Eurusd forum

EUR/USD ka daily timeframe humein price ke bearish trend aur kuch critical levels ka pata de raha hai jo agle movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Chart par multiple indicators aur moving averages ka use hua hai jo price ka trend aur momentum dikhate hain.
Resistance Levels:
Chart mein humein kuch significant resistance levels nazar aa rahe hain jo price ke aage barhne mein rukawat bana sakte hain. Sabse pehla major resistance level 1.10561 par hai, jahan se pehle bhi price ne rejection dekha hai. Uss se upar 1.11653 aur 1.12285 ke qareeb additional resistance levels hain jo future mein price ke aage barhne ko challenge karenge. Yeh resistance areas signify karte hain ke agar price wahan tak pahunchti hai toh woh potentially reversal ya consolidation areas ho sakte hain.
Support Levels:
Neeche ke taraf, kuch important support levels hain jo price ko stability de sakte hain. Pehla major support level 1.07685 par hai, aur iske neeche 1.07291 bhi ek strong support area hai. Agar price in levels ko breach karti hai, toh yeh aur zyada downward movement ka ishara hoga, aur bearish trend mazeed sustain ho sakta hai.
Indicators aur Trend Analysis:
Chart par multiple moving averages hain jo is waqt downward slope par hain, jo ke overall bearish sentiment ko confirm karte hain. Iske ilawa, Ichimoku Cloud bhi price ke upar hai, jo ke selling pressure aur bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke negative outlook ko suggest karta hai.
Is chart ke analysis se ye baat samajh aati hai ke EUR/USD abhi bearish trend mein hai, lekin agar price major support ya resistance levels ko break karti hai toh woh aage ki direction ko define kar sakti hai. Agar aap trading kar rahe hain toh in levels aur trend indicators ko zaroor nazar mein rakhein. Abhi ke liye bearish bias zyada strong hai, lekin kuch significant support aur resistance levels ke paas reversal ya breakout ki possibilities bhi hain. Yeh chart technical analysis ke liye achi information provide karta hai jo trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek established range mein fluctuations ke baad 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye highs banane mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne caution barathtay hue kaha ke EU mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapas barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU ke inflation data release se pehle diya gaya, jo Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.

Halankeh overall inflation mein moderation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts se related hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur bhi ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payrolls ka number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is bayan ke baad US Dollar barh gaya, aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara ghor karna shuru kar diya. Powell ne is baat ka bhi ishara diya ke September mein sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek established range mein fluctuations ke baad 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye highs banane mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne caution barathtay hue kaha ke EU mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapas barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU ke inflation data release se pehle diya gaya, jo Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.

Halankeh overall inflation mein moderation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts se related hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur bhi ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payrolls ka number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is bayan ke baad US Dollar barh gaya, aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara ghor karna shuru kar diya. Powell ne is baat ka bhi ishara diya ke September mein sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aay

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Margin zones ke mutabiq, aisa lagta hai keh qalil muddati rujhan mandi se tezi me badal gaya hai. Ab European currency ke musalsal ooper ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqo me pullback ke bad long positions kholna danishmandi hogi.



Takniki nuqtah nazar se, euro/dollar ka joda muqami islahi channel ki balayi hadd ke ooper mazbut ho gaya hai, jo mumkena taur par mazbut oopri raftar ki wajah ban sakti hai.



Jahan tak qalil muddati hadaf ka talluq hai, mundarjah zail baton par tawajjoh markuz kiya jana chahiye. Kal, 1.0897 ki satah ne hadaf aur mumkena muzahmat ke taur par kam kiya. Yah ab ek darmiyani hadaf me tabdil ho raha hai. Aaham waqaat 1.0928 - 1.0933 ke ilaqe me samne aayengi, jo keh mahana pivot point aur 38.2% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai jab Fibonacci grid ko aakhri bearish wave par nafiz kiya jata hai.
Support 1.0871 par yaumiyah pivot point aur 1.0863 - 1.0869 par ifqi satahon ke raqbe se aata hai.

EUR/USD
Jaisay trading week shuru hota hai, EUR/USD pair thoda sa uptick dikhata hai, jo Friday ko Asian session mein 1.0870 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh izafa zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo is baat ki umeed se hai ke US Federal Reserve shayad November mein apni policy easing jari rakhe. Market close tak, EUR/USD pair 1.0867 mark par settle hua, jo currency markets mein ongoing volatility ko dikhata hai.
Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par tawajju deni chahiye. Support 1.0841, 1.1030, aur 50 DMA par milta hai, saath hi 2024 ke low se high tak ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement par bhi. Dusri taraf, resistance abhi 1.1215 mark par hai. In levels ke upar ya neeche breakout hone se EUR/USD pair ke agle directional move ka signal mil sakta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Is hafte kuch aham waqiat hone wale hain jo euro ki performance par asar dal sakte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ek conference mein opening remarks dene wale hain jo Dublin mein ho rahi hai, jiska focus Fiscal Policy, Financial Sector Policy, aur Economic Growth par hai. Iske ilawa, ECB ke board member Piero Cipollone "Economics of Payments XIII" conference mein keynote speech dene wale hain, jo Austrian Central Bank ki taraf se host kiya ja raha hai. Yeh discussions ECB ke mustaqbil ki monetary policy aur euro par iske asraat ke bare mein insights de sakti hain.

Federal Reserve ke policymakers ke recent remarks yeh dikhate hain ke labor market conditions ki behtari ke bare mein chinta barh rahi hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke 12 members mein se sirf Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne gradual rate-cut cycle shuru karne ki salah di hai, jismein September mein 25 basis points ka cut propose kiya gaya hai. Yeh cautious stance Fed ki inflation control aur economic growth ke beech balance banane ki koshish ko dikhata hai, jo USD ki trajectory ko aur complex bana raha hai.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pichle hafte 1.1215 resistance level ko break karne ki kai koshishon ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair abhi tak near-term consolidation phase mein hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) downside potential ko 1.1052 mark ke thoda neeche limit karta hai. Filhal, pair 1.1151 region ke aas-paas oscillate kar raha hai, jahan bulls aur bears dono mein decisive momentum ki kami hai. Technical landscape yeh dikhata hai ke trading environment kaafi complex hai, jab market participants uncertainty ka samna kar rahe hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, mai trading me sargarm tha. Mai 1.0880 ke nishan se euro farokht karne me kamyab raha. Fir market me utar-chadhaw badh gaya aur aur mujhe Bartanwi pound kharidne ke mauqe dikhayi diye. Natije ke taur par, mai munafa ke sath bahar nikal gaya.
Filhal, mere pas bade jodon par koi open trades nahin hain. Lekin mai maujudah satahon se wapsi ke bad euro aur pound sterling par long positions kholne ke liye taiyar hun. Yah dekhte hue keh Americi dollar index me taza debt level hai, iski qadar badh sakti hai, jis se khatarnak aseet par dawab padega. Agar euro maujudah satah se gir kar 1.0850 ilaqe me aata hai to, mai ek long positions kholunga. Shumali Americi session me, mai US nonfarm payrolls data ke jari hone par jhuthi girawat ke imkan ko mustarad nahin karta hun.

Euro ki trading ka tajziya aur tips: 1.0877 price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator pehle hi zero mark se kafi upar tha, jo ke pair ki upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se, maine euro nahi kharida. Is price ka doosra test tab hua jab MACD overbought zone mein tha, aur strong U.S. data ke sath mil kar yeh selling ke liye amal mein ana mumkin bana. Natija yeh hua ke pair 1.0853 ke area tak gir gaya. U.S. labor market aur inflation ke data ne dollar ko mazboot banaya, lekin demand jaldi kam ho gayi, jis se market equilibrium barqarar raha. Pehle hisse mein Eurozone ka data nahi hai, is liye important U.S. reports se pehle pair mein strong movements dekhne ki umeed nahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye implement karne par zyada bharoosa karunga Euro khareedne ka irada hai jab price takriban 1.0885 (chart par green line) ko chhoo jaye, aur target 1.0914 rakha hai. Plan hai ke 1.0914 par market se exit karun aur euro ko ulte direction mein bechun, jahan entry point se 30-35 pips ka movement ho sakta hai. Pehle hisse mein euro ki significant growth ki umeed kam hai. Important! Khareedne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur ooper ki taraf badh raha ho.Aaj euro khareedne ka irada tab bhi hai agar 1.0865 price level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0885 aur 1.0914 ke opposite levels tak izafa dekhne ki umeed hai.Euro bechne ka irada 1.0865 level (chart par red line) par pahunchne ke baad hai. Target 1.0848 hai, jahan market se exit karne aur ulte direction mein khareedne ka plan hai (20-25 pips ke ulte direction movement ka aim). Pair par pressure tab wapas aayega agar daily high se upar jaane ki koshish fail ho jaye. Important! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur neeche ki taraf ja raha ho. Aaj euro bechne ka plan tab bhi hai agar 1.0885 level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0865 aur 1.0848 ke opposite levels tak girawat dekhne ki umeed hai.

نومبر 1 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ڈونلڈ ٹرمپ نے تمام بڑے پولز میں کملا ہیرس کو 0.3 فیصد کی برتری سے پیچھے چھوڑ دیا ہے۔ انتخابی توازن بھی 270/251 پر ٹرمپ کے حق میں ہے۔ ہمیں ٹرمپ کی جیت کی امید ہے۔



بڑی ٹیک کمپنیوں نے کمزور سہ ماہی آمدنی کی اطلاع دی، جس کی وجہ سے ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 1.86% اور نیس ڈیک میں 2.76% کی کمی واقع ہوئی۔ یہ مندی بحرانی سطح کی ترقی کے قریب ہے۔ تاہم، اب یورو کی رفتار ہے، جو 24 پِپس سے بڑھ کر 1.0882 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔ اوپر کا رجحان آج صبح جاری ہے، ہدف 1.0935/50 تک پہنچ کے اندر ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر وقت کے ساتھ ترقی کے علاقے میں داخل ہوا، اوپر کی حرکت کے ساتھ مکمل طور پر ہم آہنگ۔

چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0882 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپری مثبت نصف میں اپنا استحکام مکمل کر رہا ہے، اوپر کی طرف بریک آؤٹ کے زیادہ امکان کے ساتھ۔ ہم قیمت میں مزید اضافے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye highs banane mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne caution barathtay hue kaha ke EU mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapas barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU ke inflation data release se pehle diya gaya, jo Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.
Halankeh overall inflation mein moderation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts se related hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur bhi ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payrolls ka number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is bayan ke baad US Dollar barh gaya, aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara ghor karna shuru kar diya. Powell ne is baat ka bhi ishara diya ke September mein sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aay

EUR/USD ke is H4 (4-hour) time frame chart ko dekh kar kuch aham baatein samajh mein aati hain jo traders ke liye faydemand ho sakti hain. Is chart mein 14 October se 25 October tak downward trend (niche ki taraf movement) dikhayi de raha hai. Is duration mein price steadily neeche girti rahi, jo ke bearish market sentiment ka signal tha. Lekin 25 October ke baad price mein recovery dekhne ko mili aur woh upward trend mein move hui, jo ke bullish reversal ko indicate kar rahi hai.

Chart mein kuch moving averages bhi dikhayi de rahe hain. Do safed (white) lines aur ek peeli (yellow) line, jo ke 50 aur 200-period moving averages ko represent kar rahi hain, price ke trend ko identify karne mein madadgar hain. Pehle toh price ne moving averages ko as resistance face kiya, lekin bad mein isay breach karte hue upar move hui. Yeh signify karta hai ke bullish momentum hai aur buyers market mein enter kar rahe hain. Ek aur aham cheez jo chart mein dikhayi de rahi hai woh hai 1.09001 ka resistance level, jo yellow line se represent ho raha hai. Yeh level price ke liye ek barrier ka kaam kar raha hai, kyunki price ne isay touch kiya lekin breach nahi kar saki. Agar price is resistance ko break kar ke upar close karti hai, toh strong bullish trend expect kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price yahaan se reject ho jaye aur niche aa jaye, toh yeh bearish indication hoga.

Chart ke neeche Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi dikhayi de raha hai jo 52 ke level par hai. Yeh level neutral range main hota hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold. RSI ka yeh level hamein market ki stability aur equilibrium ke baare mein batata hai. Agar RSI 70 ke upar chala jaye, toh overbought condition create hogi aur agar 30 ke neeche ho jaye toh oversold condition hogi. Is chart ka analysis yehi suggest karta hai ke agar price 1.09001 ke resistance ko breach kare toh aur bhi bullish momentum aasakta hai. Agar price apni recent moving averages ko breach kar ke niche move kare, toh yeh bearish sign hoga. Trading ke liye yeh analysis aham hai, lekin technical analysis ke saath fundamental aspects bhi zaroor dekhne chahiye taake behtar decision liya ja sake.

1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye highs banane mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne caution barathtay hue kaha ke EU mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapas barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU ke inflation data release se pehle diya gaya, jo Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.
Halankeh overall inflation mein moderation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts se related hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur bhi ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payrolls ka number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is bayan ke baad US Dollar barh gaya, aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara ghor karna shuru kar diya. Powell ne is baat ka bhi ishara diya ke September mein sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein

1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye highs banane mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne caution barathtay hue kaha ke EU mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapas barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU ke inflation data release se pehle diya gaya, jo Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.
Halankeh overall inflation mein moderation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts se related hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur bhi ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha agar non-farm payrolls ka number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai.

Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is bayan ke baad US Dollar barh gaya, aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara ghor karna shuru kar diya. Powell ne is baat ka bhi ishara diya ke September mein sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein

Kal EUR/USD aur GBP/USD currency pairs par daily charts par bearish sentiment ka ghalib hona dekha gaya, jo ke dark red candles ki formation se zahir hota hai. Yeh ek ‘Bearish Engulfing’ pattern bana, khaaskar 23.6% Fibonacci level par 1.0865 ke aas-paas, jo ke 1.0895 se shuru hone wali decline se hai. Aise pattern ka matlab hota hai ke stabilisation ke lamba arsa guzarnay ke baad sellers ki activity mein izafa ho raha hai. Yeh milte-julte patterns is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke external market forces dono pairs ko mutasir kar rahi hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye sabse qareebi selling target 1.0760 se 1.0765 ke aas-paas projected hai, jo ke 22 April 2024 se zyada nahi dekha gaya. Yeh area ek ahem support level hai; agar price is ke neeche girta hai, to gehri retracement ho sakti hai. Agar yeh level sustain hota hai, to additional bearish targets 1.0540 aur 1.0590 par khulne ka imkaan hai.Filhal EUR/USD price Ichimoku cloud aur 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jahan primary resistance level 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 1.0870 hai. Aaj ka din business reports ke liye bohot ahem hai, jismein US Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision shamil hai. Aisi news se market volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai, is liye traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur sidelines par rehne ka sochna chahiye. EUR/USD ki movements ka bohot zyada taluq Fed ke decisions par hoga, kyun ke achanak khabrein aksar sharp price changes ko trigger kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, Forex Factory ke mutabiq aaj kai economic reports bhi release ke liye scheduled hain. Jis bullish trend ki tawaqo hai uske mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ke 1.0890 tak uthane ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh upward plan nakam hota hai, to sellers ke liye price ko 1.0823 ke upar push karna bohot mushkil hoga. Is surat mein, bears 1.0810 ke support level ke zariye breakdown ka peechha kar sakte hain. Price ko is support level ke neeche consolidate karna mazeed declines ke imkaan ko bohot zyada barha dega, jisse ek nayi wave 1.0800 tak ho sakti hai. Phir bhi, mojooda optimism uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ki himayat karta hai, jis ka maqsad existing bullish momentum ko 1.0890 level tak le jaana hai aur aakhir mein anticipated target 1.0940 tak pohonchna hai. Is liye do mumkin scenarios ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai: ek jismein price barhna shuru karti hai aur doosra jismein woh apni peak par pohonch kar wapas girna shuru hoti hai. European Union aur United States mein kaam karne wale traders aur dealers ko in levels ko gaur se dekhna hoga aane wali possible shifts ke roshni mein.

Euro ki trading ka tajziya aur tips: 1.0877 price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator pehle hi zero mark se kafi upar tha, jo ke pair ki upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se, maine euro nahi kharida. Is price ka doosra test tab hua jab MACD overbought zone mein tha, aur strong U.S. data ke sath mil kar yeh selling ke liye amal mein ana mumkin bana. Natija yeh hua ke pair 1.0853 ke area tak gir gaya. U.S. labor market aur inflation ke data ne dollar ko mazboot banaya, lekin demand jaldi kam ho gayi, jis se market equilibrium barqarar raha. Pehle hisse mein Eurozone ka data nahi hai, is liye important U.S. reports se pehle pair mein strong movements dekhne ki umeed nahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye implement karne par zyada bharoosa karunga Euro khareedne ka irada hai jab price takriban 1.0885 (chart par green line) ko chhoo jaye, aur target 1.0914 rakha hai. Plan hai ke 1.0914 par market se exit karun aur euro ko ulte direction mein bechun, jahan entry point se 30-35 pips ka movement ho sakta hai. Pehle hisse mein euro ki significant growth ki umeed kam hai. Important! Khareedne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur ooper ki taraf badh raha ho.Aaj euro khareedne ka irada tab bhi hai agar 1.0865 price level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0885 aur 1.0914 ke opposite levels tak izafa dekhne ki umeed hai.Euro bechne ka irada 1.0865 level (chart par red line) par pahunchne ke baad hai. Target 1.0848 hai, jahan market se exit karne aur ulte direction mein khareedne ka plan hai (20-25 pips ke ulte direction movement ka aim). Pair par pressure tab wapas aayega agar daily high se upar jaane ki koshish fail ho jaye. Important! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur neeche ki taraf ja raha ho. Aaj euro bechne ka plan tab bhi hai agar 1.0885 level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0865 aur 1.0848 ke opposite levels tak girawat dekhne ki umeed hai.

Do haftay pehle, market ko yeh umeed thi ke ECB apne rate ko October mein bilkul nahi badlega aur sab log December mein rate cut ka intezaar kar rahe the. Phir Europe ke liye economic statistics aane shuru hue aur sab ne achanak se October mein rate cut ki umeed karna shuru kar diya, lekin December ka khayal cancel kar diya. Ab yeh hai ke ab December bhi market ki nazar mein hai, ke ECB is mahine dobara rate cut karega. Aur zaroor, Fed rate ke liye aggressive reduction ki expectations mein bhi tabdeeli aayi, jiske natije mein dollar sirf euro ke khilaf nahi, balki doosri major currencies ke khilaf bhi barh gaya. Weekly chart par, EUR/USD mein abhi girne ki jagah hai, mera matlab hai 1.0760 ka level. Lekin bulls ke liye local reversal ki umeed bhi hai, kyunki price ne week ka khatma 1.0866 par kiya aur thoda sa wedge ke upper border se upar hai. Matlab, price weekly chart par wedge mein wapas nahi aayi aur yeh bulls ke liye north ki taraf probable reversal ka signal hai. Lekin yeh tab hai agar geopolitics beech mein nahi aaye, aur aisa hoga. States mein, Trump polls mein Harris ke saath confidently mukabla kar raha hai aur American analysts ne uski jeet ki asli chances par baat karna shuru kar diya hai. Aur yeh EUR/USD pair ke parity tak girne ka khatra hai.

Yeh market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha gaya tha. Lekin asal mein, August se kuch bhi nahi badla. Na to EU ke liye fundamental statistics, na hi US ke liye. Yeh statistics ek saal se zyada waqt se nahi badle. EU mein GDP growth bohot kam hai, jabke inflation gir raha hai. US mein bhi inflation gir raha hai, lekin GDP growth EU se 7-8 guna zyada hai. Yeh statistics is saal ke shuruat par available the. Aur jo kuch bhi khule sources mein market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha ja raha hai, wo sirf nazriya hai. Asal mein, kuch nahi badla.

Naturally, euro-dollar pair ke girne ki jagah hai. Weekly timeframe, daily timeframe, aur H1 timeframe par bhi.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke chart par jo asal mein information hai wo dekhi jaye. Friday ko, hum daily candle ke opening level se closing level tak price ki barhoti dekhte hain. Is se pehle, 4 din tak daily candle ka closing level opening level se neeche tha. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke zyada sellers hain aur wo price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Friday ko, in sellers ne apne short positions par profit fix kiya, jis se price ki barhoti shuru hui. Monday se inhein dobara same volume ke sath short positions kholni hongi taake wahi trend banya rahe. Lekin yeh karna mushkil hoga, kyunki price ab downward trend ke aane ke marahil par nahi hai, balki iski development ya end par hai