یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

H1 timeframe se analysis se pata chalta hai ke GBP/USD ki girawat ka ek sabab yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 par penetrate nahi kar paayi. Jab tak yeh area penetrate nahi hota, lagta hai ke GBP/USD ko phir se barhne mein mushkil hogi. H1 support ke 1.3181 par break hone se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ke chances aur barh gaye hain. Aam taur par is support break ke baad, rate ki movement pehle correction ke liye upar hoti hai. Mera aaj ka scenario yeh hai ke GBP/USD pehle 1.3245 tak upar jayega, aur phir movement phir se neeche aayegi.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se technical analysis se, abhi ki candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se hua hai jab se GBP/USD girna shuru hua. Is recent intersection ke sath, GBP/USD ka trend bullish se bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak yeh position line ke upar nahi aati, main predict karta hoon ke GBP/USD ki movement girawat ki taraf hi rahegi.

Stochastic indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD abhi oversold condition mein hai. Yeh decline kal ke GBP/USD girawat ke wajah se hai. Jaise maine upar kaha, support break ke baad GBP/USD pehle 1.3245 tak upar jaane ki sambhavana hai correction ke liye. Main sochta hoon ke yeh increase apnea nearest resistance ko penetrate nahi kar payega. Toh aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki ab thoda stronger nazar aa raha hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 par penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske alawa, Ichimoku indicator se bhi candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ko bearish banata hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, wo sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap take profit target ko nearest support 1.3070 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest resistance 1.3268 par rakh sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai. Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, utsalar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta hai, saktalar agar yeh perception ho ke euro overbought hai ya dollar rebound ke liye tayar hai.

Time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

Subah bakhair. Sellers ko theoretically niche ki taraf kuch banana shuru karne ke liye 1.30436 ke support level ke peechay consolidate karna zaroori hai. Lekin ab tak sellers ki taraf se is level ke nazdeek jaane ke koi nishani nahi mili. Kal unhone niche ki taraf kuch banana shuru karne ki koshish ki, lekin aaj buyers ne price ko upar ki taraf aur barhaya. Sabse nazdeek ka target growth ke liye 1.31287 hai, aur agar hum iske peechay consolidate kar lete hain, to hum zaroor 1.31417 level ko break karenge. Iske ilawa, 1.30758 level ko sell ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai; is level ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 1.30103 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
GBP/USD M30 Pair:

1. Kal Pound ke liye forecast tha ke wo 1.30652 level se sales mein jayega, lekin price akhirkar is level tak nahi pohnchi.

2. Bands ke halat ki baat karein to price upper band ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Price growth ke liye quality signal ke liye, upper band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke bands outward khulengi ya koi reaction nahi hogi.

3. AO indicator positive area mein grow kar raha hai; agar hum nazdeek future mein zyada active acceleration dekhein, to price growth ke liye ek strong signal milega. Zero ko cross karne aur negative zone mein actively grow karne se price decline ka signal milega.

4. Purchases ke liye entry point 1.31336 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai; price growth ke baad breakout aur consolidation se 1.31586 aur 1.31930 marks tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai. Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi.
European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to

H4 timeframe ke perspective se dekha jaye to, lagta hai ke EURUSD market mein jo price decline hua hai, woh sirf ek temporary correction hai. Kyun ke agar gaur se dekha jaye, to niche ek kaafi potential demand zone bhi hai, jo ke 1.09505 ke price range mein hai. Is liye market ke reaction par nazar rakhna zaroori hai ke wahan se price phir se upar bounce karegi ya phir downward breakout hoga. Agar upar ki taraf bounce hota hai significant momentum ke saath, to buy option achi choice ho sakti hai. Waisay agar downward breakout hota hai, to seller scenario ab bhi achi choice hoga. Baat yeh hai ke mujhe patience ke saath achi entry momentum ka intezar karna hoga, taake position mein enter karne ka faisla jaldi mein na ho.



Price action ko zyada clear dekhne ke liye, behtar hai ke H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye. Yahan maine moving average indicator lagaya hai 200 period ke sath, aur agar gaur se dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke current EURUSD price condition ab moving average line ke niche stable ho gayi hai. Is liye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke trend ab decline mein hai. Isliye short-term trading ke liye main is potential ka faida uthate huye sell entry ka mauqa dhoond sakta hoon. Behtar hoga ke main intezar karoon ke price thoda upar correct kare, kam az kam moving average line ke qareeb aajaye. Agar ek valid downward bounce nazar aaye, to main sell order loonga is umeed mein ke EURUSD price fori tor par niche ki taraf move kare aur lower support level tak pohanchay. Jis tarah se maine market ko monitor kiya hai, lagta hai ke sellers price ko ek neeche position par lane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Market conditions shayad selling pressure dalti nazar aati hain, taake candlestick ko aur neeche le jaya ja sake, aur is se bearish trend ko continue karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Bearish opportunity kaafi khuli hui lagti hai, kyun ke candlestick ka position ab Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke neeche ruk gaya hai. Agle hafta, candlestick ke phir se 1.1002 area tak neeche jaane ki prediction ki ja rahi hai. Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon ke liye SELL position lena ab bhi ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

InstaSpoH4 timeframe ke perspective se dekha jaye to, lagta hai ke EURUSD market mein jo price decline hua hai, woh sirf ek temporary correction hai. Kyun ke agar gaur se dekha jaye, to niche ek kaafi potential demand zone bhi hai, jo ke 1.09505 ke price range mein hai. Is liye market ke reaction par nazar rakhna zaroori hai ke wahan se price phir se upar bounce karegi ya phir downward breakout hoga. Agar upar ki taraf bounce hota hai significant momentum ke saath, to buy option achi choice ho sakti hai. Waisay agar downward breakout hota hai, to seller scenario ab bhi achi choice hoga. Baat yeh hai ke mujhe patience ke saath achi entry momentum ka intezar karna hoga, taake position mein enter karne ka faisla jaldi mein na ho.


Price action ko zyada clear dekhne ke liye, behtar hai ke H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye. Yahan maine moving average indicator lagaya hai 200 period ke sath, aur agar gaur se dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke current EURUSD price condition ab moving average line ke niche stable ho gayi hai. Is liye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke trend ab decline mein hai. Isliye short-term trading ke liye main is potential ka faida uthate huye sell entry ka mauqa dhoond sakta hoon. Behtar hoga ke main intezar karoon ke price thoda upar correct kare, kam az kam moving average line ke qareeb aajaye. Agar ek valid downward bounce nazar aaye, to main sell order loonga is umeed mein ke EURUSD price fori tor par niche ki taraf move kare aur lower support level tak pohanchay. Jis tarah se maine market ko monitor kiya hai, lagta hai ke sellers price ko ek neeche position par lane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Market conditions shayad selling pressure dalti nazar aati hain, taake candlestick ko aur neeche le jaya ja sake, aur is se bearish trend ko continue karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Bearish opportunity kaafi khuli hui lagti hai, kyun ke candlestick ka position ab Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke neeche ruk gaya hai. Agle hafta, candlestick ke phir se 1.1002 area tak neeche jaane ki prediction ki ja rahi hai. Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon ke liye SELL position lena ab bhi ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

H4 timeframe ke perspective se dekha jaye to, lagta hai ke EURUSD market mein jo price decline hua hai, woh sirf ek temporary correction hai. Kyun ke agar gaur se dekha jaye, to niche ek kaafi potential demand zone bhi hai, jo ke 1.09505 ke price range mein hai. Is liye market ke reaction par nazar rakhna zaroori hai ke wahan se price phir se upar bounce karegi ya phir downward breakout hoga. Agar upar ki taraf bounce hota hai significant momentum ke saath, to buy option achi choice ho sakti hai. Waisay agar downward breakout hota hai, to seller scenario ab bhi achi choice hoga. Baat yeh hai ke mujhe patience ke saath achi entry momentum ka intezar karna hoga, taake position mein enter karne ka faisla jaldi mein na ho.


Price action ko zyada clear dekhne ke liye, behtar hai ke H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye. Yahan maine moving average indicator lagaya hai 200 period ke sath, aur agar gaur se dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke current EURUSD price condition ab moving average line ke niche stable ho gayi hai. Is liye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke trend ab decline mein hai. Isliye short-term trading ke liye main is potential ka faida uthate huye sell entry ka mauqa dhoond sakta hoon. Behtar hoga ke main intezar karoon ke price thoda upar correct kare, kam az kam moving average line ke qareeb aajaye. Agar ek valid downward bounce nazar aaye, to main sell order loonga is umeed mein ke EURUSD price fori tor par niche ki taraf move kare aur lower support level tak pohanchay. Jis tarah se maine market ko monitor kiya hai, lagta hai ke sellers price ko ek neeche position par lane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Market conditions shayad selling pressure dalti nazar aati hain, taake candlestick ko aur neeche le jaya ja sake, aur is se bearish trend ko continue karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Bearish opportunity kaafi khuli hui lagti hai, kyun ke candlestick ka position ab Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke neeche ruk gaya hai. Agle hafta, candlestick ke phir se 1.1002 area tak neeche jaane ki prediction ki ja rahi hai. Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon ke liye SELL position lena ab bhi ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di:

Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain.

EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, khaaskar June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai.

Lekin, pair ne kuch resistance ka saamna kiya hai, khaaskar Monday ko 1.10 ke upar thodi der ke liye spike ke baad. Is level ne strong selling pressure dekha, jo ek critical descending trend line ke neeche retreat kar gaya. Pair ko agle bullish leg ke liye strength build karni hai, ise solid support milna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek pullback zaroori ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential rally ke momentum gain karne se pehle

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb taqat dikha raha hai FOMC minutes ke announcement se pehle July ki monetary policy meeting ka. Fed ne July mein interest rates ko steady rakha eighth time in a row, lekin Jerome Powell ne cuts ke discussions ko acknowledge kiya. ECB September mein policy-easing cycle ko resume karne ki expectation hai.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb hovers kar raha hai Wednesday ki European session mein, jo is saal ka highest level hai. Major currency pair 2024 ke highs 1.1140 ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabki US Dollar (USD) growing optimism ke beech mein pressure mein hai Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts ke September mein.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, fresh seven-month low ke qareeb 101.30 par hovers kar raha hai. Consistently easing United States (US) inflationary pressures aur cooling labor market conditions ne investors ko convince kiya hai ki Fed September mein interest rates ko reduce karega. Lekin traders split hain ki yeh first interest rate reduction jumbo ya gradual hoga.

CME FedWatch tool shows ki 50-basis-point (bps) interest-rate cut ki likelihood 30.5% hai. Rest expects more nuanced 25-basis-point cut. Wednesday ki session mein, investors FOMC minutes ke July policy meeting par focus karenge, jo 18:00 GMT par publish honge. July meeting mein, Fed ne key borrowing rates ko unchanged chhoda range 5.25%-5.50% mein eighth straight time. Fed ne acknowledge kiya ki scope of risks ne widened hai dual mandate (inflation aur employment) ke dono aspects mein.

Is week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein - jo Thursday se Saturday tak hold hogi - major event hogi, jo fresh cues provide karegi rate cuts ke September mein. July ki monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum inflation ko moving down more or less in line with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong, aur labor market remains consistent with current conditions, to main think ki rate cut September meeting mein table par ho sakta hai.”




EUR/USD saal ki high 1.1140 ko approach kar raha hai FOMC minutes ke release se pehle. Major currency pair ne daily time frame par channel formation ka breakout ke baad strengthen kiya. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.0970 aur 1.0900 par, respectively, suggest ki broad trend bullish hai

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai.
Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, utsalar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta

EUR/USD ka exchange rate pichlay teen din se decline kar raha hai, aur is haftay ka closure 1.1050 par hua hai. Yeh downward trend European Union ki inflation data ki wajah se aya, jo market ko mutasir nahi kar saka, aur U.S. ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index bhi expectations ke mutabiq raha. In developments ne market expectations ko shift kar diya towards possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve unke aanay wale meeting mein. U.S. ka core PCE inflation stable raha 0.2% quarter-over-quarter aur 2.5% year-over-year par, jo expectations ke barabar hai. Ab interest rate markets 30% chance price kar rahi hain 50 basis point rate cut ka aur 70% chance 25 basis point rate cut ka September 18th ko hone wale Fed meeting mein. Overall, traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke 2024 mein total 100 basis points ka rate cut hoga. PCE inflation data ne aanay wale nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report ka stage set kar diya hai, jo ek important economic indicator hai jo further influence kar sakta hai Fed ke rate cut decision ko. Agle haftay mein kai Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) releases honge aur U.S. stock exchanges Labor Day holiday ki wajah se band rahengi.

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, to EUR/USD abhi bearish pullback mein hai aur 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo ke 1.0950 par hai. Jab tak yeh 200-day moving average jo ke 1.0855 par hai, ke upar hai, bullish momentum kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur bearish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakti hai. 1.1240-1.1274 ka area, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 downtrend aur trendline of the 2022 low ko shamil karta hai, shayad near-term support provide kare pair ke liye. Aik potential rally 1.1340-1.1370 tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan 1.1480 ka area aik significant resistance level ka kaam karega. Traders ko NFP data jo agle haftay release hoga, ko ghor se monitor karna chahiye, aur phir week ke dauran 1.1490 par further risk lena chahiye.

EUR/USD ka exchange rate pichlay teen din se decline kar raha hai, aur is haftay ka closure 1.1050 par hua hai. Yeh downward trend European Union ki inflation data ki wajah se aya, jo market ko mutasir nahi kar saka, aur U.S. ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index bhi expectations ke mutabiq raha. In developments ne market expectations ko shift kar diya towards possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve unke aanay wale meeting mein. U.S. ka core PCE inflation stable raha 0.2% quarter-over-quarter aur 2.5% year-over-year par, jo expectations ke barabar hai. Ab interest rate markets 30% chance price kar rahi hain 50 basis point rate cut ka aur 70% chance 25 basis point rate cut ka September 18th ko hone wale Fed meeting mein. Overall, traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke 2024 mein total 100 basis points ka rate cut hoga. PCE inflation data ne aanay wale nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report ka stage set kar diya hai, jo ek important economic indicator hai jo further influence kar sakta hai Fed ke rate cut decision ko. Agle haftay mein kai Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) releases honge aur U.S. stock exchanges Labor Day holiday ki wajah se band rahengi.

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, to EUR/USD abhi bearish pullback mein hai aur 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo ke 1.0950 par hai. Jab tak yeh 200-day moving average jo ke 1.0855 par hai, ke upar hai, bullish momentum kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur bearish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakti hai. 1.1240-1.1274 ka area, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 downtrend aur trendline of the 2022 low ko shamil karta hai, shayad near-term support provide kare pair ke liye. Aik potential rally 1.1340-1.1370 tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan 1.1480 ka area aik significant resistance level ka kaam karega. Traders ko NFP data jo agle haftay release hoga, ko ghor se monitor karna chahiye, aur phir week ke dauran 1.1490 par further risk lena chahiye.