Eurusd forum

r raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.
Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakt

Spot price ne 1.1050 ke key support level ke upar stability barqarar rakhi. Yeh pair Friday ke din ke banaye gaye range mein trade karta raha, jabke investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rates mein kya tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain baaki saal ke liye.

Market ka Focus September Rate Cut ke Prospects par:

Markets ka main focus ab September interest rate cut ke prospects par hai. Current market expectations ne fully price kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting 18 September ko rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakti hai. Lekin, pehli baar 50 basis points cut hone ki sambhavana thori kam hui hai, ab yeh chances 50% se thoda zyada hain, jabke pehle is hafte ke shuru mein yeh nearly 70% the. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 53.5% probability de rahe hain ke September mein 50 basis points cut hoga, aur 2024 ke end tak do additional 25 basis points cuts ki bhi ummeed hai.

US Job Data ne Economic Concerns ko Kam kiya Better-Than-Expected Claims ke Saath:

US labor market se recent data ne economic weakness ke concerns ko kam kar diya hai. August 2 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims ki kam hone wali figures ne 233,000 tak drop kiya, jo forecasted 240,000 aur pehle ke figure 250,000 se zyada achha hai (jo pehle 249,000 se revise hua tha). TD Securities ke head of US rates strategy Gennadiy Goldberg ne data par positive comments diye, kehte hue, “Yeh markets ke liye ek bohot positive print hai. Yeh yeh reinforce karta hai ke labor market ka momentum usi tarah se slow nahi ho raha hai jaisa payroll report se laga, aur yeh bhi reinforce karta hai ke economy mein bahut zyada layoffs nahi ho rahe.”

H1 Chart EUR/USD ko Positive Signals ke Baawajood Mushkil Hoti Hai:

Friday ko, pair ne apni late rebound ko 1.1050 ke low se banaya, lekin Asian session mein upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya. Market ke band hone par, pair 1.1046 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, din ke liye 0.55% se zyada girawat ke saath. Yeh girawat ek recent winning streak ko khatam kar rahi thi aur pair ko key 1.1100 level ke neeche le gayi, jo suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Pair ab shayad ek downward trend mein wapas ja sakta hai jo iske 2024 ke performance ko characterize karta hai.

Recent bounce Thursday ko 1.1150 resistance level se jo ab support ban gaya hai, bullish traders ko faida de raha hai. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par technical indicators achhe signals de rahe hain aur abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pahunche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein ab bhi additional gains ki potential ho sakti hai.

D1 period chart
EURUSD currency pair. Abhi ke liye daily chart ye dikhata hai ke is pair ka upward trend hai, lekin ab corrective descent ka phase chal raha hai. Wave structure upar ki taraf build ho raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line se neeche ja raha hai. Pichhli trading week ne bulls ko koi mauka nahi diya, wo pehle upar push karte the jaise jack, lekin ab unka waqt temporary khatam ho gaya hai. Agar aap pehli wave se neeche tak Fibonacci grid lagayein, to dekhenge ke target achieve ho gaya hai - grid par level 161.8 aur unhone level 200 ko reach karne ki koshish ki. Minimum target achieve ho gaya hai, aur price ne last 2023 ke significant maximum ko bhi paar kar diya hai, isliye yahan potential sales zone ban gaya hai. Plus, CCI indicator upper overheating zone se bahar aa gaya hai. Aur pichhli week mein bears ne badla liya aur pehle ki significant rise ka ek bada hissa wapas le liya. Unhone price ko neeche achhe se press kiya aur pound dollar ke comparison mein behad behtar, aur iska sabab EURGBP cross rate hai jo kuch din se neeche ja raha hai. Ye downward trend pound dollar ko girne se rokti hai aur euro dollar ko girane mein madad karti hai. Purchases tab tak nahi consider ki ja sakti jab tak price 1.0958 aur 1.1015 ke beech na pohnch jaye. Tabhi kuch growth ki wave pakadne ka prospect hoga, lekin abhi to sirf short rollbacks hain, aur phir aur girawat. General taur par, market ke doosre major pairs ke nazar mein US dollar ko mazbooti dena hai. Tactics - din ke waqt upward rollbacks ke baad, sale ke liye formation dekhein aur niche kaam karein. Main yeh maan raha hoon ke sellers poore naye trading week mein dominate karenge. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, US mein Labor Day ki chhutti hai.

EUR/USD Qeemat Action

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat action analysis ka topic hai. EUR/USD pair mein decline ki ummeed hai, multiple indicators se lagta hai ki potential downtrend hai. Recent upward movement thak gaya hai, jo next week bearish outlook se trade karne ko safer banata hai, lekin ye assumption thoda simplistic lagta hai.

Main 1.1007 level par decline ki ummeed karta hoon, aur agar breached ho jata hai, to further downside likely hai. Technically, setup se lagta hai ki uptrend khatam hone ki high probability hai, jo significant downward move ki raah khul rahi hai. Main current levels par selling ko consider karne ki recommendation karta hoon. Initial targets 1.1079 par hain, 1.1094 level critical threshold hai jo downward correction ko negate kar sakti hai.

Main 1.1079 level par closely monitor karoonga, lekin nuances hain - specifically, is level ko significance gain karne ke liye, price ko pehle 1.1042 minimum break karna hoga aur phir 1.1079 approach karna hoga. Agar ye ho jata hai, to bearish momentum Wednesday ko weaken ho sakta hai.

Ideally, 1.1042 level Asian trading mein update hoga, phir 1.1079 European session mein. Additional levels trading progress ke saath relevant ho jayenge, jo pair ki immediate direction ko gauge karne mein madad karenge. EUR/USD 1.1099 se neeche trade karta hai, jo week ko negatively end karne ki track par hai. Monthly US inflation data ne market expectations ko meet kiya, lekin significant reaction trigger na kar saka. Pair Thursday ke range mein trade karta hai, critical 1.1099 resistance level se neeche dip karne ke baad. Short term mein, EUR/USD ka outlook stable lagta hai, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) upwards trend mein hai. Downtrend 1.0999 ke critical psychological support ke paas limited rahegi. Currently, pair sideways trend mein stalled hai.

Yuro ne Monday ki trading session ke doran kuch uthal-puthal dekha. Jab North American session kareeb aa raha hai, to activity slow hone ki ummeed hai kyunke US aur Canada dono Labor Day manate hain. Is silsile mein, 1.11 ka level ek aham resistance area nazar aata hai. Agar euro is level ko torh deti hai, to 1.12 ki taraf move dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, 1.10 ka level ek aham support provide karta hai kyunke yeh ek bara, psychologically important level hai.

Recent charts pe yeh nazar aata hai ke euro major round numbers ke beech move karta hai. Yeh pattern broader market sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan traders expect kar rahe hain ke central banks agle saal ke doran kai martaba interest rates cut karengi. Yeh ek race to the bottom hai, jahan European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono hi apni economies ko steer aur debt ko inflate karne ke liye rates cut karne wale hain.

Is scenario ko dekhte hue, euro ka current market behavior neutral nazar aata hai. Chahe koi strong directional trend nahi hai, short-term traders range ko trade karke opportunities dhoondh sakte hain, ek round number se doosre round number ki taraf bounce karte hue. Filhal, euro do significant levels, 1.10 aur 1.11 ke beech hai, jo suggest karta hai ke zyada traders shayad clear signal ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle apni capital invest karne se.

Mukhtasir yeh ke euro ki movement aane wale waqt mein range-bound rehne ki ummeed hai, jahan 1.10 aur 1.11 levels key support aur resistance ke taur pe kaam kar rahe hain. Jab traders central bank actions pe speculate kar rahe hain, market mein zyada reversal trading dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo short-term swings ko capitalize karne ke liye opportunities provide kar sakti hai.

Market Overview
EURUSD pair current mein H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels

Immediate Support: 1.1142 - Ye level past mein strong support ka kaam kiya hai aur potential entry point ke liye retested ho sakta hai agar temporary pullback hota hai.

Strong Support: 1.1070 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur potential bullish reversals ke liye significant level ho sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1210 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke wajah se, ye soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1210 ke upar clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): Currently 75.75 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye is level par hovering hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.1142 - Ye level potential order block ke liye long positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1210 - Ye level potential order block ke liye short positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bearish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: Potential buy entry 1.1142 support level par consider ki ja sakti hai agar price pullback hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern forma, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate karega








Additional Considerations

EURUSD pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions par focus karna chahiye proper risk management ke saath. RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye monitor karna essential hai. Sath hi, order blocks ko potential trading opportunities ke liye monitor karna chahiye.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Leki momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada

Trading time window par Tuesday ko EurUsd market pair par buyers ka dominance tha. Buyers ne EurUsd pair ke price ko control mein le liya jab sellers jo dominate kar rahe the, woh 1.0920-1.0918 ke support area ko tod nahi paaye. Is support area ke upar buyers ne strong bullish pressure daala aur price ko kaafi strong bullish movement ke saath upar le aaye. Moving average indicator ko Daily time window par monitor karte hue, candle dekhne ko mil rahi hai jo Yellow MA 200 area se door ja rahi hai, jo 1.0830-1.0832 par hai. Ye area buyers ke liye support bana hua hai aur bullish candlestick dominance ke saath price ko upar le jaane ki strength de raha hai. Agla target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1110-1.1115 hai jo EurUsd pair ke market movement ke liye important hoga.
Wednesday ko trading start hone ke baad sellers ka resistance dekhne ko mil raha hai jo bullish buyers ko rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price bearish correction ke liye move kar sakti hai jo 1.0970-1.0965 ke buyer support area tak pahunchegi. Agar sellers is area ko todne mein successful hote hain, toh price 1.0940-1.0938 tak weaken ho sakti hai. Lekin agar sellers is area ko nahi todte, toh buyers price ko dobara bullish banayenge aur agla target seller resistance area 1.1027-1.1030 hoga. EURUSD pair chart data se yeh pata chal raha hai ke candlestick 1.0778 ke lowest level se door ja rahi hai, jo strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke bullish price continuation hoga, isliye BUY trading ke opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Is hafte price increase market mein turmoil create kar sakti hai aur price ko upar push kar sakti hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Market ke this afternoon ke low activity ko dekhte hue, price sideways movement dikhane ki sambhavana hai. Lekin zyada chances hain ke price move higher kare aur bullish potential 1.1010 ke level ko break kar sakta hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai

EUR/USD pair ne naye trading haftay ka aaghaz aik ehtiyaat ke sath kiya hai, jisme 1.1050 level ke qareeb support mila hai. Ye halka sa izafa Labor Day ki chutti ke sabab se kam trading volume ke pehlu mein aya hai jo ke United States mein thi. Jab is hafte mein US markets dubara khulengi, toh investors ghaur se US labor data releases ka intezar kar rahe honge. Sab se ziada intezar nonfarm payrolls report ka ho raha hai jo ke August ke liye hai, jisme jobs mein achi izafa dikhayi ja rahi hai. Ek mazboot jobs report US dollar ko barhawa de sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal sakti hai. European Union bhi is hafte apni retail sales aur GDP data release karegi. Magar ziada focus US labor market data par hi rahega. Recent gains ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair abhi bhi kuch downward pressure ka samna kar rahi hai. Bears ka target 50-day moving average 1.0956 par hai. Agar pair apni bullish structure ko qaim rakh sakti hai aur 1.1050 ke upar reh sakti hai, toh is mein pehle wale high 1.1200 ko challenge karne ki salahiyat hai. JOLTS job openings, ADP employment change, aur nonfarm payrolls reports ko ghaur se dekha jayega.

Pair ka talluq 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke sath aham hoga. US dollar ki overall strength bhi EUR/USD pair ko asar andaz karegi. Kisi bhi unexpected geopolitical developments se bhi market par asar parh sakta hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ek bullish trend mein hai, magar short-term pullback ka risk bhi hai. Investors ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye aur in key factors ko monitor karna chahiye taake trading decisions achi tarah se liye ja sakein. Jab ke Federal Reserve ne rate hikes mein waqfa dene ka ishara diya hai, lekin agar mazeed tightening ka koi zikr hota hai, toh EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aasakta hai. ECB ka interest rates par rukh bhi consider karne wala factor hoga. Bade iqtesadiyat ke darmiyan badhte hue trade tensions market mein uncertainty peda kar sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakti hai. EUR/USD pair ko asar andaz karne wale bohat se factors ko dekhte hue, nayi news aur economic data par updated rehna zaruri hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Spot price ne 1.1050 ke key support level ke upar stability barqarar rakhi. Yeh pair Friday ke din ke banaye gaye range mein trade karta raha, jabke investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rates mein kya tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain baaki saal ke liye.

Market ka Focus September Rate Cut ke Prospects par:

Markets ka main focus ab September interest rate cut ke prospects par hai. Current market expectations ne fully price kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting 18 September ko rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakti hai. Lekin, pehli baar 50 basis points cut hone ki sambhavana thori kam hui hai, ab yeh chances 50% se thoda zyada hain, jabke pehle is hafte ke shuru mein yeh nearly 70% the. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 53.5% probability de rahe hain ke September mein 50 basis points cut hoga, aur 2024 ke end tak do additional 25 basis points cuts ki bhi ummeed hai.

US Job Data ne Economic Concerns ko Kam kiya Better-Than-Expected Claims ke Saath:

US labor market se recent data ne economic weakness ke concerns ko kam kar diya hai. August 2 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims ki kam hone wali figures ne 233,000 tak drop kiya, jo forecasted 240,000 aur pehle ke figure 250,000 se zyada achha hai (jo pehle 249,000 se revise hua tha). TD Securities ke head of US rates strategy Gennadiy Goldberg ne data par positive comments diye, kehte hue, “Yeh markets ke liye ek bohot positive print hai. Yeh yeh reinforce karta hai ke labor market ka momentum usi tarah se slow nahi ho raha hai jaisa payroll report se laga, aur yeh bhi reinforce karta hai ke economy mein bahut zyada layoffs nahi ho rahe.”

H1 Chart EUR/USD ko Positive Signals ke Baawajood Mushkil Hoti Hai:

Friday ko, pair ne apni late rebound ko 1.1050 ke low se banaya, lekin Asian session mein upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya. Market ke band hone par, pair 1.1046 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, din ke liye 0.55% se zyada girawat ke saath. Yeh girawat ek recent winning streak ko khatam kar rahi thi aur pair ko key 1.1100 level ke neeche le gayi, jo suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Pair ab shayad ek downward trend mein wapas ja sakta hai jo iske 2024 ke performance ko characterize karta hai.

Recent bounce Thursday ko 1.1150 resistance level se jo ab support ban gaya hai, bullish traders ko faida de raha hai. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par technical indicators achhe signals de rahe hain aur abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pahunche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein ab bhi additional gains ki potential ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD ko dabao ka samna karna par raha hai jab Euro ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ke bawajood kamzor hota hai. Eurozone ki kamzor ma'eeshat ECB ke September ke liye rate cut ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai

**EUR/USD Pair: Consolidation aur Potential Decline ke Aasaar**

Jummah ko, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1070–1.1081 ke support zone ke neeche consolidate kiya. Aaj, price dobara is zone mein wapas aa gayi hai. Agar price is zone se rebound karti hai, to yeh ek baar phir U.S. dollar ke haq mein hoga aur decline ko resume karte hue 127.2% Fibonacci corrective level 1.0984 tak le jayega. Pichle hafte, pair ne ek decent decline dikhaya, magar is hafte ka information backdrop U.S. dollar ke liye crucial aur potentially risky hoga. Isliye, bears naye sell positions open karne mein jaldi nahi kar rahe hain. Agar 1.1070–1.1081 zone ke upar consolidation hoti hai, to yeh euro ke liye faida mand hoga aur potentially growth ko resume karte hue 200.0% Fibonacci level 1.1165 tak le jayega.

Wave situation thodi complex ho gayi hai, magar koi major issues nahi hain. Last completed upward wave ne previous wave ke peak ko break kiya, jab ke new downward wave abhi tak August 15 ke last low ke paas bhi nahi aayi. Is tarah, "bullish" trend abhi bhi intact hai. "Bullish" trend ko negate karne ke liye, bears ko ab last downward wave ke low, jo ke 1.0950 ke aas paas hai, ko break karna hoga. Start karne ke liye, trendline ke neeche close hona zaroori hai.

Jummah ko information backdrop bohot zyada tha lekin weak bhi tha. Zyada tar reports traders ke expectations ke mutabiq theen. Khaaskar, Germany ka unemployment rate 6% tha, Eurozone mein inflation rate 2.2%, core inflation 2.6%, U.S. ka PCE index 0.2%, aur consumer sentiment index 67.9 points tha. Yeh tamam figures forecasts ke mutabiq theen. Isliye, bohot si news thi lekin kisi bhi cheez par react karne ke liye kuch khaas nahi tha. Bears ne pair ko thoda neeche push kiya, magar is hafte "bearish" sentiment sharply diminish ho sakta hai, kyun ke U.S. mein important labor market aur unemployment data release hoga. Market yaad rakhti hai ke yeh data pichle chand months mein dollar par kis tarah se asar انداز tha; in reports ne dollar ke decline ko lead kiya aur traders ko anticipate karne par majboor kiya ke Fed se ziada aggressive rate cuts aayenge.

4-hour chart par, pair ne 100.0% bonacci level 1.1139 ke neeche consolidate kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke euro mein potential decline 76.4% corrective level 1.1013 tak ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.1013 level se rebound karti hai, to yeh European currency ke haq mein reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai aur kuch growth 1.1139 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Aaj kisi bhi indicator ke sath koi emerging divergences observe nahi hui.

Euro ne Monday ke trading session ke doran kuch ulta seedha harkat dekhi. Jaise jaise North American session ke nazdeek aa rahe hain, activity dheemi ho sakti hai kyun ke dono US aur Canada Labor Day manate hain. Isko madde nazar rakhtay hue, 1.11 level ek aham resistance ka area lagta hai. Agar euro is level ko break karne me kamyab hota hai, to hum 1.12 level ki taraf move dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, 1.10 level bhi ek zaroori boost hai kyun ke yeh ek bara, psychologically important level hai.
Recent charts mein jo cheez numayan hai, woh yeh hai ke euro major round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Yeh pattern broader market sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke central banks agle saal ke doran kai dafa interest rates ko cut karengi. Yeh ek race to the bottom hai, jahan European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono hi apni economies ko steer karne aur debt ko inflate karne ke liye rates cut karne ki soch rahe hain.

Is scenario ke madde nazar, euro ka market behavior neutral lag raha hai. Halankeh koi strong directional trend nahi hai, short-term traders is range ko trade karke opportunities dhoondh sakte hain, ek round number se doosre round number tak bounce karte hue. Filhal, euro do aham levels ke beech mein hai, 1.10 aur 1.11, jo ye suggest karte hain ke bohot se traders shayad ek clearer signal ka intezar kar rahe hain before zyada capital invest karne ka.

Short mein, euro ki movement aaj kal range-bound rehne ki umeed hai, jahan 1.10 aur 1.11 levels support aur resistance ke taur par kaam karenge. Jaise traders central bank ke actions par speculating kar rahe hain, market shayad zyada reversal trading dekhe, jo short-term swings ko capitalize karne wale logon ke liye opportunities faraham kar sakta hai

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek consistent upward trend show kiya hai, jo Monday ko observe kiya gaya tha. Tuesday ko, pair ne apne ascent ko continue kiya, sustained aur robust buying pressure ke saath. Euro ki demand US dollar ke khilaf ne pair ki value mein notable increase ki hai, market ko open karte hue. Yeh ongoing bullish momentum ko several factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo currency markets ko influence karte hain.
Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab trader sentiment ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Recent days mein, Eurozone se positive economic indicators aa sakte hain, ya perhaps market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke future moves ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo euro ko strengthen kar sakte hain. US dollar ko economic growth, inflationary pressures, ya Federal Reserve ke policy stance ke concerns ke saath headwinds ka samna ho sakta hai.

Strong buyer pressure suggest karta hai ki investors euro ke prospects mein confidence rakhte hain ya dollar se diversify karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo recent weeks mein volatile raha hai. Yeh buying activity EUR/USD ke higher opening price mein reflect hoti hai, jo traders ko expect karti hai ki currency pair apne upward trajectory ko continue karegi.

Technical factors ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Key resistance levels test ho sakte hain jab pair rise karegi, aur agar yeh levels break ho jaye, to further gains ka signal mil sakta hai. Conversely, traders ko potential retracement ya correction ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo market conditions shift ya profit-taking set ho jaye recent rally ke baad. Overall, EUR/USD ki performance today euro ki strength ko current market environment mein show karti hai, strong buying interest ke saath. Traders aur investors likely situation ko closely monitor karenge, watching for any developments jo upward trend ko sustain ya reverse kar sakte hain near future mein