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EUR/USD D1 chart
Euro ne Tuesday ko US dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki, jo ke US dollar ki purchasing pressure mein kami ki wajah se hua. Chaahe ek chhoti si pullback hui ho, magar nayi market risk appetite ne euro ko pichle kuch hafton ke aala level tak pohncha diya. Lekin, euro 1.1200 level ke neeche hi raha, jahan US dollar bulls ki taraf se resistance ka samna tha. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki pichle Jumme ko Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein shanasaai ne September mein interest rate cut ke intezaar ko mazid barha diya, jis se euro ki attraction mein izafa hua. Jab ke euro front par zyada economic events nahi the, traders ne Federal Reserve ke Governor Christopher Waller ke letters aur European Union ke euro group meeting par zyada tawajju di. US GDP ke liye doosri quarter mein 2.8% ki annual basis par wohi pehle wali rate rehne ki umeed thi. Magar is hafte ka primary focus July ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data par tha. Market ke participants eagerly umeed lagaaye baithe the ke inflation data expectations se kam aayega, jo ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar data expectations se zyada hota hai, toh market mein dobara se volatility aa sakti hai.

EUR/USD pair ki price ab bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar stable chal rahi hai jo ke ek Uptrend market situation ko darsha rahi hai. Pichle hafte market ke halaat upward trend ke saath the jo ke pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke mutabiq the. Mahine ke shuruat mein price increase ne candlestick ko 1.1202 ke position tak pohcha diya. Is mahine ka price increase kaafi zyada lagta hai, lekin trading session ke last night mein ye barhawa continue nahi ho saka kyun ke market mein correction ho rahi thi. Aaj subah tak price uptrend zone mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Tuesday raat ko price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha tha magar weekly price opening ko cross nahi kar saka. Magar, raat ke increase ke saath price ke mazeed ooper jaane ki umeed aur chance barh jata hai kyun ke correction ka momentum, jo aam tor par bullish trend ko lamba karta hai, uss se madad milti hai. Aaj tak price ki journey monthly opening price zone se door chal rahi hai jo ke 1.0824 ke position par thi. Mere khayal mein, ho sakta hai ke candlestick ab bhi upar move karna chahti hai jaise pichle hafte ka market trend tha. EUR/USD pair mein market situation ab active hoti nazar aa rahi hai, halan ke buyers ki efforts price ko barhane ke liye abhi tak itni strong nahi hain. Ho sakta hai ke market jab American session mein aayega toh koi mukhtalif situation samne aaye. Is hafte ke trading mein achi opportunities dhoondhne ke liye yeh trading reference diya jaa raha hai ke jab bullish direction ka continuation mazid strong hota nazar aaye, toh market dobara se uptrend mein aa sakta hai. Uptrend ka confirmation tab dekhne ko milta hai jab candlestick dobara se barh kar price zone 1.1201 ke upar chalne lagti hai. Mere khayal mein is condition mein Buy position dhoondhna kaafi acha chance lagta hai.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb taqat dikha raha hai FOMC minutes ke announcement se pehle July ki monetary policy meeting ka. Fed ne July mein interest rates ko steady rakha eighth time in a row, lekin Jerome Powell ne cuts ke discussions ko acknowledge kiya. ECB September mein policy-easing cycle ko resume karne ki expectation hai.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb hovers kar raha hai Wednesday ki European session mein, jo is saal ka highest level hai. Major currency pair 2024 ke highs 1.1140 ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabki US Dollar (USD) growing optimism ke beech mein pressure mein hai Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts ke September mein.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, fresh seven-month low ke qareeb 101.30 par hovers kar raha hai. Consistently easing United States (US) inflationary pressures aur cooling labor market conditions ne investors ko convince kiya hai ki Fed September mein interest rates ko reduce karega. Lekin traders split hain ki yeh first interest rate reduction jumbo ya gradual hoga.

CME FedWatch tool shows ki 50-basis-point (bps) interest-rate cut ki likelihood 30.5% hai. Rest expects more nuanced 25-basis-point cut. Wednesday ki session mein, investors FOMC minutes ke July policy meeting par focus karenge, jo 18:00 GMT par publish honge. July meeting mein, Fed ne key borrowing rates ko unchanged chhoda range 5.25%-5.50% mein eighth straight time. Fed ne acknowledge kiya ki scope of risks ne widened hai dual mandate (inflation aur employment) ke dono aspects mein.

Is week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein - jo Thursday se Saturday tak hold hogi - major event hogi, jo fresh cues provide karegi rate cuts ke September mein. July ki monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum inflation ko moving down more or less in line with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong, aur labor market remains consistent with current conditions, to main think ki rate cut September meeting mein table par ho sakta hai.”




EUR/USD saal ki high 1.1140 ko approach kar raha hai FOMC minutes ke release se pehle. Major currency pair ne daily time frame par channel formation ka breakout ke baad strengthen kiya. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.0970 aur 1.0900 par, respectively, suggest ki broad trend bullish hai

EUR/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Aaj ke conversation ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hai. Filhal, EUR/USD pair ek corrective movement ke andar hai jo ongoing local uptrend mein chal raha hai. Price ne ek downward shift show kiya, jiske baad ek naya block order accumulate ho gaya, jo lower levels par solidify ho raha hai. Ye formation yeh indicate karta hai ke decline ka silsila jari rehne ke imkaanaat hain, aur aaj intraday trading mein short position enter karna sabse behtar lagta hai. Hum ne ek limit order set kiya hai sell karne ke liye newly formed block order ke retest par 1.1164 par. Trading algorithm ke rules ke mutabiq, stop loss kal ke high par lagaya gaya hai. Khaas baat yeh hai ke kal ka high ab tak establish nahi hua, jo indicate karta hai ke correction ka process abhi chal raha hai. Order open karne ke baad, ek decline ka intezar hai jo kam az kam pehle support level 1.1029 tak aasakta hai. Take profit abhi open rakha gaya hai, kyun ke price ka reaction support test ke dauran observe karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ne ek buhat bara increase experience karne ke baad, phir se decline kiya hai. Kal EUR/USD ka girawat us waqt shuru hui jab candle 1.1163 par pohonchi aur ab EUR/USD ka position 1.1164 par hai, jo lagbhag 40 pips ka girawat dikhata hai. Girawat ka sabab yeh hai ke candle ab tak supply area 1.1221 par penetrate nahi kar saka. Is wajah se wahan ek retracement nazar ayi hai. Agar H1 timeframe (1.1252) se analyze kiya jaye, to chahay EUR/USD ka movement gire hai, lekin candle abhi bhi 1.1164 par resistance ke upar move kar raha hai, jo is position mein EUR/USD ke dobara rise hone ka imkaan rakhta hai. Masla yeh hai ke wahan RBS pattern form hua hai jo EUR/USD ke rise hone ke liye buhat suitable hai. Lekin candle ab tak supply area 1.1221 ko penetrate nahi kar saka, is liye meri prediction hai ke EUR/USD ke girne ka chance abhi bhi hai. Behtar yeh hai ke RBS area ka breakdown ka intezar kiya jaye takay mazeed confidence ke sath decision liya ja sake. EUR/USD ka agla target support area 1.1104 tak touch karne ka imkaan hai.

EUR/USD rate ka analysis kafi interesting hai. Abhi jo aapne chart mein dekha, usse yeh maloom hota hai ke yeh pair 1.1100 ke neeche tight range mein trade kar raha hai aur week ko negative territory mein end karne ke liye on track hai. Aaj subah US ki monthly inflation data market expectations ke mutabiq aayi, lekin iska market par koi khas asar nahi hua. Pichle trading week mein EUR/USD pair ne downward correction dikhayi, jo ke expected thi, aur market ke liye zaroori bhi thi. Short-term mein yeh pair kaafi stable nazar aa raha hai kyunki 50 simple moving average upar ja raha hai. Corrective decline ki wajah se sellers apni pehle wali positions recover karne mein kamiyab ho gaye hain. Market close hone par quotes exactly support level 1.1048 par the.

Aapka ye maanna sahi hai ke shayad ab is pair ka illogical growth khatam ho gaya hai aur hum safely south side trade kar sakte hain. Technical analysis bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke pair gir sakta hai, aur fundamental analysis bhi is baat ko support karta hai. Pair ne successfully correction karke 1.1000 - 1.1050 ke psychological level ke upper boundary ko break kar diya hai. Medium term mein yeh theek rahega ke sideways trend khatam hone ke baad northern trend ke continuation par focus kiya jaye, kyunki jab tak 1.1275 ka resistance break nahi hota, sideways trend jari rehega. Lekin lagta hai ke hum is sideways trend ke breakout ke qareeb hain. Agar hum 1.1275 ka high break karte hain, toh 200+ points ka aur growth ka option samne aa sakta hai. Is possible option ko dekhte hue, northern trend ke continuation par focus theek hai, jab ke south side sirf correction ke liye hoga; ab yeh dekhna hai ke price kitna neeche jata hai, yeh sab facts par depend karega.

Market Overview

EURUSD pair current mein H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels

Immediate Support: 1.1142 - Ye level past mein strong support ka kaam kiya hai aur potential entry point ke liye retested ho sakta hai agar temporary pullback hota hai.

Strong Support: 1.1070 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur potential bullish reversals ke liye significant level ho sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1210 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke wajah se, ye soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1210 ke upar clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): Currently 75.75 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye is level par hovering hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.1142 - Ye level potential order block ke liye long positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1210 - Ye level potential order block ke liye short positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bearish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: Potential buy entry 1.1142 support level par consider ki ja sakti hai agar price pullback hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern forma, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate karega.





Additional Considerations

EURUSD pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions par focus karna chahiye proper risk management ke saath. RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye monitor karna essential hai. Sath hi, order blocks ko potential trading opportunities ke liye monitor karna chahiye.

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko apne haaliye izafat ko trim kiya, aur saal ke naye highs par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf aaya hai. Yeh broad-market ki tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan par hai, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko upar tak pohanchaye rakha hai. Trading week ke darmiyani hisson mein maashi calendar mein kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin Thursday ko Amreeki GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ke figures ka update aayega, jis par sab ki nazar rahegi. Yahan bhi kuch zyada harkat ki tawaqqo nahi hai kyun ke markets ne aam tor par Q2 ke annualized GDP growth ko lagbhag 2.8% par stable hone ke liye price-in kiya hua hai.

Friday ka data docket bhi markets ke liye boredom ki soorat-e-haal paida kar sakta hai, jab ke Europe mein subah subah pan-EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ke naye figures aayenge. Tawakkho hai ke core EU HICP inflation har maidan mein girawat dekha rahi hai, aur August mein YoY 2.8% par chaapne ki umeed hai, jab ke pichlay chaapne mein yeh 2.9% tha.

EUR/USD ne 1.1107 par maujood aham Fibo support se wapas uthaan li hai, jaisay ke US Dollar ke bechne mein nayi lehar dekhi ja rahi hai. Risk aversion aur German inflation aur US GDP se pehle ki pareshani is pair ke izafa ko mahdoob kar sakti hai.

Rozana technical setup nazdeek mustaqbil ke liye EUR/USD ke liye mazboot nazar aata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ki subah wapas green zone mein dastak di hai, Wednesday ki sakht sell-off ka kuch hissa reverse karte hue. Lekin aagay ki taraf izafa mushkil nazar aata hai agar risk aversion barhta hai aur US Dollar (USD) ki safe-haven demand ko dobara zinda karta hai.

Markets ehtiyaat ke saath trade kar rahe hain, Nvidia, jo ke ek Amreeki AI giant hai, ke disappointing sales forecast ke baad aur is haftay ke top-tier economic data ke jaari honay ki

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj United States aur Canada me wafaqi chutti hai, lehaza mujhe der ke karobar me kisi mazbut movement ki ummid nahin hai. Kal ke macroeconomic calendar me August ke liye ISM Manufacturing PMI data shamil hai, jo mumkena taur par zahir karega keh America takniki taur par pahle hi mandi me hai. Agle chand karobari sessions ke liye euro/dollar ke jode ka scenario kafi ajib lag raha hai. 1.1337 ki satah ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, mujhe lagta hai keh yah kharidaron ko dhoka dene ke liye ek ghalat hadaf hai kiyunkeh options se koi tasdiq nahin hai. Budh ko euro/dollar jode ke bulandtarin satah 1.111 tak pahunchne ka imkan hai. Kisi khatre ki surat me qimat is muzahmati satah tak badh sakti hai, lekin iski mazid tezi ka imkan nahin hai. Mahan contract level ab bhi 1.0931 par hai, jahan qimat ke mandi ke eqdam ke taur par badhne ki ummid hai.

Monthly trading period ke liye market conditions ko bullish monitor kiya gaya hai. Yeh analysis 4-hour timeframe par moving average indicator ko refer karta hai, jahan trend abhi bhi bullish hai, aur indicator ka slope upar ki taraf point karna shuru ho gaya hai. Price ke paas dobara rise karne ka moka hai aur Uptrend ko continue karne ka bhi. Buyers ke paas upward momentum ko maintain karne ya market ko kal tak dominate karne ka moka hai. EurUsd chart par, ek bullish travel pattern ko monitor kiya gaya hai jo pichlay hafte ke trading period se shuru hua tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyer shayad 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamyab ho sakta hai. Pichlay hafte ka market trend abhi bhi bullish tha, aur is haftay bhi lagta hai ke buyers apni koshish mein kamyab rahe hain aur market ko control kar rahe hain. Pichlay hafte ke bullish market situation se li gayi technical analysis ke mutabiq, is haftay ka izafa bhi aglay dino mein trend par asar daal sakta hai, is liye meri rai mein shayad bullish trend is haftay ke akhir tak continue rahe. Lekin agar price ko aur upar jana hai, to buyers ko 1.1202 ke price zone ko break karne ke liye struggle karna hoga. Technically, trading plans ke liye market mein Buy position open karna behtar lagta hai jab tak price 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar chal rahi hai.
Kyunkay buyer sellers ki koshish ko nakaam bana sakte hain jo price ko lower zone mein le jana chahte hain, aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ko higher price zone par le jane ki koshish ho rahi hai. Candlestick ka position pichlay haftay ke highest area ke kareeb hai, meri rai mein yeh indication hai ke market ke paas izafa continue karne ka moka hai. Shakhsan, main umeed kar raha hoon ke market dobara upar jaye aur apna bullish safar jari rakhe. Aise mauqe par, technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq Buy position par focus karna comfortable lagta hai

EUR/USD ne recent downward trend se ek temporary respite experience kiya, aur early Asian trade mein 1.1080 ke aas-paas trade kiya. Lekin, pair ke upside potential abhi bhi limited hai kyunki investors eurozone aur United States se key economic data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain. US GDP data ke second quarter ke release ne US dollar ko support diya. Data ne dikhaya ke US economy 3.0% ke faster-than-expected pace se grow hui hai, jo recession ke avert hone ka indication hai. Yeh development Federal Reserve ke September mein zyada aggressive rate cut ke expectations ko dampen karti hai, jisse US dollar ko boost mila. Financial markets currently 25 basis point rate cut ki pricing kar rahe hain September ke liye, lekin GDP data ke baad further cuts ki probability thodi decline hui hai. CME FedWatch data ab 34% additional rate cuts ki probability dikhata hai, jo ke GDP release ke pehle 36.5% thi. Is meanwhile, Germany aur Spain se inflation data ne August mein cooling price pressures ke signs reveal kiye. Yeh development European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential rate cut aur euro ke weakening ki expectations ko raise karti hai. Carsten Brzeski, ING ke global head of macroeconomics, ne ECB ke prospects ke baare mein optimism express kiya, noting ke slowing economy aur inflation rate cut ke liye ideal environment provide karti hai. Lekin, unhone caution bhi kiya ke services inflation abhi bhi ek concern hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ki early European session mein kareeb 1.1055 par mild gains ke sath trade kar rahi hai, jo pichle teen dinon ki losing streak ko tod rahi hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish stance ne Greenback ko undermine kiya hai, jis se EUR/USD ko kuch support mila hai. Financial markets ab yeh price kar rahe hain ke September mein Fed se 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ke nearly 70% chances hain, jab ke 50bps reduction ke chances 30% hain, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Tawajjo ab US Employment data ki taraf shift hogi jo Friday ko aane wali hai, September mein rate cuts ke bare mein mazeed insights ke liye.Technically, EUR/USD ka bullish outlook abhi bhi intact hai kyun ke major pair daily timeframe par key 100-day EMA se upar hold kar raha hai. Is ke bawajood, further consolidation ko rule out nahi kiya ja sakta kyun ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke kareeb hover kar raha hai, jo trend ke neutral momentum ko suggest karta hai.

Major pair ki immediate resistance level 1.1185 par emerge hoti hai, jo 28 August ka high hai. Is se further north, agla hurdle 1.1230 par Bollinger Band ke upper boundary par dekhne ko milta hai. Agar is level se decisive break ho jata hai, toh rally 1.1275 tak dekhi ja sakti hai, jo 18 July ka high hai.Bearish scenario mein, potential downside support level 1.1000 ke psychological mark par located hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh drop 1.0950 tak dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo 15 August ka low hai. Additional downside filter dekhne ke liye 100-day EMA par 1.0893 hai, is ke baad Bollinger Band ki lower limit 1.0863 par.

Daily timeframe par switching karte hue, EUR/USD ek intriguing setup present karta hai, halaan ke yeh hamesha ki tarah interpret karne mein thoda complex hai. Ek zigzag pattern upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, apne Fibonacci expansion target 1.1124 par hit kar raha hai. Higher break karne ki notable koshish hui thi, aur briefly successful bhi hui. Lekin, price wapas 1.1124 par return hui aur Friday ko 1.10 range ke midpoint ke kareeb end hui, jo bilkul moving average par thi. Yeh average aane wali declines ke liye initial barrier ka kaam karta hai; yahaan se, growth ke resumption ka mumkin hai. Agar targets lower set karein, toh level of 1.0946 consider karein—July zigzag ka peak. Is se thoda upar, 1.0984 par ek significant horizontal level hai. Agar koi northern retracement nahi hoti, toh selling options kam viable hoti hain. Mein sirf apne landmarks ke kareeb se buying consider karne ka plan kar raha hoon

Humari discussion mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka analysis karenge. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair ke liye, humne kal dono directions mein significant activity observe ki, jisme notable downward move U.S. session ke qareeb dekha gaya. H4 par weekly pivot levels ke mutabiq ek critical development hui—hum ne weekly pivot line 1.10753 ke neeche break kiya, jo bearish stance ki taraf shift ko signal karta hai. Is ke nateeje mein, yeh setup ne H4 par pair ko sell karne ke mauke khole, jahan Ichimoku indicator ne bhi bearish "Dead Cross" ko confirm kiya. Is ka matlab hai ke jab weekly pivot levels H4 par kal phir se recalculate honge, sales open rahengi. Ek strategic approach yeh hogi ke pivot se neeche se retest par sell kiya jaye.
Filhal, pehla sales target 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.10937 hai, aur jab weekly pivot levels adjust ho jayenge, toh downside target mazeed refine kiya ja sakta hai. Single European currency ne naye haftay ke pehle trading hours mein 1.1050 level ke thoda upar trade kar rahi hai jab ke woh pichle teen dinon ke losses ko recoup karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Jab European currency ne 1.12 level ko touch kiya, jo ke chand mahine mein sabse highest level tha, toh mazeed growth par sawaal uthne lage aur US currency dobara forefront par aayi. Yeh development mere pehle ke articles mein diye gaye khayalaat ko poori tarah confirm karta hai, kyun ke mujhe European currency ke mazeed strong rise ki ability par serious shakk tha, jab ke American currency ke favor mein 1.12 par position lena ek bohat acha idea tha. Bilkul, mein yaad dilaata hoon ke Friday ko, jo ke hafta ka aakhri din tha, lekin saath hi bohat rich agenda bhi tha critical macroeconomic statements ke sath, maine US currency ke against gains ko lock karne aur waiting position mein rehne ko tarjeeh di.

Exchange rate ke development ko influence karne wala main catalyst Fed aur ECB ke interest rate cuts ki prospect hai. Filhal, sab se bara bet yeh hai ke Fed September mein key interest rates ko 25 basis points se cut karne ki possibility hai, jo interest rate gap ko US currency ke favor mein narrow kar sakta hai, lekin eliminate nahi karega.

US economy ke development ke positive data jo pichle Thursday ko announce hue the, unhone US labor sector ke disappointing data se bounce ko balance kiya. Hafta ke end mein, US labor sector ke naye data ke sath Non-Farm Payrolls announce hone hain aur saath hi unemployment rate, jo markets mein mazeed strong volatility cause kar sakte hain aur US dollar mein gains ke liye mazeed room provide kar sakte hain ya recent recovery ko challenge kar sakte hain. Aaj ka schedule relatively lean hai, jo limited volatility scenario ko support kar sakta hai jahan koi bade bets table par nahi hain.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah dekhte hue keh Peer ka macroeconomic calendar kisi bhi aham khabar ki release se khali hai, jiska market ke jazbat par buda asar pad sakta hai, aaj ki tejarati sargarmi ke mand rahne ka imkan hai.
Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ke jode me kami jari rahegi. Fibonacci grid ki buniyad par, qimat 61.8% Fibonacci level (1.1079) par wapas aane ka imkan hai, jahan short positions kholna danismandi hogi. Halankeh, yah scenario sirf tezi ke mamle me hi mumkin hai. Kisi bhi tarah se, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh European currency 1.1004 ke ilaqe me gir jayegi, jo support ke taur par kam karta hai.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar me girawat jari hai. Aaj, European currency pahle hi ek nayi muqami kamtarin satah par pahunch chuki hai, jis se zahir hota hai keh market ke jazbat badal rahe hain. Kam utar-chadhaw ke bawajud, iska matlab bearisg reversal ho sakta hai. Bahut kuch market ki mazid harkiyat par munhasar hoga. Aakhir kar, aaj America me chutti hai. Suratehal ghair yaqini hai, kiyunkeh koi fauri hadaf nahin hai. Iske bawajud, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi kam hogi. Agar qimat dobara 1.1125 ki satah se ooper badhti hai to, mai short positions kholunga.

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Leki momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai