Eurusd forum

Policy Gaps Continue to Dominate
EUR/USD pair abhi bhi pressure mein hai, aur price kareeb 1.0449 (buy side) aur 1.0448 (sell side) par hai. Federal Reserve ke steady rate hikes aur European Central Bank ki cautious tone ke darmiyan ka fark market sentiment ko shape kar raha hai.

United States mein mazboot economy ki wajah se dollar ki demand barqarar hai. Strong labor market data aur consumer spending trends tight monetary policy ke expectations ko fuel kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, eurozone ko mushkilon ka samna hai. Hal hi ke PMI figures forecasts se kam aaye hain, jo manufacturing aur services ki slow activity ko signal karte hain. Rising energy costs bhi euro ke liye mushkilain barha rahe hain.
Technical Levels Jo Traders Ko Alert Rakhein


EUR/USD ka technical setup abhi bhi indecision ko reflect karta hai. Upside par resistance 1.0480–1.0500 range mein hai. Agar price is range ko tod de, toh ek potential reversal ho sakta hai, lekin pehle ki koshishen fail ho chuki hain. Downside par 1.0440 immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se neeche chala gaya, toh 1.0400 tak ka rasta khul jata hai jo naye selling ko invite karega.

Indicators, jaise 20-day moving average, downward pressure ko dikhate hain, jabke relative strength index suggest karta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono mein se koi bhi mazboot control mein nahi hai.
Aaj Ke Events Jo Market Ko Move Kar Sakte Hain

• Central Bank Discussions: ECB officials ke naye comments closely dekhe ja rahe hain, jo future monetary adjustments ke hints de sakte hain.
• U.S. Economic Reports: Durable goods orders aur personal income par data release agar expectations se better aaye, toh dollar ki strength barh sakti hai.
• Energy Market Impact: Rising energy prices Europe ke liye pressure create kar rahe hain, khaaskar jab winter demand barh rahi hai, jo euro ki outlook ko aur complicate karta hai.

Conclusion:


EUR/USD abhi bhi pressure mein hai, kyunke U.S. dollar strong economic fundamentals aur hawkish Fed expectations ka faida utha raha hai. Wahi, eurozone slow economic activity aur rising energy costs se struggle kar raha hai, jisse euro ko strong base nahi mil raha.

• Upside Potential: Agar price 1.0500 se upar break kar le, toh ye ek reversal signal ho sakta hai, lekin iske liye market sentiment mein significant shift zaroori hai.
• Downside Risks: Agar price 1.0440 se neeche chala gaya, toh 1.0400 ka target sellers ke liye maidan khula kar dega.

Traders ko central bank commentary aur U.S. economic reports ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke ye events EUR/USD pair ke liye agla significant move trigger kar sakte hain. Technical levels, khaaskar 1.0440 (support) aur 1.0500 (resistance), market direction ke liye zaruri insights denge.

EUR/USD ka overall bearish trend tab tak barqaraar rahega jab tak yeh 200-day EMA jo ke 1.0785 par hai ke neeche trade kar raha hai.1-hour timeframe par resistance levels 1.0304, 1.0350, aur 1.0434 par hain, jabke support levels 1.0176, 0.9935, aur 0.9730 ke qareeb hain.Momentum indicators kuch recovery ka izhar karte hain kyunke RSI 70 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai jo upward movement ka signal deta hai.Lekin dosry indicator ka level 38 par hone ka matlab yeh hai ke bearish trend mazboot hota ja raha hai Kal USD ki weakness ki wajah se EUR/USD ne Monday ke lows jo ke 1.0180-1.0175 range mein thay se recover karte hue 1.0300 ka level dobara hasil kiya aur usse upar bhi gaya.Dollar Index bhi low 109.00s tak gir gaya hai jo Monday ke highs 110.00 ke upar tha.Yeh girawat investors ke bechaini ki wajah se hui jo naye US tariffs aur disappointing Producer Price Index data ke hawalay se hai.Abhi markets mein ehtiyaat ka mahaul hai kyunke traders ahem US data jaise ke CPI aur Retail Sales ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo is hafte release hoga.Federal Reserve ke remarks bhi market ke liye bohot ahem hain. December mein strong Nonfarm Payrolls data (+256K) ki wajah se log samajh rahe hain ke Fed sirf 25 basis points ka rate cut karega ya phir rates ko barqaraar rakhega.December 2024 mein Federal Reserve ne apna rate 4.25 percent-4.50 percent tak kam kiya lekin aglay saal ke liye slow easing ka ishara diya. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne press conference mein kaha ke inflation abhi tak expectations se zyada hai aur isko control karne ke liye vigilance zaruri hai.Unhone ye bhi kaha ke labor market soft ho raha hai lekin gradually, jo ke Fed ke dual mandates yani low inflation aur full employment ke saath compatible hai.EUR/USD ka current price action 1.0300 ke upar rahna chahiye agar bulls aage recovery karna chahte hain.Agar price 1.0350 ke level ke upar jaata hai to mazid bullish momentum mil sakta hai lekin agar price 1.0176 ke neeche girta hai to ek nayi bearish wave shuru ho sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaruri hai ke woh upcoming economic data aur Federal Reserve ke comments par focus karein kyunke yeh market ke rukh ko badalne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

EUR/USD ka overall bearish trend tab tak barqaraar rahega jab tak yeh 200-day EMA jo ke 1.0785 par hai ke neeche trade kar raha hai.1-hour timeframe par resistance levels 1.0304, 1.0350, aur 1.0434 par hain, jabke support levels 1.0176, 0.9935, aur 0.9730 ke qareeb hain.Momentum indicators kuch recovery ka izhar karte hain kyunke RSI 70 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai jo upward movement ka signal deta hai.Lekin dosry indicator ka level 38 par hone ka matlab yeh hai ke bearish trend mazboot hota ja raha hai Kal USD ki weakness ki wajah se EUR/USD ne Monday ke lows jo ke 1.0180-1.0175 range mein thay se recover karte hue 1.0300 ka level dobara hasil kiya aur usse upar bhi gaya.Dollar Index bhi low 109.00s tak gir gaya hai jo Monday ke highs 110.00 ke upar tha.Yeh girawat investors ke bechaini ki wajah se hui jo naye US tariffs aur disappointing Producer Price Index data ke hawalay se hai.Abhi markets mein ehtiyaat ka mahaul hai kyunke traders ahem US data jaise ke CPI aur Retail Sales ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo is hafte release hoga.Federal Reserve ke remarks bhi market ke liye bohot ahem hain. December mein strong Nonfarm Payrolls data (+256K) ki wajah se log samajh rahe hain ke Fed sirf 25 basis points ka rate cut karega ya phir rates ko barqaraar rakhega.December 2024 mein Federal Reserve ne apna rate 4.25 percent-4.50 percent tak kam kiya lekin aglay saal ke liye slow easing ka ishara diya. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne press conference mein kaha ke inflation abhi tak expectations se zyada hai aur isko control karne ke liye vigilance zaruri hai.Unhone ye bhi kaha ke labor market soft ho raha hai lekin gradually, jo ke Fed ke dual mandates yani low inflation aur full employment ke saath compatible hai.EUR/USD ka current price action 1.0300 ke upar rahna chahiye agar bulls aage recovery karna chahte hain.Agar price 1.0350 ke level ke upar jaata hai to mazid bullish momentum mil sakta hai lekin agar price 1.0176 ke neeche girta hai to ek nayi bearish wave shuru ho sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaruri hai ke woh upcoming economic data aur Federal Reserve ke comments par focus karein kyunke yeh market ke rukh ko badalne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

جنوری 21 2025 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی
ڈونلڈ ٹرمپ کے افتتاح کے دن، یہ اعلان کیا گیا تھا کہ نئی انتظامیہ مستقبل قریب میں "عالمی" تجارتی محصولات متعارف نہیں کرے گی۔ اس اعلان سے بازاروں میں امید کی فضا پیدا ہو گئی۔ تاہم، یو ایس ڈالر انڈیکس میں 1.26 فیصد کمی ہوئی، جبکہ یورو سٹوکس 50 میں 0.32 فیصد اضافہ ہوا۔

امید کے باوجود، صورت حال حد سے زیادہ سادہ ہو سکتی ہے، کیونکہ مختلف اسٹریٹجک اشیا، جیسے کہ آٹوموبائلز پر محصولات جلد ہی لاگو ہونے کی امید ہے۔ ان محصولات کی حد اور اثر، خاص طور پر چین کے خلاف، زیادہ تر چین کی بات چیت کے لیے آمادگی پر منحصر ہوگا۔

مزید برآں، سرمایہ کار اس سال فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح میں تین کمی کی توقع کر رہے ہیں۔ یہ توقع نہ صرف کم افراط زر کے امکانات بلکہ تجارتی جنگوں کے ممکنہ ابھرنے سے بھی کارفرما ہے۔

ایسا لگتا ہے کہ بڑے کھلاڑی اس صورت حال کا فائدہ اٹھاتے ہوئے درمیانے درجے کے ڈالر کے خریداروں کو مارکیٹ سے باہر دھکیل رہے ہیں۔ رپورٹس بتاتی ہیں کہ بڑے سٹہ بازوں نے 2019 کے بعد سے ریکارڈ طویل ڈالر کی پوزیشن حاصل کی ہے۔ ایک بار جب ان کی پوزیشن ختم ہو جائے گی، توقع ہے کہ ڈالر درمیانی مدت میں مضبوط ہوتا رہے گا۔

تاہم، cftc ڈیٹا بتاتا ہے کہ ان ریکارڈ پوزیشنز کے بارے میں دعوے گمراہ کن ہو سکتے ہیں۔ 2020 کے آغاز میں پوزیشنیں بڑی تھیں۔ اور پھر، واقعی مارکیٹ میں اوپر کی طرف تبدیلی (مئی میں) تھی، لیکن اس صورتحال کا تعلق وبائی امراض اور مقداری نرمی سے تھا۔ فی الحال، یہ بڑی پوزیشنیں نمایاں قیاس آرائیوں کے بغیر یورو کو مزید نیچے کی طرف دھکیل سکتی ہیں۔

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ہم اپنے نقطہ نظر کو برقرار رکھتے ہیں: روزانہ چارٹ پر، یورو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر مزاحمت تک پہنچ گیا ہے اور آج اس میں کمی آنا شروع ہو گئی ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.0350 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.0135 پر پہلے ہدف کی طرف بڑھنے کی راہ ہموار کرے گی۔ زیادہ اہم حرکت کے لیے، قیمت ایک دن کے لیے سپورٹ لیول سے اوپر رہ سکتی ہے، مارلن آسیلیٹر کے منفی علاقے میں منتقل ہونے کے انتظار میں۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، نگرانی کے لیے دو اہم سپورٹ لیولز ہیں: 1.0350 لیول اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن 1.0283 پر۔ ریچھوں کو مکمل کنٹرول حاصل کرنے کے لیے، قیمت کو ان دونوں سپورٹ لیولز کو توڑنا چاہیے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ka overall bearish trend us waqt tak barqarar rahega jab tak ye 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt 1.0785 par mojood hai. Ye technical indicator ek aham resistance level hai, jo is baat ki nishani deta hai ke agar pair is level ko paar nahi kar pata, to upward momentum ka hona mushkil hai.

Key Resistance aur Support Levels

1-hour timeframe mein jo resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain wo hain: 1.0304, 1.0350, aur 1.0434. Dusri taraf, significant support levels hain: 1.0176, 0.9935, aur 0.9730. In levels ko traders ke liye nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye potential reversal points ya current trend ke continuation ko signal karte hain.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum indicators abhi recovery ke asaar dikhate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark ke qareeb hai, jo aam tor par ek potential upward movement ka signal hota hai. Magar ek aur momentum indicator 38 par position mein hai, jo ye batata hai ke bearish trend abhi mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Ye divergence ye dikhata hai ke short-term bullish movement ho sakta hai, lekin overall bearish sentiment abhi bhi intact hai.

Recent Price Action aur Market Sentiment

Pichle din, EUR/USD pair ne apne lows (1.0180-1.0175 range) se recover karte hue 1.0300 level tak pohanch gaya, aur isay bhi paar kar gaya. Ye recovery us waqt hui jab U.S. dollar weak hua, jo Monday ke highs (110.00+) se neeche aate hue low 109.00s tak aa gaya. Iska sabab investor anxiety thi jo naye U.S. tariffs aur disappointing Producer Price Index (PPI) data ki wajah se hui.

Filhal market environment cautious hai, kyunki traders important U.S. economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jisme Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Retail Sales figures shamil hain, jo is hafta release hongi. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke bayanaat bhi market sentiment par aham asar dalenge.

Federal Reserve Insights

December mein strong Nonfarm Payrolls data (+256K) ki wajah se market participants ka khayal hai ke Federal Reserve sirf 25 basis point rate cut karega ya phir existing rates ko barqarar rakhega. Fed ne indicate kiya hai ke rates December 2024 tak 4.25% aur 4.50% ke darmiyan reh sakte hain, jo aglay saal ke liye ek slow easing process ki taraf ishara karta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne emphasize kiya ke inflation abhi bhi expectations se zyada hai aur isay control karne ke liye vigilance zaroori hai. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke labor market dheere dheere soft ho raha hai, jo Fed ke dual mandate ke saath align karta hai (low inflation aur full employment).

Traders ke Liye Key Levels

EUR/USD ke liye bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhna tabhi mumkin hai jab price 1.0300 level ke upar rahe. Agar ye 1.0350 level ko paar kar le, to mazeed bullish momentum expect kiya ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.0176 ke neeche chali jaye, to ek nayi bearish wave ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Traders ko upcoming economic data aur Federal Reserve ke bayanaat par focus rakhna chahiye, kyunki ye market ke direction ka taayun karenge.

Policy Gaps Continue to Dominate
EUR/USD pair abhi bhi pressure mein hai, aur price kareeb 1.0449 (buy side) aur 1.0448 (sell side) par hai. Federal Reserve ke steady rate hikes aur European Central Bank ki cautious tone ke darmiyan ka fark market sentiment ko shape kar raha hai.

United States mein mazboot economy ki wajah se dollar ki demand barqarar hai. Strong labor market data aur consumer spending trends tight monetary policy ke expectations ko fuel kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, eurozone ko mushkilon ka samna hai. Hal hi ke PMI figures forecasts se kam aaye hain, jo manufacturing aur services ki slow activity ko signal karte hain. Rising energy costs bhi euro ke liye mushkilain barha rahe hain.
Technical Levels Jo Traders Ko Alert Rakhein


EUR/USD ka technical setup abhi bhi indecision ko reflect karta hai. Upside par resistance 1.0480–1.0500 range mein hai. Agar price is range ko tod de, toh ek potential reversal ho sakta hai, lekin pehle ki koshishen fail ho chuki hain. Downside par 1.0440 immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level se neeche chala gaya, toh 1.0400 tak ka rasta khul jata hai jo naye selling ko invite karega.

Indicators, jaise 20-day moving average, downward pressure ko dikhate hain, jabke relative strength index suggest karta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono mein se koi bhi mazboot control mein nahi hai.
Aaj Ke Events Jo Market Ko Move Kar Sakte Hain
Central Bank Discussions: ECB officials ke naye comments closely dekhe ja rahe hain, jo future monetary adjustments ke hints de sakte hain.
U.S. Economic Reports: Durable goods orders aur personal income par data release agar expectations se better aaye, toh dollar ki strength barh sakti hai.
Energy Market Impact: Rising energy prices Europe ke liye pressure create kar rahe hain, khaaskar jab winter demand barh rahi hai, jo euro ki outlook ko aur complicate karta hai.
Conclusion:


EUR/USD abhi bhi pressure mein hai, kyunke U.S. dollar strong economic fundamentals aur hawkish Fed expectations ka faida utha raha hai. Wahi, eurozone slow economic activity aur rising energy costs se struggle kar raha hai, jisse euro ko strong base nahi mil raha.
Upside Potential: Agar price 1.0500 se upar break kar le, toh ye ek reversal signal ho sakta hai, lekin iske liye market sentiment mein significant shift zaroori hai.
Downside Risks: Agar price 1.0440 se neeche chala gaya, toh 1.0400 ka target sellers ke liye maidan khula kar dega.

Traders ko central bank commentary aur U.S. economic reports ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke ye events EUR/USD pair ke liye agla significant move trigger kar sakte hain. Technical levels, khaaskar 1.0440 (support) aur 1.0500 (resistance), market direction ke liye zaruri insights denge.

tak kamai karain. H4 time frame ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price movement downward trend mein hai aur correction phase apna retracement complete kar chuka hai.Price ne upward correction ke dauran fibo 50 level aur fibo level 61.8 1.0338 ke zones ko touch kiya hatta ke fibo level 70.5 1 ke kareeb bhi pohanch gaya tha.Lekin ab price EMA 50 aur fibo 38.2 level ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo downward rally ke continuation ka signal de raha hai.Structural pattern abhi bhi lower low aur lower high ka hai jo bearish momentum ko support karta hai.Price ne 1.0355 ke high par ruk kar lower high ka structure banaya tha aur ab ek naya lower low banne ka potential hai.Stochastic indicator ka analysis confirm karta hai ke price decline ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai.Parameters level 50 ke neeche hain jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi active hai aur price oversold zone tak nahi pohancha hai.Yeh signal karta hai ke price downward movement mein abhi saturation point tak nahi pohancha aur selling momentum abhi baqi hai.Yeh bearish structure ke continuation ka mazboot indicator hai.Agar entry setup ki baat karein to bearish trend abhi strong hai aur EMA 200 aur fibo level 38.2 level ke neeche sell entry lena ek acha option ho sakta hai.Take profit ka target 1.0179 ho sakta hai jab ke stop loss fibo level 61.8 level par set karna safe hoga.Stochastic indicator ka level 50 ke neeche hona initial confirmation deta hai jo price decline ke liye signal hai.Agar Stochastic oversold zone ke kareeb pohanchta hai to market ke liye ek aur significant move ka signal mil sakta hai. Yeh sab indicators yeh dikhate hain ke downward rally ke continuation ka potential hai aur consolidation ke baad price aur neeche ja sakta hai.Market conditions ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake behtareen trading opportunities identify kija sakein.n

EUR/USD ka overall bearish trend us waqt tak barqarar rahega jab tak ye 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo is waqt 1.0785 par mojood hai. Ye technical indicator ek aham resistance level hai, jo is baat ki nishani deta hai ke agar pair is level ko paar nahi kar pata, to upward momentum ka hona mushkil hai.
Key Resistance aur Support Levels

1-hour timeframe mein jo resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain wo hain: 1.0304, 1.0350, aur 1.0434. Dusri taraf, significant support levels hain: 1.0176, 0.9935, aur 0.9730. In levels ko traders ke liye nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye potential reversal points ya current trend ke continuation ko signal karte hain.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum indicators abhi recovery ke asaar dikhate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark ke qareeb hai, jo aam tor par ek potential upward movement ka signal hota hai. Magar ek aur momentum indicator 38 par position mein hai, jo ye batata hai ke bearish trend abhi mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Ye divergence ye dikhata hai ke short-term bullish movement ho sakta hai, lekin overall bearish sentiment abhi bhi intact hai.

Recent Price Action aur Market Sentiment

Pichle din, EUR/USD pair ne apne lows (1.0180-1.0175 range) se recover karte hue 1.0300 level tak pohanch gaya, aur isay bhi paar kar gaya. Ye recovery us waqt hui jab U.S. dollar weak hua, jo Monday ke highs (110.00+) se neeche aate hue low 109.00s tak aa gaya. Iska sabab investor anxiety thi jo naye U.S. tariffs aur disappointing Producer Price Index (PPI) data ki wajah se hui.

Filhal market environment cautious hai, kyunki traders important U.S. economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jisme Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Retail Sales figures shamil hain, jo is hafta release hongi. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke bayanaat bhi market sentiment par aham asar dalenge.

Federal Reserve Insights

December mein strong Nonfarm Payrolls data (+256K) ki wajah se market participants ka khayal hai ke Federal Reserve sirf 25 basis point rate cut karega ya phir existing rates ko barqarar rakhega. Fed ne indicate kiya hai ke rates December 2024 tak 4.25% aur 4.50% ke darmiyan reh sakte hain, jo aglay saal ke liye ek slow easing process ki taraf ishara karta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne emphasize kiya ke inflation abhi bhi expectations se zyada hai aur isay control karne ke liye vigilance zaroori hai. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke labor market dheere dheere soft ho raha hai, jo Fed ke dual mandate ke saath align karta hai (low inflation aur full employment).

Traders ke Liye Key Levels

EUR/USD ke liye bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhna tabhi mumkin hai jab price 1.0300 level ke upar rahe. Agar ye 1.0350 level ko paar kar le, to mazeed bullish momentum expect kiya ja sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.0176 ke neeche chali jaye, to ek nayi bearish wave ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Traders ko upcoming economic data aur Federal Reserve ke bayanaat par focus rakhna chahiye, kyunki ye market ke direction ka taayun karenge.