eur/usd

EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Live Analysis

Main is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. Meri medium-term upper level lagbhag 1.1101 ke aas-paas hai. Short-term upper level identify karna challenging hai, lekin yeh maximum 1.0846 tak hona chahiye. Abhi, trend zyada bearish lag raha hai din ke andar. Ek level 1.0836 par hai, lekin agar yeh point upward move kare to bearish correction delay ho sakta hai. H4 timeframe ab bhi current levels par bullish trend ke liye obstacles create kar raha hai. General taur par, upward pullbacks ab desirable nahi hain. Intraday levels par wapas aate hue, humne recently 1.0821 update kiya hai.
Medium-Term aur Short-Term Levels


Meri medium-term analysis mein, upper level 1.1101 ek significant resistance point hai. Yeh level pehle test ho chuka hai aur upar ki taraf move ke liye strong barrier sabit hua hai. Zaroori hai ke price ke reaction ko monitor karein jab yeh level ke kareeb aayegi. Agar price 1.1101 ke upar sustain kar jaye to yeh medium-term trend mein bearish se bullish shift ka signal ho sakta hai.

Lekin, short-term upper level ko identify karna zyada complex hai. Filhal, mein is level ko lagbhag 1.0846 par estimate karta hoon. Yeh level recent price action aur technical indicators se derive hota hai. Agar price is level ke kareeb aakar test karti hai, to dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya yeh isko break kar sakti hai ya phir resistance face karke downward trend ki taraf wapas jaati hai.
Bearish Trend aur Key Levels

Din ke andar overall trend zyada bearish lag raha hai. Key level 1.0836 bohot important hai. Agar price is level ke upar move karti hai, to yeh expected bearish correction ko delay kar sakta hai. Yeh level ek critical resistance point ke taur par kaam karta hai. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, to yeh bearish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

H4 timeframe current levels par koi bhi bullish trend ke liye obstacles create karta hai. H4 chart ke indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke market abhi tak ek sustained upward movement ke liye tayar nahi hai. In obstacles ko carefully monitor karna zaroori hai kyunki yeh price direction par significant impact dal sakte hain.
Intraday Levels aur Recent Updates

**EUR/USD PAIR REVIEW**

Do din lagatar, EUR/USD ki qeemat ka 1.0750 level se zyada hone ka koshish nakam hui, aur euro ke gains ruk gaye, jab policymakers ne yeh indicate kiya ke unhe aur zyada evidence ki zarurat hai ke price pressures control mein hain. Pehle ke estimates ne dikhaya ke euro area mein saal bhar ki inflation rate June mein 2.5% tak gir gayi, jo expectations ke mutabiq thi. Core measure, jo food aur energy jaise volatile items ko exclude karta hai, unexpected unchanged raha. Germany, France, aur Spain mein inflation rates slow hui, jabke Italy mein 0.9% tak badh gayi.

Sintra, Portugal mein European Central Bank conference mein, ECB President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke ECB ke paas waqt hai data collect karne ka taake yeh sure kiya ja sake ke inflation track par hai, lekin saath hi saath unhe mindful rehna padega ke restricted levels par interest rates ko time dena economic cost par aata hai.

Stock trading platforms ke front par... European stock indices decline hui. Trading ke mutabiq, dono STOXX 50 aur STOXX 600 Tuesday ko gir gaye, pehla 0.6% aur doosra 0.4% lose kar gaya, jab traders ne yeh digest kiya ke European Central Bank jaldi se interest rates nahi ghatayega. President Lagarde ne kaha ke central bank ko interest rates further lower karne ki koi jaldi nahi hai kyunke unhe inflation aur economic trends ko assess karne ke liye aur waqt chahiye. Chief Economist Philip Lane ne bhi kaha ke June inflation data central bank ke lingering questions ke bare mein answers nahi de sakta about underlying price pressures. Eurozone inflation June mein 2.5% tak gir gayi, expected 2.6% se, lekin core rate steady rahi 2.9% par, expectations ke 2.8% ke muqablay mein.

Corporate side par, L'Oréal shares (-1.4%), Inditex shares (-1.5%), Airbus shares (-0.9%), Bayer shares (-2.8%), aur Munich Re shares (-4%) bhi decline hui. Bank stocks bhi pressure mein the: BNP Paribas (-0.5%), Banco Santander (-2.3%) aur BBVA (-1.1%). Dusri taraf, Siemens Energy shares 4.3% badh gayi jab company ne announce kiya ke 2030 tak 10,000 employees hire karne ka plan hai.

**EUR/USD forecast today:**

Daily chart ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat against US dollar, EUR/USD, abhi bhi apne downward path par hai, aur current downward channel se exit nahi hoga jab tak currency pair resistance levels 1.0830 aur 1.0900 ki taraf nahi badhta. Dusri taraf, usi time period mein, support level 1.0600 sabse important rahegi more strength aur bears' control ke liye trend par. Euro/dollar ki qeemat apni current range mein reh sakti hai jab tak markets aur investors European elections ke results aur phir US job numbers ke announcement par react nahi karte.

Good morning. Pound lagatar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, 1.27 mark ke upar consolidate kar chuka hai, aur ab upward movement continue rakhne ke liye buyers ko 1.27765 level ke upar break through karna aur consolidate karna hoga. Agar wo ismein kamiyab hote hain, toh phir hum 1.28599 level ki taraf movement expect kar sakte hain. Filhal sales ke bare mein kuch kehne ko nahi hai, kyunki upward trend without rollbacks chal raha hai, aur sales ko tie karne ke liye kuch nahi hai. Main suggest karta hoon ke Euro par bhi baat karein, yahan bhi buyers actively price ko upar move kar rahe hain, aur local maximum 1.08161 par break through kar chuke hain, aur ab hum 1.08517 level ki taraf movement expect kar sakte hain.

Pair EURUSD D1:

1- Euro ke buyers ne kal poora din control mein rakha, aur aaj subah bhi wo price ko further upar move kar rahe hain. Dekhte hain ke wo kitna upar ja sakte hain. Agar hum situation ko bands se evaluate karein, toh price upper band ke paas aa chuki hai, usse touch kiya hai, aur dono bands outward open hone lage hain, jo ke price growth continuation ka signal deta hai. Is situation mein hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi. Agar hum situation ko fractals se dekhein, toh price growth ka target nearest fractal upwards hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko 4 June ke fractal ke level 1.09149 tak le ja sakta hai. Ek new fractal downwards abhi tak form nahi hua hai, aur price fall direction mein kuch rely karne ke liye, humein uske appear hone ka intezar karna hoga.

2- AO indicator zero mark ke paas aa chuka hai negative zone mein fade hone ke baad. Agar hum next 2-3 trading days mein zero se transition dekhte hain, toh humein Euro growth ka strong signal milega. Negative zone mein new increase price fall ka signal dega.

EUR/USD:
EUR/USD pair ab ek mojooda bullish jazba ka samna kar raha hai, jisme mazeed faida hasil karne ki mumkin sambhavna mojud hai. Aaj, kuch ahem drivers ki umeed hai jo pair ke movement ko asar andaz karne waale hain, khaaskar European Central Bank (ECB) jo apni monetary policy decision announce karne ke liye 15:15 GMT par schedule hai, jise ek press conference follow karegi.
Investors aur traders dono ECB ki meeting ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke aise events aksar bazaar ke liye ahem catalysts ka kaam karte hain. Sirf ECB ke afkar mein hi potential policy shifts ya clarifications ke intezar mein market volatility ko bada sakte hain aur trading strategies par asar daal sakte hain. Aam tor par, bazaar ke hissedar aise events se pehle apne aap ko position karte hain, ya to apne exposure ko adjust karte hain ya phir anumanit parinaamon par based speculative positions lete hain.

Likhnay ke waqt, pair ke price mein neeche ki taraf minor retracement ka ahsas hai. Kuch bazaar ke hissedar is temporary pullback ko ek mauka samajh rahe hain bullish positions enter karne ya mazeed achi keemat par add karne ke liye. Is retracement ki halki nature ye darshati hai ke underlying bullish momentum mazboot hai, chhoti muddaton ki fluctuations ke bawajood.

ECB ki monetary policy decisions aur saath mein shaya hone waale statements ko bazaar ke hissedar tafteesh mein lete hain taake wo Eurozone ke andar future economic conditions aur policy directions ke insights hasil kar saken. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing programs mein tabdeeliyan, aur ECB ke officials ke diye gaye forward guidance jaise factors currency valuations par asar daal sakte hain, jisme EUR/USD pair shamil hai.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, traders potential breakout ya reversal patterns ke intezar mein key support levels aur resistance zones ka nigrani kar sakte hain ECB ke announcements ke baad. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ke asar ka aksar ye hota hai ke market ke hissedar fundamental news aur events jaise central bank meetings ko kaise interpret karte hain aur react karte hain.

Broad economic context mein, developments jaise inflation data, employment reports, aur geopolitical tensions bhi EUR/USD pair ke trajectory par asar daal sakte hain. Ye external factors market sentiment aur risk appetite mein contribute karte hain, jo currency flows aur exchange rates par asar daalte hain.

Short-term opportunities par focused traders ke liye, ECB press conference ke aas paas ki volatility bazaar ki sentiment shifts aur trading opportunities ke actionable insights provide kar sakti hai. Strategies mein volatility ka leverage lena, intraday price movements par scalping, ya phir fundamental developments par based longer-term trends ke liye position lena shamil ho sakti hai.



Overall, jab tak ECB meeting tak EUR/USD pair mai bullish bias hai, market participants ko maujooda trajectory ko badalne ki kisi bhi surkhi ya sentiment mein badlaw ke liye chaukasi rakhni chahiye. Hamesha, prudent risk management aur economic indicators aur central bank policies ke bare mein informed rehna currency markets ko effectively navigate karne ke liye ahem hai.

Jadeed tareen market data ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ek dynamic trading environment se guzar raha hai jahan kai technical indicators ahem insights fraham kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka mojooda price ek ahem level ke qareeb hai jahan resistance aur support wazeh tor par dikhai de rahe hain. Filhal ka resistance level 1.2200 par hai, jo kai martaba test ho chuka hai, yeh upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier ban gaya hai. Neeche ke side par, support level 1.2000 ke qareeb hai, jo ek critical threshold hai jo kai dafa test aur hold kar chuka hai, aur decline ko rok raha hai. Candlestick patterns bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mix dikhate hain, recent candles lambi wicks ke sath traders ke darmiyan indecision ko zahir kar rahi hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo neutral zone mein hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, is se yeh lagta hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakta hai depending on upcoming market catalysts. Dosray technical indicators ke lehaz se, 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filhal 200-period EMA ke neeche hai, jo longer term mein bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo lower volatility ko zahir karti hain, aur price filhal middle band ke qareeb hai, jo ek balanced market ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator recent higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai, jo yeh hint deta hai ke agar price resistance level ko break kar sakta hai to ek possible uptrend ho sakta hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, moderately positive hai, jo buyers ko slight edge deta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 65 par hai, overbought zone se door hota huwa lekin upper range mein, jo cautious optimism ko zahir karta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0020 par hai, jo relatively stable market conditions ko zahir karta hai lekin potential breakout movements ke sath. Overall, EUR/USD pair filhal ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, in technical indicators ke combination se yeh suggest hota hai ke traders ko potential shifts in market dynamics ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair doston!
Kal, EUR/USD market ne phir se tezi se gir kar 1.0907 zone tak pohanch gaya. Ye US ki khabron ke natayej mein hua hai jo bechnay walon ke favur mein rahe. Ye dominance bechnay walon ki mazboot position ko highlight karta hai, jo aane wale US trading session mein mazeed barh sakta hai. Short-term opportunities ke liye traders ke liye mashwara hai ke 30 pips ka take profit target set karen, jise 15 pips ke strategically placed stop loss ke saath complement kiya jaye. Aaj, main EUR/USD par buy order prefer karta hoon jis ka short target 1.0945 hai. Is tactical setup ke peeche wajah market ki volatility hai, jahan fluctuations jaldi se established trends ko badal sakte hain, is liye caution ka istemal aur stop-loss measures ka munsifana tareeqa se application zaroori hai. Achi tarah se place ki gayi stop loss ki efektiviti ki ahmiyat ko bar-bar zikr kiya jata hai, jo ane wale ghair mutawaqayat market movements se asal nafaa ya nuqsan ko barha sakta hai. Bechnay walon ke current sentiment ke mausar, sell position execute karne ka focused short-term target plan munasib strategy ke tor par samne aata hai. Bechnay walon ke further momentum ke muntazir hote hue, khas tor par agar woh ane wale trading sessions mein key support levels ko breach kar sakte hain, is se near term mein munafa hasil karne ki ummid hai. Ye strategic outlook is premise par tajziya hai ke bechnay walay apne current momentum ko maintain karenge, mazeed market conditions ka leverage kar ke anticipated support areas ki taraf navigat karenge. Is ke ilawa, technical indicators aur market sentiment ke alignment se samajhne mein aata hai ke emerging trends par well-calibrated trading strategies execute karne ke liye munasib environment hai. Jab ke traders EUR/USD sentiment ke complications se deal karte hain. Overall, EUR/USD market 1.0945 zone ko dubara cross kar sakta hai aane wale waqt mein.
Apko trading day mein kamyabi hasil ho!

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair sabko!

Kal, Fed Chair Powell ki taqreer ne EUR/USD market mein koi tezi laa nahi saki. Market 1.0928 zone tak pohanch gaya tha. Aaj, ECB ke President ki taqreer aur Monetary Policy ke sath Press Conference EUR/USD buyers ke liye behtar market scenario lekar aa sakti hai. Stop loss thresholds ki strategic placement, trading outcomes ko optimize karne mein pivotal hai. Ek disciplined stance adopt karke aur market dynamics ke tabdeel hone par mutawazi rehne se, traders apne aap ko fluid EUR/USD terrain mein unfolding opportunities seize karne ke liye tayyar rakhte hain. Proactive risk management practices ki ahmiyat ko zyada tar naqal kiya ja sakta hai, khas tor par currency markets mein inherent unpredictability ke samne, jo astute decision-making aur judicious execution ki zaroorat ko mehsoos karta hai. Ek zahir bechnay walon-biased market sentiment ke darmiyan, ek strategic approach astute traders ko short-term trading strategies par capitalize karne ke liye bulata hai jo prevailing trends ke sath harmoonize hoti hain. Practical profit targets set karne aur prudent risk mitigation measures implement karne se EUR/USD pair ke andar market ke undulations navigate karne ki ability ko enhance kiya ja sakta hai aur potential opportunities exploit kiya ja sakta hai. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD market baad mein 1.0966 zone ko cross kar sakega. Aur, 30 pips take profit benchmark ko integrate karna sath hi sath 15 pips stop loss epitomizes a balanced strategy jis ka maqsad risk-adjusted returns ko optimize karna hai volatile trading conditions ke darmiyan. Ye calibrated approach market trends ke dynamic nature ko acknowledge karta hai, adaptive strategies aur decisive action ki importance ko underscore karta hai jo evolving market dynamics ko navigate karne mein trading efficacy ko maximize karta hai. Is tarah prudent trading practices aur strategic stop-loss positioning proactive risk management ethos ko emphasize karte hain jo EUR/USD trading scenarios ke andar downside risks ko mitigate karte hain jab ke upside potential ko optimize karte hain. Jab market participants prevailing sentiment ko assess karte hain aur accordingly apne strategies ko recalibrate karte hain, short-term trading blueprints ko prevailing market conditions ke sath align karna pivotal sabit hota hai.



Apko trading day mein kamyabi hasil ho!

EUR/USD currency pair ki tajzia:
Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair ki upar ki taraf move temporary maneuver ho sakta hai, jo ek significant breakout ke liye stage set kar raha hai. Humne solid support range 1.0914 se lekar 1.09314 tak identify kiya hai, jo 1.0944 tak extend hota hai. Ye levels bullish trend direction ko reinforce kar rahe hain, jisse ye samjhaya jata hai ke hamari strategy market movements ke saath acche taur par align ho rahi hai. Pehle uncertain direction ab shape lene laga hai, jo hamare strategic approach ke liye ek crucial juncture ko indicate karta hai.

Maujooda analysis ke base par, main yeh predict karta hoon ke EUR/USD range 1.0896 se lekar 1.0938 tak rise kar sakta hai. Ye expectation hamare successful breakout se support zone 1.09266 se lekar 1.0942 ke beech se hai, jo ek potential rally ko signal karta hai. Ye movement ongoing trend ke structural integrity ke saath consistent hai, bawajood ke precise endpoint determine karna challenging hai. Ye trend 1.0972 se lekar 1.0950 mark tak pohanch sakta hai.

Identified support levels—1.0914, 1.09314, aur 1.0944—bullish momentum maintain karne mein critical role play karte hain. Ye levels market sentiment ke crucial indicators hain aur recent price actions ke through validate hue hain. Jab hum in support points ko observe karte hain, overall market structure upward trend ki continuation ko suggest karta hai, bawajood ke thori volatility ke saath.

Hamari strategy, jo in key support zones par focused hai, market ke uncertainties ko navigate karne mein effective sabit hui hai. 1.09266-1.0942 range se breakout significant milestone hai, jo further gains anticipate karne ke liye ek strong foundation provide karta hai. Current movement sirf reactionary spike nahi hai balki ek well-defined trend framework ke andar ek calculated advance hai.

Is rally ke endpoint ka exact pinpoint karna mushkil hai, lekin trend ke structural dynamics indicate karte hain ke 1.0972 se lekar 1.0950 range ek plausible target hai. Ye possible conclusion historical resistance levels ke saath align hota hai, jisse ye suggest hota hai ke market in figures ke aas paas resistance encounter kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, overall bullish sentiment supportive price actions ke through strengthen hai jo key levels par observed hain.



EUR/USD pair bullish momentum par hai, jo 1.0914 se lekar 1.0944 tak ke key levels se support mil raha hai. Nedhal 1.09266-1.0942 support zone se recent breakout further upward movement ke liye ready indicate karta hai, jo 1.0896 se lekar 1.0938 range ko target karta hai. Jab ke exact endpoint ko pinpoint karna challenging hai, trend 1.0972 se lekar 1.0950 mark tak conclude ho sakta hai. Hamari strategy in support zones par focused rahati hai, market ko structural integrity aur potential resistance levels ke saath navigate karte hue.

EURUSD ANALYSIS

H4 timeframe

Is graph se market ki halat dekhi ja sakti hai, jo dikhata hai ke EurUsd pair ka trend is mahine ke shuru se Uptrend ki taraf ja raha hai. June ke end tak ek downward correction moment tha jo bechnay walon ki taraf se ek koshish lag raha tha ke wo candlestick position ko block kar ke neeche le jaaye takay wo Downtrend chal sake, yeh koshish price ko period 100 ki simple moving average zone ya position 1.0679 se neeche le ja sakti thi. Lekin July ke shuru se ab tak candlestick ne upar ki taraf rise kiya hua hai. Abhi price position 1.0940 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Bullish trend smooth tareeqe se chal raha hai kyunki pichle mahine ki tarah koi drastic pressure nahi hai.

Agar Monday ko market opening position se ab tak ki price position dekhi jaye, to yeh lag raha hai ke price bullish side ki taraf bari range mein move kar rahi hai, is haftay ke price journey situation se yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price bullish journey ke beech mein temporary consolidation experience kar raha hai. Mumkin hai ke aaj market apni journey bullish side par jaari rakhe aur agle kuch din tak chalta rahe. Mawazna ke taur par, current candlestick position last week ki lowest position se upar rise kar sakta hai. Price journey mein abhi bhi bullish run ka chance nazar aata hai kyunki aaj tak market situation upar ki taraf rise karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.



Jaise Asian market session mein hamesha ki tarah shaant hai, main yeh predict karta hoon ke transaction volume increase ko monitor karne ke liye European aur American sessions ke intezaar mein price consolidation ka moment hoga. Agle EurUsd market pair trend ke direction ke liye predictions ab bhi buyer ke control ke saath chal rahe hain jiska maqsad price ko higher area test karna hai. Buy position open karne ke liye behtar hai ke price 1.0954 position tak rise karne ka wait kiya jaaye kyunki subah se sham tak aksar downward correction ka possibility hota hai. Position open karne mein jaldi na karen kyunki market correction aur consolidation movements prone hoti hain.

EUR/USD PRICE ANALYSIS

Europe ke subah UK ke Office for National Statistics ne riwayati Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke tabdeel mein aane wale saalana inflation ko June mein 2% par qaim rakha hai. Is dauran core CPI 3.5% aur Retail Price Index 2.9% barh gaya hai. Tamam yeh figures analysts ki estimates ke mutabiq aaye hain. GBP/USD thoda sa buland hua lekin 1.3000 ke neeche reh gaya hai jaldi reaction ke baad.

Monday ke modest rebound ke baad, US Dollar (USD) Index Tuesday ko 104.50 ke qareeb resistance milne ke baad flat bandh hua. USD Index Wednesday ke early hours mein thoda sa nichle gaya lekin 104.00 ke oopar qaim raha. Is dauraan, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield Tuesday ke tezi se girne ke baad 4.2% ke neeche rehta hai aur US stock index futures negative territory mein trade kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD apni upar ki taraf raftar jaari rakhta hai, jo daily chart analysis mein dekhi gayi bullish inclination se supported hai. Pair ko 1.0922 ke chaar mahine ke high ke qareeb resistance ka samna ho sakta hai.

Ascending channel ke lower boundary jo 1.0870 level ke aas paas hai, turant support ka kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD doosre consecutive din advance kar raha hai, Wednesday ke Asian session mein 1.0900 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Daily chart ke tajziya se ek bullish trend nazar aata hai, jab ke pair ascending channel ke andar qaim hai.

Is ke alawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek momentum indicator hai, 50 level ke oopar hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko aur bhi tasdeeq deta hai. Jama raftar jaari rehne se pair ka bullish bias mazboot ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair 1.0922 ke chaar mahine ke high ke qareeb resistance ke qareeb pohanchta hai, jo July 15 ko dekha gaya tha. Aur mazeed resistance 1.1000 ke aas paas ki umeed hai, jo ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.1020 ke nazdeek hai.



Niche ki taraf, EUR/USD pair ke liye initial support ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.0870 level ke nazdeek ki umeed hai, jo ke saath saath nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0864 par hai.

Is level ke neeche breach pair par nichle dabao ko shadeed kar sakta hai, jisse 1.0670 ki key level ke nazdeek support ki umeed hai, jo throwback support level ke taur par kaam aa sakta hai.

Haal hi ki trading sessions mein, currency pair ko naye nichle dabao ka samna karna para, jab ke Tuesday ke American session mein critical resistance level 1.0900 ko breach kiya gaya. Is giravat ne Euro ki abwaqt vulnerability ko highlight kiya hai jab EU legislative elections ke aas paas uncertainties aur ECB ke potential rate cuts par heightened speculation hai.

EUR/USD ke fundamentals:

US Dollar ki dobara tezi pair ke downtrend mein ek ahem kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates par hawkish stance maintain kiya hai, jahan unho ne kisi bhi rate cuts ko consider karne se pehle sustain low inflation ki zaroorat ko emphasize kiya hai. Yeh sentiment US Dollar Index (DXY) ko mazboot kiya hai, jo haal hi mein 104.46 ke qareeb ek significant resistance level tak pohanch gaya hai.

May mein US inflation figures mein thora sa giravat hone ke bawajood, policymakers ne isay temporary phenomenon samjha hai jo immediate rate adjustments ke liye kafi nahi hai. Yeh stance Euro ke saath mil kar Dollar ki strength ko aur bhi reinforce kiya hai.

Chaaron ghanton ke time frame technical outlook:

Abhi pair ke samne immediate resistance 1.0905 ke aas paas hai, aur ascending channel ke andar 1.0950 ke nazdeek aur upside barriers hain. 14-day timeframe par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke niche subdued momentum indicate karta hai, jo pair ke liye cautious sentiment ko highlight karta hai. Is level ke breakthrough se EUR/USD ko 1.1000 ki psychological barrier ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo descending channel ke upper boundary ke saath align hota hai.



Intraday trading dynamics mein pair ki price action 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around 1.0859 aur 1.0680 ke neeche ek supply zone ke darmiyan constrained dikhai deti hai. Yeh consolidation further downside movement ki possibility ko hint karta hai, jisme fresh near-term lows 1.0860 ke neeche tak ho sakte hain, agar buyers descending highs ke pattern ko reverse nahi kar sakte.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf do din tak rally ki, lekin ab kuch mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Ye kai factors ki wajah se hai jo dono currencies ko affect kar rahe hain. US taraf, risk aversion barh gaya hai jiske wajah se investors USD ki safe-haven status ko talash kar rahe hain, halan ke kuch khatarnaak economic data bhi saamne aaye hain. US main initial jobless claims unexpected tarike se 243,000 tak barh gaye hain July 12th wale haftay mein, jo analysts ke predictions se zyada hain. Is data point ne Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rates cut karne ke speculation ko barha diya hai. Ab markets 93.5% chance price kar rahe hain ek 25 basis point reduction ka, jo pichle haftay ke 85.1% se zyada hai. Dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne current interest rates ko maintain rakhne ka faisla kiya hai apne July meeting mein. Ye faisla Euro ke upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai.


Technically, charts suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD pair mein ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Ek resistance trend line aur ek possible SBR (support-breakout-retest) pattern indicate karte hain ke Euro ka ek potential downside target ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement tool ek supply zone ko highlight karta hai jahan selling pressure barh sakta hai. Lower time frames pe dekhte hue, Euro ka current price action ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Isay ek short-term counter-trend ke taur pe dekha ja sakta hai. Magar, is channel ka resistance line key Fibonacci retracement levels ke sath intersect hota hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke Euro ke liye upward momentum ko maintain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Natije mein, EUR/USD pair conflicting forces ka samna kar raha hai. Weaker US jobs data Fed rate cut ke possible hone ka ishara dete hain, jo USD ko weak kar sakta hai. Lekin, ECB ka rates hold karne ka faisla aur charts pe technical indicators suggest karte hain ke Euro ke gains limited ho sakte hain. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khaaskar resistance trend line, SBR pattern, aur key Fibonacci retracement levels ke confluence ke aas-paas. Agar is zone ke niche breakout hota hai aur ascending channel mein trend line break hoti hai, to ye Euro ke liye ek stronger downtrend ka signal ho sakta hai.

ANALYSIS
Europe ke subah UK ke Office for National Statistics ne riwayati Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke tabdeel mein aane wale saalana inflation ko June mein 2% par qaim rakha hai. Is dauran core CPI 3.5% aur Retail Price Index 2.9% barh gaya hai. Tamam yeh figures analysts ki estimates ke mutabiq aaye hain. GBP/USD thoda sa buland hua lekin 1.3000 ke neeche reh gaya hai jaldi reaction ke baad.

Monday ke modest rebound ke baad, US Dollar (USD) Index Tuesday ko 104.50 ke qareeb resistance milne ke baad flat bandh hua. USD Index Wednesday ke early hours mein thoda sa nichle gaya lekin 104.00 ke oopar qaim raha. Is dauraan, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield Tuesday ke tezi se girne ke baad 4.2% ke neeche rehta hai aur US stock index futures negative territory mein trade kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD apni upar ki taraf raftar jaari rakhta hai, jo daily chart analysis mein dekhi gayi bullish inclination se supported hai. Pair ko 1.0922 ke chaar mahine ke high ke qareeb resistance ka samna ho sakta hai.

Ascending channel ke lower boundary jo 1.0870 level ke aas paas hai, turant support ka kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD doosre consecutive din advance kar raha hai, Wednesday ke Asian session mein 1.0900 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Daily chart ke tajziya se ek bullish trend nazar aata hai, jab ke pair ascending channel ke andar qaim hai.

Is ke alawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek momentum indicator hai, 50 level ke oopar hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko aur bhi tasdeeq deta hai. Jama raftar jaari rehne se pair ka bullish bias mazboot ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair 1.0922 ke chaar mahine ke high ke qareeb resistance ke qareeb pohanchta hai, jo July 15 ko dekha gaya tha. Aur mazeed resistance 1.1000 ke aas paas ki umeed hai, jo ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.1020 ke nazdeek

EURUSD pair ki technical analysis

1-hour chart

Pichle teen trading days mein price trend sideways raha, kuch dinon ke upward trend ke baad. Aaj, price price channels ke andar sideways direction mein trading shuru hua hai aur channels ke upper line ke qareeb, aur ab price channels ke middle lines ke beech mein sideways direction mein move kar raha hai, jo bottom aur upper lines ke beech hai.

Humare paas price movement ke do possibilities hain:
Pehli possibility hai channels ko upward break karne ki safalta, isliye agar price ek ghante ke liye price channels ke upar trade karta hai to kharidari mein dakhil hone ki salahiyat hai aur target level ko 1.0944 ke resistance par set karna chahiye.
Dusri possibility hai price ka giravat, kyun ke price weekly pivot level tak pohanchne ki ummid hai aur phir se higher bounce karne ki. Aaj ke liye kharidari ke doosre level ko upward price action formation ke event mein weekly pivot level ke saath consider kiya ja sakta hai.
Kharidari ke liye stop loss level weekly pivot level 1.0872 ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai.

Maeeshat ke hawale se, haalaat mein jabke US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pesimist nazar aaye, euro-dollar is se faida uthane mein naakaam raha. US Federal Reserve ke head ne apni haalat ke baray mein "dovish" note bayan kiya apni haali interview mein. Lekin euro ki keemat is bayan se faida nahi utha saki.

Powell ne Washington, DC ke Economic Club mein interview diya, jahan unho ne pichle haftay ke kam ummid US inflation numbers par guftagu ki. Is par tafseeli guftagu mein Sam Hill, Lloyds Bank ke market insights ke head, kehte hain: "Powell pesimist nazar aaye." "Yeh Fed ke doraan doosre quarter ke improvement ko reflect karta hai, khas taur par last teen inflation publications mein."



Aam tor par, US dollar ke haalat ki recent kamzori ka bara hissa yeh signals hain ke Federal Reserve US interest rates ko 2.0% inflation tak girane se pehle kam karne ka ishara kar raha hai taake labor market ko protect kiya ja sake. Dar yeh hai ke interest rates ko zyada lamba waqt tak zyada rakhna berozgari ke buland dar par le ja sakta hai.

The Story in the Charts: EUR/USD

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price action ko shanakht karne par mabni hai. EUR/USD pair mein maazi ke muntazir izafa ke bajaye kami nazar aayi hai. Magar rozana resistance ka halka tootna hota hai, aur is asli trend par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Haal ki giravat ek temporary move hai breakout ke liye. Khas tor par, 1.0614 se 1.0914 aur 1.0674 tak support mojood hai, jo ek bullish direction-based trend ko darshaata hai. Hamare koshishon ne pehle se ghair yaqeeni direction ko shuru kiya hai, aur meri strategy ek ahem marhale par pohanch chuki hai. Main yeh peshgoi karta hoon ke EUR/USD 1.0996 tak pohanchega jab hum ne 1.0832 support zone se bahar nikal liya hai aur rally ke liye tayar ho rahe hain. Jabke movement apni shakal ko barqarar rakhti hai, haqeeqi anjaam ko nishanay bazi karna mushkil hai; trend lagbhag 1.1025 ke qareeb khatam ho sakta hai.



Ye sirf ek mumkin anjaam hai, aur meri strategy ab bhi tashkeel mein hai, haalaanki mein is manazir ko support karne ke liye tayyar hoon. Chaar ghanton ka EUR/USD chart batata hai ke pair 1.0859 ke upar hai. Yeh ahem level mukarrar hone ki saadgi hai, jis se kal dobara mulaqat hone ki umeed hai jabke bulls pichle bearish candle ko dor kar 1.0899 tak pohanchne ki koshish karte hain. Jab 1.0859 exchange rate tak pohancha jaye, ahem ghoray uthne lagte hain. Saray sawalat ka sab se aham sawal yeh hai ke kya haal hi mein bullish trend jaari rahega, jo exchange rate ko 1.0919 ke 90-day local peak tak le ja sakta hai. Ya phir 1.0859 level bearish dabao ka shikaar ho sakta hai, jo 1.0799 ki taraf jhukao ki taraf ishaaray kar sakta hai. Market ka outlook shandar hai. Yeh levels jari trading week ke mutaliq takreeban maqami targets hain.