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EUR/USD ANALYSIS

EUR/USD spot price mein kafi bara reversal dekhne ko mila hai, jahan yeh apne intraday gains ko surrender karta hua 1.1180 mark ke upar settle hua. Yeh situation Friday ke North American session ke dauran hui jab price ne 1.1190 ka naya weekly high touch kiya. Is recent uptick ke baad euro ki strength dheere dheere fade hui aur US Dollar (USD) ne mazboot recovery dikhai. Market close tak, EUR/USD kareeb 1.163 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo in dono currencies ke darmiyan chalti tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai.

Iss waqt market analysts expect kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair ko 1.1100 ke psychological level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Yeh level traders ke liye significant hai kyun ke pehle bhi yeh kaafi strong support provide kar chuka hai. Agar price is level par support maintain kar pata hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying ka mauqa bana sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko neeche push karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Upside par, pichlay hafte ka high jo 1.1192 tha aur 1.1200 ka round-number resistance euro bulls ke liye major hurdles ke taur par samjhe jayenge. Dono levels technical traders ke liye critical hain, kyun ke price action in points par strong reaction dikhata hai. Agar euro in levels ko breach kar pata hai, to bullish sentiment barh sakta hai, lekin agar resistance hold karta hai, to euro ka momentum kuch waqt ke liye stall ho sakta hai.

Recent market trends aur economic indicators ko dekhte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke USD ki itni strong recovery kyun hui hai. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur inflation ke hawale se chalti discussions ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. Agar US economy achi performance dikhata hai, to USD ki demand barh sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko neeche push karne ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Analysts is baat ka bhi dehaan rakhein ge ke geopolitical events aur economic data releases EUR/USD par kaise asar dalte hain. Major economic news price movement mein kaafi tabdeeli la sakti hai. Traders ko economic calendar par nazar rakhni chahiye taake kisi bhi bari announcement ke liye tayaar rahain.



Is waqt traders ko apni trading strategies adjust karni chahiye. Agar market 1.1100 ke support level ko test karta hai, to yeh buying ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai, lekin risk management intehai zaroori hai. Market volatility ko samajhna aur theek stop-loss levels set karna essential hai taake investments protect ki ja sakein. Current EUR/USD trend yeh indicate karta hai ke market ne recent highs ko touch karne ke baad reversal dekha hai. 1.1100 ka psychological support level aur 1.1192 aur 1.1200 ke resistance levels traders ke liye key hain. Market ki dynamics aur USD ki recovery ko dekhte hue yeh zaroori hai ke future movements ko samajh kar trading ki jaye. Ahtiyaat ke sath trading aur thorough analysis ke zariye, traders is volatile market ka faida utha sakte hain.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Monday ko kaafi intensive growth dekhi gayi, aur main phir se EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 period chart dekhne ka mashwara doon ga. Abhi price descending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai aur apni upper border par hai. Wave structure abhi bhi downward order build kar raha hai. MACD indicator abhi upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Price descending channel ke top tak pohanch gayi hai, jabke indicators ne strong signals diye hain ke yeh descending line se neeche ki taraf rebound karegi. CCI indicator par aap ek classic bearish divergence dekh sakte hain. Dusre MACD indicator par bearish convergence ka signal hai, jo sell signal hota hai. Yeh sab factors is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke ziada chances hain ke yahan se neeche ka rebound hoga, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh Friday ke low tak pohanch sakta hai. Ho sakta hai ke horizontal support level 1.1047 tak bhi pohanch jaye, jo ke ek mirror level hai aur yahan se phir growth resume ho sakti hai. Abhi, chhoti timeframes M5-M15 par sale ke liye formation dekh sakte hain, yeh same mirror level par, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho aur downward move kar sakein. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi khaas economic news nahi hai, to aap technical rebound ko calmly work out kar sakte hain bina kisi surprise ke. Waise, hourly period par bhi, jo ke abhi dekhne ka koi khaas faida nahi hai, bearish divergence hai, lekin yeh MACD indicator par hai, CCI par nahi. Yeh sab descending line ke base par hai, aur iske ilawa 1.1122 ke level ke qareeb ek resistance zone bhi hai jo ke closing prices par built hua hai. Halankeh yeh area abhi break through karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh attempt false hogi aur aakhir mein price neeche ko correction ke liye chali jaye gi.



EUR/USD pair ka upward trend filhal kisi bade obstacle ka samna nahi karega. Support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai, lekin abhi tak market bullish hai aur koi significant bearish signals nazar nahi aa rahe. Jab tak koi unexpected economic ya geopolitical developments nahi hoti, EUR/USD pair ke mazeed barhne ke chances ziada hain. Federal Reserve ko lagta hai ke woh apni monetary policy ko ehtiyaat se adjust kar rahe hain taake inflation ko control mein rakha ja sake aur economy ko bhi maintain kiya ja sake. Decision-makers ne initial expectations ko purposefully lower kiya aur sirf 0.25% rate cut announce kiya. Agar price 1.1200 level ko break kar leti hai, to mazeed upward movement ho sakti hai. Abhi market mein optimism hai, aur kai investors EUR/USD par bullish hain. Market ab 0.25% rate cut anticipate kar raha hai jo Federal Reserve ke iss saal ke remaining do meetings mein ho sakti hai. Agar ECB apni monetary policies ko maintain karta hai ya apne rates nahi barhata, to yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye aur bhi positive hoga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, euro/dollar ka joda mazbut hua aur ghair mutawaqqe taur par 1.1200 ke nishan tak pahunch gaya. Halankeh, mujhe is bat par kam yaqeen hai keh yah joda aaj 1.1240 ki satah tak faide ko badha payega. Haqiqat yah hai keh digar badi currencies pahle hi apni numaya muzahmati satah par pahunch chuki hain aur imkan hai keh Americi dollar ki mazbuti ki wajah se niche gir jayengi. Sirf us surat me jab euro maujudah satah se taqriban 40 pips badhega to yah girne se pahle baqi badi currencies se alag ho jayega.
Sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh European currency niche ki taraf palatne aur girne se pahle 1.1210 ke nishan tak chadh jayegi. Kisi bhi surat me, mai maujudah satahon se long positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun. Qarz ki satah ke mutabiq, 1.1095 ki satah par debt hai jiska test kiya jana chahiye. Ham dekhenge.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, euro/dollar ke jode ne ooper ki taraf raftar hasil ki aur taqriban 1.1200 ki satah par pahunch gaya. Lehaza, mai 1.1210 ke nishan se jodi farokht karne me jald bazi nahin karunga. Jaisa keh maine pahle zikar kiya hai, dedh saal ki muzahmat ab 1.1275 par hai. Mai qimat ke iske qarib pahunchne ke imkan se inkar nahin karunga.



Jaisa keh maine pichle hafte zikar kiya tha, 1.1200 par false breakout ki surat me long positions kholna relevant hoga. Koi bhi maujudah satahon se short positions kholne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin khatre ko kam karne ke liye 1.1202 ke nishan par stop loss order rakha jana chahiye. Jahan tak mumkena kami ka talluq hai, yah aham ho sakta hai. Lehaza, ya to maujudah satahon se farokht karna ya false breakout ka intezar karna qabile qadar hai. Khair, teesa option yah hai keh 1.1275 ki satah pat tezi ki tawaqqo ki jaye.

USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halankiClick image for

Price puri European trading session mein stagnant rahi, aur phir US session ke aghaz par ek jazbaati tezi expected thi. Us waqt, US ne NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment rates, aur average earnings ke reports publish kiye. In reports ko wazeh tor par interpreter karna mushkil tha kyun ke unemployment rate thoda kam hua magar forecast ke andar hi raha; NonFarms ki tadaad forecast se thodi kam thi magar pehli value se zyada thi; wages mein izafa hua, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se monetary policy ke aggressive easing ke chances ko kuch kam karta hai. Market ne in data ko “shara'iti tor par positive” samjha, aur dollar thoda barh gaya. Lekin yeh reports dollar ke liye koi khaas achay prospects nahi kholte. Labor market aur unemployment ke data ab bhi umeedon par pura nahi utarte, jo ke Fed ko kam az kam ek ya do dafa key rate kam karne par majboor karenge. Market ne in "ek ya do dafa" ke rate cuts ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai, magar ab bhi zyadatar aggressive policy easing ka intezar kar raha hai. Jumay ko 5-minute time frame par pehle poori flat thi, phir turbulence dekha gaya. US trading session ke dauran, naye traders sirf do sell signals par kaam kar sakte thay jo ke level 1.1132 ke qareeb aaye, kyun ke yeh sabse accurate thay. Magar macroeconomic background ka asar kafi zyada tha, toh 1.1132 ka level surpass ho sakta tha. 1.1091 ke level par ek hi waqt mein chaar trading signals bane, magar sabhi inaccurate aur contradictory thay. **Monday ko kaise trade karein:** Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ne apni ascending trend line ke neeche consolidation ki hai, aur pehli dafa bohat arsay baad ek downward trend banane ka mauqa hai jo logical aur tamam analysis factors ke mutabiq hoga. Lekin afsos ke sath, illogical dollar sales jaldi se dobara shuru ho sakti hain downward correction ke baad, kyun ke kisi ko nahi pata ke market kab tak Fed ki monetary policy easing ko price mein shamil karta rahega, jo ke ab tak shuru nahi hui. Market ab tak takreeban tamam aane wale rate cuts ko price mein shamil kar raha hai

Euro (EUR) ne apni recent upward momentum ko Tuesday ko roka, jab yeh 1.1100 ke aas-paas settle hua. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate faislay ka intezar kar rahe the jo Wednesday ko aana tha. Is hafte ke liye European economic calendar mein kuch khaas nahi tha, is liye market ki tawajjo Fed ke rate cut par thi. August ke liye US retail sales ka data kuch support provide kiya, jo 0.1% growth ke saath thoda behtar tha jabke prediction -0.2% contraction thi. July ke retail sales figures ko bhi 1.1% tak revise kiya gaya. Magar core retail sales, jo auto purchases ko exclude karti hain, sirf 0.1% barh gayi, jabke expectation 0.2% thi. Fed ka aane wala interest rate meeting Wednesday ko is hafte ka sabse aham waqia hai. Investors ne saal ke shuru se rate cut ki umeed laga rakhi hai, aur March mein reduction ki guftagu tez ho rahi hai. CME ka FedWatch tool abhi yeh darshata hai ke market 50 basis point ka rate cut anticipate kar raha hai, lekin 25 basis point ka reduction hone ki bhi achi sambhavna hai.USD pair ki recent rally ne Tuesday ko resistance ka samna kiya, aur long-term bulls cautious rahe. August ke aakhir mein ek saal ke high se peeche hatne ke baad, price action technical consolidation mein phas gaya hai, jabke last week ka bullish bounce 1.1000 se aaya tha. Tuesday ko bullish open ne 1.1116 ke aas-paas supply zone ko touch kiya aur usse bahar nikal gaya, aur current bullish range ka mid-point 1.1129 par khatam hua. 1.1100 ya Point of Control (POC) 1.1088 par pullback ki umeed hai, jahan bulls is level ko defend karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agle supply zone ke potential targets 1.1150 aur 1.1166 hain, jo 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extension levels ke kareeb hain. Jab Fibonacci extension tak pohanch jaaye, toh 1.1072 aakhri relevant support level ke taur par confirm hoga. Is waqt ke upside move ke liye, 1.1002 aakhri valid support level hai.

Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

MA5/MA10 Low aur High ke aas-paas move hui hai, jo daily chart par neela mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh halat aage chalkar sideways movement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke USD abhi tak puri tarah se kamzor ya mixed nahi hai, is liye correlation bhi itni mazboot nahi hai. Hum is halat ko trading ka behtar mauqa samajh sakte hain, lekin is se milne wala munafa zyada nahi hoga. Aise market conditions mein, sell on strength aur buy on weakness strategies kaafi behtar kaam kar sakti hain.

Aaj ka candlestick daily average price ke area mein hai, jo 1.1100 - 1.1080 ke aas-paas hai. Agar aap price history ko dekhein, to is price level par hamesha demand bohot zyada hoti hai. Forex market volume barhne par yehi halat ho sakti hai. Is liye, traders ko is daily chart analysis ke mad e nazar buy trading options kholne par focus karna chahiye, lekin detailed plan ke liye choti timeframes jaise H1 aur H4 ka istemal karna chahiye.

H1 intraday basis par dekha jaye to yeh buy plan ko support nahi karta, kyunki price position Red EMA200 ke neeche hai aur agle support ki taraf girne ki achi sambhavna hai. Intraday data ka istemal karte hue, do key levels dikhai diye jo strong trading signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal kiye ja sakte hain, jo hain green resistance 1.1144 aur yellow support 1.1083. Dono levels ka penetration further downtrend movements ko trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin, pehle ke bearish candle ki size ko dekhte hue, is waqt sell trading option behtar rahega.

Trading Scenario

General taur par, EUR/USD market daily timeframe par wedge pattern banane ki sambhavna rakhta hai, isliye yeh kafi samay le sakta hai. Is wedge pattern ke implications limited movements ko asar daalenge, isliye traders ko zyada munafa ka aim nahi rakhna chahiye. Upar diye gaye analysis se, mere paas H1 basis par kuch short-term trading options hain:

- Sell limit green resistance 1.1133 - 1.1144 ke liye SL 1.1154 aur TP 1.1095.
- Buy limit yellow support 1.1095 - 1.1085 ke liye SL 1.1075.

General taur par, Monday ko movement aisa lag raha tha ke woh phir se giraawat kar sakte hain, aur H4 candle mein dekha gaya ke yeh ema100 ke important area ko touch kiya, lekin end mein isne isko penetrate karne mein rukawat ka samna kiya. Aage ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sell karne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai aur EUR/USD mein bhi yeh ho sakta hai, kyunki ema8 aur ema21 ne kal cross candle banayi, jo sell karne ka behtar mauqa hai. Mera ideal sell target EUR/USD mein 1.10 area tak pahunchnay ka hai, lekin yeh asani se haqeeqat nahi ban sakta aur USD mein abhi tak koi mazbooti nahi hai.

Outlook**

EUR/USD is filhal 1.1120 par trade kar raha hai. Price ne downward trend mein close kiya hai. Zigzag pattern ek opposite trend dikhata hai. Humne 100 SMA, 50 SMA, aur 20 SMA simple moving averages ko draw kiya hai. 1.1135 par 50-day moving average price ko hit kar raha hai. Agar upside movement hoti hai, to ye baaki moving averages (100-20 SMA) ko paar karega, jo resistance lines ke tor par 1.1170 aur 1.1185 par hain. Bullish trend ka aane ke liye, resistance levels 1.1150 aur 1.1155 ko todna hoga. Is taraf bearishness ka asar primary support level 1.1080 tak pahuncha sakta hai aur phir second support level 1.1050 par aa sakta hai.

RSI-14 indicator abhi 47.90 par hai, jo oversold level se upar hai. Mom (14) oscillator 98.80 par price decline ka signal de raha hai. EUR/USD ne H4 time frame par triangle model ke mutabiq correction ki hai. Is surat mein market mein enter karna munasib nahi hai. Trading se pehle price chart ka jaiza lena aur ready-made forecasts ka mutala karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka technical picture H4 time frame par dikhata hai ke current price 1.1075 hai. RSI is couple ki movement ke bare mein clear signals nahi de raha. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, lines intertwined hain, jo flat market ko dikhata hai. Couple cloud ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo sideways movement ko darshata hai. Is halat mein switch karna behtar nahi hai. Agar is pair mein enter karne ki koi khaas wajah hai, to sabr karein aur flat se nikalne ka intazaar karein, phir technical analysis karke entry lein.


Trading mein hamesha market ke current trends aur conditions par nazar rakhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, patience aur careful analysis se hi behtareen decisions liye ja sakte hain. Market ki volatility aur price movements ko samajhna ahem hai, taake trading ke dauran kisi bhi potential risk se bacha ja sake.

Currency pair mein hal hi mein ek notable shift nazar aayi hai, jismein apne intraday gains ko surrender karke 1.1130 mark ke neeche slip kar gayi, jab ke Tuesday ko early Asian session mein weekly high 1.1171 par pohonchi thi. Yeh retreat strong recovery ki wajah se hua jo US Dollar (USD) mein dekhne ko mili, jo ke momentum regain kar ch uka hai, aur is wajah se euro ka apne American counterpart ke against performance affect hui hai. US Economic Data aur Wage Growth ke Insights ka Asar
appeal kam ho rahi thi, khaaskar us waqt ke baad jab significant economic indicators publish hui. US JOLTS Job Openings data July ke liye aur ADP Employment data August ke liye ne labor market ke kamzori ke concerns ko barhawa diya. Job vacancies aur private sector payroll additions apne teen aur adha saal ke lowest levels par pohonch gaye, jo ke 7.67 million aur 99,000 hai. Yeh data ek aane wali economic slowdown ka dar paida karta hai, jis se US dollar ki strength par zyada scrutiny hui.

Lekin US Average Hourly Earnings data ne labor market ka ek optimistic picture dikhaya. August mein wage growth 3.8% tak accelerate hui, jo ke pehle ke estimates 3.7% se zyada hai aur July ke 3.6% se bhi zyada hai. Iske ilawa, monthly wage growth ne bhi expectations ko outperform kiya, jo 0.4% thi jab ke prediction 0.3% thi, aur pichle month ka figure 0.2% tha. Yeh stronger-than-anticipated wage growth consumer spending ko support kar sakti hai, jo ke employment levels ke concerns ka Outlook bullish lag raha hai. Dono 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, jo ke 1.1139 aur 1.1115 par hain, upward trend mein hain. Moving averages ka yeh alignment is baat ko suggest karta hai ke agar euro in critical support levels ke upar hold kar sake toh gain ka potential barh sakta hai. Iske

**EUR/USD Analysis**

Hello sab ko! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekhte hue, main yeh soorat-e-haal dekhta hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upward slope kar raha hai, jo ke market mein strong buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek achi opportunity pesh karti hai ke lower channel boundary se buying consider ki jaye, jo 1.11914 par hai. Agle step mein, main expect karta hoon ke market 1.12151 tak upar jaye ga, uske baad ek correction aani chahiye. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hogi, jahan se phir se buying opportunities ko consider kiya jana chahiye. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, to hum mazeed girawat dekhte hain, aur is surat mein buying positions cancel ho jati hain. Aise market channel ke saath upar ki taraf grow karta hai. Sales upper channel boundary 1.12151 se expect karni chahiye, jahan se entry ki jaa sakti hai. Mere liye pullback par enter karna zaroori hai, jitna close ho lower boundary ke.

H1 higher timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, main dekhta hoon ke linear regression channel bhi upward slope kar raha hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahem hai. Yeh strong bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. M15 channel ka signal buying ka hai, jo ke meri buying desire ko mazid strong karta hai. Mujhe sirf price ka intezaar karna hai sahi level par aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Is waqt main jahan buying opportunities dekh raha hoon, woh current soorat-e-haal mein lower channel boundary hai, jo ke 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se main phir se buy karne ki koshish karunga, target 1.12036 tak. Agar yeh target achieve ho jata hai aur growth jaari rehti hai, to yeh ek strong upward movement ko dikhata hai. 1.12036 se correction ka chance bhi zyada hai, kyun ke bullish movement select hui hai. Bulls phir apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 neeche break hota hai, to yeh bearish interest ka signal hai. Is surat mein, trading plan ko dobara dekhna aur market situation ko phir se reassess karna zaroori ho sakta hai.

Doosray half of the day mein ziyata activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme

**EUR/JPY Price Forecast**

EUR/JPY ne do roz se kharidaaron ko attract kiya hai, lekin ye ab bhi haftay ki oonchai se neeche hai. Technical setup weekly trading range se breakout ke prospects ko support karta hai. Agar 159.00 ka mark convincingly break hota hai, toh ye near-term positive bias ko negate karega.

EUR/JPY cross Wednesday ko do baar positive bias ke saath trade kar raha hai, lekin bullish conviction ki kami hai aur ye is haftay ke shuru se ek hi range mein confined hai. Spot prices filhal mid-160.00s ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hain, jo din ke liye lagbhag 0.25% upar hain, aur ye kai factors se support le rahi hain.

Shared currency ko prevalent US Dollar (USD) selling bias se faida mil raha hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke liye zyada aggressive policy easing ke liye badhte huye bets se fueled hai. Iske ilawa, risk-on environment safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) ko undermine kar raha hai aur EUR/JPY cross ke liye tailwind ka kaam kar raha hai. Lekin, Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke beech policy expectations ka divergence kisi bhi meaningful appreciating move ko rok raha hai.

Technical perspective se, range-bound price action ko recent move-up ke backdrop mein bullish consolidation phase ke taur par categorize kiya ja sakta hai, jo pichle do hafton se dekha gaya hai. Daily chart par oscillators ab positive traction lena shuru kar chuke hain aur ye eventual breakout ke prospects ko support karte hain. Lekin, bulls ko 161.00 ke mark ke upar sustained strength aur acceptance ka intezaar karna hoga tabhi wo naye bets laga sakte hain. EUR/JPY cross phir 161.40-161.45 intermediate resistance tak move ko accelerate kar sakta hai, jiske baad 162.00 ke round figure tak pahunchega.

Agla relevant hurdle 162.45-162.50 ke region mein hai, jiske upar bulls monthly peak ko challenge karne ka aim rakh sakte hain, jo ke 162.90 area ke aas-paas hai. Agar 163.00 ka round figure ke paar follow-through buying hoti hai, toh ye negative outlook ko negate karega aur near-term bias ko bullish traders ki taraf shift karega.

Dusri taraf, agar 160.00 ke psychological mark ke neeche kamzori hoti hai, toh support 159.60-159.55 region mein milega, jo ke 159.00 ke round figure ya weekly range ke lower boundary se pehle hai. Agar ye lower boundary convincingly break hoti hai, toh ye suggest karega ke recent upward trajectory ne apna steam khatam kar diya hai aur EUR/JPY cross ko 158.20 area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske baad 158.00 ke round figure ka support hai, iske neeche prices mid-157.00s tak gir sakti hain aur 157.00 ke mark ki taraf bhi aa sakti hain.

mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halankiClick image for larger version