Eurusd forum

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.
Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.
EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.
### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.
In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.
### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.
Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.0935 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur jo current trend hai, wo bearish side ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements release karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Europe mein geopolitical developments aur energy market trends euro ke liye key drivers banay rahenge.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka ghor se jaiza lete hain. Hum ne Friday ke lows ko update kiya hai, lekin EUR/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain. Ye pair teen din se aik tang range mein sideways chal raha hai aur bearish rujhan barqarar hai. Magar din khatam hone se pehle koi tabdeeli ho sakti hai. Iss waqt main kisi bhi taraf ka movement tabhi pasand karoon ga jab hum is range ko aik direction mein torain. Main umeed karta hoon ke U.S. se koi naya factor ayega, calendar par news ka intezar hai, jisse humein volatility ki tawaqo hai. EUR/USD pair iss waqt stagnant hai, aur main kal ke U.S. inflation data ka intezar kar raha hoon. Forecast ke mutabiq overall inflation mein 0.2% year-on-year kami ka tawaqo hai, jabke core inflation 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve ke liye core inflation zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Market ne pehle se hi iss forecast ko price mein shaamil kar liya hai, jis ki wajah se EUR/USD mein thodi girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Lekin pair mein mazeed girawat tab tak nahi ho sakti jab tak koi naya catalyst saamne nahi aata, aur ye kal ke din hone ki tawaqo hai. Aaj ke din kisi khaas upward movement ka imkaan kam hai, is liye bullish target daily high 1.0980 par hai, jabke bearish target 1.0920 par hai. EUR/USD pair mein filhal koi khaas activity nahi dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke price kisi bhi significant event ya news ke baghair chalne mein muskilat ka shikar hai. Technical taur par price 1.0950 ke support level ko press kar rahi hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo 1.0910 aur 1.0890 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Main wahan se koi buying shuru nahi karoon ga kyun ke downward breakout ke baad aik slow drop 1.0820 tak ja sakti hai. Ideally, main sirf 8th figure ke start ke kareeb buying ka sochonga. Agar price 1.0950 ke neeche establish nahi hoti, to 1.1030 tak correction ka chance ab bhi maujood hai. Iss liye yeh behtar hai ke is crucial news release ke waqt market mein entry se gurez kiya jaye

trading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega.
news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.

Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur mazid strong pressure ke bawajood, is ne apni integrity barqarar rakhi, jo ke prices ko range mein rakhta hai, aur yeh upside vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Agar is area ka kamiyab retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound hota hai, to nayi move higher ki taraf ho sakti hai, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan ho sakta haitrading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega.
news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.




Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam

Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.0935 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur jo current trend hai, wo bearish side ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements release karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Europe mein geopolitical developments aur energy market trends euro ke liye key drivers banay rahenge.

Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.0935 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur jo current trend hai, wo bearish side ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements release karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Europe mein geopolitical developments aur energy market trends euro ke liye key drivers banay rahenge.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka ghor se jaiza lete hain. Hum ne Friday ke lows ko update kiya hai, lekin EUR/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain. Ye pair teen din se aik tang range mein sideways chal raha hai aur bearish rujhan barqarar hai. Magar din khatam hone se pehle koi tabdeeli ho sakti hai. Iss waqt main kisi bhi taraf ka movement tabhi pasand karoon ga jab hum is range ko aik direction mein torain. Main umeed karta hoon ke U.S. se koi naya factor ayega, calendar par news ka intezar hai, jisse humein volatility ki tawaqo hai. EUR/USD pair iss waqt stagnant hai, aur main kal ke U.S. inflation data ka intezar kar raha hoon. Forecast ke mutabiq overall inflation mein 0.2% year-on-year kami ka tawaqo hai, jabke core inflation 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve ke liye core inflation zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Market ne pehle se hi iss forecast ko price mein shaamil kar liya hai, jis ki wajah se EUR/USD mein thodi girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Lekin pair mein mazeed girawat tab tak nahi ho sakti jab tak koi naya catalyst saamne nahi aata, aur ye kal ke din hone ki tawaqo hai. Aaj ke din kisi khaas upward movement ka imkaan kam hai, is liye bullish target daily high 1.0980 par hai, jabke bearish target 1.0920 par hai. EUR/USD pair mein filhal koi khaas activity nahi dekhne ko mil rahi hai kyun ke price kisi bhi significant event ya news ke baghair chalne mein muskilat ka shikar hai. Technical taur par price 1.0950 ke support level ko press kar rahi hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo 1.0910 aur 1.0890 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Main wahan se koi buying shuru nahi karoon ga kyun ke downward breakout ke baad aik slow drop 1.0820 tak ja sakti hai. Ideally, main sirf 8th figure ke start ke kareeb buying ka sochonga. Agar price 1.0950 ke neeche establish nahi hoti, to 1.1030 tak correction ka chance ab bhi maujood hai. Iss liye yeh behtar hai ke is crucial news release ke waqt market mein entry se gurez kiya jaye.

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.

guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar

consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan pa

neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserv

e ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB

aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai. Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing

**USD/JPY Market Movements**
Hum apne discussion mein USD/JPY ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Main USD/JPY pair ke liye price mein girawat ki umeed karta hoon, iski wajah 4-hour chart par MACD indicator ke sath ek noticeable divergence hai. Yeh divergence is baat ka ishara hai ke price mein girawat ho sakti hai, na ke ek convergence phase, jo ke price collapse hone ka likely ishara hai. Magar, yeh girawat sirf tab mumkin hogi agar price 148.96 ke neeche girta hai aur ek 4-hour candle close hota hai. Mojooda level 149.13 se, main umeed karta hoon ke yeh downward move Monday ki Asian trading session ke dauran samnay aayegi jab markets khuleingi. EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators dono buy signals ko suggest kar rahe hain. Isliye, ek chhoti consolidation ke baad, main jaldi hi ek bullish move ki umeed karta hoon.

**Daily Chart Analysis**

Daily chart par USD/JPY price kaafi din tak girti rahi, aur 148.382 support level ke qareeb close hui. Agar yeh price is support ke neeche close hoti, to main mazeed girawat ki umeed rakhta, jo ke 147.432 tak hoti. Magar, kyun ke price is level ke upar close hui, main Friday ko upward movement ko priority di, aur 149.712 resistance ko target banaya. Mera forecast sahi tha, aur bullish candle 149.712 ke qareeb close hui baghair un levels ko test kiye. Monday ke liye mera outlook continued growth ka hai, jismein 150.777 ka resistance next target hai. Girawat sirf tab mumkin hogi agar price 148.382 ke neeche close hoti hai. Daily time frame par dekhne se yeh wazeh hai ke bulls ab tak mazboot hain aur apni positions ko aur aage push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 144.60 ke 50% support level ke upar rehti hai, jo ke ek upward trend ko darshata hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.