یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD: Ek Behtareen Peer-e-Ittihadi**

Aaj ka din bahut accha raha, jaise ke umeed thi, EUR/USD ka jora ghat gaya, lekin pehla dilchasp maqsad 1.10650 tak nahi pahuncha. Yeh sirf waqt ki baat hai. Kal CME futures data dekhna dilchasp hoga, dekhte hain wahan kya nazar aata hai.

Online options desk ki baat karein, sab kuch stable hai. Yeh log dheere dheere neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain, lekin yeh lagta hai ke inhein tez ghatne ki umeed nahi. Filhal, pehla support 1.11150 par hai. Is level ko todna hoga taake aage 1.10650 ki taraf ja sakein, jahan mujhe lagta hai ke thodi dair rukenge takay agla qadam tay kiya ja sake.

Unka agla target thoda niche, 1.10210 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh sirf ek din ka maqsad nahi hai, is liye agar hum is par nazar rakh rahe hain, to shayad yeh ek hafta se kam nahi hoga. Volatility ab average se zyada hai, yeh alag alag dishaon mein ghoom sakte hain, lekin mere liye kuch nahi badla, main sirf bechne par ghoor kar raha hoon.

Khush trading!

Monday ko EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai.

Doosray half of the day mein ziyata activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai

Jumma ke din, euro-dollar pair ke daily chart par yeh dikhaya gaya ke market ne ussi level par band kiya jahan se us ne din ka aghaz kiya tha. Maine jumme ke liye euro ke barhne ki peishgoi ki thi, lekin yeh harkat paish nahi aayi. Mera ye andaza tha ke din mein upar ki taraf harqat hogi aur yeh Thursday ke price action par mabni tha, jab euro ne 1.11322 ke resistance level ko tor diya tha aur 1.11934 ke resistance ke qareeb band hua tha. Is buniyad par, maine umeed ki thi ke price barhti rahegi aur oonche levels ki taraf jaayegi. Lekin market ne is raaste par nahi chali, aur mera Monday ka forecast bhi mutabiq nahi raha.
Maine yeh peishgoi ki thi ke 1.12560 ke level tak aur barhna chahiye kyunki price ne 1.11934 ke resistance ko sahi tareeke se test nahi kiya tha. Yeh lag raha tha ke market mein upar ki momentum barh rahi hai, aur maine umeed ki thi ke market is push ko jaari rakhegi. Lekin, meri peishgoi ke bar’aks, jumme ke din ka price action is baat par khatam hua ke euro ne wahi price level par close kiya jahan se din ka aghaz kiya tha. Mera jo barhne ka forecast tha, uske bajaye market ne consolidation dekhi, aur ab lagta hai ke price neeche gir rahi hai.

Abhi ke liye, euro ne 1.11322 ke ahem support level ko tod diya hai, jo pehle resistance tha. Is girawat ke sath, pair ab agle bade support level 1.10603 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh neeche ki harakat market mein ek significant pullback ko dikhati hai, kyunki selling pressure barh gaya hai. Iss stage par price ab tak wapas nahi uthi, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market in ahem levels ke ird gird kaisa react karti hai.

Chhoti muddat ke liye, 1.11322 ka level ab ek key zone hai jis par focus karna chahiye. Agar price aaj ke trading session ke aakhir mein is level se upar close karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke buyers market mein waapis aa rahe hain, jo meri pehle wali forecast ko support karega ke 1.12560 ke level tak barh sakti hai. Agar price 1.11322 ke upar close karti hai, to yeh naye bullish momentum ka signal hoga, aur market upar ki taraf jaa sakti hai jahan resistance levels ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai.

Lekin agar price aaj 1.11322 ke level se neeche close hoti hai, to yeh koi bhi nazdeek muddat ka bullish outlook khatam kar dega. Is surat mein, girawat ka imkana barh jayega, aur market agle significant support 1.10603 ki taraf girti rahegi. Agar price 1.11322 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain, aur bearish trend agle trading dinon mein jaari reh sakta hai.

Is waqt market ki direction ka daromadar is baat par hai ke aaj ka daily candle kahan close hota hai. Agar yeh 1.11322 ke upar rehta hai, to hum naye buying pressure ko dekh sakte hain aur 1.12560 ke resistance level ki taraf move ka imkana ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, to girawat ka silsila barh sakta hai. Traders is waqt in key levels ko ghair mamooli tor par dekh rahe hain taake faisla kar sakein ke euro-dollar pair apne haal ke bearish trend ko barkarar rakhegi ya market recovery kar ke ooper ki taraf push karegi.

EUR/USD market ko 1.11734 ke level se dekhna shuru kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki yeh price point significant importance rakhta hai. Yeh wo area hai jahan sellers ne apni positions establish ki hain, aur yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo is level ko actively defend karenge. Agar price is level se upar jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment ke shift ka signal hoga, jahan bullish interest mazid strong hota nazar aayega. Is upward movement ka matlab hoga ke buyers sellers ko market se push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke price trend mein ek reversal ki taraf ishara karega.Agar price 1.11734 se upar jata hai, toh yeh buyer dominance ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh wo key area hai jahan sellers ke overwhelmed hone ka khatka hai. Jab yeh level breach hota hai, toh yeh market ko ek bara price increase ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo market ko ek pronounced bullish phase mein daal dega. Is scenario mein, H4 (4-hour) price channel ka reversal upar ki taraf hoga, jo main H1 (1-hour) price channel ke sath align hoga, aur yeh market mein ek broader uptrend ka indication hoga.
Lekin abhi tak primary focus 1.11734 ke level par hai, jo ke sellers ke liye ek critical point hai defend karne ke liye. Agar sellers apna ground is level par hold kar lete hain aur price ko mazid barhne se rok dete hain, toh ek reversal pattern ban sakta hai, jo market mein potential downturn ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is case mein, reversal pattern ka matlab hoga ke bullish momentum se wapas bearish momentum ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke ek strong selling opportunity provide kar sakta hai.Selling ka ideal scenario yeh hoga agar ek clear reversal pattern develop hota hai, jo is baat ki nishani ho ke price wapas 1.11368 ke level ki taraf move karega. Yeh level, jo ke current price se thora neeche hai, bearish traders ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai. Agar price neeche ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh sellers ke liye ek favorable environment create karega, khaaskar agar reversal pattern ko doosre technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, ya oscillators jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) se confirm kiya jata hai.Technical analysis ke nazar se, reversal patterns bohat zaroori hote hain kyunki yeh market mein potential turning points ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Aise patterns, jaise ke head and shoulders, double tops, ya bearish engulfing candlesticks, market direction mein change ka signal dete hain. EUR/USD ke case mein, agar 1.11734 ke qareeb aisa pattern ban jata hai, toh yeh strong signal ho sakta hai ke sellers dobara control mein aa rahe hain, aur price ko wapas neeche push kar rahe hain.Jab price decline hona shuru karta hai, traders 1.11368 ke level ko closely dekh rahe honge. Yeh ek key support level hai jahan market temporary stability dhoondh sakti hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh ek mazid extended bearish movement ka indication ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair mein mazid declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD market ko 1.11734 ke level se shuru karna ja sakta hai. Yeh price point bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh woh area hai jahan sellers ne apni positions banayi hui hain, aur woh is level ko actively defend karne ki koshish karenge. Agar qeemat is level se ooper chali jati hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara hai, jahan bullish interest mazid taqatwar ho raha hai. Yeh upward movement yeh batlata hai ke buyers koshish kar rahe hain ke sellers ko market se nikal dein, jo ke price trend mein ek reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Agar qeemat 1.11734 se ooper jati hai, to isay buyer dominance ke taur par samjha ja sakta hai, kyunke yeh ek ahem area hai jahan sellers ko overwhelm kiya ja sakta hai. Jab yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh qeemat mein mazeed izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur market ko ek wazeh bullish phase mein daal sakta hai. Is surat mein, H4 (4-hour) price channel ooper ki taraf reverse hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke H1 (1-hour) price channel ke sath align hoga, aur yeh market mein ek bari uptrend ki dalalat karega.

Lekin, abhi ke liye, asal tawajju 1.11734 ke level par hai jo sellers ke liye ek critical point hai defend karne ke liye. Agar sellers is level par apna ground qabiz rakhte hain aur qeemat ko mazid barhne se rokte hain, to ek reversal pattern ban sakta hai, jo ke market mein ek downtrend ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is surat mein, ek reversal pattern bullish momentum ko dobara bearish momentum mein badalne ka ishara karega, jo ke ek mazboot selling opportunity faraham kar sakta hai.

Selling ka ideal scenario tab hoga jab ek clear reversal pattern dekhne ko mile, jo ke is baat ka ishara kare ke qeemat wapas 1.11368 ke level ki taraf jaye. Yeh level, jo ke abhi ki qeemat se thoda neechay hai, bearish traders ke liye ek potential target hai. Agar qeemat neechay jane lagti hai, to yeh sellers ke liye ek mo’afaqat environment bana sakta hai, khaaskar jab reversal pattern ko doosray technical indicators se tasdeeq mile, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, ya oscillators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI).


Technical analysis ke liye, reversal patterns bohot zaroori hain kyunke yeh market ke potential turning points ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Yeh patterns, jaise head and shoulders, double tops, ya bearish engulfing candlesticks, market direction mein tabdeeli ka ishara dete hain. EUR/USD ke case mein, agar 1.11734 ke qareeb aisa pattern ban jata hai, to yeh ek mazboot signal hoga ke sellers control dobara hasil kar rahe hain aur qeemat dobara neechay ja rahi hai.

Jab qeemat neechay jaane lagti hai, to traders 1.11368 level ko ghaur se dekhenge. Yeh ek ahem support level hai jahan market temporary stability hasil kar sakta hai. Agar qeemat is level se break karti hai, to yeh mazeed bearish movement ka ishara hoga, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Humari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ki analysis ke hawalay se hai. Market mein abhi bohot tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates mein honay wali tabdeeli par hai, aur kal anay wali Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is release ke baad significant movement honay ka imkaan hai. EUR/USD Fed ke faislay tak stagnant nahi rahega. Shayad aap European Central Bank (ECB) ke Thursday ko honay walay meeting ka bhi hawala de rahe hain, jo ke relevant hai. Maine forecast calendar ka jaiza liya aur mujhe hairat hui ke ek planned rate reduction 0.6 basis points ka hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek rehta hai, toh EUR/USD mein itni zyada downward movement nahi hogi. Lekin abhi bhi yeh risk hai ke rate reduction thora kam ho, shayad 0.5 ya sirf 0.2 points ka ho. Is surat mein, EUR/USD mazid strength gain kar sakta hai. ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai, jab ke EUR/USD ko weaken karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.EUR/USD pair ne Thursday ko turbulent conditions mein trading continue ki. Raat ke doran price significantly neeche gayi, phir do dafa zyada barhi, phir dobara giri, aur dobara barh gayi. Jaise ke humne warn kiya tha, market puray Thursday ko Federal Reserve ke meeting ke natayij par react karta raha. Iske ilawa, dopahar ke qareeb Bank of England ne bhi apni meeting ke results announce kiye, jo euro aur market volatility par asarandaaz huay. Is liye behtareen action yeh hota ke market se door raha jata ya sirf bohot strong aur precise signals par entry li jati. General taur par, euro dobara barh gaya, aur dollar dobara gir gaya, jo ab kisi ko hairan nahi karta. Chahey Fed meeting se pehle ke kuch dinon mein dollar ka girna ek "pricing in advance" ke taur par describe kiya ja sakta hai for a dovish scenario, lekin meeting ke baad bhi dollar gira. Jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, dollar kisi bhi halat mein gir raha hai, factors kuch bhi hon. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke European Central Bank ne pichlay hafte rates ko kam kiya, jisne bhi pair ke value mein izafa kiya.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.

Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.

### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Euro-Dollar Pair Analysis

Aaj ke din Euro-Dollar pair ka daily chart ye dikhata hai ke market ne wahi level par band kiya jahan se khula tha. Maine Friday ko socha tha ke euro barhega, lekin mujhe wo movement nahi mili. Mera yeh expectation Thursday ke price action par tha, jab euro ne 1.11322 resistance level ko break kiya aur 1.11934 ke aas paas close hua. Us wajah se mujhe laga ke price agle levels ki taraf barhegi. Lekin, market ne mujhe yeh predict kiya hua path nahi dikhaya, aur mujhe Monday ke liye bhi meri forecast ka kuch khaas asar nahi mila. Maine socha tha ke price 1.12560 level ki taraf phir se barh sakta hai kyunki 1.11934 resistance ka theek se test nahi hua. Yeh strong setup lag raha tha aage ke upward momentum ke liye. Lekin Friday ka price action ye dikhata hai ke euro ne wahi price level par close kiya jahan se din shuru hua tha. Ab euro 1.11322 ke key support level ko break kar raha hai, jo pehle resistance tha. Yeh decline market mein ek significant pullback ko zahir karta hai, kyunki selling pressure barh gaya hai. Is waqt price ne abhi tak bounce back nahi kiya, aur yeh zaroori hai ke hum in critical levels par market ka behavior dekhein. Short term mein, 1.11322 ab ek key zone hai. Agar price aaj ke trading session ke end tak is level ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh indicate karega ke buyers market mein waapas aa rahe hain, jo meri pehle ki forecast ko support karega ke price 1.12560 tak barh sakti hai. Lekin agar price aaj 1.11322 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh near-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is scenario mein, further declines ki probability barh jayegi aur market 1.10603 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh sab kuch observe karna zaroori hai taake hume market ke future movements ka behtar idea ho sake. Good morning! EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, maine kal socha tha ke price dobara achi buying impulses generate karegi. Subah ke decline ke baad, mujhe laga tha ke price 1.10968 support level par support banayegi. Abhi price is support ke kareeb hai, aur sawal ye hai: kya yeh pair yahan se upar ki taraf barhega? Agar upward momentum dobara shuru hota hai, to main upper trend ko target ke tor par mark karunga. Lekin ek option ye bhi hai ke is level par wapas aane ki bajaye, pair apni girawat ko jari rakhe aur current support ke neeche break kar jaye. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke price 1.10968 ke aas paas kaise react karti hai, taake hum agle steps ka faisla kar sakein. Agar buyers market mein waapas aate hain, to humein rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai; warna, is support ke neeche breakdown se bearish movement ka asar barh sakta hai.

Iss hafte mein kaafi dynamic movement dekhne ko mila, khas taur par Wednesday raat tak, jab log Fed aur rate announcement ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh sabse bada driver hai jo American dollar ke liye negative rahega, kyun ke rate ko kam kiya gaya hai aur aage bhi easing hoti rahegi. Is liye, ab humein northern heights par focus karna chahiye, lekin filhal 1.1190 par ek challenge hai, jahan bulls abhi tak is resistance ko paar nahi kar paye hain.
Mujhe nahi lagta ke buyers apne positions itni aasani se chhod denge. Agar correction 1.11-1.1120 ki taraf hoti hai, toh shayad opening par pair wahan tak correction karegi. Phir support par ek naya dhakka dekar, upar ki taraf rebound ho sakta hai. Ricochet buyers is bullish trend ko aage badhane ki koshish karte rahenge. Yeh dono time frames par, hourly aur four-hour par, dekha ja sakta hai ke kaise buyers ko mauka milega.

H4 par mujhe ascending channel mein movement nazar aa rahi hai, jahan neeche ki taraf ki border par jab bhi touch hoga, toh buyers us par kharidari karenge. Iska general goal ab bhi 1.1270 tak pahunchna hai, jo ke abhi tak implementation stage mein hai. Is liye, agar yeh bullish trend continue karta hai, toh hum ummid kar sakte hain ke bulls isko upar ki taraf le ja sakte hain

Aakhir mein, yeh kehna zaroori hai ke traders ko market ke dynamics par dhyan dena hoga, kyunki Fed ke decisions ka asar abhi bhi market par dekhne ko milega. Aage chal kar, agar koi naya catalyst aata hai, toh yeh sab kuch badal bhi sakta hai. Lekin filhal, lagta hai ke bulls ka control bana rahega

**EUR/USD Market Analysis** EUR/USD ka bazar 1.11734 ki level se shuru hota hai. Ye price point bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yahan sellers apne positions banate hain aur ye actively defend karte hain. Agar price is level se upar chali jati hai, toh ye market ki soch mein tabdeelion ka ishara hai, jahan bullish interest barhta hai. Is upward movement ka matlab hai ke buyers sellers ko bazar se nikaalne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke price trend mein ulat aane ki sambhavna rakh sakta hai. 1.11734 se upar ka move buyer dominance ka sign hai, kyunki ye ek aisi jagah hai jahan sellers ko overwhelming ka saamna karna par sakta hai. Jab ye level tod diya jata hai, toh ye price mein bade izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo bazar ko ek mazboot bullish phase mein le jata hai. Is surat mein, H4 (4-hour) price channel ke upar jaane ki umeed hai, jo H1 (1-hour) price channel ke saath align hoga, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke bazar mein ek wider uptrend form ho raha hai. Lekin filhal, 1.11734 ka level sellers ke liye ek critical point hai jise unhe defend karna hai. Agar sellers is level par apni position mazbooti se pakray rakhte hain aur price ko aage nahi badhne dete, toh reversal pattern ban sakta hai, jo bazar mein downturn ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is case mein, reversal pattern bullish momentum se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ka ishara dega, jo selling ka ek accha mauka de sakta hai. Behtareen selling scenario tab hoga jab ek wazeh reversal pattern ban kar price ko 1.11368 ki taraf le jaye. Ye level, jo ke current price se thoda neeche hai, bearish traders ke liye ek potential target hai. Agar price neeche ki taraf chalti hai, toh ye sellers ke liye ek favorable environment bana sakta hai, khaaskar agar reversal pattern ko dusre technical indicators se confirm kiya jaye, jaise moving averages, support and resistance levels, ya oscillators jaise Relative Strength.**Technical Analysis Aur Reversal Patterns**
Technical analysis ki nazar se, reversal patterns bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain kyunki ye bazar mein potential turning points ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain. Ye patterns, jaise head and shoulders, double tops, ya bearish engulfing candlesticks, market direction mein tabdeeli ka ishara dete hain. EUR/USD ke case mein, agar 1.11734 ke nazdeek aisa pattern banata hai, toh ye ek mazboot signal hoga ke sellers dobara control hasil kar rahe hain, jo price ko phir se neeche le ja sakta hai.

Jab price girna shuru hoti hai, traders 1.11368 level ko nazar se door nahi hone denge. Ye ek key support level hai jahan bazar temporary stability hasil kar sakta hai. Agar price is level se neeche gir jati hai, toh ye ek lambi bearish movement ka ishara de sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair mein mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Daily chart par blue signal yeh indicate karta hai ke guzishta teen dinon mein market sirf daily supply aur demand lines ke darmiyan move kar raha hai, jo ke MA5/MA10 Low aur High ke qareeb hain. Future mein yeh condition sideways movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke USD abhi tak puri tarah se kamzor ya mix nahi hua hai. Yahan se milne wala potential reward zyada nahi hai, magar is se faida uthaya ja sakta hai. "Sell on strength" aur "buy on weakness" jaise tactics aise market mein kaafi successful ho sakte hain. Aaj ka candlestick lowest daily average price ke qareeb, jo ke 1.1100 aur 1.1080 ke darmiyan hai, mojood hai. Agar aap left side ka price history dekhein, toh yeh range hamesha strong demand mein rahi hai, aur yeh demand forex market ke volume ke barhne ke sath continue kar sakti hai. Is wajah se traders is daily chart analysis ka istimaal kar ke apni trading options open karne ki planning focus kar sakte hain. Magar, agar unko aik zyada comprehensive plan chahiye, toh woh lower timeframes jaise ke H1 aur H4 ka analysis bhi utilize kar sakte hain. D1 timeframe ke basis par buy strategy supported nahi lagti kyun ke price position Red EMA200 ke neeche hai aur mazeed decline ka strong chance hai jo next support tak le ja sakta hai. Intraday data ke zariye do critical levels identify kiye gaye hain—yellow support 1.1083 par aur green resistance 1.1144 par. Yeh levels powerful trade signals ko pehchanne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain, aur dono levels ke penetrate hone se additional downward swings trigger ho sakte hain. Is waqt, peechle bearish candle ke size ko dekhte hue, sell trading option behtareen lag raha hai kyun ke is candle ne market ko neeche ki taraf dhakel diya tha.

EUR/USD

Monday ka din kaafi intense growth ka tha aur ek dafa phir mai suggest karta hoon ke EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 period chart consider karein. Price is waqt descending channel mein move kar rahi hai aur abhi apni upper border par hai. Wave structure abhi tak downward move ki taraf hai. MACD indicator is waqt upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Price ne descending channel ke top ko touch kiya hai, lekin indicators ne strong signals diye hain ke yahan se downward rebound ho sakta hai. CCI indicator par aap classic bearish divergence dekh sakte hain. Doosray MACD indicator par bearish convergence ka signal hai, jo ek sell signal hota hai. In factors ki base par lagta hai ke yahan se most likely price downward jaaye gi, aur mera andaza hai ke yeh Friday ka low touch kare gi, ho sakta hai ke horizontal support level 1.1047 tak pohanch jaaye, jo ek mirror level hai, aur wahan se growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Abhi chhoti time frames M5-M15 par aap sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain, ussi mirror level ko support se resistance banakar downward kaam kiya ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi important economic news nahi hai, is liye aap technical rebound ko channel ke top se aram se work kar sakte hain, bina kisi surprise ke. Waise chhoti time frame, hourly chart, jiski yahan koi khaas zarurat nahi hai, us par bhi bearish divergence hai, lekin MACD indicator par, CCI pe nahi. Sab kuch line par based hai, aur plus ek resistance zone hai level 1.1122 ke aas paas jo closing prices par bana hai. Halanki ab yeh area break hone ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin mera andaza hai ke yeh false attempt hogi aur akhir mein price correction ke liye niche chali jaaye gi.



Core Retail Sales ek important economic indicator hai jo consumer spending ko reflect karta hai, food aur energy ke ilawa. Acha report US economy ki strength ko dikhata hai, jo US dollar ki demand ko barhata hai, aur is se EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move kare ga. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, toh market 1.1166 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target ek important resistance point hai, aur agar price yeh level touch karti hai, toh yeh sustained bullish strength ko indicate karega. Overall, economic news par nazar rakhna aur ek acchi strategy adopt karna aaj ke market ko effective tareeqe se navigate karne mein madadgar hoga.

**EUR/USD Price Dynamics ka Jaiza**

Aaj hum live EUR/USD currency pair ki pricing movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Hafte ki shuruaat bina kisi surprise ke hui hai, aur ab tak yeh wahi level par hai. Koi driver zaroori hai taake market mein kuch harkat ho, kam az kam kisi wajah se. Mujhe nahi pata ke aaj Europe aur US mein business activity indices ki publications is tarah ka driver banengi ya nahi. Aakhri Fed meeting ko kafi chaotically kaha ja sakta hai, jahan Jerome Powell ne apne behtareen andaaz mein kuch khas clarity diye baghair baatein ki, jisse financial markets ek din mein 200 points gir gaye. Yeh itna waqt ho gaya hai ke aisa nahi hua, aur mujhe yaad hai ke maine 1.1182-1.1187 ke range se limit order ka zikr kiya tha.

EUR/USD currency pair par Ichimoku indicator apni taqat dikhata hai, jo market ke 1.1158 par hone se zahir hota hai, jo Senkou Span A 1.1139 aur Senkou Span B 1.1128 lines ke levels se upar hai.

Overall, aaj ke liye koi khaas priorities nahi hain. Neeche debt levels hain, aur agar mujhe 1.1230 se bechne ka mauka mile, to yeh behtareen hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ke paas mauka hai ke jaldi se 1.1228 ke northern resistance line tak pohanch sakein, kyunki end tak 1.1289 par nazar rakhni hogi. Main indicators upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur price MA72 trend line se upar hai, jahan volume unloading aksar hoti hai.

Daily period par dekha jaye to lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke upar chadhai ka pressure hai, aur yeh trend tab tak jari rahega jab tak hum appreciation ke liye range se bahar nahi nikalte. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke har decline par support se kharidari karein jab tak hum 1.1047 ke level se upar hain. Agar price girti hai, to main khushi se 1.1085-1.1100 se kharidne ke liye tayyar hoon.

Zyada tar, hamari trading is hafte mein ek range mein chalu rahegi; bas yeh corridor ko kafi widen kiya jayega. Is liye, traders ko market ki movements par nazar rakhni hogi, taake wo apne trading strategies ko behtar bana sakein

### EURUSD Pair Analysis (H1 Timeframe)

Assalam-o-Alaikum, dosto! Aaj ka din trading ke liye kaisa guzar raha hai? Umeed hai ke aap sab khush hain aur trading activities ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj is trading haftay ka doosra din hai, aur main EURUSD pair ka H1 timeframe ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Kal EURUSD pair ne 1.1084 ka low touch kiya, aur uske baad upar ki taraf chalu hota hai, jahan isne 1.1144 ka high banaya. Abhi market 1.1072 ki taraf waapas aa raha hai. Aayiye, H1 timeframe par ghoor karte hain.

### H1 Timeframe Technical Outlook

H1 timeframe par EURUSD pair ka jo nazara hai, usse yeh pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum abhi bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi 1.11044 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hai. Yeh cloud Senkou Span B (1.11247) aur Senkou Span A (1.11593) ke darmiyan hai. Yeh cloud ek mazboot resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jo bullish growth ko roke hue hai.

Ichimoku indicator ke andar, Senkou Span B (1.11247) line sabse mazboot hai, kyunki iski duration 52 periods ki hai. Yeh line ek important level hai jahan se market ne pehle bhi reversal dekha hai. Iske ilawa, Tenkan-sen (1.11110) ka Kijun-sen (1.11247) se neeche cross hona bhi ek sell signal hai. Yeh intersection bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

In sab bearish signals ka milna hume ek downward trend ka andaza deta hai. Meri soch hai ke ab sell position lene ka waqt hai. Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator bhi sell signal de raha hai, jo market ke girne ki aur ishara kar raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke price 1.10000 ke level tak drop kar sakta hai.

Agar hum market ke sentiment ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke traders bearish sentiment ko samajh rahe hain, aur yeh is baat ka saboot hai ke kaise market ne resistance lines ko face kiya hai. Yeh movements hume yeh samjhaate hain ke market mein volatility barh sakti hai, is liye traders ko apne risk management par dhyan dena chahiye.

Mujhe umeed hai ke aap sab is analysis se faida uthayenge. Agar aap ke paas koi sawal ya feedback hai, to bejhijhak poochiye! Khush rahen aur trading mein achi luck ke liye dua karen!