یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada , kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein extra activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lengi

**European Trading Session: EUR/USD Analysis**

Jaisay hi European trading session Monday ko shuru hui, pair mein maamooli izafah dekha ja raha hai, jo ke abhi kareeb 1.1060 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh izafah US Dollar (USD) ke liye consolidation phase ki wajah se hai, jis ne Euro ke liye supportive mahol paida kiya hai. Sarmaya kar ab German August ZEW survey ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke nai maloomat pesh kar sakta hai aur currency pair ki aglay harakat par asar andaz ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, EUR/USD taqreeban 1.1069 par mojood hai.

**GBP/USD Ke Buniyadi Asbaab:**

Sarmaya karon ko jald hi US se nayi inflation data ka samna hoga. Ahm reports jismay Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) shamil hain, release hone wali hain. Is ke ilawa, US Retail Sales ka data aur University of Michigan ki Consumer Sentiment Survey Index se taaza updates bhi aglay hafta milne ki tawaqqo hai. Core PPI aur headline CPI inflation dono hi year-over-year qareeban 3% par moqouf hain, aur bazar ke participants ghair mamooli tawajjo ke saath koi bhi nishana dekh rahay hain jo Federal Reserve ki sood ki policy par asar dal sakta hai.

Yoorp ke tanazur mein, Eurozone ke liye ibtidayi Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth ke adad o shumaar aglay budh ko elaan honay ki tawaqqo hai. Market ki paishgoiyan is baat ki tawaqqo kar rahi hain ke EU ki growth barqarar rahegi, jis mein pehle se mojood quarter-on-quarter tabdeeli ke liye 0.3% aur year-on-year ke liye 0.6% ka shamil hai. Yeh growth ke adad Eurozone ki iqtisadi sehat ka andaza laganay mein ahm honge aur EUR/USD pair ke rukh par bhi asar dal sakte hain.

**Chaar Ghantay Ka Waqti Tanazur: Tekneeki Nazariya**

Tekneeki hawale se, pair abhi ahm support aur resistance ki satahon ko nawaazish ke saath qaim rehne mein kamyab ho jata hai, toh is se saal bhar ki choti satah 1.1203 ko challenge karne ka darwaza khul sakta hai—jo ke is saal ke shuru mein chuwa gaya tha. Agar pair is manoviy satah se mazeed mazbooti hasil karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh is se nayi bullish sentiment trigger ho sakti hai, jo ke is mark ke taraf ek mumkin rally ke liye rasta saaf karegi. Aisa move ek ahm meezan ho ga, kyun ke yeh December 2023 ke baad pehli dafa hoga ke pair is level ko dobara hasil karega.

EUR/USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behavior par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi. Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways move kare

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek consistent upward trend show kiya hai, jo Monday ko observe kiya gaya tha. Tuesday ko, pair ne apne ascent ko continue kiya, sustained aur robust buying pressure ke saath. Euro ki demand U.S. dollar ke khilaf ne pair ki value mein notable increase ki hai, market ko open karte hue. Yeh ongoing bullish momentum ko several factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo currency markets ko influence karte hain.

Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab trader sentiment ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Recent days mein, Eurozone se positive economic indicators aa sakte hain, ya perhaps market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke future moves ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo euro ko strengthen kar sakte hain. U.S. dollar ko economic growth, inflationary pressures, ya Federal Reserve ke policy stance ke concerns ke saath headwinds ka samna ho sakta hai.

Strong buyer pressure suggest karta hai ki investors euro ke prospects mein confidence rakhte hain ya dollar se diversify karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo recent weeks mein volatile raha hai. Yeh buying activity EUR/USD ke higher opening price mein reflect hoti hai, jo traders ko expect karti hai ki currency pair apne upward trajectory ko continue karegi.

Technical factors ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Key resistance levels test ho sakte hain jab pair rise karegi, aur agar yeh levels break ho jaye, to further gains ka signal mil sakta hai. Conversely, traders ko potential retracement ya correction ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo market conditions shift ya profit-taking set ho jaye recent rally ke baad.




Overall, EUR/USD ki performance today euro ki strength ko current market environment mein show karti hai, strong buying interest ke saath. Traders aur investors likely situation ko closely monitor karenge, watching for any developments jo upward trend ko sustain ya reverse kar sakte hain near future mein

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Budh ko, America JOLTS data, ya mulazmat ke mauqe ki taidad jari karega, halankeh mujhe kisi badhte hue utar-chadahw ki tawaqqo nahin hai. Is report par market ka radde amal mazbut lekin qalil muddati hone ka imkan hai. Aakhir kar, market participants ki tawajjoh Jumerat aur Jumah ke liye tai shudah aidad o shumar par hai.
Lehaza, euro/dollar ke jode ke liye aaj ke session ka ecenario hasab zail hai:
1.1000 ka raqbah qarib tarin hadaf bana hua hai, jahan long positions kholna ek danishmandana faisla hoga.

bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho

Is hafte ke pehle do dino mein EUR/USD market ki movement zyada tar bullish rahi hai, jo ke peechlay 3 hafton se chalti hui upward trend ka silsila hai. Is hafte ki bullish movement ne pichlay hafte ke highest price limit 1.1046 ko cross karke naye highest price area 1.1131 tak pohanch gayi hai. Yeh dekhna dilchasp hoga ke aglay bullish efforts kis tarah continue hotay hain, khaaskar is haftay ke darmiyan mein aane wali high-impact news releases ke sath. Neechey mein aapko EUR/USD market ki possible movement ka mukammal analysis faraham kar raha hoon. Zarra ghor karain.

H4 timeframe ke reference ke mutabiq, bullish movement abhi tak dominant hai, jo ke MA 50 (red) ke movement limit ke control mein hai. Abhi jo izafa ho raha hai woh RSI 70 level ke overbought area se upar chala gaya hai aur MA 50 ke movement limit se kafi door nikal gaya hai. Yeh future mein bullish efforts ke liye ek rukawat ban sakta hai, jissey ek limited bearish correction phase ka chance ho sakta hai. Agar bearish correction phase hota hai, toh downward target pehla hidden demand area 1.1088 ke qareeb test karne ka hosakta hai, ya phir neechey 1.1048 ke rbs area ko reach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai.



Buying transactions pe focus karna abhi bhi munasib lagta hai jab tak price MA 50 (red) movement limit ke neechey support area 1.0950 mein nahi girta. Short term mein, bearish correction movement ke sath selling par ghoor karna chahiye, jissey 1.1120-1.1130 ke range se sell position mein enter karna aur TP 1 ka target 1.1090 mein rakhna, aur agay ja kar TP 2 ko 1.1050 mein rakhna munasib hoga. Sell plan ke liye risk loss limit is hafte ke high area 1.1150 ke qareeb rakh sakte hain. Behtareen re-entry buy area 1.1050-1.1080 ke range mein consider kiya ja sakta hai. Price level ke is range se izafa ka target is hafte ke highest price limit 1.1130 ko pohanchna hai, aur long-term purchase option ek base up rally movement ke liye plan kiya ja sakta hai jo ke pichlay saal ke highest price limit 1.1270 tak pohanchay.

Jab European trading session shuru hoti hai Monday ko, EUR/USD jorha thori bahut izafa dekh raha hai aur lagbhag 1.1060 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh izafa US Dollar (USD) ke consolidation phase ke wajah se hai, jisne Euro ke liye ek supportive mahol provide kiya hai. Ab investors German August ZEW survey ka intezar kar rahe hain jo naye insights aur currency pair ke agle movement ko drive kar sakta hai. Filhal EUR/USD lagbhag 1.1069 par hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Investors jaldi hi naye inflation data se bheed jaayenge jo US se aayega. Key reports, including Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), release hone wale hain. Iske alawa, aane wale hafte mein US Retail Sales ka data aur University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey Index ke updates bhi scheduled hain. Core PPI aur headline CPI inflation dono lagbhag 3% year-over-year rahe hain aur market participants kisi bhi easing ke nishan ki talaash mein hain jo Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke stance ko prabhavit kar sakti hai.

European context mein, Eurozone ke preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures agle Wednesday announce hone wale hain. Market forecasts kehti hain ke EU growth stable rahegi, jo pichle figures ke sath align karti hai: 0.3% quarter-on-quarter change aur 0.6% year-on-year comparison. Ye growth figures Eurozone ke economic health ko assess karne mein important honge aur EUR/USD pair ke direction ko impact kar sakte hain.

Technical outlook (Four-hour time frame):

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to pair ab key support aur resistance levels ko navigate kar raha hai. 1.1050 level, jo recently resistance se support ban gaya hai, immediate downside ko safeguard karne mein madadgar hoga. Agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, to agle significant support zones 1.1021 aur psychological 1.1000 mark par hain. Agar further declines 1.0988 ke neeche hoti hain to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), jo filhal 1.1063 ke aas-paas hai, bhi play mein aa sakta hai aur pair ko 1.1000 mark tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh level 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai aur crucial pivot point banega. Agar is level se decisively break hota hai, to near-term top signal kar sakta hai aur bearish traders ke favor mein bias shift kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.1000 mark ke upar sustain karta hai to year-to-date (YTD) peak ke challenge ka stage set ho sakta hai, jo lagbhag 1.1203 ke aas-paas hai—jo earlier in the year touch kiya gaya tha. Agar pair is psychological level ke upar strength sustain karta hai, to yeh renewed bullish sentiment trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential rally ke liye raasta bana sakta hai 1.1200 mark tak. Aisa move ek significant milestone hoga, kyunki yeh pehli baar hoga jab pair December 2023 ke baad is level ko reclaim karega.

purchasing pressure mein kami ki wajah se hua. Chaahe ek chhoti si pullback hui ho, magar nayi market risk appetite ne euro ko pichle kuch hafton ke aala level tak pohncha diya. Lekin, euro 1.1200 level ke neeche hi raha, jahan US dollar bulls ki taraf se resistance ka samna tha. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki pichle Jumme ko Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein shanasaai ne September mein interest rate cut ke intezaar ko mazid barha diya, jis se euro ki attraction mein izafa hua. Jab ke euro front par zyada economic events nahi the, traders ne Federal Reserve ke Governor Christopher Waller ke letters aur European Union ke euro group meeting par zyada tawajju di. US GDP ke liye doosri quarter mein 2.8% ki annual basis par wohi pehle wali rate rehne ki umeed thi. Magar is hafte ka primary focus July ke Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data par tha. Market ke participants eagerly umeed lagaaye baithe the ke inflation data expectations se kam aayega, jo ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar data expectations se zyada hota hai, toh market mein dobara se volatility aa sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair ki price ab bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar stable chal rahi hai jo ke ek Uptrend market situation ko darsha rahi hai. Pichle hafte market ke halaat upward trend ke saath the jo ke pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke mutabiq the. Mahine ke shuruat mein price increase ne candlestick ko 1.1202 ke position tak pohcha diya. Is mahine ka price increase kaafi zyada lagta hai, lekin trading session ke last night mein ye barhawa continue nahi ho saka kyun ke market mein correction ho rahi thi. Aaj subah tak price uptrend zone mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Tuesday raat ko price upar jaane ki koshish kar raha tha magar weekly price opening ko cross nahi kar saka. Magar, raat ke increase ke saath price ke mazeed ooper jaane ki umeed aur chance barh jata hai kyun ke correction ka momentum, jo aam tor par bullish trend ko lamba karta hai, uss se madad milti hai. Aaj tak price ki journey monthly opening price zone se door chal rahi hai jo ke 1.0824 ke position par thi. Mere khayal mein, ho sakta hai ke candlestick ab bhi upar move karna chahti hai jaise pichle hafte ka market trend tha. EUR/USD pair mein market situation ab active hoti nazar aa rahi hai, halan ke buyers ki efforts price ko barhane ke liye abhi tak itni strong nahi hain. Ho sakta hai ke market jab American session mein aayega toh koi mukhtalif situation samne aaye. Is hafte ke trading mein achi opportunities dhoondhne ke liye yeh trading reference diya jaa raha hai ke jab bullish direction ka continuation mazid strong hota nazar aaye, toh market dobara se uptrend mein aa sakta hai. Uptrend ka confirmation tab dekhne ko milta hai jab candlestick dobara se barh kar price zone 1.1201 ke upar chalne lagti hai. Mere khayal mein is condition mein Buy position dhoondhna kaafi acha chance lagta hai.

**EUR/USD ka Buniyadi Nazariya**

Jab Tuesday ke European session ke doran EUR/USD 1.1080 ke mark ki baari ko todne mein nakam raha, to EUR/USD phir se gir gaya. US dollar index, jo dollar ki qeemat ko chhe doosri currencies ke muqablay mein mapta hai, 101.80 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Jab ke major currency pairs gir rahe the, greenback apne upar ki trend ko barhata gaya aur do haftay ke uchaayi ke qareeb pohnch gaya. Friday ko jaari hui August ki non-farm payrolls (NFP) data ke mutabiq, US dollar ko kharidne wale log the. Investors labor market data ko nazar mein rakh rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve ke September economic statement mein price hikes ke liye kisi bhi amal ki ishaara de sakta hai. European trading day ke doran, EUR/USD lagbhag 1.1050 ke qareeb gir gaya. US ADP employment change ka August ke liye 145,000 tak barhne ka tajwez hai, jo ke pichle mahine 122,000 tha. Lekin, is hafte ka mukhya US labor force data Friday ka US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data hai.

**EUR/USD ka Technical Nazariya**

European Central Bank (ECB) ke is mahine leisure quotations ko kam karne ke imkaan ne base currency pair par zabardast pressure daala hai, jiske natije mein euro phir se barh gaya hai. Haal hi mein gains 1.1050 par stable ho gayi hain. US markets Labor Day par band the, isliye Monday ko markets ki dobara shuru hone par trading activity kam thi. Monday ko EUR/USD ka trading erratic raha aur 1.1100 ke usual resistance level ke neeche close hua. Sab short-to-long-term exponential moving averages (EMAs) barh rahe hain, isliye important currency pairs ka near-term nazariya abhi bhi favorable hai. Positive nazar se, euro bulls apne ultimate targets ko 1.1200 aur July 2023 ke high 1.1275 tak pohnchayenge. Is dauran, girawat ko 1.1000 ke psychological support ke qareeb support milne ki ummeed hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

### EUR/USD Analysis

Kal halki si increase ke saath shanti guzar gayi, magar aaj phir se girawat shuru ho gayi. EUR/USD ke daily chart ko dekhen to, pair abhi bhi ek ascending trend mein hai, lekin ab corrective phase mein chala gaya hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin ab signal line ki taraf gir raha hai. Pichle haftay mein bulls ko koi khas success nahi mili; unka waqt abhi temporary khatam lagta hai.

Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave se apply karte hain, to humein dekhnay ko milta hai ke target achieve ho chuka hai. 161.8 level tak pohnchne ke baad, 200 level tak reach karne ki koshish ki gayi. Minimum target fulfill ho chuka hai aur price ne 2023 ke end ka significant maximum bhi exceed kiya, isliye potential selling zone ban gaya hai. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se nikal raha hai, jo ke ek aur bearish signal hai.

Pichle haftay mein bears ne apna revenge liya aur pichle rise ka ek significant part play kiya. Bears ne price ko achi tarah neeche push kiya, EURGBP cross rate ke girne ki wajah se, jo ke EUR/USD ki girawat ko madad kar raha hai. Jab tak price 1.0958 ke support level tak nahi pohnchti, purchases ko consider nahi kiya jayega. Us level tak pohnchne par kuch upward wave ka prospect ho sakta hai, lekin filhal sirf short pullbacks aur phir se girawat hi dekhne ko mil rahi hai.

Market mein baaki major pairs bhi US dollar ko strengthen karne ke taraf focused hain. Isliye, strategy yeh honi chahiye ke intraday pullbacks ke baad selling formations dekhein aur downward trade karein. Mera khayal hai ke is haftay sellers ki dominance rahegi. Kal US mein Labor Day tha, isliye activity low thi aur market mein kuch zyada movement nahi thi.

Is waqt EUR/USD ke short-term trend ko samajhna aur uske mutabiq trade karna zaroori hai. Abhi ke liye, focus selling opportunities par rakhein aur long-term trends ke liye support level 1.0958 tak ke movements ka intezar karein. Market ki conditions aur indicators ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, trading decisions lena behtar hoga.

ستمبر 3 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو، ایک پرسکون مارکیٹ میں، 26 اگست کی چوٹی سے پچھلی کمی کے بعد یورو قدرے درست ہوا۔ اصلاحی تبدیلی نے مئی 2021 سے نزولی قیمت چینل کی پہلی سرایت شدہ لائن کو نشان زد کیا۔



کل کے کم (1.1042) سے نیچے کا وقفہ بھی اس سبز رنگ کے چینل کی پہلی لکیری سپورٹ کے بریک تھرو کے مساوی ہوگا۔ اس سے 1.0905 پر سپورٹ کے قریب اگلی ایمبیڈڈ لائن تک پہنچنے کا امکان کھل جائے گا۔ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے مستحکم ہونے کے لیے وہیں رہ سکتی ہے۔ ابتدائی ہدف 1.1010 کی سطح ہے — 5 اگست اور 14 دسمبر 2023 کی چوٹیوں۔

مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف بڑھنے کے رجحان کے ساتھ سرحد پر کھڑا ہے۔ 1.1042 سے نیچے کی حرکت کل ہو سکتی ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.1085 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر کے قریب آ رہا ہے، اصلاح کے اوپر کی طرف ویکٹر کو کم کر رہا ہے۔ ہم بھی آج ایک پرسکون دن کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Kal ka din pur sukoon guzar gaya, thori si izafa hui thi, lekin aaj phir se girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Aaj hum EURUSD currency pair ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Filhaal, chart par nazar aata hai ke yeh pair is period ke liye ek ascending trend mein hai, lekin abhi corrective phase mein hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin ab yeh apne signal line ki taraf niche ja raha hai. Pichle trading haftay ne bulls ko koi bhi kamiyabi nahi di; wo pehle jaisay upar ja rahe the lekin ab unka waqt kuch der ke liye khatam ho gaya hai. Agar hum Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke neeche lagayein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke target achieve ho chuka hai - 161.8 level is grid par achieve kiya gaya aur 200 level ko reach karne ki koshish ki gayi. Minimum target achieve ho chuka hai, aur is ke ilawa price ne 2023 ke end ke significant maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya hai, is liye yahan ek potential selling zone ban gaya. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se bahar aa raha tha. Pichle haftay mein, bears ne revenge liya aur pehle ke uthaav ka ek significant hissa wapas le liya. Unhone price ko niche push kiya, jo ke pound dollar se zyada behtar hai, kyunki EURGBP cross rate pichle kuch dinon se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke, pound dollar ki girawat ko roknay mein rukawat daal raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Abhi purchases bilkul bhi nahi consider kiye ja rahe hain jab tak price 1.0958 ke support level tak nahi pahunchtay. Wahan kuch upward wave ko pakadne ki ummeed hogi, lekin filhaal yeh nahi hai, sirf choti choti pullbacks hain, aur uske baad phir se ek aur girawat. Aur overall market mein, baqi major pairs bhi nazdeek future mein US dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye nazar aa rahe hain. Tactic yeh hai ke intraday pullbacks ke baad selling formations ko dhoondha jaye aur niche kaam kiya jaye. Mera khayal hai ke is haftay sellers ka dominance rahega. Kal US mein Labor Day tha, isliye shayad activity itni low thi.

Agar hum chart ko aur detail se dekhein, to yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke corrective phase ke doran, price ne kuch technical levels ko test kiya hai jo indicate karte hain ke abhi bhi downward pressure bana hua hai. Jo bhi traders hain, unhe chahiye ke wo market trends ko dhyan se monitor karen aur short-term pullbacks ko use karke profit kamane ki koshish karein. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur CCI ki movement bhi trading decisions ko guide karte hain. Short-term volatility ke bawajood, long-term trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai aur sellers ka dominance hi main theme lag raha hai. Isliye, trading strategy ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai aur market ki situation ko nazar mein rakhte hue trades enter karni chahiye

Friday ko EUR/USD ka pair 1.1070–1.1081 ke support zone ke neeche consolidate hua. Aaj, price phir se is zone mein aa gayi hai. Agar is zone se rebound hota hai, toh phir se U.S. dollar ko faida ho sakta hai aur decline continue ho sakta hai towards 127.2% Fibonacci corrective level at 1.0984. Pichle hafte, pair ne achi khaasi girawat dikhayi, lekin is hafte ki information backdrop U.S. dollar ke liye crucial aur risky ho sakti hai. Isliye, bears naye sell positions open karne mein jaldi nahi kar rahe. Agar price 1.1070–1.1081 zone ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh euro ko faida hoga aur growth resume ho sakti hai towards 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.1165.

Wave situation thodi complex ho gayi hai, lekin overall koi badi dikkat nahi hai. Aakhri completed upward wave ne previous wave ke peak ko break kiya, jabke naye downward wave ne August 15 ki last low ke paas bhi nahi pahuncha. Isliye, "bullish" trend ab bhi intact hai. "Bullish" trend ko negate karne ke liye, bears ko ab last downward wave ki low ko break karna padega, jo ke lagbhag 1.0950 ke aas-paas hai. Pehle, trendline ke neeche close hona zaroori hai.

Friday ko information background kaafi abundant tha, lekin weak tha. Zyada tar reports traders ke expectations ke saath match karti thi. Germany ki unemployment rate 6% thi, Eurozone ki inflation rate 2.2% thi, core inflation 2.6% thi, U.S. PCE index 0.2% thi, aur consumer sentiment index 67.9 points tha. In sab figures ka forecast ke saath match hona tha. Isliye, bohot saari news thi lekin action lene layak nahi thi. Bears ne pair ko thoda sa neeche push kiya, lekin is hafte "bearish" sentiment sharp decrease ho sakta hai, kyun ke U.S. mein important labor market aur unemployment data release honge. Market ko yaad hai ke ye data dollar ko kaise impact karta hai; in reports ne dollar ki girawat ko trigger kiya aur traders ko Fed se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki ummeed dilayi.

4-hour chart par, pair 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.1139 ke neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke euro ke 76.4% corrective level at 1.1013 ki taraf decline suggest karta hai. Agar 1.1013 level se rebound hota hai, toh iska matlab ho sakta hai ke European currency mein reversal ho raha hai aur kuch growth 1.1139 ki taraf dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Aaj kisi bhi indicator ke saath emerging divergences observe nahi ho rahi hain.