eur/usd

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Pichlay kuch dinon mein market ka price movement zyada tar sellers ke haath mein raha hai, jo price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar chart se yeh nazar aata hai ke bearish attempts ab tak 1.1004 ke level ko tor nahi sakay, jo ke is haftay support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko breach nahi kar patey, to trend mazid strong ho sakta hai. Is liye, main ek comprehensive trading plan bana raha hoon takay anticipate kar sako ke price kab upward move karega aur agla target identify kar sako, H4 time frame ke basis par. Sath hi, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support aur resistance boundary lines bhi use kar raha hoon taake apni analysis ko aur refine kar sako.

H4 time frame chart par, EUR/USD ki price movement initially reversal signal dikhati hai, jo bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir hai. Agar hum daily time frame par dekhen to humein pata chalta hai ke pichlay haftay ke trading sessions mein buyers bullish trend ko sustain nahi kar sakay, aur market neeche chali gayi correction ke liye sellers ke pressure ki wajah se. Is haftay bhi bearish attempts jari hain, lekin Thursday ko strong buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko better kiya, jo ke ek bullish rally ka raasta kholta hai, bilkul waisa hi jaisa August ke end mein dekha gaya tha.

Stochastic indicator ka istemal karte hue further analysis yeh batata hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market growth ka potential dikhata hai. Buyers ke paas abhi bhi kaafi momentum ho sakta hai ke woh aaj EUR/USD prices ko aur upar le ja sakein. Filhal, market movement 1.1078 ke level ke aas paas static hai. Main personaly intizaar kar raha hoon ke kuch aur upward movement ke signs milain, kyun ke ab tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nazar nahi aa rahi.

Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, steady growth rahi hai, halan ke beech mein downward corrections bhi hui hain. Yahan tak ke overall market outlook ab bhi bullish hai, main intizaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break karain takay ek clear buy signal validate ho sake. Aaj ki market movement ke liye, lagta hai ke neutral hi rahegi, kyun ke USD ke liye koi high-impact news schedule nahi hai is Friday ko. Is liye, main market ko closely monitor kar raha hoon kisi bhi breakout signal ke liye, is se pehle ke koi further decision loon.

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EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Pichlay kuch dino se market price ka movement zyada tar sellers dominate kar rahe hain, jo ke price ko niche le janay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, chart dikhata hai ke ab tak bearish koshishen 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar paayi hain, jo ke iss hafte support level ka kaam kar sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko break karne mein nakam rahein, toh trend mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Isi liye, main aik comprehensive trading plan bananay wala hoon taake predict kar sako ke kab price upward move karna shuru karega, aur agla target identify kar sako, H4 time frame ki base par.

Main is analysis ko aur refine karne ke liye stochastic oscillator indicator ka bhi use kar raha hoon, jo ke support aur resistance boundary lines ke sath mil kar kaam karta hai. H4 time frame chart par EUR/USD ka price movement pehlay reversal signal show kar raha tha, jo ke bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir tha. Agar hum daily time frame ko dekhein, toh pichlay hafte ke trading sessions mein buyers ka bullish trend sustain karna mushkil ho gaya tha, aur market seller ke pressure ke waja se correction ke liye niche chali gayi thi. Iss hafte bhi bearish attempts jari hain, lekin Thursday ko strong buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, aur bullish rally ka rasta khol diya, bilkul August ke end ke trend ki tarah.

Stochastic indicator ke zariye mazeed analysis se pata chalta hai ke signal line 80 zone tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ke market growth ki potential ko indicate kar raha hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD prices ko upar le jane ka kaafi momentum ho sakta hai. Filhal market ka movement 1.1078 level ke aas paas static hai. Main personaly intezaar kar raha hoon ke koi aur upward movement ke signs milain, kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhne ko mili.



Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, market mein steady growth dekhne ko mili hai, halaan ke kuch downward corrections bhi huye hain. Yeh baat clear hai ke overall market outlook bullish hai, lekin main intezaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break karain taake clear buy signal validate ho sake. Aaj ke market movement kaafi neutral rehne ke imkaan hain, kyun ke USD ke liye aaj koi high-impact news schedule nahi hai. Is liye, main market ko closely monitor kar raha hoon taake kisi breakout signal ke baad koi faisla kar sako.

Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke hawalay se ek dilchasp behas mein mashghool hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb ek "false" breakout ka dekhne ko mila hai. Aise false breakouts ke baad aksar price ulat direction mein chalna shuru karti hai, jo agle chand sessions mein neechey ki janib ja sakti hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab baday market players aur sellers ke paas consequential orders ke liye kaafi counter-liquidity nahi hoti. Jab price is zone se breakout karti hai toh us jagah par lagaye gaye orders—zyadatar buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hote hain. Is liye, jab ek "false" breakout ka pata chale, toh ye prudent hota hai ke ek reversal ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh rasta 1.1096 level tak khul jaye ga aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar yeh is baat par mabni hai ke aaj ka low breach hota hai ya nahi. Abhi pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se is moving average ke oopar trade karne ka irada rakhta hai.
Agar hum EURUSD ka chart dekhein, toh aaj ek bullish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is waqt price 1.1113 par hai, aur bullish momentum zor pakar raha hai kyun ke buyers market mein apni hukoomat ko barhawa de rahe hain. Bulls apni taqat ko achi tareh se barhawa de rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ki nishani hai. Yeh surge yeh batata hai ke aglay chand ghantay EURUSD pair ke liye bohot aham ho sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehta hai, toh intehai imkaan hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 ke resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek aham marhala hai, jo agar paar ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko mazeed validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka rasta khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh toolsscenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka intezar karte hain. Ek volatile environment mein apne account ko theek tareh se manage karna zaroori hota hai, jahan price movements bohot taizi se aur bara asar daal sakte hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D

Mere dosto! Aap sab kaise hain aaj? Ab baat karte hain aaj ke time frame mein tayar ki gayi chart ke baare mein. Is price chart mein, EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko $1.1163 ko hit kiya. EUR/USD is waqt 1.1163 par trade kar raha hai. Is time frame mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market price chart par ek downtrend bana raha hai aur girawat jaari hai. Agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko dekhein, to RSI indicator humein yeh bata raha hai ke market neeche ja raha hai. Is waqt RSI indicator ki value 45 aur 55 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke 49.2009 hai.

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ke mutabiq, MACD ke lines neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke EUR/USD ka bullish move ruk gaya hai, aur ab sellers mazboot lag rahe hain. Moving average indicator ke mutabiq, moving average ke lines bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, jo ek bearish signal dikhata hai.

Main resistance level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1175 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 2 tak mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1213 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to upar ek bohot strong resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1732 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, main1.1175 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 2 tak mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1213 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to upar ek bohot strong resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1732 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, main support level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1128 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD support level 2 tak support level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1128 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD support level 2 tak kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1068 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is support level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to neeche ek bohot strong support level hai aur agla market price 1.0721 ho sakta hai.
Khush raho aur mehfooz raho!

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (color Orange)
- 20-day exponential moving average (color Magenta)

EUR/USD M5 chart
Hamara aaj ka mukhya nukta EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hoga. Main is harkat ko aik aakhri koshish samajhta hoon jisse growth paida karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, halaan ke order book dikhata hai ke volumes 1.1186 ke level par barabar hain aur trading ke band hone tak barh rahe hain. Market ne EMA8 ke fast level 1.1164 par band kiya, jo ke "hanging" candle pattern ke sath milta hai. Main tajziya karta hoon ke EUR/USD EMA20 ke level 1.1144 tak giray ga aur ascending trend ko 1.1116 ke barah par tod dega, jahaan pair ko EMA50 ka support milega. Jab ke mujhe umeed hai ke pair 1.101 tak giray ga, aik mazeed girawat 1.0961 tak bhi mumkin hai. Magar, bohot kuch U.S. stock market ke rawaiye par mabni hai, jo ke tareekhi growth ka samna kar raha hai. Hum is currency pair ko D1 chart par qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. EUR/USD pair trading 1.1163 par band hui. Technical indicators aik upward trend ko zahir karte hain.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, United States mein, tamam nazarain Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation report par hongi. Dono core aur headline PCE price indices 0.2% barhne ki tawaqo hai, jo pichle mahine ke mutabiq hai. Is ke ilawa, personal income 0.4% barhne ki umeed hai, jo pichle 0.3% se zyada hai. Saath hi, consumer spending dheemi raftaar se 0.3% barhne ki umeed hai. S&P Global ke preliminary purchasing managers' indices manufacturing sector mein dheemi contraction aur service sector ke growth mein slow down dikhane ki tawaqo hai.
Is ke sath hi, traders kai officials, jin mein Fed Chairman Powell aur Treasury Secretary Yellen bhi shamil hain, ke izhaarat par tawajjo denge, jo ke Federal Reserve Bank of New York ke mehzban mein 2024 Treasury Market Conference mein hissa lenge. Dosray ahem indicators mein Q2 GDP growth ke final figures, durable goods orders, CB Consumer Confidence, regional PMIs jaise Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index, FHFA Housing Index, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, naye aur pending gharon ki farokht, aur final Michigan Consumer Sentiment ke figures shamil hain.

Europe mein, preliminary purchasing managers' indices estimates September ke economic performance par update denge. Eurozone aur Germany manufacturing sector mein contraction jaari rehne aur services sector mein growth dheema hone ki umeed hai. Germany ka business climate index girne aur consumer confidence

barhne ki umeed hai. Is ke ilawa, Germany unemployment figures, households aur businesses ko diya gaya qarz, Eurozone mein businesses aur consumer confidence, France aur Spain ke inflation ke pehli tafsilat, aur Italy mein business aur consumer confidence ka izhaar karega.