یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level

EUR/USD ke movement par jo analysis kiya gaya hai, us main dekha ja raha hai ke euro ne 1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar. Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain.
DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge.
Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par
Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate cut cycle start karega, aur ab debate cut ki timing se zyada uske magnitude par ho raha hai. Interest rate traders lagbhag 60% chances dekh rahe hain ke Fed aakhri chaar saalon mai pehli dafa rates ko 50 basis points se kam karega, jab ke 40% expect karte hain ke yeh cut 25 basis points ka hoga. CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke December

### EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Tajziya

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1167 par trade kar raha hai, aur market bearish trend ke nishan dikhata hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is bearish sentiment ke piche kayi wajahen ho sakti hain, jisme Eurozone se aane wale kamzor economic data, U.S. ki mazboot economic performance, ya Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate policies mein tabdeeli shamil hai.

Halankeh market dheere dheere gir raha hai, lekin aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki sambhavana hai. Traders aur investors abhi key economic indicators, jaise inflation rates, employment data, aur GDP growth par nazar rakhein hain, jo market ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakte hain. Iske ilawa, geopolitical factors, jaise global trade ke ongoing tensions ya energy prices, bhi EUR/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

### Central Bank Policies ka Asar

Ek aur ahem factor jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye woh central bank ki policies hain. European Central Bank ka inflation aur interest rates par stance euro ki value ko asar andaz karega. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko mazeed tighten karne ka ishaara deta hai, toh is se U.S. dollar ki value aur mazboot ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish trend ko aur barha dega.

### Market ki Slow Movement aur Consolidation Phase

Abhi market dheere dheere chal raha hai, lekin yeh consolidation ka yeh marahil shayad kisi bade price movement ka pehle ka nishan ho. Technical traders support aur resistance levels ke saath saath moving averages aur RSI jaise indicators par nazar rakhte hain taake wo potential breakouts ko anticipate kar sakein. Momentum ka shift ya market volume mein achanak izafa kisi bhi time mein bade movement ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur traders ko aise market dynamics mein tabdeelion ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

### Conclusion

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD currency pair ki current bearish trend aur market conditions ko samajhna zaroori hai. Economic data releases aur geopolitical tensions ke asraat ko dekhte hue traders ko apne strategies ko behtar banane ki koshish karni chahiye. Aane wale dino mein inflation, employment, aur GDP growth ke indicators par nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki yeh sab market ki disha tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge. Is ke ilawa, central banks ki policies ka asar bhi euro aur dollar ki values ko khud se shape karne ka kaam karega.

Monday ko EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti ha

ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai

chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level

Yakja Europe ki currency ab bhi qareeb 11150 ke level par trade kar rahi hai, kuch farq ke sath donon taraf par chalti hui. Yeh fikr paida ho rahi hai ke recent kehtam huay compression jaldi khatam hoga, shayad kisi ek taraf ek achanak zor daar jump ke sath.

Kal ka din khas tha lekin koi bara surprise nahi tha, aur market ka overall manzar waisa hi raha. Europe ki currency ka halka uptrend ek martaba phir se shak ke neechay aa gaya hai, jis ka natija yeh hai ke Euro ne ground kho diya, Thursday ke tamaam gains ko mita diya, aur Friday ka aaghaaz US currency ko thoda behtar position mein paaya.

Halankeh Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke agle meetings ke darmiyan kuch faasla hai, interest rates mein katauti ke iradon par shart lagayi ja rahi hai, jo ke ab bhi interest rates ko apni taraf kheench rahi hain aur exchange rate ke rukh ko asar andaz kar rahi hain.

Halankeh Fed ke aakhri cut ke baad interest rate ka farq 50 basis points tak kam ho gaya, lekin spread ab bhi US currency ke haqq mein hai, aur Europe ki economy ke hawale se pareshaniyan bhi us waqt Europe ki currency ke liye rukawat hain ke woh 1.14 - 1.15 ke level tak zyada upar ja sake. Meri nazar mein, yeh woh uncha prices hain jo Europe ki currency ko 2024 ke aakhir tak pohanch sakti hain.

Aaj ka program khas tor par announcement-heavy hai jisme eurozone ke kuch countries ke inflation data shamil hain, jabke US ka personal consumption expenditure index bhi numaya hai, jo Fed ka pasandeeda scale hai kyun ke yeh inflation data ka pehla ishara hota hai.

Agar yeh data surprise karay, to yeh aur zyada rate cuts ke hawale se sharton ko taazah kar sakta hai, jo zaroori taur par rate ko farq daal sakta hai aur shayad isay aakhri chand dino ke tight range se break karne mein madad milay.

Market ka rawayya kisi had tak meri soch ki tasdeeq kar raha hai, jaise ke main pehle bhi US currency khareedne ke rujhan ka izhaar kar chuka hoon kisi bhi spike par, lekin ab tak sahi entry point nahi mil raha.

Main apni yeh soch par barqarar hoon, filhal sakoon se rahoon ga aur US dollar khareedne ka naya mouqa dhoondta rahoon ga jab koi nayi top banti hai

Monday ko EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar

1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar. Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain. DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge.
Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par
Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate

### EUR/USD ka Tajziya

Aaj European trading session mein EUR/USD ne 1.1124 ke low ko chune ke baad apni bearish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha aur U.S. Dollar ke muqable mein upar ki taraf correct karna shuru kiya. Humne dekha hai ke ek bullish price crossover aaya hai, jo 30-minute time frame mein 50 moving average ke sath favorable hai.

Price ab 1-hour time frame mein pivot point par wapas aayi hai. 2-hour time frame mein bhi 50 moving averages ke saath ek bullish trend reversal dekha gaya hai. Nichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, price 4-hour time frame mein cloud ke upar hai, jo bullish signal deta hai. Iske ilawa, RSI indicator 50 ke upar chala gaya hai, jo market mein mazid buying ka ishara deta hai.

Kuch technical indicators markets mein bearish neutral stance de rahe hain, jo ke market ki consolidation phase ko darust karta hai. EUR/USD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo is trend ko support karta hai.

### Key Points:

- **Euro bullish reversal**: 1.1124 ke mark ke upar dekha gaya.
- **Short-term range**: Bullishness mazid strong nazar aa rahi hai.
- **EUR/USD**: 1.1150 level ke upar hold kar raha hai.
- **Volatility**: Average True Range (ATR) ke mutabiq market mein low volatility hai.

Agle resistance ka level 1.1164 par hai, jo ke ek pivot point hai. EUR/USD is waqt apne pivot level 1.1164 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin ek strong bullish channel ki taraf move kar raha hai. Market apni classic support level 1.1139 ke upar hai aur ab 1.1171 ke agle target ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke 14-3 day Raw Stochastic ke mutabiq 80% par hai.

### Concluding Remarks:

Yeh analysis sirf mere apne raaye hai, aur ise kisi bhi company ko ek opinion, offer, recommendation, ya financial advice ke tor par nahi lena chahiye.







→ **Micron Technologies** ke CEO **Sanjay Mehrotra** ne kaha ke AI demand ne unke data center DRAM products ko mazid mazboot banaya aur unki industry-leading high-capacity memory ki zarurat ko mazid barhaya.

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh aaj market me utar-chadhaw badhega, jiski wajah se qimaton me zabardast utar-chadhaw hoga. Kahir kar, Peer ka macroeconomic calendar Chicago PMI data, German consumer prices aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke speech samet aham khabron ki release se bhara hua hai. Halankeh, Americi markazi bank ke sarbarah ki janib se koi nayi bat kahne ka imkan nahin hai. Waise bhi, nazar rakhne ke liye kafi reports maujud hain kiyunkeh un ka bazar par buda asar pad sakta hai.
Is dauran, trading chart zahir karta hai keh market ki suratehal ghair yaqini hai. Euro/dollar ka joda do sloping trend lines se bandhi hadd ke darmiyan karobar kar raha hai. Yah dekhna baqi hai keh qimat pahle kahan jayegi aur fir rebound par karobar karegi.
Qimat ooper se 1.1192 ki satah aur niche se 1.1150 ki satah tak mahdud hai. European currency ke girne aur 1.1135 par ek false breakout karne ka imkan hai.
Is bat ko madde nazar rakhte hue keh bade waqeaat se pahle market me utar-chadhaw ka rujhan hota hai, euro/dollar ka joda aaj nayi muqami extremes par pahunchne ka imkan nahin hai, jabkeh range boundaries se paltaw mumkin hai.

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.
Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro ke liye ek main rukawat ban jayega. Agar is level ka decisive break hota hai, to asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Aane wale levels mein, psychological price 1.1000 aur 17 July ka High Point main support area ban jayega.

USD ke 4-hour (H4) chart ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh logical hai ke pair increase kar raha hai kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad apne pehlay highs ko surpass kar chuka hai. Jab sellers ki limits trigger hui, toh ek strong movement dekhne ko mili, aur mujhe laga ke yeh pair mazeed barhta rahega, gray range ke lower bounds tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai.Mujhe yeh bhi laga ke, Federal Reserve ke subsequent 50 basis points ki rate cut ke bawajood, inflation 3.2% par hi rahegi, aur jab tak inflation mazeed kam nahi hoti, pair ki mazeed rise mushkil hogi. Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad price mein kami ayi. Pehlay ke peaks ko hit karne ke baad, ek dip aayi lekin pair ne apne pichle peak ko update kiya.Yeh dono abhi bhi develop ho rahe hain aur waqt ke sath wapis jaate hain. Sab kuch perfectly sense bana raha hai, lekin yeh thora ajeeb hai ke jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko kam kiya, toh pound unprecedented heights tak soar kar gaya. Mai abhi bhi yeh manta hoon ke pair gray area ke bottom bounds ki taraf jayega, jo 1.09231 ke aas paas support karega, jab tak inflation kam hona shuru nahi hota. EUR/USD pair apne expansion ke early stages mein lag raha hai, chahey woh 1.0700 se barh chuka ho, jo ke paanch growth figures se zyada ko represent karta hai.Iski wajah yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke US Federal Reserve apni agli October meeting mein mazeed 0.5% ka rate cut karega. Aur kyun ke hum is zone ke upar trade kar rahe hain, mujhe umeed hai ke hum 1.1227 - 1.1246 ke resistance zone tak grow karenge, jahan se rollback ka imkaan hai, lekin uske baad bhi zyada se zyada current levels, yaani 1.1180 ke region tak hi wapas aaye ga. Filhaal technology bhi is point of view ko support kar rahi hai. Support zone levels 1.1120 - 1.1138 se limited hai

EUR/USD pair is waqt 1.1191 par hai, aur market ka rujhan bearish side par hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke euro ki dollar ke muqablay mein qeemat gir rahi hai, jo euro ki kamzori ya dollar ki mazbooti ko zahiR karta hai. Jo slow movement hum dekh rahe hain, yeh is wajah se ho sakta hai ke market ke participants kisi aham economic events ya data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain. Magar, is dheemi raftaar ke bawajood, mujhe yaqeen hai ke EUR/USD pair aanay walay dinon mein ek bara movement dikhane wala hai.
Kayi factors hain jo is intehai volatility mein hissa daal sakte hain. Central bank policies, khaaskar European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ka kirdar EUR/USD dynamics mein nihayat ahem hota hai. Agar Fed mazeed interest rate hikes ya hawkish stance ka ishara deta hai, to yeh dollar ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar ECB aggressively tightening measures ko istemal karta hai, to euro ko kuch stability mil sakti hai, jo pair par upward pressure dal sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments, inflation data, aur Europe aur U.S. se employment reports bhi currency pair mein zyada pronounced movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Market sentiment aksar tezzi se tabdeel hota hai, aur in areas mein choti si tabdili bhi sharp fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Haal ka bearish trend ehtiyaat ka mashwara deta hai, magar aham data releases ke madde nazar, traders ko potential spikes in volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Agar pair current level se neeche break karta hai, to downside ko taizi mil sakti hai, jabke reversal bullish rally ko trigger kar sakta hai.