یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Pichlay kuch dinon mein market ka price movement zyada tar sellers ke haath mein raha hai, jo price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar chart se yeh nazar aata hai ke bearish attempts ab tak 1.1004 ke level ko tor nahi sakay, jo ke is haftay support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko breach nahi kar patey, to trend mazid strong ho sakta hai. Is liye, main ek comprehensive trading plan bana raha hoon takay anticipate kar sako ke price kab upward move karega aur agla target identify kar sako, H4 time frame ke basis par. Sath hi, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support aur resistance boundary lines bhi use kar raha hoon taake apni analysis ko aur refine kar sako.

H4 time frame chart par, EUR/USD ki price movement initially reversal signal dikhati hai, jo bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir hai. Agar hum daily time frame par dekhen to humein pata chalta hai ke pichlay haftay ke trading sessions mein buyers bullish trend ko sustain nahi kar sakay, aur market neeche chali gayi correction ke liye sellers ke pressure ki wajah se. Is haftay bhi bearish attempts jari hain, lekin Thursday ko strong buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko better kiya, jo ke ek bullish rally ka raasta kholta hai, bilkul waisa hi jaisa August ke end mein dekha gaya tha.

Stochastic indicator ka istemal karte hue further analysis yeh batata hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market growth ka potential dikhata hai. Buyers ke paas abhi bhi kaafi momentum ho sakta hai ke woh aaj EUR/USD prices ko aur upar le ja sakein. Filhal, market movement 1.1078 ke level ke aas paas static hai. Main personaly intizaar kar raha hoon ke kuch aur upward movement ke signs milain, kyun ke ab tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nazar nahi aa rahi.

Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, steady growth rahi hai, halan ke beech mein downward corrections bhi hui hain. Yahan tak ke overall market outlook ab bhi bullish hai, main intizaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break karain takay ek clear buy signal validate ho sake. Aaj ki market movement ke liye, lagta hai ke neutral hi rahegi, kyun ke USD ke liye koi high-impact news schedule nahi hai is Friday ko. Is liye, main market ko closely monitor kar raha hoon kisi bhi breakout signal ke liye, is se pehle ke koi further decision loon.

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EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Pichlay kuch dino se market price ka movement zyada tar sellers dominate kar rahe hain, jo ke price ko niche le janay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, chart dikhata hai ke ab tak bearish koshishen 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar paayi hain, jo ke iss hafte support level ka kaam kar sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko break karne mein nakam rahein, toh trend mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Isi liye, main aik comprehensive trading plan bananay wala hoon taake predict kar sako ke kab price upward move karna shuru karega, aur agla target identify kar sako, H4 time frame ki base par.

Main is analysis ko aur refine karne ke liye stochastic oscillator indicator ka bhi use kar raha hoon, jo ke support aur resistance boundary lines ke sath mil kar kaam karta hai. H4 time frame chart par EUR/USD ka price movement pehlay reversal signal show kar raha tha, jo ke bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir tha. Agar hum daily time frame ko dekhein, toh pichlay hafte ke trading sessions mein buyers ka bullish trend sustain karna mushkil ho gaya tha, aur market seller ke pressure ke waja se correction ke liye niche chali gayi thi. Iss hafte bhi bearish attempts jari hain, lekin Thursday ko strong buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, aur bullish rally ka rasta khol diya, bilkul August ke end ke trend ki tarah.

Stochastic indicator ke zariye mazeed analysis se pata chalta hai ke signal line 80 zone tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ke market growth ki potential ko indicate kar raha hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD prices ko upar le jane ka kaafi momentum ho sakta hai. Filhal market ka movement 1.1078 level ke aas paas static hai. Main personaly intezaar kar raha hoon ke koi aur upward movement ke signs milain, kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhne ko mili.



Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, market mein steady growth dekhne ko mili hai, halaan ke kuch downward corrections bhi huye hain. Yeh baat clear hai ke overall market outlook bullish hai, lekin main intezaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break karain taake clear buy signal validate ho sake. Aaj ke market movement kaafi neutral rehne ke imkaan hain, kyun ke USD ke liye aaj koi high-impact news schedule nahi hai. Is liye, main market ko closely monitor kar raha hoon taake kisi breakout signal ke baad koi faisla kar sako.

Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke hawalay se ek dilchasp behas mein mashghool hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb ek "false" breakout ka dekhne ko mila hai. Aise false breakouts ke baad aksar price ulat direction mein chalna shuru karti hai, jo agle chand sessions mein neechey ki janib ja sakti hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab baday market players aur sellers ke paas consequential orders ke liye kaafi counter-liquidity nahi hoti. Jab price is zone se breakout karti hai toh us jagah par lagaye gaye orders—zyadatar buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hote hain. Is liye, jab ek "false" breakout ka pata chale, toh ye prudent hota hai ke ek reversal ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh rasta 1.1096 level tak khul jaye ga aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar yeh is baat par mabni hai ke aaj ka low breach hota hai ya nahi. Abhi pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se is moving average ke oopar trade karne ka irada rakhta hai.
Agar hum EURUSD ka chart dekhein, toh aaj ek bullish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is waqt price 1.1113 par hai, aur bullish momentum zor pakar raha hai kyun ke buyers market mein apni hukoomat ko barhawa de rahe hain. Bulls apni taqat ko achi tareh se barhawa de rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ki nishani hai. Yeh surge yeh batata hai ke aglay chand ghantay EURUSD pair ke liye bohot aham ho sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehta hai, toh intehai imkaan hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 ke resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek aham marhala hai, jo agar paar ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko mazeed validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka rasta khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh toolsscenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka intezar karte hain. Ek volatile environment mein apne account ko theek tareh se manage karna zaroori hota hai, jahan price movements bohot taizi se aur bara asar daal sakte hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D

Mere dosto! Aap sab kaise hain aaj? Ab baat karte hain aaj ke time frame mein tayar ki gayi chart ke baare mein. Is price chart mein, EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko $1.1163 ko hit kiya. EUR/USD is waqt 1.1163 par trade kar raha hai. Is time frame mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market price chart par ek downtrend bana raha hai aur girawat jaari hai. Agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko dekhein, to RSI indicator humein yeh bata raha hai ke market neeche ja raha hai. Is waqt RSI indicator ki value 45 aur 55 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke 49.2009 hai.

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ke mutabiq, MACD ke lines neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke EUR/USD ka bullish move ruk gaya hai, aur ab sellers mazboot lag rahe hain. Moving average indicator ke mutabiq, moving average ke lines bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, jo ek bearish signal dikhata hai.

Main resistance level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1175 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 2 tak mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1213 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to upar ek bohot strong resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1732 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, main1.1175 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 2 tak mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1213 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to upar ek bohot strong resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1732 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, main support level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1128 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD support level 2 tak support level EUR/USD ka market price ke liye 1.1128 par hai. Mere mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD support level 2 tak kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1068 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is support level ko break karne ki koshish karta hai, to neeche ek bohot strong support level hai aur agla market price 1.0721 ho sakta hai.
Khush raho aur mehfooz raho!

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (color Orange)
- 20-day exponential moving average (color Magenta)

EUR/USD M5 chart
Hamara aaj ka mukhya nukta EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hoga. Main is harkat ko aik aakhri koshish samajhta hoon jisse growth paida karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, halaan ke order book dikhata hai ke volumes 1.1186 ke level par barabar hain aur trading ke band hone tak barh rahe hain. Market ne EMA8 ke fast level 1.1164 par band kiya, jo ke "hanging" candle pattern ke sath milta hai. Main tajziya karta hoon ke EUR/USD EMA20 ke level 1.1144 tak giray ga aur ascending trend ko 1.1116 ke barah par tod dega, jahaan pair ko EMA50 ka support milega. Jab ke mujhe umeed hai ke pair 1.101 tak giray ga, aik mazeed girawat 1.0961 tak bhi mumkin hai. Magar, bohot kuch U.S. stock market ke rawaiye par mabni hai, jo ke tareekhi growth ka samna kar raha hai. Hum is currency pair ko D1 chart par qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. EUR/USD pair trading 1.1163 par band hui. Technical indicators aik upward trend ko zahir karte hain.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, United States mein, tamam nazarain Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation report par hongi. Dono core aur headline PCE price indices 0.2% barhne ki tawaqo hai, jo pichle mahine ke mutabiq hai. Is ke ilawa, personal income 0.4% barhne ki umeed hai, jo pichle 0.3% se zyada hai. Saath hi, consumer spending dheemi raftaar se 0.3% barhne ki umeed hai. S&P Global ke preliminary purchasing managers' indices manufacturing sector mein dheemi contraction aur service sector ke growth mein slow down dikhane ki tawaqo hai.
Is ke sath hi, traders kai officials, jin mein Fed Chairman Powell aur Treasury Secretary Yellen bhi shamil hain, ke izhaarat par tawajjo denge, jo ke Federal Reserve Bank of New York ke mehzban mein 2024 Treasury Market Conference mein hissa lenge. Dosray ahem indicators mein Q2 GDP growth ke final figures, durable goods orders, CB Consumer Confidence, regional PMIs jaise Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index, FHFA Housing Index, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, naye aur pending gharon ki farokht, aur final Michigan Consumer Sentiment ke figures shamil hain.

Europe mein, preliminary purchasing managers' indices estimates September ke economic performance par update denge. Eurozone aur Germany manufacturing sector mein contraction jaari rehne aur services sector mein growth dheema hone ki umeed hai. Germany ka business climate index girne aur consumer confidence

barhne ki umeed hai. Is ke ilawa, Germany unemployment figures, households aur businesses ko diya gaya qarz, Eurozone mein businesses aur consumer confidence, France aur Spain ke inflation ke pehli tafsilat, aur Italy mein business aur consumer confidence ka izhaar karega.

Is hafte ke waqt mein, EURUSD ne doji candle ke saath band kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke abhi buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance hai. Lekin agar hum weekly time frame par maujooda pattern ko dekhein, to EURUSD abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke EURUSD abhi bhi MA 200 ke upar move kar raha hai. Is hafte EURUSD ne actually bearish candle banane ki koshish ki, lekin yeh pichle hafte ke bullish candle ko cross karne mein nakam raha. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte EURUSD resistance area ko penetrate karne ki koshish karega, jo ke 1.1280 par hai. Agar yeh hota hai to EURUSD aur bhi upar jayega. Lekin agar EURUSD girta hai aur 1.1000 ke price par support ko todta hai, to yeh EURUSD ko dobara girne par majboor karega. Kal ke market band hone par, EURUSD ne bearish candle ke saath band kiya, lekin yeh bearish candle pichle din ke bullish candle ko cross karne mein nakam rahi, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers ke paas EURUSD ko aur neeche lane ki taqat nahi hai. Daily time frame par agar hum dekhein to yahan bhi EURUSD abhi bullish trend mein hai, jo MA200 ke upar move karne se zahir hota hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte daily time frame par yeh resistance ko 1.1214 ke price par todne ki koshish karega. Meri soch yeh hai ke EURUSD agle hafte upar chadhne ki sambhavna rakhta hai kyunki abhi ka trend bullish hai, aur main EURUSD par kharidne ke mauqe talash karunga. Agar EURUSD girta hai aur support ko 1.1000 par todta hai, to main bechnay ke mauqe talash karunga. Price ko sellers ne neeche laane ki koshish ki hai taake yeh Upper Bollinger Bands ke area se door rahe, jo ke 1.1205 par hai, aur yeh bhi ek mazboot seller supply resistance area hai jo buyers ke khilaf kharidari dabav ko rok sakta hai. Market support bearish doji candlestick ke dominancy se bhi zahir hota hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke EURUSD pair market abhi bhi gehra kamzor hone ka mauqa rakhta hai, agle target buyer demand support area ke taraf hai jo 1.1137-1.1135 par hai. Agar yeh demand support area tod diya jata hai, to EURUSD ka price apne main target ki taraf girta rahega jo ke Middle Bollinger Bands area hai.

Euro Thursday ko apne buland tareen satah par pohch gaya, jab ke US dollar ki wide-scale sell-off ne euro ko support diya. Positive US economic data ne US economy ke slow down kay khauf ko kam kar diya, lekin kuch risks ab bhi mojood hain. US economy ne filhal recession se bach liya hai, lekin key activity data ab bhi slowdown ke isharaat de raha hai. Federal Reserve ke recent faislay ne, jisme unhon ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya, global markets mein kuch khauf paida kiya hai. Baaz investors recession ke baray mein fears ka izhar kar rahe hain.Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazahat ki ke ye rate cut ek proactive measure hai taake US labor market ko support mil sake, na ke recession ke signs ko respond karne ka ikdam. Positive data jisme US durable goods orders aur weekly jobless claims shamil hain, ne Fed ke stance ko aur mazid barhawa diya aur economy ke liye ek soft landing ka tasavvur mazid mazboot kiya. Friday ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data bohot important hoga taake Fed ke recent rate cuts ka asar dekh sake.August mein US durable goods orders 0.0% rahe month-over-month, jo ke expectations ke 2.6% contraction se kaafi behtar hai. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye September 20 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein, jo ke estimates ke 225,000 se behtar hain aur peechlay haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hain.Thursday ke bullish rally ke bawajood, euro ab tak 1.1200 level se neeche hi rahega. Buyers actively koshish kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ko upper limit tak push kar sakein, lekin sellers ke pass momentum ke kami se downside move ke options mehdoood ho rahe hain. Pair ab tak 50-day EMA ke upar 1.1040 par acha khaasa stable hai, aur price action ke liye ab bhi kafi room hai taake wo 1.1200 se upar ja sake.H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to hume nazar aata hai ke takreeban 75% girawat jo hum Wednesday ko dekh rahe thay, wo Thursday ko euro/dollar par recover ho gayi. Aaj Friday hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke upward movement jari rahegi aur pichla local maximum update hoga. H4 chart par southern channel pehle broken tha, aur ek ascending channel form ho gaya hai. Technically, lower border se rebound ke baad ek nai wave of growth shuru hui, aur buyers ka goal upper border tak pohchna hoga, jo takreeban 1.1220 ke level par intersect karega.Hum wahan ki taraf confident pace ke sath barh rahe hain, aur aap euro/dollar ko current levels 1.1176 se buy kar sakte hain. Mera bhi purchase open hai, lekin abhi tak slight drawdown ka samna hai. Agar pair Asia mein aur zyada north extend nahi hota, to hum Europe mein growth ko jari rakhein ge, bilkul kal ke example

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Tajziya

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1167 par trade kar raha hai, aur market bearish trend ke nishan dikhata hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is bearish sentiment ke piche kayi wajahen ho sakti hain, jisme Eurozone se aane wale kamzor economic data, U.S. ki mazboot economic performance, ya Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate policies mein tabdeeli shamil hai.

Halankeh market dheere dheere gir raha hai, lekin aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki sambhavana hai. Traders aur investors abhi key economic indicators, jaise inflation rates, employment data, aur GDP growth par nazar rakhein hain, jo market ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakte hain. Iske ilawa, geopolitical factors, jaise global trade ke ongoing tensions ya energy prices, bhi EUR/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

### Central Bank Policies ka Asar

Ek aur ahem factor jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye woh central bank ki policies hain. European Central Bank ka inflation aur interest rates par stance euro ki value ko asar andaz karega. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko mazeed tighten karne ka ishaara deta hai, toh is se U.S. dollar ki value aur mazboot ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish trend ko aur barha dega.

### Market ki Slow Movement aur Consolidation Phase

Abhi market dheere dheere chal raha hai, lekin yeh consolidation ka yeh marahil shayad kisi bade price movement ka pehle ka nishan ho. Technical traders support aur resistance levels ke saath saath moving averages aur RSI jaise indicators par nazar rakhte hain taake wo potential breakouts ko anticipate kar sakein. Momentum ka shift ya market volume mein achanak izafa kisi bhi time mein bade movement ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur traders ko aise market dynamics mein tabdeelion ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

### Conclusion

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD currency pair ki current bearish trend aur market conditions ko samajhna zaroori hai. Economic data releases aur geopolitical tensions ke asraat ko dekhte hue traders ko apne strategies ko behtar banane ki koshish karni chahiye. Aane wale dino mein inflation, employment, aur GDP growth ke indicators par nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki yeh sab market ki disha tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge. Is ke ilawa, central banks ki policies ka asar bhi euro aur dollar ki values ko khud se shape karne ka kaam karega.

EURUSD Ka Analysis
Is week, EURUSD ne doji candle ke sath close kiya, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ko darshata hai
Lekin agar hum weekly time frame par current pattern ko dekhte hain, to EURUSD abhi tak bullish trend mein hai
Yeh MA 200 (200-day moving average) ke upar move ho raha hai
EURUSD ne bearish candle banaane ki koshish ki, lekin pichhle week ki bullish candle ko break nahi kar saka
Yeh downside par momentum ki kami ko darshata hai
Mera khayal hai ki agla week, EURUSD 1.1280 ke resistance area mein penetrate karne ki koshish karega
Agar successful hota hai, to yeh pair ko upper push kar sakta hai
Lekin agar EURUSD girta hai aur 1.1000 ke support level ko break karta hai, to yeh further declines ka trigger ho sakta hai
Kal ke market close par, EURUSD ne bearish candle banaaya, lekin pichhle din ki bullish candle ko break nahi kar saka
Yeh sellers ki strength ki kami ko darshata hai
Daily time frame par, EURUSD abhi tak bullish hai, MA 200 ke upar move ho raha hai
Mera khayal hai ki agla week, pair 1.1214 ke resistance ko break karne ki koshish karega
Mera view hai ki EURUSD ko upward move karne ki probability hai, given current bullish trend
Main buying opportunities ki talash karoonga
Lekin agar EURUSD girta hai aur 1.1000 ke support level ko break karta hai, to main selling opportunities ki talash karoonga




Sellers ne price ko upper Bollinger Bands se door rakhne ki koshish ki hai
Yeh area strong resistance level hai jahan sellers buyer pressure ko suppress kar sakte hain
Bearish doji candlestick ki dominance bhi EURUSD ki weakness ko darshati hai
Buyers ka agla target demand support area 1.1137-1.1135 hai
Agar yeh support area break hota hai, to EURUSD middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf gir sakta hai
Isliye, agla week ka price action crucial hai ki bullish trend continue karega ya sellers control regain karenge

Is hafte ke waqt mein, EURUSD ne doji candle ke saath band kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke abhi buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance hai. Lekin agar hum weekly time frame par maujooda pattern ko dekhein, to EURUSD abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke EURUSD abhi bhi MA 200 ke upar move kar raha hai. Is hafte EURUSD ne actually bearish candle banane ki koshish ki, lekin yeh pichle hafte ke bullish candle ko cross karne mein nakam raha. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte EURUSD resistance area ko penetrate karne ki koshish karega, jo ke 1.1280 par hai. Agar yeh hota hai to EURUSD aur bhi upar jayega. Lekin agar EURUSD girta hai aur 1.1000 ke price par support ko todta hai, to yeh EURUSD ko dobara girne par majboor karega. Kal ke market band hone par, EURUSD ne bearish candle ke saath band kiya, lekin yeh bearish candle pichle din ke bullish candle ko cross karne mein nakam rahi, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers ke paas EURUSD ko aur neeche lane ki taqat nahi hai. Daily time frame par agar hum dekhein to yahan bhi EURUSD abhi bullish trend mein hai, jo MA200 ke upar move karne se zahir hota hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte daily time frame par yeh resistance ko 1.1214 ke price par todne ki koshish karega. Meri soch yeh hai ke EURUSD agle hafte upar chadhne ki sambhavna rakhta hai kyunki abhi ka trend bullish hai, aur main EURUSD par kharidne ke mauqe talash karunga. Agar EURUSD girta hai aur support ko 1.1000 par todta hai, to main bechnay ke mauqe talash karunga. Price ko sellers ne neeche laane ki koshish ki hai taake yeh Upper Bollinger Bands ke area se door rahe, jo ke 1.1205 par hai, aur yeh bhi ek mazboot seller supply resistance area hai jo buyers ke khilaf kharidari dabav ko rok sakta hai. Market support bearish doji candlestick ke dominancy se bhi zahir hota hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke EURUSD pair market abhi bhi gehra kamzor hone ka mauqa rakhta hai, agle target buyer demand support area ke taraf hai jo 1.1137-1.1135 par hai. Agar yeh demand support area tod diya jata hai, to EURUSD ka price apne main target ki taraf girta rahega jo ke Middle Bollinger Bands area hai.

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS
Pichlay kuch dino se market price ka movement zyada tar sellers dominate kar rahe hain, jo ke price ko niche le janay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, chart dikhata hai ke ab tak bearish koshishen 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar paayi hain, jo ke iss hafte support level ka kaam kar sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko break karne mein nakam rahein, toh trend mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Isi liye, main aik comprehensive trading plan bananay wala hoon taake predict kar sako ke kab price upward move karna shuru karega, aur agla target identify kar sako, H4 time frame ki base par.
Main is analysis ko aur refine karne ke liye stochastic oscillator indicator ka bhi use kar raha hoon, jo ke support aur resistance boundary lines ke sath mil kar kaam karta hai. H4 time frame chart par EUR/USD ka price movement pehlay reversal signal show kar raha tha, jo ke bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir tha. Agar hum daily time frame ko dekhein, toh pichlay hafte ke trading sessions mein buyers ka bullish trend sustain karna mushkil ho gaya tha, aur market seller ke pressure ke waja se correction ke liye niche chali gayi thi. Iss hafte bhi bearish attempts jari hain, lekin Thursday ko strong buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, aur bullish rally ka rasta khol diya, bilkul August ke end ke trend ki tarah.
Stochastic indicator ke zariye mazeed analysis se pata chalta hai ke signal line 80 zone tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ke market growth ki potential ko indicate kar raha hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD prices ko upar le jane ka kaafi momentum ho sakta hai. Filhal market ka movement 1.1078 level ke aas paas static hai. Main personaly intezaar kar raha hoon ke koi aur upward movement ke signs milain, kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhne ko mili.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh toolsscenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khoob dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ke movements ko mutasir karte hain. Technical tools ka istemal, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators, keemti insights faraham karte hain aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain, current trend ki taqat ka andaza lagate hain, aur potential reversals ya continuations ka intezar karte hain. Ek volatile environment mein apne account ko theek tareh se manage karna zaroori hota hai, jahan price movements bohot taizi se aur bara asar daal sakte hain.

buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper