Eurusd forum

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke ongoing live evaluation par markuzi hai. Rozana ke neechay ki taraf jate huye trend ke baad, EUR/USD ke sellers ka agla target 1.0852 ke aas paas hai. Lekin, aaj ki rozana candle mein khaas spread hai magar volume kafi kam hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke last week ke low ke neeche impulsive breakout hona mushkil hai. Is ke bawajood, ek false breakout ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Aaj EUR/USD ka koi significant tabdeeli dikhana doubtful hai, isliye humein dekhna hoga ke din ke end tak kya hota hai, khaaskar kya 1.0897 ka low intact rehta hai. Agar yeh support level barqarar rehta hai, to euro bullish pullback shuru kar sakta hai jo descending fan ke central level aur pehle box level 1.1032 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is haftay ke liye Monday ke liye koi nayi soch nahi hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke EUR/USD aaj ki session ko volume ke hisaab se kaise close karta hai.

Recent corrective decline ke baad, aaj growth continue ho sakta hai. Yeh strengthening is waqt ke levels se aage barh sakta hai, jo price ko 1.09249 range ke upar le ja sakta hai. Agar 1.0899 ke aas paas ek false breakdown hota hai aur price is ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to humein ek buy signal mil sakta hai, jo market mein entry ka mauqa dega. Lekin, 1.0954 ke resistance level ko todne mein nakami ke mad e nazar, sirf successful breakout ke baad hi buy karna faida mand hai. Agar 1.0974 range ko cross kiya jata hai, to mazeed growth ki sambhavna hai. Exchange rate ko mazboot karna priority hai, lekin 1.0924 par thodi si corrective pullback ab bhi mumkin hai.

EUR/USD ne 1.0896 aur 1.0894 ke darmiyan ek critical support zone ko touch kiya hai, jo 1.0899 ke round level se bhi milta hai. Yeh area ek long-term downtrend ko darshata hai, aur yeh price ke upar ki taraf bounce back hone ki high probability ko darshata hai. Lekin agar bears is zone ke neeche settle ho jate hain, to yeh further downward movement ka darwaza khol deta hai, jiska target 1.0869 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) aur 1.0790 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement) hoga. Isliye traders ko in levels par dhyan dena chahiye taake wo sahi samay par trades le sakein.

EUR/USD pair ki upside ko limit kar raha hai. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein rehlaai aur September ka stronger-than-expected employment report Federal Reserve ke future mein interest rates cut karne ke imkanaat ko barha raha hai. CPI ke release ke baad, investors ne November mein 25 basis point Fed rate cut ki umeed 83.3% tak barha di hai, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Market participants ab U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ke September ke liye aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ke October ke liye pehli reading ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release honay walay hain. Overall PPI ko umeed hai ke yeh 1.6% year-on-year barhay ga, jab ke core PPI ke 2.7% year-on-year barhne ki projection hai. Magar agar yeh report kamzor natayej dikhata hai, to isse dollar euro ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai.Dusri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymakers economy ke slowdown ke douran interest rates cut karne ke haq mein hain, jo euro par kuch selling pressure la sakta hai. ECB ke is saal do dafa interest rates cut karne ki umeed hai, aur agle hafte yeh apna deposit rate 3.5% tak neeche kar sakta hai. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, 90% economists agle hafte rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jab ke December mein ek aur follow-up cut ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ka 14-mahina high 1.1213 se retreat kiya hai, jo ke short-term bullish bias ko khatam kar raha hai. Magar, yeh abhi tak 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb hold kar raha hai jo ke 1.1108 par hai. Momentum indicators near-term neutral scenario ko confirm karte hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar barqarar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni red signal line ke neeche aa gaya hai lekin positive territory mein abhi tak mazboot hai.20-day moving average sabse qareebi support hai, lekin agar isay break kar diya gaya to focus downside ki taraf ho sakta hai, khaaskar uptrend line ke upar. 50-day moving average par thora sa dip 1.1036 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh barriers breach hote hain, to yeh 1.1000 level ko expose karein ge, jo ke September se sabse lowest level hai, aur envisioned double top jo 1.1200 ke qareeb hai. Yeh southern rollbacks dikhate hain, magar yeh bhi boomerang ke neeche jaari reh sakte hain baghair kisi serious rollbacks ke; yahan zyada door nahi bacha, aur phir hum dekh sakte hain ke agay kidhar jaana hai. Boomerangs aksar border zones ki tarah kaam karte hain

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.
1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.

mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market

neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market

**EUR/USD Price Action Outlook**
EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis ke bare mein hum aaj baat karenge. Main bhi aage ja kar ek upward movement ka andaza laga raha hoon, agar aap expect kar rahe hain ke ek corrective increase hoga 1.10091 tak. Support levels 1.08971-1.08571 ke aas-paas, EUR/USD ko reverse karna chahiye aur ek corrective rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Pair ne pehle hi 1.08971 ko chhoo liya hai, jo ke growth ke aage barhne ke imkanaat ko barhata hai. Halanke ek aur girawat 1.08971-1.08571 ke qareeb aasakti hai, lekin in areas se ek rebound bhi ho sakta hai, jo kam az kam growth ko 1.10091 tak le ja sakta hai. Jabke H4 chart abhi bhi bearish trend ko dikhata hai, maine apni short position ko close kar diya hai aur ab ek bullish rally ka intezar hai. Yeh rally mere buy threshold ko H4 chart par break kar sakti hai. Agar bullish level break hota hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ka ishara hoga, aur main market mein entry kar lunga. Yeh rise ek correction hai, jo ya to pehle se breach ki gayi bullish trend line tak ja sakti hai, ya resistance level 1.10472 tak. Aik solid upward momentum mumkin hai, jo 1.1021-1.11021 range ko correct kar sakta hai.

**Price Behavior Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis ab discussion ke liye khula hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye cheezen kaafi straightforward lagti hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke bearish trend resistance ke qareeb slow ho raha hai, aur ek narrowing range ke aas-paas hai, jo ek downward move ko trigger kar sakta hai. Magar yeh ek normal trading week nahi hai, to kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, yeh resistance itna strong bhi sabit ho sakta hai jitna hum soch rahe hain, aur agar fundamentals se koi

significant support nahi milta growth ke liye, to yeh ziada likely hai ke pair turn down kare, jo ek classic move lagta hai. Halanke, ek deeper bearish continuation shayad waqay nahi hogi jaise pehle andaza lagaya gaya tha. Main flat resistance par focus kar raha hoon 1.0956 par, aur support 1.0901 ke aas-paas, aur ek potential minimum update ki umeed hai. Yeh scenario tab unfold ho sakta hai jab market khule, magar baad mein ek corrective reversal bhi upside ki taraf dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Overall, bearish trend likely hai ke barqarar rahe.

koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market

اکتوبر 16 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

منگل کو، پیر کو ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 اسٹاک انڈیکس کے ریکارڈ بلند ہونے کے بعد، 0.76% کا پل بیک تھا۔ تیل کی قیمتوں میں 3.75 فیصد کمی ہوئی، اور 5 سالہ امریکی ٹریژری بانڈز کی پیداوار کم ہو کر 3.85 فیصد ہوگئی۔ اس پس منظر میں، یورو قدرتی طور پر 15 پِپس تک گر گیا، نچلے سائے نے 1.0882 کے ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح کی جانچ کی۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ ایک ہفتے سے زائد عرصے تک یورپی مرکزی بینک کی میٹنگ کے ارد گرد جس شاندار قیاس آرائی کی تبدیلی کی ہم نے توقع کی تھی وہ نہیں ہو سکتی۔ تاہم، ایک ہی وقت میں، اسٹاک مارکیٹ کے کریش کا امکان، جو اس کے ساتھ باقی سب کچھ نیچے کھینچ سکتا ہے، نمایاں طور پر بڑھ گیا ہے۔ ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 کے لیے پہلا بڑا، واضح ہدف 5392 پر ظاہر ہوتا ہے، جو 25 جولائی کی کم ترین سطح کے مطابق، ستمبر کی کم ترین سطح کے قریب ہے، اور 5 اگست کی ریلی (-7.3%) سے 61.8% کی اصلاح کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، اگر یورو 1.0882 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتا ہے، تو 1.0777 کا ہدف (1 اگست کی کم ترین سطح) کھل جائے گا۔ تاہم، اس منصوبے کو کل کی ای. سی. بی. میٹنگ سے تعاون کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔ اگر، جیسا کہ کاروباری میڈیا رپورٹس کے مطابق، مارکیٹ نے پہلے ہی 0.25% کی شرح میں کمی کر دی ہے، تو اس میں معمولی اضافہ ہو سکتا ہے، لیکن اس کے بعد، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یورو گرتا رہے گا۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر نے منفی علاقے میں قلیل مدتی کمی کا رجحان قائم کیا ہے۔ قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے مسلسل گر رہی ہے۔ ہم ابھی تک اس بات کا تعین کر رہے ہیں کہ ای. سی. بی. کے نتائج اس رجحان کو کس حد تک متاثر کر سکتے ہیں، لیکن مارکیٹ خود دن بہ دن اس گرنے کے رجحان کو تقویت دے رہی ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon. EUR/USD pair waqai 1.12 ke round mark ko paar kar leta hai aur upar barhta h

EUR/USD technical analysis

Hello, dopehar bakhair. Market ke shuraka ka Fed ke par budh ko jo hoga, wo yahan kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. ECB keد se dollar ke kharidaaron ki khwahishat kam ho sakti hain, lekin isi shiddat se kami ka imkaan ab shak ki baat hai. Agle hafte ke pehle hissay mein, EUR/USD ke rate shayad 1.0890 par ek afqi channel banana jaari rakhein, jo ke maujooda level se 1.0900 tak kami ka matlab hai. Rates 1.0920 ki level par wapas aayi hain, halankeh ye is level se thoda upar hain, jaise ke maine umeed ki thi. Weekend se pehle transactions khatam hue, lekin behtareen level par nahi, behtar tareeqe se kiya ja sakta tha. Bulls ooper ki trend ko jaari nahi rakh sakte, aur agar wo 1.0874 ki level ke neeche wapas aate hain, to hume shayad ek aur kafi lambhi neeche ki lehar dekhne ko milegi jiske maqasid 1.0850 ke ilaqe mein honge, lekin wapas palatne ki koi tekniki nishaniyan nahi hain.

Aaj ka technical analysis EUR/USD par markuzi hoga. Humne ek support level 1.0870 par pehchana hai aur do resistance levels hain, pehla 1.0865 par aur doosra 1.0885 par. Shuru mein ek intehai resistance level tha. 2-3 baar resistance ko hit karne ke bawajood, market isay todne mein nakam rahi. Federal Reserve ka agla haftay meeting rakhne ka irada hai, aur rate mein tezi se izafa mumkin hai, jo US currency ki demand ko bhi support kar sakta hai. Kam se kam 20-40 points ka movement faida mand disha mein dekha gaya. Stop orders ko pivot level ke neeche rakhna chahiye. Jab bhi Genesis indicator matrix ke components ka rang neela se laal mein badalta hai, tab kharidari cancel kar di jati hai. Jab pair ki price pivot point ke neeche correct hoti hai, to aap sell entry dhoond sakte hain jiska target 1.0890 aur 1.0865 ke neeche hoga jab price pivot point ke neeche correct hoti hai.

Monday se, pair apni downward movement jari rakhegi aur shayad triangle ki lower boundary tak pohanch jaaye, jo ke qareeb 1.0924 level hai. Yeh ek ahem technical point hoga, kyun ke is level par pohanchne ke baad, main ek potential reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Yeh reversal price ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.1225 ke qareeb hai. Is waqt tak, price ne jo bearish movement dikhayi hai, wo significant hai, magar kuch technical levels hain jo bears ko mushkilat mein dal sakte hain. Pehle yeh samjha ja raha tha ke price apne direction ko qaim rakhay gi, magar jab price support zone ke qareeb aa jaye gi, to bears ko apni strategy dobara sochnay ki zaroorat hogi. Triangle ki structure aur price action dono hi yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh ek ahem waqt hai, kyun ke price ke is zone tak aa jany se technical levels aur market behavior par asar ho sakta hai.

Inverted triangle ka analysis yeh batata hai ke jab price lower boundary, yani 1.0924 ke qareeb pohanchay gi, to market mein ek reversal ka imkaan barh jaayega. Aisa hone par price wapas upar ki taraf jaye gi aur inverted triangle ki upper boundary, yani 1.1225 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem resistance point hoga, aur agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls ko ek mazid faida mil sakta hai.

Is dauran, bears ko support zone se agay girawat lany mein mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Market ki halat aur daily volatility ko madde nazar rakhte huye, yeh lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein market mein kaafi activity dekhne ko milay gi. Ek taraf, price ko neeche girane ki koshish hogi, jab ke doosri taraf bulls ko price ko wapas upar lay janay ka ek mauka mil sakta hai. Magar, price ka structure aur technical levels ke asar se, humay ye dekhna hoga ke kya price aagay

chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon. EUR/USD pair waqai 1.12 ke round mark ko paar kar leta hai aur upar barhta h

EUR/USD pair ki upside ko limit kar raha hai. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein rehlaai aur September ka stronger-than-expected employment report Federal Reserve ke future mein interest rates cut karne ke imkanaat ko barha raha hai. CPI ke release ke baad, investors ne November mein 25 basis point Fed rate cut ki umeed 83.3% tak barha di hai, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Market participants ab U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ke September ke liye aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ke October ke liye pehli reading ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release honay walay hain. Overall PPI ko umeed hai ke yeh 1.6% year-on-year barhay ga, jab ke core PPI ke 2.7% year-on-year barhne ki projection hai. Magar agar yeh report kamzor natayej dikhata hai, to isse dollar euro ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai.Dusri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymakers economy ke slowdown ke douran interest rates cut karne ke haq mein hain, jo euro par kuch selling pressure la sakta hai. ECB ke is saal do dafa interest rates cut karne ki umeed hai, aur agle hafte yeh apna deposit rate 3.5% tak neeche kar sakta hai. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, 90% economists agle hafte rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jab ke December mein ek aur follow-up cut ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ka 14-mahina high 1.1213 se retreat kiya hai, jo ke short-term bullish bias ko khatam kar raha hai. Magar, yeh abhi tak 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb hold kar raha hai jo ke 1.1108 par hai. Momentum indicators near-term neutral scenario ko confirm karte hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar barqarar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni red signal line ke neeche aa gaya hai lekin positive territory mein abhi tak mazboot hai.20-day moving average sabse qareebi support hai, lekin agar isay break kar diya gaya to focus downside ki taraf ho sakta hai, khaaskar uptrend line ke upar. 50-day moving average par thora sa dip 1.1036 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh barriers breach hote hain, to yeh 1.1000 level ko expose karein ge, jo ke September se sabse lowest level hai, aur envisioned double top jo 1.1200 ke qareeb hai. Yeh southern rollbacks dikhate hain, magar yeh bhi boomerang ke neeche jaari reh sakte hain baghair kisi serious rollbacks ke; yahan zyada door nahi bacha, aur phir hum dekh sakte hain ke agay kidhar jaana hai. Boomerangs

aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai. Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing

Thursday ko U.S. ka inflation data aaya, jo ke expectations se zyada tha, to isne dollar ko kuch support diya, jo ke EUR/USD pair ki upside ko limit kar raha hai. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein rehlaai aur September ka stronger-than-expected employment report Federal Reserve ke future mein interest rates cut karne ke imkanaat ko barha raha hai. CPI ke release ke baad, investors ne November mein 25 basis point Fed rate cut ki umeed 83.3% tak barha di hai, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Market participants ab U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ke September ke liye aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ke October ke liye pehli reading ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release honay walay hain. Overall PPI ko umeed hai ke yeh 1.6% year-on-year barhay ga, jab ke core PPI ke 2.7% year-on-year barhne ki projection hai. Magar agar yeh report kamzor natayej dikhata hai, to isse dollar euro ke muqable mein kamzor ho sakta hai.Dusri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymakers economy ke slowdown ke douran interest rates cut karne ke haq mein hain, jo euro par kuch selling pressure la sakta hai. ECB ke is saal do dafa interest rates cut karne ki umeed hai, aur agle hafte yeh apna deposit rate 3.5% tak neeche kar sakta hai. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, 90% economists agle hafte rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jab ke December mein ek aur follow-up cut ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ka 14-mahina high 1.1213 se retreat kiya hai, jo ke short-term bullish bias ko khatam kar raha hai. Magar, yeh abhi tak 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb hold kar raha hai jo ke 1.1108 par hai. Momentum indicators near-term neutral scenario ko confirm karte hain, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar barqarar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni red signal line ke neeche aa gaya hai lekin positive territory mein abhi tak mazboot hai.20-day moving average sabse qareebi support hai, lekin agar isay break kar diya gaya to focus downside ki taraf ho sakta hai, khaaskar uptrend line ke upar. 50-day moving average par thora sa dip 1.1036 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh barriers breach hote hain, to yeh 1.1000 level ko expose karein ge, jo ke September se sabse lowest level hai, aur envisioned double top jo 1.1200 ke qareeb hai. Yeh southern rollbacks dikhate hain, magar yeh bhi boomerang ke neeche jaari reh sakte hain baghair kisi serious rollbacks ke; yahan zyada door nahi bacha, aur phir hum dekh sakte hain ke agay kidhar jaana hai. Boomerangs aksar border zones ki tarah kaam karte hain, jaise ke yeh badi continuation ki taraf break kar sakte hain, aur boomerang se rebound ke baad,