یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko halki si rebound dekhai, aur ye 1.0880 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Ye upward movement zyada tar October ke liye US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data ke umeed se kamzor aane ki wajah se hui. NFP report ne job growth mein kafi girawat dikhai, jis ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se potential interest rate cuts ki umeed barha di. Dusri taraf, Eurozone ki umeed se behtar economic growth aur inflation data ne ECB ke monetary policy stance ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor kiya. December mein ab bhi ek rate cut ki umeed hai, lekin ab is cut ki shiddat pehle se kam sochi ja rahi hai.
Technical tor par, EUR/USD pair ek potential bullish reversal ke ishaare de raha hai. RSI ne oversold levels se upar move kiya hai aur MACD ne red signal line ko cross kar liya hai, jo momentum mein shift ka ishara hai. Magar ab bhi 1.0800 ka level significant resistance bana hua hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to ye 1.0861 ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf mazeed upward move ka raasta khol sakta hai. 200-day SMA bhi ek ahem resistance level hai jo dekhna chahiye. Natija yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair ne ek potential rebound ke asaar dikhaye hain, jo ke US ke kamzor economic data aur Eurozone ki economy ke optimistic outlook ki wajah se hai. Lekin, pair ab bhi ahem technical hurdles ka samna kar raha hai aur overall trend bearish hai. Traders ko US aur Eurozone ke economic indicators aur Federal Reserve aur ECB ke monetary policy decisions ko kareebi se dekhna chahiye taake EUR/USD pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Consumer spending US economy ko support karta hai, jis se growth cycle ban jata hai jo dollar ko mazbooti deta hai. Aane wale consumer confidence data ko dekhte hue, analysts optimistic hain ke ye trend barqaraar rahega, jo dollar ko mazeed support dega. EUR/USD trading mein, main long positions ko 1.0844 ke target ke sath pasand karta hoon. Global external factors bhi dollar ko mazboot kar rahe hain, kyun ke Eurozone aur China jaise regions ki economy mein uncertainty se US dollar international investors ke liye zyada attractive ban gaya hai. In regions mein slow growth aur political uncertainty ne dollar ki demand ko stable investment ke tor par barha diya hai. US economy ki resilience ab bhi capital ko attract karti hai, jo global markets mein dollar ki position ko mazboot banata hai. Is liye, EUR/USD traders ko ehtiyaat ke sath trade karna chahiye aur stop-loss orders set karne chahiye taake wo unexpected losses se bachein. Ek strong dollar traders ke liye dono opportunities aur risks paida karta hai. Jab ke ye un traders ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai jo long positions rakhte hain, ye US exports ko foreign buyers ke liye mehnga bana kar trade balance ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke Monday ko market 1.0856 level se break hoga. Is liye, apni trades mein stop losses ka istemal karein taake apni account ko uncertain losses se bacha sakein.

EUR/USD

ka daily timeframe humein price ke bearish trend aur kuch critical levels ka pata de raha hai jo agle movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Chart par multiple indicators aur moving averages ka use hua hai jo price ka trend aur momentum dikhate hain.
Resistance Levels:
Chart mein humein kuch significant resistance levels nazar aa rahe hain jo price ke aage barhne mein rukawat bana sakte hain. Sabse pehla major resistance level 1.10561 par hai, jahan se pehle bhi price ne rejection dekha hai. Uss se upar 1.11653 aur 1.12285 ke qareeb additional resistance levels hain jo future mein price ke aage barhne ko challenge karenge. Yeh resistance areas signify karte hain ke agar price wahan tak pahunchti hai toh woh potentially reversal ya consolidation areas ho sakte hain.
Support Levels:
Neeche ke taraf, kuch important support levels hain jo price ko stability de sakte hain. Pehla major support level 1.07685 par hai, aur iske neeche 1.07291 bhi ek strong support area hai. Agar price in levels ko breach karti hai, toh yeh aur zyada downward movement ka ishara hoga, aur bearish trend mazeed sustain ho sakta hai.
Indicators aur Trend Analysis:
Chart par multiple moving averages hain jo is waqt downward slope par hain, jo ke overall bearish sentiment ko confirm karte hain. Iske ilawa, Ichimoku Cloud bhi price ke upar hai, jo ke selling pressure aur bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke negative outlook ko suggest karta hai.
Is chart ke analysis se ye baat samajh aati hai ke EUR/USD abhi bearish trend mein hai, lekin agar price major support ya resistance levels ko break karti hai toh woh aage ki direction ko define kar sakti hai. Agar aap trading kar rahe hain toh in levels aur trend indicators ko zaroor nazar mein rakhein. Abhi ke liye bearish bias zyada strong hai, lekin kuch significant support aur resistance levels ke paas reversal ya breakout ki possibilities bhi hain. Yeh chart technical analysis ke liye achi information provide karta hai jo trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe Analysis
Aaj hum EUR/USD ke H4 timeframe chart ka jaiza lete hain jahan hamen ek potential bullish trend ki indications mil rahi hain. Chart ka mutala karte waqt hamen ye samajh aata hai ke market ne 1.0880 ke aas-paas ek strong support level establish kiya hai. Yeh wo level hai jahan price ne multiple times hold kiya hai, is se yeh clear hota hai ke yahan buyers ki taraf se strong interest hai. Recent price action aur moving averages ka analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke agar price is waqt ke immediate resistance level jo ke 1.0950 par hai, usko break karti hai, toh hum agle kuch sessions mein 1.1040-1.1050 ka target dekh sakte hain. Yahan par moving averages ka cross over bhi positive trend ki tajeed kar raha hai, aur white aur yellow moving averages ke pattern se yeh pata chalta hai ke market upward momentum capture karne ke qareeb hai. Is waqt RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka value bhi noteworthy hai, jo 62 ke qareeb hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke abhi tak market overbought nahi hui, lekin momentum upward hai. RSI ka ye position generally ek positive signal hota hai, khas tor par jab price ek significant resistance ke kareeb ho. Price ne past mein 1.0950 ka level break karne ki koshish ki thi, lekin wahan se rejection face karna pada.

Agar is dafa price is barrier ko convincingly break karti hai, toh humara agla nazar mein aane wala level 1.1040 hai, jahan pe significant price reaction ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Traders ko is waqt sabr ka daaman nahi chhodna chahiye aur price ke breakout ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action ke confirmation ke baghair aggressive entry avoid karna behtar hoga, taki false breakout ka risk na rahe. Stop loss ko apne risk management ke mutabiq 1.0880 ke neeche set karna zaroori hai, taake kisi bhi unexpected price reversal ki surat mein apne risk ko control kiya ja sake. Final note yeh hai ke market ki volatility ko madde nazar rakhte hue risk ko manage karna bohot zaroori hai. Jis tarah se current chart set-up nazar aa raha hai, bullish move ki achi potential maujood hai, magar entry points ko samajhdari se manage karna har trader ki zimmedari hai.

EUR/USD pair abhi 1.0770–1.0795 range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan ahista se bearish trend dekha ja raha hai aur market activity abhi ehtiyaat aur control mein hai. Halaat kaafi dheere se badal rahe hain, lekin kuch aise asar hain jo dikhate hain ke agle kuch dinon mein pair mein bara shift aa sakta hai. Economic indicators ka alignment, central bank policies aur aanewali economic data releases ye sab yeh zahir karte hain ke EUR/USD mein bara move ho sakta hai. Is outlook ka markazi nuqta ECB (European Central Bank) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan monetary policy ka faraq hai. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance, jo ke inflation control karne ke liye rate hikes aur high interest rates par zor deta hai, is ne aakhri chand mahino mein dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai. Iske muqable mein, ECB ko mixed economic data, dheema growth, aur Eurozone mein mukhtalif inflation levels ka samna hai. ECB ne bhi inflation manage karne ke liye rates barhaye hain, lekin iska asar euro par itna zabardast nahi hai jitna ke Fed ke aggressive approach ka. Ye policy ka faraq euro ke liye negative hai, aur agar Fed apni tight policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh yeh EUR/USD ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Central bank policies ke ilawa, broader economic aur geopolitical factors bhi currency pair ko affect kar rahe hain. European economy ko kaafi challenges ka samna hai, jismein energy concerns aur geopolitical instability ki wajah se dheema growth shamil hai. In pressures ke sath kuch Eurozone countries ka weak economic performance bhi euro ke liye challenge bana hai. Dosri taraf, U.S. economy jo ke abhi tak mazboot hai, agar Fed ki policy aur tight hoti hai toh dheemi ho sakti hai. Agar U.S. economy mein dheemi growth ke clear signs milte hain, toh ye dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, aur EUR/USD trend mein reversal aa sakta hai. Technical tor par kuch support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhne ki zaroorat hai. Support level 1.0770 bohot ahem hai; agar yeh level break hota hai toh EUR/USD mein aur bearish momentum aa sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh pair yahan se support le aur reverse ho, toh yeh 1.0850 ya us se ooper tak ja sakta hai aur bullish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. Aane wale economic reports, jaise ke U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data, GDP updates aur Eurozone inflation numbers, market sentiment par asar dalenge aur volatility barha sakte hain. Yeh events EUR/USD ka direction bhi affect kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar yeh unexpected results dete hain jo ke euro ya dollar ke liye favorable ho.

The EUR/USD

pair currently stands at around 1.1200, and the prevailing sentiment in the market is bearish. This trend reflects a broader movement, with the euro showing weakness against the U.S. dollar. Factors influencing this trend range from economic indicators to geopolitical events, central bank policy decisions, and overall investor sentiment. Several factors suggest that a substantial price movement could be on the horizon. For one, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve’s policy approaches are significant drivers of the EUR/USD pair. The ECB has been relatively dovish compared to the Fed, maintaining lower interest rates and a cautious approach to rate hikes. In contrast, the Fed has pursued an aggressive stance in combating inflation, which has strengthened the dollar over the past year. If these policies diverge further, this could lead to even greater pressure on the EUR/USD, causing larger fluctuations in the pair’s exchange rate.

Economic data releases, such as GDP growth, employment numbers, inflation rates, and trade balances, are also critical to the EUR/USD trend. For instance, weaker economic data from the Eurozone could push the euro down further, especially if it signals slower growth or a potential recession. In particular, Germany’s economic performance is closely watched because it is the Eurozone’s largest economy, and any slowdown there often leads to broader concerns about the stability of the euro.

Additionally, external factors such as global risk sentiment, geopolitical tensions, and commodity prices contribute to the dynamics of the EUR/USD. When investors perceive higher risk, they often move toward the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, further strengthening it. Geopolitical events, especially those affecting European energy supplies or trade, can create substantial volatility in the EUR/USD. A rise in energy prices, for example, could increase inflation in the Eurozone, putting more pressure on the ECB to act. This creates anticipation in the market for potential changes, which could fuel larger moves in the currency pair.

From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD chart shows support and resistance levels around 1.1200. A breakout below this support could lead to more bearish momentum, with traders potentially seeing it as an opportunity for short positions. However, a reversal to the upside could signal a retracement, possibly driven by profit-taking or a temporary shift in sentiment.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Maujudah haftah intehai utar-chadhaw ke sath nishan zad ho sakta hai, qimaton me 150-200 pips se le kar 200-300 pips tak ka utar-chadhaw ho sakta hai, lehaza jo log market me dakhil hona chahte hain, unhein ya to stop-loss order lagana chahiye aur durust risk management karna chahiye, ya kayi dino tak trading se dur rahna chahiye, ta keh deposit ko nuqsan na pahunche.
Is dauran, aaj Peer hai aur market me qimaton me kisi sangeen tabdili ka imkan nahin hai. Aaj ki mumkena harkiyat EUR/USD chart par dekhi ja sakti hain.





Jumah ki bulandi se ooper mumkena izafe ke bad short positions kholna relevant hoga. 1.0785-1.0810 ke ilaqe me long positions par gaur kiya ja sakta hai. Sath hi, yah bhi wazeh rahe keh aak ke liye qarib tarin kharid zone 1.0820-1.0824 hai.

Yeh chart EUR/USD ka H1 (one-hour) timeframe ka hai, jo humein short-term trend aur price movements ka idea de raha hai. Chart par do moving averages (MA) aur stochastic oscillator ka istemal kiya gaya hai jo trend aur market ke momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain.
Moving Averages:
Chart mein red aur blue lines dikhayi de rahi hain, jo long-term aur short-term moving averages ko represent kar rahi hain. Red line ek long-term moving average hai, jo abhi price ke neeche hai aur support level ke tor par kaam kar rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak price is red moving average ke upar hai, tab tak overall trend bullish rehne ki umeed hai. Dusri taraf, blue moving average short-term trend ko follow kar rahi hai aur yeh bhi price ke neeche hai, jo bullish trend ki indication hai. Agar price blue moving average ke upar hi rehkar aage barhti hai toh yeh aur bhi strong bullish signal ho sakta hai.
Price Movement Analysis:
Chart mein recent price movement bullish hai. Price blue moving average ke upar hai aur ab woh resistance level ke qareeb hai. Yeh resistance level ek ahem maqam hai jahan se price ya toh wapas neeche aa sakti hai ya phir agar yeh level break hota hai toh aur aage barh sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance level break hota hai toh yeh aur bhi bullish momentum la sakta hai jo buyers ke liye ek mauka ho sakta hai ke woh trend ko follow karein.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Neeche stochastic oscillator dikh raha hai jo overbought zone mein hai, matlab yeh hai ke price ab overbought zone mein hai aur yahan se correction ya retracement ka chance hai. Jab stochastic overbought hota hai, toh aksar yeh dekha gaya hai ke price temporarily neeche aa sakti hai lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke trend mein koi major change aaye. Yahan humein thodi ehtiyat ke sath dekhna hoga ke price kis direction mein move karti hai.
Chart ka overall trend bullish lagta hai. Agar price resistance level break karti hai toh aur growth ka chance hai. Magar, stochastic overbought hone ki wajah se thodi si correction ya pullback bhi ho sakta hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh price ke movement ko closely monitor karein aur short-term correction ke liye bhi tayar rahein.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Tareekhi taur par, guzishtah Americi intekhabat ke bad, market ne euro/dollar ke jode me izafa dekha. 3 November ko, qimat gir gayi, lekin 4 November ko shuru ho kar, European currency ne darmiyani muddat me qadar hasil ki. Ham is bar bhi kuch aisa hi tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Meri khawahish hai keh sabhi ke liye tejarati hafta munafabaksh ho. Aaj, market ek waqfe ke sath khuli, jo euro/dollar ke jode aur bade currency ke jodo dono ke liye tezi ke jazbat ki nishandahi karti hai. Is se Americi dollar ke hawale se kam az kam kuch ghair yaqini suratehal ka pata chalta hai, agar puri tarah se mandi ke khayalat nahin hain.
Kya qimat maujudah satahon se gap ko pur kar payegi, yah ek khula sawal bana hua hai. Aakhir kar, is gap ko bharna zaruri nahin hai. Khas taur par, 1.0928 par mahana pivot aur 38.2% Fibonacci level jo 1.0933 ke nishan ke sath mawafiq hai, ek nayi rally ke liye hadaf hain. Mazid izafa tab hi mumkin hai jab qimat in satahon ka test kar. Mutabadil taur par, currency ka joda in nishan tak badhne ke bad aaj ke gap ko pur karne ke liye slide kar sakta hai.



Agar qimat toot jati hai aur 1.0928 se ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, yah satah darmiyani muddat ki support ke taur par ka karegi, agla taraqqi ka hadaf 1.0970 par ifqi satah hai. Sath hi, aane wale intekhabat ki wajah se Americi dollar aur lehaza EUR/USD ke liye nuqtah nazar wazeh nahin hai.

نومبر 4 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آج صبح، عالمی کرنسیاں امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار کے اجراء سے پہلے جمعہ سے اپنی سطح پر واپس آنے کی کوشش کر رہی ہیں۔ اعداد و شمار کے شائع ہونے کے فوراً بعد، کمزور اعداد و شمار کی وجہ سے ڈالر کمزور ہوا، لیکن مارکیٹ کے شرکاء نے جلد ہی سمجھ لیا کہ یہ اعداد و شمار سمندری طوفانوں اور ہڑتالوں کی وجہ سے ممکنہ طور پر غلط تھے۔ دوسرا، وہ اگلے مہینے (نومبر) میں مضبوط اعداد و شمار کے ذریعہ تیزی سے آفسیٹ ہوسکتے ہیں، کیونکہ بحالی کی کوششیں اور ہڑتال کی قراردادیں عام طور پر مزید ملازمتیں پیدا کرتی ہیں، جیسا کہ اس سے پہلے بھی اسی طرح کے حالات میں ہوا ہے۔



مارکیٹ میں اوپننگ گیپ اور قریبی ٹارگٹ لیولز (دونوں سمتوں میں) کی جانچ کی کمی صدارتی انتخابات کے فوراً بعد شدید اتار چڑھاؤ کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کا مثبت علاقے میں منتقل ہونا ابتدائی اوپر کی طرف حرکت کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ یہ حرکت 1.0935/50 کے ہدف کی حد تک محدود ہو سکتی ہے، یا یہ 1.0990-1.1010 کے دوسرے ہدف تک بڑھ سکتی ہے—50.0% درستگی کا علاقہ اور 1.1010 کے ہدف کی سطح، جو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے قریب بھی ہے۔ اس کے بعد، 1.0777 یا 1.0724 پر سپورٹ کے لیے واپس نیچے آنے کا امکان ہے۔

ہفتے کے آخر میں ہونے والے تازہ ترین سروے کے مطابق، حارث 276/251 کے انتخابی ووٹوں کی گنتی کے ساتھ ٹرمپ سے آگے ہیں۔ گیارہ غیر فیصلہ کن ووٹ باقی ہیں، لیکن حارث اب بھی فاتح ہوں گے چاہے وہ ٹرمپ کی طرف چلے جائیں۔

یہ صورتحال کو نمایاں طور پر پیچیدہ بناتا ہے۔ 1.0724 کے ارد گرد فرق کو پورا کرنے کے لیے نیچے کی طرف ابتدائی غلط اقدام کے بعد کافی اضافہ ہو سکتا ہے، جس کی تائید جمعرات کو متوقع ڈوش فیڈرل ریزرو میٹنگ (0.25% کی شرح میں کمی اور متعلقہ بیان بازی کے ساتھ) سے ہو سکتی ہے۔ اس طرح کے اقدام سے ممکنہ طور پر ان تاجروں کو باہر دھکیل دیا جائے گا جنہوں نے ٹرمپ کی فتح کی امید میں ڈالر خریدا تھا۔



چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنے چڑھتے ہوئے چینل کی اوپری باؤنڈری کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔ قیمت 1.0882 مزاحمتی سطح سے بڑھ گئی ہے۔ ہم فی الحال 1.0935/50 کے ہدف کی حد میں اضافے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Euro ki trading ka tajziya aur tips: 1.0877 price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator pehle hi zero mark se kafi upar tha, jo ke pair ki upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se, maine euro nahi kharida. Is price ka doosra test tab hua jab MACD overbought zone mein tha, aur strong U.S. data ke sath mil kar yeh selling ke liye amal mein ana mumkin bana. Natija yeh hua ke pair 1.0853 ke area tak gir gaya. U.S. labor market aur inflation ke data ne dollar ko mazboot banaya, lekin demand jaldi kam ho gayi, jis se market equilibrium barqarar raha. Pehle hisse mein Eurozone ka data nahi hai, is liye important U.S. reports se pehle pair mein strong movements dekhne ki umeed nahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye implement karne par zyada bharoosa karunga Euro khareedne ka irada hai jab price takriban 1.0885 (chart par green line) ko chhoo jaye, aur target 1.0914 rakha hai. Plan hai ke 1.0914 par market se exit karun aur euro ko ulte direction mein bechun, jahan entry point se 30-35 pips ka movement ho sakta hai. Pehle hisse mein euro ki significant growth ki umeed kam hai. Important! Khareedne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur ooper ki taraf badh raha ho.Aaj euro khareedne ka irada tab bhi hai agar 1.0865 price level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0885 aur 1.0914 ke opposite levels tak izafa dekhne ki umeed hai.Euro bechne ka irada 1.0865 level (chart par red line) par pahunchne ke baad hai. Target 1.0848 hai, jahan market se exit karne aur ulte direction mein khareedne ka plan hai (20-25 pips ke ulte direction movement ka aim). Pair par pressure tab wapas aayega agar daily high se upar jaane ki koshish fail ho jaye. Important! Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur neeche ki taraf ja raha ho. Aaj euro bechne ka plan tab bhi hai agar 1.0885 level ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ki taraf reversal ki taraf le jaayega. Aise mein 1.0865 aur 1.0848 ke opposite levels tak girawat dekhne ki umeed hai