Eurusd forum

EUR/USD ek defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 level ek significant support ka kaam kar raha hai aur resistance 1.1200 ke aas paas hai. Pichlay haftay ke dauran, price in dono levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, lekin bullish bias ubhar raha hai. Jab EUR USD ke muqablay mein strong hota nazar aa raha hai, traders ko breakout ke potential ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 1.1100 resistance ko cross karta hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh hum further bullish movement dekh sakte hain jo 1.1250 level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ko dikhata hai. EUR/USD ke H1 time frame chart par, exchange rate filhaal 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend hai. Yeh downtrend broader euro ki weakness ko reflect karta hai USD ke muqablay mein, jo ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment se drive hota hai. Traders ko in influences ka note lena chahiye kyun ke yeh market ke current momentum ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na aaye. EUR/USD pair H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur bohot se factors euro ki weakness mein contribute kar rahe hain USD ke muqablay mein. Traders ko aane wale economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko further mutasir kar sakte hain. Filhaal, long positions ke liye ek cautious approach recommend ki jati hai, Eur/Usd ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai

اکتوبر 11 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

امریکہ کی طرف سے کل کی اعتدال پسند مایوسی کی خبروں نے یورو کو بے ترتیب کردیا، جس کی وجہ سے یہ 55 پوائنٹس کی روزانہ کی حد میں اتار چڑھاؤ اور صرف 4 پوائنٹس کے نقصان کے ساتھ دن کا اختتام ہوا۔ بیروزگاری سے فائدہ اٹھانے کے دعویداروں کی تعداد میں ہفتے کے دوران 42,000 کا اضافہ ہوا، جس سے گزشتہ جمعہ کے مضبوط روزگار کے اعداد و شمار پر شکوک پیدا ہوئے۔ بنیادی سی. پی. آئی. ستمبر میں سال بہ سال 3.2% سے بڑھ کر 3.3% ہو گیا، جبکہ مجموعی سی. پی. آئی. 2.3% کی توقع کے خلاف 2.5% سے 2.4% تک گر گیا۔ قدرتی طور پر، اگلے ہفتے ممکنہ ای سی بی کی شرح میں کمی بھی دباؤ میں اضافہ کر رہی ہے۔ تاہم، مشرق وسطیٰ میں کشیدگی اور ای. سی. بی. اور فیڈرل ریزرو دونوں کی جانب سے مالیاتی پالیسی میں بیک وقت نرمی کی وجہ سے ڈالر کا توازن غیر یقینی ہے۔ اسٹاک اور اجناس کی منڈیوں میں جاری مضبوط ترقی پر غور کرتے ہوئے، یورو ممکنہ طور پر ای سی بی میٹنگ سے پہلے مضبوط ہونا شروع کر سکتا ہے، کیونکہ یہ اس توازن کی تلاش میں ہے۔ ہفتے کے آغاز سے، یورو میں صرف 38 پوائنٹس کی کمی ہوئی ہے، جو واضح طور پر مزید گرنے سے گریزاں ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0950 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے۔ لمبا نچلا سایہ اشارہ کرتا ہے کہ 1.0882 تک پہنچنے کی ایک اور کوشش کا امکان نہیں ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ اگر یورو 1.1185 کی سطح سے کم ہو رہا ہے، تو یہ پوری تحریک جغرافیائی سیاسی عوامل کی وجہ سے غیر فیصلہ کن تجارت کے طور پر ظاہر ہوتی ہے۔ یہ 1.1010 کی سطح سے اوپر قیمت توڑنے کے ساتھ ختم ہونے کا امکان ہے. ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ ساتھ 1.1076 سے اوپر کی پیش رفت، یورو کی درمیانی مدت کی ترقی کی طرف واپسی کا اشارہ دے گی۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت کا آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ کنورژنس تیار ہوا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں ہے لیکن ابھی تک استحکام کی حد سے باہر نہیں نکلا ہے۔ الٹ پھیر ابھی بھی جاری ہے۔ یہاں، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی مزاحمت پر قابو پانے کے لیے قیمت کو 1.1010 کی سطح سے اوپر جانے کی ضرورت ہے۔ ہم انتظار کرتے رہتے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai. Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing

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momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka ghor se jaiza lete hain. Hum ne Friday ke lows ko update kiya hai, lekin EUR/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain. Ye pair teen din se aik tang range mein sideways chal raha hai aur bearish rujhan barqarar hai. Magar din khatam hone se pehle koi tabdeeli ho sakti hai. Iss waqt main kisi bhi taraf ka movement tabhi pasand karoon ga jab hum is range ko aik direction mein torain. Main umeed karta hoon ke U.S. se koi naya factor ayega, calendar par news ka intezar hai, jisse humein volatility ki tawaqo hai. EUR/USD pair iss waqt stagnant hai, aur main kal ke U.S. inflation data ka intezar kar raha hoon. Forecast ke mutabiq overall inflation mein 0.2% year-on-year kami ka tawaqo hai, jabke core inflation 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve ke liye core inflation zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Market ne pehle se hi iss forecast ko price mein shaamil kar liya hai, jis ki wajah se EUR/USD mein thodi girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Lekin pair mein mazeed girawat tab tak nahi ho sakti jab tak koi naya catalyst saamne nahi aata, aur ye kal ke din hone ki tawaqo hai. Aaj ke din kisi khaas upward movement ka imkaan kam hai, is liye bullish target daily high 1.0980 par hai, jabke bearish target 1.0920 par hai. EUR/USD pair mein filhal koi khaas activity nahi dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke price kisi bhi significant event ya news ke baghair chalne mein muskilat ka shikar hai. Technical taur par price 1.0950 ke support level ko press kar rahi hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo 1.0910 aur 1.0890 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Main wahan se koi buying shuru nahi karoon ga kyun ke downward breakout ke baad aik slow drop 1.0820 tak ja sakti hai. Ideally, main sirf 8th figure ke start ke kareeb buying ka sochonga. Agar price 1.0950 ke neeche establish nahi hoti, to 1.1030 tak correction ka chance ab bhi maujood hai. Iss liye yeh behtar hai ke is crucial news release ke waqt market mein entry se gurez kiya jaye.

**EURUSD ka technical analysis**
1-hour chart par, price ne channels ko upar ki taraf torne ke baad oopar ka rukh ikhtiyar karna shuru kar diya hai. Aaj price ne pehle do din ke doran downward price channels ke andar trade karna shuru kiya, jo ke guzishta do dinon ke dauran ke movement trend ko zahir karta hai, lekin lagta hai ke ab price apna rukh upar ki taraf badalne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Price ko channels ki middle lines se support mili, aur jab yeh upper channel lines tak pohcha, toh pehle usko resistance ka samna tha, lekin price ne aakhirkar channels ko tor diya.

Agar is pair par trade karni hai, toh humein is waqt ek achi buying opportunity nazar aa rahi hai. Hum current level se buying mein enter kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko aaj ke sabse neechey trading price ke neechay set kar sakte hain.

**Economic side se**, US dollar ke gains mein mazeed izafa dekha gaya hai jab ke baqi major currencies ke muqable mein stronger-than-expected US inflation figures saamne aayi. Iske ilawa, positive momentum tab dekha gaya jab US Federal Reserve ki aakhri meeting ke minutes release huay. Forex trading ke mutabiq, US dollar ka rate kuch chamak raha hai jab Federal Reserve ne yeh zahir kiya ke wo US economy ke mazbooti ke liye hushyar hai aur mustaqbil mein interest rates ke cuts par policymakers ke darmiyan sakht behas hogi.

Fed ne September mein interest rates ko 50 basis points kam kiya tha, lekin faislay ke minutes ne yeh zahir kiya ke yeh faisla mutafiq nahi tha. Yeh bhi samney aaya ke "kuch" members policy-setting committee (Federal Open Market Committee) ke 25 basis points ka cut dene ke haq mein thay, aur "kuch doosray" chhoti cut ko tarjeeh de rahe thay. Isse yeh andaza lagta hai ke mustaqbil ke cuts ka waqt aur size ek active FOMC ke zariye behas ka mawdu rahega, aur is baat ka akhri imkaan khatam ho gaya ke Fed ne automatically ek US interest rate level set kiya tha jo ke economy ke liye neutral samjha ja sake.

**Trades ka Tajziya aur Euro ke Liye Trading Tips**
1.0946 ka price level test hone ka waqat MACD indicator ke zero line se oopar jane ke sath hua. Yeh dikhata tha ke yeh euro khareedne ka sahi waqt tha. Magar agar aap US ki statistics dekhte, jo inflation growth ke mutabiq expected se zyada thi, toh aap shayad euro ke liye buy positions na kholte. Kuch dair baad, dobara 1.0946 ka price level test hua, aur is dafa MACD ne overbought signal dikhaya, jis se selling ka scenario (#2) play out hua. Natija yeh hua ke pair 30 points se zyada gir gaya. Aaj, German consumer price index ke ilawa pehle hisay mein aur kuch nahi hai, is liye euro buyers ke paas week ke akhri din tak wapas aane ka mauqa ho sakta hai, khas tor par jab har euro sale ke sath significant buying activity bhi ho rahi hai, jo ke bade market participants ke interest ko zahir karta hai. **Intraday strategy** ke hawale se, main mainly scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne ka rukh karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario #1**: Aaj aap euro ko tab khareed sakte hain jab price 1.0946 ke aas-paas pohche (green line chart par), aur target 1.0979 ka hoga. 1.0979 par main market se exit karunga aur euro ko ulte rukh mein sell karunga, aur entry point se 30-35 points ki movement ka target rakhoon ga. Aaj ke pehle hisay mein euro ka rise hona sirf ek correction ka hissa ho sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero line ke oopar ho aur upar janay ka aghaz kare, phir hi aap buy karen.

**Scenario #2**: Main euro ko us waqt bhi buy karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 1.0927 ka price level do martaba test ho, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ke rukh mein palatne ka sabab banega. Aap expect kar sakte hain ke pair 1.0946 aur 1.0979 tak barh sakta hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario #1**: Main euro ko us waqt sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 1.0927 ka level (red line chart par) pohcha jaye. Target 1.0901 ka hoga, jahan se main market se exit karunga aur foran ulte rukh mein buy karunga, aur level se 20-25 points ki movement ka target hoga. Pair par pressure wapas aa jaye ga agar pair daily high ke upar nahi barh saka. Yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero line ke neeche ho aur girna shuru kare tab aap sell karen.

**Scenario #2**: Main aaj euro ko us waqt bhi sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 1.0946 ka price level do martaba test ho aur MACD indicator overbought signal dikhaye. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko neeche ke rukh mein palatne ka sabab banega.

EUR/USD:
Short-term trading ke context mein, aksar yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke current trading range se ek sustainable breakout ka intezaar karna chahiye. Is approach se EUR/USD currency pair ke next direction ka clear confirmation mil sakta hai. Filhal, 1.08200 ka level ek significant resistance point ka kirdar ada kar raha hai, jo 1.08215 ke area ke qareeb hai aur guzashta budh ka din.

Agar price in levels ke upar breakout karti hai, to yeh traders ke liye ek ahem signal hoga ke aagay further upward movement ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance levels tor diye jate hain, to yeh mazeed gains ke potential ka ishara kar sakta hai. Aik successful breakout ke baad, immediate targets 1.09475 ka area, uske baad 1.09200 ki barrier aur phir 1.09535 ka area ho sakte hain. Aakhir mein, traders 1.0835 ka area aur 1.1000 ka psychological level potential targets ke tor par dekhein ge.

In levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Resistance levels wo points hote hain jahan selling pressure zyada hota hai buying pressure se, jis se aksar price ruk jaati hai ya reversal hota hai. Doosri taraf, jab resistance tor diya jata hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara hota hai, jo buying activity ko barha sakta hai.

Is liye, traders ko yeh key levels ke aas-paas price movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar EUR/USD consistently in levels ko test karta hai bina breakout kiye, to yeh ek consolidation ka period ho sakta hai, jo baad mein zyada significant movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke market sentiment aur external factors bhi currency movements par asar daal sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank ke decisions EUR/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Traders ko in factors ko apni analysis mein shamil karna chahiye.

In summary, short-term trading mein mauqe ho sakte hain, magar yeh prudent hoga ke current trading range se ek sustainable breakout ka intezaar kiya jaye taake EUR/USD ke next direction ka confirmation mil sake. 1.08200 ka level ek important resistance point hai, aur agar yeh breach hota hai, to higher targets ke liye rasta khul sakta hai. Key levels aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhna traders ke liye zaroori hoga taake potential movements ka faida utha sakein.

Good Morning, umeed hai sab kuch theek ho ga. Main apni EUR/USD par soch aap se share karna chahta hoon. Is waqt EUR/USD ka market price qareeban 1.0971 ke aas paas hai, jo ke support zone ke qareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq price ka pattern bearish hai aur girta ja raha hai. Yeh tasavvur hai ke is quarter mein EUR/USD ka trend continue karega. Oscillator negative territory mein hai aur oversold territory se door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi negative lag raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price girna jaari rahega. Is ke ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi negative hai aur zero level se neechay trade kar raha hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahi hain. Technically, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ka girna bear traders ke haq mein hai. Meri trading plan EUR/USD market mein kuch aise hai ke 3 buy entries aur 3 sell entries rakhi hain. Jo technical resistance level EUR/USD ke liye hai, wo 1.1034 hai jo ek dynamic resistance level hai. Agar price mazeed barhti hai to naye buyers ko $1.1125 ke level ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra resistance level hai. Mazeed izafa ke chances hain aur EUR/USD is ke baad 1.1207 ke resistance level tak ja sakti hai, jo teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye technical support level 1.0952 hai jo ke dynamic support level hai. Agar price mazeed girti hai to naye sellers ko $1.0234 ke qareeb attract karegi, jo doosra support level hai. Mazeed girawat ke bhi chances hain, aur is ke baad EUR/USD 0.9654 ke support level tak gir sakti hai, jo teesra support level hai. Meri analysis umeed hai ke aap ke liye mufeed hogi. Akhir mein, main sell entry ko prefer karta hoon, jisme take profit point 0.9654 hai. Umeed hai is hafte sellers stable rahenge, aur hum apne profit ratio ko barha sakein ge.

USD/JPY currency pair traders ke liye hamesha se ek ahem nukta raha hai, khas tor par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke recent actions aur statements ke baad. Filhal, yeh pair 148.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur iska movement un logon ke liye crucial hai jo foreign exchange market mein fluctuations se faida uthana chahte hain. Effective trading strategy banane ke liye potential price range aur support levels ka samajhna zaroori hai.

Is waqt, USD/JPY 147.70 se 148.90 ke potential trading range mein hai. Yeh range bullish aur bearish dono traders ke liye opportunities pesh karti hai. BoJ ki monetary policy, khaaskar interest rates aur inflation par uska stance, is currency pair ko bohot zyada influence karta hai. Hal hi mein ultra-low interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla bank ke economic growth ko stimulate karne ke commitment ko zahir karta hai, jo dollar ke muqable yen ki value par asar dalta hai.

Traders ko yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke is pair mein 500 points se zyada ka movement expect kiya ja sakta hai, jo market volatility aur economic data releases ke reactions ke sabab hoga. Yeh zyada volatility risks aur rewards dono ko pesh karti hai, isliye risk management strategies ko implement karna bohot ahem hai.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, strong support aur resistance levels ko identify karna informed trading decisions lene ke liye critical hota hai. Filhal, key support level lagbhag 147.10 par hai. Agar price is threshold ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ka signal de sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Is level ka breakdown USD/JPY ko lagbhag 147.30 ke doosre significant support area ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar yeh pair 147.10 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhta hai, toh traders upward momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain jo resistance level 148.90 ki taraf hoga. Is resistance area ko kai dafa test kiya gaya hai, aur agar yeh successfully break ho jata hai, toh ek sustained rally ka imkan ho sakta hai, jo higher targets ko achieve kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka movement mukhtalif economic indicators se bohot zyada influenced hota hai. Key factors mein U.S. ka economic data shamil hai jese ke non-farm payrolls, GDP growth, aur inflation figures. Strong U.S. data aksar dollar ko boost karta hai, jo yen ke muqable mein zyada attractive ban jata hai.

Japan ki taraf se, BoJ ka inflation aur employment figures par outlook bhi bohot ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Agar Japan mein inflation significant tor par barhne lagti hai, toh BoJ apni current policies par dubara ghoor kar sakta hai, jo yen ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakta hai.

Jo traders USD/JPY pair mein trade karna chahte hain, unke liye ek balanced approach lena behtareen hoga. Bullish traders ke liye entry points current range ke lower end ke kareeb ho sakte hain, khaaskar 147.70 ke aas paas, aur stop-loss orders ko 147.10 ke crucial support level ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai. Wahi bearish traders opportunities ko dekh sakte hain agar pair 148.90 ke upar break karne mein nakam hota hai, khaaskar agar U.S. se aane wala economic data kamzor hota hai

Euro (EUR) ka pressure US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kaafi trading sessions se jari hai. Monday tak, EUR/USD pair negative territory mein trade kar raha tha, aur apna losing streak saat din tak barh gaya. Yeh downward trend zyada ter mazboot hote hue US dollar ki wajah se hai, jo ke mukhtalif factors ki wajah se support ho raha hai. Ek ahem factor jo US dollar ki strength ko support kar raha hai, wo positive US economic data ka release hai. Khaaskar Friday ko aayi mazboot employment figures ne traders ko Fed ki November meeting mein rate cut ki expectations ko dobara evaluate karne par majboor kar diya hai. Strong economic data yeh dikhata hai ke Fed ko pehle se anticipate kiye gaye aggressive monetary easing ki zaroorat nahi padegi.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, EUR/USD pair ka outlook bearish lagta hai. Daily chart par major pair critical 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke paas hover kar raha hai. Agar yeh EMA ke neeche decisively break karta hai, toh yeh further decline ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke downtrend ke jari rehne ki nishani hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi midline ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye kam resistance ka rasta neeche ki taraf hai. Yeh technical indicator bearish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta hai jo ke market mein prevail kar raha hai. Agar EUR/USD pair ne 100-day EMA ke neeche break kiya, toh yeh pair ko August 8 ke low 1.0881 tak le ja sakta hai. Magar short-term rebound ka imkaan bhi hai. Psychological level 1.1000 ek key resistance barrier hai. Agar pair is level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai aur rally wapas October 1 ke high 1.1144 tak le ja sakti hai.

Euro ne US dollar ke muqablay mein kaafi decline face kiya hai, 1.1200 ke double top se retreat karte hue 2% se zyada gir gaya hai. Is downward move ke sath short-term uptrend line aur 1.1000 ke round figure ke neeche break bhi confirm hui hai, jo ke downside correction ko validate karta hai. EUR/USD pair is waqt ek mazboot US dollar aur bearish technical indicators ka samna kar raha hai. Jab ke short-term rebound ka imkaan hai, overall trend downward hi lagta hai. Traders ko key support levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake market mein potential turning points ka andaza lagaya ja sake

data par mabni hoga, jo ke is hafte kafi ziada release kiya ja raha hai. Magar, Monday aur Tuesday ko market mein koi bara khabar nahi tha. Market ka intezar FOMC Meeting Minutes ka hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke

USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega

USD/JPY currency pair traders ke liye hamesha se ek ahem nukta raha hai, khas tor par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke recent actions aur statements ke baad. Filhal, yeh pair 148.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur iska movement un logon ke liye crucial hai jo foreign exchange market mein fluctuations se faida uthana chahte hain. Effective trading strategy banane ke liye potential price range aur support levels ka samajhna zaroori hai.

Is waqt, USD/JPY 147.70 se 148.90 ke potential trading range mein hai. Yeh range bullish aur bearish dono traders ke liye opportunities pesh karti hai. BoJ ki monetary policy, khaaskar interest rates aur inflation par uska stance, is currency pair ko bohot zyada influence karta hai. Hal hi mein ultra-low interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla bank ke economic growth ko stimulate karne ke commitment ko zahir karta hai, jo dollar ke muqable yen ki value par asar dalta hai.

Traders ko yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke is pair mein 500 points se zyada ka movement expect kiya ja sakta hai, jo market volatility aur economic data releases ke reactions ke sabab hoga. Yeh zyada volatility risks aur rewards dono ko pesh karti hai, isliye risk management strategies ko implement karna bohot ahem hai.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, strong support aur resistance levels ko identify karna informed trading decisions lene ke liye critical hota hai. Filhal, key support level lagbhag 147.10 par hai. Agar price is threshold ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ka signal de sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Is level ka breakdown USD/JPY ko lagbhag 147.30 ke doosre significant support area ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar yeh pair 147.10 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhta hai, toh traders upward momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain jo resistance level 148.90 ki taraf hoga. Is resistance area ko kai dafa test kiya gaya hai, aur agar yeh successfully break ho jata hai, toh ek sustained rally ka imkan ho sakta hai, jo higher targets ko achieve kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka movement mukhtalif economic indicators se bohot zyada influenced hota hai. Key factors mein U.S. ka economic data shamil hai jese ke non-farm payrolls, GDP growth, aur inflation figures. Strong U.S. data aksar dollar ko boost karta hai, jo yen ke muqable mein zyada attractive ban jata hai.

Japan ki taraf se, BoJ ka inflation aur employment figures par outlook bhi bohot ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Agar Japan mein inflation significant tor par barhne lagti hai, toh BoJ apni current policies par dubara ghoor kar sakta hai, jo yen ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakta hai.

Jo traders USD/JPY pair mein trade karna chahte hain, unke liye ek balanced approach lena behtareen hoga. Bullish traders ke liye entry points current range ke lower end ke kareeb ho sakte hain, khaaskar 147.70 ke aas paas, aur stop-loss orders ko 147.10 ke crucial support level ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai. Wahi bearish traders opportunities ko dekh sakte hain agar pair 148.90 ke upar break karne mein nakam hota hai, khaaskar agar U.S. se aane wala economic data kamzor hota hai

EUR/USD

Haan, sales waqai mein kaafi accounts par thi, aur kuch partially implement hui hain, aur kuch, jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, main ne chhod di hain aur 1.09 ke breakthrough ka intezar kar raha hoon. Is ke ilawa, hamare paas bearish deuces hain, jo ke apne algorithm ka kuch hissa pura kar chuki hain, lekin mukhya target kam se kam 1.0870 hai. Is waqt hum ek jump dekh rahe hain jo ke pichle low se hai, jo 1.0899 par hai, aur ye 50 points se zyada organize hua hai. Ye ek baar phir hamen ye samjhata hai ke hamen laalchi nahi hona chahiye, profit ko waqt par fix karna zaroori hai.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke agle events kaise develop hote hain. Agar Friday ko 15:30 par dollar ke pressure ke saath ek aur foundation play hota hai against the European currency, to hum in mentioned goals ko implement kar sakte hain. Aur agar aisa nahi hota, to main agle hafte implementation ki umeed karta hoon. Yahan par bhi ek powerful fall ko bina kisi correction ke dekhna hoga, aur yahan screen par ye clearly visible hai ke price filhal 300 points se zyada gir chuki hai, aur unloading sirf "right move" se hui hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jaari rehne ka chance hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke H4 timeframe par moving average 1.0994 par hai, aur shayad hum wahan ki taraf ja rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, daily chart dikhata hai ke ek strong resistance level break ho raha hai, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Is liye, main bullish rehna chahta hoon, to movement ko continue karne ke liye 1.0951 ka breakthrough zaroori hai. Us ke baad, EUR/USD par bears ka attack shayad jaari rahe aur tez ho, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye long-term positions ko 1.0994 tak pohanchne se nahi rok sakte. Filhal, EUR/USD ki sideways move karne ki tendency hai, jo behtar activity se badal jayegi. Lekin, mustaqbil ki movement ka direction abhi tak unknown hai.