Eurusd forum

gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer

EUR/USD Price Dynamics

Hamari guftagu ka markaz EUR/USD currency pair ke live price movements ko samajhna hai. Week ka aghaz baghair kisi surprise ke hua, aur ab tak yeh usi level par hai. Kisi driver ki zarurat hai jo market mein kuch harkat la sake, kam az kam koi wajah honi chahiye. Mujhe maloom nahi ke aaj Europe aur US ke business activity indices ki publications koi driver ka kaam karein gi ya nahi. Aakhri Fed meeting ko kaafi chaotic kaha ja sakta hai, jahan Jerome Powell ne apni purani riwayat ko barqarar rakha, zyada specificity ke baghair halki baat ki, jis ne financial markets ko aik din mein 200 points ke stupor mein daal diya. Aisa kaafi arsay se nahi hua tha, aur un points ko liya ja sakta tha kyun ke mene pehle hi 1.1182-1.1187 ke range se limit order ke bare mein likha tha.

EUR/USD currency pair par, Ichimoku indicator apni taqat darsha raha hai, jo is baat se zahir hota hai ke market 1.1158 par hai, jo ke Senkou Span A ke 1.1139 aur Senkou Span B ke 1.1128 lines ke upar hai.

Aam tor par, aaj ke liye koi khaas priorities nahi hain. Neeche debt levels hain, aur agar mujhe 1.1230 se sell karne diya jata hai, to yeh zabardast hoga. Aisa lagta hai ke northerners ko ek moka milega ke woh jaldi se 1.1228 ke northern resistance line ko hit kar sakein, kyun ke akhir tak yeh daikhna zaroori hai ke price 1.1289 tak ja sakta hai. Main indicators north ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Daily period par aisa mehsoos hota hai ke main version EUR/USD ke rise par pressure darshata hai, aur jab hum appreciation ke range se bahar niklain ge, yeh trend barqarar rahe ga. Is liye, meri salah yeh hai ke support se har decline ke wave par buying ki jaye jab tak hum 1.1047 ke north mein hain. Agar price girta hai, to mein khushi se 1.1085-1.1100 se buy karne ke liye tayar hoon. Sab se ziada chances hain ke humara trading is hafte ek range mein hi rahe ga; sirf corridor ko kaafi zyada widen kar dain ge.

**EUR/USD Price Signals**

Hamari discussion EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka tajziya karegi. Is waqt EUR/USD pair EMA200 ke qareeb hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1059 par hai; aage barhnay ka imkaan hai. Magar main is baat ka bhi ehtimal dekh raha hoon ke ek deeper pullback ho sakta hai, jo expanding triangle ki shakal ikhtiyar kar sakta hai. Ascending wedge bhi play out kar sakta hai, jiska target 9th figure ke mid-range ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Growth ko 1.1239 aur 1.1224 ke ird gird restriction hai, lekin order book mein 1.1184 ke aas paas increased volumes ka izhaar ho raha hai, jo resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain aur further upward movement ko roknay mein madad kar sakti hain. Agar breakout consolidation ke sath hota hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke price upper range tak barh sakti hai, jo ke 13th figure ke aas paas hai. EUR/USD pair ko bullish outlook barqarar rakhna chahiye, khaaskar Wednesday ko honay wali U.S. Federal Reserve meeting ke madde nazar. News releases downward impulse create kar sakti hain, magar 1.1109 se neeche ke stop orders yeh suggest karte hain ke pair upar ki taraf push kar sakta hai, aur 1.1209 mark ko break karne ki koshish karega.

Neeche se pressure wazeh hai, har upward move ko sellers ne jaldi se sell off kar diya, jo price ko wapas retreat karne par majboor kar raha hai. Current price action yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi tak average monthly range ke midpoint se neeche hai. Oscillators upward momentum mein slowdown ka ishara de rahe hain. Senior linear stochastic aur histogram ek bearish divergence bana rahe hain, jabke composite oscillator lower window mein is divergence ko confirm kar raha hai. Yeh ek potential reversal ya kam az kam deep correction ka ishara de raha hai. Pair abhi bhi local channel mein barh raha hai, jise senior daily dynamic channel support kar raha hai, aur ab tak trend break hone ki koi tasdeeq nahi hui hai. Lekin yeh ek fundamental level ke qareeb hai, aur filhal sell karna jaldi hoga, lekin buying opportunities bhi mehdood hain. Kal ka initial goal yeh hoga ke is level ko test kiya jaye, aur agar breakout hota hai to phir usay secondary concern ke tor par dekha jayega.

Doosray half of the day mein ziyata activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance

gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai

surprising nahi hai kyun ke Eurozone ya U.S. mein koi macroeconomic ya fundamental factors nahi the kal. Sirf Germany ka August ke liye Consumer Price Index ka doosra estimate publish hua. Jis tarah expected tha, doosra estimate pehle waale se mukhtalif nahi tha. Aaj ka sab se important U.S. inflation report release hoga, aur kal European Central Bank ki meeting hai. Ye samajhna aasan hai ke market trading decisions lene mein jaldi nahi kar raha. Downward trend barkarar hai lekin bohot unstable hai, jaise ke hum pehle bhi mention kar chuke hain. Agar U.S. inflation forecast se kam value dikhata hai, to dollar asani se aur jaldi se gir sakta hai. Hum believe karte hain ke euro ko significant tor pe lambi muddat tak girna chahiye, lekin abhi tak hum puri tarah sure nahi hain ke market ne Federal Reserve ke agli do saal ke liye planned rate cuts ko fully price-in kiya hai ya nahi.
Tuesday ko sirf ek trading signal generate hua 5-minute time frame mein. European trading session ke start mein, price ne 1.1048 level se rebound kiya, us ke baad price ne 15-20 pips ka downward move kiya. Volatility bohot kamzor thi. Phir bhi, novice traders ne is trade se thoda profit bana liya hoga, aur 35-pip

**Sham bakhair, pyare traders. Aaj hum 1.0845 ke shetra mein gir gaye hain, jo ek ahm support area hai. Jab hum 1.0930 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ka istemal karte hain, to is surat mein 36.8% ka range 1.0970 par hai. Yeh achi release ki nishani hai. Agar 1.0870 ke upar breakdown aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh upar ki taraf barhne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.0875 ka resistance level bhi torhna expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh wahaan apni jagah bana leta hai, to kharidne ka ek behtareen mauqa mil sakta hai.

Agar galat breakdown hota hai, to yeh bechne ka ek ahem signal hai, jis ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jab hum 1.0647 ke shetra ko tor kar wahan fix ho jate hain, tab bechne ka ek behtareen mauqa milta hai. EUR/USD ka expect hai ke yeh 1.0965 tak gire, jab yeh pehle 1.08785 ka support zone dekhta hai.

Aaj, ek baar phir 1.1060 ke shetra ko torne mein kamiyabi mili hai, aur iske baad barhna continue ho sakta hai. H4 chart par 1.0965 ka false breakout nazar aata hai; agar yeh is se upar fix hota hai, to yeh barhne ka signal confirm karega. Aage kharidari tab mumkin hogi jab yeh 1.1060 ke range ko tor kar wahan fix hota hai. 1.0720 ke false breakdowns kharidne ka behtareen signal honge, jo munafa ka khaas potential rakhte hain.

1.0894 ka level torna bohot zaroori hai, taake currency ko aur barhne ka mauqa mile. Agar yeh 1.0900 ke niche girta hai, to bechne ka mauqa hoga. Fibo levels ka istemal karte hue, is surat mein 38.4% ka critical corrective range 1.0953 par nazar aata hai agar rising wave 1.0910 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ke saath dekha jaye.

Hamesha yaad rakhein, trading mein samajh aur analysis bohot zaroori hai. Aapko market ke movements ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur apne strategies ko behtar banana chahiye. Yeh market ke trends ko samajhne aur unhe profit mein tabdeel karne ka ek behtareen mauqa hai. Aapka din acha guzre!**

### EUR/USD Trading Ki Taqreer

Hello sabko!

Aaj main yeh umeed kar raha hoon ke bazaar mein volatility barhne wali hai. Euro/dollar ka jo jorha hai, woh kuch dino se ek tight sideways range mein trade kar raha hai. Is liye, ab waqt aa gaya hai ke yeh breakout kisi bhi taraf ho sakta hai. Chaliye, hum macroeconomic data par bazaar ki rad-e-amal par tawajjo dete hain.

Agar price barhta hai, to mujhe naya short position lene ka sabab mil sakta hai. Aur agar price girta hai, to shayad long position lene ka waqt aa gaya hai. Is waqt, meri nazar ke aage 1.1230 ka level upar hai aur 1.1100 ka level neeche. Filhal, main kisi bhi trade mein nahi hoon. Agar European statistics aaj bazaar ko hila dete hain, to main bazaar mein ghusne ka faisla karunga. Is waqt koi bhi priority nahi hai, isliye market ki rad-e-amal ka intezar karna behtar hoga.

Agar main short position lena chahoon to yeh level 1.1230 se 1.1260 ke darmiyan hoga, aur agar main long position lena chahoon to yeh 1.1100 se 1.1080 ke aas paas hoga. Dekhte hain price pehle kahan jata hai.

EUR/USD ke mustaqbil ki soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, technical picture kuch uncertainty dikhata hai. Trend aalaah tarf hai, lekin neeche banne wale debt levels yeh darust karte hain ke yeh jorha 1.1080 se 1.1070 ke range tak gir sakta hai. Is liye main abhi is jorhe ko kharidne ki jaldi nahi kar raha, kyunki shayad ek aur behtar mauqa samne aaye.

Main sell orders ka bhi ghor kar raha hoon, lekin reasonable risk ke sath, kyunki agar price barhta hai, to mujhe average level se zyada se zyada upar aake add karna padega. Aaj Monday hai, aur yeh ek interesting din ban sakta hai. Warna, main is din kuch harkaat ki umeed kar raha hoon jab ahm statistical data release hota hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Nazariya

Hello sabko!

Main is baat se ittefaq rakhta hoon ke euro/dollar pair ko kharidna jaari rakhein. Kal U.S. Federal Reserve ka jo faisla aaya, woh kisi ko bhi hairaan nahi kar sakta tha. Sirf 0.25% rate cut ki pehli umeed kam samjhi gayi thi. Is liye jo log euro/dollar ko 1.0700 par kharid kar 1.1200 par bech rahe hain, unhone apni position close kar di. Is saal abhi do Fed meetings bachi hain, aur analysts umeed karte hain ke har meeting mein 0.25% ka rate cut hoga.

Is liye, euro/dollar ke liye upward trend kisi bhi bade khatrey ka samna karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke price abhi 1.1120 se 1.1200 aur us se bhi aage barhega. Aap sab ko munafa bhari trading ki dua!

**EUR/USD Price Dynamics ka Jaiza**

Aaj hum live EUR/USD currency pair ki pricing movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Hafte ki shuruaat bina kisi surprise ke hui hai, aur ab tak yeh wahi level par hai. Koi driver zaroori hai taake market mein kuch harkat ho, kam az kam kisi wajah se. Mujhe nahi pata ke aaj Europe aur US mein business activity indices ki publications is tarah ka driver banengi ya nahi. Aakhri Fed meeting ko kafi chaotically kaha ja sakta hai, jahan Jerome Powell ne apne behtareen andaaz mein kuch khas clarity diye baghair baatein ki, jisse financial markets ek din mein 200 points gir gaye. Yeh itna waqt ho gaya hai ke aisa nahi hua, aur mujhe yaad hai ke maine 1.1182-1.1187 ke range se limit order ka zikr kiya tha.

EUR/USD currency pair par Ichimoku indicator apni taqat dikhata hai, jo market ke 1.1158 par hone se zahir hota hai, jo Senkou Span A 1.1139 aur Senkou Span B 1.1128 lines ke levels se upar hai.

Overall, aaj ke liye koi khaas priorities nahi hain. Neeche debt levels hain, aur agar mujhe 1.1230 se bechne ka mauka mile, to yeh behtareen hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ke paas mauka hai ke jaldi se 1.1228 ke northern resistance line tak pohanch sakein, kyunki end tak 1.1289 par nazar rakhni hogi. Main indicators upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur price MA72 trend line se upar hai, jahan volume unloading aksar hoti hai.

Daily period par dekha jaye to lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke upar chadhai ka pressure hai, aur yeh trend tab tak jari rahega jab tak hum appreciation ke liye range se bahar nahi nikalte. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke har decline par support se kharidari karein jab tak hum 1.1047 ke level se upar hain. Agar price girti hai, to main khushi se 1.1085-1.1100 se kharidne ke liye tayyar hoon.

Zyada tar, hamari trading is hafte mein ek range mein chalu rahegi; bas yeh corridor ko kafi widen kiya jayega. Is liye, traders ko market ki movements par nazar rakhni hogi, taake wo apne trading strategies ko behtar bana sakein.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek

Humari guftagu ka mawzu EUR/USD currency pair ki price activity ka tajziya hai. EUR/USD pair weekly chart par sideways hai. Agle hafte yeh pata chalega ke yeh sideways trend barqarar rehta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Aayein agle hafte ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain aur ahm recommendations ko dekhte hain. Moving averages ek strong buy ka signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi buy ka ishara kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar, recommendation yeh hai ke buy kiya jaye. Yeh technical analysis agle hafte mein ek potential upward movement ko zahir karta hai. EUR/USD 1.1231 aur 1.1251 tak barh sakta hai, magar is ke liye zaroori hai ke price weekly margin control zone ke upar (1.1189 ke upar) break kare aur wahan par stable rahe. Us ke baad hi hume mazeed growth ki umeed ho sakti hai. Monthly chart ek bullish trend ka ishara deta hai jo buy level 1.0843 se shuru hota hai, aur higher resistance levels ki taraf growth ka imkaan hai. Is hafte ke ahm news releases par tawajjo dete hain. Euro zone se critical data Monday ko 11:00 baje release hoga, jisme negative forecast hai. Dusri taraf, U.S. se ahm khabar Thursday ko hai, jisme filhaal positive outlook hai. Isko dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke agle hafte sideways movement dominate karegi. Buyers shayad pair ko resistance level 1.1221 ki taraf le jaayein, jabke sellers support level 1.1101 ko target karenge. Is liye ek sideways trading range ka imkaan hai. Yeh agle hafte ke liye ek initial trading plan ke tor par kaam karega. Pichlay hafton mein EUR/USD ke liye market-opening price gaps kam thay, is liye yeh ziada ahmiyat ke qabil nahi rahe. Magar commodities jaise oil aur gas mein, khas tor par weekend ke baad, gaps dekhay ja sakte hain. Main bhi euro/dollar pair ko khareedna continue karne ke idea se mutafiq hoon. Kal U.S. Federal Reserve ki taraf se jo faisla aaya, us mein koi surprise nahi tha. Shuruati expectation ke mutabiq sirf 0.25% ka rate cut tha, jo underestimate kiya gaya. Is liye, jin logon ne euro/dollar pair ko kareeban 1.0700 ke aas paas khareeda tha, unhone apni position 1.1200 ke qareeb band kar di.
Abhi bhi is saal do Fed meetings baaqi hain, aur analysts yeh umeed karte hain ke har meeting mein 0.25% ka rate cut ho sakta hai. Euro/dollar pair ka upward trend kisi bara threat ka samna nahi karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke price 1.1120 ke current level se barh kar 1.1200 aur us se aagay ja sakti hai.

Euro ne Monday ko subah North American trading mein thoda sa rebound kiya, jab ke Asian session ke doran yeh tezi se gir gaya tha. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support provide karta hai, jo ke is market ke liye ek ahem psychological zone hai. T历史 ke mutabiq, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, is liye agar euro ka girna jaari raha, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.

1.10 ka mark pehle bhi aik aham support area raha hai aur agar euro is level ko todta hai, to yeh mazboot bottom ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ka ceiling ka kaam karega. Yeh pair abhi bhi choppy, sideways action ka shikaar hai, aur traders ko in key round numbers par focus karna chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha ho. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market ke asar se chalayee ja rahi hai, in levels ke liye bohat sensitive bana deti hai.

Is ke ilawa, dono European Central Bank aur US Central Bank monetary policy ko ease karne ke marahil mein hain, jo market dynamics ko mazeed complex bana deta hai. Aise mein, euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan clear long-term winner dhundhna mushkil ho gaya hai. Is liye, aik behtar strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke US dollar ki taqat ko measure kiya jaye aur ise doosri currency pairs par apply kiya jaye. Misal ke taur par, agar dollar euro ke khilaf mazboot hota hai, to kisi tez harkat karne wali ya exotic currency ke sath trading karna behtar mauqay faraham kar sakta hai.

Jahan tak EUR/USD pair ka taluq hai, yeh abhi short-term chart analysis ke liye zyada suitable hai, kyunki market volatility aur price level fluctuations aise waqt mein hamesha bane rehte hain. Is waqt traders ko chalaki se kaam karna chahiye aur in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki inke beech ki harkat se trading opportunities mil sakti hain. Euro ke liye, yeh waqt kisi bhi unforeseen movements ke liye tayar rehne ka hai, jabke dollar ki strength ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka girna ab ruk sakta hai aaj ke US CPI inflation data aur Thursday ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate faislay se pehle, chahe is ne haal hi mein mushkilat ka samna kiya ho aur Eurozone ke itnay achay data nahi aaye. US dollar CPI report se pehle thora kamzor ho gaya jab polls ne dikhaya ke Harris ne pehle presidential debate mein Trump ko outperform kiya. EUR/USD ne wapis bounce back kiya jabke usne hafte ka aghaz kamzor surat mein kiya, jab Friday ka dip dekha gaya, lekin US jobs ke kamzor news bhi US dollar ko aur zyada girane ke liye kaafi nahi the.
Haal hi mein EUR/USD kyun mushkilat ka shikar raha?

Is hafte ke economic calendar ke shuruat mein aram ne dollar ko takreeban tamam badi currencies ke khilaf kuch support dila diya, siwaye yen ke, jisne EUR/USD par niche ka dabao dala. Ye Friday ke girawat ke baad hua jab latest US employment data ne Fed ke employment mein kamzori ke khauf ko tasdeeq kiya.

Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur ehtiyat par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi.

Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, khaaskar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziada hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25 basis point ke sath rehna hai.

Is liye, yeh report kafi tawajju hasil kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar numbers expectations se kaafi alag niklay. Inflation chaar mahine tak silsilewar slow hui hai, aur July mein 2.9% year-on-year tak pohanch gayi, jo March 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh mazeed kam hoke 2.6% ho jayegi, jabke core CPI ko 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai year-on-year comparison mein.

ECB ka rate faisla kafi bara hoga. Ab tak, analysts is baat par mutafiq lag rahe hain ke ECB eurozone ki kamzor economy ke jawab mein rate cuts mein taizi nahi karega. June mein 25 basis points cut ke baad, umeed hai ke ECB Thursday ko ek aur aisi cut announce karega.

Aaj ke technical picture par nazar dalain, to 4-hour chart ke qareeb dekhte hain ke pair psychological resistance barrier 1.1100 ke neeche settle ho gaya, jo ke 50-day simple moving average ke qareeb hai aur mazeed strength ko add kar raha hai. Doosri taraf, hum dekhte hain ke 14-day momentum indicator ab bhi positive signals le raha hai, jo aane wale waqt mein ek uptrend ka aghaz support karta hai. Price psychological resistance barrier 1.1100 ke upar stable ho gayi hai, jo ke pair mein short-term izafa ka sabab ban raha hai, jisme targets 1.1130 se shuru ho kar 1.1165 tak ja rahe hain. Iske bar'aks, agar pair 1.1040 ke support ke neeche jaata hai, to isse girawat ke zyada chances hain. Correction ke targets 1.0990 aur 1.0950 hain. Chart ko neeche dekhein:
Pair filhal weekly high ke thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Key support area kafi pressure mein raha aur takreeban toota, lekin aakhri lamhe mein quotes ko wapas kheench liya, jo ke current growth vector ko barqarar rakhta hai. Growth ko jari rakhne ke liye price ko 1.1121 ke upar confidently consolidate karna hoga, jahan main support area ka sarhad hai. Is area ka successful retest aur uske baad rebound ek naye upward move ka mauka dega, jisme target 1.1283 aur 1.1373 ke darmiyan hoga. Jaisa ke hum dekhte hain, instrument trading session ke ikhtitami lamhon mein ek positive outlook ki taraf mudne ki koshish karta hai. Tareekhi tor par, buyers ne Supply Zone ke qareeb 1.114 par break through kiya hai, aur agar bulls Bear Zone ke upar apni position bana sakte hain aur usay barqarar rakhen, to short-term profit targets ke sath buy trades mein entry ka mauka mil sakta Hai aur PPD ke buniyad par market mein shamil hon sakte hain. Ye 1.117 ke resistance level se milta hai, jo daily range ke andar hai. Is surat mein stop order offer area ke neeche hoga. Agar bears ne isay tod diya aur apni jagah bana li to hum sale Agar price pivot level 1.1033 ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel

EUR/USD ka spot price ek significant reversal ka samna kar raha hai, jahan yeh intraday gains ko kho kar 1.1180 ke mark ke upar settle hua hai. Yeh halat Friday ke North American session ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne 1.1190 ka naya weekly high touch kiya. Is recent uptick ke baad, euro ki taqat dheere dheere kam hoti gayi jab ke US Dollar (USD) ne ek mazboot recovery dikhai. Market close hone par, EUR/USD ka trading level 1.163 ke aas-paas tha, jo ke dono currencies ke darmiyan ongoing tug-of-war ka darshak hai.
Is waqt, market ke analysts yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ka pair psychological level 1.1100 ke aas-paas support pa sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ek significant psychological barrier hai, jahan se market ne pehle bhi kaafi support hasil kiya hai. Agar price is level par support le leti hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying opportunity create kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai, jo ke EUR/USD ko neeche ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Upar ki taraf, pichle hafte ka high 1.1192 aur round-number resistance 1.1200 euro bulls ke liye major hurdles ke tor par kaam karenge. Yeh dono levels market ke technical traders ke liye important hain, kyunki in par price action ka bohot asar hota hai. Agar euro in levels ko break karne mein successful hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko barhawa de sakta hai, lekin agar resistance hold hota hai, to euro ka momentum kuch der ke liye ruk sakta hai.

Recent market trends aur economic indicators ki roshni mein, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke USD ne kyun itni strong recovery dikhai. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur inflation ke hawale se ongoing discussions ne market sentiment par asar dala hai. Agar US economy ki performance behtar hoti hai, to USD ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke EUR/USD ko neeche le ja