main hai jahan yeh recent faide par barqarar rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Friday ke Asian session ke doran, yeh pair ek tang range mein trade kar raha hai aur ahem 1.1100 mark ke upar hai. Traders ihtiyat se kaam le rahe hain aur US jobs report se pehle bara action lene se katra rahe hain. Yeh intezar wali strategy bazar ke ehsaasat aur pareeshaniyon ka izhar karti hai. JOLTS Job Openings aur ADP Employment data ne August ke liye labor market ke hawale se tashweesh barhayi hai, jahan job vacancies mein kami aur private sector job growth slow hui hai.

Official employment report mix results dikhata hai, jahan naye payroll additions umeedon se kam aaye hain, magar Unemployment Rate jesa kehre the, utni girawat hui hai. Magar, Average Hourly Earnings zyada tezi se barhne se wage growth ka resilience samne aya hai, jis se US Dollar Index (DXY) mein izafa dekha gaya, jo ab 100.50 ke qareeb hai. Is se dollar ke foran prospect ke hawale se ihtiyat ke sath optimism nazar aata hai.
In haalaat ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ek mumkina rally ke liye taiyar lagti hai. Yeh sab central bank ki policies aur global economic haalaat ke asraat se sensitive banata hai. ECB aur Federal Reserve ke easing measures ke saath, yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar ho sakta hai, jis ke baais short-term trades ko long-term positions par tarjeeh di jati hai.
Economic side par, Eurozone mein business activity unexpected tor par September mein contract hui hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya hai, jo February ke baad pehli dafa contraction dikhata hai. Weak demand aur economic challenges, khaaskar Germany aur France jaise baray economy waalon mein, future growth ke hawale se pareeshani barha rahe hain aur European Central Bank se mazeed policy easing ke baray mein speculation ko janam de rahe hain.

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga