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اکتوبر 30 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

منگل کو، یورو نے 1.0777 کے ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح کا کامیابی سے تجربہ کیا اور، اس سنگ میل کے حصول کے ساتھ، 1.0882 کے ہدف کی طرف اوپر کی طرف حرکت شروع کر دی، جہاں یہ ممکنہ طور پر امریکی صدارتی انتخابات سے پہلے رک جائے گا۔ اس کے بعد، انتخابی نتائج سے قطع نظر، دو ممکنہ منظرنامے ہیں: یورو 1.0950 اور 1.1010 سے اوپر ٹوٹ سکتا ہے تاکہ ٹرمپ کی جیت کی امید میں یورو بیچنے والے درمیانی کھلاڑیوں کو ختم کیا جا سکے۔



اگر ہیرس جیت جاتے ہیں، تو یہ اس طرح کے قیاس آرائی پر مبنی اقدام کا بیرونی احاطہ ہو سکتا ہے۔ دوسرا منظر نامہ بغیر کسی غلط اوپر کی حرکت کے ڈالر کی مضبوطی کی تجویز کرتا ہے، کیونکہ کوئی بھی امیدوار مضبوط ڈالر کی مخالفت نہیں کرتا ہے۔ تاہم، یہ منصوبے زیادہ پیچیدہ ارتباطی ڈھانچے میں سامنے آئیں گے، خاص طور پر انتخابات کے بعد اسٹاک مارکیٹ کے رد عمل کے ارد گرد غیر یقینی صورتحال کے پیش نظر۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ ابتدائی طور پر ایک امیدوار کی جیت کے بعد نئے ریکارڈ کی بلندیوں میں اضافہ ہوگا، جس کے بعد معروضی وجوہات کی بنا پر بڑے پیمانے پر مارکیٹ میں ممکنہ کمی ہوگی۔

قیمت کل ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر پلٹ گئی اور اب بیلنس لائن کے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنے معمولی استحکام سے اوپر کی طرف نکلنے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0882 کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے۔




.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar

EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neec

raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important eco

September ke mid tak, price 1.1200 ke qareeb thi, jo ab tak ka highest point tha, lekin us ke baad se lagataar girawat dekhne ko mili. Moving Averages (MAs) Is chart par 50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day moving averages ko highlight kiya gaya hai. Price in teeno MAs ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo market mein strong bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. 50-day MA ne recently 100-day MA ko neeche cross kiya hai, jo ke ek bearish crossover hai. Yeh crossover indicate karta hai ke future mein bhi price downward pressure face kar sakti hai. Is waqt price ka 200-day MA se neeche rehna, long-term bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Support aur Resistance Levels
Kuch significant support aur resistance levels bhi dikhayi de rahe hain. Pehla resistance level 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle support tha lekin ab price ke neeche girne ke baad resistance ban gaya hai. Agla major resistance 1.1135 par hai, jahan se pehle bhi price reversal dekhne ko mili thi. Neeche ki taraf, 1.0750 ek crucial support level hai jo abhi tak hold kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to further downside ki possibilities barhengi. MACD Indicator
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi yahi indicate kar raha hai ke trend abhi bearish hai. MACD line ne signal line ko neeche cross kiya hua hai aur histogram negative territory mein hai, jo clear downtrend ka signal hai. Jab tak MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, tab tak bearish momentum strong rahega.
RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) ki reading 31 par hai, jo ke oversold zone ke qareeb hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price thodi oversold hai aur kuch short-term rebound ki possibility hai. Lekin yeh baat bhi yaad rakhiye ke oversold zone mein aane ka matlab yeh nahi hai ke trend reverse hoga, balki temporary pullback bhi possible hai. EUR/USD abhi bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai, lekin kuch short-term rebounds ki possibility bhi hai, khaaskar agar 1.0750 support level hold kar leta hai. Trading karte waqt, investors ko yeh dekhna hoga ke price kab tak 50-day MA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, kyunki yeh downward momentum ko signal karta hai. Koi bhi nayi position lene se pehle strong reversal signals ka intezar karna zaroori hai, taake risk manage ho sake. Yeh analysis aapko EUR/USD pair ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad dega. Trading se pehle hamesha risk management aur market news par bhi focus karna zaroori

Aaj ke EUR/USD H4 chart analysis ke mutabiq, hamen dekhnay ko mil raha hai ke price 1.0829 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Yeh currency pair recent kuch candles mein bullish movement dikhata hai aur white moving average ko upar ki taraf cross kar chuka hai, jo price ki strength aur buyers ki dominance ko highlight karta hai. Yeh cross bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, aur aage chal kar yeh trend sustain kar sakta hai. Chart par dikhaye gaye resistance levels par nazar daali jaye toh 1.0861 aur uske baad 1.0941 par strong resistance levels hain. Agar price in levels ko touch kar kay reject ho jaye toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh points price ko wapas neeche dhakel sakte hain. Lekin agar price in resistance levels ko break karke oopar close ho jaye, toh yeh bullish trend ko aur bhi strong kar sakta hai aur aage kay levels ko target kar sakta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi kaafi kuch reveal kar raha hai. Is waqt yeh 80 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo ke overbought condition ka signal hai. Aksar aise situations mein hame thodi si correction ya pullback dekhnay ko milti hai jab market overbought zone mein pohanchti hai. Yeh sellers ke liye ek opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin jab tak price moving averages ke upar hai, bullish momentum kay continuation ka chance zyada hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar price 1.0798 ke support level ko break karti hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke selling pressure wapas aaraha hai aur price neeche ke levels, jaise ke 1.0782, ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh levels buyers ke liye ek potential bounce area ho sakte hain, aur agar price is zone se rebound karti hai toh wapas bullish momentum ka asar aane ka chance hai. Akhir mein, ye zaroori hai ke trading decisions lete waqt risk management ko mad e nazar rakha jaye. Yeh chart abhi bullish lagta hai lekin high resistance aur overbought conditions ko dekhte hue, agle kuch hours mein market mein cautious approach zaroori hai.

Do haftay pehle, market ko yeh umeed thi ke ECB apne rate ko October mein bilkul nahi badlega aur sab log December mein rate cut ka intezaar kar rahe the. Phir Europe ke liye economic statistics aane shuru hue aur sab ne achanak se October mein rate cut ki umeed karna shuru kar diya, lekin December ka khayal cancel kar diya. Ab yeh hai ke ab December bhi market ki nazar mein hai, ke ECB is mahine dobara rate cut karega. Aur zaroor, Fed rate ke liye aggressive reduction ki expectations mein bhi tabdeeli aayi, jiske natije mein dollar sirf euro ke khilaf nahi, balki doosri major currencies ke khilaf bhi barh gaya. Weekly chart par, EUR/USD mein abhi girne ki jagah hai, mera matlab hai 1.0760 ka level. Lekin bulls ke liye local reversal ki umeed bhi hai, kyunki price ne week ka khatma 1.0866 par kiya aur thoda sa wedge ke upper border se upar hai. Matlab, price weekly chart par wedge mein wapas nahi aayi aur yeh bulls ke liye north ki taraf probable reversal ka signal hai. Lekin yeh tab hai agar geopolitics beech mein nahi aaye, aur aisa hoga. States mein, Trump polls mein Harris ke saath confidently mukabla kar raha hai aur American analysts ne uski jeet ki asli chances par baat karna shuru kar diya hai. Aur yeh EUR/USD pair ke parity tak girne ka khatra hai.

Yeh market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha gaya tha. Lekin asal mein, August se kuch bhi nahi badla. Na to EU ke liye fundamental statistics, na hi US ke liye. Yeh statistics ek saal se zyada waqt se nahi badle. EU mein GDP growth bohot kam hai, jabke inflation gir raha hai. US mein bhi inflation gir raha hai, lekin GDP growth EU se 7-8 guna zyada hai. Yeh statistics is saal ke shuruat par available the. Aur jo kuch bhi khule sources mein market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha ja raha hai, wo sirf nazriya hai. Asal mein, kuch nahi badla.

Naturally, euro-dollar pair ke girne ki jagah hai. Weekly timeframe, daily timeframe, aur H1 timeframe par bhi.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke chart par jo asal mein information hai wo dekhi jaye. Friday ko, hum daily candle ke opening level se closing level tak price ki barhoti dekhte hain. Is se pehle, 4 din tak daily candle ka closing level opening level se neeche tha. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke zyada sellers hain aur wo price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Friday ko, in sellers ne apne short positions par profit fix kiya, jis se price ki barhoti shuru hui. Monday se inhein dobara same volume ke sath short positions kholni hongi taake wahi trend banya rahe. Lekin yeh karna mushkil hoga, kyunki price ab downward trend ke aane ke marahil par nahi hai, balki iski development ya end par hai

EUR/USD pair is iss waqt 1.0770–1.0795 ke range mein trade kar raha hai, jisme dheemi si bearish trend nazar aa rahi hai aur market activity abhi tak ehtiyaati aur qaboo mein hai. Haal ki movement relatively slow rahi hai, magar kuch aise asaar hain ke aanay wale dinon mein yeh pair ek significant shift show kar sakta hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur aanay wale economic data releases ke ittehad ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke EUR/USD ek bade movement ke qareeb ho sakta hai.
Is outlook ka markazi nukta ECB (European Central Bank) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan monetary policy ka faraq hai. Fed ka hawkish stance, jo rate hikes aur inflation ko control karne ke liye high interest rates par zor de raha hai, ne pichle chand mahino mein dollar ko mazid mazboot banaya hai. Iske bar’aks, ECB ko mixed economic data, ahista growth, aur Eurozone ke mukhtalif ilaqon mein mukhtalif inflation levels ka samna hai. ECB ne bhi inflation ko manage karne ke liye rates barhaye hain, lekin Fed ke mukable mein ECB ka yeh approach zyada aggressive nahi raha, jis se euro par asar para hai. Yeh policy divergence euro ko wazan dal sakta hai aur agar Fed tight policy conditions par zor deta hai toh EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai.

Central bank policies ke ilawa, doosray economic aur geopolitical factors bhi currency pair ko effect kar rahe hain. European economy ko kuch bara challenges ka samna hai, jisme energy concerns aur geopolitical instability ke chalte growth ahista ho rahi hai. Yeh pressures aur kuch Eurozone nations ki kamzor economic performance euro ke liye ek headwind hai. U.S. economy, jo ke abhi tak resilience show kar rahi hai, ko bhi slowdown ka khatra ho sakta hai agar Fed ki policy mazid tight ho gayi. Agar U.S. economic slowdown ke clear signs milte hain, toh is se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD trend mein reversal bhi aa sakta hai.

Technical side par, kuch key support aur resistance levels dekhne layak hain. 1.0770 ka support level critical hai; agar yeh level toot gaya toh further bearish momentum trigger ho sakta hai aur pair aur neeche ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair is support par wapas aata hai aur reverse hota hai, toh yeh 1.0850 ya us se ooper ke resistance levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke bullish momentum create kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, aanay wale economic reports, jaise ke U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data, GDP updates, aur Eurozone inflation numbers, bhi market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur volatility create kar sakte hain. Yeh events EUR/USD ke direction ko effect kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar ye unexpected results show karte hain jo euro ya dollar ke haq mein hon.

In halaat ko dekhte hue, yeh reasonable hai ke aanay wale dinon mein EUR/USD mein ek bara movement anticipate kiya jaye. Traders ko economic releases aur technical indicators par kareebi nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh factors likely hai ke pair ke agle bade trend ka signal denge. Fundamental aur technical analysis ka combination valuable trading opportunities reveal kar sakta hai, kyunki market apni current range se breakout ke liye tayar ho rahi hai.

EUR/USD pair mein medium-term upward correction ka chance hai kyunki yeh 1.0789 support level ke qareeb ek false break ya rejection ka shikar hua. Jab price ne bounce kiya toh yeh FR 23.6 - 1.0869 level tak pohonch gayi, jo SMA 200 ke sath align karta hai. Agar price apni upward correction continue karti hai, toh yeh FR 38.2 - 1.0935 level tak ja sakti hai ya EMA 50 ke qareeb pohonch sakti hai. Main trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai kyunki dono Moving Average lines cross nahi hui hain, jo ke death cross ko signal karein. Lekin ongoing bullish trend mein kamzori aayi hai kyunki lagatar chaar hafton se price decline rally dekhi gayi hai.
Aane wali U.S. economic report EUR/USD pair ki price volatility ko move karne mein aham factor rahegi. Agar results optimistic hotay hain, toh upward price correction FR 23.6 - 1.0869 level tak ruk sakti hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath hai, aur uske baad 1.0789 support ko re-test kar sakti hai. Yeh isliye hai kyunki price pattern structure mein ab lower low - lower high ka change aaya hai.

Price ne 1.1003 ka low cross kar liya hai jo ke invalidation level tha. Upward correction ab lower high pattern tak limited hai kyunki 1.0762 par lower low form ho chuki hai. Stochastic indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke upward correction continue ho sakti hai kyunki yeh 50 level cross kar chuki hai aur overbought zone ke qareeb hai. Lekin Awesome Oscillator ek downward rally ka high probability show karta hai, kyunki histogram 0 ke neeche hai jo downward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Halaanki histogram volume decrease hui hai aur green hai, lekin yeh ab bhi future mein price ke girne ka indication deta hai.

Behtar yeh hoga ke medium-term mei n SELL opportunity ka intezar kiya jaye kyunki price pattern change ho gaya hai aur bullish trend kamzor ho raha hai. Profit lene ka target 1.0869 aur 1.0988 ke area mein rakhain, jo 200-period simple moving average ke sath align karta hai. Stop loss 1.0988 par lagayein. Intezaar karein ke Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein dakhil ho jaye, 80 ke upar cross karein. Awesome Oscillator histogram ab bhi zero ke neeche hai, volume increase ho raha hai aur red region mein wapas ja raha hai.

EUR/USD pair abhi 1.0770–1.0795 range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan ahista se bearish trend dekha ja raha hai aur market activity abhi ehtiyaat aur control mein hai. Halaat kaafi dheere se badal rahe hain, lekin kuch aise asar hain jo dikhate hain ke agle kuch dinon mein pair mein bara shift aa sakta hai. Economic indicators ka alignment, central bank policies aur aanewali economic data releases ye sab yeh zahir karte hain ke EUR/USD mein bara move ho sakta hai. Is outlook ka markazi nuqta ECB (European Central Bank) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan monetary policy ka faraq hai. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance, jo ke inflation control karne ke liye rate hikes aur high interest rates par zor deta hai, is ne aakhri chand mahino mein dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai. Iske muqable mein, ECB ko mixed economic data, dheema growth, aur Eurozone mein mukhtalif inflation levels ka samna hai. ECB ne bhi inflation manage karne ke liye rates barhaye hain, lekin iska asar euro par itna zabardast nahi hai jitna ke Fed ke aggressive approach ka. Ye policy ka faraq euro ke liye negative hai, aur agar Fed apni tight policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh yeh EUR/USD ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Central bank policies ke ilawa, broader economic aur geopolitical factors bhi currency pair ko affect kar rahe hain. European economy ko kaafi challenges ka samna hai, jismein energy concerns aur geopolitical instability ki wajah se dheema growth shamil hai. In pressures ke sath kuch Eurozone countries ka weak economic performance bhi euro ke liye challenge bana hai. Dosri taraf, U.S. economy jo ke abhi tak mazboot hai, agar Fed ki policy aur tight hoti hai toh dheemi ho sakti hai. Agar U.S. economy mein dheemi growth ke clear signs milte hain, toh ye dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, aur EUR/USD trend mein reversal aa sakta hai. Technical tor par kuch support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhne ki zaroorat hai. Support level 1.0770 bohot ahem hai; agar yeh level break hota hai toh EUR/USD mein aur bearish momentum aa sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh pair yahan se support le aur reverse ho, toh yeh 1.0850 ya us se ooper tak ja sakta hai aur bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. Aane wale economic reports, jaise ke U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data, GDP updates aur Eurozone inflation numbers, market sentiment par asar dalenge aur volatility barha sakte hain. Yeh events EUR/USD ka direction bhi affect kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar yeh unexpected results dete hain jo ke euro ya dollar ke liye favorable ho.

EUR/USD Aaj ke EUR/USD H4 chart analysis ke mutabiq, hamen dekhnay ko mil raha hai ke price 1.0829 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Yeh currency pair recent kuch candles mein bullish movement dikhata hai aur white moving average ko upar ki taraf cross kar chuka hai, jo price ki strength aur buyers ki dominance ko highlight karta hai. Yeh cross bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, aur aage chal kar yeh trend sustain kar sakta hai. Chart par dikhaye gaye resistance levels par nazar daali jaye toh 1.0861 aur uske baad 1.0941 par strong resistance levels hain. Agar price in levels ko touch kar kay reject ho jaye toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh points price ko wapas neeche dhakel sakte hain. Lekin agar price in resistance levels ko break karke oopar close ho jaye, toh yeh bullish trend ko aur bhi strong kar sakta hai aur aage kay levels ko target kar sakta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi kaafi kuch reveal kar raha hai. Is waqt yeh 80 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo ke overbought condition ka signal hai. Aksar aise situations mein hame thodi si correction ya pullback dekhnay ko milti hai jab market overbought zone mein pohanchti hai. Yeh sellers ke liye ek opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin jab tak price moving averages ke upar hai, bullish momentum kay continuation ka chance zyada hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar price 1.0798 ke support level ko break karti hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke selling pressure wapas aaraha hai aur price neeche ke levels, jaise ke 1.0782, ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh levels buyers ke liye ek potential bounce area ho sakte hain, aur agar price is zone se rebound karti hai toh wapas bullish momentum ka asar aane ka chance hai. Akhir mein, ye zaroori hai ke trading decisions lete waqt risk management ko mad e nazar rakha jaye. Yeh chart abhi bullish lagta hai lekin high resistance aur overbought conditions ko dekhte hue, agle kuch hours mein market mein cautious approach zaroori hai.

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EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Aaj market activity thori subdued lag rahi hai, jo ke potential breakout ke liye expectations raise kar rahi hai, khaaskar jab US market ka opening waqt qareeb hai. Abhi ke liye thori si pullback dekhi ja rahi hai, lekin mera khayal hai ke yeh temporary ho sakti hai. 0870 level ki taraf movement ka intezar is wajah se hai kyunke us range mein ek stop zone maujood hai, jo ke strong potential de raha hai ke market mein upar ki taraf momentum aaye.

Haal hi mein neeche se stop zones ki safai dekhne mein ayi hai, jo ke buying pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Yeh behavior aksar traders ki taraf se prices ko upar push karne ke irade ko signal karta hai, jisme impulsive movement purchase ke haqq mein hoti hai. Pehle 0740 ke level par buy orders ka cancel hona ab 0790 level par focus ki shift show karta hai. Yeh batata hai ke traders aur optimistic ho rahe hain aur market mein bullish sentiment mazid barh raha hai.

Aik aur possibility yeh hai ke 0810 level ka test ho sakta hai, halan ke yeh zaroori nahi ke ho hi jaye. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum ehtiyaat se kaam lein; lekin mein khud 0820-0810 range mein buys initiate karne ke liye open hoon. Market dynamics bohot jaldi shift kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar US traders European trades ke mutabiq alag perspective lete hain. Agar US market ki enthusiasm European traders ki tarah nahi hoti, to hum price action mein dramatic shift dekh sakte hain.

In levels ko closely monitor karna bohot zaroori hai. Agar 0840 ke upar movement sustain ho sakti hai, to yeh aur bullish momentum ki taraf le ja sakti hai aur hum apne 0870 target tak pohanch sakte hain. Lekin agar market US trading strategies ka negative reaction deti hai, to humein apne positions ko dobara evaluate karna hoga aur apni trades par is ka asar dekhna hoga.



Akhir mein, jabke market abhi thori quiet hai, kuch indicators hain jo buying interest ke buildup ko show karte hain. Jese hi hum key levels ke qareeb pohanchte hain, vigilant rehna bohot zaroori hai taake potential breakout opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake aur inherent volatility ko handle kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD ke price action par focus karte hain. H1 chart par recent market volatility nazar aa rahi hai, jahan price 1.0815 level ke qareeb stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kuch fluctuations ke baad jo ke pichle haftay se chal rahi hain. Moving averages se trend dynamics ka andaza ho raha hai, aur yellow aur white moving averages ka convergence 1.0815 ke qareeb potential resistance ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pehle decline ke baad price ne 1.0785 par support liya aur wahan se bounce kiya. Agar bearish momentum wapas aata hai to yeh level critical support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Magar recent upward movement yeh dikhata hai ke sentiment me shift ho raha hai, aur EUR/USD phir se upper levels ko retest karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Chart ke neechay stochastic indicator overbought region me hai, aur uska reading 85 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ye suggest karta hai ke pair par selling pressure aa sakta hai, aur downward correction shuru ho sakta hai agar buyers 1.0815 resistance se upar control nahi rakh sakte.



Hourly chart par, important level 1.0815 hai. Agar EUR/USD is level par decisively close karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jisme agla target 1.0840 tak ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold nahi karta, to price wapas 1.0785 support ki taraf retreat kar sakti hai. Yeh area ye tay karega ke buyers recent uptrend ko sustain kar sakte hain ya sellers control wapas le lete hain. Kul mila ke, EUR/USD pair ek precarious position me hai, aur technical indicators overbought conditions ke wajah se possible pullback ka ishara de rahe hain. Traders stochastic levels par crossover ko monitor kar sakte hain jo ke trend reversal ka early signal ho sakta hai. Cautious approach lena behtar hoga, kyunki pair ke is critical resistance area me volatility ka potential hai.

EUR/USD currency pair is is waqt kafi kami dekh raha hai, aur ye downward trend recent sessions mein barqarar hai. Ek trader ke tor par, mujhe is movement se kafi khushi hai, khaaskar jab ke American dollar mazid mazboot hota ja raha hai. Ye trend sirf maasharti dynamics ko nahi dikhata balki trading ke liye mukhtalif mauqe bhi faraham karta hai.

Jab mai weekly chart kholta hoon EUR/USD pair ka, to ek wazeh neeche ki taraf jhukaav nazar aata hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke ye kami kisi bhi aham economic news ya bohat badi geopolitical events ke baghair ho rahi hai. Aam tor par, currency pairs news par react karte hain, chahe wo interest rates se related ho, employment figures ho, ya political developments. Aise catalysts ki kami is waqt ki movement ko aur bhi dilchasp banati hai.

Jab mai price action ka jaiza leta hoon, mujhe umeed hai ke pair aage bhi girega, shayad support level 1.0770 tak. Ye level ek mazboot consolidation point nazar aata hai, jahan pehle pair ne stability dekhi hai. Ek aham observation ye hai ke resistance level filhal 1.0900 par hai, aur agar pair ko upar ki taraf move karna hai, to buyers ko is barrier ko puri tarah se todna padega.

**Trading Strategy**

Meri trading strategy ke tor par, mai ehtiyaat bhara approach rakhne ki soch raha hoon. Maujooda market conditions ye darust karte hain ke selling ek mehfooz bet ho sakta hai jab tak koi wazeh evidence reversal ya bullish trend ka nahi milta. Lekin, risk management ko dekhna kafi zaroori hai, khaaskar jab ke stop-loss levels is waqt kaafi bade hain. Is wajah se, mai filhal market se baahar rehne ka faisla kiya hai.

Mera plan ye hai ke mai kisi behtar entry point ka intezar karoon. Khaaskar, mai 1.0770 level par pair kharidne ka ghoor kar raha hoon. Ye price point ek potential support area faraham karta hai jo reversal ya kam se kam price ki temporary stabilization ko prompt kar sakta hai. Is level ka intezar karke, mai apne munafa k kamyat se trade secure karne ke chances badha raha hoon.

**Potential Movements**

Jab mai filhal sidelines par hoon, mujhe ehsaas hai ke Asian trading session EUR/USD pair ke price par asar daal sakta hai. Ye mumkin hai ke Asian markets price ko 1.0820 level ki taraf upar push karein. Ye tab ho sakta hai jab traders is region mein local market conditions par react karein, jo profit-taking ya speculative buying shamil kar sakti hai.

Lekin, agar price 1.0820 tak bhi upar jata hai, to mai ehtiyaat barqarar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Mai tab tak intezar karna pasand karunga jab tak pair ya to mere target level 1.0770 par mazboot support establish kare ya koi sustained upward movement dikhaye jo 1.0900 resistance level ko tod de

EUR/USD karansi jori is waqt aik mushkil soorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai, jo kay kai factors se mutasir hai. Aik bara element jo iss jori ko asar andaz kar raha hai woh European Central Bank (ECB) ki sood ki sharah kam karne ki bartan hoti ummeed hai, jiska jaldi hi elaan kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaaran is mumkin sood ki sharah mein kami par baray ghore se nazar rakhay hue hain kyun ke sood ki sharah mein kami aik karansi ko kamzor kar deti hai. Euro pehle se hi dusri bari karansiyon ke muqablay mein mushkil ka shikar hai, aur yeh rujhaan jari reh sakta hai agar ECB sood ki sharah mein kami ka faisla karta hai. Sood ki sharah mein kami ka sabab Eurozone mein afraat-e-zar mein ahista rone ki wajah se hai. Tajaazya garon ka andaza hai ke afraat-e-zar, jo ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se naapta jata hai, mazeed thanda hota rahega. August ke liye HICP ki mukammal sharah 2.3% tak girne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke core inflation jo zyada utar chadhaw walay components ko nikaal kar nape jati hai, uske 2.8% tak girne ki paishgoi hai. Yeh afraat-e-zar ki adad o shumaar yeh izhar karti hain ke ECB ko sood ki sharah ko mazeed kam karna par sakta hai taake maeeshat ko sahara diya ja sake
Eurozone ki bari maeeshati soorat-e-haal ab bhi ghair yaqiniyat se do-chaar hai, jo Euro ke liye mazeed mushkilat paida kar rahi hai. Hal hi mein aye maeeshati data ne maeeshati sar-garmi mein maamooli behtari ka izhaar kiya, khas tor par France mein Paris Olympics ki wajah se, magar yeh izafa mawamlaat waqt tak mehdood samjha jata hai. Eurozone ki maeeshati soorat-e-haal ke hawalay se ab bhi ehtiyat pasandi ka rawaiya hai, kamzor nuqta nazar ke saath jo karansi par dabao daal raha hai. ECB ke aham shaksiyat, iske ahdaaydar, is shay par tawajjoh dein hain ke afraat-e-zar par qaabu paane ki jari koshishain aakhir kar mein kaamyaab hongi ya nahi. Is ghair yaqiniyat ke saath, tajaray apni soch mein yeh mansoobay shamil kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Union ki Main Refinancing Rate ki jari karwai is Jumairat ko mazeed bazaar mein utar chadhav la sakti hai, kyunke yeh sood ki sharah ECB ke mustaqbil ki maali policies ke hawalay se mazeed asharaat faraham karegi.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Euro pichlay trading week mein apni value mein girawat ko barkarar rakhte hue 1.0763 tak pohonch gaya, lekin yahan aik strong support area ka samna hua. Is ke baad buyers ne kuch recover karne ki koshish ki aur price 1.0837 tak wapas ayi, jo ab resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai aur price ke aagay barhne mein rukawat bani. Yeh level us target zone ke qareeb hai jo hum ne decline ke analysis mein pehle forecast kiya tha. Price chart bhi abhi tak super-trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ke control ko zahir karta hai.

Aaj ke analysis mein agar 4-hour chart ko dekha jaye, toh yeh pair kuch upward bounce koshish kar raha hai, magar yeh bounce limited lagta hai aur momentum bhi kam ho raha hai. Simple Moving Average bhi price par negative pressure daal raha hai. Iss lie hum apni negative position ko continue rakhte hue pichlay analysis ke target, 1.0740 ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Agar price 1.0740 ke neeche break hoti hai toh downside ko mazeed deepen kar sakti hai aur agla target 1.0700 ban sakta hai, jo 1.0665 tak bhi extend ho sakta hai. Aik hourly candle ka close agar 1.0840 par hota hai, toh yeh short term mein bullish reversal ki tasdeeq karega aur price wapas 1.0880 tak pohonch sakti hai.



Abhi price weekly lows se kuch decline kar rahi hai aur main resistance area ab tak test nahi hua, jo downward trend ko relevant rakh raha hai. Agar bullish trend ko continue karna hai toh price ko 1.0837 se neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ke central resistance zone ka border hai. Agar yeh area dubara test hota hai aur wahan se bounce hota hai toh downward move ke mazeed targets 1.0694 aur 1.0627 tak ja sakte hain.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 1.0926 ke reversal level ke upar chali jati hai, toh yeh current scenario ko cancel kar dega.