Eurusd forum

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha hai, aur shorts ne targets 50-day EMA ke just upar 1.0956 ke aas-paas rakhe hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicato

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicato

Subha ke apne tajziye mein, maine 1.1039 ka level highlight kiya tha aur apni trading decisions ka daromadar is par rakha tha. Aayiye 5-minute chart ko dekhtay hain aur jo kuch hua uska tajziya karte hain. Ek girawat hui, lekin yeh 1.1039 ka test ya false breakout tak nahi pohnch saki, is liye koi munasib entry points nahi mile. Doosray hissay ke liye technical outlook mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai.
EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:

Eurozone ke mulkon ke PMI service activity ke disappointing data ne pehle hissay mein euro par dabao dala. In kamzor statistics ne aur zyada zor diya ke eurozone mein interest rate cuts ki zarurat hai, kyun ke agar yeh na hue toh economy ko mazeed growth ke liye momentum kho dene ka khatra hai. Doosray hissay mein tawajjo US trade balance data, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), aur factory order volumes par honi chahiye. Agar data mazboot aata hai, toh euro ki aur girawat ho sakti hai. Is liye mein abhi kharidari ke liye jaldi nahi kar raha. Long positions ke liye ek munasib entry point tab milega agar 1.1039 ke ird gird false breakout hota hai, jisme target hoga 1.1068 ka recovery, jo moving averages ke neeche hai aur abhi tak sellers ke haq mein hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai aur wapas se test hota hai, toh mazeed growth ke chances hain, jo ke 1.1093 ko test karega. Sab se door target 1.1114 ka high hoga, jahan mein apna profit loonga. Agar EUR/USD mazeed girta hai aur 1.1039 par buyer activity na dikhti ho, toh sellers apni position ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain, jisse pair mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Is surat mein, main long positions tab consider karoonga jab 1.1011 ke ird gird false breakout hoga. Wagarna, mein 1.0984 se rebound par long positions kholunga, jisme din ke dauran 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target hoga.

EUR/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne kamzor European statistics ke baad kuch ground hasil kiya, magar unhe baray players se khaas support nahi mili. 1.1039 ka breakout target karne se pehle, intezar karna behtar hoga ke US data ka kya nateeja aata hai, kyun ke agar data kamzor ata hai toh naye buyers risk assets mein invest kar sakte hain. Is surat mein bears ka pehla kaam 1.1068 level ka difa karna hoga. Wahan ek false breakout short positions kholne ka acha mauqa dega, jiska target hoga 1.1039 ka support retest, jahan pehle buyer reaction ka intezar rahega. Agar is level ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, toh ek aur selling opportunity milegi, jisme target hoga 1.1011. Sab se door target 1.0984 ka hoga, jahan mein apna profit loonga. Agar EUR/USD upar jata hai aur bears 1.1068 ke ird gird activity nahi dikhate, toh buyers dobara initiative le sakte hain aur resistance 1.1093 tak push kar sakte hain. Mein is level par bhi selling consider karoonga, magar sirf ek failed breakout ke baad. Main short positions 1.1114 se rebound par kholne ka plan rakhta hoon, jisme din ke dauran 30-35 points ki downward

Market Overview

EURUSD pair current mein H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels

Immediate Support: 1.1142 - Ye level past mein strong support ka kaam kiya hai aur potential entry point ke liye retested ho sakta hai agar temporary pullback hota hai.

Strong Support: 1.1070 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur potential bullish reversals ke liye significant level ho sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1210 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke wajah se, ye soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1210 ke upar clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): Currently 75.75 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye is level par hovering hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.1142 - Ye level potential order block ke liye long positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1210 - Ye level potential order block ke liye short positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bearish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: Potential buy entry 1.1142 support level par consider ki ja sakti hai agar price pullback hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern forma, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate karega.





Additional Considerations

EURUSD pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions par focus karna chahiye proper risk management ke saath. RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye monitor karna essential hai. Sath hi, order blocks ko potential trading opportunities ke liye monitor karna chahiye

Roman Urdu mein:

EUR/USD pair Wednesday ko 1.1175 ke new high se 1.1130 par aa gaya hai. US Dollar (USD) rise hua hai lekin 2024 ke new low par hai, central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko six other major currencies ke relative measure karta hai, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Fed apne first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karta hai ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, continued easing of inflationary pressures ke liye. Yeh market speculation ko Fed interest rate cuts ke liye strengthen karta hai.

FOMC minutes ne reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July mein interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke address ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium par Friday ko 14:00 GMT se dekhenge, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed ke potential reductions ko dekhenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se dekhenge, jo scheduled hai release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data indicate karta hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5




Price Evaluation

Investors ke attention Fed Powell ke address par JH Symposium par Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high near 1.1775 par hai, isko four-day winning streak extend karne ki expectation hai. Standard currency pair previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate karte hain, upward pointing hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki likelihood hai. Bulls euro mein round-level resistance 1.1200 ko retake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 ke clear break ke baad. Round-level number 1.1100 downside par significant support zone serve karega

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda kam az kam 1.1050 ke nishan tak gir jayega. Halankeh, aisa karne ke liye, qimat ko pahle 1.1066 ki support satah ko todne ki zarurat hai.
Agar qimat 1.1096 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jati hai to, imkan hai keh European currency 1.1135 ki qarz ki satah ki taraf badhegi, jahan short positions kholna danishmandi hogi.
Aaj ka macroeconomic calendar Americi labour market ke data samet aham khabron ki release se bhara hua hai. Kal, America apni labour market ke aidad o shumarr bhi report karne wala hai. Is tarah, tejarati sargarmiyon me izafa mutawaqqe hai. Dedh hafte me, Fed ka ijlas hoga. September bazaron ke liye ek utar-chadhaw wala mahina ban raha hai.

ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Maujudah suratehal me, currency ka andazah lagane me mushkil yah hai keh yah puri tarah wazeh nahin hai keh tezi ka rujhan jari rahega ya nahin. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, ooper ki taraf zigzag barqarar hai. Iske alawa, kal ke tejarati nataij ki buniyad par, ek bullish bar tashkil diya gaya hai, jo jode ke girawat me thahraw ka ishara deta hai, lekin mai abhi tak kisi bhi dur ke hadaf ke bare me baht karne ki himmat nahin kar raha hun.



Is silsile me, maine intraday trading ke liye mundarjah zail options ki nishandahi ki hai. 1.1070 - 1.1060 ka raqba long positions ke liye ek entry points ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. 1.1121 ki satah jo 138.2% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai, use hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. 1.1138 ka nishan bhi kam dilchasp nahin hai, jo ifqi satahon ki buniyad par muzahmat ke taur par kam kar sakta hai. Lehaza, 1.1121 - 1.1138 ke ilaqe ko short positions kholne ke liye ek entry point ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai.

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda sa rebound kiya 1.1120 ke qareeb, Thursday ko 1.1174 ke new high se decline karne ke baad. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein address se pehle caution ke karan, main currency pair higher move kiya jab US Dollar (USD) ne apni recent weakness ko continue kiya, respectable recovery move ke baad.
US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, Thursday ko 101.00 se 101.60 par rise karne ke baad, Friday ko 101.30 par drop kiya. Flash US S&P Global PMI data ke August ne dikhaya ki Composite PMI stronger-than-expected 54.1 par aaya, jisne US dollar ko sharply rebound karne ke liye majbur kiya. Study ne dikhaya ki services sector ki strong growth ne economic activity ko spur kiya, jabke manufacturing sector ne faster-than-expected pace se shrink kiya.

Investors US economy ko "soft landing" achieve karne ki possibility ko bhi consider kar rahe hain, kyunki price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par return karne ki ummeed hai. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein dramatic slowdown aur unemployment rate 4.3% par rise ko dikhaya, jo November 2021 ke baad highest level hai, US recession ki fears ko intensify karne ke liye.

Analysts ki ummeed nahi hai ki Jerome Powell interest rates ke predetermined trajectory ko provide karega. Lekin, dangers ab dual mandate ke employment aur inflation components ko extend kar rahe hain, woh September mein rate cuts ko advocate kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ke JH Symposium mein address par focused hai, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko maintain karne mein kamyab raha. Daily time frame mein channel formation ke breakout ke baad, common currency pair ke prognosis positive raha. Short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope se significant upswing hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin overbought levels ko cross karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate karta hai.

Euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko retake kar sakte hain agar December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se clear break hota hai. Downside par 1.1100 ke round-level

Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte h

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai

EUR/USD ko dabao ka samna karna par raha hai jab Euro ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ke bawajood kamzor hota hai. Eurozone ki kamzor ma'eeshat ECB ke September ke liye rate cut ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai

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Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di:
Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain.

EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, khaaskar June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai.

Lekin, pair ne kuch resistance ka saamna kiya hai, khaaskar Monday ko 1.10 ke upar thodi der ke liye spike ke baad. Is level ne strong selling pressure dekha, jo ek critical descending trend line ke neeche retreat kar gaya. Pair ko agle bullish leg ke liye strength build karni hai, ise solid support milna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek pullback zaroori ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential rally ke momentum gain karne se pehle