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EUR/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

Tuesday ke sobh ke trading mein, EUR/USD pair ne apni downward trajectory ko jari rakha, temporarily 1.1100 level se niche gir gaya aur eight-month high 1.1089 ko bhi touch kiya. Yeh decline European Central Bank (ECB) ke do aur interest rate cuts ke mutaliq speculation aur US Dollar ki notable resurgence ki wajah se hua. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD kareeb 1.1085 par trade kar raha hai, jabke market participants 1.1100 region ko ghore se dekh rahe hain.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau ne recently French radio BFM Business ke interview mein yeh izhar kiya ke market expectations ECB ke do aur rate cuts deliver karne ke sath aligned hain. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke ECB apni policy-tightening campaign ko September meeting se dobara shuru kar sakta hai aur December tak yeh silsila jari reh sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ka outlook bhi EUR/USD pair par downward pressure daal raha hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market is saal Federal Reserve ke do interest rate cuts anticipate kar rahi hai, jisme se pehla cut September meeting mein ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Halan ke current downward trend barqarar hai, pair ke gains ko 1.1100 mark ke aas paas significant resistance mil sakti hai. Intraday price patterns yeh indicate karte hain ke euro ke liye 1.1050 ke nazdeek ek modest bid develop ho rahi hai. Daily chart yeh suggest kar raha hai ke aaj ek potential bullish "hammer" pattern emerge ho sakta hai, halan ke is pattern ke solidify hone ke liye abhi kaafi ground cover karna hoga. Minor resistance 1.1091 par observed hai, aur agar price 1.1100 ke upar jati hai to yeh bullish signal ke taur par dekha jayega.




Pair ne recently anticipated range ke niche ek minor dip experience kiya, jo 1.1051 tak pohnch gaya. Halan ke downward trend mein izafa ho raha hai, yeh abhi tak ek significant decline forecast karne ke liye kafi nahi hai. Hum anticipate karte hain ke Euro ko downward pressure ka samna rahega, lekin 1.1015 level se strong support milne ki umeed hai. Overall downward trend tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 1.1050 mark unbroken hai.

EUR/USD mein Aadha Percent Ka Izafa, Markets Ne Greenback Ko Neeche Dhakel Diya
Imdandi central banking summit ne investors ko Fedspeak par nazar rakhnay par majboor kar diya hai. EU aur US PMI data is hafte ke aakhir mein mutawaqqa hai.

Monday ko EUR/USD ne trading week ke aghaz mein aadha percent ka izafa hasil kiya, jab investors ne broad-market buy buttons ko activate kar diya. Fiber ko 1.1050 ke upar mazbooti se support mil gaya aur ab 1.1100 handle ka retest karne ke liye pur azm hai. Haal hi mein US ke kharab data ne investors mein ane wale US recession ke khauf ko dobara jagaya tha, lekin recent US data prints mein behtri ne unke nerves ko sukoon diya, aur ab wo Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cuts ke signs ka intezar kar rahe hain. Midweek ka dor abhi quiet hai jab markets dono EU aur US se key PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain, sath hi is saal ke Jackson Hole Economic Symposium ke shuru hone ka bhi. Yeh teeno events Thursday se markets par asar dalna shuru karenge.

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures se umeed hai ke August mein upar jaayengi. EU Manufacturing PMI numbers MoM 45.8 se barh kar 46.0 tak pohnchne ka andaza hai, jabke Services PMI component ka forecast hai ke woh isi doran 51.9 par stable rahega.

Doosri taraf, US PMI figures se Thursday ko narami ka andaza hai. US Manufacturing PMI August mein thoda kam hoke 49.5 tak pohnchne ka andaza hai, jo pehle 49.6 thi, jabke US Services PMI numbers ek point girkar 55.0 se 54.0 tak girne ka forecast hai.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, jo ke Thursday ko multi-day central banker extravaganza shuru karega, investors ko puri dunya mein Fed policymakers ke iradon par nazar rakhne ke liye majboor karega, khaaskar Fed ke September mein rate cut ke mumkinat par.

September mein double cut ke liye lagaye gaye haal ke dor mein shartien kaafi kam ho gayi hain, jo do haftay pehle 70% tak pohanch gayi thi. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets ab 50 bps cut ke September 18 ko hone ke liye sirf ek-mein-panch ka chance price kar rahe hain. Overall, markets ab bhi September mein 25 bps cut ko puri tarah price kar rahe hain, aur is saal ke end tak 3 ya 4 quarter-point cuts ke mutawaqqa hain.

EUR/USD Price Forecast
Monday ko EUR/USD ne 2024 ke liye ek naya bidding high set kiya, jab markets ne 1.1086 ko touch kiya aur risk-on stance ko mazid barhaya. Euro ne Greenback ke muqable mein apni growth ko barqarar rakha, 1.1000 handle se mazid upar pohnch gaya, jahan bidders Fiber ko 1.1100 tak push kar rahe hain. Bullish momentum ne key technical price handle ko wapas hasil karne mein kami dikhayi, lekin buying power ab bhi mazboot hai, jabke pair apni climb continue kar raha hai.




EUR/USD ne August ke aghaz se lekar ab tak bottom-to-top tak kareeb 3% ka izafa hasil kiya hai, jabke pair ne 1.0800 ke nazdeek 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke swing low ke baad north ki taraf move karna shuru kiya tha.

Euro ne haal hi mein ek shaandar rally dekhi hai, aur jab hum Monday ke aghaz mein dakhil ho rahe hain, to lagta hai ke thoda decline aane wala hai. Magar, mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh retracement zyada gehra hoga. Aisa lagta hai ke is hafte economic data ke lehaz se relatively quiet rehne wala hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke market bas move kar sakta hai aur apni direction talash kar sakta hai. 1.10 ka level ab bhi ek aham focus point hai aur yeh almost ek price magnet ki tarah act kar raha hai. Agar hum 1.1050 level ke upar koi significant break dekhtay hain, to Euro 1.11 level ki taraf barh sakta hai. Magar, is stage par rally ka momentum kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai.

Iska matlab yeh nahi ke koi bara failure foran aane wala hai. Balki, lagta hai ke hum ek aise phase mein hain jahan market European Central Bank ke mumkin rate cut ke khauf aur Federal Reserve ke aglay qadam ke hawale se spekulations ke darmiyan jhool raha hai. Central bank policies ke ird gird yeh uncertainty trading behavior ko choppy aur indecisive bana rahi hai.

Agar hum chart ko baray pehmanay par dekhen, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke current area historically ek significant resistance ke taur par kaam karta raha hai. Is se yeh sawal uthtay hain ke Euro kitna aage push kar sakta hai. Mawjooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke market short term mein kisi significant directional movement ke baghair ek narrow band mein fluctuate karta rahega.




Mukhtasir mein, Euro qareebi arsay mein choti declines ya gains dekh sakta hai, lekin overall trend cautious range-bound trading ka nazar aata hai. Hum central bank decisions par focus karenge aur dekhenge ke yeh aane wale waqt mein market behavior ko kaise affect karte hain, lekin filhal, yeh expect karein ke Euro bina kisi wazeh breakout ke idhar udhar move karta rahega.

EUR/USD

Pair ne ek decline ka samna kiya, jo 1.0950 ke qareeb high se gir kar American trading session mein 1.0932 tak pohanch gaya. Is dip ki wajah kai factors hain, jin mein ECB ka aglay rate hikes par cautious stance aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se barhata hua optimism shamil hain.

Market ka Fed Rate Cuts ki Taraf Rujhan:

United States mein market participants zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain Federal Reserve se. Yeh shift inflation ke central bank ke target ke qareeb aane ke asar ki wajah se hai. Budh ke din, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne yeh ishara diya ke Fed "qareeb aa raha hai" interest rate cut implement karne ke, aur is ki wajah inflation mein behtari aur labor market ka zyada balance hona hai.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne inflation ke broadening effects aur is trend ke barqarar rehne ki khwahish par optimism zahir kiya. Fed officials ke yeh dovish remarks USD par kuch downward pressure dal sakte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke downside ko limit kar sakte hain.

ECB Ka Steady Rates Par Qaim Rehna:

ECB ka rates ko steady rakhne ka faisla mutawaqqe tha, given ke mojooda economic climate mein. Officials rate cuts ke defined path par commit karne mein ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain, service sector mein persistent inflation ke hawale se concerns ke sabab, jo ke overall inflation ko reduce karne mein ki gayi progress ko undermine kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:

In factors ke bawajood, pair significant trendline resistance ka samna kar raha hai 1.0977 level ke qareeb. Is ke ilawa, euro yen carry trades unwind hone ki wajah se kuch drag experience kar raha hai. Daily aur weekly trend strength oscillators euro ke liye bullish hain, jo ke limited downside potential aur renewed upward push ke ongoing risks ko zahir karte hain. Pair ke liye immediate support 1.0900 par hai, jab ke resistance 1.0988 par hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, to euro ke liye 1.1100 tak gains target karne ka rasta saaf ho sakta hai.




Friday ke US session ke dauran, pair ne apni gains ko doosre musalsal din ke liye barhaya, aur 1.0930 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Pair ke recent decline ka sabab USD ki mazid taqat hai, jo market mein increased risk aversion ki wajah se hai. Ek key technical level jo dekhne laayak hai woh 1.0981 ke upar ka upside break hai, jo EUR/USD price ko 1.1050 region ki taraf propel kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD Ki Price Harkat

Ye guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karne par mabni hai. Meri strategy mehm muktalif key levels ko dekhne aur un par intraday predictions karne par mabni hai. Main yeh bhi dekhun ga ke U.S. session ke doran price in levels ke qareeb kis tarah se pohanchti hai. Agar mujhe kuch ghair mamooli nazar aaye—jaise ke price kisi level ko test kar rahi ho bina kisi apparent weakness ya fundamental support ke—tou main ehtiyaat se kaam leta hoon. Agar price kisi level par ruk jaaye aur lagay ke yeh fundamental news ka intezar kar rahi hai, tou main apni trades ko temporarily pause kar leta hoon. Lekin aam tor par, main selling ko tarjeeh deta hoon, kyun ke isme commissions kam hoti hain, aur main apni positions ko kayi hafton tak hold karta hoon. Mera approach muktalif factors ka mix hota hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke 1.1049-69 ke range se sales par ghore karna chahiye.





Pair shayad thoda sa growth ke sath open ho, lekin volumes abhi tak is upward movement ke continuation ko nahi dikha rahe, isliye bearish direction me wapas jana mumkin hai. Main apne decisions price ke behavior par mabni karunga. D1 chart par ek clear ascending equidistant channel hai, jisme do intense resistance levels hain: 1.1139 aur 1.1279. H1 chart par, EUR/USD buyers ne price ko 1.0880 ke low se upar momentum me rakha hai. Filhal, EUR/USD ke liye primary resistance doosri impulse zone level par 1.1035 hai. Pehla attempt is level ko torhne me nakam raha. Agar yeh Monday ko tor diya jata hai, tou bulls apni position mazid strong karenge, aur price ko agle resistance level 1.1057 tak push karenge, jahan se euro dobara bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.1035 ka resistance hold karta hai, tou EUR/USD price reverse kar sakti hai aur pehli impulse zone ke levels 1.0998 aur 1.0976 ko dobara test kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD Ki Price Ka Jaiza

Is tajziya me hum EUR/USD currency pair ki recent price movements ko dekhain ge.

Mojooda Market Halat

EUR/USD apne weekly trading range ke upar ke hisse tak pohnch gaya hai, jo ke 1.0971 hai. Ye peak mujhe potential selling positions ko dobara dekhne par majboor kar rahi hai. Afsoos ki baat ye hai ke main ne 1.0906-1.0899 ke range me koi buying opportunities nahi dekhi. Filhal, sellers (bears) retracement ka intezar kar rahe hain, lekin ye unclear hai ke buyers (bulls) is pullback ko facilitate karenge ya sellers ko higher price levels ki taraf attract karenge. Pullback ab bhi mumkin hai, aur bears ne apne target levels ko lagbhag 1.0936 par adjust kiya hai, lekin filhal ye shakhsiyat se bhara hua lagta hai. Main naye buy ya sell trades initiate karne se parhez karunga trading day ke end tak. Hum dekhen ge ke bulls ke naye highs ke liye push kaise unfold hota hai. Agar wo weekly range 1.0971 ko successfully break karte hain, tou humein considerable increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke significant targets jese ke 1.1081 tak pohnch sakta hai, September quarterly contract ke expire hone se pehle.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair ghante ke trading period me pehle identify kiye gaye resistance areas ko dobara visit karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Current price 1.0973 par hai, jo pehle ek resistance level ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai aur bearish reversals ko trigger kar chuka hai. Lekin, pair ka main target ek key resistance level 1.1001 hai, jo test hone ki umeed hai.

Technical standpoint se, currency pair abhi three-line Bollinger Bands ke upper section me situated hai, jo ke upward trajectory continue karne ki potential ko indicate karta hai. Aaj ki distinct daily candlestick ka matlab hai ke agar bullish trend continue hoti hai, tou hum Fibonacci retracement grid ke 50% level ke around correction dekh sakte hain. Agar daily candlestick 50% tak retrace karti hai, tou ye asset ko conservative take profit strategy ke sath sell karne ka ek acha mauka ho sakta hai.




Nateejah

Mojooda market situation aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, traders ko naye trades karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Key resistance levels ke aas paas ke behavior aur pullback ke potential ko monitor karna agle steps ko determine karne ke liye zaroori hoga EUR/USD currency pair ko trade karte waqt.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Is halat ko USD pair ki price movement se dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur successfully price ko 50 aur 100 period moving average indicators ke neeche rakh rahi hai. Aur bhi qabil-e-itnaas baat ye hai ke 50-period moving average indicator ne 100-period average indicator ko tod diya hai, jo ke ek strong indication hai ke downtrend kafi valid hai. Is analysis ke liye maine MACD indicator ko bhi dekha, jo ke chart position ko negative zone me dikhata hai, isse yeh pata chalta hai ke downtrend ab bhi chal raha hai. Ye comprehensive analysis aage ke recommendations ke liye ek mazboot buniyad faraham karta hai.

MACD Indicator aur Moving Average ke Buniyad Par

MACD indicator aur moving average ke buniyad par, EUR/USD pair gir raha hai, lekin is waqt yeh thoda upar ki taraf correct kar raha hai. High area me trading karna is situation me ek behtareen mauka hai. Price shayad phir se 50 moving average ke qareeb upar ki taraf move kare, phir apni downward trend ko continue kare. Is liye, humein 1.1010 ya 1.0950 ke aas paas sell opportunities dhoondni chahiye. Pichle kuch dino se buyers aur sellers ki strength balanced rahi hai. Is hafte, EUR/USD pair ne do hafton ke downward movements ke baad neeche move karna band kar diya. Mere technical analysis ko MACD aur period moving average indicators ka use karke mukammal kiya jayega taake situation ko zyada clearly dekha ja sake.




Trade Placement Recommendations

EUR/USD pair ke analysis se ye sabit hota hai ke aage bhi downtrend movement ka possibility hai, isliye bias-corrected up spot ek behtareen mauka hai high area me sell order place karne ka, taake loss ka risk kam ho aur profits zyada ho sakein. Yeh achi umeed hai ke trade 1.1020 ke neeche square off kiya ja sakta hai.

Waves Ka Safar: EUR/USD Prices

Is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki price behaviour ka tajziya ho raha hai. Euro ne apne growth targets ko weekly chart par achieve kar liya hai, jo ke H4 chart ke targets ke kareeb hai. Grey bar weekly time frame par potential buy signal ko darshata hai, orange arrow maximum stop-loss aur red arrow minimum stop-loss ko indicate karta hai. Dono maximum aur minimum increments possible hain. Selling opportunities ke liye koi wajah nahi hai, isliye downward move par focus karna nafrat hai. Lekin, agle upward movement ke liye ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Weekly, H4, aur daily charts ke targets achieve ho chuke hain. H4 chart par MACD indicator ek single divergence dikha raha hai, jo ke further growth ke liye hesitation suggest karta hai. Euro ke recent aggressive rise bhi ek chinta ka sabab hai.




Buy Signal Aur Growth Expectations

Green bar buy signal ke potential ko highlight karta hai, jahan targets 1.1034 par set hain. Ye growth expectation aksar dekhi gayi hai. Market ne significant pullback ya 1-to-1 ratio participation nahi diya hai, kyun ke quotes sirf signal level 1.0906 ke thoda neeche the. Growth targets hit karne ke baad, ek downward impulse aayi, jo traders ko initial reversal signal ke tor par interpret kar sakte hain. Ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Filhal, aggressive growth ek wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Yeh abhi bhi mumkin hai ke next upper bound update ho. Lower boundary ne successfully third touch ko support kiya hai. Daily aur H4 levels ke goals achieve ho chuke hain, isliye weekly target par focus karna waqt ka maamla hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Growth

Pichle haftay EUR/USD currency pair ne notable growth dikhayi, jisne meri analysis me upside movement ko prioritize karna shuru kar diya. Overall trend bullish raha, aur price poore haftay steadily barhti rahi, jo ke pair ke liye positive outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Halanki ek choti si pullback hui jo support level 1.08820 ko test kar rahi thi, lekin price is critical threshold ke neeche close nahi hui. Is support level par resilience ne meri bullish bias ko mazid barha diya.

Initial momentum Eurozone ke favorable economic indicators aur relatively weaker U.S. dollar ki combination se tha. Eurozone me economic sentiment ka behtar hona, expectations se achi macroeconomic data, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ka hawkish stance Euro ki strength me contribute kiya. Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ko mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ke cautious approach se headwinds ka samna karna pada, jiski wajah se ECB aur Fed ke monetary policy expectations me divergence dekhne ko mila.

Jab price 1.08820 support level ke qareeb pohnchi, to market participants ne recent gains ki sustainability ko assess karne ke liye thoda uncertainty dikhaya. Lekin, support level ne firm rahe kar deeper correction ko roka aur upward trend ko continue karne ka stage set kiya. Is support ke neeche close na karna ek key technical signal tha jo bullish trend ki strength ko confirm karta hai.

Future Outlook

Aage chal kar, meri bias abhi bhi upside ki taraf hai, jo ke kuch factors se driven hai. Pehla, technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur trendlines bullish momentum signal kar rahe hain. Saath hi, broader economic context yeh suggest karta hai ke Euro apni strength ko U.S. dollar ke muqable me barqarar rakh sakta hai, khaaskar agar ECB tighter monetary policy signal karna continue kare aur Fed cautious approach apnaye.




Lekin, economic conditions ya central bank policies me kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye vigilant rehna zaroori hai jo current trend ko alter kar sakti hai. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.08820 support, jo ke ek critical line hai, aur 1.1000 ke aas paas potential resistance, jahan profit-taking ya increased selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair apni strength dikhata rehta hai, aur meri bias short-term me further upside movement ke liye firmly tilted hai.

اگست 21 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آئندہ فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح میں کمی کی توقعات کے درمیان مارکیٹوں میں اضافہ جاری ہے۔ کل، یورو نے 1.1140/50 کی ہدف کی حد کے قریب آتے ہوئے مزید 44 پِپس حاصل کیے۔ اس رینج کی بالائی حد 27 جولائی 2023 کو چوٹی کی طرف سے مقرر کی گئی ہے۔ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء یہ بھی توقع کرتے ہیں کہ فیڈ چیئر جیروم پاول جمعہ کو شروع ہونے والے جیکسن ہول سمپوزیم میں شرح میں کمی کی تیز رفتار کا اعلان کریں گے۔

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اس سے پہلے، ہم نے اشارہ کیا تھا کہ سرمایہ کاروں کو سال کے آخر تک 0.50% کی دوگنا شرح میں کمی کی ضرورت سے زیادہ توقعات کے حوالے سے 'ویک اپ کال' موصول ہو سکتی ہے، اس کو ستمبر کے اف. او.ایم.سی. میٹنگ سے جوڑ کر۔ تاہم، صورت حال بتاتی ہے کہ یہ جلد ہو سکتا ہے، خاص طور پر آنے والے سمپوزیم میں۔ اس منظر نامے میں، مارکیٹ کے شرکاء کے پاس اف. او.ایم.سی.c میٹنگ سے پہلے اپنی پوزیشن کو ایڈجسٹ کرنے کا وقت ہوگا۔ ہم 1.1140/50 کی مذکورہ حد سے یورو کے ممکنہ الٹ جانے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، جو قیمت میں اضافے میں ممکنہ سست روی کا اشارہ ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی قیمت کی امید کا اشتراک نہیں کرتا ہے، جس سے بصری طور پر ایک طرف حرکت ہوتی ہے۔ پاول کی اہم تقریر کی توقع میں مارکیٹ سست ہوتی دکھائی دے رہی ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

اگست 21 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آئندہ فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح میں کمی کی توقعات کے درمیان مارکیٹوں میں اضافہ جاری ہے۔ کل، یورو نے 1.1140/50 کی ہدف کی حد کے قریب آتے ہوئے مزید 44 پِپس حاصل کیے۔ اس رینج کی بالائی حد 27 جولائی 2023 کو چوٹی کی طرف سے مقرر کی گئی ہے۔ مارکیٹ کے شرکاء یہ بھی توقع کرتے ہیں کہ فیڈ چیئر جیروم پاول جمعہ کو شروع ہونے والے جیکسن ہول سمپوزیم میں شرح میں کمی کی تیز رفتار کا اعلان کریں گے۔

[ATTACH=JSON]n13096847[/ATTACH]

اس سے پہلے، ہم نے اشارہ کیا تھا کہ سرمایہ کاروں کو سال کے آخر تک 0.50% کی دوگنا شرح میں کمی کی ضرورت سے زیادہ توقعات کے حوالے سے 'ویک اپ کال' موصول ہو سکتی ہے، اس کو ستمبر کے اف. او.ایم.سی. میٹنگ سے جوڑ کر۔ تاہم، صورت حال بتاتی ہے کہ یہ جلد ہو سکتا ہے، خاص طور پر آنے والے سمپوزیم میں۔ اس منظر نامے میں، مارکیٹ کے شرکاء کے پاس اف. او.ایم.سی.c میٹنگ سے پہلے اپنی پوزیشن کو ایڈجسٹ کرنے کا وقت ہوگا۔ ہم 1.1140/50 کی مذکورہ حد سے یورو کے ممکنہ الٹ جانے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، جو قیمت میں اضافے میں ممکنہ سست روی کا اشارہ ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی قیمت کی امید کا اشتراک نہیں کرتا ہے، جس سے بصری طور پر ایک طرف حرکت ہوتی ہے۔ پاول کی اہم تقریر کی توقع میں مارکیٹ سست ہوتی دکھائی دے رہی ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہی

Bilkul, yahaan aapki analysis ko Roman Urdu main likh diya gaya hai:

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Jaisay Monday aur Tuesday ko EURUSD currency pair kaise barh raha tha, aaj bhi wohi trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Bahut zyada buyer pressure EURUSD ko upar ki taraf push kar raha hai. Isliye aaj EURUSD trading pehle se kaafi ucha khul gaya. Tuesday ko candle ne 1.1086 se lekar 1.1129 tak ka move dekha. Iska matlab hai ke agar calculate kiya jaye to EURUSD ne lagbhag 56 pips ka rise dekha. Yeh batata hai ke H1 resistance jo 1.1086 par tha, woh break ho gaya hai, jo ke EURUSD ka trend ab bhi bullish hai. Upar jane ki sambhavana abhi bhi maujood hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye to candle ka position abhi supply area 1.1122 par hai. Jab tak yeh area break nahi hota, EURUSD girne ki sambhavana abhi bhi hai. Lekin agar candle is area ko penetrate kar leti hai, to EURUSD ka upar jana aur bhi mumkin lagta hai. Filhal, mujhe koi candle reversal pattern nazar nahi aa raha, jo yeh batata hai ke upar jane ki sambhavana girne se zyada hai, halankeh candle supply area mein stuck hai. Lagta hai EURUSD ka agla target upper supply area ko touch karna hai jo 1.1239 par hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use kiya jaye, to jab tak candle movement Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, movement dominant up hai. Pichle do dinon se movement upar hi chal rahi hai. Ab tak Ichimoku indicator ne koi decrease ka signal nahi diya kyunki koi new intersections nahi hue. Iska matlab hai ke yeh indicator ab bhi EURUSD ke upar jane ko support kar raha hai.

Stochastic indicator yeh show karta hai ke EURUSD overbought state mein hai. Yeh level 80 ko penetrate karne wale line se sabit hota hai. Asal mein, pichle Monday ko bhi yahi condition thi, lekin movement ne girne ki bajaye aur upar gaya. Filhal, line ka direction abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke EURUSD currency pair ke upar jane ki sambhavana abhi bhi hai kyunki candle ne H1 resistance 1.1085 ko penetrate kar diya hai aur Ichimoku indicator se bhi candle abhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap buy position par focus karein. Take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.1239 par rakhein aur stop loss ko support 1.1064 par set karein.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Euro drifting as investors eye Fed Minutes

Single currency $1.11 ke ooper chali gayi hai, lagbhag apni December ke end wali peak ko dobara chhune wali hai. Iss waqt pair apni trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai, aur technical analysis ye suggest karta hai ke ek breakout pullback se zyada likely hai.

July ke aaghaz se do bullish impulses ke badolat, EURUSD ne early 2023 mein establish ki gayi trading range ke lower boundary 1.07 se lekar upper boundary $1.11 ke ooper move kiya hai.

Is haftay ke aaghaz se active buying ne pair ko 200-week moving average ke ooper push kar diya hai. Yeh potential tor par market mein ek regime change ka aham signal ho sakta hai, halan ke caution baratne wale log ye note kar sakte hain ke pichle July mein yehi signal galat sabit hua tha aur 2012 aur 2017 mein kaafi lag kar gaya tha.

Daily timeframes overheating ko zahir kar rahe hain jab RSI 75 ke qareeb chala gaya hai, jo ke woh level hai jahan se July 2023 mein ek 11-week sell-off shuru hua tha.

Magar, major moving averages bullish hain. Ek ‘golden cross’ iss haftay ke aaghaz mein bana tha, jahan 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke ooper chala gaya tha. Dono price ke neeche hain, jo ke bullishness ko mazeed badhate hain. EURUSD mein subsequent rally ne kaafi managers ke liye iss important technical signal ko confirm kar diya hai.

Halaankeh yeh bullish technique fundamentals bhi maangti hai. Markets ko Wednesday ke end mein release hone wale Fed meeting ke minutes mein gehraai tak jaana hoga. Powell ka Jackson Hole mein Friday ko live speech ab bhi kaafi asar rakhta hai aur yeh jawab de sakta hai ke Fed agle mahine 50-point rate cut ka soch raha hai ya nahi.

Wednesday ko noteworthy hai ke US employment data ka annual revision ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed economy ki picture ko dramatically badal sakta hai. Kuch observers baat kar rahe hain ke shayad isme 0.6-1.0 million jobs ka downward revision ho sakta hai. Aakhri mahine mein weak jobs data traders ke liye bohot painful sabit hua tha, jo ke equities mein sell-off ka sabab bana, halan ke rate cut expectations barhne lagi thi. Kya yeh scenario dobara dohraaya jayega?

Fundamental Overview

European Central Bank (ECB) ne June mein interest rates mein kami ki, 2019 ke baad se chaar mein pehli baar. Iss se key rate 4% se girkar 3.75% par aa gaya. Meeting mein ECB ne apne inflation forecast ko bhi 2024 ke liye 2.3% se badhakar 2.5% kar diya.

ECB ab bhi sticky inflation ke bare mein fikarmand hai jo ke 2% target se ooper hai. Inflation target se ooper hone ke bawajood central bank mazeed cuts se nahi rukega kyun ke rate moves ko economy tak filter hone mein waqt lagta hai. ECB eurozone economy ko support karne ke liye rates mein kami jaari rakhna chahta hai, lekin sticky inflation aur strong wage growth ECB ke liye rates ko kam karna mushkil bana rahe hain. Is ke bawajood, markets ne September 12 meeting mein rate cut ko lagbhag 90% tak price kar liya hai.

Jackson Hole mein annual meeting dramatic ho sakti hai. Federal Reserve Chair Powell Friday ko gathering se khitab karenge, ek widely expected Fed rate cut se pehle jo agle mahine ho sakta hai. Yeh lagbhag tay hai ke Fed policy loosen karega, lekin kitna?

Most likely scenario ek quarter-point cut hai, lekin is mahine ke aaghaz mein financial markets route hui thi aur half-point cut ke expectations barh gayi thi. Jab inflation control mein hai, Fed US labor market par gehri nazar rakhe hue hai, aur Powell ka economic outlook par nazar market ko move kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair Wednesday ko aage barhta hua December 2023 high 1.1138 ke saath flirt kar raha hai Wall Street ke opening se pehle. US Dollar pressure mein hai bawajood iske ke market mood kharab ho raha hai, kyun ke interest September Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting par revolve kar raha hai aur jo bhi cheez policymakers ke faislon ko tabdeel kar sakti hai.

Financial markets "mutmaeen" hain ke Fed agle mahine interest rates ko trim karega, halan ke yeh ab bhi unsure hai ke cut kitna extensive hoga. Zyada tar investors 25 basis points (bps) trim par bet laga rahe hain, jab ke 50 bps cut ke odds lagbhag 35% par hain, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq. Is ke natije mein, US indexes optimism ke saath rally hue aur record highs ke qareeb khade hain jab ke speculative interest ne USD ko chhod diya hai.

Markets Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes se pehle cautious hain. Document American afternoon mein release hoga lekin financial markets par iska limited asar ho sakta hai, given ke latest comments from Fed officials ne September rate cut ke idea ko reinforce kiya jo ke Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell ne meeting ke doran giraya tha.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

Daily chart EUR/USD pair ke liye yeh dikhata hai ke yeh apni daily opening ke qareebi trade kar raha hai, technical indicators ab bhi ooper ki taraf hain overbought levels mein. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, lekin, apni bullish strength ka kuch hissa kho chuka hai, ongoing corrective slide ko reflect kar raha hai aur abhi tak downward correction ki taraf nahi hai. Iske sath hi, 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) lagbhag vertically north ki taraf turn kar chuka hai, buyers ke strength ko reflect kar raha hai, lekin ab yeh current level se bohot neeche hai ta ke relevant ban sake.



Short term mein, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, risk bhi upside ki taraf skewed hai. Technical indicators apne recent highs se retreat kar chuke hain lekin abhi tak ek aane wali decline ka ishara nahi dete, jab ke Momentum indicator apne 100 level se kaafi ooper consolidate kar raha hai aur RSI indicator lagbhag 76 par marginally higher aim kar raha hai. Iske alawa, sabhi moving averages sharply bullish hain current level ke neeche, jo ke dominant bullish trend ke saath align karta hai.

EUR/USD Market Analysis

EUR/USD pair doosre din se downwards trading kar raha hai aur four-hour chart par blue moving average se neeche return aa gaya hai, jo potential continued decline ko indicate karta hai. Support 1.0877 level par mil raha hai. Lekin yeh measure face value par nahi liya jana chahiye. Indicators strong oversold conditions ko dikha rahe hain, aur bulls ke market mein return ki possibility ko ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Is liye, agar quotes 1.0877 level se neeche rehte hain, to main downward trend ka continuation expect karta hoon. Conversely, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance se above nikal jate hain, to main long-term upward movement aur another rally ka anticipation karta hoon.

Current Bullish Trends

EUR/USD pair strong bullish trends dikha raha hai, 1.1000 levels se significantly above climb kar raha hai aur 1.0950 se above cross kar raha hai. Pair ne 200-day EMA 1.0826 ko bhi surpass kar liya hai, jo strong short-term bullish sentiment ko signal karta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough suggest karta hai ki upward trend continue ho sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points par nazr rakhte hain.

Influencing Factors

Summary mein, Euro ki strength US Dollar ke against weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment se attributed ho sakta hai. Jaise EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ko approach karta hai, market participants upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazr rakhte hain, kyunki yeh factors future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario new participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo previously cautious or bullish trend ki confirmation ke liye wait kar rahe the. Technical indicators ki alignment confirmation data ko serve karta hai, jo uptrend ko sustainable hone ka stronger conviction deta hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, new buyers existing upward pressure mein add karte hain

EUR/USD Pair Technical Analysis
Market conditions EUR/USD currency pair ke liye iss mahine ke early trading session se hi dekhay ja sakte hain ke market ne dobara se move up karne ki koshish shuru kar di hai aur price level 1.1133 par ponch gaya hai. Abhi candlestick thodi si niche correction face kar rahi hai aur apne highest level se thoda neeche gir gayi hai. Halaat dekhein toh current market ab bhi upar hi lag rahi hai agar hum monthly timeframe se naapain. August ke shuru se hi trend upar ki taraf rally kar raha hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi market ke liye kaafi potential hai ke yeh trend ko last July ke market conditions ki tarah barqarar rakhe. Buyer ke hawariyat se market ko phir se dominate karne ki umeed hai aur prices ko aur bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Kuch haftay pehle se le kar kal raat tak, price ab bhi upar hi ja raha tha, aur bullish movement ke saath yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye uptrend journey ko continue karne ka ek moka aur umeed ban sakta hai. Early August trading period ke shuru hone se hi, bullish trend journey 1.1078 price zone se door move kar raha hai, aur yeh izafa kaafi bara lag raha hai. Mere khayal mein, candlestick abhi bhi upar jana chahti hai jaise ke market trend pichle kuch dino se raha hai. Agar technical side se benchmark liya jaye using Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3, yeh zone 80 tak upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur indicator signal ka izafa buyer ke control ka saboot hai. Meri likhi gayi tamam analysis ke mutabiq, buyer ke taraf se candlestick position ko upar le jane ki koshish abhi bhi mumkin hai. Shayad aaj dopahar European market session mein bhi yeh halat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar kuch din pehle se direction of travel ke tendency dekhi jaye, toh yeh trend bullish side par hi ja raha hai. Mera tajziya yeh hai ke market mein price ke upar jane ka moka hai aur yeh bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai, aur mumkin hai ke yeh upward journey monthly high area ko touch karna chahti ho. Aaj ka trading plan zyada tar market trend ko follow karne par focus karega jo ke Uptrend ko dikhata hai, aur Buy trading option ko prepare karne par zyada tawajju di jaye gi