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EUR/USD H4 Chart Analysis

Maujooda Bazaar Ka Rujhan


EUR/USD H4 chart ka tajziya yeh darust karta hai ke bazaar is waqt ek bearish rujhan mein hai. Haal hi mein girawat ke baad, qeemat ne 1.0360 ke support level par mustahkam hone ki koshish ki hai, magar ab tak bullish momentum ka koi wazeh ishara nahi mila.
Moving Averages Aur Qeemat Ka Amal


50-period aur 200-period moving averages (peela aur safed line se darshaya gaya) dono neeche ki taraf jha rahe hain, jo yeh darust karta hai ke bazaar ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Qeemat in dono moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bazaar mein bechne ka pressure mazid barhata hai.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)


RSI (Relative Strength Index) is waqt 41 par hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke qeemat consolidate ho rahi hai lekin momentum kamzor hai. Yeh RSI ka level yeh darust karta hai ke jabke bechne ka pressure kam ho gaya hai, kharidaar ab bhi aage aane se hichkichahat kar rahe hain.
Ahem Resistance Aur Support Levels


Maujooda resistance level 1.0415 par hai, jo 50-period moving average ke qareeb hai. Agar qeemat is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to agla maqsad 1.0470 ho sakta hai, jo ek psychological aur technical resistance hai. Is ke muqabil, agar qeemat support level 1.0360 ke neeche gir jaati hai, to agla support level 1.0300 par dekhna hoga.
Bazaar Ka Nazariya


Aaj ki trading session mein, bazaar shayad consolidate karta rahe, jab ke investors naye economic factors aur buniyadi data ka intezar kar rahe hain. RSI ka level 41 par hone ki wajah se bechne ka pressure kam hai, lekin kharidaaron ki hichkichahat ab bhi maujood hai.
Khulasa Aur Trading Strategy


Khulasa yeh hai ke EUR/USD ka overall rujhan bearish hai, aur qeemat is waqt neeche ke pressure mein hai. Agar aap trading ka irada rakhte hain, to yeh zaroori hai ke ahem support level 1.0360 aur resistance level 1.0415 ko monitor karein. Agar qeemat moving averages ke upar band hoti hai aur bullish signals nikalte hain, to trend reversal ho sakta hai. Bazaar mein volatility ki sambhavana ko dekhte hue, risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai aur kisi bhi breakout ka intezar karna chahiye pehle trades mein ghusne se.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Euro wallows at two-week trough under negative pressures

Euro ne European trade me Thursday ko thora sa izafa kiya, jo ke greenback ke khilaf do hafton ke lows se recover karne ki koshish thi.

Lekin gains me limitation hai, kyunke euro par dabao barqarar hai, aur ECB ke interest rate cut ki umeed barhne lagi hai jo ke is mahine ke akhir tak aasakti hai, aur US ke sath rate gap mazeed barh jayega.


Price



EUR/USD pair aaj 0.15% barh kar $1.0371 par aaya, jabke session-low $1.0355 tha.



Pair Tuesday ko 0.5% neeche close hua, jo ke do hafton ke lows $1.0343 tak gaya.


2024 me euro ne greenback ke khilaf 6.2% ka bara nuqsan dekha, jo ke char saalon me teesri bar salana nuqsan tha, aur European economy par mount hotay risks ke wajah se, saath hi ECB ke char interest rate cuts ke baad.


ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke eurozone apne medium-term inflation target ke kareeb hai, Financial Times ke interview ke mutabiq.


Pehle ke bayan me Lagarde ne kaha ke agar inflation 2% ki taraf slow hona jari raha, to ECB interest rates zyada aggressively cut karega.


Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke eurozone is stage ke kareeb hai, jahan ECB 2% inflation target ke hasool ka elan kar sakta hai.


US Dollar aur Gold



US Dollar mazboot raha, 108.43 ke qareeb trade karte huye, jabke economic data expectations ke mutabiq tha. Unemployment claims 220K par aaye, jo 219K se thora zyada hain, jabke final manufacturing PMI 48.3 par stable raha. Construction spending 0.4% se gir kar 0.3% par aa gaya. Iske baraks, Gold $2,633 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, Euro ne European trade me Thursday ko thora sa izafa kiya, jo ke greenback ke khilaf do hafton ke lows se recover karne ki koshish thi.

Lekin gains me limitation hai, kyunke euro par dabao barqarar hai, aur ECB ke interest rate cut ki umeed barhne lagi hai jo ke is mahine ke akhir tak aasakti hai, aur US ke sath rate gap mazeed barh jayega.

Price

EUR/USD pair aaj 0.15% barh kar $1.0371 par aaya, jabke session-low $1.0355 tha.

Pair Tuesday ko 0.5% neeche close hua, jo ke do hafton ke lows $1.0343 tak gaya.

2024 me euro ne greenback ke khilaf 6.2% ka bara nuqsan dekha, jo ke char saalon me teesri bar salana nuqsan tha, aur European economy par mount hotay risks ke wajah se, saath hi ECB ke char interest rate cuts ke baad.

ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke eurozone apne medium-term inflation target ke kareeb hai, Financial Times ke interview ke mutabiq.

Pehle ke bayan me Lagarde ne kaha ke agar inflation 2% ki taraf slow hona jari raha, to ECB interest rates zyada aggressively cut karega.

Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke eurozone is stage ke kareeb hai, jahan ECB 2% inflation target ke hasool ka elan kar sakta hai.

US Dollar aur Gold

US Dollar mazboot raha, 108.43 ke qareeb trade karte huye, jabke economic data expectations ke mutabiq tha. Unemployment claims 220K par aaye, jo 219K se thora zyada hain, jabke final manufacturing PMI 48.3 par stable raha. Construction spending 0.4% se gir kar 0.3% par aa gaya. Iske baraks, Gold $2,633 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, safe-haven demand ke sabab.

Upcoming ISM Manufacturing PMI aur FOMC commentary sentiment ko shape karenge. Agar dollar kamzor hota hai, to Gold barh sakta hai, jabke upbeat data greenback ki appeal mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke investors ko market movements ke liye alert rakhta hai.

European Rates

Lagarde ke bayan ke baad, January me 0.25% ECB interest rate hike ki umeed 55% se barh kar 65% ho gayi.

Markets predict karte hain ke ECB 2025 me 1.75% ka interest rate cut karega, jabke important eurozone growth, inflation, aur unemployment data ka intizar hai.

Rate Gap

Eurozone-US interest rate gap ab US ke haq me 135 basis points par hai, aur January tak 160 basis points tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke greenback ko mazboot karega.

Spanish PMI aur Economic Insights

Spanish Manufacturing PMI December me 53.3 par raha, jo forecasted 53.6 se neeche tha lekin November ke 53.1 se thoda behtar tha. Yeh data Spain ke manufacturing sector me ongoing expansion ko dikhata hai, lekin slower-than-expected growth challenges ki nishani hai.

Italy ka forecasted PMI 44.9 aur Germany ka 42.5 (jo ke stable hai) eurozone ki economic momentum ke bare me mazeed insights denge.

EUR/USD Technical Forecast

EUR/USD pair 1.03564 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek halki 0.01% ki increase dikhata hai, jabke buyers thodi dilchaspi dikhate hain. Pivot point 1.03448 par ek key level hai, jise triple-bottom pattern support kar raha hai, jo downside risks ko rokh sakta hai. Immediate resistance 1.03923 par hai, jabke ek mazboot hurdle 1.04490 par samjha jata hai. Downside par, support levels 1.03101 aur 1.02782 hain.

Technically, pair abhi apne 50 EMA ke neeche hai jo ke 1.03987 par hai, aur bearish momentum ko signal karta hai, jabke 200 EMA 1.04488 par ek significant resistance level hai. Agar 1.03448 se upar break karta hai, to sentiment bullish ban sakta hai, aur 1.03923 ka target ho sakta hai.



safe-haven demand ke sabab.



Upcoming ISM Manufacturing PMI aur FOMC commentary sentiment ko shape karenge. Agar dollar kamzor hota hai, to Gold barh sakta hai, jabke upbeat data greenback ki appeal mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke investors ko market movements ke liye alert rakhta hai.


European Rates



Lagarde ke bayan ke baad, January me 0.25% ECB interest rate hike ki umeed 55% se barh kar 65% ho gayi.


Markets predict karte hain ke ECB 2025 me 1.75% ka interest rate cut karega, jabke important eurozone growth, inflation, aur unemployment data ka intizar hai.


Rate Gap



Eurozone-US interest rate gap ab US ke haq me 135 basis points par hai, aur January tak 160 basis points tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke greenback ko mazboot karega.


Spanish PMI aur Economic Insights



Spanish Manufacturing PMI December me 53.3 par raha, jo forecasted 53.6 se neeche tha lekin November ke 53.1 se thoda behtar tha. Yeh data Spain ke manufacturing sector me ongoing expansion ko dikhata hai, lekin slower-than-expected growth challenges ki nishani hai.


Italy ka forecasted PMI 44.9 aur Germany ka 42.5 (jo ke stable hai) eurozone ki economic momentum ke bare me mazeed insights denge.


EUR/USD Technical Forecast



EUR/USD pair 1.03564 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek halki 0.01% ki increase dikhata hai, jabke buyers thodi dilchaspi dikhate hain. Pivot point 1.03448 par ek key level hai, jise triple-bottom pattern support kar raha hai, jo downside risks ko rokh sakta hai. Immediate resistance 1.03923 par hai, jabke ek mazboot hurdle 1.04490 par samjha jata hai. Downside par, support levels 1.03101 aur 1.02782 hain.


Technically, pair abhi apne 50 EMA ke neeche hai jo ke 1.03987 par hai, aur bearish momentum ko signal karta hai, jabke 200 EMA 1.04488 par ek significant resistance level hai. Agar 1.03448 se upar break karta hai, to sentiment bullish ban sakta hai, aur 1.03923 ka target ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis
EUR/USD ka yeh daily time frame chart humein ek clear bearish trend dikhata hai. Chart par dekhain toh price ne 1.09000 ka level pehle support ke taur par use kiya, magar ab yeh ek strong resistance ban chuka hai. November ke baad price consistently neeche gir rahi hai, jo market mein selling pressure ko highlight karta hai.
Agar hum moving averages dekhein, toh dono EMA (Exponential Moving Average) neek-line downward hai, jo yeh confirm karte hain ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Iska matlab hai ke buyers filhal market mein zyada active nahi hain, aur sellers dominate kar rahe hain.
Current price 1.02000 ke aas paas hai, jo ek important support zone hai. Yeh level pehle bhi price ko hold kar chuka hai, lekin agar yeh zone tod diya jaye, toh price 1.00000 ke psychological level tak gir sakti hai. Yeh ek critical area hoga jahan se price ya toh reversal karegi ya phir apne bearish trend ko continue karegi.
Lekin agar price 1.02000 se bounce karti hai, toh short-term mein ek bullish retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aise scenario mein 1.05000 ka level agla target ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh sirf tabhi hoga agar buyers market mein wapis strong entry lein.
Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo is waqt cautiously trade karein. Trend abhi bhi downward hai, lekin oversold conditions ko ignore nahi karna chahiye. Agar aap short position lena chahte hain, toh ensure karein ke stop-loss properly place ho. Dusri taraf, jo log reversal ka wait kar rahe hain, unhein confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Aapka kya analysis hai? Kya EUR/USD 1.02000 tod kar neeche jayega ya phir yahan se wapis upar aayega? Apne views aur trading strategies comments mein zaroor share karein.

EUR/USD ka yeh H4 candlestick chart forex trading ka ek aham tool hai jo price ki har 4 ghanton ki movement ko dikhata hai. Chart par kuch aham cheezein samajhne layak hain. Sab se pehle, yellow aur white lines jo chart par nazar aa rahi hain, wo moving averages hain. Yellow line shayad short-term moving average (50-period) hai, jabke white line long-term moving average (200-period) lagti hai. Price dono moving averages ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko wazeh karti hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein bechne walon ka pressure zyada hai aur price girawat ki taraf ja rahi hai. Chart ke neeche jo yellow line hai, wo RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ko dikhati hai. Abhi RSI 28.96 par hai, jo oversold condition ko represent karta hai. Jab RSI 30 se neeche hoti hai, to iska matlab hota hai ke price apne neechle had tak pahunch chuki hai aur wahan se upar jaane ka imkaan hai. Lekin RSI ke signal ko confirm karne ke liye hamesha price action aur doosre indicators ka bhi dehaan rakha jata hai.

Recent price movement par dekha jaye to candlesticks sharp downward move ko dikhati hain, jo market mein tez girawat ka izhar hai. Iske baad halki si upward retracement hui hai, lekin abhi bhi price lower levels par hi hai. Moving averages aur RSI ke hawale se dekha jaye to yeh ek aise phase ko dikhata hai jahan price kuch waqt ke liye consolidate karegi ya thoda bounce karegi. Lekin agar price dono moving averages ke neeche hi rahe, to bearish trend continue reh sakta hai. Is chart ka analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi trading karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Agar price RSI aur support levels ke saath bounce kare, to short-term buying ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar girawat barqarar rahe, to yeh selling ka mauqa bhi ho sakta hai. Trading karte waqt risk management aur technical analysis ka khayal rakhein.

جنوری 3 2025 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یورو نے نئے سال کا آغاز مندی کے نوٹ پر کیا، کل 90 پِپس کی کمی کے ساتھ، 1.0250 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا۔ تاہم، روزانہ کا چارٹ ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہی ہے، جو یورو کی نیچے کی رفتار میں کمی کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے اور ممکنہ استحکام کی تجویز کرتی ہے۔ اس استحکام یا اصلاح کے لیے متوقع بالائی حد 1.0350 پر مزاحمتی سطح ہے۔



آج، جرمنی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار جاری کرنے کے لیے تیار ہے، جس سے بے روزگاری کی شرح میں 6.1% سے 6.2% تک معمولی اضافہ متوقع ہے۔ مزید برآں، دسمبر کے لیے یو ایس آئی ایس ایم مینوفیکچرنگ انڈیکس کے نومبر کے 48.4 کی ریڈنگ سے تھوڑا کم ہوکر 48.3 تک پہنچنے کا امکان ہے۔ نتیجتاً، یورو میں 1.0250 سے 1.0350 کی حد میں حرکت کا امکان ہے۔ اگر یہ کل کی کم ترین 1.0225 سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتا ہے تو یہ 1.0135 کی طرف مزید کمی کا باعث بن سکتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت گزشتہ روز شدید کمی کے بعد 1.0250 سپورٹ لیول سے معمولی بحالی کر رہی ہے۔ قیمت کے اس ردوبدل کو مارلن آسیلیٹر کی حمایت حاصل ہے، جو کہ زیادہ فروخت ہونے والے علاقے کے قریب آتے ہی نرمی کر رہا ہے۔ 1.0350 مزاحمتی سطح کو قریب آنے والی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملنے کی توقع ہے، جس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ قیمت اس سطح تک پہنچنے کے لیے جدوجہد کر سکتی ہے۔

ہم تصحیح کے اختتام کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں اور 1.0250 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے توڑنے کی نئی کوشش کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Euro slides to lowest level in over two years

Thursday ke din euro ne girawat dekhi. North American session me, EUR/USD 1.0246 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ke andar 1.06% neeche hai. Euro ne 1.03 ke line ko break kar liya, jo pehli baar November 2022 ke baad hua hai.
Ahem Points:

• DAX ne 0.58% ka izafa dekha, aur 20,025 par band hua, lekin tariff threats aur hawkish Federal Reserve ke policy, 2025 ke liye challenges hain.
• German PMI 42.0 tak gir gaya, jo ECB ke rate cut ki umeedon ko barhawa deta hai; kam demand aur job cuts economic recovery ke liye khatra ban sakte hain.
• German unemployment aur US Manufacturing PMI data Friday ko market sentiment par asar dalega.

Kya euro parity ki taraf ja raha hai?
Euro ne 2024 me dollar ke muqable me 6% se zyada girawat dekhi, aur 2025 me bhi yeh silsila jaari reh sakta hai. Federal Reserve ne rate cuts me dheemi raftaar rakhnay ka faisla kiya hai, jo mazboot US economy aur resilient labor market ka asar hai.

Iske baraks, eurozone ki economy late 2022 se slow hai, halaanki labor market overheating ka shikar hai. ECB ne teen consecutive meetings me rate cuts kiye hain aur yeh silsila economy ko support karne ke liye jaari rakhe ga.

ECB se is saal 100 basis points se zyada rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cuts se do guna se zyada hain. Yeh US aur Europe ke rate difference ko barhaega, jo investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banayega.

German PMI aur manufacturing sector ki halat:
German PMI December me 42.5 par aaya, jo October aur November ke 43.0 se neeche tha. Eurozone PMI bhi December me 45.1 par aaya, jo November ke 45.2 se neeche tha. Germany aur eurozone ka manufacturing sector pichlay do saal se contraction ka shikar hai aur abhi recovery ke koi asaar nahi dikhte.

DAX ke gains:
January 2 ko, DAX 0.58% barha, aur December 30 ke 0.38% loss ko reverse karte huye 20,025 par band hua. Magar, US tariff threats aur hawkish Federal Reserve ka rate path ab bhi headwinds hain.

Sector Performance: Autos sector Trump ke tariff threats ki wajah se girawat ka shikar hai. Volkswagen ne 1.89%, Mercedes-Benz ne 1.71%, aur BMW ne 1.11% ka loss record kiya.

Bank stocks bhi pressure me hain. US banking deregulation European banks ke competitiveness ko affect kar sakti hai. Deutsche Bank aur Commerzbank negative territory me close hue.

Lekin Airbus ne 3.72% ka izafa dekha, jabke Hannover Re aur Munich Re ne bhi DAX ke gains me apna hissa dala.

Technical Analysis:
Euro $1.0255 tak gir gaya, jo November 2022 ke baad ka lowest level hai.
Eurozone ki economy me stagnation hai, aur 2025 ke growth forecasts weak hain. Germany aur France ki political instability aur Trump ke tariff threats se situation aur ziada mushkil hoti ja rahi hai. Danske Bank ke analysts predict karte hain ke EUR/USD medium term me parity ko dobara touch kar sakta hai.

Market Analysis (EUR/USD)
Is chart mein hum dekh saktay hain ke EUR/USD ka price abhi ek consolidation phase mein hai. Price apne recent lows se recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin resistance ka samna kar raha hai. White line moving average (MA) ko represent kar rahi hai, jo filhal downward trend ko dikhati hai. Yeh is baat ka signal hai ke market abhi bearish territory mein hai.
Orange lines ko dekhain, jo higher time-frame ki moving averages hain. Yeh confirm karti hain ke overall trend abhi tak bearish hai. Jab tak price in lines ke upar break nahi karta, tab tak koi strong bullish reversal expected nahi hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index), jo neeche dikhai de raha hai, 42 ke aas paas hai. Yeh zone na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold, jo batata hai ke market neutral zone mein hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke koi bhi strong buying ya selling momentum abhi tak develop nahi hua. Agar RSI 70 ke kareeb ya upar chala jaye, to overbought situation ho sakti hai, aur neeche 30 ke aas paas, oversold signal milta hai.
Chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, agar price neeche support zone ke paas (1.0430 ke kareeb) break karta hai, to agla target aur neeche ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price white moving average ke upar break kare aur usko sustain kare, to bullish momentum develop ho sakta hai.
Trading Strategy:

• Agar aap short kar rahe hain, to resistance zone ka intezar karein aur us par sell positions lein.
• Lekin agar bullish breakout hota hai, to moving averages aur RSI ko closely monitor karein. Risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke forex market highly volatile hoti hai.

Yeh chart long-term traders ke liye bearish hai, lekin short-term mein buyers ke liye bhi kuch opportunities mil sakti hain.

EUR/USD ka yeh chart humein daily timeframe ka lagta hai. Price ka clear downward trend dikh raha hai, jisme RSI indicator bhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo 30 ke neeche ja raha hai. Yeh batata hai ke market main selling pressure zyada hai. Chart par ek yellow horizontal line 1.07752 ke level par marked hai, jo shayad ek important resistance level ho sakta hai. Price us level ko break nahi kar paya aur neeche gira hai. Moving averages ka crossover bhi dikhai deta hai, jo ek bearish signal deta hai. White aur yellow moving averages ka cross downward momentum ko mazboot banata hai. December ke mid aur end par price kuch consolidation zone main raha, lekin year ke aakhir main price ne phir se neeche girna shuru kar diya, jo ab tak 1.03085 ke kareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh level ek temporary support lagta hai, magar agar yeh toot jaye to price aur neeche ja sakti hai. RSI (14) value 34.45 hai, jo abhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh indicator batata hai ke market shayad temporarily thoda recover kare, lekin major trend bearish hi lagta hai jab tak price 1.07752 ka resistance level todh nahi deti.

Agar aap trading plan kar rahe hain, to aapko careful rehna hoga aur price ke 1.07752 ke resistance level ya neeche ke support levels ko closely dekhna hoga. Stop loss aur risk management ka istemal zaroori hai. Yeh chart overall bearish hai, lekin kisi bhi rebound ya short-term pullback ke liye ready rehna chahiye. Technical analysis ke sath sath news aur economic events ka bhi dhyan rakhein, kyun ke woh market ko impact karte hain.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD abhi ek bearish trend main hai, lekin RSI ke madde nazar kuch recovery ho sakti hai. Agar aap trade lena chahte hain, to resistance aur support levels ka khayal rakhein aur moving averages aur RSI ko monitor karein.

EUR/USD ka diya gaya chart H1 (hourly) timeframe par technical analysis ko dikhata hai. Isme ek downtrend ke baad mumkin reversal ka signal nazar aa raha hai.
Mukhtasir Tafseel:

1. Downtrend aur Mumkin Reversal:
   Chart par dikhaya gaya hai ke qeemat haal hi mein girawat mein thi aur moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi thi. Lekin ab qeemat neeche se uthna shuru kar chuki hai, jo ek possible reversal ki nishani hai. Chart par bullish projection bhi nazar aa raha hai jo agay barhne ki umeed dikhata hai.
2. Support Zone:
   Chart mein 1.0220-1.0270 ka ilaqa ek mazboot support zone ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai. Qeemat is zone ko touch kar ke upar bounce kar rahi hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke ye level buyers ke liye important hai.
3. Moving Averages:
   Chart par moving averages (short aur medium-term) downtrend ko confirm karte hain, lekin ab yeh ek doosre ke qareeb aa rahe hain. Ye is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke trend badal sakta hai. Agar qeemat moving averages ke upar chali jaye, to ek mazboot bullish move mumkin hai.
4. RSI Indicator:
   RSI (Relative Strength Index) oversold level se recover kar chuka hai aur filhal 58.87 ke qareeb hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke bullish momentum barh raha hai. Agar RSI 60-70 ki range tak pohanchta hai, to bullish trend ki umeed mazeed barh jati hai.
5. Aindah ke Imkanat:
   Chart par ek mumkin scenario dikhaya gaya hai, jisme qeemat support zone par wapas aa sakti hai aur phir upar ki taraf tezi se barh sakti hai.

Agar qeemat support zone ke upar rehti hai aur moving averages ko cross kar leti hai, to ek strong bullish rally ke chances hain. Trading karte waqt risk management aur support-resistance levels ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka daily time frame dikhata hai, jo September 2024 se January 2025 tak ka data represent karta hai. Is chart ko dekh kar clear hai ke price ek consistent downtrend mein hai. Sabse pehle, moving averages ko dekhte hain: white line 50-day moving average ko aur yellow lines 100 aur 200-day moving averages ko represent kar rahi hain. Price in teeno moving averages ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish momentum kaafi strong hai. Chart par hum dekhte hain ke price October ke end tak kaafi zyada gir chuki thi, uske baad November ke beech mein thoda consolidation hua. Lekin December ke shuru hote hi bearish trend phir se dominate kar gaya. Iska sabse bara indication yeh hai ke moving averages ke darmiyan faasla barh raha hai, jo strong selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Yeh ek ahem signal hai ke abhi market recovery ki taraf nahi ja rahi. Neeche RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka indicator bhi show ho raha hai, jo 34 ke kareeb hai. RSI ka itna low hona is baat ki nishani hai ke market oversold zone ke kareeb hai. Lekin abhi RSI 30 se upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke abhi buyers kaafi weak hain aur selling pressure dominate kar raha hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche girta hai, toh market mein aur girawat aasakti hai.

December ke end aur January ke shuruat mein price 1.0300 ke psychological support ke kareeb hai. Agar price is level ke neeche close karti hai, toh yeh aur ziada bearish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price yahan se upar aati hai aur RSI recover karta hai, toh market mein ek temporary bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is chart ko dekh kar yeh samajh aata hai ke abhi market ka trend bearish hai aur buyers abhi passive hain. Traders ke liye yeh waqt technical levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karne ka hai. Market ka reversal sirf tabhi possible hai jab price moving averages ke upar aayegi aur RSI ka signal improve karega., yeh market sellers ke control mein hai.

EUR/USD ka 4 hour timeframe par analysis consistent bearish trend ko highlight karta hai jahan price moving average (red line) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.Yeh sustained downward momentum ko suggest karta hai, aur moving average dynamic resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai.Aakhri kuch maheenon mein pair lower highs aur lower lows ka experience kar raha hai, jo strong downtrend ka classic sign hai. Psychological level 1.0300 ka recent breakdown bearish control ko confirm karta hai, jahan price is support level ko tod kar usay potential resistance mein tabdeel kar raha hai. Yeh downward movement macroeconomic factors, jaise ECB aur Fed ki diverging monetary policies ya Eurozone ki geopolitical concerns ki wajah se ho sakti hai.Sharp declines ke dauran barhta hua volume yeh batata hai ke significant market participants actively is trend ko drive kar rahe hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is waqt 40 ke qareeb hai jo bearish momentum ko reflect karta hai lekin abhi oversold conditions (30 se neeche) signal nahi kar raha.Yeh batata hai ke pair ke paas aur downside movement ka scope hai. Money Flow Index (MFI) bhi 41 par hai, jo bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai, magar excessive selling pressure ke bagair.RSI ya MFI par koi clear bullish divergence nahi hai jo yeh imply karta hai ke short term mein trend reverse hone ke chances kam hain. Immediate support 1.0250 ke qareeb hai jabke resistance 1.0420 par maujood hai.Agar price 1.0250 ke neeche break karta hai toh aur zyada declines ho sakte hain jo parity ke qareeb levels ko target karenge.Lekin agar price 1.0420 ke upar sustain karta hai, toh momentum shift ka signal mil sakta hai.Is waqt traders ko cautious rehna chahiye, kyun ke overall technical picture downside risk ko suggest karta hai jab tak koi strong catalyst market dynamics ko badal nahi deta. Fed officials ke mutabiq Federal fund rates year-end tak 3.9% tak pohanch sakte hain. September ke projections ke mutabiq 4 rate cuts anticipate kiye gaye thay lekin ab sirf do expect kiye ja rahe hain.Saath hi market participants ne Fed ke dovish wagers ko reduce kar diya hai, Trump administration ki economic policies ke madde nazar jo growth aur inflationary pressures ko barha sakti hain. US Dollar Index (DXY) apni two-year high 109.00 ke aas-paas hai jabke US labor market data aur ISM Manufacturing PMI ko closely monitor kiya ja raha hai, jo Fed interest rate estimates ko impact karega.

Yeh chart trading analysis ko represent kar raha hai jisme price action aur moving averages ka istamaal kiya gaya hai. Chart ka green background aur candles market ki direction ka pata dete hain. Yellow aur white lines moving averages hain jo long-term aur short-term trends ko dikhate hain. Niche RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka indicator hai jo market ke overbought aur oversold zones ka signal deta hai.
Chart ke mutabiq price ne pehle consolidation phase dikhaya, jisme candles sideways chal rahi hain. Uske baad ek sharp downward move dekhne ko mili, jo shayad kisi negative news ya strong resistance level ki wajah se hui ho. Is drop ke baad price thoda stabilize hota nazar aa raha hai aur halki bullish recovery shuru ho chuki hai.
Yellow aur white moving averages ke darmiyan ka farq yeh signal deta hai ke abhi overall trend bearish hai, lekin short-term recovery ka chance maujood hai. Agar price in moving averages ko todta hai aur upar jaata hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh sirf ek pullback hai, toh price phir se neeche gir sakta hai.
Niche RSI indicator ka analysis karein, toh woh abhi neutral zone mein hai, lekin agar woh 70 ke kareeb chala jaye toh overbought signal milega, aur agar 30 ke neeche aaye toh oversold zone confirm hoga. Yeh dono situations traders ke liye important decision-making ka waqt hoti hain.
Yeh chart trading ke liye potential opportunities dikhata hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain, toh aap price ki short-term recovery ka fayda utha sakte hain, lekin agar aap long-term trend follow karte hain, toh aapko confirmation ka intezaar karna hoga. Risk management ka khayal zarur rakhein, aur stop loss ka use karna na bhoolen.
Yeh post beginners aur experienced traders dono ke liye madadgar ho sakti hai. Hamesha apne analysis ko improve karte rahiye aur market ki volatility ka khayal rakhein.

EUR/USD Ka Trading Analysis – Trend, Indicators aur Strategy
Aaj ka EUR/USD ka chart ek clear downward trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Price ne lagbhag 1.11670 se gir kar 1.03152 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo kayafi bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Is chart mein candlestick patterns aur moving averages (yellow aur white lines) clearly show karte hain ke price ne consistently neeche ki taraf movement ki hai. Short-term aur long-term moving averages dono neeche ja rahe hain, jo market ke bearish trend ko support karte hain.
Indicators Ki Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko dekhein to yeh 35 ke level ke aas-paas hai, jo batata hai ke market abhi oversold zone mein nahi hai, magar selling pressure mazboot hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche chala jata hai, to oversold zone confirm ho sakta hai, jo ek potential bounce ka signal ho sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator bhi downward momentum dikhata hai, lekin kuch recovery ki shuruaat hoti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Magar yeh recovery abhi weak lag rahi hai jab tak price major resistance levels ko tod nahi leta, jaise ke 1.0400.
Strategy:
Is waqt ke liye traders ko short-term selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye, magar risk management ka zaroor khayal rakhein. Apne stop-loss levels ko set karna zaroori hai, taake kisi bhi unexpected reversal se apka loss kam ho. Agar price 1.0400 ke upar close karta hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai aur buying opportunities ke liye ready rehna chahiye.
Market ki volatility ko samajhna aur trading decisions ko analysis ke sath align karna kaafi zaroori hai. Koi bhi trade lene se pehle apne trading plan ko review karen aur patience ke sath kaam karen. Forex trading mein short-term profits ke liye analysis aur strategy ka hona sabse zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Aap ka trading plan kya kehta hai? Apni strategy ko indicators ke sath match karein aur market updates ko regular basis par monitor karein!

Iss hafta markets mein liquidity wapas aane ki umeed hai lekin Thursday ko U.S. mein ek aur chhutti ka din hoga is liye trading volumes kam reh sakti hain. Weekly unemployment claims ka data release hoga jo aksar markets mein halchal paida karta hai.Bohat se traders meri tarah EUR/USD ka level 1.0335 closely dekh rahe hain. Yeh level selling ya positions fix karne ke liye important ho sakta hai.Lekin 1.04 mujhe zyada ideal lag raha hai short trades ke liye kyun ke wahan buying kaafi mazboot ho sakti hai lekin wahan se price rollback karne ka chance bhi hai.Pichle kuch hafton se EUR/USD ka trend downward hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh momentum abhi tak barqarar hai.Mai ne ek hafta se terminal nahi dekha lekin yeh dekh kar hairan nahi hoon ke pair ab tak gir raha hai.Lekin ab ek major rollback zaroori lag raha hai.Aaj Germany ka inflation data release hoga jo market ke sentiment par asar dal sakta hai.Saath hi U.S. dollar ki demand aur indices ka data bhi trading ke liye important hoga. Filhal mai sell positions open nahi kar raha lekin agar price 1.0260 ke neeche aata hai toh mai buying consider kar sakta hoon.Price ke liye 1.0267 ek strong support level hai.Agar price iss level ke neeche chala jata hai, toh agla target 1.0200 aur uske baad 1.0160 hoga, jo August 2022 ka lowest level tha. Dusri taraf, resistance kaafi strong hai 1.0335 aur 1.04 ke aas paas jahan upward movement ko rokne ka chance hai.Technically EUR/USD abhi bhi major moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai.RSI weak buying dikhata hai aur bearish Ichimoku cloud bhi downward pressure ko support karta hai.Price ka control abhi sellers ke paas hai aur jab tak resistance levels todte nahi, tab tak downward pressure barqarar rehne ka chance hai. Data releases aur dollar ki demand par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

جنوری 6 2025 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ جمعہ کو، یورو میں 48 پِپس کا اضافہ ہوا، جس نے 1.0250 کی خلاف ورزی کی حمایت سے اپنی اصلاح جاری رکھی۔ یہ اصلاحی تحریک آج بھی برقرار رہ سکتی ہے، کیونکہ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ قیمت کو 1.0350 پر ہدف مزاحمت تک پہنچنے سے روکنے میں کوئی خاص رکاوٹ نہیں ہے۔

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آج، دسمبر میں یورو زون کے لیے سروسز پی ایم آئی شائع کیا جائے گا، نومبر میں 49.5 کے مقابلے میں 51.4 کی پیشن گوئی کے ساتھ۔ us کے لیے سروسز پی ایم آئی کو بھی جاری کیا جائے گا، پچھلے 56.1 کے مقابلے میں 58.5 کی پیشن گوئی کے ساتھ۔ تاہم، نومبر کے لیے امریکی فیکٹری آرڈرز میں 0.3% کی کمی کی توقع ہے، جو یورو کو مزید فائدہ اٹھانے کا موقع فراہم کر سکتا ہے۔

ایچ -٤ ٹائم فریم پر، 1.0350 کے ہدف کی سطح کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی قربت سے تقویت ملتی ہے۔ اگر، قیمت کی جانچ کے وقت اس سطح پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنی غیر جانبدار صفر لائن تک پہنچ جاتا ہے، تو ایک مطابقت پذیر الٹ نیچے کی طرف واقع ہو سکتا ہے، جس سے قیمت اپنے رجحان پر مبنی کمی کو دوبارہ شروع کر سکتی ہے۔

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