Eurusd forum

/USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behavior par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi. Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways move kare

ستمبر 5 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کے اتار چڑھاؤ میں اضافے اور سائیڈ ویز رینج میں توسیع کے باوجود، یورو نے محفوظ گھومنے کی حدود کو برقرار رکھا، اس حد کی بالائی باؤنڈری پر دن کو بند کر دیا — 1.1085 کی مزاحمتی سطح پر۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر زیرو نیوٹرل لائن کے ساتھ ایک تنگ رینج کے اندر ترقی کرتا رہا۔



آج، یورو میں کمی کا امکان ہے کیونکہ ہم کل کے امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ اعداد و شمار کے مضبوط ہونے کی توقع ہے، اور یورو کا بنیادی منظر نامہ مندی کا شکار ہے۔ 1.1010 کی سپورٹ لیول پر حملے کا امکان ہے۔ 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ قیمت کے کنورجنس پر کارروائی کی گئی ہے۔

قیمت دن کی کم ترین قیمت سے 67 پِپس تک بڑھائی گئی۔ 1.1065 کی مزاحمتی سطح پر، قیمت بھی توازن کے اشارے کی لائن کو پورا کرتی ہے۔ اس لائن سے قیمت میں کمی کا الٹ جانا ہمیں بتاتا ہے کہ کل کا اضافہ ایک معیاری اصلاح تھی۔ اگر قیمت 1.1140 کی سطح سے اوپر مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، جس کو کلیدی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے طور پر نشان زد کیا جاتا ہے تو نیچے کی طرف حرکت کا ٹوٹنا ممکن ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AJ eur/usd marekt main dekha gaya tha ke sellers steadily apni value increase kar rahe hain, jo unki market mein strong presence ko dikhata hai. Iss waqt bhi market scenario mein sellers ya bears ka significant advantage hai aur unke paas abhi bhi zyada pips capture karne ka mauka hai. Jis tarah se market momentum unke haq mein hai, meri recommendation hai ke selling entries par focus kiya jaye aur ek strong money management plan bhi banaya jaye. Downtrend market mein, zaroori hai ke risk control karte hue cautiously aur strategically trade kiya jaye aur potential gains ko maximize kiya jaye.

Dusri taraf, bulls ke liye ek important task hai. Agar woh market control kho dena nahi chahte, toh unko 1.1075 area ko hold karna zaruri hai. Yeh level ek key support zone ki tarah kaam karta hai, aur agar yeh toot jata hai toh further downside pressure aasakta hai, jisse bulls ke liye market control dobara hasil karna mushkil ho jayega. Agar bulls successfully is area ko defend kar lete hain, toh unko kuch temporary relief mil sakti hai jisse woh apni position ko stabilize kar saken. Lekin agar woh 1.1075 level ko hold nahi karte, toh bears market mein dominant rahenge aur EUR/USD ko aur neeche push karenge.

Aaj ka market EUR/USD ke sellers ke liye ek favorable opportunity deta hai, khaas kar jab pair 1.1122 level ke kareeb hai. Proper money management aur key levels ko madde nazar rakhte hue, sellers ke paas mauka hai ke woh current market trend se faida uthayein. Iss waqt bulls ko bhi zarurat hai ke woh 1.1075 area par apni grip maintain karein taake aur ziada downside risks se bacha ja sake. Dono parties ko vigilant rehna hoga aur market movements ke mutabiq strategically apni positions adjust karni hongi. Umeed hai ke aanewale market updates se bulls ko madad milegi aur unko market ko carefully monitor karna hoga.

EUR/USD pair ko daily chart par dekhte hue, maine assume kiya tha ke pehle ke highs update nahi honge aur pair range mein trade karega. Inflation data ke release se pehle, jo indicate kar sakta hai ke inflation stagnation se bahar aa raha hai. Lekin jaisa hum dekh rahe hain, pair ne rise hona shuru kar diya, shayad cumulative effect ke wajah se, jahan expectations hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko kam karna shuru karega. Aur yeh bhi expect kiya ja raha hai ke inflation sharp decline hoga kyun ke unemployment ne kai dafa growth dikhayi hai, jo batata hai ke non-farm jobs mein har dafa kami ho rahi hai. Naye jobs ki tadad mein kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Taake unemployment apne level par rahe, kam se kam 220,000 naye jobs create hone chahiyein. Yeh level se kam kai dafa ho chuka hai, is liye unemployment naturally decrease hoga jiska inflation par bhi asar padega. Inflation decrease hone ki wajah se, hum pair mein aur growth dekh sakte hain. Lekin jab tak mujhe inflation mein decrease nazar nahi aata, mein abhi bhi pair ke decline ko consider karunga aur yeh sochta hoon ke yeh 1.09228 ke support tak neeche ja sakta hai.

Aaj ki hamari discussion EUR/USD currency pair ki current state par focus karta hai. Aaj ki trading ne meri subah ki predictions ko confirm kiya hai, kyunke sellers ne European session ke dauran local lows ko update kiya. U.S. session mein rally ki aik koshish ke bawajood, bears ne pressure banaye rakha aur EUR/USD ko 1.10 ke target level ki taraf dhakel diya. Mojooda halat ko dekhte hue, euro ke U.S. dollar ke muqable mein mazeed girne ke imkanaat hain. Price short-term descending channel mein move kar rahi hai aur har candle bullish momentum mein kamzori dikha rahi hai. Daily support level 1.1009 se bounce back ho kar agle daily level 1.1122 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar price ne 1.1009 ko tod diya, toh yeh mazeed neeche jaa sakta hai, jo ke broader bullish trend channel ke lower support ko challenge karega.

Pair 1.10 tak gir sakta hai aur agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh yeh 1.0961 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yeh girawat recent gains ko mita sakti hai jo ke Fed rate cut expectations se driven thay. Halaanke ECB bhi aage mazeed rate cuts ki tawaqqo kar raha hai, euro ki girawat Fed ki tez harakaton ke muqable mein dheemi rahi hai. Ek potential upturn ke liye, aik important driver kal ka U.S. job vacancies report hoga. Pichla figure 8.18 million tha, aur agar yeh 8 million ya is se kam ho gaya toh yeh khasa significant hoga. Bullish outlook ke liye, EUR/USD ko 1.1071, jo aaj ki peak hai, usko todna zaroori hoga. Recovery ke baad pair 1.11 ya us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Mein pair ko ghore se dekh raha hoon kyunke yeh possible bottom ki taraf aa raha hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, jiske baad 1.0931 ka level aata hai. 1.10 ka level bhi significant hai, halaanke 1.0987 ki ahmiyat abhi clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness ke signs dikha raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

Budh ke din, pair ne moderate rise kiya kyunke U.S. dollar mein kamzori thi. Dollar par pressure U.S. stock markets mein negative mood ki wajah se tha, khas tor par technology sector mein jo ke abhi bhi ground lose kar raha hai. Is mahaul mein, euro mein kuch upward movement nazar aa rahi hai. Aaj ka economic calendar khasa interesting hai, Europe se modest news flow hai aur saara focus American session par hai. U.S. se initial jobless claims ke data ki release hogi, aur market kal ke nonfarm payroll report ka intezaar kar rahi hai. Pehle adha din mein moderate downward correction mumkin hai, lekin overall mein uptrend ke continuation ki tawaqqo karta hoon. Anticipated reversal point 1.1035 ke level par hai, jahan par mein is level ke upar buy karne ka irada rakhta hoon, target 1.1135 aur 1.1185 par hai. Aik aur scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair girne lage, 1.1035 se neeche drop ho kar consolidate kare, jis se 1.1005 aur 1.0985 ke raste khul jayenge.

Aakhri trading week ke doran, EUR/USD 1.1050 tak gir gaya, aur ye trend teessray din se jaari raha. US inflation data jese ke ummeed thi waisa hi tha, jo ke market mein is speculation ko mazid barhawa deta hai ke Federal Reserve apne agle meeting 18 September ko rates cut kar sakta hai. Friday ko subah release hone wale EU inflation numbers bhi kuch khaas achay nahi the. US PCE data for July mein koi bade surprises nahi the, monthly core PCE inflation 0.2% par stable raha aur yearly core PCE inflation 2.5% par barqarar raha, jo ke 2.6% ke expected level se thoda kam hai. Traders ek 30% chance de rahe hain ke Fed do rate cuts kar sakta hai, shuruat ek 50 basis point cut se 18 September ko, jabke 70% sirf ek quarter-point cut ki ummeed rakhte hain. Overall, traders 2024 ke liye total 100 basis points ke rate cuts ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

29 August 2024 ko, EUR/USD pair resistance levels 1.1140 aur 1.1135 ke beech tha aur support levels 1.1050 aur 1.1060 ke beech the, is din pair ne lagbhag 90 pips gir gaya. 30 August 2024 ko, resistance levels 1.1090 aur 1.1095 ke beech the aur support levels naya support range tod kar 1.1040 aur 1.1045 ke beech gir gaya.

Chhoti si rebound ke bawajood, Euro recover karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Ye ajeeb hai kyunki Eurozone ka July ka Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) 2.6% tak badh gaya, jabke iske 2.4% tak girne ki ummeed thi. Core HICP bhi forecasts ko exceed karte hue 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke predicted 2.8% tha. Iske bawajood, US Dollar Index (DXY) ne kuch recent gains ko retrace kiya hai aur ab 101.70 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Girti huwi US Treasury yields, jo ke filhal 4.01% aur 3.97% hain, US Dollar par additional pressure daal rahi hain.

European Central Bank (ECB) se ummeed hai ke wo is saal do baar interest rates cut karega taake economic challenges ko address kiya ja sake aur 2% inflation rate target kiya ja sake. Lekin, ECB officials cautious hain aur specific rate-cut path par commit nahi hue hain, aur clearer economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Recent Eurostat data ne Eurozone retail sales mein June ke liye ek 0.3% ki unexpected girawat dikhayi, jo ke pehle 0.5% ki badhat aur market expectation 0.1% ke rise ke khilaf tha.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS UPDATE
Aaj, Monday ko, hum D1 period ka chart dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Wave structure upar ki taraf order bana raha hai, MACD indicator upar ke purchase zone mein badh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle trading week ne bears ko kisi bhi success ka mauka nahi diya, din ke dauran jo bhi minimal corrections hui, wo bahut mushkil se hui. Bears upar push kar rahe the jaise jack ki tarah aur lag raha tha ke neeche jana ka waqt aa gaya hai. Wednesday ko candle itni choti thi jaise ek top - jo decline ka signal tha aur agle din unhone decline develop karne ki koshish ki, magar aap dekh sakte hain ke kaise khatam hui. Poore din slight decline ke sath khade rahe aur zahir hai ke unhone ek bunch of sellers ko accumulate kar liya jo ummed kar rahe the ke itni height se price zaroor downward correction karegi. Lekin important news aane tak wait karna pada jo Friday ko US mein aayi. Us din US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech tha aur sath hi US mein new housing sales bhi the. Is news ke wajah se price tez aur majboot upar gayi aur shayad bahut se accounts is movement mein burn ho gaye, kam se kam bohot logon ne stop loss catch kiya aur ek se zyada baar. Lekin US dollar na sirf euro ke khilaf kamzor hua, balki market spectrum ke tamam pairs ke khilaf tezi se gira. Agar aap Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave ke bottom par lagayein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke target reach ho gaya hai - level 161.8 par aur shayad level 200 tak bhi pohnch sakte hain. Chuki minimum target achieve ho gaya hai, aur price last year 2023 ke significant maximum se bhi aage nikal gayi hai, to yahan ek potential sales zone ho sakta hai. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend ho raha hai aur isse exit hone ke liye tayaar hai. Yahan aap H1 par short period mein growth ke edge par mirror level ki formation expect kar sakte hain. General taur par, US dollar pichle hafton mein kaafi kamzor hua hai aur market mein jaldi correction ki umeed hai, doosre pairs strong support ya resistance zones mein hain. Chhote four-hour chart par, MACD indicator mein bearish divergence hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha hai, aur shorts ne targets 50-day EMA ke just upar 1.0956 ke aas-paas rakhe hain

Subha ke apne tajziye mein, maine 1.1039 ka level highlight kiya tha aur apni trading decisions ka daromadar is par rakha tha. Aayiye 5-minute chart ko dekhtay hain aur jo kuch hua uska tajziya karte hain. Ek girawat hui, lekin yeh 1.1039 ka test ya false breakout tak nahi pohnch saki, is liye koi munasib entry points nahi mile. Doosray hissay ke liye technical outlook mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:

Eurozone ke mulkon ke PMI service activity ke disappointing data ne pehle hissay mein euro par dabao dala. In kamzor statistics ne aur zyada zor diya ke eurozone mein interest rate cuts ki zarurat hai, kyun ke agar yeh na hue toh economy ko mazeed growth ke liye momentum kho dene ka khatra hai. Doosray hissay mein tawajjo US trade balance data, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), aur factory order volumes par honi chahiye. Agar data mazboot aata hai, toh euro ki aur girawat ho sakti hai. Is liye mein abhi kharidari ke liye jaldi nahi kar raha. Long positions ke liye ek munasib entry point tab milega agar 1.1039 ke ird gird false breakout hota hai, jisme target hoga 1.1068 ka recovery, jo moving averages ke neeche hai aur abhi tak sellers ke haq mein hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai aur wapas se test hota hai, toh mazeed growth ke chances hain, jo ke 1.1093 ko test karega. Sab se door target 1.1114 ka high hoga, jahan mein apna profit loonga. Agar EUR/USD mazeed girta hai aur 1.1039 par buyer activity na dikhti ho, toh sellers apni position ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain, jisse pair mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Is surat mein, main long positions tab consider karoonga jab 1.1011 ke ird gird false breakout hoga. Wagarna, mein 1.0984 se rebound par long positions kholunga, jisme din ke dauran 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target hoga.

EUR/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne kamzor European statistics ke baad kuch ground hasil kiya, magar unhe baray players se khaas support nahi mili. 1.1039 ka breakout target karne se pehle, intezar karna behtar hoga ke US data ka kya nateeja aata hai, kyun ke agar data kamzor ata hai toh naye buyers risk assets mein invest kar sakte hain. Is surat mein bears ka pehla kaam 1.1068 level ka difa karna hoga. Wahan ek false breakout short positions kholne ka acha mauqa dega, jiska target hoga 1.1039 ka support retest, jahan pehle buyer reaction ka intezar rahega. Agar is level ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, toh ek aur selling opportunity milegi, jisme target hoga 1.1011. Sab se door target 1.0984 ka hoga, jahan mein apna profit loonga. Agar EUR/USD upar jata hai aur bears 1.1068 ke ird gird activity nahi dikhate, toh buyers dobara initiative le sakte hain aur resistance 1.1093 tak push kar sakte hain. Mein is level par bhi selling consider karoonga, magar sirf ek failed breakout ke baad. Main short positions 1.1114 se rebound par kholne ka plan rakhta hoon, jisme din ke dauran 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target hoga.

**EUR/USD Traders Ki Nazar US Economic Data Par:**

EUR/USD traders kal ke liye aanewale key US economic data par nazar rakh rahe hain. Is haftay pair ne 1.105 ke aas-paas support paaya hai, jab ke August mein ek saal ka high chhoda tha. Agar key resistance level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair aur upar ja sakti hai, jo kal ke key positions report par depend karega.

EUR/USD traders is haftay ke US economic data ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain kyun ke recession ke dar se badh rahe hain. Jabke focus critical tasks par hai, pair ka direction is baat par depend karta hai ke data Fed ke pehle rate cut ke size ke liye expectations ko kaise shape karta hai.

Kal release hui Beige Book ne country ke across economic activity mein slowdown par attention draw kiya. Saath hi, JOLTs report ne jobs mein kami dikhayi, jo 7.91 million se ghat kar 7.67 million tak aa gayi, yeh January 2021 ke baad ka sabse low level hai.

Ye data points economy ke soft landing ke idea ko challenge kar rahe hain. Iska nateeja yeh hua ke markets ne is mahine 50 basis points Fed rate hike ke odds ko phir se assess karna shuru kar diya. US dollar, jo pichle haftay 102 tak partially recover hua tha, is haftay half a point gir kar 101.2 ke aas-paas aa gaya hai.

Aaj bhi data sheet bharpoor hai aur kal ke non-farm payrolls aur unemployment rate reports ke pehle kaafi data release honay wala hai. Market sentiment abhi bhi growth signals ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur kal ke employment data EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein ek key role ada karega.

**Technical View:**

EUR/USD ne late August mein ek saal ka high 1.12 chhoda tha aur tab se yeh pair is haftay 1.105 ke aas-paas support pa rahi hai jaise critical economic data aati ja rahi hai. Kal, euro ki demand ne pair ko 1.1075 tak utha diya, jo ke naye strength ki taraf ishara hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

factors contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, broader economic indicators aur monetary policies Eurozone aur United States mein aisa context create kar rahe hain jahan Euro Dollar ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai. Eurozone ko economic challenges ka samna hai, jisme slower growth aur inflationary pressures shamil hain, jo Euro par bohot zyada burden daal rahe hain. Dusri taraf, US economy relatively stronger rahi hai, supported by robust economic data aur Federal Reserve ki more aggressive monetary policy stance ki wajah se. Yeh divergence in economic health aur policy direction EUR/USD pair ke current bearish sentiment mein crucial role play kar rahe hain. Technical analysis bhi is bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Pullback to 1.0769 yeh indicate karta hai ke currency pair upward momentum gain karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Agar price resistance level of 1.0779 ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh likely bearish trend ko reinforce karega. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi bearish pattern reflect kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke neeche cross kar jata hai, to yeh bearish crossover signal hoga, jo downward trend ko further confirm karega.


Aisa lagta hai ke price niche jayegi. Pichle trading week mein euro ne buyers ko apni strong growth se khush kiya. US mein kuch news thi, jinke indicators expected se worse the, aur price jump hui. Lekin sirf euro ne hi American dollar ko weaken nahi kiya, ye almost market ke entire spectrum pe effect hua. Shayad Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo currency unshakable rahi, baqi sab, hatta ke long-suffering yen bhi weaken hui.

Wave structure apna order upward build kar rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke niche hai. Growth structure of five waves visible hai, aisa lagta hai ke fifth wave khatam ho gayi hai, last week ka maximum update hua aur kuch ne last month's maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya, ye ek potential sales zone hai. Five waves ek full cycle hai, plus MACD indicator pe bearish divergence form hui hai. Iske ilawa, second CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se fall hone ko tayar hai aur iske upar bhi ek small bearish divergence hai.

EUR/USD Ka Buniyadi Jaiza

EUR/USD currency pair ne 2024 ke dauran kafi zyada ooncha chalne ka trend dekha hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ke expectations mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Saal ke shuru mein, yeh pair 1.0600-1.0700 ke support area ke aas-paas consolidate ho raha tha, jo ke ek bullish breakout ke liye zameen tayar kar raha tha jo March mein 1.0800 ke upar gaya. Yeh move ek sustained rally ka aaghaz bana, jahan pair ne 1.1000 ke aas-paas resistance paya aur phir recover karke 1.0900-1.1000 ke zone ko critical support bana diya. Euro ki taqat ko Fed rate cut ki speculations ne bhi barhawa diya, jahan market consensus September meeting mein 25 basis point ke reduction ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Halankeh US Dollar ko July ke PCE data se thoda support mila, overall sentiment ab bhi rate cut ke haq mein hai. Iske sath ECB ke potential policy changes, jo Eurozone ki economic concerns ko address karne ke liye rate cut ki discussions ko shamil karte hain, ne bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko influence kiya hai, jo pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko complex banata hai.

Ab EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lete hain. EUR/USD currency pair ne ek distinct downward correction phase mein enter kar gaya hai. Friday ka close khaas tha, kyunki price 1.1047 ke support level par settle hui. Jab market Monday raat ko khulega, to ek tug-of-war hai unke beech jo is horizontal line ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unke beech jo technical bounce upward trigger karna chahte hain. Monday ke shuruat mein market se door raho aur dekho kya 1.1047 ke support ka clear breakdown hota hai ya nahi. Agar breakdown hota hai, to pair aur neeche jaa sakti hai aur 1.0989 ke critical support level tak pahunch sakti hai, jahan buy positions ko strategically consider kiya ja sakta hai. Maine 1.1099 se 1.1054 tak sell karne ka tajwez diya tha, jo recent local low tha. Lekin, 1.1099 se 1.0999-1.1019 range tak zyada girawat ka tajwez nahi bana, jahan pair bearish channel ke lower edge ke kareeb hota.

EUR/USD Market Evaluation:

EUR/USD pair ne notable fluctuations dekhi hain, jo central bank actions aur mixed U.S. fundamental data se driven hain. Shuru mein, pair 1.1100 mark ke upar gaya, aur 1.1120 tak pahuncha. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke firm bets ke bawajood, price in gains ko capitalize nahi kar paayi, aur 1.1075 par wapas aa gayi. Yeh volatility zyada tar mixed economic indicators ke wajah se thi jo U.S. se aayi thi, aur traders ke beech uncertainty ka sabab bani. Jab ke market ab bhi potential Fed rate cut ko price kar raha hai, traders agle U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. Yeh report U.S. Dollar ke liye ek major catalyst ban sakti hai, kyunki kisi bhi significant deviation se expectations se Fed rate cut ke case ko ya to solidify kiya ja sakta hai ya phir kamzor kiya ja sakta hai.EUR/USD Market Evaluation:

EUR/USD pair ne notable fluctuations dekhi hain, jo central bank actions aur mixed U.S. fundamental data se driven hain. Shuru mein, pair 1.1100 mark ke upar gaya, aur 1.1120 tak pahuncha. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke firm bets ke bawajood, price in gains ko capitalize nahi kar paayi, aur 1.1075 par wapas aa gayi. Yeh volatility zyada tar mixed economic indicators ke wajah se thi jo U.S. se aayi thi, aur traders ke beech uncertainty ka sabab bani. Jab ke market ab bhi potential Fed rate cut ko price kar raha hai, traders agle U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. Yeh report U.S. Dollar ke liye ek major catalyst ban sakti hai, kyunki kisi bhi significant deviation se expectations se Fed rate cut ke case ko ya to solidify kiya ja sakta hai ya phir kamzor kiya ja sakta hai.

Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) ke is mahine interest rates cut karne ke almost certain hone se EUR/USD ka outlook aur bhi mushkil ho gaya hai. Dono central banks ke dovish policies ke rujhan ne pair ko ek tug of war mein daal diya hai. Euro, jo potential Fed cuts se faida utha raha hai, ECB ke imminent rate decision ke pressure mein hai. Market ki complexity ko aur badhate hue, U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ne New York session ke dauran EUR/USD aur gold prices dono par pressure dalha. Gold shuru mein momentum gain kar raha tha lekin baad mein strong U.S. Dollar ke wajah se neeche push kar diya gaya. Jab tak market NFP report aur ECB se clearer signals ka intezar kar rahi hai, EUR/USD volatile rehne ke liye tayar hai, aur agar data mixed raha to further pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

EUR/USD traders kal ke liye inam US economic data ko bahut gaur se dekh rahe hain. Is haftay pair ne 1.105 ke aas-paas support paaya hai, jab ke August mein ek saal ki high point tak pahunch gaya tha. Agar key resistance level ko tod diya gaya, toh yeh pair upar ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo kal ke key positions report par depend karega.

EUR/USD traders is haftay ke US economic data par nazar rakh rahe hain kyunki recession ke dar se bechain hain. Jab ke critical tasks par focus hai, pair ka direction is baat par depend karega ke data Fed ke pehle rate cut ki size ke expectations ko kaise shape karta hai.

Beige Book jo kal release hui, usne desh bhar mein economic activity ke slowdown par dhyan diya. Is ke sath, JOLTs report ne jobs mein kami ko 7.91 million se 7.67 million tak dikhaya, jo January 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai.

Yeh data points economy ke soft landing ke idea ko challenge kar rahe hain. Is ke nateeje mein, markets ne is mahine ke liye 50 basis point Fed rate hike ke chances ko phir se assess karna shuru kar diya. US dollar, jo pichle hafte 102 tak partially recover hua tha, is haftay 0.5 points gir kar 101.2 ke aas-paas aa gaya hai.

Aaj bhi data sheet bhari hui hai, kal ke non-farm payrolls aur unemployment rate reports se pehle kaafi data release hona hai. Market sentiment ab bhi growth signals ke liye bahut sensitive hai, aur kal ke employment data EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko tay karne mein ek aham role ada karega.

Technical nazar: EUR/USD ne late August mein 1.12 ka saal ka high touch kiya aur tab se pair ne is haftay 1.105 ke aas-paas support paaya hai jab ke critical economic data aati ja rahi hai. Kal, euro ki demand ne pair ko 1.1075 tak utha diya, jo naye strength ka izhaar karta hai.

EUR/USD pair mein kaafi utaar chadhaav dekhnay ko mila hai, jo central bank ke aqdaamaat ke intezaar aur U.S. ke mix fundamental data ki wajah se hua. Shuru mein, yeh pair 1.1100 mark ke upar chala gaya, aur 1.1120 ka high touch kiya. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke rate cut par mazboot tawajjo ke bawajood, yeh gains barqarar nahi reh sake aur price wapis 1.1075 tak gir gayi. Yeh volatility zyadatar U.S. ke mix economic indicators ki wajah se thi, jo traders ke liye confusion ka sabab bana. Market abhi bhi ek mumkin Fed rate cut ko price kar raha hai, magar traders ka focus ab Friday ko aane wali U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report par hai. Yeh report U.S. Dollar ke liye ek bara factor ho sakti hai, kyun ke agar yeh report expectations se hat kar hoti hai, to yeh Fed rate cut ka case mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakti hai.





Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) bhi is mahine rate cut karne ke liye tayaar hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye situation ko aur mushkil bana raha hai. Dono central banks ke dovish policies ki taraf rujhan ne is pair ko ek tug of war mein rakh diya hai. Euro, halankay Fed ke cut ke potential se faida utha raha hai, lekin ECB ke rate decision ke intezaar ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Aur market ko aur complex banane ke liye, U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ne New York session ke dauran EUR/USD aur gold prices par bhi pressure dala. Gold ne pehle kuch momentum hasil kiya, lekin phir mazid strong U.S. Dollar ke wajah se niche chala gaya. Jab tak NFP report aur ECB se wazeh signals nahi aate, EUR/USD mein volatility barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, aur agar data mix rehta hai to aage aur pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mil sakte hain.