Eurusd forum

EUR/USD

Agar hum upar diye gaye chart ko dekhen, to Buyer pressure (green candle length) dheere dheere price ko barhata hai bina seller pressure (red candle length) ke isay counter kiye aur ek Higher low banata hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi kuch price levels par dominate kar rahe hain. Lekin, sell opportunities ab bhi EUR/USD pair mein mil sakti hain.

Upar diye gaye image mein, main Resistance Area ko price ke upar do lines (1.1146 - 1.1130) ke zariye determine karta hoon. Support area ko niche do lines (1.1088 - 1.1073) ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai.

Meri entry options:

Agar 1-hour candle ki close price Upper Resistance Area Limit (1.1146) ko break karti hai, to behtar Entry buy position ke liye tayyar ho jao.

Agar 1-hour candle ki close price Lower Support Area Limit (1.1073) ko break karti hai, to behtar Entry sell position ke liye tayyar ho jao.

Cut Loss tab karein agar 1-hour Candle Close price Lower Resistance Area Limit (<1.1130) ke neeche ho for buy entry, aur Upper Support Area Limit (>1.1088) ke upar ho for sell entry. Aur minimum risk ratio 1:1 rakhein.

Sell option ke liye:

Agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein hai, to aap Sell position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss karein agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke upper limit (>1.1146) ke upar ho. Apne trading method ke mutabiq minimum risk ratio 1:1 use karein.

Buy option ke liye:

Support area ko use karke, agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein hai, to aap Buy position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss karein agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke lower limit (<1.1073) ke neeche ho. Apne trading method ke mutabiq minimum risk ratio 1:1 use karein.

EUR/USD ka H4 data, jo ke kal US ke labor market aur ISM ke services sector ki statistics ke bare mein tha, dekhne ko mila. ISM ke figures theek aayi, lekin ab sabse zyada zaroori baat labor market hai, kyunke Fed isi par rate cut ke size ka faisla kar rahi hai. Ab, EUR/USD ki jo behavior hai, woh ishi ka natija hai. Statistics ab tak labor market ki cooling ko dikhati hain aur is wajah se dollar ka sale phir se shuru ho gaya hai. Iska natija yeh hua ke technical terms mein correction reverse ho gaya aur ab hum trend ke sath upar ki taraf move kar rahe hain, aur last month ki level 1.1200 ki taraf ja rahe hain.

EUR/USD ke pair ki trading daily opening level 1.1110 ke upar aur daily Pivot level 1.1101 ke upar ho rahi hai. Main indicators north ki taraf ja rahe hain aur price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai.

Agar price 1.1130 ke upar chali jati hai, to price north ki taraf 1.1140 aur shayad 1.1170 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.1101 ke level ke neeche girti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.1097 aur shayad 1.1075 tak gir sakti hai.

EUR/USD monthly Pivot level 1.1008 (pehle 1.0827) ke upar trade kar raha hai, weekly Pivot level 1.1097 ke upar aur daily Pivot level 1.1101 ke upar bhi hai, jo ke pair ke northern mood ko dikhata hai. Daily Pivot level 1.1101 ke upar pair north ki taraf gaya, aur agar yeh level 1.1101 ke neeche chala jata hai, to pair south ki taraf jaayega. Aaj ke liye fork ka level 1.1120 hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko ek volatile trading session dekha, jahan pehle momentum mila lekin aakhir mein price wapas retreat kar gaya due to selling pressure jo 1.1100 ke resistance level ke upar North American trading hours ke dauran aya. Ye reversal tab hua jab US dollar (USD) mein mazeed strength dekhne ko mili, jo unexpectedly positive US services PMI data for August ke sabab thi. US Dollar Index (DXY) apne intraday low ke qareeb 101.00 se recover kar gaya, jo greenback ke liye zyada demand ko zahir karta hai. ISM Services PMI report ne thoda sa acceleration dikhaya services sector activity mein, jo August mein 51.5 tak barh gaya, July ke 51.4 ke muqable mein. Ye market ki expectations ko exceed kar gaya jo ek slowdown ki umeed kar rahe the, yani 51.1 tak girne ki umeed thi.

Magar, overall dollar ka outlook ab bhi cautious hai, kyunke labor demand ke kamzor hone ke concerns hain, jo August ke disappointing US private employment change data se zahir hote hain. Private sector ne sirf 99,000 jobs add kiye, jo ke 145,000 ki projected figure aur peechlay maheenay ke 122,000 ke muqable mein kaafi kam hain. Weak private employment data ne market expectations ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve jald hi ek intezar shuda interest rate cut implement karega. Is maheenay ek significant rate reduction ki speculation tezi se barh rahi hai, jo dollar pe aur bhi downward pressure daal rahi hai. Investors ab eagerly US non-farm payrolls data for August ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Friday ko release hogi aur current labor market conditions ke bare mein mazeed insights provide karegi.

**Euro Analysis:**

Euro ne 13 maheenay ka high 1.1200 touch karne ke baad ab teen din ki decline face ki hai. Ab yeh 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur support level 1.1050 ke qareeb aane wala hai. Technical indicators, jese stochastic indicator aur relative strength index, improvement ke signs dikhate hain, jo upward momentum ke imkaan ko zahir karte hain. Agar market apna bullish structure qaim rakhta hai aur 1.1050 ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh pehle high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad July 2023 ka peak 1.1275 ko bhi surpass kar le. Agar downside ki taraf ghatta hai, toh ek deeper decline 1.0870 level ka retest kar sakta hai, jo 200-day moving average 1.0850 par hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ab bhi macroeconomic factors aur technical indicators ke combination se influence ho rahi hai, aur agle dinon mein mazeed volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

EUR/USD

Humari analysis ka mawzu EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Asia session ke doran high point 1.1069 ko choone ke baad EUR/USD ne foran girawat dikhai. Sellers ne pair ko neeche dhakel diya, magar yeh ab bhi 1.1021 ke support level ke upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar qaim rakhne mein kamyab rehte hain, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke pair northward yani oopar ki taraf move karega aur local trend line 1.1059 tak ja sakta hai. Iske baad agar pair yeh level break kar leta hai, toh yeh mazeed mazboot hokar agle resistance level tak ja sakta hai jo bulls ke liye 1.1096 hai. Lekin agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh phir pair ka girawat 1.0986 tak barh sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level qaim rehta hai, buyers strong hain, magar agar yeh toot gaya toh trend ulat sakta hai. Aaj dono levels ka hona mumkin hai, lekin upward trend line ab bhi buying ko favor kar rahi hai. Buyers ko mazeed taqat milegi jab pair 1.1059 ka level break kar lega, magar ab bhi wo thoda faida rakhte hain.

Agar H4 candle 1.1090 ke upar close hoti hai, toh pair naye buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek strong bullish trend ki nishani hogi. Is surat mein pair 1.1200 ke crucial resistance level ko target kar sakta hai. Agar yeh mark successfully break ho jata hai, toh uptrend mazeed barh sakta hai. Technically, 1.1200 agla objective hai; bullish trend ko validate karne ke liye 1.1080 ka break aur hold hona zaroori hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye kyun ke forthcoming events ka pair ke trajectory par asar hoga. American session mein trading ka tareeqa bhi ahem hai, kyun ke kal US ke negative economic news ke bawajood dollar ne mazbooti dikhai. Mein abhi current price par selling ka nahi sochta, chahe downward trend dekh raha hoon. Mein ne 1.1035 par buy position shuru ki thi aur abhi sirf oopar ki taraf dekhta hoon aur umeed hai ke price kam az kam 1.12 region ko touch karega.

Euro/Dollar exchange rate ko giraawat ka samna hua jab Eurozone inflation rate expectations ke mutabiq aayi aur region mein unemployment rate bhi gir gaya, magar yeh rise zyada nahi chalega. Accordingly, Euro/Dollar ki price 1.1042 ke support level tak gir gayi, jo 1.1200 ke resistance level se neeche thi, jahan yeh qaim rehne ki koshish kar raha tha taake upward trend mazid mazboot ho sake, magar tab hum ne Euro/Dollar ko sell karne ki sifarish ki kyun ke uski gains ne technical indicators ko overbought levels ki taraf push kar diya tha. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, European statistical office Eurostat kehti hai ke Eurozone mein inflation rate 2.2% tak pohonch gayi, jo ke pehle 2.6% thi, aur unemployment rate bhi gir kar unexpected tor par 6.4% par aa gaya jo pehle 6.5% tha. Inflation figures ECB ke 2.0% target ke kareeb aayi hain, magar investors ko yeh fikar hai ke yeh mazeed gir sakti hai Germany aur Spain ke negative surprises ke baad jo sirf 24 ghantay pehle aaye the. Germany aur Spain ke inflation results ne euro ko weak kiya aur markets ko ek aur negative surprise ke liye alert kar diya. Consensus reading ne euro mein kuch buying interest jagaya hai jo ek relief ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne iss saal apni sabse buri performance dekhai. Aakhri inflation data ne yeh case mazid strong kar diya ke Federal Reserve ko iss saal kai martaba interest rates cut karni chahiye, swap markets ab tak 100 basis points cuts price kar rahi hain, magar sabse bara cut kab hoga yeh abhi tak uncertain hai. Core price index, jo food aur energy ko exclude karta hai, July mein 0.2% m/m barha, jo market expectations ke mutabiq hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha hai, aur shorts ne targets 50-day EMA ke just upar 1.0956 ke aas-paas rakhe hain

Aaj ky din EUR/USD pair lagatar teesre din bhi barh rahi hai aur Jumma ke din nayi weekly high 1.1120 ke kareeb pohanch gayi. Yeh izafa zyada tar US Dollar ki extreme kamzori ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo ke shared currency pair ko achay gains de raha hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko chay aham currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 101.00 ki critical support level se neeche gir raha hai.

Is haftay ke shuru mein US JOLTS Job Openings data July ke liye aur ADP Employment data August ke liye publish hone ke baad, labor market ki halat par tashweesh barhne lagi jis se US dollar ki demand kam hui. Naye positions aur private sector payroll mein izafa lagatar kam ho raha hai, jahan in ki tadad 7.67 million aur 99K thi, jo pichle saade teen saal ki sab se kam readings hain.

Bhale hi August ke US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report ne expectations ko exceed kiya, lekin US dollar ko support nahi mila. Market ki anticipate hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) labor market ke sukoon ko dekhte hue rapid interest rates ko reduce karne shuru kar dega. CME FedWatch tool bhi yeh indicate kar raha hai ke Fed 50 basis points (bps) se interest rate 4.75%–5.00% par karne ka chance 41% ho gaya hai jo pichlay hafte 34% tha.

1H Chart Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ka exchange rate 1.1100 ke round level number ke upar stable hai. Leading currency pair ka short-term outlook bhi unchanged hai jaisay ke yeh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) yaani 1.1055 ke kareeb stabilize kar raha hai. 50-day aur 200-day EMA bhi upwards trend kar rahe hain 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke aas paas jo longer-term view ko bhi positive indicate karte hain. Daily timeframe mein bhi shared currency pair ne Rising Channel ka breakthrough maintain kiya hua hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought zone se gir kar 60.00 se neeche aa gaya hai. Ab bulls ka next target 1.1200 ka current high aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 par ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf psychological support level 1.1000 ke kareeb kisi bari girawat ki umeed nahi hai.

EUR/USD pair ne haal hi mein significant activity dikhayi hai, jo technical signals aur economic indicators par response karte hue fluctuate ho rahi hai. Is waqt pair 1.1110 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jab ke pichlay 13 mahinon ki nai high 1.1203 ke kareeb pohanch gaya tha, jo ke weak hotay US Dollar aur Federal Reserve ki future policies se related speculation ki wajah se support ho raha hai.

Daily chart se maloom hota hai ke EUR/USD pair ne guzishta chand hafton mein remarkable strength dikhayi hai. August euro ke liye khaas taur par strong raha hai, jahan pair ab tak 3% se zyada appreciate kar chuka hai. Is surge ne pair ko 2024 ki sab se unchi levels ke kareeb pohancha diya hai. Chart ek clear breakout channel formation se signal kar raha hai jo ke ek upward trend ko indicate karta hai. Har tarah ke time frames par key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) upwards point kar rahe hain, jo pair ki strong upward support aur overall bullish trend ki tasdeeq karte hain. Resistance ke maamle mein, pair ko 1.1141 par ek significant barrier ka saamna hai, jo ke December 2023 ki highest level thi. Agar yeh level breach hoti hai, to agla target 1.1204 hoga, jo ek important psychological level hai.

EUR/USD pair is waqt 1.0951 ke crucial support level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jis ko traders closely monitor kar rahe hain. Pair ne apni position 1.1050 ke critical support level ke upar hourly chart par maintain ki hai, jo ek strong bullish trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Pair ne recently 1.1110 level ko break kiya hai, aur upward movement dikhayi hai. Lekin yeh consistently is level ke upar hold nahi kar saka, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current highs ko maintain karne mein struggle ho sakti hai. Pair ne ek "quasi bearish harami" pattern form kiya hai, jo aam tor par uptrend mein hesitation signal karta hai. Is formation ke bawajood, bulls ne price ko zyada niche nahi push kiya, aur overall market sentiment ab bhi cautiously optimistic hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai. Hourly chart par 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 se 80 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin saath hi overbought conditions ke kareeb bhi hai. RSI overbought territory se exit kar chuka hai, jo suggest karta hai ke pair ke paas ab bhi climb karne ki jagah hai lekin traders ko potential pullback ke liye cautious rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD pair ne haali mein kafi activity dikhayi hai, jo ke technical signals aur economic indicators ke response mein fluctuate kar raha hai. Filhaal, yeh pair 1.1110 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jabke ek naye 13-mah ka high 1.1203 ke qareeb dekha gaya hai. Yeh rise kamzor hotay US Dollar aur Federal Reserve ke future policies ke hawalay se speculation ki wajah se support ho raha hai.
Daily chart yeh dikha raha hai ke EUR/USD pair ne pichlay kuch hafton mein remarkable strength dikhayi hai. August euro ke liye khaas tor par mazboot raha hai, aur is month tak pair mein 3% se zyada ka izafa dekha gaya hai. Yeh surge pair ko 2024 ke highest levels ke qareeb le aayi hai. Chart mein ek clear breakout channel formation se dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke ek upward trend ka ishara de raha hai. Sabhi key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) mukhtalif time frames par upward point kar rahe hain, jo ke pair ke strong upward support aur overall bullish trend ko confirm karte hain. Resistance ke hawalay se, pair ka sabse bara obstacle 1.1141 ka level hai, jo December 2023 ke akhir mein highest level tha. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh agla target 1.1204 ka mark ho ga, jo ek important psychological level hai.

EUR/USD pair filhaal ek crucial support level 1.0951 ke ooper trade kar raha hai, jisko traders closely monitor kar rahe hain. Pair ne hourly chart par critical 1.1050 support level ke ooper apni position barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke strong bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Hal hi mein pair ne 1.1110 ka level break kiya hai, jo ek upward movement dikhata hai. Magar, yeh consistently is level ke ooper nahi reh saka, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke current highs ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ho sakti hain. Pair ne "quasi bearish harami" pattern form kiya hai, jo aam tor par uptrend mein hesitation ka ishara hota hai. Is formation ke bawajood, bulls ne price ko significantly neeche nahi dhakela, aur overall market sentiment ab bhi cautiously optimistic hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke ooper break kar leta hai, toh yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal dega. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) hourly chart par 60 aur 80 ke darmiyan fluctuate karta raha hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai, magar overbought conditions ke qareeb bhi hai. RSI ab overbought territory se bahar aaya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ab bhi barhne ki gunjaish rakhta hai, magar traders ko pullback ka khatra madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha

EUR/USD ne apni upside ko 1.1100 ke ooper extend kiya hai, jab ke US labor demand mein slowdown ke asar ne US Dollar ko niche le aaya hai. Investors ab August ke US NFP ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur markets yeh soch rahi hain ke kya July ka report sirf ek temporary rukawat thi ya kisi zyada bara girawat ka aghaz ho raha hai. ECB (European Central Bank) se is saal do dafa interest rates cut karne ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai.
EUR/USD apni winning streak ko teesray consecutive trading session tak barqarar rakhta hua, Friday ko ek naye weekly high 1.1120 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Is mein jo decent gains dekhe gaye hain, wo sirf US Dollar (USD) ki weakness ki wajah se hain. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko 6 major currencies ke against track karta hai, 101.00 ke crucial support ke neeche girta ja raha hai.

US Dollar ki demand mein girawat US ke July JOLTS Job Openings data aur August ke ADP Employment data ke baad aur barh gayi hai. In reports ne labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka khauf aur gehra kar diya hai. Fresh job vacancies aur private sector mein payrolls ka izafa 7.67 million aur 99K raha, jo ke 3.5 saal mein sabse kam hai.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ka data August ke liye better than expected aaya, magar is se bhi US Dollar ko support nahi mil saka.

Labor demand ke slowdown ke asarat ne market expectations ko badhawa diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) aggressively interest rates cut kar sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) se interest rates ko 4.75%-5.00% tak kam karne ka imkan ab 34% se barh kar 41% ho gaya hai.

Interest rate path ke hawalay se zyada cues ke liye, investors ab August ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par publish ho ga. Umeed hai ke official employment data yeh show karega ke US employers ne 160K job-seekers ko hire kiya, jo July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate ko 4.3% se gir kar 4.2% hone ki tawaqo hai.

Investors US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi focus karenge, jo wage growth ka ek key measure hai aur consumer spending ko influence karta hai. Earnings mein year-on-year basis par izafa 3.7% hone ki umeed hai, jo ke July ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Monthly growth 0.3% hone ki tawaqo hai, jo pichlay izafay 0.2% se zyada hai.

**Technical Analysis: EUR/USD apne gains ko 1.1100 ke ooper barqarar rakhta hai**
EUR/USD steady hai aur round-level figure 1.1100 ke ooper hai. Near-term outlook mazboot hai, kyun ke pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.1055 par apna ground mazboot banaya hai. Longer-term outlook bhi bullish hai, jab ke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, jo ke 1.0970 aur 1.0865 par hain, upward sloping dikhayi de rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, shared currency pair ne daily time frame par Rising Channel breakout ko hold kiya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.00 ke overbought zone ke qareeb pohanch kar ab 60.00 se neeche gir gaya hai.

Agar upside dekhi jaye, toh recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ke liye agla target ho ga. Waisay, downside ko psychological support 1.1000 ke qareeb cushion milne ki tawaqo hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha

EUR/USD apni chal oopar 1.1100 ke upar barhati ja rahi hai, jab ke US labor demand me slow down ke asaar US Dollar par asar daal rahe hain. Investors ab US NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake yeh samajh sakein ke July ka report ek temporary bump tha ya kisi zyada serious deterioration ka aghaaz. ECB se umeed hai ke wo iss saal do martaba aur interest rates cut karega.

EUR/USD ne apni jeet ka silsila teesre din bhi barqarar rakha, aur Friday ko weekly high 1.1120 ke qareeb trade karta raha. Shared currency pair me decent gains US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se aaye. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chheh ahem currencies ke muqablay me track karta hai, 101.00 ke crucial support se neechay ja raha hai.

US Dollar ki appeal kamzor ho gayi jab US JOLTS Job Openings data for July aur August ka ADP Employment data, jo iss haftay pehle release hua, ne labor market ke deteriorating conditions ka khauf barhaya. Fresh job vacancies aur private sector me payrolls ke additions 7.67 million aur 99K rahe, jo ke teen saal se zyada me sabse kam hain.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for August, jo projected se behtar tha, US Dollar ko sambhalne me nakam raha.

Slowing labor demand ke asaar ne market expectations ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ab interest rates ko aggressively cut kar sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke interest rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se 4.75%-5.00% tak kam karne ki possibility 34% se barh kar 41% ho gayi hai.

Interest rate ke further hints ke liye, investors ab US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Official employment data se umeed hai ke US employers ne August me 160K logon ko hire kiya, jo ke July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment rate ke 4.3% se 4.2% par girne ki umeed hai.

Investors US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi nazar rakhenge, jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem measure hai aur consumer spending ko affect karta hai. Umeed hai ke earnings year-on-year basis par 3.7% barhengi jo ke July ke 3.6% se zyada hai, jab ke monthly growth 0.2% se barh kar 0.3% hone ka andaza hai.

**Technical Analysis: EUR/USD gains ko 1.1100 ke upar barqarar rakhta hai**



EUR/USD 1.1100 ke round-level figure ke upar steady hai. Near-term outlook positive hai, kyun ke currency pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.1055 par mazboot hai.

Longer-term outlook bhi bullish hai kyun ke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs 1.0970 aur 1.0865 par hain, aur dono oopar ko ja rahe hain. Currency pair ne daily time frame par Rising Channel breakout bhi barqarar rakha hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke neechay aa gaya hai jab ke pehle yeh overbought halat me 75.00 ke qareeb tha.

Upside par, 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ka agla target hoga. Neechay ki taraf psychological support 1.1100 par qaim rehne ka imkaan hai.

Hamara raasta ab uttar ki taraf jaane ki umeed hai. Jaise ke maine kal kaha, jab price 1.1080 ke aas-paas gir gayi thi, to us waqt pair ko actively kharida gaya. Yeh sab US mein naye non-agricultural jobs ke data ke release ke intezaar par depend hai, jahan forecast yeh hai ke 160k ki growth nahi hogi, balki data lagbhag 100k ke aas-paas aa sakta hai, jo dollar par neeche pressure daal sakta hai. Halaanki, ho sakta hai ke data 300k bhi report kiya jaye, lekin filhaal market is belief se driven hai ke data expectation se worse hoga, jo dollar ko kamzor kar raha hai. Yeh belief kal ke Challenger report ke baad majboot hui, jisme August mein 75,891 job cuts ka zikr tha. Yeh number 15 saal mein sabse zyada hai. Lekin naye job creation minimal levels par reh chuki hai, aur initial claims for unemployment benefits 200k se upar hain.

US ka labor market itna thanda ho gaya hai ke Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karna shuru kar sakta hai, aur is mahine se yeh shuru bhi kar sakta hai, market participants ke expectations se zyada aggressively. Dollar ko pressure mil raha hai, aur aaj yeh pressure apogee par pahunch jayega, kyunki Fed ke zyada aggressive rate cut ke liye naye arguments pesh kiye ja rahe hain, aur market ka reaction in naye arguments ke liye clear-cut nahi hai, sirf initial ones ke liye hi hai. Toh jo log time pe action kiye, unhone sahi kiya. 1.12 ke figure tak ek second wave growth ka potential zaroor hai, lekin yeh movement ke remnants hote, jaise Fed rate cut decide karega. Matlab, agle kuch weeks mein koi trends ki umeed nahi rakhi ja sakti, kyunki woh already guzar chuki hain. Jab tak kuch extraordinary na ho jo economic events calendars mein nahi hai.

Aaj ke liye dusra key news hai annual GDP growth rates ka third estimate. Quarter ke liye hum 0.3% ya 0.4% ki umeed kar sakte hain, lekin in kisi bhi case mein yeh data ya to neutral impact dikhayegi ya euro par upward pressure daal sakti hai.

Bas yeh batane ke liye, mere long positions abhi bhi open hain. Market growth ke liye bullish pattern dikha rahi hai. Shubhkamnayein!

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Gaur talab hai keh kal se suratehal me bamushkil tabdili aayi hai. Euro/dollar ka joda 1.11 ilaqe tak pahunch gaya hai aur filhal iske ooper trade kar raha hai, jo is bat ka ishara hai keh ooper ka rujhan barqarar hai. Muqami mandi ki movemnt ulat gayi hai aur qimat ne 1.1030 ke nishan par ek false breakout tashkil diya hai. Jahan tak jode ki mustaqbil ki harkiyat ka talluq hai, bahut kuch aaj ke Americi aidad o shumar, khas taur par nonfarm payrolls report par market ke radde amal par munhasar karega. Kal ke Americi labour market ka data mila jula tha. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi ooper karobar karegi. Agar qimat 1.1050 ki satah se niche girti hai to, fir long positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga.

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data