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EUR/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Yah bilkul durust hai keh inflatio ki khabron ke jari hone ke dauran euro/dollar ke jode par long positions rakhna bahut khatarnak hai. Sideline par rahna behtar hai, bilkul wahi jo mai abhi kar raha hun. Halankeh, mera mansubah yah hai keh ek bar khabar jari hone ke bad, hamein 1.1020–1.1040 range me ucchal dekhna chahiye. Us waqt mai risk lunga aur market ka mushahdah karunga. Agar mujhe farokht ka numaya dawab aur kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan ladai nazar aati hai to, mai 1.1020-1.1040 zone se euro/dollar ke jode par short positions khol sakta hun. Mera hadaf mamuli hoga, 1.1020 se 90-100- pip girawat ka hadaf rakhna.
Meri khawahish hai keh aap munafabaksh trading karein!

Jadeed tareen market data ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ek dynamic trading environment se guzar raha hai jahan kai technical indicators ahem insights fraham kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka mojooda price ek ahem level ke qareeb hai jahan resistance aur support wazeh tor par dikhai de rahe hain. Filhal ka resistance level 1.2200 par hai, jo kai martaba test ho chuka hai, yeh upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier ban gaya hai. Neeche ke side par, support level 1.2000 ke qareeb hai, jo ek critical threshold hai jo kai dafa test aur hold kar chuka hai, aur decline ko rok raha hai. Candlestick patterns bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mix dikhate hain, recent candles lambi wicks ke sath traders ke darmiyan indecision ko zahir kar rahi hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo neutral zone mein hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, is se yeh lagta hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakta hai depending on upcoming market catalysts. Dosray technical indicators ke lehaz se, 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filhal 200-period EMA ke neeche hai, jo longer term mein bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo lower volatility ko zahir karti hain, aur price filhal middle band ke qareeb hai, jo ek balanced market ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator recent higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai, jo yeh hint deta hai ke agar price resistance level ko break kar sakta hai to ek possible uptrend ho sakta hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, moderately positive hai, jo buyers ko slight edge deta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 65 par hai, overbought zone se door hota huwa lekin upper range mein, jo cautious optimism ko zahir karta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0020 par hai, jo relatively stable market conditions ko zahir karta hai lekin potential breakout movements ke sath. Overall, EUR/USD pair filhal ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, in technical indicators ke combination se yeh suggest hota hai ke traders ko potential shifts in market dynamics ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Euro/US Dollar ne apni chaar din ki girawat ko Monday ke Asian session mein roka, jo ke lagbhag 1.0920 par hai. Traders Eurozone ke second quarter ke GDP data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko release hona hai. 4-hour chart par, relative strength index (RSI) indicators 50 ke upar move kar rahe hain, jo ke directional speed mein kami ko reflect karta hai. Negative side par, pehla support 1.0900 (psychological level, static level) par hai, phir 1.0870 par, jahan 100-period aur 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20-day aur 1.0840 (200-period SMA) ke saath match karta hai. Agar yeh pair 1.0940 (static level) ke upar break karta hai, toh technical buyers interest dikhla sakte hain. Is scenario mein, 1.0960 (static level) ko interim resistance ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai pehle ke 1.1000 (psychological level, static level) tak pahuche.

Euro/US Dollar Thursday ko kuch zyada change nahi hua. Pair ne apne fluctuations 1.0900 ke upar ek tight channel mein early Friday ko jari rakha jab investors agle catalyst ka intezaar kar rahe the.

Thursday ko early US session mein, Euro/US Dollar gira jab US data ne dikhaya ke weekly unemployment claims 233,000
se 250,000 tak barh gayi hain.



Din ke aakhir mein, US Dollar ne
apni taqat kho di kyunki financial markets mein risk-off sentiment dominate kar gaya, jis ne pair ko apne daily losses ko erase karne diya. Economic calendar mein koi aisa advanced data release nahi hai jo ke Euro/US Dollar ke operation ko weekend se pehle affect kar sake. Isliye, yeh mumkin hai ke investors risk sentiment changes par react karein. Press ke waqt, Euro Stoxx 50 Index din mein 0.25 percent barh gaya hai aur US stock index futures thode zyada trading kar rahe hain. Agar market participants risk-sensitive assets se dur rehne lagein taake pichle Monday ke traps se bach sakein, toh US Dollar apne rivals ke muqablay mein flexible reh sakta hai aur Euro/US Dollar ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Wall Street par ek sharp opening aur risk rally pair ko apna ground weekend par stop karne mein madad de sakti hai

Euro dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai, aur ye chal jhonk kharidar aur bechne wale dono traders ke liye nerv-wracking sabit ho rahi hai. Sellers is intezaar mein hain ke kab price giray, aur yeh price fluctuations unko lagataar pareshaan kar rahi hain. Dosri taraf, buyers is intezaar mein hain ke price unke target levels tak pohonche, aur har pullback unki position ko emotional decision-making ki taraf le jaata hai.
Ab tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humein kaafi signals mil rahe hain jo ke upside ki taraf hain, aur yeh sab H4 (ya phir even daily) higher timeframe ko follow kar rahe hain. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai, aur M15 par bhi. Pehli chart mein, main is waqt M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ke yeh kal tak play out ho jata. Purple bar jo level 1.09456 tak hai, us signal ka potential dikhata hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se marked hain. Hamare case mein, 100% target ko represent karta hai, jabke 0.0% risk level hai jo ke 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak yeh levels nahi pohonchti, signal idea valid hai. Agar Euro ne zyada pull back kiya aur target levels tak nahi pohonch saka, toh 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964 se long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Pehli case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 hoga, aur doosri case mein 1:3.

Filhaal, humein M15 timeframe par sell signal mila hai. Lekin, hum yahan sell enter nahi kar rahe. Yeh signal ya to play out ho sakta hai ya phir ek correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar ab buys enter ki jayein, toh risk level choose karne mein mushkilat hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, lekin inki taadad zyada hai aur ye samajhna mushkil hai ke risk kahan place karein. Aakhri fractal ke peeche try kiya ja sakta hai, jo filhaal sell signal de raha hai. Agar yeh reversal mein badalta hai, toh ek short stop-loss ke sath acha potential capture karna mumkin hai. Lekin is idea mein sahi risk overall 1.08812 ke beyond hona chahiye. Isliye humein heraan nahi hona chahiye agar Euro achanak liquidity grab kare, aur levels 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964
tak pohonch jaye

EUR/USD
Tuesday ki European trading session mein, currency pair ne ek naye chhay din ke high ko chhoo liya, jo ke 1.1002 ke key level se thoda zyada tha. Yeh upward movement major currency pair ki largely Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts shuru karne ke speculation ki wajah se hui hai jo September ke meeting se expected hai. Is ke ilawa, Euro ki appeal bhi European Central Bank (ECB) ke aane wale policy meeting ke intezar mein barh gayi hai.

**EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Jab ECB apni agle meeting ke liye tayar ho raha hai, sab nazar uski monetary policy stance par hain. Market ki ummeed hai ke ECB apni key rates ko barqarar rakhega. Investors agle rate cut ki timing ke bare mein signals ka intezar kar rahe hain. 6 June ko, ECB ne apne policy-tightening cycle ke shuru hone ke baad pehli baar rate cut kiya, jo future moves ke scrutiny ko set karta hai.

Persistent inflationary pressures ke concerns ab kam ho gaye hain. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne Economic Club of Washington mein apni speech ke doran zyada confidence dikhaya ke inflation Fed ke 2% target par wapas aa jayegi. Lekin, Powell ne rate reductions ke liye zyada positive economic data ki zaroorat par zor diya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Agar pair apni momentum ko barqarar rakhe aur 1.0991 level se aage barhe, to iska bullish outlook maintain rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh pair ko agle significant resistance 1.1021 ke region ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Agar momentum last week ke peak 1.0880 se bhi aage barh gaya, to EUR/USD psychological 1.1011 mark ko test kar sakta hai, jo January ke baad pehli baar hoga, ECB ke meeting ke qareeb.


Recent breakout 1.0980 ke confluence hurdle se, jo ke 50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ko shaamil karta hai, bullish traders ke liye positive outlook ko support karta hai. Yeh technical move aur daily chart par oscillators se positive traction, suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai, khas kar jab dovish Fed ke expectations hain.

صبح بخیر۔ پاؤنڈ کی قیمت میں اضافہ جاری ہے اور 1.27 کے نشان سے اوپر مضبوطی حاصل کر چکا ہے۔ مزید اوپر جانے کے لیے، خریداروں کو 1.27765 کے سطح کو توڑنا اور اس سے اوپر مضبوطی حاصل کرنا ضروری ہے۔ اگر وہ اس میں کامیاب ہوتے ہیں تو، ہمیں 1.28599 کے سطح تک حرکت کی توقع کرنی چاہیے۔ فروخت کے بارے میں فی الحال کچھ کہنا مشکل ہے، کیونکہ اوپر کی جانب کا رجحان جاری ہے اور بغیر کسی واپسی کے چل رہا ہے، اور فروخت کو اس سے منسلک کرنے کے لیے کوئی ٹھوس بنیاد نظر نہیں آ رہی۔

اسی طرح، یورو کی جوڑی پر بھی نظر ڈالیں تو وہاں بھی خریدار قیمت کو اوپر کی طرف لے جا رہے ہیں۔ انھوں نے 1.08161 کے مقامی زیادہ سے زیادہ نشان کو توڑ دیا ہے اور اب ہم 1.08517 کے سطح کی طرف حرکت کی توقع کر سکتے ہیں۔

جوڑی EURUSD D1:

1- یورو کے خریداروں نے کل پورا دن قابو میں رکھا اور آج صبح بھی وہ قیمت کو مزید اوپر کی طرف لے جا رہے ہیں۔ دیکھتے ہیں کہ وہ اسے کتنی دور لے جا سکتے ہیں۔ اگر ہم صورتحال کو بینڈز کے ذریعے دیکھیں تو قیمت اوپری بینڈ کے قریب پہنچ گئی ہے، اس کو چھو لیا ہے، اور دونوں بینڈ باہر کی طرف کھلنا شروع ہو گئے ہیں، جو قیمت کے مزید بڑھنے کے ممکنہ جاری رہنے کا سگنل دیتے ہیں۔ اس صورتحال میں، ہم صرف یہ دیکھ سکتے ہیں کہ آیا یہ سگنل ترقی کرتا ہے یا اس کا کوئی رد عمل نہیں ہوتا۔ اگر ہم صورتحال کو فرکٹلز کے ذریعے دیکھیں تو قیمت کے بڑھنے کا ہدف قریب ترین فرکٹل اوپر کی طرف ہے، اس کا بریک آؤٹ اور مضبوطی قیمت کو 4 جون کے فرکٹل کی طرف 1.09149 کے سطح تک لے جانے دے گا۔ نیچے کی طرف نیا فرکٹل ابھی تشکیل نہیں پایا ہے، اور قیمت کے گرنے کی سمت میں کسی چیز پر انحصار کرنے کے لیے، اس کے ظاہر ہونے کا انتظار کرنا چاہیے۔

2- AO انڈیکیٹر صفر نشان کے قریب پہنچ گیا ہے، منفی زون میں مدھم ہونے کے بعد۔ اگر ہم اگلے 2-3 تجارتی دنوں میں صفر کے نشان سے گزرنے کا مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں، تو ہمیں یورو کے بڑھنے کے لیے ایک مضبوط سگنل ملے گا۔ منفی زون میں نئی اضافہ قیمت کے گرنے کا سگنل دے گا۔

EUR/USD Market Analysis

EUR/USD ka jori do din se niche ja raha hai aur chauthay ghante ke chart par neela moving average ke niche chala gaya hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ka imkaan de raha hai. 1.0877 par support mil raha hai. Lekin, yeh sirf aik nishana hai. Indicators strong oversold conditions dikhate hain aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ke imkan ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye agar quotes 1.0877 ke niche rahengi, toh main girawat ka silsila jaari rahne ki umeed karta hoon. Waisay agar quotes 1.0927 ke resistance ke upar chali jati hain, toh mujhe lambi muddat ke liye bullish movement aur ek aur rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Current Bullish Trends

EUR/USD jori strong bullish trends dikha raha hai, jo tezi se 1.1000 ke levels se upar ja raha hai aur 1.0950 ke upar kuch waqt ke liye bhi chala gaya hai. Yeh pair 200-day EMA 1.0826 ko bhi cross kar gaya hai, jo ke short-term bullish sentiment ko darshata hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh darshata hai ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain.

Influencing Factors

Summary yeh hai ke Euro ki US Dollar ke muqablay mein taqat kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jab EUR/USD jori significant resistance levels ke qareeb aata hai, market participants upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhenge, kyunke yeh factors currency pair ke future movements ko asar انداز kar sakte hain.

Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke uptrend ke sustainable hone ka zyada bharosa deta hai. Yeh badhawa bullish momentum ko aur bhi barha sakta hai, kyunki naye buyers existing upward pressure ko badhate hain.

Summary

Summary yeh hai ke weekly chart par 100-period SMA ke upar price ko barqarar rakhna aur positive oscillator readings strong bullish momentum ko darshati hain. Yeh technical setup ek well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai jo ke jaari rehne ki ummeed hai, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators ke sath resonate karta hai. Traders aur investors isey bullish signal ke tor par dekhenge, jo ke continued buying aur potential further price appreciation ki ishaara hai.

اگست 14 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یورو کی غیر جانبدار صورت حال نے گزشتہ روز اوپر کی رفتار حاصل کی۔ ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن پچر سے اوپر کی طرف ابھری۔



اگر قیمت یومیہ چارٹ پر 1.1010 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کا انتظام کرتی ہے، تو یہ ممکنہ طور پر درمیانی مدت کی ترقی کے امکانات کو کھول سکتی ہے۔ پہلا ہدف 1.1043 ہو گا، اس کے بعد 1.1085 ہو گا، جو پچھلے سال 28 دسمبر کی چوٹی ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ میں، ڈائیورژن مارلن آسیلیٹر کی ایک باقاعدہ اوپر کی طرف حرکت میں تبدیل ہو گیا ہے، جو کہ اب بھی زیادہ خریدی جانے والی شرائط سے بہت دور ہے۔ ڈبل ٹاپ بنانا تبھی ممکن ہے جب قیمت 1.1010 سے گر جائے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، یورو میں اضافہ جاری ہے۔ قیمت بیلنس لائن سے اوپر کی طرف ٹوٹ گئی، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہوا۔ ہم 1.1010 کی اہم سطح پر اہم پیش رفت کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

The NZD/USD market has crossed the 0.6000 range, indicating a dominance of sellers. If the upcoming US news data turns out to be unfavorable for sellers, we might witness a reversal in the NZD/USD market, breaking the 0.6076 resistance zone. Today presents interesting opportunities for both buyers and sellers in the NZD/USD market. Both sides have potential prospects, but the current market sentiment is leaning toward sellers, especially as we await data from the US trading session.
Seller Dominance



If sellers successfully maintain their control, their dominance could further increase, limiting opportunities for short-term buyers. Conversely, buyers may find themselves with limited opportunities in this prevailing seller-dominated environment.

Role of Fundamental Analysis


Fundamental analysis and news from the US government play a crucial role in shaping the dynamics of the NZD/USD market. This data typically influences investor sentiment and market direction, reinforcing the current tilt in favor of sellers. It is essential to keep an eye on market sentiment and the latest updates to fully understand this landscape. Traders need to be vigilant and ready to adjust their strategies in response to shifting market dynamics and news-driven developments.

Current Outlook


Overall, the current outlook for the NZD/USD pair favors sellers, suggesting a potential downward movement that could breach key support levels in the upcoming trading sessions. Closely monitoring upcoming news events is critical, as they can swiftly impact market conditions and necessitate prudent account management strategies.

Trading Strategy


We are considering opening a buy order on the NZD/USD and setting a short target at 0.6046. At the same time, we are strategically positioning ourselves to capitalize on emerging opportunities while navigating potential risks in the changing landscape of the NZD/USD market. We will observe what developments unfold in the NZD/USD market over the next few hours.

Conclusion


The sharp decline of the NZD/USD on Wednesday reflects the impact of banking policies and market expectations. The dovish stance of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand introduces potential downside risks for the NZD, with key support levels determining the next move. Traders should closely monitor these technical levels and be prepared to interpret future statements from the central bank. Generally, market direction will depend on the nature of the news, influencing price movements and long-term targets. If the price breaches the 0.6048 support level, a continued downward trajectory may ensue

Currency pair EURUSD - H4 period chart. Is week mein market relatively quiet raha hai, price action consolidation mein hai. Lekin last week bohot productive raha. Koi major unexpected movements nahin hue, lekin kuch good trading opportunities aaye jo nicely play out hue. Typically, is pair par har week mein do ya teen good opportunities aati hain. Sab kuch key horizontal level 1.0942 ke around ghoomta hai. First opportunity aayi jab level ko upside mein break kiya gaya, phir hourly chart par pullback aaya, clear bounce upside mein diya. Phir market ne level ko downside mein break kiya, aur short mein enter karne ka opportunity diya, jo profitable move downside mein hua. Third opportunity aayi jab price ne 1.0942 level ke neeche stuck ho gaya, phir breakout hua aur resistance level ban gaya uptrend ke edge par, selling zone mein. Jaise expected, market wahan se drop hua. Phir correction upside mein aayi, aur price range mein stuck ho gaya week ke end tak. Observation se pata chalta hai ki 80-90 percent time market ranging mein rehta hai, occasional opportunities short-term trades ke liye small profits 20-30 pips capture karne ke liye. Mere khayal mein jo log big moves ke liye wait karte hain wo masochism mein engage hain; market jo offer karta hai wo lena behtar hai, jo typically har week mein do ya teen trading opportunities hoti hain. Currently, market middle mein stuck hai, dono directions mein move karne ke equal chances hain. Buyers ke upper hand hai ascending wave structure ke wajah se four-hour aur daily charts par. Additionally, MACD indicator do higher timeframes par overbought zone mein hai, buyers ke favor mein. Lekin sellers ke bhi arguments hain. Daily MACD par bearish divergence ki presence significant factor hai sellers ke liye. Today ke liye koi major economic news events schedule nahin hain

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Last trading week mai, euro ne 1.0926 mark ko break kiya lekin aage badhne mai naakam raha aur apne sab gains ko lose kar diya, support area mai strong rehtay huye. Expected development scenario achieve nahi ho saka kyunke target territory tak nahi pohoncha, lekin abhi bhi work kar raha hai. Price chart abhi bhi super trendy green zone mai hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke buyers ka control hai.

In data ne market mai optimism ko barhaya, jisse US stocks mai izafa hua. US dollar index euro price ke muqablay mai 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo close tha 1.10159 points par. Current trading day mai, euro ne maximum 1.10169 points ko touch kiya, jabke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Ye data Federal Reserve ke rates ko cut karne ki expectation ko barhata hai, aur ye umeed barh rahi hai ke Fed apni September meeting mai rate cut start kar sakta hai.



Pair is waqt weekly basis par flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad lekin hold karne mai naakam raha. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur strong pressure ke bawajood, isne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, price ko range mai rakhtay huye, jo upside vector ki importance ko show karta hai. Price ko aage barhne ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation zaroori hogi, jahan main support area hai. Agar ye area retest karke successfully rebound karta hai, toh ek nayi move upside ke liye milay gi, jiska target 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar support break ho gaya aur price 1.0837 pivot level ke neeche gir gayi, toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Euro apni pehli trading session mein budh ke din barh gaya, aur 1.10 ke ahem level ke upar break kar gaya. Yeh area baar baar apni ahmiyat ko resistance ke tor par sabit kar chuka hai, jo isay ek ahem marker banata hai. Jaisay jaisay Euro is level ke upar barh raha hai, traders ka focus ab aage kya hoga par hai, khaaskar US se anay walay CPI (Consumer Price Index) data ke madde nazar. Yeh data market ke rukh ko tabdeel karne ki salahiyat rakh sakta hai, magar agar Euro 1.10 mark ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh 1.11 level tak mazeed barhne ka raasta khol sakta hai, aur mumkin hai ke 1.1250 tak bhi chala jaye.
Is waqt market ziyada tar expectations par chal raha hai ke Federal Reserve jald hi interest rates cut karega, aur bohot se logon ne apni positions iss khabar ke intezar mein set kar li hain. Badi sawal yeh hai ke kya Fed rate cuts lagayega taake market ke prospects ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Saath hi, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) bhi apni monetary policy ko soften karne ka soch sakta hai, jo ke situation ko aur pechida kar sakta hai.

Halaanki 1.10 ke upar ka recent break aik bullish indicator hai, magar CPI news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.



Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent market ke actions ke mutabiq humne dekha hai.5-point ka buffer liya jaye, jo ke 1.0975 hai. Iske tootne se pullback ho sakta hai, magar agar yeh nahi toota to blue scenario 1.1015 ki taraf hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh yeh 1.1040 ki taraf le jaayega, jahan se phir se pullback 1.1015 ya break 1.0980 ki taraf ho sakta hai. General tor par, humara target 1.1230 hai.
Agar daily balance 1.0980 pe toot jata hai, toh intraday correction hoga jo ke H1 support 1.0910 tak jaayega. Daily balance ke tootne ke baad naya balance 1.1015 pe hoga. 1.0960 se pullback hosakta hai naye daily balance 1.1015 ki taraf, aur agar pair isay

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis:
Pichlay trading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.

In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega.
news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.

Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur mazid strong pressure ke bawajood, is ne apni integrity barqarar rakhi, jo ke prices ko range mein rakhta hai, aur yeh upside vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Agar is area ka kamiyab retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound hota hai, to nayi move higher ki taraf ho sakti hai, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.



Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.0837 ke pivot level ke neeche gir jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD ka exchange rate 1.0842 par qaraar paa gaya hai, is analysis ke waqt tak, jab Eurozone aur US manufacturing aur services sectors ke Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings ki announcement hone wali hai. Mu'tabar trading platforms ne bataya ke euro trading week ke aghaz mein $1.088 ke ird gird mutaghayyar tha, jab European Central Bank ki aanewali monetary policy review ke liye intezar ho raha hai. Haal hi mein, euro ne 17 July ko apne chaar maheenay ke oonchay point $1.094 se peeche hat gaya, jo market ki baychaini ko zahi karke market uncertainty ko dikhata hai.
Aane Wale Ma’ashi Data Ki Jari Kardi Gai Release Traders aur analysts is hafte ki Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh numbers ma'ashi sehat aur performance par ahem roshni daalenge, jo euro ke ird gird chalte huye volatility se nimatne wale market participants ke liye rehnumai karenge.
Market Ke Jazbat aur Aane Wale Mahol Ki Umeedain Euro ki haal hi ki giraawat jo iske peak se hai, woh zameeni market ki bechaini ko zahi karti hai, jo ke European Central Bank ke mustaqbil ke iqdamat ke hawalay se tafsirat par mabni hai. Sood ki katauti ki umeed aur naye macroeconomic forecasts par zyada focus ECB ke accommodative stance ko zahi karte hain, jo ma'ashi indicators par jawabi iqdamat hain. Is liye, aanewala PMI data market ke jazbat aur euro ke trajectory ke hawalay se umeedain banane mein asar daalega.
Ahem Ma’ashi Indicators Ma'ashi calendar ke mutabiq, Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data ahem regions mein ma'ashi activity aur jazbat ke ahem indicators hain. Aam tawakko se zyada mazboot PMI reading euro ko mazbooti de sakti hai, jab ke kamzor data mazeed ECB monetary easing ki umeedain barha sakti hai.
Jab ke euro $1.088 ke ird gird hai, tawajju ECB ki policy review aur ahem ma'ashi data ki release par hai. Markazi bank ke faislay, jo updated ma'ashi forecasts aur indicators se mutasir hain, euro ke mustaqbil trajectory ka ta'ayyun karenge. Is liye, investors aur traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni hogi taake potential currency market fluctuations se nimat sakein.
Eurozone Mein Consumer Jazbat Tawako Se Zyada Behtar Pehli peemaiyon ne darshaya ke Eurozone ka consumer confidence index July 2024 mein -13 par utha hai, jo pichle mahine ke -14 se barh gaya hai aur market ki tawakko -13.4 ko peeche chorh gaya hai. Yeh February 2022 ke baad sabse ooncha level hai, jo ECB ke haal hi mein sood ki katauti ke asar mein inflation ke kam hone ke jawabi iqdamat hain. Market ka jazba mazeed rate cuts ki umeed par musbat hai, jo September aur shayad December mein ho sakte hain. France ke parliamentary elections ke baad siyasi concerns bhi kam ho gaye hain, jo single-party dominance ka dar kam karte hain aur legislative gridlock ko kam karte hain. European Union mein bhi consumer jazbat mein behtari dekhi gayi hai, jo -12.2 tak barh gaya hai.

Euro ki qeemat apni decline ko continue karte hue $1.0825 ke support level tak pohanchi hai, jo ke chaar maheenon ke sabse highest level $1.094 se door ho gayi hai, jo ke 17 July ko touch kiya tha, jab euro zone, Germany aur France ke weak PMI data release hue the. In reports ke baad yeh umeed barh gayi ke European Central Bank iss saal do aur dafa interest rates cut karega.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein unexpected slump ki taraf ishara kiya, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ki wajah se hua. Germany aur France broader region mein underperform karte rahe. Iske nateejay mein, traders ne European Central Bank ke do aur interest rate cuts ki bets ko 80% se badhakar 90% tak kar diya hai PMI data ke baad.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap barhkar 71.70 basis points tak pohanch gaya, jo ke France mein political tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ke taraf se pension reform ko reverse karne ka proposal, jo President Macron ne approve kiya tha, far-right National Front party ki support ke sath, ne fiscal spending aur France ke debt par risk premium ke hawalay se concerns ko barha diya hai. President Macron ne kaha hai ke unki government Olympics ke dauran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ke efforts ko reject karte hue naye prime minister ko appoint karne se inkaar kar diya hai.

Daily chart par Euro ke price ke performance ke mutabiq, EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi mazbooti se important psychological support level 1.0800 ke tor par inclined hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh price ko neeche le jayein. Aur agle most important support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 par honge, respectively. Dusri taraf, isi time period ke dauran, aur jaisa ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya, general trend mein upar ki taraf koi strong aur important shift tab tak nahi aayegi jab tak yeh wapas psychological resistance 1.1000 ke level tak na pohanche. Aaj Euro Dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke statements aur German IFO reading ke announcement, aur phir important American economic data, jo GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders ke hawalay se hai, se affect hogi.