Eurusd forum

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

ستمبر 2 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ سے ذاتی کھپت کے اخراجات (پی. سی. ای.) اور ذاتی آمدنی/خرچوں پر امریکی اعداد و شمار کے اجراء کے بعد، ڈالر انڈیکس میں 0.35 فیصد اضافہ ہوا۔ یورو 30 پوائنٹس کی کمی سے 1.1085 کی سطح سے نیچے آ گیا۔ کمی 14 اگست سے چوٹی کی سطح پر رک گئی۔ مزید برآں، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن زوال پذیر رجحان والے علاقے کی حد تک پہنچ گئی ہے اور ممکنہ اصلاح کا مشورہ دیتی ہے۔

تاہم تیزی کی مضبوطی کی بنیادی وجہ یہ ہے کہ سٹاک مارکیٹ کے اشاریے نئے تاریخی ریکارڈ قائم کرنا چاہتے ہیں۔ اگر اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں اضافہ جاری رہتا ہے تو، یورو کے 1.0950 کے ہدف کی حمایت تک پہنچنے کا امکان نہیں ہے۔ جیسا کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس سطح تک پہنچتی ہے، یہ رجحان کو درمیانی مدت کے نیچے کے رجحان میں منتقل کرنے میں کلیدی حیثیت اختیار کر جاتی ہے۔



آج امریکہ اور کینیڈا میں چھٹی ہے، اور ای. سی. بی. کے ساتھ 10 دنوں میں شرحیں کم ہونے کی توقع ہے، یورو شاید 1.0950 کی سطح کو بہت جلد چیلنج نہ کرے۔ آج اور کل، یورو ممکنہ طور پر 1.1085 پر مزاحمت کی جانچ کرے گا۔ 1.1010 تک پہنچنے کی بعد میں کوشش ممکن ہے، کیونکہ قیمت فی الحال 1.1010 سے 1.1085 کی حد میں ٹریڈ کر رہی ہے۔ مقامی صورتحال میں اشیاء کی قیمتوں میں کمی سے ڈالر کو مدد ملے گی۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے ایک چھوٹا لیکن اہم کنورجنس بنایا ہے جو ممکنہ تصحیح کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.1085 کی نشاندہی شدہ سطح تک پہنچ جائے گی۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek consistent upward trend show kiya hai, jo Monday ko observe kiya gaya tha. Tuesday ko, pair ne apne ascent ko continue kiya, sustained aur robust buying pressure ke saath. Euro ki demand U.S. dollar ke khilaf ne pair ki value mein notable increase ki hai, market ko open karte hue. Yeh ongoing bullish momentum ko several factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo currency markets ko influence karte hain.

Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab trader sentiment ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Recent days mein, Eurozone se positive economic indicators aa sakte hain, ya perhaps market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke future moves ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo euro ko strengthen kar sakte hain. U.S. dollar ko economic growth, inflationary pressures, ya Federal Reserve ke policy stance ke concerns ke saath headwinds ka samna ho sakta hai.

Strong buyer pressure suggest karta hai ki investors euro ke prospects mein confidence rakhte hain ya dollar se diversify karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo recent weeks mein volatile raha hai. Yeh buying activity EUR/USD ke higher opening price mein reflect hoti hai, jo traders ko expect karti hai ki currency pair apne upward trajectory ko continue karegi.

Technical factors ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Key resistance levels test ho sakte hain jab pair rise karegi, aur agar yeh levels break ho jaye, to further gains ka signal mil sakta hai. Conversely, traders ko potential retracement ya correction ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo market conditions shift ya profit-taking set ho jaye recent rally ke baad.




Overall, EUR/USD ki performance today euro ki strength ko current market environment mein show karti hai, strong buying interest ke saath. Traders aur investors likely situation ko closely monitor karenge, watching for any developments jo upward trend ko sustain ya reverse kar sakte hain near future mein

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

Market Overview
EURUSD pair current mein H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels

Immediate Support: 1.1142 - Ye level past mein strong support ka kaam kiya hai aur potential entry point ke liye retested ho sakta hai agar temporary pullback hota hai.

Strong Support: 1.1070 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur potential bullish reversals ke liye significant level ho sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1210 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke wajah se, ye soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1210 ke upar clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): Currently 75.75 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye is level par hovering hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.1142 - Ye level potential order block ke liye long positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1210 - Ye level potential order block ke liye short positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bearish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: Potential buy entry 1.1142 support level par consider ki ja sakti hai agar price pullback hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern forma, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko
invalidate karega.

par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

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• ИнстаФорекс, може

Hello, yaar! Aaj market se door rehna aur unwind karna behtar hoga. Sales ka trend dekhte hue, EMA50 aur EMA20 ke beech trading range established hai—EMA50 par 1.1095 aur EMA20 par 1.1083 ke aas-paas. Aaj Germany se ek interesting khabar aayi hai ki Volkswagen ne apni ek plant band kar di hai kharch kam karne ke liye. Ye khabar German manufacturing sector ke business activity ke contradictory results ko reflect karti hai, jismein kuch results favorable the.

Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ki sales abhi encouraging lag rahi hain. Agar trend ko dekhein, to 1.0995 tak ka pair dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Support level 1.1047 ke neeche trade karne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Trading range ke hisaab se, euro ka performance majorly depend karega ki German aur overall European economic conditions kaise evolve hoti hain.

Aaj maine chhutti lene ka faisla kiya hai. US Labor Day ke mauqe par relax karne ka plan bana raha hoon, taake apna substantial deposit bacha sakoon. Yeh time, jab US dollar aur economic indicators ke saath market ke major news aayenge, kaafi interesting ho sakta hai. Economic calendar mein manufacturing sector ka PMI aur services sector ka ISM business activity index dekhne ko milega, jo market sentiment ko influence kar sakta hai.

Unemployment rate aur working population ke variations bhi important hain. Positive trends in labor market can potentially strengthen the greenback and impact euro’s international exchange rates. Paydays aa rahe hain, aur market mein yeh volatility create kar sakta hai.

In sab factors ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, is hafte ka market behavior kaafi interesting ho sakta hai, aur aapko apni strategies carefully plan karni chahiye. Trading karte waqt, in economic indicators aur news updates ko zaroor consider karein, taake aap better decisions le sakhein.

/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai. US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain

Chaahe ek chhoti si pullback hui ho, magar nayi market risk appetite ne euro ko pichle kuch hafton ke aala level tak pohncha diya. Lekin, euro 1.1200 level ke neeche hi raha, jahan US dollar bulls ki taraf se resistance ka samna tha. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki pichle Jumme ko Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein shanasaai ne September mein interest rate cut ke intezaar ko mazid barha diya, jis se euro ki attraction mein izafa hua. Jab ke euro front par zyada economic events nahi the, traders ne Federal Reserve ke Governor Christopher Waller ke letters aur European Union ke euro group meeting par zyada tawajju di. US GDP ke liye doosri quarter mein 2.8% ki annual basis par wohi pehle wali rate rehne ki umeed thi. Magar is hafte ka primary focus July ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data par tha. Market ke participants eagerly umeed lagaaye baithe the ke inflation data expectations se kam aayega, jo ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar data expectations se zyada hota hai, toh market mein dobara se volatility aa sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair ki price ab bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar stable chal rahi hai jo ke ek Uptrend market situation ko darsha rahi hai. Pichle hafte market ke halaat upward trend ke saath the jo ke pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke mutabiq the. Mahine ke shuruat mein price increase ne candlestick ko 1.1202 ke position tak pohcha diya. Is mahine ka price increase kaafi zyada lagta hai, lekin trading session ke last night mein ye barhawa continue nahi ho saka kyun ke market mein correction ho rahi thi. Aaj subah tak price uptrend zone mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Tuesday raat ko price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha tha magar weekly price opening ko cross nahi kar saka. Magar, raat ke increase ke saath price ke mazeed ooper jaane ki umeed aur chance barh jata hai kyun ke correction ka momentum, jo aam tor par bullish trend ko lamba karta hai, uss se madad milti hai. Aaj tak price ki journey monthly opening price zone se door chal rahi hai jo ke 1.0824 ke position par thi. Mere khayal mein, ho sakta hai ke candlestick ab bhi upar move karna chahti hai jaise pichle hafte ka market trend tha. EUR/USD pair mein market situation ab active hoti nazar aa rahi hai, halan ke buyers ki efforts price ko barhane ke liye abhi tak itni strong nahi hain. Ho sakta hai ke market jab American session mein aayega toh koi mukhtalif situation samne aaye. Is hafte ke trading mein achi opportunities dhoondhne ke liye yeh trading reference diya jaa raha hai ke jab bullish direction ka continuation

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko apne haaliye izafat ko trim kiya, aur saal ke naye highs par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf aaya hai. Yeh broad-market ki tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan par hai, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko upar tak pohanchaye rakha hai. Trading week ke darmiyani hisson mein maashi calendar mein kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin Thursday ko Amreeki GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ke figures ka update aayega, jis par sab ki nazar rahegi. Yahan bhi kuch zyada harkat ki tawaqqo nahi hai kyun ke markets ne aam tor par Q2 ke annualized GDP growth ko lagbhag 2.8% par stable hone ke liye price-in kiya hua hai.
Friday ka data docket bhi markets ke liye boredom ki soorat-e-haal paida kar sakta hai, jab ke Europe mein subah subah pan-EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ke naye figures aayenge. Tawakkho hai ke core EU HICP inflation har maidan mein girawat dekha rahi hai, aur August mein YoY 2.8% par chaapne ki umeed hai, jab ke pichlay chaapne mein yeh 2.9% tha.

EUR/USD ne 1.1107 par maujood aham Fibo support se wapas uthaan li hai, jaisay ke US Dollar ke bechne mein nayi lehar dekhi ja rahi hai. Risk aversion aur German inflation aur US GDP se pehle ki pareshani is pair ke izafa ko mahdoob kar sakti hai.

Rozana technical setup nazdeek mustaqbil ke liye EUR/USD ke liye mazboot nazar aata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ki subah wapas green zone mein dastak di hai, Wednesday ki sakht sell-off ka kuch hissa reverse karte hue. Lekin aagay ki taraf izafa mushkil nazar aata hai agar risk aversion barhta hai aur US Dollar (USD) ki safe-haven demand ko dobara zinda karta hai

Euro ne Monday ke trading session ke doran kuch ulta seedha harkat dekhi. Jaise jaise North American session ke nazdeek aa rahe hain, activity dheemi ho sakti hai kyun ke dono US aur Canada Labor Day manate hain. Isko madde nazar rakhtay hue, 1.11 level ek aham resistance ka area lagta hai. Agar euro is level ko break karne me kamyab hota hai, to hum 1.12 level ki taraf move dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, 1.10 level bhi ek zaroori boost hai kyun ke yeh ek bara, psychologically important level hai.

Recent charts mein jo cheez numayan hai, woh yeh hai ke euro major round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Yeh pattern broader market sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke central banks agle saal ke doran kai dafa interest rates ko cut karengi. Yeh ek race to the bottom hai, jahan European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono hi apni economies ko steer karne aur debt ko inflate karne ke liye rates cut karne ki soch rahe hain.

Is scenario ke madde nazar, euro ka market behavior neutral lag raha hai. Halankeh koi strong directional trend nahi hai, short-term traders is range ko trade karke opportunities dhoondh sakte hain, ek round number se doosre round number tak bounce karte hue. Filhal, euro do aham levels ke beech mein hai, 1.10 aur 1.11, jo ye suggest karte hain ke bohot se traders shayad ek clearer signal ka intezar kar rahe hain before zyada capital invest karne ka.

Short mein, euro ki movement aaj kal range-bound rehne ki umeed hai, jahan 1.10 aur 1.11 levels support aur resistance ke taur par kaam karenge. Jaise traders central bank ke actions par speculating kar rahe hain, market shayad zyada reversal trading dekhe, jo short-term swings ko capitalize karne wale logon ke liye opportunities faraham kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

D1 period chart
EUR/USD currency pair ke current daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke is waqt pair ka upward trend hai, lekin ab corrective descent ka phase chal raha hai. Wave structure apni order upar bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin ab signal line ke neeche gir raha hai. Guzishta trading week ne bulls ko koi success nahi di, wo upar push karte rahe lekin ab unka waqt temporarily khatam ho gaya hai. Agar aap first wave ke neeche Fibonacci grid lagayenge, to dekh sakte hain ke target - level 161.8 - pura ho chuka hai aur unho ne level 200 tak pohochne ki koshish ki. Minimum target to achieve ho gaya hai, aur is ke ilawa price last 2023 ke end ke significant maximum se bahar bhi chali gayi hai, jis se potential sales zone ban gaya hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se nikal gaya hai. Aur pichle hafte bears ne apni revenge li aur pehle ke significant rise ka bara hissa wapas le liya. Unho ne price ko neeche press kiya hai, aur yeh pound dollar se behtar hai, aur is sab ka sabab EUR/GBP cross rate hai jo kai din se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ka pound dollar ko girne se rokti hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad karti hai. Abhi tak purchases ka plan nahi banana chahiye, jab tak price 1.0958 se 1.1015 ke beech nahi pohochti. Wahan pe growth ki wave pakadne ka thoda prospect hoga, lekin filhal sirf short rollbacks hain aur phir se girawat. General market mein baaki major pairs bhi US dollar ko mazbooti dene ki taraf ja rahe hain. Tactics yeh honi chahiye ke din ke dauran upward rollbacks ke baad sale ke formation ko dekhein aur neeche kaam karein. Mera assumption hai ke sellers poore naye trading week mein dominate karenge. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, US ka holiday hai - Labor Day.

Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD
### **EUR/USD ka Overview**
EUR/USD duniya ki sab se zyada trade ki jane wali currency pair hai. Yeh pair Eurozone ki economy aur US dollar ki strength ko represent karta hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD ek interesting phase mein hai jahan price action analysis kafi insights provide kar sakta hai.

### **Support aur Resistance Levels**

Price action ke analysis ka ek important hissa support aur resistance levels ka identify karna hota hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD ka support level 1.0800 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair mein mazeed downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 1.1000 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price mein bullish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

### **Trend Analysis**

Current price action dekhte hue, EUR/USD mein bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino mein, pair ne lower highs aur lower lows form kiye hain, jo ke downward trend ka indication hai. Lekin agar price 1.1000 ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh trend reversal ka sign ho sakta hai.

### **Candlestick Patterns**

Agar candlestick patterns par nazar daali jaye, toh recent candles mein doji aur bearish engulfing patterns dekhne ko mile hain. Yeh patterns indicate karte hain ke market mein uncertainty aur selling pressure maujood hai. Lekin agar bullish engulfing ya hammer pattern form hota hai, toh yeh upward reversal ka sign ho sakta hai.

### **Volume Analysis**

Volume analysis bhi price action ka important hissa hai. Pichlay kuch trading sessions mein, EUR/USD ke volume mein decrease dekha gaya hai, jo ke market mein kam interest ya exhaustion ka sign hai. Lekin agar volume increase hota hai aur price ek specific direction mein move karti hai, toh yeh trend ki confirmation hogi.

### **Conclusion**

Overall, EUR/USD abhi ek critical phase mein hai. Price action analysis se yeh lagta hai ke agar support levels hold karte hain, toh bullish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh levels break hote hain, toh downward trend mazeed strengthen hoga. Traders ke liye yeh important hai ke wo in key levels aur patterns par nazar rakhein, aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karein.

EUR/USD ka projection hai ke yeh apne 2024 ke top 1.1201 (August 26) ko test karega, uske baad 2023 ke peak 1.1275 (July 18) aur 1.1300 ke round level ke aage.

Pair ka agla downward objective weekly low 1.0881 (August 8) hai, phir critical 200-day SMA 1.0852 aur weekly low 1.0777 (August 1) ke baad. Yahan se 1.0666 (June 26) ka low aata hai, jo ke May low 1.0649 (May 1) ke pehle aata hai.

Pair ka upward trend tab tak continue karna chahiye jab tak yeh key 200-day SMA ke upar rahe.

Four-hour chart dikhata hai ke recent hours mein downside momentum thoda pick-up hua hai. Initial resistance 1.1201 hai, jo ke 1.1275 se pehle aata hai. Immediate support 1.1055 pe hai, jo ke 100-SMA 1.1046 aur 200-SMA 1.0960 ke baad aata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35 ke aas paas retreat kar gaya hai.

EUR/USD European trading mein Monday ko 1.1100 ke taraf badh raha hai, aur US Dollar mein naye selling ke wajah se pair recover kar raha hai, halankeh markets key US employment data releases se pehle cautious hain. US Labor Day ki thin trading shayad extend ho sakti hai.

Yeh chart average forecast prices ke baare mein batata hai, aur participants ke survey se numbers kitne close (ya door) hain. Chart par bade bubbles ka matlab hai ke zyada participants ek specific price level ko target kar rahe hain. Yeh distribution bhi batata hai agar participants ke beech mein unanimity (ya disparity) hai.

BIAS

Har participant ka bias automatically calculate kiya jata hai week's close price aur recent volatility ke basis par. In results se, yeh chart bullish, bearish, aur sideways forecast prices ki distribution calculate karta hai, jo sentiment extremes aur indecision levels ko reflect karta hai jo sideways number se zahir hoti hai.

Table ke saath jahan sab participants ke individual predict hain, ek graphic representation data ko aggregate aur visualize karta hai: Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line yeh dikhati hai ke contributors ke percentage kis outlook bias pe hain.

Yeh graph har time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter) ke liye available hai. Hum average price predict aur average bias bhi indicate karte hain.

EUR/USD

Hello sab ko! M15 chart par linear regression channel ne downward trend pakad liya hai, jo sellers ki market par dominance ko dikhata hai. Market ka movement ab 1.10340 ke level ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab yeh level reach hoga, to upar ki taraf ek correction hone ki ummeed hai, kyunki is timeframe par channel ki volatility decide hogi. Lower channel boundary ke paas bechna behtar nahi hai, balki upper part of the channel par 1.10763 par pullback ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh losses ko kam karne mein madad karega. Channel ka slope market mein seller ki strength ko determine karta hai - jitna zyada slope, utna zyada movement. Thoda sa slope indicate karta hai ke selling abhi initial stage par hai.

Hourly chart par bhi linear regression channel downward trend mein hai, jo seller ki strength ko dikhata hai. Hourly channel primary hai, jabke M15 secondary hai. Dono charts par channels southwards directed hain. Short positions ki talash behtar hai, kyunki buying ka matlab trend ke khilaf jana hoga, jo zyada chances ke saath losses ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar 1.10763 level buyer ko rok nahi paata, to upward movement continue hone ki ummeed hai. Bulls upper channel part par 1.10667 tak uthenge, jahan selling par ghoor karna chahiye. Is point se selling kaafi interesting hogi, kyunki hourly chart par pullback hoga. Uske baad, bears apni activity dikhayenge aur channel ke lower part 1.10074 ki taraf move karenge. Is level par channel volatility decide hogi, aur selling ko tab tak wait karna padega jab tak bulls movement ka ek hissa play out nahi kar dete.

Yeh approach se apko zyada loss se bacha ja sakta hai aur market ke trend ke saath better align kiya ja sakta hai. Jab tak bulls apna part complete nahi karte, behtareen strategy yeh hai ke short positions par focus rakhein aur upward pullbacks ko monitor karte rahein. Channel ki volatility aur price levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, taake timely decisions liye ja sakein aur market ke fluctuations ka faida uthaaya ja sake.